252  
FXUS64 KLUB 241107  
AFDLUB  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX  
607 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016  
   
AVIATION
 
 
VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH 25/12Z.  
 

 
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 308 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016/  
 
SHORT TERM...  
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO EXERT ITS INFLUENCE ON THE REGION  
ALTHOUGH SLIGHTLY LESS SO TODAY. THIS UPPER RIDGE WILL ADVANCE  
WESTWARD TODAY ALLOWING THICKNESS VALUES TO DROP EVER SO SLIGHTLY.  
AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL THETA-E FROM THE EAST MAY RESULT IN EVEN  
MORE OF A CUMULUS FIELD THIS AFTERNOON. FURTHERMORE, THE ADDED  
MOISTURE MAY KEEP TEMPERATURES A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER. A SURFACE  
TROUGH DRAPED ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL EDGE CLOSER TO THE  
SOUTH PLAINS ALTHOUGH MOST IF NOT ALL CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL  
REMAIN TO THE NORTHWEST. A SHORT WAVE ROTATING AROUND THE NORTHEAST  
SIDE OF THE RIDGE TONIGHT WILL MAKE ITS WAY INTO WEST TEXAS EARLY  
MONDAY MORNING. THIS MAY BRING SOME PRECIPITATION ACTIVITY DURING  
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON MONDAY.  
 
LONG TERM...  
THE CENTER OF THE UPPER RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN LOCKED OVERHEAD FOR  
THE PAST WEEK IS MOVING WESTWARD WHICH WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO  
MODERATE AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO RETURN TO THE REGION STARTING  
MONDAY. BY MID WEEK THE UPPER PATTERN OVER THE U.S. WILL SHOW THE  
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SPLIT WITH CENTERS TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST PART OF  
THE COUNTRY AND OVER THE THE SOUTHWEST. BECAUSE UPPER FLOW WILL  
REMAIN WEAK, DAY TO DAY CONVECTIVE PATTERNS WILL LIKELY INFLUENCE  
THE FOLLOWING DAY. AS SUCH PICKING THE DAYS WITH THE HIGHEST RAIN  
CHANCES REMAINS DIFFICULT BUT IT APPEARS THE FROM MONDAY NIGHT OR  
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WILL HAVE OCCASIONAL PERIODS WITH THE BEST  
RAIN CHANCES.  
 

 
   
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  

 
 

 
 
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