035  
ACUS02 KWNS 161701  
SWODY2  
SPC AC 161700  
 
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
1100 AM CST WED JAN 16 2019  
 
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z  
   
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
 
 
   
..SUMMARY
 
 
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF CALIFORNIA INTO THE  
GREAT BASIN ON THURSDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.  
   
..DISCUSSION
 
 
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. ON  
THURSDAY AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE MOVES INTO THE HIGH PLAINS. FURTHER  
WEST, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS CALIFORNIA. AHEAD  
OF THIS TROUGH, LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES  
WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THURSDAY  
AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM CALIFORNIA EASTWARD INTO THE GREAT BASIN.  
INSTABILITY SHOULD BE TOO WEAK ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. FOR A SEVERE  
THREAT. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CONUS, THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT  
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.  
   
..MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD
 
 
TORNADO: <2% - NONE  
WIND: <5% - NONE  
HAIL: <5% - NONE  
 
..BROYLES.. 01/16/2019  
 

 
 
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