660
FXUS64 KMOB 252336
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
536 PM CST THU DEC 25 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 523 PM CST THU DEC 25 2025
- DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE AREA EACH NIGHT
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DENSE MARINE FOG WILL ALSO PERSIST
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
- WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF CHRISTMAS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
A STRONG COLD FRONT BRINGS AN END TO THIS WARMTH SUNDAY NIGHT,
WITH A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY POTENTIALLY BEING NEEDED FOR
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT.
- STRONG WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1141 AM CST THU DEC 25 2025
LINGERING DENSE FOG OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA WILL BURN OFF SHORTLY. THE SETUP FOR ADVECTIVE
FOG DEVELOPMENT REMAINS IN PLACE, AND EXPECT THE RETURN OF
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG TO DEVELOP AGAIN ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING. THE FOG DISSIPATES MID TO LATE FRIDAY MORNING, THEN A
REPEAT EVENT IS POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING,
AND EVEN SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. A POSITIVELY TILTED
UPPER TROF ADVANCES ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL STATES THIS
WEEKEND, THEN TAKES ON A MERIDIONAL ORIENTATION WHILE PROGRESSING
INTO THE INTERIOR EASTERN STATES ON MONDAY. AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE
LOW WELL OFF TO THE NORTH BRINGS A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY. AFTER AN UNSEASONABLY WARM PERIOD WITH
HIGHS IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN THE 50S, THIS COLD FRONT WILL BRING A
HUGE CHANGE, WITH HIGHS ON TUESDAY JUST IN THE 40S AND COLD NIGHTS
FOR MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT. LOWS MONDAY NIGHT RANGE FROM
MID/UPPER 20S WELL INLAND TO THE MID 30S AT THE COAST, THEN LOWS
TUESDAY NIGHT RANGE FROM THE LOWER/MID 20S INLAND TO AROUND 30 AT
THE COAST. THE ONLY RAIN CHANCES OF THE ENTIRE FORECAST ARE MAINLY
CHANCE POPS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY (POTENTIALLY SMALL POPS NEAR
THE COAST MONDAY EVENING), AND INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED SO
HAVE JUST GONE WITH SHOWERS FOR NOW. WILL NEED TO CONTINUE TO
MONITOR FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY BECOMING
NECESSARY FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING WHEN
APPARENT TEMPERATURE VALUES DROP TO THE TEENS WELL INLAND TO THE
LOWER 20S CLOSER TO THE COAST. APPARENT TEMPERATURE VALUES LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT COULD APPROACH COLD WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA AND
WILL BE MONITORED. COOL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST, WITH LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT RANGING FROM
THE MID 20S WELL INLAND TO THE MID 30S AT THE COAST, AND HIGHS ON
THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE 50S. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS
EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY, EXCEPT FOR A MODERATE RISK ON MONDAY.
/29
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 523 PM CST THU DEC 25 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE OVERNIGHT AS DENSE FOG DEVELOPS.
IFR OR LOW VISBYS ARE EXPECTED. BEST CHANCE IS EXPECTED CLOSER TO
THE COAST AND COASTAL BAYS. THE FOG WILL BEGIN TO MIX OUT SOON
AFTER SUNRISE, WITH VISBYS AT UPPER MVFR/VFR LEVELS BY 18Z OVER
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LIGHT
OVERNIGHT, WITH A LIGHT ONSHORE NEAR AREA BAYS. WINDS WILL BECOME
A GENERAL SOUTHERLY 5 TO 10 KNOTS BY 18Z.
/16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1141 AM CST THU DEC 25 2025
DENSE SEA FOG WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EACH NIGHT THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK ACROSS BAYS, SOUNDS, AND NEARSHORE GULF
WATERS, AND MAY PERSIST WELL INTO THE AFTERNOON IN SOME PORTIONS.
A MOSTLY LIGHT WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BECOMES SOUTHERLY
ON SUNDAY. A STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS MONDAY AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BECOME
NECESSARY FOR MOST OF THE MARINE AREA ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 56 74 59 76 / 0 10 10 10
PENSACOLA 57 72 61 73 / 0 0 10 10
DESTIN 58 70 61 72 / 0 0 10 10
EVERGREEN 52 75 57 76 / 0 0 10 10
WAYNESBORO 54 75 58 77 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 53 74 57 76 / 0 0 10 10
CRESTVIEW 51 74 56 76 / 0 0 10 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST FRIDAY
FOR ALZ051>060-261>266.
FL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST FRIDAY
FOR FLZ201>206.
MS...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST FRIDAY
FOR MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST FRIDAY FOR GMZ630>632-650.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST FRIDAY FOR
GMZ633>636-655.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page