935
FXUS61 KBGM 081132
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
632 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2009
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND SUNNY SKIES
FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW. ON TUESDAY...AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
WILL BRING CLOUDS AND BY TUESDAY NIGHT...SOME RAIN SHOWERS.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
EXPECTING QUIET WEATHER TODAY WITH SUNNY SKIES AND TEMPERATURES IN
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. TEMPS ON MONDAY LOOK AS THOUGH THE MAY
CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 60S ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA.
BY TUESDAY AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL EFFECT CLOUD DEVELOPMENT
AHEAD OF IT. THIS WILL COOL HIGH TEMPS TUESDAY BACK INTO THE UPPER
50S. BY TUESDAY NIGHT...A WEAK FRONT PUSHES TO THE EAST OF THE CWA.
ANY PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO BE BEHIND THE
FRONT. MOSTLY RAIN IN THE BEGINNING...TEMPS MAY COOL ENOUGH TO GET
A SNOW/RAIN MIX. MODELS HAVE HAD TROUBLE WITH THE TIMING AND
INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM THUS FAR...SO MADE VERY FEW CHANGES TO THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
BOTH GFS/ECMWF NOW DEVELOP A CLOSED H5 LOW BY MIDDAY WED OVR ERN
PA WITH SFC LOW OFF MID ATLANTIC COAST. INCREASED POPS TO SLIGHT
CHC OVER SE PTN OF FA WITH MIXED RAIN/SNOW MORNING, RAIN
AFTERNOON. OTRW...GNRLY DRY AND SEASONABLE THRU THE REMAINDER OF
THE PD. AS RDGG BLDS AHD OF THE NEXT MIDWEST SYSTEM. FLWD HPC GUID
FOR TEMPS BUT WILL ADJUST WITH THE LATEST RUNS.
AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR NEXT 24 HOURS WITH CLEAR SKIES. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 KNOTS
BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 5 KNOTS THIS EVENING.
OUTLOOK...
MON....VFR.
TUE/WED...MVFR POSSIBLE DUE TO CIGS AND SHWRS.
THU...VFR.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...DGM/RRM
AVIATION...RRM
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