395
FXUS64 KOUN 221121
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
621 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
DISCUSSION
12Z AVIATION FORECAST DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....
AVIATION
PATCHES OF FG AND BR WILL DISSIPATE QUICKLY THIS MORNING IN SE
OK...AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO AFFECT ANY OF OUR TAF SITES. A WEAK
STATIONARY FRONT WILL CAUSE GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
TODAY. THIS FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NORTH TONIGHT AS A WARM
FRONT...AND RETURNING MOISTURE OVER THE FRONTAL SURFACE MAY RESULT
IN SCATTERED TSRA LATE TONIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL OK.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY.
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 443 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013/
DISCUSSION...
RAIN WILL TAKE A BREAK TODAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA...BUT IS
EXPECTED TO RETURN TONIGHT. MOISTURE RETURN AND FRONTOGENESIS
ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE WILL LEAD TO INCREASING RAIN CHANCES LATE
TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. SEVERE STORMS ARE VERY UNLIKELY...EXCEPT IN
SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS TOMORROW EVENING AND
INTO THE NIGHT.
LOW-LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW AND SOUTHWESTERLIES ALOFT WILL BE THE
RULE FROM THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A FEW SHORTWAVE
TROUGHS WILL RIPPLE THROUGH THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW...POSSIBLY
BRINGING SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TO OUR FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER...A
RATHER STRONG LOW-LEVEL INVERSION /CAP/ WILL BE IN PLACE FOR MOST
OF THIS TIME...WHICH WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES FAIRLY LOW AFTER
FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 80 59 76 60 / 0 30 50 40
HOBART OK 84 60 82 61 / 0 10 30 40
WICHITA FALLS TX 87 60 88 65 / 0 0 20 40
GAGE OK 83 56 74 58 / 0 10 40 40
PONCA CITY OK 79 56 74 56 / 0 10 30 20
DURANT OK 85 62 83 64 / 0 10 30 20
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
17/23/23
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