104  
FXUS64 KMOB 031848 AAA  
AFDMOB  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
1248 PM CST SAT DEC 3 2022  
   
..NEW AVIATION, NEAR TERM
 
 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1245 PM CST SAT DEC 3 2022  
 
MVFR CEILINGS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MS AND SOUTHWEST  
AL THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY  
AN EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO DEVELOP OVER MUCH OF THE  
REGION THIS AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY NORTHWEST OF I-65. CEILINGS ARE  
THEN EXPECTED TO LOWER TO IFR TO LIFR THRESHOLDS THIS EVENING  
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG MAY ALSO  
DEVELOP THIS EVENING NEAR THE COAST AND POSSIBLY OVER SOME OF OUR  
INTERIOR AREAS LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. VISIBILITY  
MAY BE RESTRICTED TO IFR OR LOWER THRESHOLDS IN A FEW PLACES,  
ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. /21  
 

 
   
NEAR TERM AND MARINE UPDATE
 
 
(NOW THROUGH SUNDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1245 PM CST SAT DEC 3 2022  
 
A WARM AND MOIST SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL  
ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WELL IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT  
CURRENTLY MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL MS AND NORTHERN AL.  
A WEAK AREA OF ASCENT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING BOUNDARY AND ALONG  
THE ASSOCIATED PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH HAS RESULTED IN THE DEVELOPMENT  
OF SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS OVER SOUTHEAST MS AND INTERIOR SOUTHWEST  
AL THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS  
SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA  
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.  
 
THE WARM AND MOIST S/SW FLOW HAS RESULTED IN INCREASED SURFACE  
DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70 DEGREES ALONG THE IMMEDIATE  
COAST. WARM/MOIST ADVECTION WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT  
OF AREAS OF DENSE FOG ALONG THE COOLER WATERS OF MOBILE BAY, THE  
MISSISSIPPI SOUND, PERDIDO BAY, AND PORTIONS OF THE ADJACENT GULF  
OUT TO 20 NM LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING. FOG  
SHOULD LIFT FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT LATE TONIGHT.  
WE HAVE ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR THE ABOVE MENTIONED MARINE  
ZONES FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL 3 AM CST SUNDAY MORNING FOR  
THE POTENTIAL OF VISIBILITY DROPPING TO 1 NM OR LESS IN DENSE  
MARINE FOG. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MAY ALSO BE NEEDED ALONG OUR  
COASTAL MARINE ZONES AND OTHER ADJACENT BAYS/SOUNDS AND WILL TAKE  
A CLOSER LOOK AT THE LATEST DATA FOR POTENTIAL INCLUSION IN THE  
AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE. /21  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
MOBILE 59 70 55 72 64 78 63 80 / 20 10 10 0 10 10 10 10  
PENSACOLA 62 73 58 72 66 78 66 79 / 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
DESTIN 64 74 60 72 67 78 69 78 / 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
EVERGREEN 54 68 52 71 61 77 61 80 / 20 10 10 0 20 10 10 10  
WAYNESBORO 51 64 51 68 61 77 62 79 / 10 10 0 10 20 10 10 20  
CAMDEN 50 63 50 69 61 76 62 78 / 10 10 10 10 30 20 10 10  
CRESTVIEW 59 71 53 73 62 79 62 80 / 20 10 10 0 10 10 10 10  
 

 
   
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
AL...NONE.  
FL...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 AM CST SUNDAY  
FOR GMZ630>633-650.  
 

 
 

 
 
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:  
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB  
 
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