025
FNUS22 KWNS 150554
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1253 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2026
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
..SYNOPSIS
POST FRONTAL NORTHERLY FLOW WILL SHIFT INTO SOUTHERN/CENTRAL TEXAS
FOR D2/MONDAY, WITH ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED. DRY
RETURN FLOW WILL BRING ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS EASTERN
NEW MEXICO INTO WESTERN TEXAS AS A HIGH BUILDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS AND MOVES INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY.
..EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS
ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO WESTERN TEXAS, SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
WINDS 10-15 MPH WILL OVERLAP RELATIVE HUMIDITY REDUCTIONS TO AROUND
15-20%. AN ELEVATED WAS MAINTAINED WITH THIS OUTLOOK TO SUPPORT THIS
THREAT. FUELS IN THIS REGION ARE EXPECTED TO BE CRITICALLY DRY AFTER
MULTIPLE DAYS OF DRY/WIND CONDITIONS.
..SOUTHERN/CENTRAL TEXAS
BEHIND THE SOUTHWARD ADVANCING COLD FRONT, RELATIVE HUMIDITY
REDUCTIONS TO AROUND 15-25% (LOCALLY AROUND 10% IN SOUTH TEXAS) WILL
OVERLAP SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS AT 10-20 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH TEXAS BRUSH COUNTRY TO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND ACROSS THE
MIDDLE TEXAS COAST. THE D3 40 PERCENT WAS MAINTAINED AND EXPANDED
ACROSS THE COAST WITH THIS UPDATE. FUELS ACROSS THE SOUTH TEXAS
BRUSH COUNTRY ARE CRITICALLY DRY, WITH ERCS FORECAST TO BE AROUND
THE 75-90TH PERCENTILE. FUELS ACROSS THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST REGION
ARE MORE MARGINAL BUT ARE FORECAST TO BE AROUND THE 50-75TH
PERCENTILE BY D2/MONDAY.
..THORNTON.. 03/15/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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