589
FLUS44 KTSA 191000
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 AM CDT FRI MAR 19 2010
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 AM CDT FRI MAR 19 2010
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
DAY ONE
TODAY AND TONIGHT.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHWEST OF AN OKEMAH TO MIAMI LINE.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST OF AN OKEMAH TO MIAMI LINE.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...CRITICAL.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
WINTER WEATHER.
SNOW ACCUMULATION.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST OF TULSA.
ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE THIS MORNING.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED...SPREADINDEX=39.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE THIS MORNING.
DISCUSSION...
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL BLOW IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT
TODAY. WIND GUSTS TO 30 MILES AN HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED. THESE
STRONG SOUTH WINDS COMBINED WITH DRY VEGETATION AND WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE THE FIRE DANGER TODAY.
THE STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ENTER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TO THE
NORTHWEST OF TULSA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR WITH THE
FRONT BUT SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL BE LITTLE AS INSTABILITIES
WILL BE INSUFFICIENT.
MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FOLLOW THE COLD FRONT AND SNOW AND
SLEET WILL BE POSSIBLE TO THE NORTHWEST OF TULSA BY EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN
SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
MUCH COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO POUR INTO THE AREA SATURDAY AS
THE COLD FRONT PUSHES FURTHER TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF US. RAIN
AND SNOW WILL OCCUR DURING THE DAY WITH SOME ACCUMULATION ON
GRASSY SURFACES EXPECTED BY SATURDAY EVENING ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA.
THE PRECIPITATION TO THE NORTH OF A MCALESTER TO FAYETTEVILLE
LINE WILL BECOME ALL SNOW SATURDAY EVENING WITH THE SNOW
BECOMING HEAVIER WITH TIME. THE HEAVY SNOW WILL LAST INTO
SUNDAY MORNING WITH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCES POSSIBLE.
THUS...A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS.
PLEASE SEE //OKCWSWTSA// FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
WARMER WEATHER WILL FOLLOW FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK MELTING MOST OF
THE SNOW DURING THE DAY MONDAY.
THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL EFFECT THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS MAY ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM BUT NO WINTER WEATHER
IS EXPECTED TO FOLLOW THEM THIS TIME.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
PERSONS ACROSS EASTERN OKLHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SHOULD
BE PREPARED FOR WINTER WEATHER SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A SIGNIFICANT
SNOW STORM IS EXPECTED SOMEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA DEPENDING ON
THE TRACK OF THE STORM.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page