605  
FWUS41 KBTV 081907  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
307 PM EDT WED MAY 8 2024  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/09/24 FRIDAY 05/10/24  
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 90 95 90 85 85 80 75 80 80 85 85 70 80 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 51 46 42 41 43 46 48 48 45 42 40 39 42 47 50 49 45  
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 49 38 51  
WIND DIR W NW NW NW N N N NE E E E E SE E E NE E  
WIND (MPH) 16 12 13 11 10 8 8 6 8 8 9 9 9 8 8 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 40 30 30 20 20 30 30 20 20 30 30 40 40 40 40 40  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.07 0.01 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW MM MM MM MM  
HIGH END SNOW MM MM MM MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
 
DATE SAT 05/11/24 SUN 05/12/24 MON 05/13/24 TUE 05/14/24 WED 05/15/24  
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK BK BK BK BK BK SC BK BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 60 70 70 70 80 75 60 50 60 65 65 65 65 55 40 50 55 60 60  
TEMPERATURE 38 39 46 43 38 39 45 42 38 41 53 49 44 47 57 52 45 48 60 56  
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 47 36 46 36 54 42 58 43 61  
WIND DIR SE SE E SE S S SW SW SW SW W S S SW W SW S SE S SE  
WIND (MPH) 5 6 6 8 6 6 4 5 3 5 9 6 9 10 9 6 8 8 13 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 30 40 40 40 50 50 10 10 20 40 50 50 30 30 20 20 20 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.05  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW MM MM  
HIGH END SNOW MM MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/09/24 FRIDAY 05/10/24  
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 75 80 85 85 90 85 90 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 39 39 38 38 38 41 42 41 39 37 36 35 36 38 39 39 37  
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 42 35 39  
WIND DIR NW NW NW N N N NE NE NE E E E E E NE NE NE  
WIND (MPH) 31 19 18 19 18 11 9 9 11 11 13 13 12 11 8 8 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 40 50 50 50 50 50 50 50  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S S R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.10 0.05 0.05  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0  
LOW END SNOW MM MM MM MM  
HIGH END SNOW MM MM MM MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
 
DATE SAT 05/11/24 SUN 05/12/24 MON 05/13/24 TUE 05/14/24 WED 05/15/24  
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV BK BK BK BK SC BK BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 60 85 75 75 80 85 60 50 55 80 65 65 65 65 50 55 60 70 65  
TEMPERATURE 35 35 39 37 35 35 38 37 35 38 46 44 41 43 51 48 43 44 52 50  
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 39 34 38 35 47 40 52 41 53  
WIND DIR E E E SE SW W N N N NW NW W W W W SW SW SE SE E  
WIND (MPH) 2 4 5 6 10 4 9 13 17 24 16 17 25 13 10 10 16 21 39 32  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 50 40 40 50 60 10 10 20 40 50 40 30 30 20 20 20 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.13  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW MM MM  
HIGH END SNOW MM MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/09/24 FRIDAY 05/10/24  
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 85 85 85 75 80 75 75 80 85 85 90 85 90 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 44 42 41 41 42 46 47 47 44 41 40 39 40 43 44 44 41  
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 48 38 44  
WIND DIR W NW N N N NE NE NE NE E E E E E E NE NE  
WIND (MPH) 17 11 11 12 12 10 8 9 10 10 10 11 9 6 6 5 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 30 20 20 20 20 30 30 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.04 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW MM MM MM MM  
HIGH END SNOW MM MM MM MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
 
DATE SAT 05/11/24 SUN 05/12/24 MON 05/13/24 TUE 05/14/24 WED 05/15/24  
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV BK BK BK BK SC BK BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 60 85 75 75 80 85 55 55 55 80 65 65 65 65 50 55 60 70 65  
TEMPERATURE 37 39 44 41 37 38 43 40 37 41 51 48 44 46 56 52 45 48 58 55  
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 45 36 43 36 52 42 57 43 59  
WIND DIR E E E SE S W NW NW NW NW W W W W W SW SW SE SE E  
WIND (MPH) 2 3 5 5 9 3 8 10 13 23 16 16 23 10 6 9 16 18 33 28  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 50 40 40 50 60 10 10 20 40 50 40 30 30 20 20 20 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.13  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW MM MM  
HIGH END SNOW MM MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/09/24 FRIDAY 05/10/24  
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 85 90 85 85 80 75 75 80 85 85 85 85 85 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 42 41 39 39 40 43 45 44 42 40 39 38 40 44 46 45 42  
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 45 38 46  
WIND DIR W NW NW N N NE NE NE NE E E E E E E NE NE  
WIND (MPH) 24 16 14 16 13 11 10 11 12 11 12 12 10 10 8 9 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 40 40 40 50 50 50 40  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.03 0.03  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW MM MM MM MM  
HIGH END SNOW MM MM MM MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
 
