180
FXUS64 KBMX 022336
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
636 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 634 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
- EXPECT SCATTERED STORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. A FEW STORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST MAY BE STRONG WITH
GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL.
- HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CLEAR AND LESS-HUMID WEATHER FROM
WEDNESDAY TO FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS DRAPED ACROSS CENTRAL AL TODAY LEADING
TO AN EXPANSIVE SHIELD OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN. IN THE WAKE OF
THE MCS FROM YESTERDAY, INSTABILITY HAS NOT BEEN ABLE TO RECOVER
QUITE ENOUGH FOR WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITH THIS
FRONTAL BOUNDARY, BUT A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER HAVE BEEN OBSERVED
THROUGH THE MORNING AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OR INCREASE INTO THE
AFTERNOON.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION TOMORROW THROUGH AT LEAST
FRIDAY WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDING IN OVERHEAD. THIS WILL
LEAD TO LARGE-SCALE DESCENT AND AN OVERALL DECREASE IN SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE
PLACEMENT OF THE HIGH TO OUR NORTH AND NORTHWEST WILL LEAD TO
DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY FLOW THROUGH
FRIDAY. THE CENTER OF THE HIGH SHIFTS OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST BY
SATURDAY, WHICH WILL SUPPORT MORE SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDS FOR CENTRAL AL. THIS WIND SHIFT WILL MARK A RETURN OF
MOISTURE FLOW FROM THE GULF, LEADING TO INCREASED RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THE OVERALL
SYNOPTIC FORCING REMAINS WEAK OVER THE WEEKEND, SO I WILL ONLY
INCLUDE MENTION FOR LOW TO MEDIUM (30-55%) FOR RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
25/OWEN
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 634 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
ASIDE FROM A FEW PASSING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES THAT MAY BRING A
SHORT-LIVED SHOWER TO MGM OR AUO EARLY THIS EVENING (AS LATE AS
02Z), VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
89^GSATTERWHITE
FIRE WEATHER
THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER THE WEEK AHEAD. ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TODAY. CLEAR
WEATHER IS EXPECTED FROM WEDNESDAY TO FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA. MIN RHS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE 30-
50% RANGE BY THURSDAY. RETURNING MOISTURE THIS WEEKEND WILL OFFER
A LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 57 80 53 82 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 60 80 54 82 / 10 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 63 81 58 82 / 10 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 66 83 58 83 / 10 0 0 0
CALERA 63 83 55 83 / 10 0 0 0
AUBURN 63 79 57 81 / 20 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 65 81 56 83 / 20 0 0 0
TROY 64 81 56 82 / 30 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...25/OWEN
AVIATION...89^GSATTERWHITE
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