763  
ACUS01 KWNS 280047  
SWODY1  
SPC AC 280045  
 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0645 PM CST THU NOV 27 2025  
 
VALID 280100Z - 281200Z  
   
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST  
 
   
..SUMMARY  
 
THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE  
NATION TONIGHT.  
   
..01Z UPDATE  
 
DRYING AND STABILIZING TRENDS ARE NOW WELL UNDERWAY ACROSS  
SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA COASTAL AREAS AND THE KEYS, WHERE  
LOWER/MID-TROPOSPHERIC WIND FIELDS HAVE VEERED TO NORTHWESTERLY.  
 
SOME LIGHTNING WAS NOTED EARLIER IN A CONVECTIVE BAND WITHIN  
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW EMANATING FROM LAKE ONTARIO, WHERE  
TRAJECTORIES ACROSS THE RELATIVELY WARM LAKE WATERS ARE MAXIMIZED.  
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION OCCASIONALLY BECOMING CAPABLE OF PRODUCING  
LIGHTNING APPEARS POSSIBLE TO THE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH AT  
LEAST 05-06Z, BEFORE THIS POTENTIAL BECOMES MORE NEGLIGIBLE AS MEAN  
LOWER/MID-TROPOSPHERIC WINDS BEGIN TO VEER TO A MORE  
WESTERLY/NORTHWESTERLY COMPONENT.  
 
..KERR.. 11/28/2025  
 
 
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