577
FNUS21 KWNS 121614
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1113 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2026
VALID 121700Z - 131200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
..NORTHERN SACRAMENTO VALLEY
RESIDUAL DRY, POST-FRONTAL FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHERN
SACRAMENTO VALLEY AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS ALTHOUGH NORTHERLY WIND
MAGNITUDE WILL BE LOWER THAN YESTERDAY. SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS OF
10-15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AND RH NEARING 15% THIS AFTERNOON WILL
PROMOTE A LOCALIZED FIRE WEATHER THREAT AMID POCKETS OF DRIER FUELS
WITHIN AN OVERALL MARGINAL FUELSCAPE. THE LIMITED SPATIAL EXTENT OF
ENHANCED WINDS AND LOW RH PRECLUDES INTRODUCTION OF BROADER ELEVATED
HIGHLIGHTS FOR THIS OUTLOOK UPDATE.
PLEASE SEE PREVIOUS FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.
..WILLIAMS.. 10/12/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0147 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
A CLOSED MID-LEVEL LOW WILL MIGRATE SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
WESTERN GREAT BASIN TODAY, WITH STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS. COUPLED
WITH A REMNANT SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME, THIS WILL CONTINUE TO
FAVOR CHANCES FOR RAINFALL AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOWFALL ACROSS MUCH
OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND NORTHERN PLAINS, WHICH WILL LARGELY
SUPPRESS FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS THE WEST. FARTHER EAST, ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY AND MIDWEST, BUT THE LACK OF A
STRONGER SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND RESULTANT LIMITED SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO LARGELY TEMPER FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
..CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT (50-60 KTS AT THE NOSE OF A
PROMINENT 500 MB JET) WILL OVERSPREAD THE CENTRAL ROCKIES/HIGH
PLAINS TODAY, AIDING IN MODEST STRENGTHENING OF A LEE SURFACE LOW
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS WILL FOSTER ENHANCED
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS OF 15-25 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS FROM NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO EAST-CENTRAL
COLORADO, WESTERN KANSAS, AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE TX/OK
PANHANDLES. DOWNSLOPE WARMING/DRYING WILL ALSO AID IN RH VALUES
FALLING TO 20-25% (LOCALLY TO 15% ACROSS NORTHEASTERN/EAST-CENTRAL
COLORADO, NORTHWESTERN KANSAS, AND SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA). GIVEN
THESE FACTORS, LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
TO MANIFEST THIS AFTERNOON, BUT GENERALLY MARGINAL FUEL
RECEPTIVENESS ACROSS THIS REGION PRECLUDES A BROADER FIRE WEATHER
THREAT AT THIS TIME.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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