841
ACUS48 KWNS 030807
SWOD48
SPC AC 030805
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0205 AM CST WED DEC 03 2025
VALID 061200Z - 111200Z
..DISCUSSION
MULTIPLE MID-LEVEL TROUGHS WILL TRAVERSE THE CONUS WHILE TRANSLATING
WITHIN A BROADER WEST-NORTHWEST TO EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY UPPER LEVEL
FLOW REGIME THROUGH THE DAYS 4-8 PERIOD. PERIODIC BOUTS OF SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REINFORCE A STATICALLY STABLE, COOL AND DRY
AIRMASS ACROSS MOST OF THE CONUS, LIMITING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.
ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE WITH THE GULF COAST STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK,
WHEN A SURFACE LOW PRECEDING ONE OF THE EMBEDDED MID-LEVEL TROUGHS
WILL ENCOURAGE ONSHORE FLOW FROM THE GULF. SHOULD THIS OCCUR, ENOUGH
BUOYANCY WILL BE IN PLACE (ALONG WITH DEEP-LAYER ASCENT) TO SUPPORT
THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER, BUOYANCY MAY BE TOO WEAK TO SUPPORT A SEVERE
THREAT.
..SQUITIERI.. 12/03/2025
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