836
FXUS64 KMOB 181952
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
252 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 250 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026
- MODERATE TO EXTREME DROUGHT WILL EXACERBATE WILDFIRE ACTIVITY.
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE TONIGHT WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT,
BUT RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE LOW WITH NO IMPROVEMENT TO THE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
- STRONG MARINE WINDS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 250 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026
RAIN CHANCES INCREASE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA LATE TONIGHT WITH A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS MOVING INTO THE
REGION. LOW CLOUDS AND LIGHT SHOWERS WILL LINGER SUNDAY MORNING
BEFORE CLEARING OUT BY THE AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
THE AREA ON MONDAY WITH LOWER HUMIDITY LEVELS. AN UPPER RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE REGION DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH
CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMER TEMPS. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE
LATE IN THE WEEK AS THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA.
HIGH TEMPS ON SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOW 70S. HIGHS
WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S THROUGH MIDWEEK. MUCH
COOLER OVERNIGHT LOWS CAN BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT TONIGHT
AND SUNDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MID AND UPPER 40S INLAND TO LOW
50S NEAR THE COAST. LOWS WILL SLOWLY MODERATE THROUGH MIDWEEK. /13
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1247 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. SHOWERS, AND MAYBE A FEW ISOLATED
STORMS, WILL PUSH INTO THE LOCAL AREA FROM THE WEST DURING THE
LATE EVENING HOURS. CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO MVFR, OR
POSSIBLY IFR, FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THIS ACTIVITY PUSHES
EASTWARD. ALTHOUGH RAIN SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT ENOUGH TO MAINTAIN VFR
VISIBILITIES, CANNOT RULE OUT BRIEF REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY
UNDERNEATH ANY STORM THAT MANAGES TO DEVELOP. VFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD RETURN BY THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS. SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. WINDS QUICKLY TURN
NORTHERLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AFTER A COLD FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT MAY GUST UP TO 25-30 KNOTS IN
SPOTS. /96
MARINE
ISSUED AT 250 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026
LIGHT SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL
SHIFT TO A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS A
COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. THIS OFFSHORE FLOW WILL
DECREASE TO MODERATE ACROSS THE BAYS AND SOUNDS BY EARLY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, BUT REMAIN STRONG OVER THE GULF THROUGH AT LEAST
MONDAY MORNING. A LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW FOLLOWS THROUGH MIDWEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 51 72 49 80 / 60 30 0 0
PENSACOLA 57 72 53 79 / 30 30 0 0
DESTIN 59 73 54 77 / 20 20 0 0
EVERGREEN 49 71 43 80 / 50 20 0 0
WAYNESBORO 48 71 44 78 / 80 10 0 0
CAMDEN 48 69 45 77 / 70 20 0 0
CRESTVIEW 53 73 45 81 / 20 20 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR GMZ630>636.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM SUNDAY TO 5 PM CDT MONDAY FOR
GMZ650-655-670-675.
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