563  
ACUS01 KWNS 300039  
SWODY1  
SPC AC 300037  
 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0637 PM CST SUN JAN 29 2023  
 
VALID 300100Z - 301200Z  
 
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST  
TEXAS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...  
   
..SUMMARY
 
 
ISOLATED STRONG-SEVERE STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE FROM SOUTHEAST TEXAS  
EASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.  
   
..01Z UPDATE
 
 
WEAK SHORT-WAVE TROUGH IS EJECTING ACROSS THE ARKLATEX EARLY THIS  
EVENING. THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO DEAMPLIFY AS IT ADVANCES INTO  
MIDDLE TN/NORTHERN AL BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. SUBSEQUENT MOVEMENT  
SHOULD ENCOURAGE LLJ OVER SOUTHERN LA TO TRANSLATE INTO GA/SC WHERE  
WARM ADVECTION WILL FOCUS LATE IN THE PERIOD. EXTENSIVE ELEVATED  
CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF STATES FROM NORTHERN LA  
INTO GA. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SUPPRESS AIR MASS RECOVERY APPRECIABLY  
INLAND WHERE SOMEWHAT STRONGER FORCING WILL BE NOTED. WHILE THE  
MAJORITY OF CONVECTION WILL REMAIN ELEVATED, DRIVEN BY WARM  
ADVECTION, ISOLATED-SCATTERED CONVECTION MAY LINGER ALONG THE  
ADVANCING COLD FRONT AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COOL SIDE OF THE WARM  
FRONT. OTHERWISE, TRUE WARM-SECTOR THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REMAIN  
ISOLATED. LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY RISK WITH  
THIS CONVECTION.  
 
..DARROW.. 01/30/2023  
 

 
 
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