369
ACUS02 KWNS 050633
SWODY2
SPC AC 050631
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1231 AM CST WED NOV 05 2025
VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.
..DISCUSSION
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WITH MULTIPLE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL
BE PRESENT ACROSS THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH-CENTRAL STATES ON THURSDAY.
A POCKET OF COOLER MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH ONE TROUGH
MAY AID IN VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES. FARTHER WEST, A SHORTWAVE IMPULSE SHOULD REACH THE WA COAST
BY LATE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL SUPPORT STEEPENED LOWER-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND SCANT SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY WITHIN AN ONSHORE FLOW
REGIME. A FEW LOW-TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN WESTERN WA,
WHICH MIGHT CONTAIN SMALL HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG GUSTS AMID
MODERATE EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR.
AMPLIFICATION OF THE BROADER FLOW REGIME IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL STATES
ON THURSDAY NIGHT WILL AID IN A STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL WARM
CONVEYOR. MEAGER ELEVATED BUOYANCY SHOULD DEVELOP FROM THE LOWER
MO/MID-MS VALLEYS NORTHEASTWARD IN THE MIDWEST. GENERAL
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY MORNING FRIDAY.
..GRAMS.. 11/05/2025
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