431  
FNUS51 KBUF 091436  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
936 AM EST THU NOV 9 2017  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST THIS  
EVENING. THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE A BRIEF SQUALL OF HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS  
AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS, WHICH WILL QUICKLY CHANGE TO SNOW  
AS MUCH COLDER AIR RUSHES INTO THE REGION. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND  
NARROW BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES WILL THEN  
CONTINUE LATER THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WITH UNSEASONABLY COLD  
TEMPERATURES. DRY WEATHER RETURNS SATURDAY, WITH TEMPERATURES TRENDING  
BACK TOWARDS AVERAGE BY SUNDAY.  
 
NYZ001-002-010-011-092115-  
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-  
936 AM EST THU NOV 9 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 100 30  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 19 27  
AM WIND (MPH) S 6 NW 14  
PM WIND (MPH) SW 14 W 18 NW 13  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.17 0.03  
PRECIP DURATION 1 7 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 3 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 5 PM  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 42 94 46  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4  
LAL 1 4 1  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 5190 510 6490  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SW 24 SW 28 NW 29  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 124560 14280 188210  
DISPERSION INDEX 125 14 188  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ012-019>021-085-092115-  
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-  
936 AM EST THU NOV 9 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 90 40  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 16 24  
AM WIND (MPH) S 6 NW 14  
PM WIND (MPH) SW 11 W 15 NW 12  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.21 0.03  
PRECIP DURATION 8 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 3 PM  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 37 100 41  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 4  
LAL 1 4 1  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 4800 720 6880  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SW 19 SW 25 NW 29  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 91200 18000 199520  
DISPERSION INDEX 91 18 200  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ003>005-013-014-092115-  
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-  
936 AM EST THU NOV 9 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 90 40  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 19 26  
AM WIND (MPH) S 6 NW 16  
PM WIND (MPH) SW 9 SW 14 NW 15  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.15 0.05  
PRECIP DURATION 7 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 PM  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 35 100 41  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 4  
LAL 1 4 1  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 5280 0 6710  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SW 14 SW 13 NW 31  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 73920 0 208010  
DISPERSION INDEX 74 0 208  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ006>008-092115-  
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-  
936 AM EST THU NOV 9 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 100 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS NONE  
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 15 26  
AM WIND (MPH) S 7 NW 13  
PM WIND (MPH) S 9 SW 12 NW 12  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.19 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 6  
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM  
PRECIP END 6 AM  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 44 100 28  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 4  
LAL 1 4 1  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 5780 130 6790  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) S 16 S 17 NW 21  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 92480 2210 142590  
DISPERSION INDEX 92 2 143  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST
 
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 40S.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
40S.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S.  
 
WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND SATURDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 

 
 
THIS IS THE LAST FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE 2017 SEASON.  
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECASTS WILL RESUME IN EARLY SPRING 2018.  
 
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