158  
FNUS21 KWNS 090748  
FWDDY1  
 
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0147 AM CST FRI JAN 09 2026  
 
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z  
   
..SYNOPSIS  
 
A POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST TO RAPIDLY  
MOVE EASTWARD BEFORE MERGING WITH A BROADER UPPER TROUGH OVER THE  
CENTRAL US. A FRONT, TRAILING FROM THE FIRST TROUGH/LOW WILL LINGER  
OVER THE OZARKS AND RED RIVER VALLEY. A WEAK LEE LOW WILL DEVELOP  
AND MOVE EAST AS COLD FRONT MOVE SOUTH. GUSTY WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS  
AND DRY CONDITIONS MAY PROMOTE ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER POTENTIAL.  
   
..SOUTHWEST TX AND RIO GRANDE VALLEY  
 
AS THE UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST, LARGE-SCALE ASCENT  
WILL SUPPORT INCREASING MASS RESPONSE OVER PORTIONS OF WEST TX. AS  
THE WEAK SECONDARY LOW DEEPENS OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES, STRONG  
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL OVERSPREAD THE REMNANT WARM/DRY SECTOR  
OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN TX AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. DOWNSLOPE  
WINDS AND DIURNAL HEATING SHOULD RESULT IN LOW RH AROUND 20% THROUGH  
THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL INITIALLY BE SUSTAINED AROUND 15-20 MPH,  
BUT EVENTUALLY THE APPROACH OF THE SECOND COLD FRONT WILL SUPPORT  
INCREASING GUSTS TO 20-30 MPH TURNING NORTHWESTERLY. THE INCREASING  
WINDS WILL OVERLAP WITH LOW RH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE  
EVENING. SOME DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS MAY EXTENDED EASTWARD INTO  
THE WESTERN HILL COUNTRY AFTER DARK. WITH DRY FUELS IN PLACE OUTSIDE  
OF RECENT AND EXPECTED RAINFALL, SEVERAL HOURS OF ELEVATED  
FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEAR PROBABLE.  
 
..LYONS.. 01/09/2026  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT  
 
 
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