362
FXUS64 KMOB 192009
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
309 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 308 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
- TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM BY THE END OF THIS WEEK AND
WILL REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
- NO HAZARDS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 308 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD
AS OUR LOCAL AREA REMAINS SANDWICHED BETWEEN UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN US AND STRONG UPPER RIDGING OVER THE
SOUTHWEST US. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY CENTERED
OVERHEAD THIS AFTERNOON, WILL EVENTUALLY SETTLE OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF STARTING TOMORROW. ALTHOUGH SEVERAL EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES LOOK
TO PASS OVERHEAD, THE HIGH IN PLACE, ALONG WITH LOW MOISTURE
VALUES, SHOULD HELP TO KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK,
SOME GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THAT A WEAK COLD FRONT MAY
APPROACH AND PASS ACROSS THE AREA. ALTHOUGH THE CURRENT FORECAST
MAINTAINS DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY, PROBABILISTIC
GUIDANCE DOES HINT AT A MODEST INCREASE IN MOISTURE VALUES (20-30%
CHANCE OF PWATS EXCEEDING 1.2 INCHES) EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THIS
INCREASE IN MOISTURE, SHORTWAVES MOVING OVERHEAD, AND THE
PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT AT THE SURFACE, I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO
SEE ISOLATED RAIN CHANCES RETURN SOMETIME DURING THE MONDAY-
WEDNESDAY TIMEFRAME OVER THE NEXT FEW FORECAST CYCLES. OTHERWISE,
VERY WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. HIGHS BY
SATURDAY WILL REACH THE LOW TO MID 80S (UPPER 70S ALONG THE
COAST), WITH UPPER 80S POSSIBLE FOR SOME LOCATIONS BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK. LOWS BY THIS WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK WILL ONLY DROP INTO THE
MID TO UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES
THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. /96
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1232 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO TURN MORE SOUTHERLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WHILE
BECOMING CALM OVERNIGHT. 07/MB
MARINE
ISSUED AT 308 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
LIGHT AND VARIABLE FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY. A LIGHT
TO MODERATE WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BECOMES PREVALENT FOR
THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. /96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 47 77 54 80 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 51 75 56 78 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 53 72 59 75 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 44 81 50 84 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 46 81 54 83 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 45 79 54 83 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 41 79 49 82 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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