799  
ACUS01 KWNS 131214  
SWODY1  
SPC AC 131212  
 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0712 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026  
 
VALID 131300Z - 141200Z  
   
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
 
 
   
..SUMMARY
 
 
ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.  
   
..NY/PA
 
 
A FAST-MOVING AND WELL-DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS INDICATED OVER  
WI. THIS FEATURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND AFFECT PARTS  
OF PA/NY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STRONG LOW-LEVEL WARM  
ADVECTION AND LIFT WILL AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND PARTS OF  
CENTRAL/WESTERN NY/PA. WHILE LIGHTNING ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY BE  
SPARSE, STRONG LOW-LEVEL WINDS AND STEEPENING MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES  
COULD RESULT IN GUSTY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH ISOLATED SEVERE  
WINDS POSSIBLE.  
   
..FL
 
 
A FEW AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY OVER CENTRAL/SOUTH  
FL, ALONG AND AHEAD OF A SURFACE COLD FRONT. WEAK WINDS ALOFT  
SHOULD PRECLUDE SEVERE STORMS.  
 
..HART/WEINMAN.. 03/13/2026  
 

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab SPC Page Main Text Page