871
FNUS74 KMOB 172341
FWSMOB
SPOT FORECAST FOR IPBC...MISSISSIPPI ARMY NATIONAL GUARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
641 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1900 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS
ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE BURN SITE LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING, SHIFTING SURFACE AND TRANSPORT
WINDS TO NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH THE
FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOW. GENERALLY GOOD DISPERSIONS ARE EXPECTED
SATURDAY, GOOD ON SUNDAY.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY DROP BELOW 1 SM IN FAVORED AREAS.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1829 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 69 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
THEN DECREASING TO 45.
LVORI...............5.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........70 74 68 65 61 60 60 59 62 65 68 73
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............62 63 65 68 75 79 81 83 84 85 86 85
RH..............100 97 92 86 69 59 54 49 46 45 46 46
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 10 12 13 15 15 16 16 16 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.2 2.2 3.2 4.0 4.8 5.2 5.8 6.0 5.6 5.6
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW SW SW SW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
DISPERSION IDX..4 7 15 28 39 49 54 59 62 68 47 43
LVORI...........9 8 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...244-1402 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 8 TO 11 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 INCREASING TO 87 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
THEN DECREASING TO 79.
LVORI...............3.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........90 90 87 85 82 75 68 61 52 44 35 32
WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 30 30 30 30 30 30 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............53 53 53 55 58 61 64 66 68 70 70 70
RH..............100 98 93 82 72 59 48 41 35 32 31 31
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 15 15 14 14 13 13 13 13 12 10
20 FT WIND GUST.25 26 26 26 25 25 25 24 24 23 23 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.9 4.4 4.6 4.4 4.4
MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.3
TRANS WIND DIR..NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
TRANS SPD (M/S).9 9 9 10 11 11 11 10 10 10 9 8
DISPERSION IDX..19 26 34 46 58 73 84 85 86 84 76 81
LVORI...........5 4 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...16
REQUESTED BY...SETH WILLIAMSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2610644.0/MOB
.DELDT 04/17/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SETHWILLIAMSON56@GMAIL.COM,SETH.WILLIAMSON2.NFG@ARMY.MIL
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