105
FXUS64 KSJT 220546
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1246 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH
TEMPERATURES 4-7 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE WEEKEND.
- INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LATE
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1242 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
VERY QUIET WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS. ACTUAL TEMPERATURES HAVE FINALLY CAUGHT UP WITH THE MODEL
BLENDS WHICH HAVE BEEN TOO WARM, SO WILL PRETTY MUCH GO WITH THE
NBM AT THIS POINT FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS SHOWS HIGHS IN THE
LOW TO MID 80S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS FRIDAY MORNING IN THE UPPER 50S
TO LOWER 60S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1057 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS ON FRIDAY
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EASTWARD AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST
STARTS TO MOVE INTO THE WEST CENTRAL TEXAS REGION BY SUNDAY
MORNING. WITH MOISTENING LOW-LEVEL SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW,
EXPECT AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER DURING THE WEEKEND. AS A SERIES
OF UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED
TROUGH SWING THROUGH THE AREA, EXPECT INCREASING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES AT THIS TIME REMAIN IN THE LOW TO MEDIUM
RANGE (20-40 PERCENT), WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES ACROSS THE BIG
COUNTRY MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW
A COLD FRONT TRACKING THROUGH THE AREA ON TUESDAY, KEEPING SOME
LOWER (20-30 PERCENT) SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN OVERALL PLEASANT AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL (AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL), WITH MORNING LOWS IN THE
MID 50S TO AROUND 60 AND AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S THROUGH SATURDAY. THEN, WITH INCREASING CLOUD COVER LIMITING
DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES, TEMPERATURES WILL MOSTLY REMAIN IN THE
70S THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE A LITTLE COOLER
BEHIND THE FRONT IN THE BIG COUNTRY ON TUESDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AT LESS THAN 10
KTS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TERMINALS THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 85 60 84 60 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 85 59 84 59 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 84 57 83 56 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 83 56 83 56 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 84 61 83 61 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 82 59 80 59 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 82 57 81 56 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...07
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