895
FXUS64 KMOB 131216
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
716 AM CDT MON APR 13 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 638 AM CDT MON APR 13 2026
- MODERATE TO EXTREME DROUGHT, WITH LITTLE TO NO RAIN OVER THE
NEXT 7 DAYS, WILL EXACERBATE WILDFIRE ACTIVITY.
- PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPMENT, SOME OF WHICH COULD BE
DENSE, IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS.
- A MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IS EXPECTED FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH MIDWEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT MON APR 13 2026
THERE'S REALLY NOT MUCH TO TEXT HOME ABOUT AS UPPER RIDGING
PERSISTS OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND GULF THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.
THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS A SINGLE FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE MOVING DUE
EAST ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED FOR OUR AREA WITH THIS FEATURE AS
MOISTURE AND FORCING WILL BE RATHER LIMITED. LIGHT SOUTHERLY
SURFACE WINDS WILL OCCUR EVERYDAY THIS WEEK AS A SURFACE RIDGE
REMAINS INTACT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND MUCH OF THE GULF.
HIGH TEMPERATURES INLAND WILL REACH THE MIDDLE 80S TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY AND LIKELY REACH THE UPPER 80S ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
THESE HIGHS WILL BE ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TODAY
THROUGH THURSDAY AND 7 TO 12 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. LOWS INLAND WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE 50S TO AROUND 60
DEGREES THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AND IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. COASTAL
LOWS WILL RANGE FROM 60 TO 65 DEGREES THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AND
THEN IN THE MIDDLE 60S THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST.
PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL NIGHTS.
VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO BETWEEN 1 TO 3 MILES ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA LATE OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY MORNING. SOME PATCHY
DENSE FOG CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
BEACH FORECAST: A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY. /22
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 638 AM CDT MON APR 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH SOUTHERLY
WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS. WINDS WILL RELAX OVERNIGHT AND LIFR TO
VLIFR VISBYS SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS AREAS MAINLY NORTH OF I-10
AFTER MIDNIGHT AS FOG SETTLES INTO THE AREA. BB-8
MARINE
ISSUED AT 250 AM CDT MON APR 13 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, BECOMING MORE SOUTHERLY BY THURSDAY. BB-8
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
LITTLE TO NO RELIEF IS EXPECTED FOR OUR ONGOING DROUGHT SITUATION
AS WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. ALTHOUGH
AFTERNOON HUMIDITY VALUES AND 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS REMAIN BELOW
RED FLAG CRITERIA, THE WORSENING DROUGHT WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD TO
AN ELEVATED FIRE RISK ACROSS THE AREA. /96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 82 60 82 61 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 78 61 79 63 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 76 62 77 64 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 85 54 86 55 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 85 58 86 57 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 84 56 85 56 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 83 54 85 56 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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