081
FNUS22 KWNS 171941
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0140 PM CST MON NOV 17 2025
VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
NO CHANGES FOR THE DAY 2 OUTLOOK UPDATE. MINIMAL OVERLAP OF
DRY/BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH RECEPTIVE FUELS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
CONUS. A WEAKENING SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO THE MID-MS VALLEY AND A
DEPARTING MID-LEVEL JET WILL PROMOTE LIGHTER WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS OF
AROUND 10 MPH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WHERE RECEPTIVE FUELS AND
DRY GRASSES EXIST. CLOUD COVER IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
OVER CA SHOULD REDUCE DAYTIME BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING, LIMITING WIND
SPEEDS TO BELOW 15 MPH AND RH REDUCTIONS TO AROUND 20% ACROSS
WESTERN/NORTHWESTERN TX. RESIDUAL DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EASTWARD OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND A SURFACE LOW ENTERS THE LOWER OH RIVER
VALLEY. INCREASING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10-20 MPH ACROSS THE
LOWER MS VALLEY AND OH RIVER VALLEY SHOULD BE OFFSET WITH THE DRIER
AIR MASS AND FUELS IN THE SOUTHEAST, LIMITING A BROADER FIRE WEATHER
THREAT.
..WILLIAMS.. 11/17/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0100 AM CST MON NOV 17 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS APPEAR LIMITED FOR TUESDAY ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
A SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ALONG THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS IS
FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH LATE TUESDAY ACROSS THE
OZARKS/MID-MS VALLEY. A WESTERLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW REGIME WILL LIKELY
PERSIST ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AHEAD OF A WEAK
COLD FRONT, BUT INCREASING DISPLACEMENT FROM THE WEAKENING LOW WILL
FAVOR WEAKER WINDS COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS (GENERALLY NEAR/BELOW
15 MPH). NONETHELESS, DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER AN AREA THAT
SHOULD HAVE RECEPTIVE FINE FUELS AFTER PRECEDING DAYS OF DRY/BREEZY
CONDITIONS. LOCALIZED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE POSSIBLE WHERE WINDS
CAN INCREASE TO NEAR 15 MPH, BUT LIMITED CONFIDENCE IN THE
COVERAGE/DURATION OF ADEQUATELY STRONG WINDS PRECLUDES RISK
HIGHLIGHTS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page