173
FXUS64 KBMX 101955
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
255 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 254 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
- THE REMNANTS OF ISAIAS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SLIDE EAST ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE THROUGH TONIGHT.
- NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK, SPECIFICALLY TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 254 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS THE REMNANTS OF ISAIAS CONTINUING TO TRACK
SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING, WITH WINDS
MARGINALLY MEETING WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. AS THE LOW MOVES OUT
OF THE REGION LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA, BRINGING WARM AND DRY WEATHER. DAILY
HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE MID-TO-UPPER 80S TO
LOW 90S AFTER MONDAY, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID-TO-UPPER 50S
AND LOW 60S. HIGHS MAY APPROACH RECORD LEVELS TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY DEPENDING ON MODEL GUIDANCE TRENDS.
16
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 108 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING. IFR
CEILING RESTRICTIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS BHM, TCL, AND EET, WITH
MVFR AT AUO AND MGM AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF ISAIAS. CEILINGS WILL DETERIORATE TO IFR/LIFR AREA-
WIDE OVERNIGHT. KEPT MGM RIGHT AT 1000 FT DUE TO LOWER
CONFIDENCE, BUT WILL MONITOR TRENDS FOR THE 00Z TAF CYCLE. EXPECT
GRADUAL CLEARING BACK TO VFR AFTER 15Z SUNDAY AS MIXING
INCREASES.
16
FIRE WEATHER
LIGHT TROPICAL RAINS WILL GRADUALLY COME TO AN END BY SUNDAY
MORNING AS ISAIAS MOVES NORTH ACROSS THE STATE. DRIER AIR MOVES
BACK ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK AS
RIDGING BUILDS BACK IN.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 57 76 56 86 / 60 20 0 0
ANNISTON 58 75 57 86 / 40 20 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 59 78 59 87 / 40 10 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 57 84 58 91 / 30 0 0 0
CALERA 59 78 59 87 / 30 10 0 0
AUBURN 59 76 61 85 / 20 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 58 81 59 87 / 10 0 0 0
TROY 57 80 59 86 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...16
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page