721  
ACUS48 KWNS 300934  
SWOD48  
SPC AC 300932  
 
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0332 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2025  
 
VALID 031200Z - 081200Z  
   
..DISCUSSION
 
 
A SERIES OF MID-LEVEL TROUGHS WILL PROGRESS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND  
EASTERN CONUS THIS WEEK, WHICH WILL USHER IN SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE  
AND ASSOCIATED COLD, STABLE AIR FOR MUCH OF THE NORTHERN, CENTRAL  
AND EASTERN CONUS TO THE END OF THIS WEEK. BY AROUND DAYS 6-8  
(FRIDAY-SUNDAY), THE PASSAGE OF A MID-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE  
CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE TN VALLEY MAY ENCOURAGE SURFACE LOW  
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE GULF COAST. HERE, ENOUGH MOISTURE RETURN IS  
ANTICIPATED FOR A CHANCE OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MEDIUM-RANGE  
GUIDANCE HINTS AT THE POSSIBILITY OF A HIGH SHEAR/LOW CAPE PARAMETER  
SPACE SHAPING UP ALONG THE GULF COAST DURING THIS TIME FRAME.  
HOWEVER, DETAILS ON THE EXACT PLACEMENT OF FEATURES, SUCH AS THE  
SURFACE LOW OR WARM FRONT, DIFFER TOO MUCH AMONG MEDIUM-RANGE  
GUIDANCE MEMBERS FOR THE INTRODUCTION OF SEVERE PROBABILITIES FOR  
NOW.  
 
..SQUITIERI.. 11/30/2025  
 
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