879  
FNUS74 KEWX 061427  
FWSEWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BASTROP SP UNIT 14...TPWD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX  
827 AM CST FRI NOV 6 2009  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON NOVEMBER 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOES NOT PROVIDE AUTHORIZATION  
FOR PRESCRIBED BURNS. REFER TO LOCAL GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS OR THE TEXAS  
FOREST SERVICE FOR INFORMATION ON BURN RESTRICTIONS.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
GULF MOISTURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE NEXT 48H IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING  
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE  
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH WETTING RAINS POSSIBLE OVER THE BURN  
AREA.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE  
FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH.  
 
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........26 26 6 6 6 6 6 6  
TEMP............65 69 73 75 77 78 77 75  
RH..............68 57 50 46 43 41 44 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 4 5 6 5 5 5 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 5  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 4 5 6 5 5 5 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 10 10 10 10 5  
HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........25 25 35 50 50 65  
WEATHER COV..... AREAS  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE FOG  
TEMP............72 66 61 59 57 56  
RH..............56 71 84 92 95 100  
20 FT WIND......SE 4 SE 3 SE 3 S 3 S 2 S 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5  
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 4 SE 3 SE 3 S 3 S 2 S 2  
EYE LEVEL WIND..5 5 5 5 5  
HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3400 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
TEMP............55 59 68 75 79 79  
RH..............100 98 75 60 51 51  
20 FT WIND......S 2 SE 2 SE 3 SE 5 SE 6 SE 5  
20 FT WIND GUST. 5 15 10  
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 2 SE 2 SE 3 SE 5 SE 6 SE 5  
EYE LEVEL WIND.. 5 15 10  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5  
 

 
FORECASTER...11  
REQUESTED BY...JEFF SPARKS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 20091106.BASTR.01/EWX  
 
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