569
FXUS64 KMOB 030009
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
709 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 708 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
- HEAT RISK CONCERNS: HEAT INDICES OF AROUND 100 OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA TODAY.
- HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY FOR THE
COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES. WAVE RUNUP AND
OVERWASH ARE A CONCERN ALONG THE COASTLINE MID TO LATE WEEK AS
THE SURF QUICKLY BUILDS.
- SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 112 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
A RATHER UNSETTLED AND ACTIVE PATTERN WILL COME TO A BRIEF CLOSE
THIS WEEK AS A SURFACE FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES OFFSHORE AND STALLS.
THIS AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY BE THE LAST OF A RATHER ACTIVE AND
SOGGY PERIOD AS A FINAL SHORTWAVE WORKS ITS WAY THROUGH THE DEEP
SOUTH. THIS SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO KICKOFF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
STORMS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE DRIER AIR WORKS IN AND
THE FRONT FULLY CLEARS THE COAST TONIGHT. RAIN CHANCES SHOULD
DECREASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. THE BIGGEST CHANGE
YOU WILL LIKELY NOTICE IS AN UNSEASONABLY DRY AND "COOLER"
CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS HIGHS WILL DROP INTO THE
LOW 80S WITHS IN THE LOW 60S TO POSSIBLY 50S WELL INLAND WHICH IS
ROUGHLY 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. UNFORTUNATELY, THIS WILL LIKELY
BE SHORT LIVED AS MOISTURE WILL QUICKLY RETURN BY THE WEEKEND AS
THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES EAST. DEEP GULF MOISTURE WILL SURGE
NORTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND AND A MORE TYPICAL SUMMERTIME
PATTERN WILL LIKELY SETUP THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS WEEKEND AS THE STALLED
BOUNDARY SLOWLY LIFTS NORTHWARD ON SUNDAY A PERIOD OF MORE
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND POTENTIALLY SOME HEAVIER RAIN WITH NBM 95TH
PERCENTILES AROUND 2 TO 3 INCHES AND PWATS CLIMBING ABOVE 2
INCHES. THIS WOULD LIKELY NOT BE A WIDESPREAD THREAT BUT GIVEN WE
ARE COMING OFF OUR RAINIEST MAY ON RECORD AND LOCAL SATURATED
GROUNDS WE MAY NEED TO KEEP AN EYE FOR A LOCALIZED POTENTIAL
HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT TO CLOSE OUT THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD CLIMBING BACK INTO THE
MID TO UPPER 80S BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. BB-8
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 708 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL DURING THE EVENING TO EARLY MORNING
HOURS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS EXPECTED THROUGH LATE EVENING. WINDS
ARE CURRENTLY NORTHERLY INLAND AND STILL SOUTHERLY ALONG THE COAST.
THESE WINDS WILL SLOWLY SHIFT TO EASTERLY BY EARLY MORNING GUSTING
TO 20-25 KNOTS. WITH THE INCREASED WINDS, CEILINGS WILL LOWER TO
MVFR AND POTENTIALLY IFR BY EARLY MORNING FROM NORTHEAST TO
SOUTHWEST. THESE CEILINGS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MID AFTERNOON BEFORE
LIFTING. SS/97
MARINE
ISSUED AT 112 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
NORTHERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME MORE EASTERLY BY
TONIGHT AS A BOUNDARY SLOWLY PUSHES FURTHER OFFSHORE. SMALL CRAFT
CONDITIONS DEVELOP EARLY WEDNESDAY IN THE STRENGTHENING EASTERLY
FLOW AND PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY ACROSS THE BAYS, WATERWAYS, AND
GULF WATERS WHILE CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY FOR THE FAR OFFSHORE
GULF WATERS. ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
EACH AFTERNOON AND ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY STORMS. BB-8
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 70 80 65 83 / 60 30 10 0
PENSACOLA 71 81 67 83 / 60 30 0 10
DESTIN 71 82 68 83 / 70 30 0 10
EVERGREEN 66 80 59 83 / 60 10 0 0
WAYNESBORO 68 80 59 83 / 40 10 0 0
CAMDEN 66 80 59 82 / 40 10 0 0
CRESTVIEW 66 81 60 84 / 70 20 0 0
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 70 80 64 82 / 80 20 10 0
PENSACOLA 72 81 67 83 / 70 30 0 0
DESTIN 72 83 68 84 / 70 20 0 0
EVERGREEN 67 81 57 83 / 50 10 0 0
WAYNESBORO 68 80 61 82 / 40 10 0 0
CAMDEN 67 81 58 82 / 30 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 68 81 59 84 / 70 20 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 11 AM CDT THURSDAY
FOR GMZ630-631-633.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 8 PM CDT THURSDAY
FOR GMZ632.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 11 AM CDT THURSDAY
FOR GMZ634>636.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 8 PM CDT THURSDAY
FOR GMZ650-655.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR
GMZ670-675.
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