203
ACUS48 KWNS 250826
SWOD48
SPC AC 250824
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0324 AM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026
VALID 281200Z - 031200Z
..DISCUSSION
UPPER TROUGHING OVER THE INTERIOR WEST, CONTAINING MULTIPLE SMALLER
IMPULSES, WILL GRADUALLY PROGRESS EASTWARD TO THE PLAINS STATES
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK (DAYS 5-7/TUESDAY-THURSDAY) BEFORE
ANOTHER MID-LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES THE CENTRAL U.S. BY NEXT
WEEKEND. DETERMINISTIC MEDIUM-RANGE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS DEPICTS THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SURFACE LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AROUND DAY
6/WEDNESDAY, ACCOMPANIED BY SEASONAL LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN.
HOWEVER, GUIDANCE ALSO DEPICTS A POOR OVERLAP OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
WITH THE MOIST AXIS, LIKELY INHIBITING GREATER SEVERE POTENTIAL, IN
AGREEMENT WITH CALIBRATED ML/AI GUIDANCE CONSENSUS. AS SUCH, NO
PROBABILITIES WERE INTRODUCED THIS OUTLOOK.
..SQUITIERI.. 09/25/2026
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