616
FXUS64 KMOB 290505
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1205 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1204 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2026
- SUMMERTIME HEAT CONTINUES THROUGH THIS WEEK WITH HEAT INDICES
AS HIGH AS 103 TO 107 ANY GIVEN DAY. HEAT INDICES MAY APPROACH
HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA AROUND 108 TUESDAY FOR MOST LOCATIONS.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE FORECAST TUESDAY
THROUGH LATE WEEK. A STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TWO
CAN'T BE RULED OUT EACH AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1204 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2026
SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE
AREA TODAY. THIS WILL MAINTAIN THE DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS. AN
ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT THIS
AFTERNOON, HOWEVER MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY. SUBSIDENCE UNDER
THE RIDGE WILL ALSO LEAD TO CONTINUED HOT CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS IN
THE LOW TO MID 90S. SOME AREAS COULD REACH THE UPPER 90S. HEAT
INDEX VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO FLIRT WITH HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA
EACH AFTERNOON, HOWEVER MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN IN THE 103 TO 107
RANGE. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE AREA TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY, PLACING THE AREA IN AN EASTERLY FLOW REGIME. INCREASED
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE COMBINED WITH SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH THE
EASTERLY FLOW WILL BRING HIGHER RAIN CHANCES TO THE AREA ON
TUESDAY WITH SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. BEST CHANCES WILL REMAIN EAST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR.
STORMS ON TUESDAY MAY ALSO HAVE THE CHANCE TO BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE, WITH PRIMARY HAZARDS BEING GUSTY TO LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS
IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING.
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK, WE REMAIN GENERALLY UNDER DEEP
LAYER EASTERLY FLOW WITH THE RIDGE CENTERED JUST NORTH OF US. THIS
WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY WHILE HIGHS CONTINUE TO TOP OUT IN THE
LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S. OVERNIGHT LOWS STAY WARM THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S. A LOW RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH THIS WEEK. /13
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 621 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. /13
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1032 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
A LIGHT DIURNAL FLOW PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH
LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS, BECOMING A
LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW EACH NIGHT. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 94 75 96 75 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 93 78 95 79 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 92 78 93 80 / 0 0 10 0
EVERGREEN 95 73 97 75 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 95 75 97 75 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 95 74 93 75 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 97 74 97 76 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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