355
FXUS64 KMOB 152331
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
531 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 530 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
- HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS
THIS EVENING, BUT WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY
DIMINISH OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
- HIGH SURF HEIGHTS UP TO 4 TO 6 FEET WILL IMPACT COASTAL
PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH THIS
EVENING, WITH STRONG RIP CURRENTS CONTINUING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 130 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
LIKELY TO DEFINITE SHOWERS WITH PERHAPS A STORM OR TWO ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVING OVER THE CENTRAL ALABAMA
WILL SPREAD MAINLY EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A FEW
SHOWERS COULD SLIP SOUTH TOWARD THE I-10 CORRIDOR BY LATE
AFTERNOON, BUT NO STRONG STORMS ARE EXPECTED. LINGERING SHOWERS
ACROSS OUR FAR EASTERN ZONES EARLY THIS EVENING WILL THEN EXIT
EAST OF THE AREA AS A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. DRY
CONDITIONS WILL THEN FOLLOW THROUGH MIDWEEK AS A SURFACE RIDGE
SETS UP ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND A BROAD UPPER RIDGE BUILDS
OVER GULF AND DEEP SOUTH. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL
RETURN TO OUR REGION THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK AS OVER-RUNNING
SETS UP ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SURFACE RIDGE
EVENTUALLY SETTING UP ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF THAT ALLOWS
SOUTHERLY WINDS TO BRING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE NORTHWARD.
TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE
WEEK WITH HIGHS MONDAY AROUND 70 DEGREES CLIMBING INTO THE LOWER
TO MIDDLE 80S INLAND ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, WITH MIDDLE TO UPPER
70S ALONG THE COAST. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MIDDLE 50S TONIGHT
AND MONDAY NIGHT WILL CLIMB INTO THE MIDDLE 60S BY THURSDAY NIGHT.
BEACH FORECAST: A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT FOR LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF 4 TO 6 FEET IN THE SURF ZONE.
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS REMAINS THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE
RETURNING BACK TO A LOW RISK BY TUESDAY. /22
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 530 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
AN EXPANSIVE STRATOCUMULUS DECK WILL RESULT IN PREDOMINATE MVFR
CEILINGS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. IT'S POSSIBLE CEILINGS MAY
APPROACH IFR LEVELS AT TIMES OVERNIGHT, BUT CONFIDENCE IS
CURRENTLY NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN THE TERMINAL FORECASTS.
STRONG AND GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS
EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE
NORTHEAST BY MONDAY MORNING. 34/JFB
MARINE
ISSUED AT 130 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
MODERATE TO STRONG WESTERLY FLOW WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY THIS
EVENING AS A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES FOR ALL MARINE ZONES THIS AFTERNOON WILL EXPIRE THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS WINDS GRADUALLY DECREASE AND SHIFT
NORTHERLY, WITH SEAS SUBSIDING. LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW ON MONDAY WILL
SHIFT TO A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. /22
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR ALZ265-266.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR FLZ202-204-206.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ630-
633>636.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR GMZ631-632-
650-655.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM CST MONDAY FOR GMZ670-675.
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