732
FXUS64 KBMX 070710
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
210 AM CDT FRI AUG 7 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 209 AM CDT FRI AUG 7 2026
- HEAT: HUMIDITY WILL PUSH HEAT INDICES INTO THE 97-104 DEGREE
RANGE THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK, RESULTING IN A MODERATE HEAT
RISK ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
DISCUSSION
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1146 PM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
THIS EVENING, CENTRAL ALABAMA REMAINS IN A WEAK UPPER FLOW AREA
SOUTH OF THE MAIN BROAD TROUGH THAT EXTENDS OUT OF A CENTRAL
CANADA LOW AND DOWN INTO THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY. AT THE SAME
TIME, ALABAMA IS SITUATED BETWEEN TWO RIDGES, ONE ACROSS THE FOUR
CORNERS AND THE OTHER IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OFF OF THE VA/NC
COAST WITH ONLY MINOR PERTURBATIONS TRAVERSING THE WEAK FLOW
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. THIS HAS RESULTED IN TYPICAL SUMMERTIME
DIURNALLY ENHANCED CONVECTION, BUT THAT IS ALSO AT TIMES OUTFLOW
DRIVEN. BY MONDAY, THE WESTERN ATLANTIC RIDGE FLATTENS AND
RETROGRADES WESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE ONLY
DIFFERENCE FOR MONDAY ONWARD WILL BE THAT OF A SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT
ORIENTATION OF THE BETTER RAIN CHANCES FROM SHORTWAVE ACTIVITY,
BUT IT WOULD STILL BE DIURNALLY ENHANCED.
AS FOR TEMPERATURES, READINGS DO VARY A DEGREE OR SO HERE AND
THERE OVER THE NEXT WEEK WITH OVERALL MOISTURE REMAINING UP. THIS
WILL RESULT IN MAX AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES PERHAPS A COUPLE OF DEGREES
HIGHER IN SPOTS. HOWEVER, GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO KEEP US BELOW HEAT
ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR NOW.
08
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 209 AM CDT FRI AUG 7 2026
A FEW VERY ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE LINGERING OVERNIGHT IN THE
VICINITY OF MGM AND AUO. AMENDMENTS MAY BE NEEDED OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS TO ACCOUNT FOR THAT DEVELOPMENT, BUT OTHERWISE VFR
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL OTHER SITES. THE CHANCE FOR
SOME LOW STRATUS TO DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO AUO FROM THE EAST
REMAINS IN THE FORECAST BETWEEN NOW AND SUNRISE, BUT CONFIDENCE
REMAINS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE ANY LOW STRATUS AT ANY OTHER SITES AT
THIS TIME. SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS LATER TODAY, AND PROB30S REMAIN IN THE
FORECAST FOR MOST TERMINALS. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE
PERIOD.
NOTE: AMD NOT SKED FOR AUO DUE TO A WEATHER OBSERVATION OUTAGE.
56/GDG
FIRE WEATHER
WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL HELP KEEP MINRH VALUES GENERALLY
ABOVE 50% THROUGH THE WEEK. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
STORMS ARE EXPECTED DAILY. BECAUSE OF THIS, ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS WILL REMAIN LITTLE TO NONE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 90 71 91 72 / 40 20 50 10
ANNISTON 89 71 90 72 / 40 20 50 10
BIRMINGHAM 90 73 91 73 / 40 20 40 10
TUSCALOOSA 92 74 92 74 / 20 20 40 10
CALERA 90 72 92 72 / 40 20 40 10
AUBURN 87 73 88 73 / 30 10 30 10
MONTGOMERY 92 73 93 74 / 20 20 30 10
TROY 90 72 92 72 / 20 10 30 10
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...08
AVIATION...56/GDG
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