046
FNUS22 KWNS 301924
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0223 PM CDT THU APR 30 2026
VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
..FLORIDA PENINSULA
WESTERLY FLOW SOUTH OF A COLD FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AND
NORTHERN FL, WILL BRING ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TO THE
CENTRAL FL PENINSULA FRIDAY. SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING
DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF A FEW CLOUDS SHOULD SUPPORT MINIMUM RH OF
30-35% (LOCALLY 25%) IN MOST INLAND LOCATIONS IN CENTRAL/EASTERN FL,
WHERE TEMPERATURES REACH INTO THE LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS OF AROUND 10
MPH COMBINED WITH LOW RH AND DRY, RECEPTIVE FUELS (ERCS IN THE
90-97TH PERCENTILES) WILL GENERATE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS,
WHERE ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN SLIGHTLY EXPANDED BASED ON
LATEST FORECAST GUIDANCE.
..WILLIAMS.. 04/30/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1202 AM CDT THU APR 30 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST OVER THE GREAT BASIN AS A
CLOSED LOW DEVELOPS OFFSHORE THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. AN AMPLIFYING
UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN SEABOARD WILL DIG SOUTHWARD AND
AMALGAMATE WITH A SUBTROPICAL SHORTWAVE TRAVERSING THE GULF COAST
REGION, FURTHER ENHANCING WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT FOR MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEAST INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS ON FRIDAY IS EXPECTED TO PROVIDE MUCH NEEDED RELIEF
TO AN EXTENSIVELY DRY FUELSCAPE. PROLONGED DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WILL CONTINUE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
WHERE DROUGHT-STRESSED FUELS EXIST.
..CENTRAL FLORIDA
AHEAD OF A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED OVER NORTHERN FL, STEADY
WESTERLY FLOW AND A RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS AMID RECEPTIVE FUELS WILL
POSE A FIRE WEATHER THREAT ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FL PENINSULA.
IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE ALOFT, HIGH CLOUD
COVER WILL BUILD ACROSS THE PENINSULA THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER, SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS SHOULD ALLOW FOR DEEPER MIXING
INTO A DRY BOUNDARY LAYER. ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN INTRODUCED
WHERE RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BETWEEN 25-35 PERCENT AT PEAK
HEATING WHILE WESTERLY WINDS INCREASE TO 10 MPH ATOP DRY FUELS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page