658
FXUS64 KBMX 050519
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1219 AM CDT FRI JUN 5 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1218 AM CDT FRI JUN 5 2026
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE FORECAST STARTING
SATURDAY, PERSISTING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1137 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE FORECAST FOR
THE NEXT 24-HOURS, BEFORE SLOWLY STARTING TO RETROGRADE TO THE SE
INTO SATURDAY MORNING. AT THE SAME TIME, A CLOSED LOW PRESSURE
WILL BEGIN TO TREK EAST ACROSS TEXAS, WITH THE OUTER FRINGES OF
THE TROUGH REACHING OUR AREA BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS CLOSED
LOW WILL ALLOW FOR A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCES TO WORK
THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND, INCREASING RAIN CHANCES
INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK.
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL START TO BUILD BACK IN OVER THE AREA BY
TUESDAY, SHUTTING DOWN THE MORE ORGANIZED RAIN ACTIVITY. HOWEVER,
THAT DOES NOT MEAN RAIN CHANCES WILL COMPLETELY END, AS DIURNALLY
DRIVEN AFTERNOON CONVECTION REMAINS IN THE FORECAST INTO NEXT
WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO CLIMB DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD AS WELL, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS REACHING THE UPPER-80S BY
THURSDAY.
/44/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1218 AM CDT FRI JUN 5 2026
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL PROMOTE VFR CONDITIONS WITH A
LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE BREEZE DURING THE DAY.
86/MARTIN
FIRE WEATHER
THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER THE COMING DAYS. DUE TO
RELATIVELY DRY HIGH PRESSURE, FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY WITH AFTERNOON MINRH BETWEEN 30-50 PERCENT. HIGH PRESSURE
WEAKENS AND PUSHES EASTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR
MOISTURE VALUES TO REBOUND AND CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO RETURN INTO NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 86 61 87 67 / 0 0 0 10
ANNISTON 86 62 88 68 / 0 0 0 10
BIRMINGHAM 86 65 88 70 / 0 0 0 10
TUSCALOOSA 87 66 88 71 / 0 0 10 20
CALERA 88 63 89 69 / 0 0 0 10
AUBURN 85 64 88 69 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 88 64 89 70 / 0 0 10 0
TROY 86 63 89 69 / 0 0 10 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION.../44/
AVIATION...86/MARTIN
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