303
ACUS01 KWNS 261256
SWODY1
SPC AC 261255
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 AM CST THU FEB 26 2026
VALID 261300Z - 271200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
ARKLAMISS TO NORTH-CENTRAL ALABAMA...
..SUMMARY
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THE
ARKLAMISS INTO NORTH-CENTRAL ALABAMA, MOSTLY FROM MID-AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY/MID-EVENING.
..DEEP SOUTH INCLUDING ARKLAMISS TO NORTH-CENTRAL ALABAMA
INCREASINGLY CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED AS TROUGH AMPLIFICATION
OCCURS WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH SPREADING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL PLAINS, TOWARD THE OZARKS/ARKLATEX THIS EVENING, AND
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE TONIGHT. A PLUME OF RELATIVELY
STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SIMILARLY ADVECT SOUTHEASTWARD ATOP
A MODESTLY MOIST AIR MASS TO THE SOUTH OF A SOUTHWARD-SPREADING
FRONT REGIONALLY. WHILE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS IN THE LOWEST 2-3 KM AGL
WILL BE MODEST-STRENGTH AND TEND TO WEAKEN OVER TIME, STRONG
MID/HIGH-LEVEL WINDS WILL YIELD 40+ KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR, SUPPORTING
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING SOME SUPERCELLS AS STORMS
DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY THROUGH MID/LATE AFTERNOON. SEVERE HAIL IS
EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD.
..GUYER/GRAMS.. 02/26/2026
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