441  
FNUS22 KWNS 181934  
FWDDY2  
 
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0233 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2025  
 
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z  
 
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY. SOME UNCERTAINTY  
REMAINS IN TIMING OF COLD FRONT PASSAGE ACROSS THE TRANS-PECOS AREA  
AFFECTING RESIDENCE TIME OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. HIGHER  
CONFIDENCE OF AN ELEVATED TO A LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT  
WILL EXIST ACROSS THE BIG BEND AREA WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15-20  
MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPPING TO BELOW 10 PERCENT AT TIMES,  
BEFORE CONDITIONS MODERATE FOR SATURDAY EVENING BEHIND THE COLD  
FRONT.  
 
..WILLIAMS/LYONS.. 04/18/2025  
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 1247 AM CDT FRI APR 18 2025/  
   
..SYNOPSIS
 
 
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL EJECT INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON  
SATURDAY, THOUGH IT WILL LOSE SOME AMPLITUDE DURING THE PERIOD. A  
COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE SOUTHWARD INTO MORE OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH  
PLAINS AND EVENTUALLY THE PERMIAN BASIN. A SURFACE LOW NEAR THE  
TRANS-PECOS/BIG BEND WILL DEEPEN DURING THE DAY BEFORE WEAKENING  
DURING THE EVENING AS THE TROUGH LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD.  
   
..TRANS-PECOS/BIG BEND
 
 
THOUGH COOLER/MOIST AIR TO THE EAST AND NORTH WILL LIMIT THE AREAL  
EXTENT, ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER WILL OCCUR WITHIN THE TRANS-PECOS AND  
BIG BEND SATURDAY AFTERNOON. MODERATE TO STRONG MID-LEVEL WINDS WILL  
REMAIN IN THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON AND THE SURFACE LOW WILL  
ALSO BE DEEPEST DURING THE FAVORABLE DIURNAL HEATING MAXIMUM. CLOUD  
COVER SHOULD BE MINIMAL IN THIS AREA GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF DRY AIR  
ALOFT. SURFACE WINDS OF 15-20 MPH ARE LIKELY ALONG WITH RH OF 5-20%.  
AREAS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO INTO THE SOUTH PLAINS COULD SEE  
BRIEFLY ELEVATED CONDITIONS, BUT UNCERTAINTY IN DURATION IS TOO  
GREAT FOR HIGHLIGHTS.  
   
..FLORIDA
 
 
CONTINUED DRY EASTERLY FLOW WILL ONCE AGAIN PROMOTE ELEVATED FIRE  
WEATHER ALONG THE WESTERN PENINSULA DURING THE AFTERNOON. MODELS  
INDICATE WINDS COULD BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER THAN ON FRIDAY (10-15  
MPH). RH WILL FALL TO SIMILAR LEVELS, HOWEVER (25-35% ANTICIPATED BY  
THE AFTERNOON. VERY DRY FUELS WILL SUPPORT FIRE SPREAD.  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
 
 

 
 
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