447
FNUS74 KMOB 071105
FWSMOB
SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 6...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
505 AM CST SAT MAR 7 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0630 CST ON MARCH 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...LOW DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 18 EXPECTED SUNDAY OVER THE BURN
AREA...
DISCUSSION
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE BURN SITE STARTING THIS AFTERNOON, AND
ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS
AND A FEW STRONG STORMS, CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS, ARE
POSSIBLE. THERE IS A 50% CHANCE OF RAIN THIS AFTERNOON, A 70%
CHANCE OF RAIN TONIGHT, AND A 90% CHANCE OF RAIN SUNDAY. FOR
TODAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 60%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS
WILL BE UP TO NEAR 25 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE
SOUTHERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD. FOR
SUNDAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 75%, TRANSPORT WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BE SOUTHWESTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE
GENERALLY POOR.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE NEAR
THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING AND AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...396-1006 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 6 TO 9 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....22 INCREASING TO 45.
LVORI...............3.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........82 88 79 84 83 85 78 68 69 66 59 71
WEATHER COV.....PTY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....FOG RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 40 40 40 50 50 50
TEMP............69 68 70 73 74 77 79 80 81 82 81 79
RH..............97 100 100 90 87 76 69 67 65 63 65 69
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 9 10 10 10 12 12 12 10 8
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 16 17 20 21 22 22 21 21 18 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.7
MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 16 17 20 18 18 18 18 17 17 16
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 7 8 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 7
DISPERSION IDX..20 24 30 34 42 46 48 45 44 41 48 48
LVORI...........5 5 4 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE NIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...183-396 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 7
TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............7.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........71 80 87 89 83 92 90 91 91 92 94 91
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 60 60 60 50 50 50 40 40 40
TEMP............76 73 72 71 70 69 69 68 68 68 67 67
RH..............76 87 90 93 97 100 97 100 100 97 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SSE S SSE SSE SE SSE SE SSE SSE SSE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 12 12 10 10 10 9 9 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8
MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SSE S SE SSE ESE SE SE SSE SSE SSE
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 10 10 9 10 9 8 7 9 8
TRANS WIND DIR..S S SSE S SE SSE ESE SE SE SSE SSE SSE
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4
DISPERSION IDX..8 7 7 6 5 5 4 5 4 4 4 4
LVORI...........4 5 5 6 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE DAY. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST
AROUND 5 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-732 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
9 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE WEST 7 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTH AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND EARLY IN THE
MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 3 TO 4
METERS/SECOND IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 17 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........89 94 95 96 94 92 90 91 92 93 85 78
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 90 90 90 90 90 90
TEMP............67 66 67 69 70 72 73 74 75 75 75 73
RH..............100 100 100 100 97 90 87 82 76 76 79 84
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE S S SSW SSW WSW WSW SW SSW S S SSE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 2
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 9 10 12 12 12 12 10 9 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.4
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.ESE SSE SSW WSW WSW W WNW W SW SSW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 9 10 10 9 8 7 7 7 7 7 6
TRANS WIND DIR..ESE SSE SSW WSW WSW W WNW W SW SSW S S
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
DISPERSION IDX..5 7 8 9 11 10 10 12 16 18 18 16
LVORI...........9 8 8 8 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 4
FORECASTER...96
REQUESTED BY...IC - MORGAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2604834.2/MOB
.DELDT 03/07/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MSMIC@FIRENET.GOV
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