394
ACUS48 KWNS 150951
SWOD48
SPC AC 150949
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0349 AM CST MON DEC 15 2025
VALID 181200Z - 231200Z
..DISCUSSION
...D4/THURSDAY - MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND LOWER OHIO VALLEY TO THE
SOUTHEAST...
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY AS MOISTURE EXPANDS
NORTHWARD AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW
STRONG SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION, BUT LIMITED INSTABILITY AS 60+ F
DEWPOINTS STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT NORTH OF I-20. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF
THE LOW-LEVEL JET, SOME DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE, BUT A
GREATER THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED DUE TO THE AFOREMENTIONED LIMITED
INSTABILITY.
..D5/FRIDAY - CAROLINAS TO GEORGIA COAST
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING NEAR THE CAROLINA/GEORGIA COAST ON
FRIDAY MORNING, BUT WILL QUICKLY MOVE INTO THE ATLANTIC AS A COLD
FRONT ADVANCES EASTWARD. IN ADDITION, THIS FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
GULF AND PUSH RICH MOISTURE WELL OFFSHORE. AS A RESULT, THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL SHOULD BE LIMITED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE D5 PERIOD.
..D6/SAT-D7/SUN - TN VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHEAST
RETURN FLOW WILL RESUME ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OVER THE
WEEKEND. 60F DEWPOINTS ARE EXPECTED TO ADVECT INLAND ACROSS EAST
TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. THIS RICHER MOISTURE MAY EVENTUALLY INTERACT
WITH A SOUTHEASTWARD MOVING COLD FRONT AT THE END OF D6 AND INTO D7
WITH SOME THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. A FEW STRONGER STORMS MAY BE
POSSIBLE IF SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP.
..BENTLEY.. 12/15/2025
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