310
FXUS64 KMOB 241957
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
257 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
..NEW MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 257 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
- MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT OVER MOST OF THE MARINE AREA INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK, POSSIBLY CONTINUING INTO LATE WEEK.
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED FOR BEACH AREAS THROUGH
MONDAY, AND MAY OCCUR ALSO ON WEDNESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1122 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN GULF
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION SLOWLY PROGRESSES INTO THE EASTERN
STATES THROUGH MONDAY AS AN UPPER TROF JUST OFF THE EAST COAST
DRIFTS A BIT FURTHER EASTWARD. THE UPPER RIDGE/TROF PATTERN SHIFTS
SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH THE UPPER RIDGE MEANWHILE
DAMPENING AND BECOMING ORIENTED NEAR THE EAST COAST. THE UPPER
RIDGE THEN REBUILDS OVER THE EASTERN STATES GOING INTO FRIDAY. A
SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE REGION FOR THE MOST PART AND
PROMOTES A PREVAILING NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OVER THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY,
AND IT'S POSSIBLE THAT SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY AFFECT THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA NEXT SATURDAY. HIGHS OF SUNDAY AND
MONDAY RANGE FROM THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80, THEN UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 80S ARE EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, GRADUALLY
TRENDING TO MOSTLY THE LOWER 80S BY NEXT SATURDAY. LOWS TONIGHT
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S WELL INLAND TO THE MID/UPPER 50S AT THE
COAST WITH SIMILAR VALUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE TRENDING
TO THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S BY FRIDAY NIGHT. A HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY, THEN A MODERATE RISK FOLLOWS
FOR MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
RETURNS ON WEDNESDAY. /29
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1225 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. NE SURFACE WINDS
AROUND 10KTS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE AREA AND DUE TO A MID-
LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY JET AND ADEQUATE MIXING, LOCALLY HIGHER WIND
GUSTS INTO THE LOWER 20KTS SHOULD BE EXPECTED DURING DAYLIGHT
HOURS. WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO CALM OVERNIGHT BEFORE RETURNING
TO SIMILAR STRENGTHS AFTER SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING.
KL/31
MARINE
ISSUED AT 257 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS PREVAIL THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING, THEN DIMINISH MONDAY AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS THROUGH 1 PM MONDAY.
THE OFFSHORE FLOW STRENGTHENS SOMEWHAT MONDAY NIGHT, DIMINISHES ON
TUESDAY, THEN BEGINS TO STRENGTHEN AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT. SMALL
CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE WELL OFFSHORE
LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING, AND ALSO LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT. A MODERATE TO STRONG FLOW PREVAILS FOR WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY, AND ANOTHER SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BECOME
NECESSARY MAINLY FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 53 78 53 78 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 59 78 58 78 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 60 78 61 79 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 49 76 50 77 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 47 77 48 78 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 48 74 50 75 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 51 78 54 79 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT MONDAY FOR GMZ650-655-670-
675.
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