374
ACUS48 KWNS 170958
SWOD48
SPC AC 170957
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0357 AM CST WED DEC 17 2025
VALID 201200Z - 251200Z
..DISCUSSION
SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL RETURN TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON
D4/SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING 60SF DEWPOINTS TO EAST TEXAS AND MUCH
OF LOUISIANA WITH WEAK DESTABILIZATION ANTICIPATED. A FEW STORMS MAY
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS LOUISIANA ON SATURDAY NIGHT, BUT SHEAR WILL BE
WEAK. MINIMAL VERTICAL SHEAR COMBINED WITH LIMITED FORCING AND ONLY
WEAK INSTABILITY WILL PRECLUDE ANY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE FROM D5/SUNDAY THROUGH
THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK FROM EAST TEXAS AND LOUISIANA INTO THE
OZARKS AND INTO THE MIDWEST AS SLIGHT ENHANCEMENTS OF THE LOW-LEVEL
JET PROMOTE ISENTROPIC ASCENT. THROUGH THIS PERIOD, LOW TO MID 60S
DEWPOINTS WILL PROGRESSIVELY ADVANCE FARTHER INLAND. HOWEVER,
INSTABILITY SHOULD REMAIN WEAK AS MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS BUILD AND
MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WARM. THEREFORE, DESPITE THE INLAND MOISTURE
EARLY NEXT WEEK, SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL REMAINS LOW DUE TO WEAK
INSTABILITY, WEAK FORCING, AND BUILDING HEIGHTS ALOFT.
..BENTLEY.. 12/17/2025
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