523
FXUS64 KMOB 191113
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
613 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 609 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREA BEACHES
TODAY.
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK, ESPECIALLY OVER
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA.
- LOCALIZED PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING AND AGAIN
LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 609 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2026
OVERALL THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. CURRENT OBSERVATIONS DO
SHOW PATCHY FOG HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS MOST OF THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THE AREA. SOME VERY LOCALIZED DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING;
HOWEVER, COVERAGE AND DURATION DOES NOT SEEM TO BE ENOUGH TO
WARRANT A ADVISORY AT THIS TIME. ANYONE COMMUTING OR TRAVELING
THIS MORNING SHOULD CONTINUE TO USE CAUTION WHERE FOG HAS FORMED.
BB-8
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1031 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2026
AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM IS POSSIBLE TODAY MAINLY ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL ALABAMA WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
STORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY. THURSDAY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN AND
STORM CHANCES SHIFT WEST OF I-65, BECOMING SCATTERED TO LOCALLY
NUMEROUS WEST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR FRIDAY. BEST CHANCES FRIDAY
WILL LIKELY REMAIN CONFINED TO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND INTERIOR
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND, RAIN CHANCES
REMAIN ELEVATED AS A SERIES OF WEAK SHORTWAVES ROUND THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY OF UPPER RIDGING WITH SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. PATCHY FOG CAN'T BE RULED OUT
THROUGH THIS MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING, WITH A FEW SPOTS
POTENTIALLY SEEING LOCALLY DENSE FOG. BETTER CHANCES FOR FOG
APPEAR TO BE WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE AREA. ANY FOG WILL
DEVELOP LATE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE LIFTING FAIRLY
QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE.
OUTSIDE OF THE RAIN CHANCES, TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM NEAR OR
JUST ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR ON BOTH HIGHS AND LOWS
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. HIGHS GENERALLY FALL IN
THE 85 TO 90 RANGE, WITH SOME LOCALIZED LOWER 90'S POSSIBLE ANY
GIVEN DAY. LOWS WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 60'S TO LOWER 70'S FOR
MOST LOCATIONS EACH NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS TODAY BECOMES A MODERATE RISK WEDNESDAY. A LOW TO
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL EXIST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
MM/25
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 609 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2026
LIFR TO IFR VISBYS AND CEILINGS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS MOST OF THE
AREA THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE QUICKLY THIS MORNING
RETURNING TO MVFR THEN VFR BY LATE MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD
PERSIST WITH LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS INTO THE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
BB-8
MARINE
ISSUED AT 111 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2026
A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH SATURDAY. SEAS WILL BUILD SLIGHTLY THROUGH TONIGHT THEN
DIMINISH WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 89 71 88 70 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 86 73 87 73 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 82 73 83 72 / 0 0 10 0
EVERGREEN 91 68 90 67 / 10 10 20 10
WAYNESBORO 90 70 90 69 / 10 10 30 20
CAMDEN 91 70 90 68 / 0 10 10 20
CRESTVIEW 91 70 90 68 / 10 0 30 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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