583
FNUS22 KWNS 160705
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0204 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
..SYNOPSIS
A CLOSED MID-LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN POSITIONED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ON D2/SATURDAY AS UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING BEGINS TO
SHIFT EASTWARD INTO THE PLAINS. THIS WILL FOSTER RESIDUAL OFFSHORE
FLOW AND LINGERING ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SUNDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE, A STRONG COLD
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS OFFSHORE OF THE EAST COAST AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS INTO THE OHIO VALLEY, HELPING TO
MAINTAIN DRY AND BREEZY POST-FRONTAL CONDITIONS AND ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
..SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
A CLOSED MID-LEVEL LOW WILL REMAINED POSITIONED WEST OF THE NORTHERN
BAJA PENINSULA, WHICH WILL HELP MAINTAIN RESIDUAL EASTERLY OFFSHORE
FLOW INTO D2/SATURDAY. GENERALLY EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS OF 10-20 MPH
(LOCALLY GREATER) ARE FORECAST SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE MAGNITUDES
BEGIN TO WEAKEN SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WITH RH VALUES LIKELY TO REMAIN
AROUND 15-20% DURING THE MORNING HOURS, THIS WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS THE
SIMI VALLEY AND SIERRA MADRE/SAN RAFAEL RANGES.
..LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
A DRY AND BREEZY POST-FRONTAL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST ON SATURDAY AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TO THE
NORTH. NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10-15 MPH AND MINIMUM DAYTIME RH
VALUES AROUND 25% ARE EXPECTED ATOP DRY, RECEPTIVE FUELS (ERCS
COMMONLY ABOVE THE 80-90TH PERCENTILES) ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY, FOSTERING ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
FROM SOUTHERN LA INTO SOUTHEASTERN AR AND MUCH OF WESTERN/CENTRAL
MS.
..CHALMERS.. 10/16/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page