723
FXUS64 KSJT 020008
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
708 PM CDT THU OCT 1 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE, PRIMARILY
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY ON FRIDAY.
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH A
SLOW WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.)
ISSUED AT 223 PM CDT THU OCT 1 2026
A DRIER FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE AREA TONIGHT, THEN RAIN CHANCES
INCREASE AGAIN FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL HAS ENDED
ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT, BRINGING CONSIDERABLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION TOMORROW. MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE DRY
TONIGHT, EXCEPT FOR FAR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES WHERE SOME ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT, PRIMARILY EAST OF A SAN SABA
TO JUNCTION LINE. HOWEVER, NOT EXPECTING ANY ADDITIONAL FLOODING,
AS RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY. AS SUCH, THE FLOOD WATCH
HAS BEEN CANCELED WITH THIS PACKAGE.
RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE AGAIN FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY, AS A
WEAKNESS ALOFT RESIDES OVER THE AREA, ALONG WITH PLENTY OF
MOISTURE AROUND. WHILE WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED,
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OVER AREAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL LAST
NIGHT COULD LEAD TO SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING. THE MOST FAVORED
AREA FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING CONCERNS WILL BE ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY, WHERE RAIN TOTALS BETWEEN 4 AND 7+ INCHES
OCCURRED LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING. THERE A SLIGHT RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS THIS AREA FOR THE TOMORROW INTO
TOMORROW NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER TOMORROW,
WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE MID AND UPPER 70S.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM CDT THU OCT 1 2026
STILL LOOKING AT SOME UNSETTLED WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. HOWEVER, RAIN
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT, SO NOT ANTICIPATING ANY
FLOODING CONCERNS THROUGH SUNDAY. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED AS WE
HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK, ALONG WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL BE
MAINLY IN THE 70S SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, WARMING INTO THE 80S FOR
MUCH OF THE AREA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
BE IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 648 PM CDT THU OCT 1 2026
LOW CLOUD REDEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA
OVERNIGHT. EXPECT MVFR TO POSSIBLY IFR CEILINGS WITH THIS CLOUD
COVER. SOME GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT TO VFR IS POSSIBLE IN THE
AFTERNOON, BUT MVFR CIGS MAY PERSIST ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN AND EASTERN TERMINALS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA, WITH NORTH WINDS FOLLOWING ITS PASSAGE. FINALLY, SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, BUT CONFIDENCE IN AREAL COVERAGE IS LOW AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 65 76 61 75 / 0 50 60 50
SAN ANGELO 62 78 59 74 / 10 30 60 60
JUNCTION 63 77 61 74 / 20 50 70 80
BROWNWOOD 65 72 61 74 / 20 70 80 70
SWEETWATER 63 74 59 75 / 10 30 50 40
OZONA 61 78 58 73 / 0 10 60 60
BRADY 64 76 60 71 / 20 50 80 80
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...42
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