067  
FNUS74 KMOB 061227  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICK CPT 423...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
727 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MAY 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI WILL SEE INCREASING COVERAGE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AS AN  
AREA OF RAIN OVERSPREADS THE AREA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL  
REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. WINDS BOTH SURFACE AND TRANSPORT  
WILL BECOME A MORE ORGANIZED SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHERLY TODAY OUTSIDE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. DISPERSIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAIR TODAY.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS  
LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-549 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 13 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.EAST 4 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE MORNING.  
LVORI...............3.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........70 77 73 71 78 87 83 88 88 79  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60  
TEMP............60 65 69 72 72 74 75 75 74 74  
RH..............87 78 70 64 66 64 64 64 66 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 16 17 17 17 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.3 1.3  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E ESE ESE ESE ESE E ESE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 12 12 13 13 12 12 12 13  
TRANS WIND DIR..E E E E ESE ESE ESE ESE E ESE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 4 5 5 6 6 5 5 5 6  
DISPERSION IDX..10 11 17 22 29 28 26 26 22 24  
LVORI...........4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-396 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9  
TO 12 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.EAST AROUND 6 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH 4 TO 5 METERS/SECOND AFTER 3 AM.  
DISPERSION INDEX....26 DECREASING TO 6.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........79 84 83 87 88 88 89 90 83 83 90 93  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 60 80 80 80 80 80  
TEMP............72 71 68 66 65 65 65 65 63 65 63 65  
RH..............71 76 84 90 93 93 97 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..ESE E E ESE E ENE ENE ESE ESE ESE ESE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 17 17 17 16 17 16 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.ESE ESE ESE ESE E ENE SE SSE SSE SSE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 13 12 12 12 14 12 12 9 12 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..ESE ESE ESE ESE E ENE SE SSE SSE SSE S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 5 5 5 6 5 5 4 5 4  
DISPERSION IDX..26 9 8 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 7 6  
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 8 9  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY  
FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20  
MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...183-701 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 46.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........91 91 87 85 88 90 91 92 90 88 86 85  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 90 90 90 80 80 80 80 80  
TEMP............63 64 66 68 71 74 76 78 79 79 79 79  
RH..............100 100 100 100 93 87 82 76 72 72 69 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..E ESE SSE S S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 20 20 20 20 20 21 20 18 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.4 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.9  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SSW SW WSW SW S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 8 13 16 17 16 14 14 15 16 15  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S SSW SW WSW SW S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 5 4 6 7 8 7 6 6 7 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..7 8 9 20 30 43 45 43 42 41 40 37  
LVORI...........8 8 8 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...16  
REQUESTED BY...RYAN BARNETT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2513174.0/MOB  
.DELDT 05/06/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RYAN.BARNETT  
 
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