084  
FNUS54 KMAF 221914  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
214 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
RECOVERY TONIGHT WILL BE POOR TO FAIR. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL  
BE ON THE LOW END MONDAY AFTERNOON AS MINIMUM RHS DROP TO 15 TO 20%  
ALONG AND WEST OF THE PECOS RIVER WHILE TEMPERATURES WARM TO AROUND  
NORMAL LEVELS AREAWIDE. TEMPERATURES WILL JUMP TO AROUND 10 DEGREES  
ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY WHICH WILL KNOCK RHS DOWN TO 5 TO 10% OVER  
PORTIONS OF THE SE NM PLAINS, GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS, AND UPPER TRANS  
PECOS. SINCE WIND SPEEDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW 20 MPH  
SUSTAINED, SO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEAR MOST LIKELY. A  
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT  
WITH MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY, IN ADDITION TO A  
CHANCE OF RAIN.  
 

 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER MATRIX  
PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ114-TXZ258-231615-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP AND PINE SPRINGS  
114 PM MDT SUN APR 22 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
* 24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........30-50 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH ABOVE 6000 FEET...  
SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 70S ABOVE 6000 FEET...75 TO 80  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......14600 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....56 TO 61.  
* 24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 70S ABOVE 6000 FEET...80 TO 85  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........ABOVE 6000 FEET, WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
BELOW 6000 FEET, WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......17800 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. BREEZY, COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S  
ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE MID 60S BELOW 6000 FEET. NORTHEAST WINDS  
15 TO 20 MPH ABOVE 6000 FEET...NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH BELOW  
6000 FEET. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 70 ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE MID 70S  
BELOW 6000 FEET. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S ABOVE 6000 FEET...AROUND  
70 BELOW 6000 FEET. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
NMZ115-231615-  
SOUTHEAST PLAINS-  
114 PM MDT SUN APR 22 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 50S.  
* 24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........40-60 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 80S.  
* 24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......15600 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 17 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 50S.  
* 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........45-65 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....83 TO 88.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......18800 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 19 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
TXZ057-074-079>081-231615-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, ALPINE, FORT DAVIS, PRESIDIO,  
MARFA, BIG BEND NP, AND MARATHON  
214 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018 /114 PM MDT SUN APR 22 2018/  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 50S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN  
THE UPPER 50S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........30-50 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...35-55  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 70S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE  
UPPER 80S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH ABOVE 5000 FEET...  
SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BELOW 5000 FEET.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......14500 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/131300 KNOT-FT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 50S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN  
THE LOWER 60S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........40-60 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...45-65  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH ABOVE 5000 FEET...  
SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BELOW 5000 FEET.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN  
THE MID 90S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......17400 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 14 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...  
AROUND 80 ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH ABOVE  
5000 FEET...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH BELOW 5000 FEET. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S ACROSS THE  
MOUNTAINS...IN THE UPPER 80S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE  
MID 80S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-058>063-067>070-075-082-231615-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-  
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-  
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-TERRELL-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, PECOS, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, AND SANDERSON  
214 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 50S.  
* 24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........40-60 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....81 TO 86.  
* 24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......14600 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 18 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/122200 KNOT-FT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
* 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........50-70 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....88 TO 93.  
* 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......18500 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 24 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. MUCH COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
15 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
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