050
FXUS64 KBMX 260106
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
806 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 805 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
- HEAT & HUMIDITY: A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND BEGINS LATE THIS
WEEK; HEAT INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH OR EXCEED 100
DEGREES DAILY FROM FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
POSE A MODERATE TO MAJOR HEAT RISK OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE
REGION.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1140 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
AS WE GO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, WE'RE EXPECTING A FEW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL AL. GUIDANCE HASN'T SHOWN
MUCH CONSISTENCY ON THE LOCATION OF ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, BUT
OVERALL DOES INDICATE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED COVERAGE ACROSS THE
AREA DUE TO A WEAKENING REMNANT BOUNDARY ACROSS THE AREA.
AS WE GO INTO THE WEEKEND AND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE FOCUS
WILL SHIFT TO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAT IMPACTS ACROSS THE REGION.
BROAD RIDGING BUILDS IN AND STRENGTHENS INTO NEXT WEEK LEADING TO
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES REACHING INTO THE MID 90S EACH DAY SUNDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HEAT INDICES WILL RUN IN THE 100-107 DEGREE
RANGE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK LEADING TO THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAT ADVISORIES AS WE GET CLOSER IN TIME. OVERNIGHT
LOW TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO RUN IN THE MID 70S TO
POTENTIALLY UPPER 70S IN A FEW LOCATIONS, WHICH WILL LIMIT HEAT
RECOVERY FOR ANYONE WITHOUT ADEQUATE COOLING IN PLACE.
25/OWEN
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 750 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR MOST TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT
24 HOURS. ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE WITH SOME LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING CONVECTION THAT IS LINGERING. I HAVE A MENTION THROUGH 3Z
FOR LINGERING ACTIVITY FOR ALL SITES BUT BHM/AUO. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL ACCOUNT FOR SOME MVFR STRATUS DEVELOPMENT AFTER 9Z.
I WILL ONLY INCLUDE A MENTION AT AUO AT THIS TIME, AS CONFIDENCE
IS LOW ELSEWHERE. ISOLATED AREAS OF CONVECTION ARE EXPECTED AGAIN
ON FRIDAY, BUT CHANCES ARE TOO LOW TO PINPOINT THIS ACTIVITY TO
INCLUDE JUST YET.
NOTE: AMD NOT SKED WILL CONTINUE FOR THE AUO TAF UNTIL DATA
ISSUES WITH OBSERVATIONS ARE RESOLVED.
08
FIRE WEATHER
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN CHANCES WILL PERSIST TODAY, BUT
CONDITIONS GENERALLY BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR WETTING RAINS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL BE THE MAIN STORY
OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HEAT INDICES
APPROACH AND TOP 100 DEGREES. FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED AS THE HUMID AIR MASS BUILDS IN.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 68 90 73 91 / 20 20 0 10
ANNISTON 68 89 73 90 / 20 20 10 10
BIRMINGHAM 70 91 75 91 / 20 20 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 71 91 75 92 / 20 10 0 0
CALERA 69 93 74 94 / 20 20 0 0
AUBURN 70 88 73 90 / 20 20 10 0
MONTGOMERY 70 90 73 91 / 20 20 10 0
TROY 69 90 72 91 / 20 30 10 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...25/OWEN
AVIATION...08
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