290
ACUS48 KWNS 230959
SWOD48
SPC AC 230958
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0358 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2025
VALID 261200Z - 011200Z
..DISCUSSION
THE WARM SECTOR WILL BE ONSHORE AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD
D4/WED FROM THE SOUTHEAST COAST TO THE CAROLINAS. THIS MAY PERMIT A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE THE
FRONT MOVES INTO THE ATLANTIC. IN THE WAKE OF THIS FRONT, COOL, DRY
AIR AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CONUS. THIS WILL RESULT IN MINIMAL THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY/SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
BY NEXT WEEKEND, RETURN FLOW WILL RESUME ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE. MOST GUIDANCE SHOWS A LARGE
TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT THE ORIENTATION, SIZE, AND TIMING OF THIS
TROUGH REMAINS UNCERTAIN. SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL LIKELY
RETURN AT SOME POINT GIVEN THE APPROACHING TROUGH AND INLAND
MOISTURE INTRUSION, BUT UNCERTAINTIES ARE TOO HIGH FOR SEVERE
WEATHER PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.
..BENTLEY.. 11/23/2025
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