327  
FXUS64 KMAF 250448  
AFDMAF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
1148 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SEE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL NEXT 24 HOURS, AS SFC PRESSURE  
GRADIENTS CONTINUE TO SLACKEN. LIGHT NE WINDS WILL GIVE WAY TO  
RETURN FLOW AFTER 00Z SATURDAY. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED.  
 

 
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 913 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017/  
 
UPDATE...  
 
UPDATED FOR THE EXPIRATION OF THE RED FLAG WARNING.  
 
DISCUSSION...  
 
WINDS HAVE DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING,  
WITH LATEST OBSERVATIONS ALSO INDICATING RH VALUES NOW ABOVE 15  
PERCENT FOR MOST LOCATIONS. THUS, HAVE ALLOWED THE RED FLAG  
WARNING TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED. UPDATED PRODUCTS WILL BE OUT  
SHORTLY.  
 
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 727 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017/  
 
UPDATE...  
UPDATED FOR THE EXPIRATION OF THE HIGH WIND WARNING AND THE WIND  
ADVISORY  
 
DISCUSSION...  
WINDS ACROSS THE AREAS THIS EVENING HAVE DECREASED TO BELOW  
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. BECAUSE OF THIS, WE HAVE ALLOWED THE HIGH  
WIND WARNING AND THE WIND ADVISORY TO EXPIRE.  
 
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 638 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017/  
 
DISCUSSION...  
 
PLEASE SEE THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.  
 
AVIATION...  
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WIND  
GUSTS WILL DIMINISH BY AROUND 06Z, WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS EXPECTED  
TO BE AROUND 12KT OR LESS AREAWIDE THEREAFTER. WINDS WILL VEER TO  
THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT, AND THEN RETURN TO THE SOUTH SATURDAY  
AFTERNOON.  
 
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 118 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017/  
 
DISCUSSION...  
THE STRONG UPPER LOW THAT BROUGHT THE HIGH WIND TO THE AREA  
YESTERDAY IS MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY. STILL HAD  
SOME WIND ON THE BACKSIDE OF IT AS A DEEP SURFACE LOW MOVED ACROSS  
THE PANHANDLE AND INTO OK. WILL HAVE BRIEF UPPER RIDGING OVER THE  
AREA SATURDAY BEFORE A SERIES OF UPPER TROUGHS MOVES THIS WAY. THE  
NEXT UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ASHORE THE WEST COAST SATURDAY AND HEAD  
THIS WAY REACHING NM BY EARLY SUNDAY. ANOTHER BRIEF RIDGE EXPECTED  
AFTER THAT ONE. THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH MOVES ASHORE CA ON MONDAY AND  
DEVELOPS INTO A CUT OFF LOW REACHING THE 4 CORNERS REGION BY EARLY  
TUESDAY AND MOVING OVER WEST TX BY WEDNESDAY.  
 
STILL VERY WINDY TODAY ON BACKSIDE OF UPPER LOW... HAVE A WIND  
ADVISORY FOR MOST OF THE REGION WITH A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS... PLAN ON LETTING THOSE CONTINUE TILL THEY  
EXPIRE AT 00Z. MAY BECOME A LITTLE WINDY AGAIN ON SUNDAY AS ANOTHER  
SURFACE LOW MOVES ACROSS THE PANHANDLE.  
 
AFTER A RECORD SETTING WARM START TO THE WEEK HAVE COOLER TEMPS  
TODAY BEHIND THE PACIFIC FRONT. A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH TONIGHT  
WITH LOWS DROPPING INTO THE 40S WITH A FEW 30S AT MARFA AND TATUM.  
SOUTH WIND RETURNS SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND 80S. LOWS  
SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE 40S AND 50S WITH HIGHS SUNDAY MAINLY IN THE  
80S. ANOTHER FRONT MOVES THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WITH A 3RD FRONT  
EXPECTED LATE WEDNESDAY.  
 
NOT MUCH RAIN CHANCES THE NEXT FEW DAYS BUT WILL HAVE A CHANCE OF  
STORMS RETURNING TO THE AREA MAINLY EAST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH  
APPROACH OF CUT OFF LOW.  
 
FIRE WEATHER...  
DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET BEFORE WINDS  
DIMINISH AND AND CONDITIONS IMPROVE. A COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE WINDS  
TO VEER FROM THE WEST TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH, BEFORE DECREASING  
AND SETTLING ON A NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL BE  
LIGHT SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO WEST TEXAS BUT ANOTHER  
UPPER LOW MOVING INTO THE GREAT PLAINS WILL INCREASE WEST WINDS  
AGAIN SUNDAY AND COULD CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. AT  
THIS TIME THE WIND SPEEDS ARE MARGINAL FOR RED FLAG CRITERIA SO WILL  
HOLD OFF ON ISSUING A WATCH FOR NOW.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
BIG SPRING 76 45 77 52 / 0 0 0 0  
CARLSBAD 79 42 80 48 / 0 0 0 0  
DRYDEN 81 51 83 54 / 0 0 0 0  
FORT STOCKTON 78 46 80 55 / 0 0 0 0  
GUADALUPE PASS 69 44 75 51 / 0 0 0 0  
HOBBS 74 40 75 47 / 0 0 0 0  
MARFA 72 34 77 39 / 0 0 0 0  
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 77 44 79 53 / 0 0 0 0  
ODESSA 77 45 78 53 / 0 0 0 0  
WINK 79 44 82 49 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NM...NONE.  
TX...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
44/06/44  
 
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