086  
FNUS74 KEWX 301324  
FWSEWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PACE BEND-BAPTIST CAMP...TRAVIS COUNTY PARKS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX  
724 AM CST THU NOV 30 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON NOVEMBER 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO  
THE WEEKEND. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE  
30% TODAY AND FRIDAY. WINDS TODAY WILL START OFF FROM THE EAST AND  
SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST BY AROUND 2 PM. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE FIVE MPH  
OR LESS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.  
RH..................47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1800-3400  
FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3800 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1 TO 7 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.  
 
TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........20 19 18 16 15 14 13  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............64 69 72 73 74 73 71  
RH..............47 44 40 38 37 38 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 4 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E NE NE NE NE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 2 2 3 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.2 2.6 3.4 3.8 3.0 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.1 1 2 3 5 6 7  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.  
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 8 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........12 10 9 7 9 12 14 17 19 22 31 39  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............65 63 61 59 58 56 55 54 52 51 49 48  
RH..............48 50 53 55 57 59 61 64 69 71 77 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 3  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73.  
RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-3600 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 1300  
FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 5 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........48 44 39 35 34 32 31 26 21 16 16 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............49 49 50 57 61 65 68 70 72 73 72 69  
RH..............80 83 83 67 60 52 49 45 44 43 44 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.8 3.0 3.6 2.9 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NW NW W SW SW S S S S S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 5  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4  
 

 
FORECASTER...05  
REQUESTED BY...GLEN GILLMAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1719457.0/EWX  
.EMAIL GLEN.GILLMAN@TRAVISCOUNTYTX.GOV  
 
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