222
FNUS75 KEPZ 220339
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR CONTINENTAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
939 PM MDT THU JUN 21 2012
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CONTINENTAL...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
935 PM MDT THU JUN 21 2012
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1902 MDT ON JUNE 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
EASTERLY FLOW AROUND HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER NORTHERN NEW
MEXICO...WILL
CONTINUE TO CARRY GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE UP FROM THE SOUTHEAST.
ISOLATED MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN FRIDAY AND EARLY
FRIDAY
EVENING...AS THE HOT AIR INTERACTS WITH THIS FLOW OF MOISTURE. DRY
LIGHTNING
WILL REMAINING THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP.
...ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTS DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH DRY
LIGHTNING...
..GUSTY ERRATIC LIKELY WINDS NEAR STORMS
VIRGA SHAFTS AND
SIGNIFICANT
CLOUD BUILD-UPS...
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MAX HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....3400 KNOT-FEET (POOR) EARLY...DECREASING
TO 2180 KNOT-FEET (POOR) BY MORNING.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY...INCREASING AND
SHIFTING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH BY MID DAY.
LOCAL WIND GUSTS TO 16 MPH POSSIBLE LATE MORNING
THROUGH MID AFTERNOON WITH LOCAL UP-VALLEY WIND
EFFECTS IN VICINITY OF FIRE.
VENTILATION RATE....2300 KNOT-FEET (POOR) IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
TO 110550 KNOT-FEET (VERY GOOD) IN THE AFTERNOON.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....5000 KNOT-FEET (POOR) EARLY...DECREASING
TO 700 KNOT-FEET (POOR) BY MORNING.
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
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