553
FXUS64 KBMX 130525
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1225 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1224 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
- A STRETCH OF FAIR WEATHER TAKES SHAPE THIS WEEK AND CONTINUES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- THERE IS A MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCE FOR SOME COMMUNITIES ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA TO SEE THEIR FIRST 90 DEGREE DAY THIS WEEKEND OR
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1122 PM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
IN THE LOWER LEVELS, HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDED FROM THE CAROLINAS
SOUTHWESTWARD TO TEXAS. SATELLITE CONTINUES TO INDICATE SOME
LINGERING STRATUS IN THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA.
HOWEVER, CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DECREASE NOW THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THURSDAY, A
REINFORCING BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH AND KEEP LOWER
HUMIDITY AND DRY CONDITIONS AROUND FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL FOR THURSDAY BEHIND THE
BOUNDARY, BUT ARE EXPECTED TO WARM AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND AS
THE SURFACE RIDGE SLOWLY NUDGES EASTWARD AND A WARM ONSHORE FLOW
RETURNS OFF OF THE GULF. FOR SATURDAY AND INTO THE FIRST PART OF
NEXT WEEK, HIGHS WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH 90 DEGREES IN A FEW
SPOTS. HUMIDITY WILL BEGIN TO REBOUND, BUT RAIN CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE TO HOLD OFF THROUGH THIS WEEKEND FOR NOW. AS WE HEAD
INTO MONDAY AND TUESDAY, THERE MAY BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR
LOW CHANCES OF A SHOWER OR STORM. ANY OCCURRENCES WOULD BE
ISOLATED. BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, A FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
DEEP SOUTH FROM THE NORTHWEST.
08
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1224 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST SOUTH OF MGM OVERNIGHT
CLOSER TO THE STALLED WEDGE FRONT, WITH JUST A LOW (10-20%)
CHANCE FOR MVFR CIGS AT MGM. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT
WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY ON WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES ALONG THE FRONT ARE LESS THAN 10%.
32/JDAVIS
FIRE WEATHER
A PERIOD OF RAIN-FREE WEATHER WILL TAKE SHAPE THIS WEEK AND
CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION.
MINRH IS FORECAST TO REACH THE 30 PERCENT RANGE THURSDAY, FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA WITH A LOW CHANCE FOR
SOME LOCATIONS TO REACH THE UPPER 20S. OTHERWISE, NO (RELATIVELY)
LOW RHS ARE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 81 50 75 45 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 80 52 74 47 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 82 56 76 52 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 83 55 79 52 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 83 55 78 50 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 80 58 76 52 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 82 58 78 51 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 81 58 78 50 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...08
AVIATION...32/JDAVIS
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