568
FXUS64 KMOB 270532
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1132 PM CST FRI DEC 26 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1130 PM CST FRI DEC 26 2025
- DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE AREA EACH NIGHT
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A STRONG COLD FRONT BRINGS AN END TO THIS
WARMTH ON MONDAY, WITH A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY POTENTIALLY
BEING NEEDED FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHTS.
- STRONG WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CST FRI DEC 26 2025
NOW THROUGH FRIDAY...
CURRENTLY, WINDS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE COAST HAVE RISEN HIGHER THAN
EXPECTED, BUT ARE EXPECTED TO SETTLE AFTER 06Z/MIDNIGHT, ALLOWING
SEA FOG TO DEVELOP TONIGHT. INLAND, WINDS HAVE ALREADY BECOME LIGHT,
WITH VISIBILITIES STARTING TO DROP.
SATURDAY ON, AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STRETCHING NORTH OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST HANGS TOUGH INTO THE WEEKEND, THEN
BEGINS TO SHIFT SOUTH AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES
AROUND THE BASE OF AN CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES. A COLD
FRONT MOVES SOUTH OVER THE SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. AHEAD
OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S OFF THE GULF OVER COASTAL WATERS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOW 60S WILL ALLOW FOR SEA FOG AND STRATUS DEVELOPMENT EACH
NIGHT, MOVING INLAND AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. THERE IS SOME
VARIATION ON HOW FAR AND HOW FAST, DEPENDING UPON BOUNDARY LAYER
WINDS AND FOR MORE INLAND AREAS, CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT, BUT NOT CALM
WINDS. AT THIS POINT, FEEL THERE WILL BE DENSE FOG ADVISORIES FOR AT
LEAST THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA EACH NIGHT INTO THE
WEEKEND. THE PASSING COLD FRONT MONDAY WILL USHER IN A COLDER AND
DRIER AIRMASS, WITH A SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE DROP AND THE
POSSIBILITY OF A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY BEING NEEDED FOR THE
BEGINNING OF THE COMING WEEK. INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED WITH THE
PASSING FRONT, ALONG WITH LIMITED UPPER SUPPORT, SO AM NOT EXPECTING
ANY ROWDY STORMS MONDAY AT THIS TIME.
LOOKING CLOSER TO TEMPERATURES, MID TO UPPER 70S ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY. BEHIND THE FRONT, HIGH TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 FOR TUESDAY. FROM THERE, THEY SLOWLY WARM INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 50S BY THURSDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 50S TO
AROUND 60 ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHTS, THEN DROP INTO
MID 20S NORTH OF HIGHWAY 84 TO LOW TO MID 30S ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-
10 MONDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHTS. FROM THERE, LOW TEMPERATURES CLIMB
INTO THE UPPER 20S ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER OF THE FORECAST AREA TO
MID/UPPER 30S SOUTH OF I-10 WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIMIT THE RIP RISK TO LOW THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. AHEAD OF THE COMING FRONT, AN INCREASE IN WINDS AHEAD OF
THE FRONT MAY BRING A MODERATE RISK FOR MONDAY. BEHIND THE FRONT, THE
STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL DROP THE RIP RISK BACK TO LOW INTO MID
WEEK.
/16
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CST FRI DEC 26 2025
THE CURRENT VFR CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE LATER TONIGHT AS WINDS
BECOME LIGHT AND THE CURRENT CLOUD COVER THE FORECAST AREA MOVES
OUT. BEST CHANCE FOR LIFR OR LOWER VISBYS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE
COAST AND AREA PROTECTED WATERS AS WARM FLOW OFF THE GULF FLOWS OVER
COOLER WATERS. THIS FOG WILL BEGIN TO MIX OUT SOON AFTER SUNRISE AS
WIND RISE TO 5 TO 10 KNOTS SATURDAY MORNING.
/16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CST FRI DEC 26 2025
LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW OVER COOL WATERS WILL CREATE DENSE SEA
FOG OVER PROTECTED AND NEAR SHORE OPEN GULF WATERS EACH NIGHT,
POSSIBLY PERSISTING WELL INTO MID DAY EACH DAY. A COLD FRONT PASSING
OVER AREA WATERS MONDAY WILL BRING A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW, WITH A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LIKELY TO BE NEEDED LATER MONDAY INTO MID WEEK.
/16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 61 76 59 76 / 0 10 0 10
PENSACOLA 63 74 61 74 / 0 0 10 10
DESTIN 63 72 62 72 / 0 10 10 10
EVERGREEN 59 77 57 78 / 0 10 0 10
WAYNESBORO 60 76 58 77 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 59 75 58 75 / 0 10 0 0
CRESTVIEW 59 77 57 76 / 0 10 0 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST SATURDAY FOR ALZ051>060-
261>266.
FL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST SATURDAY FOR FLZ201>206.
MS...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST SATURDAY FOR MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST SATURDAY FOR GMZ630>636-650-
655.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page