176
FXUS64 KBMX 110330
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1030 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 838 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
- WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK, WITH RAIN-
FREE CONDITIONS THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.
- FIRE DANGER WILL BE ELEVATED THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS DUE TO
RECENT DRYNESS, LOWER RH VALUES, AND ELEVATED WINDS, BUT SUB-
CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
- DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO WORSEN THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 838 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD AND LINGER OVER THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WORK WEEK. WINDS SATURDAY WILL MOSTLY OUT OF THE
EAST WITH DRY AND WARM AIR ADVECTED OVER THE STATE. WINDS WILL
REMAIN LIGHT, TO NEAR CALM IN PLACES, SO FIRE DANGER WILL BE A
CONCERN, THOUGH SUB RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA. SUNDAY, THE HIGH
SHIFTS SLIGHTLY EASTWARD, PUTTING THE STATE ON THE WESTERN SIDE,
WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO ADVECT
INTO THE STATE, WITH RH VALUES EXPECTED TO RISE SLIGHTLY BY
MONDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE ON SUNDAY WITH A MID LEVEL JET MOVING
AROUND THAT HIGH.
NEXT WEEK, SEVERAL SHORTWAVES MOVE AROUND THE HIGH, THOUGH THE
TREND IS CONTINUING DRY THROUGH THE WEEK. MODELS ARE NOW TRYING TO
SHOW DRY WEATHER THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY, WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW EACH
DAY, AND TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S EACH DAY.
DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO WORSEN QUICKLY THIS WEEK WITH
THE LACK OF RAIN. BREEZY CONDITIONS AND LOW RH VALUES EACH
AFTERNOON WILL ALSO TRIGGER A FIRE WEATHER THREAT, AND WE'LL
EVALUATE EACH DAY TO ANALYZE THE EXTENT OF THE THREAT.
24
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 659 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
HIGH PRESSURE AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE PRESENT THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD.
24
FIRE WEATHER
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY, WITH HIGH
PRESSURE DOMINATING THE PATTERN. RH VALUES REMAIN IN THE 20-30%
RANGE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, INCREASING TO THE LOW TO MID 30S BY
MONDAY. ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG
THRESHOLDS, ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL KEEP FUELS VERY DRY.
ANY FIRES COULD SPREAD QUICKLY DUE TO THE THE DRY CONDITIONS AND
STEADY AFTERNOON WINDS THAT ARE FORECAST. CONDITIONS WILL BE
CLOSELY MONITORED OVER THE COMING DAYS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 49 84 50 86 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 51 83 53 85 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 55 85 57 86 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 53 84 55 86 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 52 84 54 86 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 54 83 56 84 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 52 85 54 87 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 53 84 53 85 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...24
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