953
FNUS22 KWNS 141851
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0151 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
..AFTERNOON UPDATE
AFTER A BRIEF REPRIEVE, HOT, DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS RETURN TO THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS ON DAY 2/MONDAY. STRONG, NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL OVERSPREAD THE CENTRAL STATES BENEATH AN ANCHORED UPPER
LOW IN THE SOUTHERN ONTARIO/QUEBEC REGIONS. A SOUTHWARD PROGRESSING
SURFACE LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL TIGHTEN SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENTS ALONG THE HIGH PLAINS, PROMOTING NORTHWESTERLY SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 15-25 MPH AMID 15-20% RH. ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN
EXPANDED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN WY AND NORTHWESTERN NE TO REFLECT
RECENT GUIDANCE, OVERLAPPING 95-98TH PERCENTILE ERCS WHERE RECEPTIVE
FUELS EXIST (AND THE ONGOING SOUTH FORK FIRE IN NORTHWESTERN NE).
DESPITE WEAKER UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT, STRONGER TERRAIN-DRIVEN WINDS OF
15-20 MPH (LOCALLY GREATER IN GAP-FLOW AREAS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS)
AND 10-15% RH WILL PROMOTE LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS PARTS OF THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN, FOUR CORNERS, AND CENTRAL
ROCKIES.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA.. 06/14/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0100 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN WYOMING INTO NEBRASKA ON MONDAY, AS A DRY AND BREEZY
POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS PRODUCES 15-20 MPH WINDS WITH 15-20% RELATIVE
HUMIDITY ACROSS THE AREA. THESE CONDITIONS WILL OVERLAP WITH
GENERALLY CRITICAL FUELS, AS ERCS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE
95TH-98TH PERCENTILE RANGE. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE
OVERALL COVERAGE AND DURATION OF ELEVATED CONDITIONS, SO EXPANSION
MAY OCCUR IN FUTURE UPDATES.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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