758
FXUS64 KMOB 141902
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
202 PM CDT FRI AUG 14 2026
..NEW MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 202 PM CDT FRI AUG 14 2026
- HOT CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
HEAT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR HIGH HEAT INDICES UP TO 112.
ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.
- A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH A
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS RETURNING FOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE
BEACHES ON MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1216 PM CDT FRI AUG 14 2026
THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA BRINGING VERY HOT CONDITIONS.
THE 500 MB HEIGHTS ARE AROUND 596-598 DAM WITH THE CENTER OF THE
UPPER HIGH JUST TO THE WEST PUTTING US UNDER VERY WEAK NORTHERLY TO
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. THE AREA ALSO HAS DECENT MOISTURE WITH NEAR/JUST
ABOVE NORMAL PWATS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH VALUES OF 1.9-2.1"
THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK.
ISOLATED STORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS AFTERNOON GENERALLY ALONG THE
SEABREEZE AND FURTHER TO THE EAST WHERE THERE IS LESS SUBSIDENCE.
STORMS BECOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED EACH AFTERNOON OVER THE WHOLE
AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO MID NEXT WEEK WITH SOME
ISOLATED STORMS OVER MARINE AREAS EACH MORNING. DCAPE WILL CONTINUE
TO BE ELEVATED WITH VALUES OF ~1000 J/KG, SO ANY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER DOWNBURST WINDS
IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING.
THE MAIN IMPACT THROUGH THE PERIOD IS THE HEAT. A HEAT ADVISORY IS
IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH 8PM TODAY AND 11AM-8PM
TOMORROW FOR HEAT INDEX VALUES UP TO 112. THE HEAT HEADLINES WILL
MOST LIKELY LAST AT LEAST THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK. DAILY HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S FOR MOST INLAND AREAS AND
POSSIBLY REACHING 100, ESPECIALLY IN OUR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
COUNTIES. WITH AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 70S,
THIS BRINGS HEAT INDICES UP TO 105-112 WITH SOME ISOLATED AREAS
BRIEFLY REACHING UP TO 115. THERE CONTINUES BE LITTLE OVERNIGHT
RELIEF WITH LOW TEMPERATURES THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK ONLY REACHING
DOWN TO THE MID 70S INLAND AND THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 ALONG THE
COAST. ANYBODY OUTDOORS SHOULD DRINK PLENTY OF WATER, TAKE BREAKS IN
A/C WHEN POSSIBLE, AND MONITOR FOR SIGNS OF HEAT ILLNESS.
..BEACH FORECAST
THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL BE LOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ONSHORE FLOW
RAMPS UP THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AND WILL INCREASE THE RIP
CURRENT RISK TO A MODERATE, PARTICULARLY FOR FLORIDA BEACHES
BEGINNING MONDAY. OUTSIDE OF ANY STORMS, SURF HEIGHTS REMAIN
GENERALLY 1-2 FEET THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK.
SS/97
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1151 AM CDT FRI AUG 14 2026
EXPECT VFR FOR ALL AREA TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
WILL MONITOR FOR ISOLATED TSRA FOR KPNS LATER THIS AFTERNOON,
INTRODUCING PROB30'S TO APPROXIMATED BEST TIMING. OTHERWISE, ALL
OTHER TERMINALS ARE LOOKING TO BE LIKELY QUIET INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. IN ANY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM, EXPECT BRIEF REDUCTIONS IN
FLIGHT CATEGORIES BY REDUCED CIGS/VIS, BUT WILL REMAIN PREVAILING
VFR OUTSIDE OF ANY TSRA ACTIVITY. KLG
MARINE
ISSUED AT 202 PM CDT FRI AUG 14 2026
A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY FLOW
PATTERN PERSISTS ACROSS THE MARINE WATERS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, WITH
LIGHT TO MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW BECOMING ESTABLISHED NEXT WEEK.
ISOLATED TO POTENTIALLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED
EACH MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER SEAS AND WINDS NEAR STORMS. SS/97
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 77 96 76 96 / 0 30 10 50
PENSACOLA 79 95 79 94 / 10 30 10 30
DESTIN 81 93 80 93 / 10 20 10 30
EVERGREEN 76 97 75 97 / 10 40 10 30
WAYNESBORO 75 100 75 100 / 0 10 10 10
CAMDEN 76 96 75 96 / 10 20 10 10
CRESTVIEW 76 97 75 96 / 10 50 10 50
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ALZ051>060-261>266.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR ALZ051>060-
261>266.
FL...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR FLZ201>206.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR FLZ201>206.
MS...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MSZ067-075-076-078-
079.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
GM...NONE.
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