349
FNUS22 KWNS 151945
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0244 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2025
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
NO CHANGES TO THE DAY 2 OUTLOOK, SEE PREVIOUS FORECAST.
..COLORADO HIGH PLAINS
A MID-LEVEL JET AHEAD OF A PRONOUNCED MID-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE
WEST WILL OVERSPREAD THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS THURSDAY. AN
ASSOCIATED LEE CYCLONE/TROUGH IN EASTERN CO ALONG WITH ENHANCED
MID-LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES SHOULD
SUPPORT A FAVORABLE DOWNSLOPE WARMING/DRYING EVENT ACROSS EASTERN
COLORADO THURSDAY. LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH
WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15-20 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLING TO
AS LOW AS 10% ARE EXPECTED, ALIGNING WITH POCKETS OF DRIER FUELS
THAT REMAIN AFTER SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE DAY 1 PERIOD.
..WILLIAMS.. 10/15/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0146 AM CDT WED OCT 15 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
DOWNSTREAM OF A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED LARGE-SCALE TROUGH OVER THE WEST, A
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY MIDLEVEL JET WILL OVERSPREAD THE
CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS. A RELATED SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS, WHILE A SECONDARY LEE CYCLONE EVOLVES
OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE LEE CYCLONE, A
TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL FAVOR 15-20 MPH SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY
SURFACE WINDS (WITH HIGHER GUSTS) OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.
WHILE THESE BREEZY/GUSTY WINDS MAY BRIEFLY OVERLAP 25-30 PERCENT RH
OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS (WHERE FUELS ARE DRY), THE
FIRE-WEATHER THREAT LOOKS TOO MARGINAL/LOCALIZED FOR HIGHLIGHTS AT
THIS TIME.
OVER PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC, DRY/BREEZY POST-FRONTAL CONDITIONS
MAY RESULT IN LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR ANY AREAS
THAT MISSED OUT ON RAINFALL OVER THE LAST COUPLE WEEKS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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