163  
ACUS48 KWNS 050852  
SWOD48  
SPC AC 050851  
 
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0351 AM CDT SUN JUL 05 2026  
 
VALID 081200Z - 131200Z  
   
..DISCUSSION
 
 
IN THE WAKE OF A SHORT WAVE TROUGH PIVOTING INLAND OF THE BRITISH  
COLUMBIA COAST BY MID WEEK, MEDIUM-RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO  
INDICATE THE GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE-SCALE RIDGING ACROSS THE  
MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST THROUGH GREAT PLAINS AND MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY LATE THIS WEEK THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. IT APPEARS THAT A  
CENTER OF SEASONABLY HIGH MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL EVOLVE AND DEVELOP  
NORTHEASTWARD, WEST THROUGH NORTH OF THE FOUR CORNERS, INTO NORTHERN  
COLORADO BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. PRIOR TO AND AS THIS OCCURS,  
THIS MAY BE PRECEDED BY THE TRANSITION OF A GENERALLY ZONAL TO  
BROADLY CYCLONIC REGIME ACROSS AND EAST OF THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS  
THROUGH NORTHERN AND MIDDLE ATLANTIC SEABOARD, BUT EMBEDDED SHORT  
WAVE DEVELOPMENTS REMAIN RATHER UNCLEAR.  
 
REGARDLESS, IT STILL APPEARS THAT SUBSTANTIVE POTENTIAL FOR  
ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT, IF ANY, WILL LARGELY  
REMAIN INFLUENCED BY SUB-SYNOPTIC DEVELOPMENTS YET TO EVOLVE, AND OF  
PARTICULARLY LOW PREDICTABILITY AT THIS EXTENDED TIME FRAME.  
 
..KERR.. 07/05/2026  
 
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