023  
FXUS64 KMEG 181739  
AFDMEG  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
1139 AM CST THU DEC 18 2014  
   
DISCUSSION
 
WATER VAPOR SATELLITE/WSR-88D VAD WIND PROFILES  
INDICATE THE SHORTWAVE WHICH BROUGHT PRECIPITATION CHANCES  
LAST NIGHT/THIS MORNING HAS DEPARTED THE FORECAST AREA. HAVE  
REMOVED POPS FOR THIS AFTERNOON AS ANY CHANCES REMAIN TOO LOW TO  
MENTION. UPDATED FORECAST TO REFLECT CURRENT TRENDS.  
 
UPDATED GRIDS ALREADY SENT.  
 
CJC  
 

 
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 1127 AM CST THU DEC 18 2014/  
 
UPDATE...AVIATION DISCUSSION.  
 
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 553 AM CST THU DEC 18 2014/  
 
DISCUSSION...  
 
UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION  
 
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 AM CST THU DEC 18 2014/  
 
SKIES REMAIN CLOUDY OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS  
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. A LARGE AREA OF  
PRECIPITATION IS MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME.  
PRECIPITATION IS MAINLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN WITH SOME SLEET MIXED  
IN AT TIMES MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE. AS THE BAND  
OF PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST THIS MORNING THERE COULD  
BE SOME SLEET MIXED IN WITH THE RAIN AT TIMES. MOST OF THE  
PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE OUT OF THE REGION BY THIS AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE CHILLY SIDE AS CLOUDS WILL REMAIN  
OVER THE FORECAST AREA. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 40S.  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD INTO THE REGION TONIGHT BUT  
CLOUDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES  
WILL REMAIN CHILLY WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE 30S.  
 
ON FRIDAY...LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTH TEXAS AND MOVE  
NORTHEAST REACHING SOUTHWEST ALABAMA BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS LOW  
WILL SPREAD LIGHT RAIN OVER THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY AND FRIDAY  
NIGHT. AS TEMPERATURES COOL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT A MIX OF RAIN AND  
SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST  
AREA. AS THE LOW SLIDES FURTHER EAST ON SATURDAY...PRECIPITATION  
WILL BE ENDING OVER EASTERN SECTIONS.  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER FOR SATURDAY  
NIGHT AND SUNDAY KEEPING THINGS DRY AND CONTINUED UNSEASONABLY  
COOL. A NEW STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. ON  
MONDAY BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN TO THE FORECAST AREA. THE  
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON  
TUESDAY WITH MORE RAIN EXPECTED. AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES TOWARD  
THE EAST COAST ON WEDNESDAY RAIN WILL BE ENDING OVER THE FORECAST  
AREA.  
 
ARS  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
18Z TAF CYCLE  
 
RAIN SHOULD BE DONE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...MVFR CIGS SHOULD  
PREVAIL...ALTHOUGH THE WILL TREND LOWER OVERNIGHT POSSIBLY DOWN  
TO IFR LEVELS ESPECIALLY AT JBR AHEAD OF THE NEXT ROUND OF  
PRECIPITATION. WINDS EAST AROUND 5 KT AT ALL SITED THROUGH 19/18Z.  
 
30  
 

 
   
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
AR...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
TN...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
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