310
FXUS64 KMOB 120553
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1153 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1143 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
- COLD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. MONDAY
NIGHT, ALONG WITH SEVERAL NIGHTS LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO NEXT
WEEKEND, WILL FEATURE SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA.
- STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE MARINE AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, CREATING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1143 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS CONTINUES TO FILTER IN FROM THE NORTH AS A
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. AS THE HIGH BEGINS
TO SETTLE IN, WINDS WILL LIGHTEN UP AS WE GO THROUGH THE DAY
TODAY. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT IN THE LOW 50S AREAWIDE TODAY. FOR
TONIGHT, LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES WILL LEAD TO AN IDEALIZED
RADIATIONAL COOLING SETUP. THIS WILL HELP TO ALLOW FOR LOWS TO
PLUMMET INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S ACROSS THE AREA, WITH MID
30S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE THROUGH MIDWEEK, WITH HIGHS POTENTIALLY REACHING THE LOW
60S ON WEDNESDAY. THIS BRIEF 'WARM UP' WILL BE SHORT-LIVED,
HOWEVER, AS A REINFORCING ARCTIC COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE
AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT DUE TO AN ANOMALOUSLY STRONG LONGWAVE TROUGH
AMPLIFYING OVER THE EASTERN US. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT
MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS FRONT SHOULD BE RATHER PALTRY,
LIMITING RAIN CHANCES TO ISOLATED AT BEST. ANYTHING THAT DOES
MANAGE TO DEVELOP WOULD LIKELY JUST BE A LIGHT, COLD RAIN. AFTER
THE FRONT'S PASSAGE, THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE THE COLDEST DAY OF THE
WEEK, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S AND LOWS CRASHING INTO
THE LOW TO MID 20S, WITH UPPER 20S ALONG THE COAST. ALTHOUGH WINDS
THURSDAY NIGHT LOOK TO BE RATHER LIGHT, APPARENT TEMPERATURES MAY
GET CLOSE TO OUR COLD WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA. WE'LL KEEP AN
EYE ON THIS POTENTIAL OVER THE COMING DAYS. ANOTHER REINFORCING
COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH SOMETIME OVER THE WEEKEND. SIMILAR TO
THE FIRST FRONT, LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN SHOULD KEEP POPS LOW.
TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES, WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 50S AND LOWS
RANGING FROM THE UPPER 20S NORTH TO THE MID 30S ALONG THE COAST.
A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH WEDNESDAY,
BRIEFLY BUMPING UP TO A MODERATE RISK WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO
THURSDAY. /96
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1143 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS, ALONG WITH NORTHERLY WINDS AT AROUND 5-10 KNOTS,
WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. /96
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1143 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY, BECOMING LIGHT BY TUESDAY. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM THIS MORNING. WINDS BRIEFLY
TURN WESTERLY ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. MODERATE
TO STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS RETURN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. ANOTHER SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BECOME
WARRANTED FOR MIDWEEK. /96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 59 33 53 30 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 59 35 53 35 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 60 36 53 38 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 56 28 53 27 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 55 29 51 27 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 53 28 48 27 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 59 29 53 26 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR GMZ630>632.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST MONDAY FOR GMZ650-655-670-
675.
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