853
FXUS64 KMOB 111918
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
118 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
- STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE MARINE AREA
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING AND CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR
SMALL CRAFT.
- SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY
NIGHT FOR MOST INTERIOR AREAS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
JUST LIKE THAT WINTER HAS RETURNED TO THE AREA AND LOOKS TO STICK
AROUND FOR THE NEAR FUTURE. DEEP UPPER TROUGHING HAS BUILD OVER
THE EASTERN US AS UPPER RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE WEST COAST. THIS
HAS USHERED IN DEEP NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT LEADING TO DRIER
AND COOLER CONDITIONS THAN THE PREVIOUS WEEK. THE ONLY SYSTEM OF
NOTE THE NEXT WEEK COMES ON WEDNESDAY AS A CUTOFF UPPER LOW MOVES
ACROSS THE GULF COAST AND PHASES WITH THE LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER
THE EASTERN US. OVERALL MOISTURE WILL BE RATHER PITIFUL WITH THIS
BUT SOME LIGHT OVERRUNNING COULD BE POSSIBLE AS THE UPPER LOW
OPENS UP INTO A WEAK SHORTWAVE ACROSS THE AREA. THE MAIN IMPACT OF
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE THE DEEPENING OF THE EAST COAST TROUGH WHICH
WILL ALLOW FOR A RE-ENFORCING SHOT OF EVEN COLDER AND DRIER AIR BY
THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES MOST OF THE WEEK WILL RANGE IN THE LOW
TO MID 50S FOR HIGHS AND UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S FOR LOWS. COLDEST
DAY OF THE WEEK WILL BE FRIDAY WHERE LOWS WILL LIKELY BOTTOM OUT
IN THE LOW TO MID 20S WITH THE COLD SHOT. WIND CHILLS TONIGHT,
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT LOOK TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW TO MID
20S. NOT THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON BUT WILL PROBABLY BE ONE
OF THE LONGER COLD PERIODS WE HAVE HAD THIS SEASON. BB-8
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A NORTH WIND AROUND
10 TO 15 KNOTS GUSTING TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS. WINDS WILL RELAX
TONIGHT. BB-8
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
GUSTS TO NEAR GALE FORCE CANNOT BE RULED OUT OVER THE LOCAL GULF
WATERS. WINDS GRADUALLY DECREASE ON MONDAY, BECOMING LIGHT BY
TUESDAY. WINDS BRIEFLY TURN WESTERLY ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT
COLD FRONT. MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS RETURN WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. WITH THE PERSISTENT
NORTH WIND AND LOW TIDES, PARTS OF MOBILE BAY WILL LIKELY
EXPERIENCE LOW WATER THRESHOLDS EACH DAY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK
DURING LOW TIDE. BB-8
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 59 33 53 30 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 59 35 53 35 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 60 36 53 38 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 56 28 53 27 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 55 29 51 27 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 53 28 48 27 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 59 29 53 26 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR GMZ630>632.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST MONDAY FOR GMZ650-655-670-
675.
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