990  
FNUS75 KRIW 291713  
FWSRIW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BILLY CREEK...BLM CAD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY  
1113 AM MDT THU OCT 29 2009  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1115 MDT ON OCTOBER 29.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE STORM SYSTEM  
MOVES EAST. THERE COULD BE A SNOW SHOWER OR TWO...BUT WOULD BE  
LIGHT AND BRIEF. OTHERWISE...WILL BE UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW DURING  
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE OVERNIGHT AS THE  
NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES. THE WINDS WILL INCREASE FURTHER FRIDAY  
AFTERNOON...THEN DIMINISH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. CLOUDS WILL ALSO BE ON THE  
INCREASE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.  
   
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
 
   
..HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT
 
 
FORECASTER...T.BAKER  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........DISSIPATING CLOUDS (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....25-28.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS 12 MPH.  
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST TO NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (30000 KNOT-FT).  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS (70-80 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.  
MAX HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.  
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS 12 MPH.  
INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH GUSTS TO 20 MPH AROUND MIDNIGHT.  
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST TO NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH. INCREASING TO 12-18 MPH  
GUSTS TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10500 KNOT-FT).  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-38 PERCENT.  
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH GUSTS TO 20 MPH...  
INCREASING TO 12 TO 16 MPH GUSTS TO 25 MPH AFTER NOON.  
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-18 MPH GUSTS TO 25 MPH...  
INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH GUSTS TO 30 MPH AFTER NOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (50000 KNOT-FT).  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
NOT AS COLD. PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
AND SNOW IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER  
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12-18 MPH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS  
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12-18 MPH  
GUSTS TO 30 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.  
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
FORECASTER...T.BAKER  
REQUESTED BY...LUKE FORTNER  
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 20091029.BILLY.01/RIW  
 
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