419
FNUS22 KWNS 210526
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2025
VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
..SYNOPSIS
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL LIKELY REMAIN LIMITED FOR WEDNESDAY
ACROSS THE COUNTRY, THOUGH LOCALIZED CONCERNS MAY EMERGE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND THE SOUTHEAST. AN UPPER LOW
CURRENTLY OFF THE SOUTHERN CA COAST IS FORECAST TO SHIFT EAST OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS, REACHING THE SOUTHWEST BY LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
AS THIS OCCURS, SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS AHEAD OF THE WAVE WILL PROMOTE AN INCREASE IN SOUTHERLY
WINDS ACROSS TX AND OK. THE ONGOING FRONTAL INTRUSION INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY MODULATE MOISTURE RETURN INTO THE
REGION ON WEDNESDAY, RESULTING IN DRY/BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS
NORTHERN TX INTO CENTRAL OK. DRY RETURN FLOW REGIMES ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS TYPICALLY VERIFY DRIER THAN DEPICTED BY GUIDANCE AT
THIS RANGE, SO RH MINIMUMS IN THE TEENS APPEAR PROBABLE WHEN
ADJUSTING FOR CURRENT DETERMINISTIC/ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS. DESPITE THE
DRY CONDITIONS, WIND SPEEDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTED TO EXCEED 15
MPH OVER A SUBSTANTIAL AREA, WHICH LIMITS CONFIDENCE IN THE OVERALL
FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL (THOUGH TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED). SIMILARLY,
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY REMAIN BENIGN ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON; HOWEVER, PORTIONS OF GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS
MAY SEE RH REDUCTIONS INTO THE 20-30% RANGE WITHIN A WEAK DOWNSLOPE
FLOW REGIME OFF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.
..MOORE.. 10/21/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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