132
FXUS64 KMOB 252320
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
620 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 620 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
- MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT OVER MOST OF THE MARINE AREA INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK, POSSIBLY CONTINUING INTO LATE WEEK.
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED FOR BEACH AREAS THROUGH
MONDAY, AND ALSO POTENTIALLY ON THURSDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 620 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK AND NO UPDATES ARE NEEDED. SS/97
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1108 AM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN STATES AND AN UPPER TROF JUST OFF
THE EAST COAST SLOWLY SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH THE
UPPER RIDGE WEAKENING SOMEWHAT AND BECOMING ORIENTED MAINLY NEAR/ALONG
THE EAST COAST. THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN ON THURSDAY,
THEN A LARGE UPPER TROF WELL OFF TO THE WEST LOOKS TO SEND A
VIGOROUS SERIES OF SHORTWAVES DOWNSTREAM WHICH PROGRESS ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. A STRONG SURFACE RIDGE
PREVAILS OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY THEN BEGINS TO WEAKEN
SOMEWHAT SATURDAY. A DRY NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE FLOW CONTINUES OVER
THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY, THEN GRADUALLY TRANSITIONS TO A
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ON SATURDAY. HAVE CONTINUED WITH A DRY FORECAST
THROUGH FRIDAY, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS RETURN TO THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY AS DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
IMPROVES LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS ON MONDAY RANGE FROM THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80, THEN UPPER
70S TO LOWER 80S FOLLOW FOR TUESDAY AND SLOWLY TREND TO MOSTLY
80-85 BY SATURDAY. LOWS TONIGHT RANGE FROM AROUND 50 WELL INLAND
TO 55-60 AT THE COAST, THEN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BE
SIMILAR EXCEPT FOR A BIT COOLER WELL INLAND. A MODERATING TREND
FOLLOWS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT BY WHICH TIME LOWS WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND 60 WELL INLAND TO THE MID 60S AT THE COAST. A HIGH RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY, WITH A MODERATE RISK FOR
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS ANTICIPATED
TO RETURN ON THURSDAY. /29
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 620 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE CURRENT LIGHT
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS INCREASE TOMORROW MORNING TO AROUND 10 KNOTS
WITH PERIODIC GUSTS UP TO 15-20 KNOTS, ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE
COAST. SS/97
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1108 AM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS PREVAIL THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING, THEN DIMINISH MONDAY AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS UNTIL 1 PM MONDAY
AFTERNOON. THE OFFSHORE FLOW BEGINS TO STRENGTHEN TUESDAY NIGHT,
WITH A MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG FLOW FOLLOWING FOR
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. ANOTHER SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY
BECOME NECESSARY STARTING EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING WELL OFFSHORE
AND RUNNING THROUGH FRIDAY, POTENTIALLY OCCASIONALLY INCLUDING
THE NEAR SHORE WATERS. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 54 78 53 79 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 60 78 59 79 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 61 79 60 79 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 50 77 47 80 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 48 78 48 81 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 50 75 47 78 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 53 79 49 80 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT MONDAY FOR GMZ650-655-670-
675.
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