495
FXUS64 KBMX 290518
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1118 PM CST SUN DEC 28 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1112 PM CST SUN DEC 28 2025
- GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
AREA. WIND CHILLS WILL MAKE THE DRASTIC TEMPERATURE DROP TODAY
FEEL EVEN MORE SIGNIFICANT.
- VERY COLD TEMPERATURES EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE 20S AREA-WIDE.
DISCUSSION
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1112 PM CST SUN DEC 28 2025
THE COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL AL FIRST THING THIS
MORNING. WINDS ARE FAIRLY GUSTY ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT, SO WIND
CHILLS FOR MUCH OF THE DAY TODAY WILL BE 10-20 DEGREES BELOW THE
ACTUAL TEMPERATURES. LOW TEMPERATURES TUESDAY MORNING WILL DROP INTO
THE 20S FOR ALL OF CENTRAL AL WITH WIND CHILLS AROUND 15-20 DEGREES.
A FEW OF OUR COLDER LOCATIONS IN THE NORTHEASTERN AND EASTERN
COUNTIES MAY SEE WIND CHILLS DROP TO AROUND 10 DEGREES BRIEFLY
TUESDAY MORNING.
THE COLDER/DRIER AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
OF THIS WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN CONUS. THIS WILL KEEP THE ARE RAIN-FREE AND MORE
SEASONABLE ON TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES INTO THE
REGION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY, LEADING TO INCREASED RAIN CHANCES AND
POTENTIALLY SOME THUNDERSTORMS DEPENDING ON HOW FAR NORTH THE WARM
FRONT IS ABLE TO LIFT.
HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO BUILD BACK INTO THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH
MONDAY WITH CONTINUED SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES.
25/OWEN
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1112 PM CST SUN DEC 28 2025
A COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE REGION DURING THIS TAF PERIOD.
INCREASED SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT, SHIFTING TO
NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT. WIND GUSTS SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER
00Z. A THIN LINE OF SHOWERS ACCOMPANIES THE FRONT, SO LIGHT RAIN CAN
BE EXPECTED FOR A SHORT TIME AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH EACH SITE.
SOME GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO DROP CIGS TO MVFR JUST AHEAD OF THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE, THOUGH CONFIDENCE ISN'T SUPER HIGH AS I HAVEN'T
SEEN THIS OCCUR UPSTREAM. I'LL LEAVE THE MVFR CIGS IN PLACE WITH
THIS ISSUANCE, BUT I MAY END UP AMENDING IF NECESSARY.
25/OWEN
FIRE WEATHER
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING LEADING
TO GUSTY WINDS FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. MIN RHS DROP INTO THE 25-30%
RANGE BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY, THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE
IN THE 40S. THE DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY BEFORE OUR NEXT SYSTEM BRINGS INCREASED RAIN CHANCES FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 41 46 21 41 / 90 10 0 0
ANNISTON 43 49 22 41 / 90 10 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 42 47 24 41 / 90 10 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 43 48 24 44 / 90 10 0 0
CALERA 43 48 24 44 / 90 10 0 0
AUBURN 51 57 27 45 / 60 30 0 0
MONTGOMERY 51 57 27 45 / 80 20 0 0
TROY 53 58 27 45 / 60 30 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...25/OWEN
AVIATION...25/OWEN
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