281
FXUS62 KTAE 031103
AFDTAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
603 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 603 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2026
- UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BY THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK WITH HIGHS REACHING THE MID 80S. THERE IS A LOW TO MEDIUM
CHANCE OF REACHING RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES LATE IN THE WEEK AND
THIS WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 116 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2026
FOR TODAY, HIGH PRESSURE OFF OF NEW ENGLAND AND ATLANTIC CANADA WILL
KEEP EASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE
TRICKY IN SOME AREAS DUE TO UNCERTAINTY WITH WHEN LOW CLOUDS AND/OR
PATCHY FOG WILL DISSIPATE THIS MORNING. WE GENERALLY EXPECT HIGHS TO
RANGE FROM THE MID 70S ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA TO
THE LOW TO MID 80S ACROSS INLAND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.
FOR TONIGHT, PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS MAINLY IN
THE 50S.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 116 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2026
THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. STRENGTHENING
RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN US WILL LEAD TO WELL ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID 80S WITH
SOME POCKETS OF UPPER 80S. LOW TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. ISOLATED, BRIEF SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOONS LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND, BUT MOST PLACES WILL REMAIN DRY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 603 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2026
A DECK OF IFR STATUS IS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING.
NEARLY ALL TERMINALS WILL BE AFFECTED BEFORE DISSIPATING AROUND
15Z. THE ABY & DHN TERMINALS WILL BE SLOWER TO LIFT UNTIL AROUND
17Z-18Z THIS AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS
WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. APPROACHING THE END OF
THE TAF PERIOD, LOW CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 116 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2026
GENTLE TO MODERATE EASTERLY BREEZES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. SOME SLIGHT ENHANCEMENT IN WINDS IS EXPECTED EACH
NIGHT THROUGH MID WEEK WITHIN THE EASTERLY FLOW, BUT WINDS REMAIN
NEAR OR BELOW CAUTIONARY LEVELS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 116 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2026
MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, BUT
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL
LEVELS. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH
THROUGH WEDNESDAY, THEN BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY ON THURSDAY. SURFACE
WINDS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-10 WILL BE AFFECTED BY THE SEABREEZE,
TURNING MORE SOUTHERLY EACH AFTERNOON.
HYDROLOGY
ISSUED AT 116 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2026
THERE ARE NO FLOODING CONCERNS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WITH ANY SHOWERS THAT OCCUR LATE IN THE WEEK OR OVER THE
WEEKEND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT.
FOR MORE LOCAL DROUGHT INFORMATION & STATEMENTS, VISIT THE FOLLOWING
WEBSITE: HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAE/LOCALDROUGHT
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER, SPOTTERS ARE ALWAYS
ENCOURAGED TO SAFELY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN THEY
OCCUR BY CALLING THE OFFICE OR TWEETING US @NWSTALLAHASSEE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TALLAHASSEE 80 57 83 61 / 0 0 0 0
PANAMA CITY 77 59 77 60 / 0 0 0 0
DOTHAN 76 55 81 60 / 0 0 0 0
ALBANY 76 55 81 58 / 0 0 0 0
VALDOSTA 80 55 83 60 / 0 0 0 0
CROSS CITY 83 57 86 60 / 0 0 10 0
APALACHICOLA 70 60 71 60 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM....DVD
AVIATION...MONTGOMERY
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...DVD
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page