556
ACUS48 KWNS 020835
SWOD48
SPC AC 020833
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0333 AM CDT THU APR 02 2026
VALID 051200Z - 101200Z
..DISCUSSION
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL BE LIMITED FOR LATE WEEKEND AND INTO
THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK BASED ON TRENDS IN LATEST GUIDANCE. A STRONG
SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PUSH FROM THE APPALACHIANS AND
LOWER MS VALLEY EAST/SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE EAST COAST AND
NORTHERN GULF THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY. WHILE SOME SEVERE THREAT MAY
MATERIALIZE ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND MID-ATLANTIC SUNDAY AFTERNOON,
IT WILL BE CONDITIONAL ON FAVORABLE TIMING OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
WITH THE DIURNAL HEATING MAXIMUM. THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL SHUNT
APPRECIABLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE OFFSHORE BY EARLY MONDAY. BUILDING
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN CONUS THROUGH
EARLY WEEK WILL MAINTAIN DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS EAST OF THE
ROCKIES. ADDITIONALLY, THE AMPLIFICATION OF AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
WEST WILL LIMIT THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.
THIS SYNOPTIC REGIME WILL LIMIT MOISTURE RETURN BACK INTO THE PLAINS
WITH MOST GUIDANCE SUGGESTING THAT APPRECIABLE MOISTURE RETURN (55+
DEWPOINTS) MAY NOT RETURN TO THE PLAINS UNTIL THE D8/THURSDAY TIME
FRAME. CONSEQUENTLY, THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE CONVECTION WILL BE
LIMITED THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.
..MOORE.. 04/02/2026
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page