545  
FNUS74 KMOB 182027  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICKASAWHAY CPT 372 RX...USFS MS-MNF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
227 PM CST WED FEB 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 CST ON FEBRUARY 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 95-100 EXPECTED THURSDAY OVER THE  
BURN AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE THROUGH  
THURSDAY AFTERNOON, WITH HIGHER RAIN CHANCES RETURNING FOR  
THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. FOR THE REST OF TODAY, THE  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 50%, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL  
GENERALLY BE SOUTHWESTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD  
(AROUND 70). FOR THURSDAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR  
50%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO NEAR 25 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS  
WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY, AND  
DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD TO EXCELLENT.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT IS  
POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY NIGHT. FOG MAY BRIEFLY  
BECOME DENSE AT AROUND DAYBREAK, ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING AREAS.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1463 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....55 INCREASING TO 72 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............1.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CST) 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........71 69 68  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0  
TEMP............77 78 76  
RH..............52 50 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.8 4.8 4.8  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.5 1.5 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SSW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 14  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW SSW SW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).8 8 6  
DISPERSION IDX..55 72 71  
LVORI...........1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...183-335 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....9.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........68 78 75 73 75 80 85 81 79 88 90 80  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
TEMP............73 71 67 67 66 65 64 64 64 64 64 63  
RH..............62 68 78 84 87 90 93 93 93 97 97 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW S S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 12 10 12 12 10 12 10 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW SSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 13 13 14 16 16 14 12 12 10  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW SSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 6 5 5 4  
DISPERSION IDX..8 7 7 8 9 10 11 11 9 7 7 6  
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 8 8 9  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...244-1737 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 24  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 4 TO 11 METERS/SECOND INCREASING TO 6  
TO 10 METERS/SECOND EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 8 TO 11 METERS/SECOND IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 22 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 57 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 72  
INCREASING TO 88 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 97 DECREASING TO 74 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........82 74 61 64 57 65 44 57 49 44 43 34  
WEATHER COV.....PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
TEMP............64 64 64 68 71 74 78 79 80 81 81 79  
RH..............100 100 100 93 81 71 60 58 54 51 51 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 12 13 16 16 16 17 17 17 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.9 1.4 2.3 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.7 5.2 5.7 5.7 5.7  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SSW SW SW SW SW SW SSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 13 17 21 22 23 23 24 24 22 17  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SSW SW SW SW SW SW SSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 6 8 9 10 10 10 11 11 10 8  
DISPERSION IDX..10 11 22 35 57 69 75 88 98 99 95 74  
LVORI...........8 7 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...96  
REQUESTED BY...RODNEY LANDRUM  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603093.0/MOB  
.DELDT 02/18/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MSMIC@FIRENET.GOV,RODNEY.LANDRUM@USDA.GOV  
 
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