DATE SAT 05/11/24 SUN 05/12/24 MON 05/13/24 TUE 05/14/24 WED 05/15/24  
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK OV BK BK BK BK SC BK BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 60 80 75 75 80 80 60 50 60 70 65 60 70 65 45 55 55 65 60  
TEMPERATURE 37 38 45 42 38 39 44 41 37 41 52 49 44 47 57 52 45 48 59 55  
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 46 36 45 36 53 42 58 43 60  
WIND DIR E E E SE SW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W SW SW S SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 2 3 5 5 8 4 6 9 13 24 16 17 20 12 9 8 14 13 28 32  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 50 40 40 50 50 10 20 20 50 50 30 30 30 20 20 20 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.08  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW MM MM  
HIGH END SNOW MM MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/09/24 FRIDAY 05/10/24  
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 70 70 75 80 80 85 80 75 80 85 85 90 85 90 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 44 42 40 41 42 44 46 45 43 41 39 38 40 43 44 44 41  
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 46 38 45  
WIND DIR W NW NW N N N NE NE NE E E E E E NE NE NE  
WIND (MPH) 24 16 16 17 17 11 10 10 11 10 12 12 9 9 8 8 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 40 50 50 50 50 50 50 40  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.05 0.05  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW MM MM MM MM  
HIGH END SNOW MM MM MM MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
 
DATE SAT 05/11/24 SUN 05/12/24 MON 05/13/24 TUE 05/14/24 WED 05/15/24  
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV BK BK BK BK SC BK BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 55 80 75 75 80 80 55 50 55 75 65 65 60 60 45 55 55 70 65  
TEMPERATURE 37 38 43 40 37 38 42 40 37 41 51 48 44 46 55 51 45 47 57 54  
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 43 36 42 36 52 42 56 43 58  
WIND DIR NE E E SE SW SW N N NW NW NW W SW W W SW SW S SE E  
WIND (MPH) 3 4 5 5 9 4 5 10 12 23 16 14 14 6 5 8 13 19 32 31  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 50 40 40 50 50 10 10 20 40 40 40 20 30 20 20 20 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.10  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW MM MM  
HIGH END SNOW MM MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/09/24 FRIDAY 05/10/24  
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 80 80 85 75 80 80 75 80 85 85 90 85 95 90 80  
TEMPERATURE 41 41 39 39 40 43 45 44 42 40 38 37 39 41 42 42 40  
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 45 37 42  
WIND DIR W NW N N N NE NE NE NE E E E E E E NE NE  
WIND (MPH) 24 16 14 17 16 11 9 10 11 11 12 13 11 10 6 8 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 30 20 20 20 20 20 30 40 50 50 50 50 50 50 50  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.10 0.06 0.05  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW MM MM MM MM  
HIGH END SNOW MM MM MM MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
 
DATE SAT 05/11/24 SUN 05/12/24 MON 05/13/24 TUE 05/14/24 WED 05/15/24  
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV BK BK BK BK SC BK BK OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 65 85 80 80 80 85 60 55 55 80 70 70 65 65 50 60 60 70 65  
TEMPERATURE 36 37 42 39 36 37 41 39 36 39 48 46 42 45 53 50 45 47 55 53  
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 42 35 41 35 49 41 54 43 56  
WIND DIR E E E SE SW W N N N NW W W W W W SW SW SE SE E  
WIND (MPH) 2 4 5 6 10 4 9 13 17 24 16 17 25 13 10 10 16 21 39 32  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 50 40 40 50 60 10 10 20 40 50 40 30 30 20 20 20 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.13  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW MM MM  
HIGH END SNOW MM MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/09/24 FRIDAY 05/10/24  
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 70 70 70 80 80 80 75 75 80 85 85 85 85 90 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 46 44 42 42 44 48 50 50 47 44 42 41 42 46 47 47 44  
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 51 40 48  
WIND DIR W NW N N N N NE NE NE NE E E E E E E NE  
WIND (MPH) 14 10 9 11 11 8 8 8 9 6 6 6 6 6 8 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 20 20 10 20 20 20 30 40 50 50 50 50 50 50 50  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.05 0.05  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW MM MM MM MM  
HIGH END SNOW MM MM MM MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
 
DATE SAT 05/11/24 SUN 05/12/24 MON 05/13/24 TUE 05/14/24 WED 05/15/24  
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK OV BK BK BK BK SC BK BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 55 80 75 75 75 80 55 50 50 75 60 60 60 60 40 55 55 65 60  
TEMPERATURE 39 40 45 43 39 40 45 42 39 43 53 50 45 48 58 53 46 49 60 57  
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 46 38 45 38 54 43 59 44 61  
WIND DIR W E SE SE S S S W W SW W SW SW SW SW SW S S SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 3 4 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 5 9 8 8 6 8 8 5 5 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 50 40 40 50 50 10 10 20 40 50 40 20 30 20 20 20 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.11  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW MM MM  
HIGH END SNOW MM MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
 

 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
 
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