603
FXUS64 KBMX 260523
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1223 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
- SEASONABLE CONDITIONS: FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.
- FIRE WEATHER: THERE IS A MEDIUM FIRE WEATHER RISK THROUGH THIS
WEEK DUE TO DRY FUELS, LIMITED MOISTURE, AND SLIGHTLY INCREASED
WINDS.
DISCUSSION
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1137 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
NO MAJOR CHANGES ARE EXPECTED IN THE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT FIVE
DAYS, AS UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN RELATIVELY STABLE
TEMPERATURES, AND LIMITED RAIN CHANCES UNDER THIS SUPER DRY AIR
COLUMN. BY THURSDAY, THIS RIDGE WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN,
AS A WEAK CLOSED LOW MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. HERE, OUR
FLOW ALOFT WILL TRANSITION TO THE SW, ALLOWING FOR SOME SLIGHT
MOISTURE RETURN IN THE UPPER-LEVELS. AT THE SURFACE HOWEVER,
WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE E/NE, KEEPING DEWPOINTS LOW INTO THE
WEEKEND. WITH THAT BEING SAID, TEMPERATURES WILL SLIGHTLY
INCREASE UNDER THIS NEW FLOW REGIME, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS
CLIMBING INTO THE UPPER-70S AND LOW-80S BY FRIDAY.
/44/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD, WITH
PREDOMINANTLY EASTERLY WINDS CONTINUING THROUGH TOMORROW. ASN MAY
SEE PERIODS OF FOG THROUGH DAYBREAK, WITH OBS ALREADY SHOWING A
COUPLE DROPS TO 5SM VIS. HIGH CLOUDS WILL WORK IN DURING THE
MORNING AND INTO THE EVENING.
NOTE: FALL SEASONAL ISSUANCE OF THE KASN TALLADEGA TAF BEGAN ON
10/18 00Z AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 10/28 18Z.
12
FIRE WEATHER
HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW US TO MAINTAIN RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS
THROUGH FRIDAY. DAYTIME MINRH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE
25 TO 45 PERCENT RANGE THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH MINIMUM VALUES
INCREASING TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. GIVEN THE MINRH VALUES AND
DRYING FUELS, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN MEDIUM THROUGH
MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 73 43 76 44 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 74 44 77 46 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 74 48 76 49 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 76 47 78 48 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 73 47 75 48 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 73 47 76 49 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 76 46 77 47 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 74 45 77 47 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION.../44/
AVIATION...12
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