746
FXUS64 KBMX 101115
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
615 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 615 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
- HEAT INDICES WILL WARM EACH DAY, AND REACH TRIPLE DIGITS IN MANY
LOCATIONS BY MID TO END OF THE WORK WEEK, AND INTO THE BEGINNING
OF THE WEEKEND.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB BY THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK,
REACHING THE LOWER 90S IN MANY LOCATIONS BY TODAY.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
EACH DAY, INCREASING IN COVERAGE BY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1054 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE AREA, HOWEVER THERE
WILL BE A CONVERGENCE BAND THAT DEVELOPS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL
ALABAMA AND MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS PATTERN WILL LAST THROUGH MOST
OF FRIDAY.
THE HIGH TEMPERATURE THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK AND
BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND WILL EASILY MOVE INTO THE 90S. WITH THE
AMOUNT OF MOISTURE ADVECTED INTO THE AREA WITH THIS SOUTHERLY
FLOW, HEAT INDICES WILL REACH THE UPPER 90S, AND BY THURSDAY,
REACH OR EXCEED 100 DEGREES FOR SOME AREAS. BY FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY, MANY LOCATIONS COULD REACH HEAT INDICES A COUPLE OF
DEGREES ABOVE 100. RIGHT NOW, THE VALUES ARE NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO
REACH ADVISORY CRITERIA, BUT HEAT STRESS WILL DEFINITELY BE A
CONCERN EACH DAY. LOW TEMPERATURES AT NIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOW TO
MID 70S IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE, AND
THAT MAY HINDER RECOVERY FOR PEOPLE OVERNIGHT.
FOR THE WEEKEND, LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS TO OUR WEST AND WILL HELP
GENERATE SEVERAL SHORTWAVES THAT WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE AREA.
THERE WILL BE ENOUGH LIFT THAT SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL BE
POSSIBLE EACH DAY, PARTICULARLY THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
RAIN CHANCES WILL BE HIGHER THAN NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A
FEW STORMS MAY BE ON THE STRONGER SIDE AS IS TYPICAL WITH A SMALL
FOCUS WITH THE SUMMERTIME HEAT. BY MONDAY, THE LOW PRESSURE WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND SWING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
AREA.
16
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 615 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
PATCHY FOG THIS MORNING, WITH VIS DOWN TO 5SM AT TCL AND MGM
THROUGH 13Z. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP
AFTER 18Z, THOUGH CONFIDENCE IN SITE IMPACTS REMAINS LOW AND
REDUCTIONS HAVE NOT BEEN INTRODUCED INTO TAFS.
12
FIRE WEATHER
SMALL CHANCES OF RAIN THROUGH THURSDAY. ELEVATED CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN FRIDAY AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER, MINRH VALUES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE 40% INTO NEXT WEEKEND. GIVEN DAILY RAIN CHANCES AND HIGH
MINRH VALUES, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN LOW AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 90 71 91 73 / 20 10 20 0
ANNISTON 89 72 91 73 / 20 10 20 0
BIRMINGHAM 91 73 93 74 / 20 10 20 0
TUSCALOOSA 92 74 93 75 / 10 0 10 0
CALERA 93 73 95 74 / 20 10 20 0
AUBURN 91 73 93 74 / 20 10 20 0
MONTGOMERY 92 74 93 74 / 10 10 10 0
TROY 92 72 93 73 / 10 0 10 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...12
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