349  
FNUS22 KWNS 151945  
FWDDY2  
 
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0244 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2025  
 
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z  
   
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
 
 
NO CHANGES TO THE DAY 2 OUTLOOK, SEE PREVIOUS FORECAST.  
   
..COLORADO HIGH PLAINS
 
 
A MID-LEVEL JET AHEAD OF A PRONOUNCED MID-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE  
WEST WILL OVERSPREAD THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS THURSDAY. AN  
ASSOCIATED LEE CYCLONE/TROUGH IN EASTERN CO ALONG WITH ENHANCED  
MID-LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES SHOULD  
SUPPORT A FAVORABLE DOWNSLOPE WARMING/DRYING EVENT ACROSS EASTERN  
COLORADO THURSDAY. LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH  
WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15-20 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLING TO  
AS LOW AS 10% ARE EXPECTED, ALIGNING WITH POCKETS OF DRIER FUELS  
THAT REMAIN AFTER SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE DAY 1 PERIOD.  
 
..WILLIAMS.. 10/15/2025  
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 0146 AM CDT WED OCT 15 2025/  
   
..SYNOPSIS
 
 
DOWNSTREAM OF A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED LARGE-SCALE TROUGH OVER THE WEST, A  
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY MIDLEVEL JET WILL OVERSPREAD THE  
CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS. A RELATED SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK NORTHWARD  
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS, WHILE A SECONDARY LEE CYCLONE EVOLVES  
OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE LEE CYCLONE, A  
TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL FAVOR 15-20 MPH SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY  
SURFACE WINDS (WITH HIGHER GUSTS) OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.  
WHILE THESE BREEZY/GUSTY WINDS MAY BRIEFLY OVERLAP 25-30 PERCENT RH  
OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS (WHERE FUELS ARE DRY), THE  
FIRE-WEATHER THREAT LOOKS TOO MARGINAL/LOCALIZED FOR HIGHLIGHTS AT  
THIS TIME.  
 
OVER PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC, DRY/BREEZY POST-FRONTAL CONDITIONS  
MAY RESULT IN LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR ANY AREAS  
THAT MISSED OUT ON RAINFALL OVER THE LAST COUPLE WEEKS.  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
 
 

 
 
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