854
FXUS64 KBMX 131658
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1158 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1156 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
- A STRETCH OF FAIR WEATHER TAKES SHAPE THIS WEEK AND CONTINUES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- THERE IS A MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCE FOR SOME COMMUNITIES ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA TO SEE THEIR FIRST 90 DEGREE DAY THIS WEEKEND OR
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1156 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
SUNNY AND WARM CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA TODAY,
SUPPORTED BY A SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR MASS NOTED ON THE 12Z BMX RAOB
ABOVE 850MB. THIS DRY AIR IS ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL TROUGH
AXIS THAT MOVED THROUGH LAST NIGHT, ESTABLISHING DEEP
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. WHILE AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT LAGS
BEHIND, IT IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH TONIGHT. DUE TO THE
LIMITED MOISTURE PROFILE, NO MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION IS
ANTICIPATED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, THOUGH A FEW SPRINKLES
REMAIN POSSIBLE IN THE FAR NORTHEAST. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT,
COMFORTABLE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW WITH HIGHS IN THE
70S; SEVERAL NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES WILL LIKELY SEE LOWS IN THE
40S BY FRIDAY MORNING. A WARMING TREND BEGINS THIS WEEKEND AS A
BERMUDA HIGH REESTABLISHES TO OUR EAST, INDUCING WARM SOUTHERLY
FLOW. THIS WILL LIKELY PUSH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER
80S TO NEAR 90 DEGREES FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH NO
ORGANIZED PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.
86/MARTIN
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1156 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES PREVAIL ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE
REGION TONIGHT; HOWEVER, NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AT TAF
SITES, AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT
FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
86/MARTIN
FIRE WEATHER
A PERIOD OF RAIN-FREE WEATHER WILL TAKE SHAPE THIS WEEK AND
CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION.
MINRH IS FORECAST TO REACH THE 30 PERCENT RANGE THURSDAY, FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA WITH A LOW CHANCE FOR
SOME LOCATIONS TO REACH THE UPPER 20S. OTHERWISE, NO (RELATIVELY)
LOW RHS ARE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 81 50 75 43 / 0 10 0 0
ANNISTON 80 53 74 46 / 0 10 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 82 55 76 50 / 0 10 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 83 55 78 51 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 83 55 77 49 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 80 58 76 52 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 82 58 78 50 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 81 57 78 49 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86/MARTIN
AVIATION...86/MARTIN
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