655  
FNUS74 KEWX 171700  
FWSEWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GOTIER TRACE FIRE...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX  
1200 PM CDT TUE OCT 17 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1300 CDT ON OCTOBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS, LESS  
THAN 5 MPH, THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY WILL FALL TO AROUND 31 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON, THEN  
RECOVER TO AROUND 93 PERCENT BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
RETURN WEDNESDAY MIDDAY INTO AFTERNOON WITH A SLOW INCREASE IN  
MOISTURE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............72 75 78 78 76  
RH..............38 34 31 31 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E NE NE NE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 3 3 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 5 5 5  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............73 69 66 62 58 57 56 55 54 54 51 50  
RH..............36 42 49 58 69 72 72 72 74 71 80 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE E E E E E E E E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE E E E SE SE E E E NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-2800 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............50 48 48 57 63 71 74 78 80 82 82 81  
RH..............80 86 93 72 62 49 46 40 36 34 33 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE S S SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE S S SE SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.3 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE N NE E E SE S S S S S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
 

 
FORECASTER...04  
REQUESTED BY...WAYNE JACKSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1717332.1/EWX  
.EMAIL WJACKSON@TFS.TAMU.EDU  
 
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