685  
FNUS51 KBUF 230233  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
1033 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY TRACK ACROSS THE REGION THIS  
WEEKEND BRINGING OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH BREAKS OF  
DRY TIME IN BETWEEN TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD  
ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK WEEK BRINGING A  
RETURN TO FAIR WEATHER AND INCREASING TEMPERATURES THROUGH MID-WEEK.  
 
NYZ001-002-010-011-230900-  
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-  
1033 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2018  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 100 90 30 40  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
MIN/MAX TEMP 60 71 60 71  
AM WIND (MPH) E 8 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) E 6 E 7 LGT/VAR N 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.44 0.41 0.07 0.18  
PRECIP DURATION 11 9 2 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING 7 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 10 PM CONTINUING  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 92 74 100 74  
HAINES INDEX 3 2 3 2  
LAL 4 5 4 4  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 310 3140 220 2240  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SE 11 SE 5 NW 5 N 7  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 3410 15700 1100 15680  
DISPERSION INDEX 3 16 1 16  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ012-019>021-085-230900-  
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-  
1033 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2018  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 100 80 80 80  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
MIN/MAX TEMP 56 72 60 71  
AM WIND (MPH) SE 9 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) SE 8 S 8 LGT/VAR NW 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.39 0.31 0.16 0.20  
PRECIP DURATION 7 6 6 7  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 98 74 100 75  
HAINES INDEX 3 2 3 3  
LAL 4 5 5 5  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 310 3400 140 3210  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SE 16 S 11 SW 5 NW 8  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 4960 37400 700 25680  
DISPERSION INDEX 5 37 1 26  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ003>005-013-014-230900-  
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-  
1033 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2018  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 100 90 70 40  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
MIN/MAX TEMP 58 72 61 72  
AM WIND (MPH) SE 8 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR SE 8 LGT/VAR NW 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.34 0.39 0.18 0.15  
PRECIP DURATION 11 9 6 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING 7 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 4 AM CONTINUING  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 88 72 100 74  
HAINES INDEX 3 2 3 2  
LAL 4 5 5 4  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 120 3620 30 2310  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) E 6 SE 11 S 5 NW 5  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 720 39820 150 11550  
DISPERSION INDEX 1 40 0 12  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ006>008-230900-  
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-  
1033 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2018  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 90 70 40  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
MIN/MAX TEMP 58 67 57 70  
AM WIND (MPH) SE 7 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR E 9 SE 7 NW 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.25 0.16 0.14  
PRECIP DURATION 2 8 5 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING 12 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 4 AM CONTINUING  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 89 61 100 73  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 2 2  
LAL 1 5 5 4  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 0 2360 30 2830  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SE 4 SE 9 SE 2 N 9  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 0 21240 60 25470  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 21 0 25  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST
 
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE MID 50S.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.    
TUESDAY
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS  
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
 
WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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