281
FNUS22 KWNS 081849
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0148 PM CDT WED JUL 08 2026
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
..AFTERNOON UPDATE
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE ONGOING FORECAST. A DRY AIRMASS WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THE COLUMBIA BASIN INTO EASTERN OREGON ON DAY
2/THURSDAY, THOUGH LIGHTER WESTERLY SUSTAINED WINDS OF 10-15 MPH
PRECLUDE THE INTRODUCTION OF BROADER FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS.
LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN
TERRAIN-FAVORED AND GAP FLOW REGIONS OF THE CASCADES, POTENTIALLY
IMPACTING ANY NEW OR ONGOING WILDFIRES. FARTHER SOUTH, DRY AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE GREATER FOUR CORNERS INTO
INTERIOR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THESE CONDITIONS FOLLOWING CONSECUTIVE
DAYS OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS COULD PROMOTE THE EMERGENCE OF LIGHTNING
HOLDOVERS. IN ADDITION, LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WHERE HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE DEPICTS STRONGER SUSTAINED WINDS OF
OVER 20 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN UT, AND THE INTERIOR SIDE OF
THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA MOUNTAIN REGIONS INTO THE ADJACENT DESERTS.
SEE THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOR MORE INFORMATION.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA.. 07/08/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1249 AM CDT WED JUL 08 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST AS THE
UPPER HIGH IS SUPPRESSED TO JUST OFF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST.
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS LIKELY TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY
OF THE UPPER HIGH FROM CENTRAL CALIFORNIA TOWARDS THE FOUR CORNERS,
WITH SLIGHTLY ENHANCED WESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW (30-40 KNOTS) FROM
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTO THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN. THE PACIFIC COLD
FRONT WILL STALL AND WEAKEN ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN AND
NORTHERN ROCKIES.
MID-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO GET PUSHED EASTWARD AND
SUPPRESSED SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS, WITH MOST OF THE
MOISTURE CONFINED TO ALONG AND EAST OF THE FRONT RANGE AND SOUTHERN
ROCKIES AND ACROSS SOUTHERN ARIZONA/NEW MEXICO. ISOLATED MOSTLY DRY
THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN LIKELY IN PORTIONS OF WESTERN COLORADO AND
EASTERN UTAH AS ENOUGH RESIDUAL MID-LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD COMBINE
WITH INSOLATION AND TERRAIN CIRCULATIONS TO ESTABLISH SUFFICIENT
UPDRAFT DEPTH FOR CLOUD ELECTRIFICATION. ADDITIONALLY, SOME FORCING
FOR ASCENT COULD BE PRESENT AS WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH THE
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.
A BROAD AREA OF ELEVATED WINDS/RH IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN, FOUR CORNERS, AND INTERIOR SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. WEST-SOUTHWEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF 12-20 MPH WITH GUSTS
OF 20-30 MPH AMID MINIMUM RH OF 5-15% ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THIS REGION. HOLDOVERS AND GROWTH ON ACTIVE LARGE WILDFIRES IN THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION ARE A CONCERN GIVEN THE RECENT LIGHTNING AND
STILL VERY DRY FUELS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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