957
FXUS64 KBMX 142336
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
636 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
- RECORD HIGHS: TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEK,
WITH MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCES OF RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES.
- FALL WEATHER: A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY, BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS TO THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1231 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
HIGH TEMPERATURES REMAIN IN RECORD TERRITORY TODAY AND TOMORROW
DUE TO AN ANOMALOUS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE. MEANWHILE, THE
INTERACTION OF MID-LEVEL TROUGHS (ONE NEAR ALBERTA, CANADA AND
ONE NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS, U.S.A.) WILL NUDGE THE HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM EASTWARD, SETTING US UP FOR THE ARRIVAL OF A REFRESHING
FRONT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES LOWER ON FRIDAY, BUT STILL
ABOVE WHAT WE'D EXPECT FOR MID-OCTOBER, BEFORE READINGS TAKE A
DIVE. FROM ABOUT MID FRIDAY INTO THE EVENING, THE FRONT IS
FORECAST TO SWEEP ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. THE FRONT WILL BE
MOISTURE-STARVED, WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATING PASSING
CLOUDS AND A LIMITED PROSPECT FOR SHOWERS. THIS IS MATCHED BY A
FEW MODELS THAT SHOW SCANT PRECIPITATION ECHOES, WHICH COULD END
UP BEING IN THE FORM OF VIRGA OR A VERY LIGHT, BRIEF SHOWER AT
MOST. BY FAR THE MOST NOTICEABLE EFFECTS FROM THIS FRONT WILL BE
THE ARRIVAL OF A BREEZY/GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WIND AND COOLER
AIR. THE CURRENT FORECAST REFLECTS SUSTAINED WINDS AS HIGH AS
20 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH, ESPECIALLY FROM MID FRIDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY. A LINGERING BUT NOT-AS-WINDY EAST BREEZE
IS FORECAST FOR SUNDAY. SECURE YOUR HALLOWEEN DECOR! WEEKEND HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S (TO NEAR 70 FOR SOME) AND LOW
TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S SHOULD SATISFY FANS OF AUTUMN.
CLEAR WEATHER IS CURRENTLY PROJECTED HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK WITH
TEMPERATURES TRENDING UPWARD FROM THE WEEKEND, BUT NEAR SEASONAL
NORMALS.
89^GSATTERWHITE
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH SURFACE
RIDGING IN PLACE AND LIGHT/VARIABLE TO NEAR CALM WINDS.
08
FIRE WEATHER
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK WITH MINRHS DROPPING INTO THE LOW 30% RANGE FOR MANY
LOCATIONS. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY LEADING TO GUSTY WINDS, LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL, AND
MUCH DRIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS BEHIND THE FRONT.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 110 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES:
WED OCT. 14:
KBHM: 89/1984
KEET: 89/2016
KANB: 88/1975
KTCL: 90/1962
KMGM: 91/1883
THU OCT. 15:
KBHM: 90/1897
KEET: 92/2025
KANB: 87/1975
KTCL: 91/1962
KMGM: 92/1881
FRI OCT. 16:
KBHM: 90/1897
KEET: 90/2025
KANB: 87/1965
KTCL: 90/1962
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 61 88 60 85 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 61 88 61 86 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 64 89 63 85 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 61 91 62 87 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 61 88 62 86 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 63 87 63 84 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 61 88 63 87 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 61 88 62 86 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...89^GSATTERWHITE
AVIATION...08
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