965  
FXUS64 KTSA 302019  
AFDTSA  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
319 PM CDT FRI SEP 30 2016  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SURFACE RIDGE POSITION ALONG WITH THE CONTINUATION OF LOW  
DEWPOINTS WILL RESULT IN YET ANOTHER COOL NIGHT ACROSS THE REGION.  
NOT EXPECTING LOWS QUITE AS CHILLY AS SEEN THIS MORNING...ALTHOUGH  
HAVE GONE AT OR A BIT BELOW THE LOWEST GUIDANCE NUMBERS. OHIO  
VALLEY UPPER LOW WILL FINALLY LIFT NORTHEAST...ALLOWING FOR WEAK  
SOUTHERLY FLOW TO DEVELOP BY SUNDAY. OVERALL...THE WEEKEND IS  
LOOKING FINE WITH NEAR SEASONAL TEMPS FOR SATURDAY AND A BIT ABOVE  
AVERAGE BY SUNDAY.  
 
STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL EVENTUALLY DRAW BACK IMPROVED  
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE THROUGH THE AREA BY TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.  
THIS IS AHEAD OF A LONGWAVE TROF THAT WILL BE PUSHING INTO THE  
ROCKIES AND PLAINS BY MID-WEEK. STILL SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES  
NOTED AMONG THE EXTENDED MODELS...AND CONSENSUS SUGGESTS  
WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE BEST TIMEFRAME FOR  
SHOWERS/STORMS. MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL TRANSITION EAST BY  
THURSDAY...WITH COOLER/DRIER WEATHER SHAPING UP FOR THE END OF  
NEXT WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
TUL 51 79 53 82 / 0 0 0 0  
FSM 54 81 54 84 / 0 0 0 0  
MLC 48 82 52 83 / 0 0 0 0  
BVO 45 77 49 80 / 0 0 0 0  
FYV 45 76 47 79 / 0 0 0 0  
BYV 46 73 47 77 / 0 0 0 0  
MKO 50 80 51 81 / 0 0 0 0  
MIO 49 76 51 79 / 0 0 0 0  
F10 50 80 54 81 / 0 0 0 0  
HHW 53 84 53 85 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
OK...NONE.  
AR...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...11  
LONG TERM....18  
 
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