936
FNUS74 KMOB 151012
FWSMOB
SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BLOCK 8359 C-609...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
512 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON MARCH 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 79 EXPECTED REST OF TODAY OVER
THE BURN AREA...
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 100 EXPECTED MONDAY OVER THE BURN
AREA...
DISCUSSION
THERE IS A 90% CHANCE OF RAIN TONIGHT, AND A 50%
CHANCE OF RAIN MONDAY. FOR THE REST OF TODAY, THE MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 50%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO
NEAR 30 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTHERLY TO SOUTH-
SOUTHWESTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD. FOR MONDAY,
THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 35%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL
BE UP TO NEAR 35 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY
NORTHWESTERLY TO NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL
BE EXCELLENT.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...213-1494 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 26 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 5 TO 12 METERS/SECOND INCREASING TO 7 TO
11 METERS/SECOND IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 12
METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 79.
LVORI...............4.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........56 27 32 45 54 41
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............63 68 76 80 81 80
RH..............97 90 69 58 54 58
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..7 10 15 16 17 17
20 FT WIND GUST.14 18 23 25 26 28
MIX HGT (FT)....700 2400 4300 4800 4800 4800
MIX HGT (M).....210 730 1310 1460 1460 1460
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SSW SSW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 16 24 24 25 26
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S SSW SSW
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 7 11 11 11 12
DISPERSION IDX..10 47 65 73 78 79
LVORI...........7 4 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 17 TO 18 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTS UP TO
33 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...610-1463 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 25 TO 29 MPH OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH AROUND 9 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 11 TO 13 METERS/SECOND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....66 DECREASING TO 25 IN THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT, THEN INCREASING TO 37 OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........53 53 83 85 78 78
WEATHER COV..... LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 60 60 90 50
TEMP............79 73 73 70 63 58
RH..............62 79 84 90 90 77
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW WNW NNW
20 FT WIND SPD..17 16 15 14 15 20
20 FT WIND GUST.28 28 28 25 28 33
MIX HGT (FT)....4800 2600 2600 2000 2200 2300
MIX HGT (M).....1460 790 790 610 670 700
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SSW SW SW NNW NNW
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 18 17 25 29
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW SSW SW SW NNW NNW
TRANS SPD (M/S).9 9 8 8 11 13
DISPERSION IDX..66 26 25 24 34 39
LVORI...........1 3 4 4 4 3
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 32 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...701-1798 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 33 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHWEST 11 TO 15 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....37 INCREASING TO 96.
LVORI...............3.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........66 76 47 32 25 26
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE
TSTM COV........S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 20 20 20 0 0
TEMP............49 44 47 50 52 53
RH..............83 79 63 48 39 35
20 FT WIND DIR..NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW
20 FT WIND SPD..20 20 20 18 18 17
20 FT WIND GUST.32 31 31 31 31 30
MIX HGT (FT)....2300 3000 3300 4300 5200 5900
MIX HGT (M).....700 910 1010 1310 1580 1800
TRANSP WIND DIR.NNW NNW NNW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.29 28 25 28 32 33
TRANS WIND DIR..NNW NNW NNW NW NW NW
TRANS SPD (M/S).13 13 11 13 14 15
DISPERSION IDX..37 63 66 82 96 100
LVORI...........4 3 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...13
REQUESTED BY...CLIFF WILLIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605698.1/MOB
.DELDT 03/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CLIFTON.WILLIS@USDA.GOV
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