225  
FNUS71 KALY 191347  
FWSALY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BOWEN HILL RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
947 AM EDT WED APR 19 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE  
QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AROUND 25 TO 30 MPH EXPECTED TODAY...  
 
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND  
COAST THIS MORNING WILL MOVE OUT TO SEA TODAY, AS LOW PRESSURE  
TRACKS EASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN QUEBEC. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED  
WITH THE LOW WILL BRING SHOWERS TO OUR REGION, MAINLY FROM THIS  
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. A SMALL AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN  
BUILD IN ON THURSDAY, BEFORE ANOTHER STRONGER STORM SYSTEM TRACKS  
EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY  
NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY, BRINING WIDESPREAD RAIN AND PERHAPS SOME  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
 
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 45  
TO 60 PERCENT, INCREASING TO BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT TONIGHT. RH  
WILL DROP TO MINIMUM VALUES OF AROUND 45 TO 60 PERCENT AGAIN ON  
THURSDAY.  
 
WINDS TODAY WILL BE SOUTHERLY AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30  
MPH. WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHERLY TONIGHT, WITH SPEEDS DECREASING TO  
5 TO 15 MPH. WINDS ON THURSDAY WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST  
AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................MISSING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH.  
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06 INCHES.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
CWR.................MISSING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 16 MPH.  
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 16 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 16 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-600 FT AGL  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09 INCHES.  
 

 
FORECASTER...KL  
REQUESTED BY...DAVID DISANTO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1707212.0/ALY  
.EMAIL NECC.DISPATCH@GMAIL.COM  
 
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