859
FXUS64 KMOB 131737
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1237 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1236 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
- DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- WELL BELOW NORMAL OVERNIGHT LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGHS AND LOWS
TREND WARMER AND WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
MOVING INTO AN UNEVENTFUL WEATHER PERIOD. 13.12Z UPPER AIR MAPS
INDICATE A BROAD UPPER TROF AXIS IS POSITIONED OVER THE EASTERN US
WITH NORTHWEST FLOW AT HIGH LEVELS FILTERING IN A DEEP LAYER OF
DRIER AIR. MEANWHILE, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE EXITING STAGE RIGHT OFF
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC SATURDAY. WE
WILL REMAIN ON THE WESTERN FLANK OF THIS RIDGE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
WHICH WILL RESULT IN A MORE ESTABLISHED SOUTHERLY FLOW FOR THE
LATTER HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS LOOK TO
HOLD THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH SMALL POPS RE-ENTERING THE FORECAST
LATE IN THE FORECAST, PRIMARILY BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT
WEEK.
MAINLY A TEMPERATURE FORECAST. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70'S INTERIOR TO
LOWER HALF OF THE 80'S COAST THURSDAY WILL TREND WARMER WITH EACH
DAY THEREAFTER WITH NUMBERS TRENDING IN THE MID/UPPER 80'S BY EARLY
HALF OF NEXT WEEK AND A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. A FEW AREAS
CLOSING IN ON THE 90 DEGREE MARK. TO CLOSE OUT THE WEEK, LOWS WILL
BE COOL BY MID MAY STANDARDS WITH THU NIGHT LOWS THE COOLEST
RANGING IN THE LOWER 50'S OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE LOCAL
AREA AND SOME 6 TO 11 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION, A FEW LOCALES MAY BREAK INTO THE UPPER 40'S THU NIGHT
OVER THESE AREAS AND MAY BE CLOSE TO RECORD LOW TERRITORY TOO.
SOUTHWEST HALF GENERALLY 57 TO 61 THU. NIGHT AND AROUND 5 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL THEN QUICKLY MODERATE/WARM
THEREAFTER. NUMBERS WELL INTO THE 60'S TO LOWER 70'S COAST BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL. /10
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1236 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. GENERALLY
NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND 5-10 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
THURSDAY MORNING. 98/10
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
NO IMPACTS. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE MOVING OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND INTO
THE WESTERN ATLANTIC SATURDAY. A LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH
THURSDAY TURNS MORE ONSHORE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SEAS TO TREND 2 FEET OR LESS THROUGH MUCH OF
THE PERIOD. /10
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 62 83 58 82 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 66 83 61 80 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 67 82 62 79 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 58 81 50 84 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 58 81 54 85 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 58 78 52 83 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 59 83 52 85 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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