843  
FNUS54 KMAF 182019  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
219 PM CST SUN FEB 18 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT, THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS  
PORTIONS OF WEST TEXAS, WITH LIGHTNING AND ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS  
POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF ANY STORM. STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN  
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS MONDAY, HOWEVER RECENT WETTING RAIN THERE AS  
WELL AS MIN RHS MONDAY ABOVE 25% WILL PRECLUDE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.  
RECOVERY WILL BE GOOD TO VERY GOOD TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT, WITH  
DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.  
 

 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER MATRIX  
PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ114-TXZ258-191645-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP AND PINE SPRINGS  
119 PM MST SUN FEB 18 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 40S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE UPPER  
40S BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........60-80 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH ABOVE 6000  
FEET...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH BELOW 6000  
FEET.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 45 TO 55 MPH.  
   
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....55 TO 60 ABOVE 6000 FEET...60 TO 65 BELOW  
6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT ABOVE 6000 FEET...30-40 PERCENT  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 70 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 45 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 30S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE  
LOWER 40S BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........55-75 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH ABOVE 6000  
FEET...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH BELOW 6000  
FEET.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 55 TO 65 MPH.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 40S ABOVE 6000 FEET...51 TO 56  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT ABOVE 6000 FEET...30-40 PERCENT  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 70 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S ABOVE 6000 FEET
 
IN THE  
LOWER 50S BELOW 6000 FEET. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S ABOVE 6000 FEET
 
 
IN THE LOWER 50S BELOW 6000 FEET. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S ABOVE 6000 FEET
 
 
AROUND 60 BELOW 6000 FEET. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
NMZ115-191645-  
SOUTHEAST PLAINS-  
119 PM MST SUN FEB 18 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 40S.  
* 24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........60-80 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 40 TO 50 MPH.  
   
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....69 TO 74.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 60 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 39 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 40S.  
* 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........50-70 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 55 TO 65 MPH.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 TO 65.  
* 24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 70 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......8900 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY, COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
TXZ057-074-079>081-191645-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, ALPINE, FORT DAVIS, PRESIDIO,  
MARFA, BIG BEND NP, AND MARATHON  
219 PM CST SUN FEB 18 2018 /119 PM MST SUN FEB 18 2018/  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....45 TO 50 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE MID  
50S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........60-80 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...70-90  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH ABOVE 5000  
FEET...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BELOW 5000  
FEET.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.  
   
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 TO 73 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE MID  
80S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH ABOVE 5000  
FEET...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH BELOW 5000  
FEET.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 55 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 32 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....39 TO 44 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...57 TO 62  
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........60-80 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...45-65  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH ABOVE 5000  
FEET...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH BELOW 5000  
FEET.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 35 TO 45 MPH.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....62 TO 67 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE MID  
80S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...15-20  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 50 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......11800 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 23 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
 
IN  
THE LOWER 70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
 
IN  
THE UPPER 60S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH  
ABOVE 5000 FEET...EAST 5 TO 10 MPH BELOW 5000 FEET. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
 
 
IN THE UPPER 70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-058>063-067>070-075-082-191645-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-  
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-  
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-TERRELL-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, PECOS, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, AND SANDERSON  
219 PM CST SUN FEB 18 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....53 TO 58.  
* 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........70-90 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400, THEN 1.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.  
   
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....77 TO 82.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 55 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......8900 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 28 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 55.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........55-75 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................3.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 40 TO 50 MPH.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....72 TO 77.  
* 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 55 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 22 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COOLER.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
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