762
FXUS64 KBMX 090322
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1022 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1021 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2026
- THUNDERSTORMS: DAILY OPPORTUNITIES FOR MAINLY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING STORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR NOW THROUGH THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. A FEW OF THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
NORMAL SUMMERTIME HAZARDS SUCH AS GUSTY WINDS, FREQUENT
LIGHTNING, AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.
DISCUSSION
(THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1021 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2026
THE OVERALL PATTERN DOESN'T CHANGE SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. BROAD LOW LEVEL RIDGING WILL KEEP OUR WARM/HUMID AIR
MASS IN PLACE AND ALLOW FOR OUR TYPICAL DIURNAL PATTERN OF
SUMMERTIME THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AFTERNOONS. A VERY
WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW SLOWLY SHIFTS ACROSS TO OUR NORTH ON
THURSDAY, WHICH COULD LEAD TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL COVERAGE OF
THOSE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS, BUT THE OVERALL FORCING REMAINS
WEAK.
AS WE GO INTO THE WEEKEND AND SLOW-MOVING BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO
PUSH SOUTHWARD INTO OUR AREA. THIS WILL PROVIDE A STRONGER FOCUS
FOR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. BECAUSE OF THIS, THE COVERAGE OF
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE HIGHER ACROSS CENTRAL AL EACH
AFTERNOON SATURDAY THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY BEFORE SHIFTING MORE
TO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA BY TUESDAY.
25/OWEN
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1021 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2026
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE TO OUR NORTH
THROUGH TOMORROW. THIS WILL HELP PROVIDE SOME SUPPORT FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON ON THURSDAY.
OTHERWISE, GENERALLY A DIURNAL PATTERN FOR WINDS IS EXPECTED AS
LOW LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS IN PLACE. GENERALLY LIGHT TO CALM WINDS
OVERNIGHT, INCREASING TO 5-7KTS DURING THE DAY. GIVEN THE EXTRA
FORCING FROM THE UPPER LOW TOMORROW, I'LL INCLUDE PROB30S FOR
TSRA AT ALL SITES DUE TO THE CONVECTION BEING MORE WIDESPREAD
COMPARED TO WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE SHOULD BEGIN TO
DIMINISH BY 01Z-03Z FRIDAY.
25/OWEN
FIRE WEATHER
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS CONTINUE TO BE LOW. OUR WARM AND MOIST AIR
MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH DIURNALLY DRIVING THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO GENERALLY BE LIGHT DURING THE DAY BECOMING CALM DURING THE
OVERNIGHT PERIODS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 71 92 72 92 / 20 30 10 60
ANNISTON 72 91 73 91 / 10 30 10 50
BIRMINGHAM 74 92 74 93 / 10 30 10 40
TUSCALOOSA 73 91 74 93 / 10 40 10 30
CALERA 73 95 74 96 / 10 40 10 40
AUBURN 74 91 74 92 / 0 30 10 30
MONTGOMERY 75 94 74 94 / 0 30 20 30
TROY 74 93 73 93 / 10 30 20 40
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...25/OWEN
AVIATION...25/OWEN
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