503
FNUS22 KWNS 181927
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0126 PM CST TUE NOV 18 2025
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS OUTLOOK WITH LIMITED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
ACROSS CONUS. RAINFALL DEFICITS AND DRY/CURING FUELS REMAIN ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS ALTHOUGH A FAVORABLE
ALIGNMENT OF DRY/BREEZY CONDITIONS APPEARS UNLIKELY WEDNESDAY OVER
THE REGION. INCREASING FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF A MID/UPPER LOW ACROSS
SOUTHERN CA AND AT LEAST WEAK LEE TROUGHING ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS SHOULD PROMOTE AN INCREASED WIND POTENTIAL ACROSS NM/TX
PANHANDLE AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LATEST FORECAST GUIDANCE STILL
DEPICTS SOME CLEARING ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NM/SOUTHEASTERN CO
VICINITY WHICH COULD SUPPORT LOCALLY HIGHER WIND SPEEDS UP TO 20
MPH, ALTHOUGH MARGINALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 25-30% WILL
MITIGATE OVERALL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
..WILLIAMS.. 11/18/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0110 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
THE POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEARS LIMITED
FOR WEDNESDAY. LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS REASONABLY STRONG AGREEMENT IN
THE EASTWARD TRANSLATION OF THE SOUTHERN CA UPPER LOW INTO THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MODEST LEE
TROUGHING/CYCLOGENESIS IS EXPECTED AS THIS OCCURS, BUT THE LOW-LEVEL
WIND RESPONSE IS EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY MUTED WITH AROUND 10-15 MPH
SUSTAINED WINDS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.
ADDITIONALLY, SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD MID/HIGH-LEVEL CLOUD COVER IS
ANTICIPATED, WHICH WILL MODULATE DIURNAL HEATING AND MOST LIKELY
LIMIT RH REDUCTIONS TO THE 25-35% RANGE. RECENT ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE
HINTS THAT SOME MID-AFTERNOON CLEARING IS POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR
NORTHEAST NM INTO THE OK/TX PANHANDLES, WHICH MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR
A POCKET OF SUB-25% RH AND WINDS BETWEEN 15-20 MPH. HOWEVER, THIS
POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO LIMITED/LOCALIZED TO WARRANT RISK HIGHLIGHTS
AT THIS TIME.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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