840  
FNUS74 KMOB 201217  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR EGLIN F-16/17...EGLIN AFB  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
717 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2022  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON JUNE 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
RELATIVELY DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS PREVAIL TODAY AND  
TUESDAY FOR THE BURN AREA. SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS  
ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE BETWEEN 40 AND 50% EACH AFTERNOON WITH  
GENERALLY GOOD DISPERSIONS. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE  
SOUTHEAST TODAY AT 5 TO 10MPH, BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 5MPH TUESDAY.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG NOT EXPECTED.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1000, THEN 1-8 STRIKES.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...671-1829 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 4 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....40 INCREASING TO 44 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 37 LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........17 20 24 25 28 29 29 30 31 33  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
LAL.............1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
TEMP............82 88 92 93 96 96 96 95 93 93  
RH..............72 61 54 52 46 46 46 48 51 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..E ESE ESE ESE SE SE SE SE SE SSE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 8 9 8 9 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 11 12 12 11 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 3.5 4.7 5.1 5.6 6.0 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.6  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.ESE ESE SE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..ESE ESE SE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE SE SE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..36 43 48 48 48 48 44 40 37 37  
LVORI...........3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 1900, THEN NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...213-1402 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 3 TO  
7 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 1 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....37 DECREASING TO 5.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........34 36 32 28 22 21 20 20 24 29 31 31  
WEATHER COV.....SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10  
LAL.............2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............92 90 86 82 82 79 79 78 76 76 76 74  
RH..............54 58 65 77 77 85 85 88 94 90 90 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SSE S SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SE E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 8 6 6 5 5 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.6 2.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.4 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SSE S S S S S S SSW SSW SSW WSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 7 5 3 3  
TRANS WIND DIR..SE SSE S S S S S S SSW SSW SSW WSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 2 1 1  
DISPERSION IDX..37 7 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3  
LVORI...........2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 6 7 7 8  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...244-2134 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 6 TO  
7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 1 TO 3 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 41.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........30 30 27 24 22 20 19 17 18 19 20 21  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............73 75 80 86 90 92 95 97 97 96 96 94  
RH..............97 90 77 65 58 52 45 40 40 40 40 44  
20 FT WIND DIR..E ENE ENE ENE ENE E E E ESE SSE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST. 6 7 8 8 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.9 1.6 2.4 3.1 4.4 5.6 6.9 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N NNE NNE NNE NE NE NNE NNE NNE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7  
TRANS WIND DIR..NW N N N NNE NNE NNE NE NE NNE NNE NNE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..3 8 12 16 20 27 33 41 41 40 40 40  
LVORI...........8 6 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...25  
REQUESTED BY...THOMAS HARRISON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2213967.0/MOB  
.DELDT 06/20/22  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL THOMAS.HARRISON.22@US.AF.MIL  
 
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