037  
FXUS64 KOUN 271955  
AFDOUN  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK  
255 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE...EXPECTED LATE  
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. GREATEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE  
REPORTS EXPECTED OVER NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA WHERE WIND POTENTIAL WILL  
EXIST WITH STORMS COMING OUT OF PANHANDLE (ASSOCIATED WITH MID  
LEVEL FRONT) AND OVER NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AHEAD OF DIFFUSE  
FRONTAL BOUNDARY/DRYLINE. NORTHERN PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA WILL BE  
INFLUENCED LESS BY INVERSION/SUBSIDENCE FROM REMNANT TEXAS MCS.  
STORMS NEAR AND SOUTH OF I-40 ARE EXPECTED TO BE MORE ISOLATED IN  
NATURE.  
 
POPS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS AS MID  
LEVEL TROUGH PROGRESSES OVER THE REGION. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL  
BE MAINLY CONFINED TO FAR SOUTHERN/SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF CWA  
SATURDAY. MOST MODELS CONSISTENT IN SHOWING SIGNAL FOR WEAK MID  
LEVEL WAVE PASSING OVER SOUTHERN ROCKIES HELPING TO INDUCE  
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.  
NEXT UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES NEXT WEEK WITH MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE  
TO SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER WET WEEK. FLOW WILL NOT BE OVERLY  
STRONG BASED ON LONGER TERM MODELS WITH MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THE  
WEEK BEING THREAT OF FLOODING RAINS.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 63 85 66 84 / 40 10 20 40  
HOBART OK 58 87 65 84 / 10 10 10 40  
WICHITA FALLS TX 61 90 67 86 / 10 10 20 30  
GAGE OK 54 85 62 83 / 30 10 10 50  
PONCA CITY OK 61 83 63 85 / 60 20 20 40  
DURANT OK 68 87 68 86 / 30 20 30 30  
 

 
   
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
OK...NONE.  
TX...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
06/11  
 
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