213
FXUS64 KBMX 202316
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
616 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 616 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026
- WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1222 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026
BIG BUBBLE, NO TROUBLE!
REALLY NOTHING NEW TO REPORT THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE FORECAST, AS
NEAR RECORD HIGHS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND DUE TO RIDGING
OUT WEST, AND RIDGING IN THE GULF. HOWEVER, THIS RIDGING WILL
BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN, AS A TROUGH IS STILL EXPECTED TO WORK THROUGH
THE MIDWEST SUNDAY NIGHT. THE TREND TO WATCH THIS WEEKEND WILL
REMAIN THE PLACEMENT OF THE COLD FRONT, AS MORNING GUIDANCE
CONTINUES PUSHING IT FARTHER SOUTH INTO THE REGION. IN TURN,
AFTERNOON HIGHS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY COULD END UP SLIGHTLY COOLER
THAN THEY CURRENTLY ARE. WITH THAT BEING SAID, THIS FRONT REMAINS
DRY, WITH LITTLE RAIN EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE NEXT SEVEN DAY.
/44/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 616 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE PERIOD, WITH LIGHT W TO SW
WINDS AND PASSING HIGH CLOUDS.
12
FIRE WEATHER
MINRH VALUES WILL REMAIN HIGHLY VARIABLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND, AS
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN HOT AND DRY. BECAUSE OF THAT,
AFTERNOON MIXING MAY BE MORE THAN EXPECTED, LOWERING THE FORECAST
VALUES. IN GENERAL, MINRH VALUES SHOULD LINGER IN THE LOW-30 AND 40%
THROUGH SUNDAY, BEFORE DROPPING EVEN MORE BEHIND A FRONT BY TUESDAY.
GIVEN THE WARMING TREND, AND THE LACK OF FORECAST RAINFALL, FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS MAY START TO INCREASE BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 1125 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES IN DANGER OF BREAKING OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS:
MARCH 21:
KEET: 87/2017
KTCL: 88/2017
MARCH 22:
KEET: 81/2011
KANB: 84/1904
KTCL: 86/1995
MARCH 23:
KEET: 82/2023
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 52 82 55 84 / 0 10 10 0
ANNISTON 53 82 56 83 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 56 83 59 83 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 54 84 57 85 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 53 83 57 84 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 53 81 56 82 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 52 83 55 84 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 52 82 55 84 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION.../44/
AVIATION...12
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