500  
FNUS72 KKEY 131918  
FWSKEY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG PINE KEY 9.2...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL  
318 PM EDT FRI OCT 13 2023  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (305) 295-1316 EXT 3, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WIND MAGNITUDES ON SATURDAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY,  
ALTHOUGH LOOK FOR WINDS TO TURN FROM SOUTHWEST TO WEST JUST AFTER  
NOON. MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE AFTER SUNRISE,  
WHICH MAY TEMPER THE AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES. LOW LEVEL  
MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE, SO THE AFTERNOON CUMULUS  
ACCUMULATING ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN WILL BE A LITTLE THICKER. THE  
VERTICAL PROFILE SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF  
AFTERNOON SHOWERS FORMING ALONG AND IN THE LEE OF BIG PINE. A COLD  
FRONT WILL APPROACH AND PUSH THROUGH THE KEYS SUNDAY EVENING.  
WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON SUNDAY, WITH COOLER AND  
DRIER BREEZES SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....29 INCREASING TO 50.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............82 88 90 91 90  
RH..............88 72 70 68 71  
20 FT WIND......SW 9 SW 9 SW 10 W 10 W 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 14 14 14  
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 W 7 W 7  
EYE LVL WND GST.9 9 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....1400 2800 3700 3700 3500  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 14 SW 14 W 14 W 14 W 14  
DISPERSION......25 41 50 51 52  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 2000, THEN 1-8 STRIKES.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....36 DECREASING TO 22 EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
DECREASING TO 12 EARLY IN THE EVENING  
INCREASING TO 20 AFTER 3 AM.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 40 40 40 40  
LAL.............1 2 2 2 2 2  
TEMP............89 84 83 82 81 81  
RH..............73 82 89 91 89 91  
20 FT WIND......W 10 W 10 W 10 W 10 W 10 W 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15  
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 7  
EYE LVL WND GST.11 11 11 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2000 1600 1200 900 1200  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 W 15 W 15 W 16 W 17 W 18  
DISPERSION......36 10 8 12 16 18  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 21 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....31 INCREASING TO 47 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 60 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 47 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50  
LAL.............2 2 2 2  
TEMP............80 83 86 85  
RH..............94 85 76 76  
20 FT WIND......W 12G16 W 13G17 W 13G17 W 13G17  
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 8G11 W 9G12 W 9G12 W 9G12  
MIX HGT (FT)....1400 2000 3100 3100  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 20 W 21 W 18 W 16  
DISPERSION......27 51 62 49  
 

 
FORECASTER...CLR  
REQUESTED BY...GREG SUSZEK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2322276.1/KEY  
.DELDT 10/13/23  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GREG_SUSZEK@FWS.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab FL Page Main Text Page