215
ACUS48 KWNS 300848
SWOD48
SPC AC 300847
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0247 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
VALID 021200Z - 071200Z
..DISCUSSION
A RETURN OF DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS LIKELY ON D4-5/FRIDAY-SATURDAY
ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES FROM LA TO NORTH FL, AND INTO THE DEEP
SOUTH. A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE IMPULSE SHOULD EMANATE OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST AND MAY BRIEFLY AMPLIFY ON D4/FRIDAY OVER TX, AS IT
BECOMES ABSORBED WITHIN THE BROADER CYCLONIC FLOW REGIME ACROSS
EASTERN NORTH AMERICA. LATEST GUIDANCE HAS DECIDEDLY TRENDED TOWARDS
DAMPENING THIS IMPULSE AND ATTENDANT SURFACE CYCLONE REFLECTION AS
THEY PROGRESS ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES/NORTHERN GULF FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THIS COMBINED WITH PREDOMINATELY WESTERLY
LOW-LEVEL WIND PROFILES MAY SUPPORT ONLY A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT.
AFTER THIS MINOR WAVE, SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE IN THE
D6-8 TIME FRAME.
..GRAMS.. 12/30/2025
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