555  
FXUS61 KBTV 211458  
AFDBTV  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
1058 AM EDT THU SEP 21 2017  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE AND WILL DO SO INTO THE  
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK WHILE HURRICANE JOSE REMAINS SOUTHEAST OF NEW  
ENGLAND. QUIET AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND  
WITH FOG IN THE EARLY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE WELL  
ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS  
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S, POSSIBLY APPROACHING DAILY HIGHS FOR  
SOME AREAS THIS WEEKEND.  
 

 
   
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
 
 
AS OF 1050 AM EDT THURSDAY...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE  
FORECAST. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS.  
 
HIGH PRESSURE IS STILL ENTRENCHED OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY. THIS  
IS KEEPING HURRICANE JOSE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CWA WITH  
MAINLY JUST SOME HIGHER CLOUDS OVER THE AREA TODAY, WHICH SHOULD  
DECREASE IN COVERAGE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. AS WE HAVE SEEN THE  
LAST FEW NIGHTS, AREAS OF FOG AND LOW STRATUS PERSIST EVEN  
BEYOND THE FAVORED LOCATIONS AND WILL LAST UNTIL A COUPLE HOURS  
AFTER SUNRISE.  
 
925MB TEMPS ARE SLIGHTLY COOLER TODAY THAN YESTERDAY, AROUND  
17C, COUPLED ANOTHER DAY OF NORTHERLY WINDS SHOULD AGAIN KEEP  
TEMPERATURES TODAY IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S IN A FEW VALLEY  
LOCATIONS. AGAIN, STILL WELL ABOVE SEASONABLE NORMALS. OVERNIGHT  
TONIGHT WILL SEE SKIES CLEAR BEFORE ANOTHER ROUND OF FOG AND  
LOW STRATUS SETS UP AGAIN MUCH LIKE THE LAST FEW NIGHTS.  
 
WHILE FRIDAY IS THE FIRST DAY OF FALL, IT WILL FEEL MORE LIKE MID-  
SUMMER WITH ANOTHER WARM, DRY AND MOSTLY CLOUDLESS DAY AS TEMPS ONCE  
AGAIN WILL REACH THE UPPER 70S AND LOWS 80S IN SOME VALLEY.  
LOCATIONS.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
 
 
AS OF 350 AM EDT THURSDAY...WHAT IS LEFT OF JOSE DRIFTS EVEN FURTHER  
SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS INTO THE  
NORTHEAST. DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AS A RESULT WITH PLENTY OF  
SUNSHINE EXPECTED. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 80S ACROSS THE ENTIRE  
AREA...WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
 
 
AS OF 350 AM EDT THURSDAY...UPPER RIDGE BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE  
AREA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AND THE WARMEST 850 MB TEMPERATURES  
OVERSPREAD THE REGION AS WELL. HIGHS BOTH DAYS WILL BE WELL INTO  
THE 80S AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF SOMEONE HITS 90. THIS  
WILL BE UP TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.  
STILL NO PRECIPITATION AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE EXPECTED. WITH DEW  
POINTS IN THE 60S IT WILL DEFINITELY FEEL MORE LIKE SUMMER.  
RIDGE BEGINS TO WEAKEN A BIT TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AND  
EVENTUALLY AN UPPER TROUGH BEGINS TO MOVE TOWARD THE AREA ON  
WEDNESDAY. THIS MAY ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SHOWERS ON  
WEDNESDAY AND THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER  
TROUGH LOOKS TO BE SUFFICIENT ENOUGH TO ENSURE HURRICANE MARIA  
MOVING UP THE EAST COAST REMAINS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
 
 
THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY...FOG/STRATUS REMAINS OVER KBTV/KRUT/KSLK/  
KMPV AND ALL ARE IFR TO VLIFR. HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER FROM JOSE  
IS BREAKING UP NOW AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGHOUT THE  
MORNING. AFTER 14Z ALL STATIONS WILL AGAIN BE VFR WITH LIGHT  
NORTHERLY WINDS AT 05-10 KNOTS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.  
OVERNIGHT, EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF FOG/STRATUS, SIMILAR TO THIS  
MORNING.  
 
OUTLOOK...  
 
FRIDAY: VFR. PATCHY FG.  
FRIDAY NIGHT: VFR. NO SIG WX.  
SATURDAY: VFR. NO SIG WX.  
SATURDAY NIGHT: VFR. NO SIG WX.  
SUNDAY: VFR. NO SIG WX.  
SUNDAY NIGHT: VFR. NO SIG WX.  
MONDAY: VFR. NO SIG WX.  
 

 
   
CLIMATE
 
 
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AND YEAR RECORDED FOR THE PERIOD SAT SEP 23  
TO MON SEP 25  
 
DAY BURLINGTON MASSENA MONTPELIER  
9/23 87 / 1895 84 / 1964 83 / 1965  
9/24 84 / 1961 87 / 2010 83 / 1961  
9/25 85 / 1891 90 / 2007 85 / 2007  
 
FOR BURLINGTON, HERE ARE THE LATEST IN THE YEAR DATES FOR REACHING  
SPECIFIC TEMPERATURE THRESHOLDS  
 
90F OR HIGHER: 9/16/1939  
88F OR HIGHER: 9/22/1965  
87F OR HIGHER: 9/23/1895  
86F OR HIGHER: 9/23/1895 (WAS 87F THAT DAY)  
 

 
   
BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
VT...NONE.  
NY...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
SYNOPSIS...VERASAMY  
NEAR TERM...NRR/VERASAMY  
SHORT TERM...EVENSON  
LONG TERM...EVENSON  
AVIATION...VERASAMY  
CLIMATE...BTV  
 
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