958
FXUS62 KTAE 081035
AFDTAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
635 AM EDT MON JUN 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 632 AM EDT MON JUN 8 2026
- INCREASING HEAT THIS WORK WEEK. THOSE WHO ARE SENSITIVE TO HEAT OR
DO NOT HAVE ACCESS TO ADEQUATE COOLING OR HYDRATION COULD BE
IMPACTED BY THE HEAT.
- CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE FORECAST
TODAY AND WILL INCREASE AGAIN LATER IN THE WEEK.
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS FORECAST TO RETURN TO OUR AREA
BEACHES WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. IT IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED TO
ENTER THE SURF ON HIGH RISK DAYS. PLEASE HEED THE BEACH FLAGS
AND ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 150 AM EDT MON JUN 8 2026
A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE FORECAST FOR THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF
OUR AREA THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOWER TO
MIDDLE 90S WITH HEAT INDICES APPROACHING 100 DEGREES.
A SUBTLE H5 SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON
COMBINED WITH AMPLE MEAN RH OF 70% TO 90% IN THE 1000-700MB LAYER
WILL LEAD TO A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS, MAINLY ALONG THE I-75
CORRIDOR INTO THE EASTERN FLORIDA BIG BEND. A ROBUST EAST COAST SEA
BREEZE IS FORECAST TO PUSH WEST ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THE EVENING AND COULD SPARK A COUPLE MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS
INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. DEPENDING ON HOW ACTIVE THE RADAR
BECOMES LATER TODAY, A FEW SHOWERS COULD LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS, BUT CONFIDENCE ISN'T THE HIGHEST IN THAT OCCURRING AT THIS
TIME.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 150 AM EDT MON JUN 8 2026
THE SCRIPT FLIPS SOME ON TUESDAY AS BETTER SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL BE OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF OUR AREA. THIS IS THANKS TO
AN H5 SHORTWAVE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST RUNNING INTO MEAN RH IN
THE 1000-700MB LAYER ABOVE 70%. THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WILL
BE VERY SUMMER-LIKE AROUND HERE WITH THE BEST OPPORTUNITY FOR
SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG THE SEA BREEZE AS IT PUSHES INLAND.
TEMPERATURES WILL RUN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL MUCH OF THE WEEK,
WHICH PUTS MUCH OF THE AREA IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S FOR HIGHS AND
LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S FOR LOWS. ADD IN THE HUMIDITY AND WE'LL BE
LOOKING AT HEAT INDICES APPROACHING THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE MARK
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 632 AM EDT MON JUN 8 2026
A BIT OF FOG HAS FORMED ALONG THE EMERALD COAST THIS MORNING AND
IS IMPACTING KECP. FOG SHOULD DISSIPATE RATHER QUICKLY THIS
MORNING, WITH MOST, IF NOT ALL, OF IT GONE BY 12Z OR SO.
ELSEWHERE, A SIMILAR SITUATION MAY MATERIALIZE NEAR KDHN.
OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY FORECAST TO PREVAIL WITH
LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES.
THERE IS A 20 TO 30 PERCENT CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM IN AND AROUND KVLD AND KABY, SO HAVE MAINTAINED THE
PROB30S FOR THOSE TWO TAF SITES WITH THIS TAF PACKAGE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 150 AM EDT MON JUN 8 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED NEAR BERMUDA WILL PROVIDE GENTLE TO
MODERATE EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SEAS WILL REMAIN AROUND 1 TO 2 FEET.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 150 AM EDT MON JUN 8 2026
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY, MAINLY
OVER OUR GEORGIA AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DISTRICTS. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND WEST OF THE FLINT/APALACHICOLA
RIVERS TUESDAY. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL PRIMARILY BE OUT OF THE EAST TO
SOUTHEAST AROUND 5-10 MPH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, TURNING MORE
ONSHORE CLOSER TO THE COAST AS THE SEA BREEZE MOVES INLAND.
DISPERSIONS WILL BE FAIR TO GOOD EACH AFTERNOON.
HYDROLOGY
ISSUED AT 150 AM EDT MON JUN 8 2026
FLOODING IS NOT A CONCERN THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THAT SAID, A FEW
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND COULD
BRING POCKETS OF 1" TO 2" IN VERY LOCALIZED AREAS.
SEVERE TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONTINUES FOR AREAS GENERALLY EAST OF
THE APALACHICOLA AND FLINT RIVERS AS THESE AREAS MISSED OUT ON THE
MOST BENEFICIAL RECENT RAINS AND RIVERS ARE STRUGGLING TO RECOVER.
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON LOCAL DROUGHT IMPACTS, PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAE/DROUGHTINFORMATIONSTATEMENT.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER, SPOTTERS ARE ALWAYS
ENCOURAGED TO SAFELY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN THEY
OCCUR BY CALLING THE OFFICE OR TWEETING US @NWSTALLAHASSEE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TALLAHASSEE 93 75 90 72 / 20 10 10 0
PANAMA CITY 90 75 91 73 / 10 10 20 0
DOTHAN 91 74 87 71 / 10 10 30 0
ALBANY 90 73 86 70 / 30 30 30 0
VALDOSTA 91 73 88 70 / 30 30 10 0
CROSS CITY 95 73 92 72 / 10 10 0 0
APALACHICOLA 87 76 87 76 / 10 0 10 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...REESE
LONG TERM....REESE
AVIATION...REESE
MARINE...REESE
FIRE WEATHER...REESE
HYDROLOGY...REESE
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