919
ACUS48 KWNS 020936
SWOD48
SPC AC 020934
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0334 AM CST MON FEB 02 2026
VALID 051200Z - 101200Z
..DISCUSSION
BROAD MIDLEVEL TROUGHING WILL BE MAINTAINED OVER THE EAST, WHILE AN
UPPER RIDGE PERSISTS OVER THE GREAT PLAINS/ROCKIES THROUGH MUCH OF
THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD. FARTHER WEST, MEDIUM-RANGE GUIDANCE
DEPICTS A MIDLEVEL TROUGH/LOW MOVING ASHORE OVER THE WEST COAST ON
DAY 5/FRIDAY, BEFORE CONTINUING EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND
EVENTUALLY TOWARD THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. GIVEN THE CUT-OFF NATURE OF
THIS DISTURBANCE, GUIDANCE VARIES SIGNIFICANTLY REGARDING TIMING,
EVOLUTION, AND DOWNSTREAM MOISTURE RETURN OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
AND LOWER MS VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD. NEVERTHELESS, CURRENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE SEVERE RISK WILL REMAIN LOW THOUGH MUCH OF
THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD.
..WEINMAN.. 02/02/2026
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