697
FXUS64 KBMX 200517
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1217 AM CDT MON APR 20 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1213 AM CDT MON APR 20 2026
- CRITICALLY DRY FUELS, STRONG WINDS, AND LOW MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BEHIND THE FRONT WILL KEEP FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ELEVATED THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.
- NEXT RAIN CHANCES WILL BE LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
DISCUSSION
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
OVERALL, WE WILL SEE A MORE ZONAL CONFIGURATION THROUGH MIDWEEK.
THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE TO NEAR TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS. MOST OF THE SYNOPTIC SCALE REMAINS WELL
NORTH AND WEST OF THE AREA, RESULTING IN DRY WEATHER THROUGH AT
LEAST FRIDAY. THE NEXT TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY HANGING TOUGH THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL
INCREASE OUR RAIN CHANCES, ALTHOUGH NOT A TOTAL WASHOUT.
16
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1213 AM CDT MON APR 20 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS BETWEEN 5-10 KNOTS PREVAIL THROUGH
THIS TAF CYCLE. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR SOME VERY PATCHY FOG AT
TCL AND MGM AROUND SUNRISE. DID NOT INCLUDE IN THE TAFS AT THIS
TIME AS CONFIDENCE IS FAIRLY LOW. WILL MAKE AMENDMENTS IF NEEDED.
NOTE: SPRING SEASONAL ISSUANCE OF THE TAF FOR KASN IS NOW
BEING ISSUED AND WILL RUN THROUGH 04/29 18Z.
95/CASTILLO
FIRE WEATHER
AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE CLOSE TO CRITICAL VALUES OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, AS TEMPERATURES MODERATE AND DEWPOINTS
REMAIN IN THE 30S AND 40S. FORTUNATELY, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME AND THEN REMAIN LESS GUSTY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.
NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL NOT COME UNTIL FRIDAY AT THE SOONEST.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 76 44 81 50 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 75 48 81 52 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 77 52 82 57 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 78 49 82 55 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 78 50 83 54 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 77 52 81 56 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 78 49 83 57 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 78 49 82 55 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...95/CASTILLO
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