742
FXUS64 KMOB 220714
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
114 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 114 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025
- A MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL RETURN TODAY AS EASTERLY
WINDS INCREASE OVER THE GULF, AND COULD REMAIN MODERATE
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS WINDS SHIFT SOUTHEASTERLY.
- WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ALL WEEK,
INCLUDING CHRISTMAS DAY.
- DENSE FOG WILL LIKELY BECOME A COMMON OCCURRENCE EACH NIGHT
STARTING TUESDAY NIGHT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 114 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025
PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI THROUGH NOON TODAY WHILE LIFTING SLOWLY
NORTHWARD. AS A STRONG SURFACE RIDGE SETS UP ALONG THE EASTERN
SEABOARD TODAY, THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY CLOSE TO THE COAST
WILL BECOME REORIENTATED FROM ROUGHLY BUTLER, AL TO PENSACOLA, FL
BY THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DRIER AIR MASS ADVECTING IN FROM THE
EAST. THIS SURFACE RIDGE WILL THEN GET PUSHED SOUTHWARD ACROSS
GEORGIA, ALABAMA, AND NORTHERN FLORIDA ON TUESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A
HIGH PRESSURE AREA EVENTUALLY SETTING UP ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH CHRISTMAS DAY. IN THE MEANTIME, THE UPPER RIDGE TO
OUR SOUTH WILL SLOWLY BUILD NORTHWARD THROUGH MIDWEEK, AND THEN
GRADUALLY BREAKDOWN THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THESE TWO FEATURES WILL
KEEP OUR FORECAST AREA DRY AND VERY WARM OVER THE CHRISTMAS
HOLIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. CHESTNUTS WILL NOT BE THE ONLY THING
ROASTING THIS WEEK AS WE EXPECT HIGH TEMPERATURES TO RISE INTO
THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AWAY FROM THE
COAST, WITH LOWER 80S DEFINITELY A POSSIBLITY. THESE TEMPERATURES
ARE ABOUT 13 TO 18 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. HIGHS ALONG THE COAST
WILL BE IN THE LOWER 70S DUE TO THE COOL GULF WATERS. LOW TEMPS
WILL ALSO BE ABOUT 13 TO 18 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE SAME
TIME FRAME, AND COULD BE AS HIGH AS 17 TO 23 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
FRIDAY NIGHT.
NOW THE QUESTION ON EVERYONE'S MIND. COULD IT BE A WHITE
CHRISTMAS? IF YOU CONSIDER FOG TO BE WHITE, WELL TECHNICALLY, YES.
SANTA CLAUS WILL DEFINITELY NEED RUDOLPH'S RED NOSE TO NAVIGATE
THROUGH THE THICK FOG WE ARE EXPECTING CHRISTMAS EVE. IN FACT, WE
ARE EXPECTING PATCHY TO AREAS OF DENSE FOG TO START AS EARLY AS
TUESDAY NIGHT, AND COULD CONTINUE ALL WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AS AN UPPER SHORTWAVE
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
BEACH FORECAST: A MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL RETURN TODAY AS
EASTERLY WINDS INCREASE OVER THE GULF, AND COULD REMAIN MODERATE
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS WINDS SHIFT SOUTHEASTERLY. A LOW
RIP CURRENT RISK IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
/22
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1143 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2025
VERY LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG INLAND AREAS BEHIND A WEAK COLD
FRONT SAGGING SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE COAST WILL BRING LIFR AND IFR
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES TO THE MOST OF THE TAF SITES THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. A LINE OF LIGHT SHOWERS ALONG THE WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY PUSH SOUTH TOWARD THE COAST, SO
ADDED -RA AND KEPT VCSH TO MOST OF THE TAF SITES. VFR VISIBILITIES
AND MOSTLY MVFR CEILINGS WILL RESUME BY MID MORNING MONDAY. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 114 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025
MARINERS OPERATING SMALL CRAFT OVER THE GULF WILL NEED TO EXERCISE
CAUTION TODAY AS AN EASTERLY FLOW INCREASES TO MODERATE TO
OCCASIONALLY STRONG. A LIGHT EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
FOLLOWS FOR TUESDAY INTO MIDWEEK, AND THEN BECOMES VARIABLE THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 70 52 74 55 / 30 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 68 56 71 57 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 69 55 70 57 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 69 46 76 51 / 10 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 66 49 74 52 / 20 0 0 0
CAMDEN 65 47 73 51 / 10 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 70 46 74 50 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR GMZ630>632.
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