822  
FNUS71 KBGM 112242  
FWSBGM  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR EXETER TANKER OVERTURNED...DHSES  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY  
642 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 EDT ON JULY 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WITH DRY WEATHER CONTINUES INTO FRIDAY. LIGHT LARGE  
SCALE WINDS MEAN THAT LOCAL WINDS WILL BE TERRAIN FORCED, LIKELY  
DRAINING DOWNSLOPE INTO VALLEYS AT NIGHT, AND UPSLOPE WITH HEATING DURING  
THE DAY. ALSO, LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON WINDS COULD BE ERRATIC AT TIMES.  
THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS SHOULD BE THIS WEEKEND.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY  
IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-100 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 1 TO 2  
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM  
SKY (%).........11 8 8 7 4 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF RAIN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............73 65 60 56 53 52  
RH..............41 58 64 77 83 83  
SURFACE WIND....N 4 N 5 N 4 N 3 N 1 NW 1  
SURFACE WND GST.6 7 6 2  
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 10 N 7 N 5 W 2 SW 1 NW 1  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF RAIN......10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000-7800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 1 TO 9 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........2 1 5 13 25 27  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10  
CHC OF RAIN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 10  
TEMP............53 59 67 72 74 75  
RH..............83 75 56 48 44 45  
SURFACE WIND....NW 1 NW 1 N 4 N 6 N 6 N 8  
SURFACE WND GST. 2 6 9 9 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 600 4300 7000 7400 7800  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 1 N 2 N 7 N 9 N 8 N 8  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF RAIN......10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 6 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........24 13 6 8  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0  
CHC OF RAIN (%).10 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 0 0  
TEMP............74 66 59 55  
RH..............48 65 83 90  
SURFACE WIND....N 6G9 NW 3G5 S 3 S 3G5  
MIX HGT (FT)....4900 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 6 NW 1 SW 3 SW 3  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900-7700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1 TO 6 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........11 14 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0  
CHC OF RAIN (%).0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0  
TEMP............54 68 80  
RH..............96 73 47  
SURFACE WIND....S 3 S 3 S 4G6  
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 4500 7000  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 2 W 1 SW 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...MORFORD  
REQUESTED BY...ERIK VERFUSS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT  
.TAG 1812699.0/BGM  
.DELDT 07/11/18  
.EMAIL ERIK.VERFUSS@DHSES.NY.GOV  
 
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