522
FXUS64 KMAF 110559
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1259 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008
DISCUSSION
AVIATION
STAGE BEING SET FOR STORMY DAY AS STRONG UPPER LOW APPROACHING.
CURRENTLY GETTING ABUNDANT MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE STREAMING
UP FROM HURRICANE NORBERT OFF BAJA... WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
BEGINNING TO SURGE IN ON SOUTHERLY LLJ. WILL WATCH FOR DEVELOPMENT
OF LOW CLOUDS WHICH ARE NOW ACROSS CENTRAL TX. EXPECT TO SEE PRECIP
DEVELOP OVER THE WEST FIRST AND THEN SHIFT EAST DURING THE DAY...
WITH STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS DEVELOPING DURING THE AFTERNOON. ALREADY
DETECTING LIGHTNING SW OF RIO GRANDE SO BELIEVE ONLY A MATTER OF TIME
BEFORE HAVE STORMS IN AREA.
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 713 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2008/
DISCUSSION...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN EAST CENTRAL CALIFORNIA AT
00Z WILL PUSH INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES BY SATURDAY EVENING. A
STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL PULL MID
LEVEL MOISTURE OFF THE EASTERN PACIFIC HURRICANE NORBERT TOWARD
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS SATURDAY. MEANWHILE...DEEPENING
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ROCKIES WILL PULL LOW LEVEL GULF
MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA. DISTURBANCES IN THE STRENGTENING MID
LEVEL FLOW WILL ALSO BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MUCH OF
THE AREA SATURDAY.
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NM...NONE.
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES... PRESIDIO VALLEY.
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