533  
FXUS64 KMAF 271053  
AFDMAF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
553 AM CDT SAT AUG 27 2016  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THE LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION IS INCLUDED BELOW.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL AREA TERMINALS TODAY, BUT SOME  
COULD BE AFFECTED BY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. DUE TO LOW  
PROBABILITY WILL NOT MAKE MENTION THIS ISSUANCE.  
 

 
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 326 AM CDT SAT AUG 27 2016/  
 
LOOK FOR ANOTHER DAY OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF THE AREA.  
 
FOR THE THIRD NIGHT IN A ROW AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS MOVING SOUTH  
ACROSS SE NM AND PARTS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN. THIS ALONG WITH SEVERAL  
OTHER LEFTOVER BOUNDARIES WILL LIKELY PLAY A ROLE IN THE LOCATION  
OF CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON. WEAK SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL  
CONTINUE DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPING TO OUR WEST AND A  
LARGE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE SE U.S. A PLUME OF MID LEVEL  
MOISTURE ALONG WITH PERIODIC DISTURBANCES WILL STREAM ACROSS THE  
AREA WITHIN THIS FLOW. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN  
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AS CONVECTIVE  
TEMPERATURES ARE REACHED WITHIN AN UNSTABLE, UNCAPPED ENVIRONMENT.  
SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL CONTAIN HEAVY RAIN GIVEN PWATS +1 TO +2  
SD AND TRAINING OF CELLS OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS.  
 
EXPECT A REPEAT EACH DAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE OVERALL PATTERN  
REMAINS THE SAME. MONDAY AND TUESDAY CURRENTLY LOOK TO HAVE THE  
BEST CHANCE OF RAIN AS MOISTURE ROUNDS AN UPPER LOW THAT WILL SET  
UP OVER S. TX. CLOUDS AND MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP  
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT  
WEEK. MODELS THEN INDICATE A WEAK UPPER RIDGE BUILDING WITH DRIER  
AND WARMER CONDITIONS LATE NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
BIG SPRING 89 70 89 69 / 30 20 30 20  
CARLSBAD 88 67 87 66 / 30 20 40 40  
DRYDEN 91 72 92 72 / 30 10 20 20  
FORT STOCKTON 88 68 89 67 / 30 20 30 30  
GUADALUPE PASS 80 63 79 62 / 40 30 40 40  
HOBBS 84 65 84 64 / 30 20 30 40  
MARFA 80 61 80 62 / 40 20 30 40  
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 89 69 88 68 / 30 20 30 30  
ODESSA 89 70 88 69 / 30 20 30 30  
WINK 90 69 89 68 / 30 20 30 40  
 

 
   
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NM...NONE.  
TX...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
67/29  
 
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