288
FXUS64 KMOB 130551
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1151 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1145 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
- COLD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. SUB-
FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA,
ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT AND OVER THE WEEKEND.
- STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE MARINE AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY, CREATING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1145 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
ANOTHER COOL AND DRY DAY IS EXPECTED FOR TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
LINGERS ACROSS THE AREA. THIS HIGH WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD INTO THE
GULF AND WEAKEN AS OUR NEXT REINFORCING COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH
THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LOOKING ALOFT, A SOUTHERN STREAM
SHORTWAVE TROUGH, LOCATED OVER WESTERN TEXAS WILL QUICKLY APPROACH
THE LOCAL AREA BY TONIGHT. WINDS ALOFT WILL BRIEFLY TURN
SOUTHWESTERLY AS IT APPROACHES. ALTHOUGH MOISTURE RETURN IS STILL
QUITE LIMITED (PWATS REMAIN BELOW AN INCH), THERE MAY BE ENOUGH
FORCING TO SQUEEZE OUT A FEW ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS
AS THE TROUGH PASSES OVERHEAD DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH THE
COLD AIRMASS STILL IN PLACE, EXPECT A VERY LIGHT, OVERRUNNING
RAIN. BY THE AFTERNOON, LONGWAVE TROUGHING DIVING SOUTHWARD FROM
CANADA WILL PHASE WITH THE SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE AND PUSH TO
OUR EAST BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS TROUGH WILL HELP TO SEND THE
AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR AREA. ONCE AGAIN, A FEW
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS THE FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH. BEHIND IT, ANOTHER COLD, DRY AIRMASS FILTERS IN FROM THE
NORTH AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. HIGHS FOR TODAY AND WEDNESDAY
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S. LOWS TONIGHT WILL DIP INTO
THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S. AFTER THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT, TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WILL CRASH INTO THE MID TO UPPER
40S FOR HIGHS AND THE LOW TO MID 20S FOR LOWS ALTHOUGH WINDS
THURSDAY NIGHT LOOK TO BE RATHER LIGHT, APPARENT TEMPERATURES MAY
GET CLOSE TO OUR COLD WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA. WE'LL KEEP AN EYE
ON THIS POTENTIAL OVER THE COMING DAYS.
THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD WILL BE STRIKINGLY SIMILAR TO THE
FIRST HALF. BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, HIGHS WILL REBOUND TO THE UPPER
50S TO LOW 60S, WITH LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT RANGING FROM THE MID 30S
INLAND TO THE LOW 40S ALONG THE COAST. ANOTHER LONGWAVE TROUGH IS
SET TO DIG SOUTHWARD FROM CANADA, HELPING TO SEND YET ANOTHER
REINFORCING COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR LOCAL AREA SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT. LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN SHOULD KEEP POPS LOW, ALTHOUGH WOULD
NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS POP UP. AFTER THE
FRONT PASSES THROUGH TEMPERATURES DROP ONCE AGAIN, WITH HIGHS SUNDAY
AND MONDAY IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S AND LOWS DROPPING INTO THE
20S. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PERIOD, WITH A BRIEF BUMP TO MODERATE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR
OUR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE BEACHES. /96
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1145 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, ALONG WITH
LIGHT WINDS. /96
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1145 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY TO NORTHERLY FLOW WILL
SHIFT WESTERLY TONIGHT. THIS WESTERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE ON
WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT, FOLLOWED BY A MODERATE TO
STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY IN THE WAKE
OF THE FRONT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE
THURSDAY NIGHT, BECOMING A LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW ON
FRIDAY. /96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 54 32 59 41 / 0 0 0 20
PENSACOLA 53 36 58 45 / 0 0 0 20
DESTIN 54 40 59 47 / 0 0 0 20
EVERGREEN 52 29 60 38 / 0 0 0 20
WAYNESBORO 52 29 58 39 / 0 0 0 20
CAMDEN 49 28 57 39 / 0 0 0 20
CRESTVIEW 53 28 61 37 / 0 0 0 20
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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