408
FXUS64 KBMX 230607
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
107 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 107 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
- SEASONABLE CONDITIONS: FAIR WEATHER WITH WARM AFTERNOONS AND
COOL MORNINGS IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
- FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS: MODERATE FIRE WEATHER RISK OVER THE
WEEKEND AS MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED AND WINDS INCREASE SLIGHTLY.
DISCUSSION
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1048 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THIS EVENING REVEALS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDING
JUST OFF TO OUR WEST AS AN UPPER TROUGH EXITS TO OUR EAST. AT THE
SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE REGION. DRY
CONDITIONS LOOK TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER RIDGE
EXPANDS AND MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED. AS A RESULT, HIGH TEMPS
WILL WARM INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S DAILY WITH LOWS DROPPING INTO
THE 40S. WITH THAT SAID, A REINFORCING SURGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL KNOCK A COUPLE OF DEGREES OFF OUR HIGHS OVER THE WEEKEND
WITH MOST STRUGGLING TO REACH THE MID 70S.
OTHERWISE, LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL PROMOTE PATCHY RIVER
FOG OVERNIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS DAILY OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.
95/CASTILLO
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 107 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS PREVAIL THROUGH THIS TAF CYCLE.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL INCREASE TO 6 TO 8 KNOTS
OUT OF THE EAST DURING THE DAY.
NOTE: FALL SEASONAL ISSUANCE OF THE KASN TALLADEGA TAF BEGAN ON
10/18 00Z AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 10/28 18Z.
16
FIRE WEATHER
HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW US TO MAINTAIN RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS WITH
LIGHT WINDS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. DAYTIME MINRH VALUES ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 20 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE. WINDS PICK UP
SLIGHTLY OVER THE WEEKEND, GENERALLY IN THE 5-8 KNOT RANGE. GIVEN
MINRH VALUES AND DRYING FUELS, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN
MODERATE INTO THE WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 77 44 73 43 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 76 46 73 45 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 77 48 73 47 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 80 48 75 46 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 77 47 72 46 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 75 47 71 48 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 78 46 73 48 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 76 44 72 48 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...95/CASTILLO
AVIATION...16
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