749
FXUS64 KMOB 151753
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1253 PM CDT WED APR 15 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1246 PM CDT WED APR 15 2026
- MODERATE TO EXTREME DROUGHT, WITH LITTLE TO NO RAIN OVER THE
NEXT 7 DAYS, WILL EXACERBATE WILDFIRE ACTIVITY.
- PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPMENT, SOME OF WHICH COULD BE
DENSE, IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS.
- A MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IS EXPECTED FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH SATURDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 309 AM CDT WED APR 15 2026
ONCE AGAIN FOG HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE AREA AND CURRENT
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND OBSERVATIONS ARE SHOWING WIDESPREAD DENSE
FOG STARTING ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR AND RAPIDLY SPREADING INLAND.
SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL LIKELY LIMIT HOW FAR NORTH THE FOG WILL
MAKE IT BUT MOST OF THE ARE WILL LIKELY DEAL WITH DENSE FOG THIS
MORNING. ALONG WITH THE FOG, THE PRESENCE OF SEVERAL WILDFIRES
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA COULD
RESULT IN LOCALIZED AREAS OF SUPER FOG. SUPER FOG IS WHERE SMOKE
PARTICLES MIX WITH DENSE FOG RESULTING IN AN AREA OF INCREDIBLY
DENSE FOG. VISIBILITIES IN THESE AREAS COULD DROP TO A FEW HUNDRED
FEET AT BEST RESULTING IN HIGHLY TREACHEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.
USE EXTREME CAUTION AROUND ANY AREA THAT YOU KNEW THERE WAS SMOKE.
A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM FOR MOST OF THE
AREA. FOG SHOULD SLOWLY MIX OUT AFTER 9 AM. BB-8
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2026
AN UPPER TROF ADVANCES ACROSS THE PLAINS AND MUCH OF THE EASTERN
STATES THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE EXITING OFF INTO THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC ON FRIDAY. AN UPPER RIDGE SPANNING MUCH OF THE GULF AND
THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN STATES BECOMES ORIENTED OVER THE EASTERN
GULF UP TO NEAR THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY, THEN
RETREATS TO THE GULF ON THURSDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK INTO
THE REGION ON FRIDAY WHILE A LARGE UPPER TROF ADVANCES ACROSS THE
WESTERN CONUS. THIS NEXT UPPER TROF AMPLIFIES WHILE CONTINUING
ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES THIS WEEKEND, AND AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE
LOW IS EXPECTED TO BRING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT. PRIOR TO THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT, A SURFACE RIDGE
ORIENTED ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WILL PROMOTE A WARM
SOUTHERLY SURFACE FLOW OVER THE FORECAST AREA. SUBSIDENCE EFFECTS
ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER RIDGE LOOK TO KEEP DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
SUFFICIENTLY LIMITED TO CONTINUE WITH A DRY FORECAST THROUGH
SATURDAY. AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH, HAVE GONE WITH SLIGHT CHANCE
TO CHANCE POPS ALONG AND WEST OF I-65 SATURDAY NIGHT WITH SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOR SUNDAY. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR DENSE FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT WHICH
WILL BE MONITORED. FOG DEVELOPMENT IS ALSO POSSIBLE AGAIN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S, AND IN THE MID TO
UPPER 80S ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. HIGHS ON SUNDAY WILL BE COOLER
AND MOSTLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S THEN GRADUALLY TREND TO THE MID
TO UPPER 70S BY TUESDAY. LOWS TONIGHT IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S
TREND TO THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY
NIGHT, THEN TURN COOLER BY SUNDAY NIGHT TO RANGE FROM THE MID 40S
WELL INLAND TO THE MID 50S AT THE COAST. OVERNIGHT LOWS TREND A
BIT WARMER THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER 50S
INLAND TO AROUND 60 AT THE COAST. A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. /29
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1246 PM CDT WED APR 15 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS EVENING AS WINDS TURN
SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY. WINDS WILL BECOME CALM THIS EVENING
WITH FOG EXPECTED AGAIN OVERNIGHT. LIFR TO VLIFR CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA ONCE
AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. 07/MB
MARINE
ISSUED AT 309 AM CDT WED APR 15 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY,
BECOMING MORE SOUTHERLY BY THURSDAY. MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG
OFFSHORE FLOW RETURNS BY SUNDAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BECOME NECESSARY FOR SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY.
BB-8
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2026
ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS POSE THE POTENTIAL TO EXACERBATE
WILDFIRE ACTIVITY FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS. WHILE AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH SUNDAY, DRIER
AIR FLOWS INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY WHICH LOOKS TO RESULT IN
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING TO 20-25% MOSTLY OVER INTERIOR
AREAS. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 82 63 82 61 / 0 0 10 0
PENSACOLA 78 65 80 64 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 78 65 77 65 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 86 56 87 59 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 86 61 86 61 / 0 0 10 0
CAMDEN 85 58 85 61 / 0 0 10 0
CRESTVIEW 86 57 86 58 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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