658
FNUS22 KWNS 221749
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1248 PM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
A SLIGHT EXPANSION TO THE NORTH AND EAST WAS MADE TO THE ELEVATED
AREA FOCUSED OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC. RECENT RAINFALL CONSTRAINS THE
SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE AREA WHERE MARGINALLY ELEVATED WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE, BUT FUELS ARE NOT AS RECEPTIVE. BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT, NORTHWEST WINDS SUSTAINED AT 10-20 MPH WILL COMBINE
WITH RHS OF 20-30% DURING PEAK HEATING ON THE AFTERNOON OF DAY
2/MONDAY. WHILE SOME OF THE LATEST FORECAST GUIDANCE HAS TRENDED
SLIGHTLY DRIER, DOWNSLOPE FLOW (WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS EXCEEDING 30
MPH) ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS IS EXPECTED TO DRY
AIR EVEN FURTHER THAN CONSENSUS CURRENTLY INDICATES.
..STEARNS.. 03/22/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0108 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
ON MONDAY, AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY ACROSS PARTS
OF THE EAST. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS. DRY SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL OCCUR IN THE PLAINS.
..PIEDMONT
DRY AND BREEZY DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT
DURING THE AFTERNOON. RH COULD DROP AS LOW AS 25-30%. WINDS OF
AROUND 15 MPH ARE POSSIBLE, THOUGH LOCALLY HIGHER SPEEDS COULD
OCCUR. SOME PRECIPITATION OCCURRED LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON,
ESPECIALLY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. LOCALLY ELEVATED CONDITIONS
REMAIN POSSIBLE IN SOUTH CAROLINA, BUT CONFIDENCE IN SUSTAINED
ELEVATED CONDITIONS IS HIGHER FARTHER NORTH WHERE FUELS SHOULD BE
RELATIVELY DRIER.
..SOUTHWEST INTO THE PLAINS
A MORE NEBULOUS SURFACE PATTERN WILL GENERALLY KEEP WINDS WEAK IN
MOST AREAS. HOWEVER, SOME ENHANCED SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE,
PARTICULARLY IN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS. RH THE
SOUTHWEST WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE 10-20% RANGE. RH IN THE PLAINS
IS LESS CERTAIN, BUT POCKETS AROUND 20% COULD BE OBSERVED. WITHOUT
STRONGER SURFACE WINDS, ONLY LOCALLY ELEVATED CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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