209  
ACUS01 KWNS 201554  
SWODY1  
SPC AC 201553  
 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0953 AM CST SAT DEC 20 2025  
 
VALID 201630Z - 211200Z  
   
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST  
 
   
..SUMMARY  
 
A FEW LIGHTNING FLASHES MAY OCCUR TODAY NEAR COASTAL WASHINGTON, AND  
TONIGHT OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA.  
 
DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER MOST OF THE CONUS TODAY,  
PRECLUDING THUNDERSTORMS. ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE OVER WESTERN WA  
WEST OF THE CASCADES, WHERE FAST ONSHORE FLOW, OROGRAPHIC LIFT, AND  
100-200 J/KG OF CAPE WILL BE PRESENT. THE OTHER AREA OF SOME RISK  
OF LIGHTNING WILL BE OVER SOUTHERN LA TONIGHT IN A WEAK LOW-LEVEL  
WARM ADVECTION REGIME. IN BOTH AREAS, THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS  
ANTICIPATED TO BE SPARSE AND SEVERE RISK NEGLIGIBLE.  
 
..HART/KARSTENS.. 12/20/2025  
 
 
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