009
FXUS64 KMOB 271208 AAA
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
608 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 608 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY FOR
STRONG RIP CURRENTS CREATING DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES HAVE RETURNED FOR THE FORESEEABLE
FUTURE. BEST RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 608 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
THE CURRENT FORECAST REMAINS WELL REPRESENTATIVE AS A WIDE LINE
OF SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A WEAK COLD
FRONT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD. THIS LIGHT TO
OCCASIONAL MODERATE PRECIPITATION WILL BRING AROUND ONE-HALF INCH
OF RAIN TO MOST INLAND LOCATIONS, BUT AS THE FRONT SLOWS DOWN AND
AND EVENTUALLY SLIPS JUST SOUTH OF THE COAST BY MID AFTERNOON,
SOME OF OUR COASTAL COMMUNITIES COULD SEE 1-2 INCHES OF MUCH
NEEDED RAINFALL. WITH THE RAIN EXITING OUR AREA AROUND 3PM, IT
WILL STILL BE A DREARY DAY UNTIL SOME AFTERNOON SUN RETURNS WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES PEAKING OUT IN THE 70-75 DEGREE RANGE. PATCHY TO
AREAS OF FOG IS EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG THE STALLED FRONT OFF THE
COAST THIS EVENING AND SPREAD INLAND ACROSS AREAS SOUTHEAST OF
I-65 THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. /22
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1047 PM CST THU FEB 26 2026
RAIN AND STORM CHANCES CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE REST OF
TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. ISOLATED COVERAGE OVER INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD INTO INTERIOR
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE
OVERNIGHT NEAR AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 84, SPREADING CLOSER TO THE
COAST AS WE GET TOWARDS DAYBREAK. WHILE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN TAME
THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT OWING TO WEAK MUCAPE AND MODEST FORCING.
THERE MAY BE A STRONGER STORM OR TWO NEARER THE COAST NEAR OR
AFTER DAYBREAK INTO THE MORNING HOURS AS INSTABILITY INCREASES AND
THE MAIN TROUGH BEGINS TO SWING THROUGH, WITH THE MAIN HAZARD
BEING GUSTY WINDS. AHEAD OF THE FRONT DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS,
SOME PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP IN SPOTS TEMPORARILY REDUCING
VISIBILITY TO AROUND A MILE AT TIMES.
OVERALL WE WILL SEE A TRANSITION INTO A LESS EXCITING PATTERN AS
UPPER TROUGHING GIVES WAY TO MORE ZONAL FLOW LATE WEEKEND WHILE
UPPER RIDGING BEGINS TO BECOME DOMINANT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN U.S.
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR US TO NOT ONLY REMAIN DRY,
BUT ALSO TO REMAIN QUITE WARM THROUGH NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL
TAKE A BRIEF DIP FOR LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE MIDDLE 40'S AND
LOWER 50'S, BUT THE REST OF THE FORECAST GENERALLY KEEPS ALL AREAS
IN THE 50'S FOR LOWS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70'S BECOME
UPPER 70'S TO LOWER 80'S THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK. A HIGH RISK
OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON, TAPERING
TO A MODERATE RISK FRIDAY EVENING AND A LOW RISK FOR THIS WEEKEND.
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MAY RETURN ONCE AGAIN AS WE HEAD INTO
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. MM/25
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 549 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
IFR/MVFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA, WITH ISOLATED
LIFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES DUE TO PATCHY FOG. A WIDE LINE OF
SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE
MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON, AND SHOULD COMPLETELY EXIT OUR AREA
BY 3PM AS THE FRONT MOVES JUST SOUTH OF THE COAST. TEMPORARY
REDUCTIONS IN CEILING AND VISIBILITY CAN BE EXPECTED UNDERNEATH
THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT TO NORTHWESTERLY, BECOMING
NORTHERLY BY MID TO LATE MORNING. WINDS WILL REMAIN AROUND 5 TO 10
KNOTS FOR THE MOST PART OUTSIDE OF STORMS. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1047 PM CST THU FEB 26 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW BECOMES A LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW
THIS MORNING INTO AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. SOME
PATCHY FOG MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY AT TIMES ACROSS BAYS AND SOUNDS
PRIOR TO THE FRONT MOVING THROUGH. A LIGHT EASTERLY TO
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ON SATURDAY AND CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY,
BECOMING LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 75 53 78 50 / 70 10 0 0
PENSACOLA 71 57 76 55 / 80 10 0 0
DESTIN 70 57 73 56 / 80 10 10 0
EVERGREEN 72 49 79 46 / 70 10 0 0
WAYNESBORO 72 47 77 46 / 20 0 0 0
CAMDEN 70 47 75 47 / 40 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 73 52 79 47 / 80 10 10 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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