503  
FXUS64 KMAF 250752  
AFDMAF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
252 AM CDT WED APR 25 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NW FLOW ALOFT PERSISTS AND IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THIS  
MORNING MUCH COOLER WX IS EXPECTED. MSLP GRADIENTS ARE TIGHT AND  
WINDY-VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL NOT ABATE UNTIL MID/LATE MORNING.  
WIND ADVISORY CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY OCCUR ACROSS THE PB, BUT  
WITH SUCH SHORT DURATION WE WILL NOT EXPAND NPW. POST-FRONTAL  
ISENTROPIC LIFT 300-305K LAYER WILL TRANSITION TO DESCENT AROUND  
18Z WITH LOW CLOUDS SLOWLY CLEARLY NW-SE AFTER 18Z. TSRA HAVE  
BEEN ON THE DECREASE ACROSS THE FAR E CWFA AND MOSTLY LIGHT PRECIP  
IN ASSOCN WITH ISENTROPIC LIFT IS POSSIBLE TIL AROUND 18Z, SOME  
TSRA IS STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS THE S BETWEEN 12Z-18Z. DEPENDING ON  
THE TIMING OF WHEN THE CLOUDS LIFT SOME AREAS OF THE PB WILL NOT  
GET OUT OF THE 50S TODAY! NAM12 FORECAST SOUNDING IS ABOUT 5  
DEGREES COOLER THAN MOS, MAKING THUR AM ANOTHER COOL ONE, U30S-  
M40S. YET ANOTHER SHRTWV TROF IN NW FLOW ALOFT THUR PM WILL DRIVE  
A COLD FRONT (DRY) INTO THE PB/SE NM LATE THUR AFTERNOON. AFTER A  
WARM-UP ON THUR HIGH TEMPS WILL FALL BACK IN M70S (BELOW NORMAL)  
FRI. SAT MID-LEVEL FLOW PATTERN BEGINS TO TRANSITION BACK TO SW  
AND BY SUN PM A DRYLINE WILL DEVELOP AND STORMS WILL POSSIBLY  
INITIATE ALONG/NEAR DRYLINE SE NM/W-NW PB. MORE OF THE SAME MON-  
TUE, BUT WITH STRONGER SW FLOW ALOFT THE DRYLINE WILL BE FARTHER E  
EACH DAY AND BY TUE ANY STORMS WOULD BE MOST FAVORED ACROSS THE  
FAR E. ON WED THERE ARE INDICATIONS OF A DEEP LOW TO THE W, BUT  
DIFFERENCES IN HOW FAR S IT WILL BE.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
BIG SPRING 59 44 79 49 / 40 0 0 0  
CARLSBAD 64 46 82 49 / 10 0 0 0  
DRYDEN 69 50 81 56 / 50 0 0 10  
FORT STOCKTON 57 47 81 51 / 40 0 0 0  
GUADALUPE PASS 54 47 79 49 / 10 0 0 0  
HOBBS 61 41 78 44 / 20 0 0 0  
MARFA 59 40 81 46 / 20 0 0 10  
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 58 44 80 49 / 30 0 0 0  
ODESSA 59 44 80 49 / 30 0 0 0  
WINK 61 44 82 50 / 30 0 0 0  
 

 
   
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NM...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON MDT TODAY FOR CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-EDDY  
COUNTY PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-NORTHERN  
LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY.  
 
TX...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL NOON MDT TODAY FOR GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.  
 

 
 

 
 
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