933
FXUS64 KBMX 260354
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1054 PM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1053 PM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026
- COOLER, DRIER EARLY FALL PATTERN: A NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER
AIR MASS SETTLES ACROSS CENTRAL AL THROUGH THE WEEKEND, BRINGING
DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE LOWER-TO-MIDDLE 80S AND NIGHTTIME LOWS IN
THE 50S AND 60S.
DISCUSSION
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1053 PM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE REGION WILL DELIVER PLEASANT, DRY
WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS FALLING INTO THE MID
50S TO LOW 60S. DRIER AIR AND INCREASED SUBSIDENCE WILL KEEP
CONDITIONS RAIN-FREE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH A WEAK
SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY,
FOLLOWED BY A STRONGER UPPER TROUGH LATE IN THE WEEK, LIMITED
MOISTURE WILL PRESERVE DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH MIDWEEK. SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN LATE IN THE WEEK AS THE UPPER TROUGH
AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT APPROACH CENTRAL ALABAMA.
A RETURN TO SOUTHERLY FLOW EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL BRING WARMER
TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO REBOUND INTO THE
UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S BY TUESDAY, WITH NEAR-90-DEGREE HEAT
PERSISTING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORKWEEK.
16
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 722 PM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026
VFR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY PREVAIL ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA
TERMINALS. HIGH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE, CALM SURFACE WINDS, AND
CLEAR SKY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT WILL FOSTER LOCALIZED RADIATIONAL
COOLING, CREATING A 30-40% PROBABILITY FOR PATCHY MVFR FOG
DEVELOPMENT NEAR MGM, TCL, EET, AND AUO BETWEEN 09Z AND 13Z.
CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW TO MODERATE GIVEN LOCALIZED DEWPOINT
DEPRESSIONS, SO TEMPO GROUPS HAVE BEEN MAINTAINED TO ACCOUNT FOR
BRIEF VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS. BHM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN CLEAR OF
FOG IMPACTS. LIGHT EAST-NORTHEASTERN WINDS AROUND 7 KTS WILL
DEVELOP AFTER 17Z UNDER PREVAILING VFR SKIES.
16
FIRE WEATHER
DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH LIGHT WINDS
KEEPING OVERALL CONCERNS MINIMAL. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE 30 TO 40% RANGE OVER THE WEEKEND, AND
REACH THE UPPER 20 TO 30% RANGE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE DRYING
TREND CONTINUES AND LIGHT WINDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 54 84 55 82 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 54 82 55 81 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 59 84 59 83 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 60 88 60 87 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 59 85 58 85 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 58 82 58 83 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 60 86 61 86 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 58 85 59 86 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...16
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