286
FNUS21 KWNS 120804
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0204 AM CST MON JAN 12 2026
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
..SYNOPSIS
BROAD TROUGHING IS FORECAST TO PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN US WITH HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING TO THE WEST. THIS WILL FAVOR CONTINUED
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER MUCH OF THE CONUS. A STRONGER SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WITHIN THE FLOW ALOFT WILL PASS OVER THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON. THIS, ALONG WITH A STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL BOOST WESTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE REGION,
SUPPORTING AN INCREASE IN FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS.
..CENTRAL AND NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS
STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE ROCKIES AND
ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS TODAY AS UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING RAPIDLY BUILDS
OVER THE WEST. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN STRONG
WEST/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD OVERSPREADING AN
UNUSUALLY WARM AND DRY AIRMASS FOR JANUARY. WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS OF
20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN
THE 20-30% RANGE AND DRY FINE FUELS TO FACILITATE AN INCREASED FIRE
DANGER ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS OF CENTRAL MT AND NORTHERN WY.
FARTHER SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOMEWHAT WEAKER AND DISPLACED
FROM THE STRONGER FLOW ALOFT. STILL, STRONG WESTERLY PRESSURE
GRADIENTS AND DRIER SURFACE CONDITIONS COULD PROMOTE A FEW HOURS OF
LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF CO/WY/NE
WHERE FINE FUELS ARE VERY DRY.
..SOUTHERN PLAINS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL LIKELY SUPPORT
DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS OVER PARTS OF OK/TX. AFTERNOON RH VALUES
WILL LIKELY FALL BELOW 20%, THOUGH WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT.
WHILE RECENT RAINFALL HAS TEMPERED FUELS TO SOME DEGREE, FINE FUELS
REMAIN FAIRLY DRY AND, SOME LOCALIZED FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS ARE
POSSIBLE.
..LYONS.. 01/12/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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