064
FNUS22 KWNS 270659
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0159 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION...
..SYNOPSIS
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CENTERED WITHIN THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL
BEGIN TO PIVOT NORTHEASTWARD ON D2/SUNDAY, WITH AN ASSOCIATED
MID-LEVEL JET CONTINUING TO BE ORIENTED ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION AND A COLD FRONT PROGRESSING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD, AND
POTENTIALLY STALLING, ACROSS THE WEST. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE
ROBUST FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE GREAT BASIN AND
SOUTHWEST.
..FOUR CORNERS REGION
A THIRD CONSECUTIVE DAY OF ENHANCED SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS OF
20-25+ MPH AND DRY RH OF 10-20% IS FORECAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
EASTERN GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY. LATEST GUIDANCE
CONTINUES TO DEPICT A CORRIDOR OF 20-25 MPH SUSTAINED SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS (WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35-40 MPH) AMID
VERY LOW RH OF 10-15%. WITH THIS MULTI-DAY PERIOD OF DRY/BREEZY
CONDITIONS EXACERBATING FUEL DRYNESS/RECEPTIVENESS (AND ERCS ALREADY
NOTED TO BE IN THE 80-95+ PERCENTILES), SEVERAL HOURS OF CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON, EXTENDING
FROM NORTHERN ARIZONA INTO SOUTHEASTERN UTAH, NORTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO, AND SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO. A BROADER AREA OF ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED ACROSS ADJACENT AREAS OF THE GREAT
BASIN/SOUTHWEST WHERE WINDS OF 15-25 MPH ARE FORECAST TO OVERLAP LOW
RH OF 10-20%.
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THE ELEVATED/CRITICAL HIGHLIGHTS WITH
THIS CYCLE BASED ON THE LATEST HIGH-RES GUIDANCE, INCLUDING SLIGHT
EXPANSIONS OF THE CRITICAL AND ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS SOUTHWARD AND
WESTWARD, RESPECTIVELY.
..CHALMERS.. 06/27/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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