925  
FNUS74 KMOB 161111  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR EGLIN E-19...EGLIN WSM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
511 AM CST SAT FEB 16 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON FEBRUARY 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..LOW DISPERSION IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE BURN AREA
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LIGHT WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND WILL GRADUALLY  
BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. VERY LIGHT  
RAIN SHOWERS MAY BE POSSIBLE EMBEDDED WITHIN LOW CLOUDS, BUT NO  
LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. FOG FORMATION MAY BE POSSIBLE NEAR AND AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND  
INTO SUNDAY MORNING. FOG MAY RESTRICT VISIBILITY FROM 1 TO 3 MILES.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-610 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 4 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....15.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........83 80 77 76 75  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 10  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............66 71 74 73 70  
RH..............90 76 69 71 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 7 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 1400 1900 1700 1700  
MIX HGT (M).....90 430 580 520 520  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 9 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..W W W SW SW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..13 15 17 17 15  
LVORI...........6 4 3 3 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5  
MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7.  
LVORI...............7.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........74 76 79 81 82 83  
WEATHER COV..... AREAS AREAS AREAS  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............68 65 64 64 65 66  
RH..............84 93 97 97 97 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 4 4 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 6 6 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 300 300 300 300  
MIX HGT (M).....90 90 90 90 90 90  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 9 10 10  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..6 6 6 7 8 9  
LVORI...........5 7 8 8 8 7  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN PATCHY FOG LATE IN  
THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-518 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 22 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 5 TO 9 METERS/SECOND INCREASING TO 7 TO  
10 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....17 INCREASING TO 27 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 19 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........84 83 82 81 80 79  
WEATHER COV.....AREAS AREAS PATCHY S CHC S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 20 20  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............67 69 71 72 72 71  
RH..............93 90 87 84 84 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 9 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 13 14 13 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 800 1300 1700 1300 1100  
MIX HGT (M).....90 240 400 520 400 340  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 16 21 22 20 17  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 7 9 10 9 8  
DISPERSION IDX..13 17 25 31 29 23  
LVORI...........6 4 4 4 4 4  
 

 
FORECASTER...17  
REQUESTED BY...KEITH HAWK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1901559.0/MOB  
.DELDT 02/16/19  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.23  
.EMAIL KEITH.HAWK.CTR@US.AF.MIL  
 
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