676  
FNUS74 KMEG 242228  
FWSMEG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 29...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
528 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 CDT ON MARCH 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SORRY ABOUT THE DELAY, WE MUST HAVE MISSED THE REQUEST AT SHIFT CHANGE.  
 
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT...CONTINUING  
TOMORROW. SOUTH WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT.  
FOG DOES NOT LOOK LIKELY. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH TOMORROW WILL LIKELY  
EXCEED AN INCH.  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............58.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).3500 FT MSL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1067 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 22 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH AROUND 10 METERS/SECOND.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 5PM  
SKY (%).........76  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  
TEMP............76  
DEWPOINT........58  
RH..............54  
20 FT WIND DIR..S  
20 FT WIND SPD..15  
20 FT WIND GUST.30  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5  
MX HT MSL (KFT).3.5  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22  
TRANS WIND DIR..S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).10  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............56 INCREASING TO 59 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2100 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).800-2100 FT MSL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...244-640 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 8 TO 12 METERS/SECOND.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.13 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........76 72 72 72 72 72 72 83 83 83 83 83  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 40 40 40 40 40  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 40 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............75 74 72 70 69 68 68 67 66 66 65 65  
DEWPOINT........57 54 55 55 56 56 57 58 58 59 59 60  
RH..............54 50 55 59 63 65 68 73 75 78 81 84  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 17 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 35 35  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3  
MX HT MSL (KFT).2.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 18 20 22 24 25 26 26 25 24 24  
TRANS WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).9 8 8 9 10 11 11 12 12 11 11 11  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE  
MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............59.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH  
DECREASING TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4400 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).1300-2900 FT MSL INCREASING TO 3300-4400 FT MSL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...396-884 METERS AGL INCREASING TO 1006-1341  
METERS AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 33 MPH INCREASING TO 32 TO 35 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 11 TO 15 METERS/SECOND INCREASING TO 14  
TO 16 METERS/SECOND EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.88 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........83 88 88 96  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE  
CWR.............40 70 70 80  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 70 70 80  
TEMP............64 67 72 75  
DEWPOINT........60 60 59 58  
RH..............87 78 64 55  
20 FT WIND......S 18G35 S 18G35 S 17G35 S 17G35  
MIX HGT (FT)....1300 2000 2900 4200  
MX HT MSL (FT)..1300 2000 2900 4200  
MIX HGT (M).....400 610 880 1280  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 25 S 31 S 33 S 35  
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 11 S 14 S 15 S 16  
 

 
FORECASTER...SIRMON  
REQUESTED BY...GOYINGS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1705129.1/MEG  
 
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