693  
FNUS54 KMAF 141828  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
128 PM CDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS WILL KEEP MINIMUM AFTERNOON  
HUMIDITIES HIGHER THAN 25 PERCENT THIS WEEK. THIS COMBINED WITH  
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL CREATE A LOW FIRE WEATHER THREAT.  
ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THIS WEEK,  
NOT SPREADING EAST UNTIL THE WEEKEND WITH THE ARRIVAL OF AN UPPER  
TROUGH. GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERY IS EXPECTED.  
 

 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER MATRIX  
PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ114-TXZ258-151615-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP AND PINE SPRINGS  
1228 PM MDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 60S ABOVE 6000 FEET...64 TO 69  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........45-65 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 80S ABOVE 6000 FEET...88 TO 93  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....GOOD/91500 KNOT-FT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 60S ABOVE 6000 FEET...65 TO 70  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........50-70 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........ABOVE 6000 FEET, SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
BELOW 6000 FEET, SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 80S ABOVE 6000 FEET...87 TO 92  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* LAL.................3.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......10700 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 11 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....GOOD/75000 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE UPPER  
80S BELOW 6000 FEET. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE UPPER  
80S BELOW 6000 FEET. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE UPPER  
80S BELOW 6000 FEET. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
NMZ115-151615-  
SOUTHEAST PLAINS-  
1228 PM MDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 60S.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........65-85 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 90S.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/123200 KNOT-FT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 60S.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........55-75 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 90S.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......12700 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/149200 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
TXZ057-074-079>081-151615-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, ALPINE, FORT DAVIS, PRESIDIO,  
MARFA, BIG BEND NP, AND MARATHON  
128 PM CDT TUE AUG 14 2018 /1228 PM MDT TUE AUG 14 2018/  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 60S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE  
MID 70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........70-90 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...55-75  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 80S ACROSS THE  
MOUNTAINS...AROUND 100 ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...25-35  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...EAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......12100 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....GOOD/92200 KNOT-FT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 60S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE  
MID 70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........65-85 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...50-70  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...AROUND  
100 ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...20-30  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......12200 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 7 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....GOOD/62200 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...AROUND  
100 ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...AROUND  
101 ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...AROUND  
101 ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-058>063-067>070-075-082-151615-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-  
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-  
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-TERRELL-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, PECOS, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, AND SANDERSON  
128 PM CDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 70S.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........65-85 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 90S.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 22 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/115200 KNOT-FT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 70S.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........60-80 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 90S.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...EAST AROUND 20 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 23 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/134000 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
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