954
FXUS64 KBMX 081607
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1007 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1003 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY ON TUESDAY, FOLLOWED
BY LOW TO MEDIUM (30-60%) CHANCES FOR SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1003 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY, ALLOWING FOR
THE DAYTIME HIGHS TO REACH INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S. THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN TODAY AS A TROUGH SLIDES THROUGH
THE UPPER PLAINS INTO THE MID-MS VALLEY BY TOMORROW MORNING. THIS
WILL LEAD TO INCREASING CLOUDS, BUT NOT MUCH ELSE. BROAD RIDGING
BUILDS BACK IN MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL TREND UPWARDS
INTO THE 70S FOR BOTH DAYS. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO
PUSH SOUTHWARD INTO THE REGION TUESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY,
SUPPORTING AT LEAST 30-60% CHANCE OF RAIN. THE BOUNDARY STALLS
ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY AND LATER BECOMES AND EFFECTIVE WARM
FRONT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS OUR NEXT TROUGH APPROACHES THE REGION.
THERE'S STILL QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE TIMING AND DEPTH
OF THE TROUGH. FOR NOW, LOOK FOR INCREASING RAIN CHANCES TOWARDS
NEXT WEEKEND.
25/OWEN
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1003 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY WITH GENERALLY LIGHT TO
VARIABLE WINDS. HIGH CLOUDS BEGIN TO MOVE IN LATER THIS EVENING
AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM, BUT OTHERWISE, NO OTHER IMPACTS
EXPECTED.
25/OWEN
FIRE WEATHER
DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY WITH RHS DROPPING INTO THE LOW 20%
RANGE FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON, THOUGH
WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT. MOISTURE BEGINS TO BUILD BACK INTO THE
REGION MONDAY WITH MINRHS RETURNING TO ROUGHLY 50% OR ABOVE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MIDWEEK BEFORE
ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES INTO THE REGION BRINGING 40-60%
CHANCE FOR RAIN.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 57 34 68 43 / 10 10 0 0
ANNISTON 59 39 69 47 / 0 10 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 60 43 69 50 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 62 43 71 48 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 61 42 70 48 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 59 42 68 48 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 62 42 73 49 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 63 42 72 48 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...25/OWEN
AVIATION...25/OWEN
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