211  
FNUS74 KEWX 151545  
FWSEWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHULZE UNIT 3 (PILE)...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX  
1045 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON AUGUST 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WILL PERSIST AT THE BURN SITE  
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH A FEW GUSTS IN THE 10-15 MPH RANGE  
POSSIBLE THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 97-98  
DEGREE RANGE WILL RESULT IN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING  
BELOW 45 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. NO WETTING RAIN IS EXPECTED AT  
THE BURN SITE THROUGH TONIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-7000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800-7100 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........53 45 37 37 38 38 40  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............90 93 95 96 97 97 97  
RH..............58 52 48 45 43 43 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 10 10 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.1 6.0 6.4 6.6 7.0 7.1 6.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 14 15 15 15  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........43 45 36 26 17 21 26 30 38 46 54 54  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............96 95 92 88 85 83 82 81 79 78 77 76  
RH..............46 48 52 61 67 74 77 82 88 91 94 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 7 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 11 11 11 11 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 5 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.1 5.8 4.7 2.7 1.7 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 14 13 12 12 10 10 9 9 9  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...HUFFMAN  
REQUESTED BY...STEVEN MOORE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1814574.0/EWX  
.DELDT 08/15/18  
.EMAIL SMOORE@TFS.TAMU.EDU  
 
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