819
FXUS64 KMOB 171132
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
632 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 626 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2026
- PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE ACROSS INLAND LOCATIONS EARLY THIS
MORNING AND MONDAY MORNING.
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK, ESPECIALLY OVER
THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA.
- TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO TREND WARMER THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH INCREASINGLY HUMID CONDITIONS. HEAT INDICES WILL
CLIMB INTO LOW TO MID 90S BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 626 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2026
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. BB-8
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1043 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026
DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS PREVAIL TODAY WITH PERHAPS ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE MONDAY OVER INTERIOR
PORTIONS OF THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES GRADUALLY INCREASE INTO MID AND
LATE WEEK AS UPPER RIDGING WEAKENS AND SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WORKS
ITS WAY INTO THE AREA ALONG WITH SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES. THIS
SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO GENERATE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE EACH DAY STARTING WEDNESDAY. BEST RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE RESERVED FOR THE WEEKEND AS A WEAK UPPER TROUGH
PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION. OVERALL IT'S LOOKING LIKE BENEFICIAL
RAINS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS MORNING
AND MONDAY MORNING MAY ALSO SEE SOME LOCALIZED PATCHES OF FOG
AROUND DAYBREAK REDUCING VISIBILITY BELOW A MILE AT TIMES. FOG
EACH MORNING WILL BE QUICK TO LIFT.
OUTSIDE OF THE RAIN CHANCES, TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM NEAR OR
JUST ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR ON BOTH HIGHS AND LOWS
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. HIGHS GENERALLY FALL IN THE 85 TO 90 RANGE,
WARMEST WEDNESDAY WHERE SOME SPOTS ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE INTO
SOUTH-CENTRAL AL MAKE IT TO THE LOWER 90'S. LOWS WARM WITH TIME
FROM UPPER 50'S TO MIDDLE 60'S THIS MORNING TO MIDDLE 60'S TO
LOWER 70'S BY MID WEEK. THE RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS LOW TODAY,
BECOMING MODERATE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MM/25
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 626 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2026
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST WITH LIGHT
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS. WINDS SHOULD BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY GROUND FOG POSSIBLE. BB-8
MARINE
ISSUED AT 131 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026
A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE
SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC COAST. SEAS ACROSS THE GULF WATERS WILL BUILD
TO AROUND 3 FEET BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY. 34/JFB
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 85 69 86 70 / 0 0 10 0
PENSACOLA 84 72 85 72 / 0 0 10 0
DESTIN 82 72 83 72 / 0 0 10 0
EVERGREEN 89 64 91 66 / 0 0 30 0
WAYNESBORO 88 65 88 69 / 0 0 30 0
CAMDEN 88 64 90 67 / 0 0 30 0
CRESTVIEW 89 65 91 66 / 0 0 20 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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