492
FNUS22 KWNS 030801
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0200 AM CST TUE MAR 03 2026
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
..SYNOPSIS
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS THROUGH D2/WEDNESDAY AS A MORE AMPLIFIED
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DIGS SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE WEST. AT THE SURFACE,
A WEAK CYCLONE WILL TRANSITION NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MIDWEST
ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY BOUNDARY FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM FAR WEST
TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE MIDWEST AND THEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE
MID-ATLANTIC. COOLER TEMPERATURES, LIGHT WINDS, AND MODESTLY
INCREASED RH WITHIN THE POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS ARE EXPECTED TO TEMPER
ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS. WHILE A CORRIDOR OF STRONGER SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
(15-20 MPH) IS FORECAST AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW FROM SOUTHERN TEXAS
INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY, RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL MAINTAIN SURFACE RH ABOVE 40-50% ACROSS REGION.
MEANWHILE, A SECOND SURFACE CYCLONE WILL SHIFT SOUTHEASTWARD FROM
ALBERTA INTO SOUTHEASTERN MONTANA AND MAY BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF
LOCALIZED DOWNSLOPE WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS;
HOWEVER, SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN LIGHT (LESS THAN 15
MPH) ACROSS ANY AREAS THAT DO SEE DECREASED RH VALUES OF 20% OR
LESS. GIVEN THE EXPECTED POOR OVERLAP OF LOW RH AND STRONGER
SUSTAINED WINDS, WIDESPREAD FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
..CHALMERS/LYONS.. 03/03/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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