120
FXUS64 KMOB 141951
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
251 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 251 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES ALONG THE NORTHWEST
FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A MODERATE RISK AT THE
ALABAMA BEACHES.
- HOTTER CONDITIONS RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK, WITH AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES CLIMBING BACK INTO THE
TRIPLE DIGITS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 251 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2026
A WEAK SURFACE LOW ACROSS NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI WILL CONTINUE TO
DRIFT NORTHWEST THROUGH MIDWEEK. MEANWHILE, SOME DRIER AIR WILL
MOVE INTO THE AREA AS AN UPPER RIDGE EXPANDS WESTWARD INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES. THIS WILL BRING DRIER CONDITIONS TO THE AREA
THROUGH FRIDAY. BY THE WEEKEND INTO THE EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AS A TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS THE EASTERN
STATES. THE WEAKER UPPER RIDGE COMBINED WITH INCREASED DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS BACK INTO THE
AREA. AFTER BELOW NORMAL TEMPS THE LAST TWO DAYS, THE HEAT WILL
COME BACK IN FULL FORCE FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND. HIGHS WILL WARM BACK INTO THE MID AND UPPER 90S WITH HEAT
INDEX VALUES WARMING BACK INTO THE 100 TO 108 RANGE.
AT THE BEACHES, A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES ALONG THE
NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH TONIGHT. A MODERATE RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS CONTINUES FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE BEACHES
THROUGH FRIDAY. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED AT ALABAMA
BEACHES WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. /13
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1256 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2026
PREDOMINANTLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD
OUTSIDE OF HEAVIER SHOWERS AND STORMS. CONFIDENCE IN ANY STORMS
OVER COASTAL COUNTIES HAS DECREASED SOME FOR THIS AFTERNOON, BUT
EXPECT NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY OVER THE INTERIOR. ANY
STRONGER CELLS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEF PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS
AND DROPS TO MVFR OR LOWER CIGS/VISBYS. THERE IS ALSO LOW TO
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN MVFR OR LOWER CIGS DEVELOPING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE INTERIOR ON WEDNESDAY MORNING, BUT NOT QUITE AS WIDESPREAD
AS THIS MORNING. WEST- SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AROUND 8-12 KNOTS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH A FEW GUSTS UP TO AROUND 20
KNOTS NEAR THE COAST, DIMINISHING AFTER SUNSET. JGC/98
MARINE
ISSUED AT 251 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2026
NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 72 92 73 94 / 10 10 10 0
PENSACOLA 76 91 78 94 / 20 10 10 10
DESTIN 78 88 79 91 / 30 20 10 10
EVERGREEN 68 90 70 91 / 30 20 10 0
WAYNESBORO 70 89 71 93 / 40 10 20 0
CAMDEN 69 86 70 88 / 30 20 20 10
CRESTVIEW 70 92 72 94 / 20 10 10 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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