199
FNUS21 KWNS 140623
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0123 AM CDT MON SEP 14 2026
VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
..SYNOPSIS
ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS A STRONG JET
STREAK ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW PROGRESSES FROM THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS. METEOROLOGICAL
CONDITIONS WILL REACH WELL INTO CRITICAL CRITERIA FOR WIND AND RH,
BUT ONGOING PRECIPITATION AND A SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE FUELSCAPE WILL
GENERALLY TEMPER THE FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS. ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS INTO SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA, ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS LEE TROUGH DEVELOPMENT IN RESPONSE TO THE
AFOREMENTIONED JET STREAK RESULTS IN DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS.
..WYOMING
PRECIPITATION FROM HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER CRITICALLY
RECEPTIVE FUELS IN WYOMING EARLY THIS MORNING WILL COMPLICATE
ASPECTS OF THE FORECAST TODAY. HOWEVER, 25-30 MPH WINDS AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITY OF 10-15% ARE STILL EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE SOME
AREAS RECEIVING PRECIPITATION MAY HAVE A REDUCED IGNITION THREAT,
RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD REMAIN UNDER A HALF INCH AND ARE NOT
WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO COMPLETELY WET ALL AVAILABLE FUELS.
METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS ARE WELL INTO CRITICAL TERRITORY FOR WIND,
BUT THE ONGOING PRECIPITATION AND LOW FUEL DENSITY SUPPORT
MAINTAINING ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS AT THIS TIME.
..WESTERN NORTH TEXAS INTO SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA
DRY AND BREEZY SOUTHERLY FLOW OF 15-20 MPH IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO LEE TROUGHING AND
SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT. THE CURRENT EXPECTATION IS THAT AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL REACH AROUND 25% WITH SOME LOCALIZED AREAS
REACHING 20%. DESPITE THE MORE MARGINAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY, THESE
CONDITIONS OVERLAP WITH CRITICALLY RECEPTIVE FUELS, WITH ERCS IN THE
90TH-95TH ANNUAL PERCENTILE RANGES, SUPPORTING AN ELEVATED THREAT
FOR WILDFIRE IGNITION AND SPREAD.
..HALBERT.. 09/14/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page