325
FXUS64 KBMX 220554
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1254 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
- SEASONABLE CONDITIONS: FAIR WEATHER WITH WARM AFTERNOONS AND
COOL MORNINGS IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
DISCUSSION
(THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1043 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
DRY AND VERY PLEASANT WEATHER CONTINUES THE NEXT 7 DAYS. MID-
LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS EASTWARD OVER THE AREA THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.
A COLD AIR DAMMING (CAD) WEDGE BUILDS IN FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND IN THE WAKE OF SUBTROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE, RESULTING IN
SLIGHTLY COOLER HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND. HIGH
TEMPERATURES TREND UPWARD SLIGHTLY NEXT WEEK AS THE WEDGE WEAKENS
AND A WEAKENING SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND FRONT APPROACH THE AREA. WITH
LITTLE TO NO MOISTURE RETURN DUE TO PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE AT
THE SURFACE, THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY NEXT WEEK.
32/JDAVIS
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
VFR TAFS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE 24 HOUR FORECAST WITH SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN CONUS. CALM WINDS
OVERNIGHT BECOME NORTHERLY AT 6 TO 8 KTS BY THE AFTERNOON. WINDS
DROP TO LESS THAN 4 KTS AGAIN BY 01 TO 02Z.
NOTE: FALL SEASONAL ISSUANCE OF THE KASN TALLADEGA TAF BEGAN ON
10/18 00Z AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 10/28 18Z.
16
FIRE WEATHER
HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW US TO MAINTAIN RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS WITH
LIGHT WINDS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. DAYTIME MINRH VALUES ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 20 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE. WINDS PICK UP
SLIGHTLY OVER THE WEEKEND. GIVEN MINRH VALUES AND DRYING FUELS,
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN MEDIUM INTO THE WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 79 45 77 43 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 78 45 77 44 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 79 49 77 47 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 81 47 80 45 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 78 48 77 45 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 79 48 75 45 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 81 47 78 45 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 79 48 76 46 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...32/JDAVIS
AVIATION...16
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