496  
FXUS64 KMEG 280442  
AFDMEG  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
1142 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015  
   
UPDATE
 
 
UPDATED TO ADD 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.  
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 954 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/  
 
UPDATE...  
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS PREVAILED OVER THE MIDSOUTH AT  
MIDEVENING. TEMPERATURES RANGED FROM NEAR 60 NEAR THE TN RIVER TO  
THE 60S OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MIDSOUTH. THE EXCEPTION WAS A 75  
DEGREE READING AT THE MEMPHIS AIRPORT.  
 
FORECAST WAS RECENTLY UPDATED TO DROP TEMPS OVER THE TN RIVER  
VALLEY OF WEST TN...WHERE 9 PM TEMPS WERE WITHIN A DEGREE OR TWO  
OF EARLIER FORECAST LOWS.  
 
PWB  
 
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 609 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/  
 
UPDATE...  
UPDATED TO ADD 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.  
 
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 248 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/  
 
DISCUSSION...  
 
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS LOCATED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON.  
THE HIGH WILL GRADUALLY MOVE NORTHEAST TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THIS  
WILL ALLOW SFC WINDS TO TURN AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE  
MIDSOUTH ON FRIDAY. IN ADDITION...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL NUDGE INTO  
THE AREA ON FRIDAY. THE COMBINATION OF THE SOUTHERLY WINDS AND THE  
UPPER RIDGE WILL PRODUCE WARMER HIGHS ACROSS THE CWA FRIDAY  
AFTERNOON. EXPECT READINGS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
 
AN UPPER TROF WILL PUSH IN FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS FRIDAY NIGHT AS  
AN EASTERLY TROPICAL WAVE MOVES INTO NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THE  
COMBINATION WILL PRODUCE A BROAD UPPER TROF OVER THE AREA OVER THE  
WEEKEND. SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR  
OVER CWA WITH BEST CHANCES OCCURRING OVER NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND  
NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND AREAS OF WEST TENNESSEE NEAR THE  
TENNESSEE RIVER. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO THE LOWER 90S.  
 
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...EXPECT CHANCES  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DIMINISH AS DECENT SUBSIDENCE  
WILL OCCUR OVER THE AREA AS ERIKA MOVES NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST  
SIDE OF FLORIDA WITH ANOTHER WEAK UPPER LOW MOVING OVER TEXAS.  
HIGHS WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S WITH LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.  
 
KRM  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
06Z TAF CYCLE  
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT WINDS WILL INCREASE  
TO SE WINDS BETWEEN 6-9 KTS AFTER 28/16Z THEN BECOME LIGHT AFTER  
29/01Z.  
 
CJC  
 

 
   
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
AR...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
TN...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
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