722  
FNUS71 KPBZ 262203  
FWSPBZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLLY MEADOWS RD...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA  
603 PM EDT FRI APR 26 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 26.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTY SOUTHEAST WIND CONDITIONS WILL WANE  
THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DIURNAL SUNSHINE. A WARM FRONT WILL  
LIFT NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY, INCREASING AREA CLOUD  
COVER AND EVENTUALLY LEADING TO MOSTLY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WITH LOW  
PROBABILITY OF THUNDER. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURE IS EXPECTED TO  
REMAIN ELEVATED GIVEN LACK OF RADIATIONAL COOLING.  
 
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BY SATURDAY  
AFTERNOON BEHIND THE WARM FRONT AS THE AREA SEES TEMPERATURE RISE  
TOWARD SEASONAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURE. WIND WILL VEER TO THE SOUTH  
BEHIND THE FRONT AND HAVE OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
 
EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURE AND LOWER  
DAYTIME HUMIDITY VALUES SUNDAY AS RIDGING AND SURFACE HIGH  
PRESSURE DEVELOP OVER THE REGION.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 20 MPH.  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................70 TO 106.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3...OR VERY LOW.  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........28 11 21 9 8 6 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............59 62 64 65 67 67 66  
RH..............61 55 53 50 46 44 45  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S SE E SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 9 6 9 11 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 16 16 16 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 3.8 4.7 5.1 5.1 5.1 4.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 18 17 16 17 17  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............73 71 100 104 106 98 70  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 2 2 2 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
AFTER 3 AM, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 3  
AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................7 TO 12.  
HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........21 25 29 36 44 51 58 66 73 74 76 77  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 30 60 60  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............69 67 64 59 57 55 55 53 53 52 51 52  
RH..............38 40 46 55 57 62 63 66 69 72 77 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 14 14 18 18 17 18 16 13 13 12 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 3.2 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 15 17 18 18 17 18 17 16 15 15  
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4  
ADI.............8 8 7 8 12 8 8 8 8 7 7 7  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800, THEN 2 UNTIL 1100, THEN 1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 16 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................14 TO 52.  
HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........79 80 81 79 78 76 74 72 70 66 63 59  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 50 40 40 30 20 10 10 10 10 10  
LAL.............1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............51 51 52 55 57 60 63 67 69 71 72 73  
RH..............83 84 86 80 78 72 65 59 55 53 50 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.9 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 14 15 16 16 14 14 15 14 16 16  
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............14 16 14 15 24 29 29 31 36 36 51 52  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...JF  
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON PISANI  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2412576.0/PBZ  
.DELDT 04/26/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PAMACC@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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