540
FNUS22 KWNS 011951
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0151 PM CST SUN FEB 01 2026
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
..CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING MID-LEVEL TROUGH, ALONG WITH LEE CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS EASTERN NM AND THE TX PANHANDLE WILL SUPPORT BREEZY
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS MONDAY. PRIMARY
DRIVER OF ELEVATED NORTH/NORTHWEST WINDS FROM SOUTHEASTERN WY,
EASTERN CO AND WESTERN KS, WILL BE AN EVOLVING COLD FRONT NORTH OF
THE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW NEAR THE TX PANHANDLE. NORTH/NORTHWEST
WINDS OF 15-20 MPH ARE EXPECTED AMID RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE 20-25%
RANGE ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. A DRIER, DOWNSLOPE
PRESENTATION IS EXPECTED FARTHER SOUTH WITH RH FALLING TO AS LOW AS
15% ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NM AND THE TX PANHANDLE COINCIDING
WITH WEST/SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE FLOW APPROACHING 20 MPH BY
MID-AFTERNOON. LOCALIZED ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE LIKELY,
BUT MARGINALLY DRY FUELS ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD MITIGATE A WIDER
FIRE WEATHER CONCERN.
..FLORIDA
FORECAST REMAINS CONSISTENT WITH LIGHTER NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ACROSS
THE FL PENINSULA MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES INTO THE NORTHERN
GULF. VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN WITH RH FALLING TO AROUND 25%
IN INTERIOR LOCATIONS, BUT INHIBITED WINDS SHOULD MITIGATE A BROADER
FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
..WILLIAMS.. 02/01/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1229 AM CST SUN FEB 01 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
AFTER UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING SHIFTS INTO PARTS OF THE PLAINS ON SUNDAY,
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL LEAD TO SOME BREAKDOWN OF THAT RIDGE AS IT
DIVES SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON MONDAY. AT THE
SURFACE, A MODEST LEE TROUGH/CYCLONE WILL DEVELOP IN THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS AND SHIFT SOUTHWARD. FIRE WEATHER RISK WILL BROADLY
REMAIN LOW ACROSS A MAJORITY OF THE CONUS.
..CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE LEE TROUGH/CYCLONE, AT LEAST MODEST
DOWNSLOPE WINDS APPEAR POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE
MORE NORTHERLY IN THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. MID/UPPER CLOUDS MAKE RH
REDUCTIONS UNCERTAIN IN THIS AREA. FARTHER SOUTH, WINDS IN EASTERN
NEW MEXICO WILL MORE LIKELY BE WESTERLY AND RH COULD FALL BELOW 20%.
IN BOTH AREAS, WINDS WILL BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE WITH AROUND 15 MPH
EXPECTED (LOCALLY UP TO 20 MPH). THIS OVERALL ENVIRONMENT WILL BE
CONDUCIVE TO FUEL DRYING BUT IS NOT EXPECTED TO CARRY MORE THAN A
LOCALIZED FIRE WEATHER RISK.
..FLORIDA
RH BELOW 25-30% WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON. A MORE
RELAXED PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL MEAN LIGHTER WINDS THAN THE PREVIOUS
TWO DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER, HOWEVER. WITHOUT STRONGER
SURFACE WINDS, FIRE WEATHER RISK APPEARS LOW. LOCALIZED CONCERNS ARE
POSSIBLE WHERE RECENT RAINFALL WAS NOT OBSERVED.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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