771  
FNUS51 KBUF 230233  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
1033 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2017  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A WARM FRONT WILL MAKE ITS WAY NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS OUR REGION  
THROUGH TONIGHT...WHILE BRINGING A GENERAL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS AND USHERING IN A MUCH WARMER AND MORE HUMID  
AIRMASS. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL THEN BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD ON  
FRIDAY AS TROPICAL MOISTURE SURGES ACROSS OUR AREA IN ADVANCE OF  
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL THEN CROSS NEW YORK  
STATE LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...  
COOLER AND SOMEWHAT UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL FOLLOW FOR THIS  
WEEKEND AS BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING DIGS ACROSS THE GREAT  
LAKES.  
 
NYZ001-002-010-011-230900-  
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-  
1033 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2017  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 80 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
MIN/MAX TEMP 71 80 60 73  
AM WIND (MPH) SW 9 W 7  
PM WIND (MPH) SW 7 SW 13 W 9 W 11  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.32 0.06 0.03  
PRECIP DURATION 2 7 2 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 11 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING 11 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 AM 6 PM  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 86 69 97 44  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4 4  
LAL 4 5 5 4  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 90 3340 120 7740  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SW 11 SW 23 NW 7 W 18  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 990 76820 840 139320  
DISPERSION INDEX 1 77 1 139  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ012-019>021-085-230900-  
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-  
1033 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2017  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 80 70 0  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
MIN/MAX TEMP 67 77 57 73  
AM WIND (MPH) SW 9 W 7  
PM WIND (MPH) SW 8 SW 10 W 9 W 11  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.60 0.24 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1 12 7  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 99 71 100 38  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 4  
LAL 4 5 5 1  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 70 2800 140 7490  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SW 13 SW 18 NW 8 W 22  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 910 50400 1120 164780  
DISPERSION INDEX 1 50 1 165  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ003>005-013-014-230900-  
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-  
1033 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2017  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 70 60 30  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
MIN/MAX TEMP 71 83 61 75  
AM WIND (MPH) SW 8 W 7  
PM WIND (MPH) SW 6 SW 11 W 10 W 11  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.24 0.13 0.03  
PRECIP DURATION 8 6 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING 11 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 AM 6 PM  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 87 64 99 39  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 4  
LAL 4 5 5 4  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 0 3940 220 7820  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) S 7 SW 20 W 10 W 18  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 0 78800 2200 140760  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 79 2 141  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ006>008-230900-  
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-  
1033 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2017  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 80 70 0  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
MIN/MAX TEMP 64 80 59 73  
AM WIND (MPH) SW 8 W 6  
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 10 SW 9 W 10  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.26 0.36 0.23 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 4 9 6  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 97 64 100 40  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 4  
LAL 4 5 5 1  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 30 4770 170 7590  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SE 5 SW 24 SW 16 W 17  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 150 114480 2720 129030  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 114 3 129  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST
 
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND  
70.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
 
WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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