445  
FNUS21 KWNS 121529  
FWDDY1  
 
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0928 AM CST THU FEB 12 2026  
 
VALID 121700Z - 131200Z  
   
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
 
 
   
..MORNING UPDATE
 
 
A FEW HOURS OF LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE  
THIS AFTERNOON IN THE LEE OF THE LEWIS RANGE IN NORTHWESTERN  
MONTANA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FALL BETWEEN 15-25 PERCENT WITH  
WESTERLY DOWNSLOPE SURFACE WINDS SUSTAINED AT 10-20 MPH. THESE  
CONDITIONS WILL OVERLAP A FAIRLY DRY FUELSCAPE, ALLOWING FOR  
LOCALIZED FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL. OTHERWISE, MINIMAL FIRE WEATHER  
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REST OF CONUS.  
 
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA/LYONS.. 02/12/2026  
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 1254 AM CST THU FEB 12 2026/  
   
..SYNOPSIS
 
 
UPPER RIDGING WILL PREVAIL OVER THE PLAINS AS A MID-LEVEL TROUGH  
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST, AND ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH PROGRESSES  
FURTHER OVER THE ATLANTIC TODAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE  
OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE EAST COAST, WITH MOIST RETURN  
FLOW EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS GIVEN POTENTIAL WEAK SURFACE  
LOW DEVELOPMENT. OVERALL, QUIESCENT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE  
EXPECTED CONUS WIDE. HOWEVER, A DRY LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS WILL  
OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS,  
SUPPORTING DRYING FUELS AND PERHAPS LOCALIZED WILDFIRE GROWTH  
POTENTIAL.  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
 
 

 
 
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