696
FNUS22 KWNS 240550
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 AM CDT WED JUN 24 2026
VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
..SYNOPSIS
A SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME WILL CONTINUE SHIFTING EASTWARD ACROSS
THE INTERIOR WEST BY THURSDAY, FOCUSING BOTH WET AND DRY
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL FROM SOUTHWESTERN WY THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION. SCATTERED TO ISOLATED HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS WILL INITIATE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE DRAWN AREA ON DAY 2/THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DEPENDING
ON LOCATION/ELEVATION AND ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS FROM THE PREVIOUS
DAY'S CONVECTION, THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY PRESENT AS A MIX OF WET
AND DRY STORMS. GIVEN A DRY SUB-CLOUD LAYER, SUPPORTIVE OF
EVAPORATION, THE PROBABILITY OF NEW LIGHTNING IGNITIONS OVER STILL
RECEPTIVE FUELS WILL REMAIN AT LEAST MODERATE - ESPECIALLY IN AREAS
THAT RECEIVE LESS OR NO RAINFALL FROM DAY 1/WEDNESDAY.
SIMULTANEOUSLY, FARTHER WEST, AN INTENSIFYING TROUGH OVER THE WEST
WILL INTERACT WITH WHAT'S LEFT OF THE RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST TO
BRING DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW TO THE WESTERN GREAT BASIN. THIS REGION
WILL SEE DRY FLOW CUT UNDERNEATH THE DEEPER PACIFIC MOISTURE,
LEADING TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WHERE WINDS WILL BE
SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY AT 15-20 MPH AMID MINIMUM RHS RANGING FROM
10-20 PERCENT.
WHILE THIS SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BRIEFLY TEMPER THE SEVERE
DRYNESS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, A MUCH LARGER CONCERN EXISTS.
ANY LIGHTNING HOLDOVER IGNITIONS FROM STORMS TODAY AND TOMORROW
COULD RAPIDLY EXPAND LATER THIS WEEK. FORECAST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
SHOW A MAJOR, SEASONALLY ABNORMAL TROUGH ARRIVING FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY, BRINGING WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING ABOVE 40 MPH AHEAD OF A
STRONG COLD FRONT.
..STEARNS.. 06/24/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page