897  
FNUS71 KBGM 230346  
FWSBGM  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GOLFBALL FIRE...NPS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY  
1146 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2200 EDT ON JUNE 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE  
POSSIBLE AS A FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY  
EVENING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE. SEASONAL TEMPERATURES  
ARE EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND WITH DECREASING CHANCES FOR  
PRECIPITATION.  
 
REST OF TONIGHT WILL BE MAINLY DRY WITH LIGHT WINDS. RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE TO OVER 80 PERCENT.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. A  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. A CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH.  
SUNRISE.............  
 
TIME (EDT) 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........70 74 75 76 77 78 80 81  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
TEMP............76 74 72 71 70 69 69 69  
RH..............71 76 81 84 87 90 93 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 3 5 6  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT, INCREASING TO 62 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 0800, THEN 9-15 STRIKES.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS, BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1700 FT AGL, INCREASING TO 1200-2300 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH, BECOMING AROUND 10 MPH  
LATE.  
SUNSET..............  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........82 83 84 85 85 86 87 87 88 89 89 90  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............0 0 40 50 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60  
LAL.............2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
TEMP............69 70 72 74 77 79 80 80 80 81 81 81  
RH..............93 90 87 84 76 74 72 72 72 69 72 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 4 6 7 8 8 8 8 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST. 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 8 12 14 17 18 20 20 17 15 10  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. SHOWERS  
LIKELY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
CWR.................66 PERCENT.  
LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 0200, THEN 1-8 STRIKES.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH, BECOMING NORTH AROUND 0  
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
SUNRISE.............  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM  
SKY (%).........90 91 91  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  
CWR.............60 60 60  
LAL.............3 3 2  
TEMP............80 75 70  
RH..............74 87 93  
20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 4G5 SW 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....800 BLW100 BLW100  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7 N 0 N 0  
 

 
FORECASTER...CHAMPNEY  
REQUESTED BY...MATT BOSS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1711456.0/BGM  
.EMAIL MATT_BOSS@NPS.GOV  
 
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