991
FNUS22 KWNS 141956
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0155 PM CST SAT FEB 14 2026
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHWESTERN NEBRASKA AND FAR
SOUTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...
..NORTHWESTERN NEBRASKA AND FAR SOUTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA
INCREASING WESTERLY FLOW AT THE CREST OF AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS
EXPECTED SUNDAY. A CORRESPONDING LEE TROUGH FORMING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS WILL ENHANCE SURFACE WINDS ACROSS THE
REGION. A LOW-LEVEL JET COLLOCATED ATOP THE BROADER SOUTHWEST
SURFACE WIND FIELD IN NORTHWESTERN NE AND FAR SOUTH-CENTRAL SD,
ALONG WITH RH REDUCTIONS TO 15-20% AND MARKEDLY DRY FUELS SHOULD
YIELD A FEW HOURS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON WHERE CRITICAL HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN ADDED.
..CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
SLIGHT MODIFICATIONS TO THE EXISTING BROAD REGION OF ELEVATED
HIGHLIGHTS WERE NEEDED OWING TO RECENT PRECIPITATION ACROSS PORTIONS
OF EASTERN CO AND WESTERN KS. EXPANDING UPPER-LEVEL CLOUD COVER OVER
THE HIGH PLAINS ADJACENT TO THE CO FRONT RANGE COULD REDUCE BOUNDARY
LAYER MIXING AND SUBSEQUENT SURFACE WIND SPEEDS FOR THE AREA,
MITIGATING A BROADER FIRE WEATHER CONCERN. DOWNSLOPE ENHANCED WINDS
OF 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS SHOULD EMERGE SOUTH OF THE PALMER
DIVIDE AMID AFTERNOON RH OF AROUND 15%. HOWEVER, RECENT OBSERVED
RAINFALL BETWEEN 0.10-0.40" SHOULD TEMPORARILY MITIGATE AN OTHERWISE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE AREA.
..WILLIAMS.. 02/14/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1209 AM CST SAT FEB 14 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH A WEAK JET MAX NEAR THE APEX
OF THE RIDGE OVER NORTHERN COLORADO AND SOUTHERN WYOMING. THIS
SHOULD RESULT IN DRY, BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND DOWNSLOPE FLOW ALONG THE FRONT RANGE IN
COLORADO. RH NEAR 15-20% IS EXPECTED ALONG IN THE PRESENCE OF WINDS
NEAR 15-20 MPH WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THE
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE FACTORS ALONG WITH DRY FUELS IN THE AREA
PROMPTED THE ADDITION OF AN ELEVATED AREA ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS
PARTS OF NORTHWESTERN KANSAS AND EASTERN COLORADO, WITH THE MUCH OF
THE WETTING RAINS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE ELEVATED RISK
AREA. HOWEVER, IF MORE OR LESS RAIN FALLS THAN EXPECTED, ADJUSTMENTS
MAY BE NEEDED IN THIS AREA.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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