640
FNUS22 KWNS 140734
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0134 AM CST FRI NOV 14 2025
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
..SYNOPSIS
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE
COUNTRY FOR SATURDAY, THOUGH LOCALIZED CONCERNS MAY EMERGE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND THE SOUTHEAST. A WEAK COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH SOUTH/SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ALTHOUGH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL REMAIN
DRY, AN INFLUX OF COOLER AIR SHOULD MODULATE RH MINIMUMS WITHIN THE
POST FRONTAL REGIME AND LARGELY LIMIT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS, RESULTING IN MOSTLY SUNNY, WARM, AND DRY
CONDITIONS.
..EASTERN NEW MEXICO
THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO IMPINGE ON A REGIONALLY DRY AIR MASS
BY EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEAST NM AND THE OK/TX PANHANDLES.
NORTHERLY WINDS IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE MAY
STRENGTHEN TO 15-20 MPH, THOUGH ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE DEPICTS LOW
PROBABILITY FOR WINDS EXCEEDING 20 MPH. NONETHELESS, AREAS OF
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEAR POSSIBLE GIVEN FORECAST RH
VALUES IN THE MID/UPPER TEENS AND ANTECEDENT DRY FUELS. WESTERLY
WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL LIKELY REMAIN NEAR/BELOW 15 MPH PRIOR
TO THE NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE
MODEST WIND SIGNAL IN ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE LIMITS CONFIDENCE IN WHERE
AND HOW EXPANSIVE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS MAY BE; HOWEVER, CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED AND HIGHLIGHTS MAY BE NEEDED IF
POST-FRONTAL WINDS TREND TOWARDS ELEVATED/CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.
..SOUTHERN GEORGIA INTO SOUTH CAROLINA
NEARLY 48-HOURS OF SUBSIDENCE UNDER THE BUILDING SURFACE HIGH
COMBINED WITH AMPLE INSOLATION ON SATURDAY WILL LIKELY PROMOTE
WIDESPREAD RH REDUCTIONS INTO THE 25-35% RANGE FROM SOUTHERN GA INTO
SC. IN GENERAL, PRESSURE GRADIENT WINDS WILL REMAIN MODEST IN
PROXIMITY TO THE SURFACE HIGH, BUT SOME LOCATIONS MAY SEE WINDS
INCREASE TO 10-15 MPH AROUND PEAK HEATING, WHICH COULD PROMOTE AREAS
OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. GIVEN ANTECEDENT DROUGHT
CONDITIONS (AND LIGHT FIRE ACTIVITY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS),
LOCALIZED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS MAY EMERGE.
..MOORE.. 11/14/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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