981  
FXUS64 KMEG 240742  
AFDMEG  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
242 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2008  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS JUST SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS  
MORNING WITH DRIER AIR FOUND BEHIND THE BOUNDARY ESPECIALLY ACROSS  
WEST TENNESSEE WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. AS A  
RESULT ALL OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN SOUTH OF THE  
FRONT AND OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD  
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT SO AS LONG AS  
THAT OCCURS...SEE LITTLE CHANCE FOR RAIN OVER THE FORECAST AREA  
TODAY OR TONIGHT. BY FRIDAY...THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BEGIN TO  
MOVE BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT. WHEN THIS OCCURS...SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FORECAST AREA.  
THE FRONT SHOULD REMAIN NEAR THE EASTERN PART OF THE FORECAST BY  
FRIDAY NIGHT SO THERE WILL A BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN THERE. BY  
SATURDAY...THE FRONT WILL BE EAST OF THE REGION AND A RETURN TO THE  
VERY HOT AND HUMID WEATHER THAT WE EXPERIENCED EARLIER THIS WEEK  
WILL OCCUR. THIS WOULD MEAN TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR  
100 DEGREES WITH HIGH HUMIDITY PRODUCING HEAT INDEX VALUE OF 105  
OR GREATER. THE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THE  
FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THERE WILL STILL BE SOME CHANCE OF RAIN  
DURING THIS HOT PERIOD DUE TO AFTERNOON HEATING BUT THE CHANCE FOR  
RAIN WILL REMAIN LOW.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
MEM 92 76 94 77 / 10 10 30 20  
MKL 90 67 91 73 / 10 10 30 30  
JBR 91 72 94 73 / 10 10 30 20  
TUP 92 72 92 73 / 10 10 30 30  
 

 
   
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
AR...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
TN...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
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