362  
FNUS71 KRLX 232127  
FWSRLX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GREENBRIER ADMIN PILE BURN...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV  
527 PM EDT TUE APR 23 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY IN ADVANCE OF COLD  
FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT.  
 
LIGHT RAIN ARRIVES TONIGHT, AND THEN CONTINUES INTO EARLY  
WEDNESDAY. DRIER WEATHER RETURNS FROM WEST TO EAST ON WEDNESDAY,  
AND THEN PERSISTS UNTIL ANOTHER SYSTEM APPROACHES LATE ON FRIDAY  
INTO THE WEEKEND.  
 
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLY COOL FOR EARLY SPRING THROUGH  
MUCH OF THE WORK WEEK, THEN A WARMING TREND TAKES HOLD BEGINNING ON  
FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.  
 
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND  
2 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................12 TO 22.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........45 40 35 34 34 35 37 38  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............45 49 52 55 58 59 59 59  
RH..............70 63 56 49 44 42 42 44  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S SW SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 5 6 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 3.5 4.3 5.1 5.5 5.7 5.6 5.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S SW SW W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2  
LVORI...........3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............12 16 19 22 22 22 15 13  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
LVORI...............3 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
ADI.................1 TO 2 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........35 33 30 28 27 25 29 33 37 39 42 44  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............57 55 53 49 46 44 43 42 40 40 40 39  
RH..............47 51 57 66 73 79 82 86 89 89 89 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N E M M M M M M M M M  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 M M M M M M M M M  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 2.8 1.3 M M M M M M M M M  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NE E M M M M M M M M M  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 3 5 M M M M M M M M M  
LVORI...........2 2 3 M M M M M M M M M  
ADI.............1 2 2 M M M M M M M M M  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 M M M M M M M M M  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....  
LVORI...............MISSING.  
ADI.................MISSING.  
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........44 45 45 48 50 53 51 49 47 52 58 63  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............40 40 41 44 47 50 52 54 57 57 57 58  
RH..............89 89 89 82 79 74 69 66 59 59 59 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..M M M M M M M M M M M M  
20 FT WIND SPD..M M M M M M M M M M M M  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 10 13 16 16 18 18 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...M M M M M M M M M M M M  
TRANSP WIND DIR.M M M M M M M M M M M M  
TRANSP WIND SPD.M M M M M M M M M M M M  
LVORI...........M M M M M M M M M M M M  
ADI.............M M M M M M M M M M M M  
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M M M  
 

 
FORECASTER...SL  
REQUESTED BY...COLLEEN URFFER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2412015.0/RLX  
.DELDT 04/23/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL COLLEEN.URFFER@USDA.GOV  
 
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