307
ACUS01 KWNS 140102
SWODY1
SPC AC 140101
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0801 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
VALID 140100Z - 141200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
CENTRAL/EASTERN KANSAS...WESTERN/CENTRAL MISSOURI...AND ADJACENT
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
..SUMMARY
SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
FROM PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE LOWER MISSOURI
AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS. SWATHS OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, LARGE
HAIL, AND A COUPLE TORNADOES ARE ALL POSSIBLE.
..CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY
ALONG A NORTHEAST/SOUTHWEST-ORIENTED COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD
ACROSS CENTRAL KS, AN EXPANSIVE BAND OF UPSCALE-GROWING CONVECTION
WILL CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. STEEP
MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ATOP A WARM/MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IS YIELDING A
CORRIDOR OF STRONG SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY. THIS, COMBINED WITH 40-50
KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR ORIENTED OBLIQUE TO THE CONVECTIVE GUST FRONT,
AND A GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL JET (EVIDENT IN VWP DATA),
WILL SUPPORT A SWATH OF SEVERE WIND GUSTS (SOME 75+ MPH) WITH THE
MCS. THE GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF SEVERE WIND GUSTS IS EXPECTED
ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN OK AND
WESTERN MO -- WHERE THE ENH RISK REMAINS IN PLACE. ADDITIONALLY, A
COUPLE EMBEDDED TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT, GIVEN THE
STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL JET/SHEAR AND MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER.
FARTHER SOUTH, ONE DOMINANT RIGHT-MOVING SUPERCELL IS ONGOING ALONG
A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IN NORTH-CENTRAL OK. THIS STORM WILL POSE
THE GREATEST RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND SOME TORNADO RISK IN THE
NEAR-TERM.
..WEINMAN.. 06/14/2026
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