599
FGUS71 KILN 281717
ESFILN
INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>097-099-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-041700-
WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
117 PM EDT THU MAR 28 2024
..NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL FLOOD RISK FOR THE REGION THROUGH APRIL 11
NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS AT LEAST SOME FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.
ABOVE NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITH SOME POINTS POSSIBLY REACHING MODERATE OR MAJOR FLOOD
LEVELS.
THIS IS A BIWEEKLY FLOOD OUTLOOK ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES IN
WINTER AND EARLY SPRING TO SUMMARIZE BASIN CONDITIONS AND TO ASSESS
THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED ON CURRENT AND
FORECAST HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS.
THE FACTORS CONSIDERED WHEN DETERMINING FLOOD POTENTIAL INCLUDE
CURRENT STREAMFLOW AND RESERVOIR LEVELS COMPARED TO NORMAL FOR THE
PERIOD, WATER EQUIVALENT IN ANY SNOW PACK, SOIL MOISTURE AND
EXPECTED PRECIPITATION.
..SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT
THERE IS NO SNOWPACK ACROSS THE REGION.
..STREAMFLOW
STREAMFLOW IS NEAR NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION.
..ICE
THERE IS NO ICE ON AREA RIVERS.
..SOIL MOISTURE
SOIL MOISTURE IS BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION.
..RESERVOIR CAPACITY
RESERVOIRS ARE AT OPTIMAL WINTER STORAGE CAPACITY.
..WEATHER TRENDS AND PRECIPITATION
FOR THE FIRST WEEK OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD, ACTIVE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR 2 TO UP TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL,
ESPECIALLY OVER OHIO AND EASTERN INDIANA. GENERALLY LESS THAN 2
INCHES IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FIRST WEEK OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD AS
OF THIS WRITING OVER NORTHERN KENTUCKY.
WITH BOTH SOIL MOISTURE AND STREAMFLOW BEING BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE
MARCH, THIS REDUCES THE FLOOD RISK. HOWEVER, THERE COULD BE RISES
CLOSE TO FLOOD STAGE ACROSS THE UPPER SCIOTO, UPPER GREAT MIAMI AND
THE ST. MARYS AND AUGLAIZE BASINS. THIS IS THE PRIMARY AREA WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR NEAR NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL DURING THE FIRST WEEK OF
THE OUTLOOK PERIOD, WITH BELOW NORMAL POTENTIAL NEAR AND SOUTH OF
THE OHIO RIVER.
FOR THE 8-14 DAY PERIOD ENDING APRIL 11, NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED OVER OHIO AND MOST OF NORTHERN KENTUCKY, WITH A SLIGHT
POTENTIAL FOR ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER INDIANA AND THE
KENTUCKY RIVER BASIN OF NORTHERN KENTUCKY. WITH NO CLEAR OR
IMPENDING SIGNAL FOR FLOODING, RISK CONTINUES TO BE CHARACTERIZED AS
NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL FOR APRIL 4-10.
REAL TIME RIVER INFORMATION AND FORECASTS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
ALONG RIVERS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OHIO, NORTHERN KENTUCKY,
AND SOUTHEAST INDIANA CAN BE FOUND AT
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=ILN.
JDR
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