343
FNUS74 KMOB 110941
FWSMOB
SPOT FORECAST FOR YRS04OPP0108W...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
441 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON MARCH 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 93 EXPECTED TODAY OVER THE BURN
AREA...
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 93 EXPECTED THURSDAY OVER THE
BURN AREA...
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. A LINE OF HEAVY RAIN, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE STORMS, WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
DRY CONDITIONS RETURN FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS A 90%
CHANCE OF RAIN TONIGHT. FOR TODAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
IS NEAR 55%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO NEAR 25 MPH, TRANSPORT
WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTHERLY TO SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY, AND
DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD (AROUND 90-95). FOR THURSDAY, THE
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 45%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP
TO NEAR 25-30 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY NORTHERLY, AND
DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD (AROUND 90-95).
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT REMAINS
POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. ANY FOG THAT DOES DEVELOP SHOULD DISSIPATE
BY MID MORNING.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...274-1554 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 23 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 10 METERS/SECOND INCREASING TO 9 TO
10 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 89.
LVORI...............5.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........86 77 72 70 62 61 53 45 42 41 49
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
TEMP............65 67 69 73 76 79 82 82 82 83 82
RH..............100 100 97 84 76 67 58 58 58 55 58
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 6 7 9 10 10 12 12 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 15 17 21 23 24 25 25 23 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.3 2.4 3.0 3.8 4.4 5.0 5.1 5.1 4.9 4.9
MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 14 17 21 21 23 23 23 22 21
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 6 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 9
DISPERSION IDX..10 17 39 40 54 79 89 92 93 87 85
LVORI...........8 5 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 20 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING, THEN THEN 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...396-1494 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AROUND 7 METERS/SECOND EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....88 DECREASING TO 11.
LVORI...............4.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........47 51 63 78 72 82 76 87 86 82 82 84
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 20 60 60 60 90 90
TEMP............79 77 73 72 71 71 71 71 70 69 69 65
RH..............64 71 84 87 93 93 93 93 97 100 93 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW WSW WSW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.21 18 20 18 17 17 18 17 17 18 18 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.9 1.8 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.3
MIX HGT (KM)....1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW WSW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 16 16 14 13 14 15 16 15 18 15 15
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW WSW W
TRANS SPD (M/S).9 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 7 7
DISPERSION IDX..88 12 11 9 10 10 10 11 11 12 11 13
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 6 5 5 7 7 5 5
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN
SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...427-1158 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 21
TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH 9 TO 11 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....19 INCREASING TO 40 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 52 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 75 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 89
DECREASING TO 77 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........89 90 89 83 76 64 51 39 29 20 10 8
WEATHER COV.....DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).90 60 60 60 60 60 60 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............63 61 56 57 60 62 64 65 66 65 64 62
RH..............100 100 100 96 84 72 63 56 50 48 46 48
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NNW NNW N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 9
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 23 24 25 26 26 26 26 25 24 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.8
MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.WNW NNW N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 24 24 24 25 25 25 25 25 25 24 21
TRANS WIND DIR..WNW NNW N N N N N N N N N N
TRANS SPD (M/S).9 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 9
DISPERSION IDX..19 36 39 43 50 54 74 76 84 93 90 77
LVORI...........5 4 4 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...96
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MOCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605343.0/MOB
.DELDT 03/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOSEPH.K.MOCK@USDA.GOV
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