481
FXUS64 KBMX 132357
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
657 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 656 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
- A STRETCH OF FAIR WEATHER TAKES SHAPE THIS WEEK AND CONTINUES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- THERE IS A MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCE FOR SOME COMMUNITIES ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA TO SEE THEIR FIRST 90 DEGREE DAY THIS WEEKEND OR
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1156 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
SUNNY AND WARM CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA TODAY,
SUPPORTED BY A SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR MASS NOTED ON THE 12Z BMX RAOB
ABOVE 850MB. THIS DRY AIR IS ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL TROUGH
AXIS THAT MOVED THROUGH LAST NIGHT, ESTABLISHING DEEP
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. WHILE AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT LAGS
BEHIND, IT IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH TONIGHT. DUE TO THE
LIMITED MOISTURE PROFILE, NO MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION IS
ANTICIPATED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, THOUGH A FEW SPRINKLES
REMAIN POSSIBLE IN THE FAR NORTHEAST. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT,
COMFORTABLE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW WITH HIGHS IN THE
70S; SEVERAL NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES WILL LIKELY SEE LOWS IN THE
40S BY FRIDAY MORNING. A WARMING TREND BEGINS THIS WEEKEND AS A
BERMUDA HIGH REESTABLISHES TO OUR EAST, INDUCING WARM SOUTHERLY
FLOW. THIS WILL LIKELY PUSH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER
80S TO NEAR 90 DEGREES FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH NO
ORGANIZED PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.
86/MARTIN
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 656 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR VFR CONDITIONS. A WEAK FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS EVENING/TONIGHT. GIVEN THE WEAK
AND MOISTURE-STARVED NATURE OF THE FRONT, ONLY A FEW CLOUDS AND A
LIGHT NORTHERLY BREEZE ARE EXPECTED WITH ITS PASSAGE, WITH HIGH
PRESSURE QUICKLY REBUILDING ACROSS THE AREA BEHIND IT.
89^GSATTERWHITE
FIRE WEATHER
A PERIOD OF RAIN-FREE WEATHER WILL TAKE SHAPE THIS WEEK AND
CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION.
MINRH IS FORECAST TO REACH THE 30 PERCENT RANGE THURSDAY, FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA WITH A LOW CHANCE FOR
SOME LOCATIONS TO REACH THE UPPER 20S. OTHERWISE, NO (RELATIVELY)
LOW RHS ARE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 50 75 43 80 / 10 0 0 0
ANNISTON 53 74 46 80 / 10 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 55 76 50 82 / 10 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 55 78 51 82 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 55 77 49 82 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 58 76 52 79 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 58 78 50 81 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 57 78 49 81 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86/MARTIN
AVIATION...89^GSATTERWHITE
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