158
FXUS64 KMOB 221716
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1116 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1114 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
- HIGH WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE DANGEROUS
BURNING CONDITIONS TODAY.
- STRONG WINDS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING.
- WINDY CONDITIONS OVER LAND WILL OCCUR TODAY AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED OBJECTS. TREE LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN AND A FEW
POWER OUTAGES MAY RESULT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 111 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
STRONG NORTHWESTERLY TO NORTHERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR TODAY INTO
MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT, AND USHER IN A MUCH
COLDER AND DRIER AIRMASS. A WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT TODAY
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA, AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AS
WE EXPECT NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS
TO AROUND 40 MPH. WE WILL MONITOR TO SEE IF THIS WIND ADVISORY
NEEDS TO BE EXPANDED INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. HIGH TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL ONLY BE IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 50S INLAND TO UPPER 50S
CLOSER TO THE COAST. NEARLY ALL AREAS WILL SEE A FREEZE TONIGHT
WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. MIDDLE 30S ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. BOTH THESE HIGH AND LOW TEMPS ARE
AROUND 8-13 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO
REACH THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 40S ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY-84, AND
THE LOWER 50S TO THE SOUTH. MONDAY NIGHT LOOKS TO BE THE COLDEST
NIGHT WITH LOWS RANGING FROM 23 TO 27 DEGREES INLAND, AND FROM 28
TO 31 DEGREES ALONG THE COAST. BOTH THESE HIGH AND LOW TEMPS ARE
AROUND 15-20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WIND WILL
MAKE IT FEEL EVEN COLDER TODAY INTO MONDAY EVENING. IN FACT,
APPARENT TEMPERATURES (WIND CHILLS) COULD LOWER INTO COLD WEATHER
ADVISORY CRITERIA LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY, SO WE MAY NEED TO
ISSUE A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY ON THE NEXT FORECAST PACKAGE.
HIGHS QUICKLY WARM BACK INTO THE LOWER 70S ON WEDNESDAY AND THE
MIDDLE 70S ON THURSDAY AS SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN TO THE REGION.
THE DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING, FOLLOWED BY INCREASING RAIN CHANCES LATE WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AHEAD AND ALONG ANOTHER APPROACHING COLD
FRONT. THIS WEAKER FRONT SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
NIGHT, WITH RAIN TAPERING OFF ON FRIDAY.
BEACH FORECAST: A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT, BECOMING MODERATE ON WEDNESDAY AND HIGH ON THURSDAY
AS THE SOUTHERLY WINDS AND SWELLS INCREASE /22
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1114 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GUSTY
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO GUST TO AS HIGH AS 30-35 KNOTS,
LOWERING TO GUSTS TO AROUND 20-25 KNOTS TONIGHT. /96
MARINE
ISSUED AT 111 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE MOBILE BAY, THE MISSISSIPPI
SOUND, AND THE GULF WATERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
FOR THE OUR REMAINING BAYS. STRONG NORTHWESTERLY TO NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL OCCUR TODAY INTO MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT.
FREQUENT GUSTS TO AROUND 40 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE GULF, AND
NEAR GALE FORCE ACROSS THE BAYS AND SOUNDS. OFFSHORE FLOW
DIMINISHES MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY MORNING, SHIFTING TO
LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW BY MIDWEEK AND CONTINUING THROUGH
THURSDAY. /22
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 111 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
TODAY DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY.
WHILE THE REQUIREMENT OF A MODERATE SIGNIFICANT FIRE POTENTIAL FOR
THE ISSUANCE OF A RED FLAG WARNING FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA IS NOT BEING MET, OFFICIALS SHOULD BE ON THE
ALERT AS ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOPS MAY CATCH AND SPREAD QUICKLY.
/22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 58 32 53 27 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 57 35 51 30 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 58 34 51 31 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 55 28 48 23 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 54 29 49 24 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 51 28 45 23 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 58 28 51 25 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALZ051>060-
261>266.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM CST MONDAY FOR
ALZ051>060-261>266.
FL...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR FLZ201>206.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM CST MONDAY FOR
FLZ201>206.
MS...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
GM...GALE WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR GMZ630>632-650-655.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY FOR GMZ630>632-650-
655.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY FOR GMZ633>636.
GALE WARNING UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY FOR GMZ670-675.
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