497  
FNUS51 KBUF 142333  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
733 PM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A MID-LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK WILL SLOWLY TRACK INTO  
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD  
SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE FINGER LAKES EASTWARD  
SLOWLY DIMINISHING FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THIS EVENING. IN THE  
WAKE OF THE LOW...GENERALLY DRY WEATHER WILL THEN FOLLOW FOR THE  
OVERNIGHT HOURS AND THE BULK OF WEDNESDAY...WITH JUST A FEW WIDELY  
SCATTERED SHOWERS OR STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES AND  
NORTH COUNTRY DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY WEDNESDAY  
EVENING. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN BRING A RETURN TO  
MORE WIDESPREAD UNSETTLED WEATHER THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.  
 
NYZ001-002-010-011-150900-  
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-  
733 PM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 0 0 60  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE TSTMS  
MIN/MAX TEMP 67 87 67 85  
AM WIND (MPH) SW 7 SW 6  
PM WIND (MPH) SW 7 W 10 SW 8 SW 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.14  
PRECIP DURATION 0 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 8 AM  
PRECIP END 7 PM CONTINUING  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 96 49 100 59  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 3 3  
LAL 1 4 3 4  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 70 6920 70 4880  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) W 11 W 18 SW 18 S 9  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 770 124560 1260 43920  
DISPERSION INDEX 1 125 1 44  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ012-019>021-085-150900-  
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-  
733 PM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 0 0 70  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE TSTMS  
MIN/MAX TEMP 61 84 64 82  
AM WIND (MPH) W 6 SW 5  
PM WIND (MPH) W 7 W 9 SW 5 S 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.18  
PRECIP DURATION 1 5  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 7 AM  
PRECIP END 8 PM CONTINUING  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 49 100 59  
HAINES INDEX 3 4 4 3  
LAL 1 3 3 4  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 70 7500 70 5650  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) W 12 W 18 W 13 S 14  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 840 135000 910 79100  
DISPERSION INDEX 1 135 1 79  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ003>005-013-014-150900-  
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-  
733 PM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 50 30 0 50  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS NONE TSTMS  
MIN/MAX TEMP 65 87 67 86  
AM WIND (MPH) W 6 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) W 5 W 9 W 7 SW 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.13  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 3 PM 11 AM  
PRECIP END 11 PM 4 PM CONTINUING  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 52 97 55  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4 3  
LAL 3 4 3 4  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 70 7650 70 6380  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) W 9 W 17 W 17 SW 8  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 630 130050 1190 51040  
DISPERSION INDEX 1 130 1 51  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ006>008-150900-  
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-  
733 PM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 80 0 40 0  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE TSTMS NONE  
MIN/MAX TEMP 63 85 61 85  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR W 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.20 0.00 0.06 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 3 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 6 PM  
PRECIP END 1 AM 12 AM  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 51 100 51  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3  
LAL 3 4 4 3  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 70 6230 70 6120  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) NW 6 W 16 W 14 W 8  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 420 99680 980 48960  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 100 1 49  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST
 
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.    
FRIDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID  
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
 
WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND FRIDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND SATURDAY...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND SUNDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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