914  
FNUS51 KBUF 261037  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
537 AM EST THU NOV 26 2009  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
OUR MILDER THAN NORMAL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS WEAK LOW  
PRESSURE MOVES EAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. HOWEVER ANOTHER  
LOW DEEPENING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL ABSORB THE GREAT LAKES  
LOW OVERNIGHT WHILE COLDER AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE NORTH AND WEST.  
THE RESULTING COMBINED SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY NEAR  
CAPE COD FRIDAY AND MOVE TO MAINE BY EVENING. MOIST AND COLDER AIR  
WILL CONTINUE TO WRAP AROUND THIS SYSTEM THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO  
SATURDAY AS IT MOVES EAST.  
 
NYZ001-002-010-011-262115-  
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-  
537 AM EST THU NOV 26 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY CLOUDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 40 60  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 53 33 42  
AM WIND (MPH) S 9 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) SW 11 SW 5 NW 10  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.06 0.06  
PRECIP DURATION 2 5 6  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 61 100 74  
HAINES INDEX 3 2 2  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7040 270 5380  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SW 17 W 8 NW 16  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 119680 2160 86080  
DISPERSION INDEX 120 2 86  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ012-019>021-085-262115-  
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-  
537 AM EST THU NOV 26 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY CLOUDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 50 80  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 31 40  
AM WIND (MPH) S 8 SW 7  
PM WIND (MPH) SW 9 SW 5 NW 11  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.07 0.12  
PRECIP DURATION 2 5 10  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 63 97 72  
HAINES INDEX 2 2 2  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7010 530 5400  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SW 19 SW 9 NW 24  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 133190 4770 129600  
DISPERSION INDEX 133 5 130  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ003>005-013-014-262115-  
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-  
537 AM EST THU NOV 26 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 60 60  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 55 34 42  
AM WIND (MPH) S 8 W 7  
PM WIND (MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR NW 12  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.24 0.23  
PRECIP DURATION 1 8 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 3 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 59 100 75  
HAINES INDEX 2 2 2  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7070 480 5450  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SW 14 W 8 NW 14  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 98980 3840 76300  
DISPERSION INDEX 99 4 76  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ006>008-262115-  
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-  
537 AM EST THU NOV 26 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 80 90  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SNOW/RAIN  
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 35 41  
AM WIND (MPH) S 9 NW 7  
PM WIND (MPH) SE 7 LGT/VAR NW 12  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.09 0.42  
PRECIP DURATION 8 11  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 68 100 78  
HAINES INDEX 2 2 2  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5510 110 5250  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) S 10 S 7 NW 18  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 55100 770 94500  
DISPERSION INDEX 55 1 95  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST
 
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 40S.  
 
WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
WIND SATURDAY...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
WIND SUNDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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