441
FXUS62 KTAE 121905
AFDTAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
305 PM EDT SUN APR 12 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 302 PM EDT SUN APR 12 2026
- PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. IF ENCOUNTERING FOG
WHILE DRIVING, THEN SLOW DOWN, USE LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS, AND
INCREASE BRAKING DISTANCE.
- NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. DROUGHT
CONDITIONS WILL WORSEN. FIRE CONCERNS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED.
USE EXTREME CAUTION WITH ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. PLEASE HEED BURN
BANS WHERE THEY ARE IN EFFECT.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEK WITH LOWER 90S LIKELY LATER THIS WEEK WHICH WILL BE
APPROACHING RECORD HIGHS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 302 PM EDT SUN APR 12 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA. PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT, MAINLY ACROSS THE I-75 CORRIDOR AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE
FROM MOSTLY IN THE MID 50S INLAND TO NEAR 60 ALONG THE COAST.
AFTERNOON HIGHS ON MONDAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE MOSTLY FROM THE
UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 ALONG THE COAST TO THE MIDDLE 80S INLAND.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 302 PM EDT SUN APR 12 2026
FOR THIS WEEK, RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE DOMINATE FEATURE
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES. THIS WILL KEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
WELL WEST AND NORTH OF THE AREA, AND CONTINUED WARM AND DRY WEATHER
IS EXPECTED WITH WORSENING DROUGHT CONDITIONS. HIGHS WILL GRADUALLY
WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S LATE IN THE WEEK AS THE MID
LEVEL HIGH SETS UP IN THE GULF WITH LOWS WARMING CLOSER TO 60
DEGREES BY MID WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY APPROACH RECORD HIGHS
TOWARDS THE END OF THE WORK WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. NBM
PROBABILITIES FOR MAXT > 90F REMAIN MEDIUM TO HIGH FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. THOSE PROBS RANGE FROM 50-60% IN OUR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AREAS TO 80-90% IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA LOCATIONS. THESE TEMPERATURES WOULD BE APPROACHING
RECORD HIGHS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
HERE ARE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR TALLAHASSEE AND ALBANY FOR APR
17/18/19:
TALLAHASSEE: 91F/92F/92F
ALBANY: 92F/94F/92F
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 132 PM EDT SUN APR 12 2026
PREVAILING VFR CONDS EXPECTED WITH MOSTLY SKC AND SE WINDS AOB 10
KTS THIS AFTN AND A SOUTHERLY SEABREEZE OFF THE PANHANDLE COAST.
WINDS GO LGT/CALM TONIGHT, WHICH MAY OPEN THE DOOR FOR PATCHY FOG
INVOF ECP/VLD DURING THE EARLY MORNING HRS. HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IN
MVFR VSBYS ARE AT VLD WHERE TEMPO GROUPS WERE INTRO'D FOR THE 9-13Z
PERIOD. WINDS PICK UP OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SE BELOW 10 KTS TMRW.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 302 PM EDT SUN APR 12 2026
MAINLY LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL THIS WEEK.
A BRIEF PERIOD OF ELEVATED WINDS IS EXPECTED BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL
MILES OFFSHORE TONIGHT. OTHERWISE, FAVORABLE BOATING CONDITIONS ARE
ON TAP INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 302 PM EDT SUN APR 12 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN THE DOMINATE WEATHER FEATURE THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEK WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS. NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.
HYDROLOGY
ISSUED AT 302 PM EDT SUN APR 12 2026
NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS. DROUGHT WILL
CONTINUE OR WORSEN.
FOR MORE LOCAL DROUGHT INFORMATION & STATEMENTS, VISIT THE FOLLOWING
WEBSITES: WEATHER.GOV/TAE/LOCALDROUGHT
WEATHER.GOV/TAE/DROUGHTINFORMATIONSTATEMENT
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER, SPOTTERS ARE ALWAYS
ENCOURAGED TO SAFELY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN THEY
OCCUR BY CALLING THE OFFICE OR TWEETING US @NWSTALLAHASSEE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TALLAHASSEE 58 83 58 86 / 0 0 0 0
PANAMA CITY 61 79 59 80 / 0 0 0 0
DOTHAN 57 84 55 86 / 0 0 0 0
ALBANY 57 84 57 87 / 0 0 0 0
VALDOSTA 57 86 58 88 / 0 0 0 0
CROSS CITY 56 87 57 88 / 0 0 0 0
APALACHICOLA 63 74 61 75 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM....DVD
AVIATION...IG3
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...DVD
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