428  
FNUS74 KMOB 222044  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BB 8301 C 215...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
344 PM CDT WED APR 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 CDT ON APRIL 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 97 EXPECTED THURSDAY OVER THE  
BURN AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION  
THERE IS A 30% CHANCE OF RAIN THE REST OF TODAY,  
AND A 30% CHANCE OF RAIN TONIGHT. FOR THE REST OF TODAY, THE  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 40%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE  
UP TO NEAR 20 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTH-  
SOUTHEASTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD. FOR THURSDAY,  
THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 40%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL  
BE UP TO NEAR 20 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY  
SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED OVER  
THE BURN SITE LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1646 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH AROUND 5 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....69.  
LVORI...............1.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 4 PM  
SKY (%).........47  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30  
TEMP............80  
RH..............43  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8  
20 FT WIND GUST.17  
MIX HGT (FT)....5400  
MIX HGT (M).....1650  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).5  
DISPERSION IDX..69  
LVORI...........1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
PATCHY FOG AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-1646 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....83 DECREASING TO 4.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........33 20 15 13 5 16  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC PATCHY  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............79 73 65 64 60 59  
RH..............47 62 86 91 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SSE SSE SSE SE ESE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 3 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 12 10 8 7 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....5400 500 500 400 400 300  
MIX HGT (M).....1650 150 150 120 120 90  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SSE SSE SSE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 10 8 7 6  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S SSE SSE SSE SE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 4 4 4 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..83 5 5 3 3 3  
LVORI...........1 3 5 6 9 9  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1920 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 97.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........44 23 9 15 10 12  
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10  
TEMP............58 62 74 79 81 83  
RH..............100 90 62 47 42 41  
20 FT WIND DIR..E ESE SE SE SSE SSE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 6 8 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 9 14 16 18 18  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 700 3300 5000 6300 5900  
MIX HGT (M).....120 210 1010 1520 1920 1800  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SSE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 8 14 13 14 15  
TRANS WIND DIR..SE SE SE SSE S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 4 6 6 6 7  
DISPERSION IDX..3 8 53 75 96 97  
LVORI...........9 6 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...29  
REQUESTED BY...JODY ROGERS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2611405.0/MOB  
.DELDT 04/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSEPH.ROGERS@USDA.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab AL Page
The Nexlab FL Page
The Nexlab MS Page
Main Text Page