432
FXUS64 KMOB 132333
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
633 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 633 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
- DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- WELL BELOW NORMAL OVERNIGHT LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGHS AND LOWS
TREND WARMER AND WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 633 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
NO UPDATES ARE REQUIRED FOR TONIGHT'S FORECAST AS TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOWER 80S LOWER INTO THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S INLAND, WITH
MID 60S ALONG THE COAST. A LIGHT NORTHERLY WILL CONTINUE UNDER
CLEAR SKIES. /22
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
MOVING INTO AN UNEVENTFUL WEATHER PERIOD. 13.12Z UPPER AIR MAPS
INDICATE A BROAD UPPER TROF AXIS IS POSITIONED OVER THE EASTERN US
WITH NORTHWEST FLOW AT HIGH LEVELS FILTERING IN A DEEP LAYER OF
DRIER AIR. MEANWHILE, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE EXITING STAGE RIGHT OFF
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC SATURDAY. WE
WILL REMAIN ON THE WESTERN FLANK OF THIS RIDGE INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK WHICH WILL RESULT IN A MORE ESTABLISHED SOUTHERLY FLOW FOR
THE LATTER HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS LOOK
TO HOLD THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH SMALL POPS RE-ENTERING THE
FORECAST LATE IN THE FORECAST, PRIMARILY BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
OF NEXT WEEK.
MAINLY A TEMPERATURE FORECAST. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70'S INTERIOR TO
LOWER HALF OF THE 80'S COAST THURSDAY WILL TREND WARMER WITH EACH
DAY THEREAFTER WITH NUMBERS TRENDING IN THE MID/UPPER 80'S BY
EARLY HALF OF NEXT WEEK AND A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. A FEW
AREAS CLOSING IN ON THE 90 DEGREE MARK. TO CLOSE OUT THE WEEK,
LOWS WILL BE COOL BY MID MAY STANDARDS WITH THU NIGHT LOWS THE
COOLEST RANGING IN THE LOWER 50'S OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE
LOCAL AREA AND SOME 6 TO 11 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION, A FEW LOCALES MAY BREAK INTO THE UPPER 40'S THU NIGHT
OVER THESE AREAS AND MAY BE CLOSE TO RECORD LOW TERRITORY TOO.
SOUTHWEST HALF GENERALLY 57 TO 61 THU. NIGHT AND AROUND 5 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL THEN QUICKLY MODERATE/WARM
THEREAFTER. NUMBERS WELL INTO THE 60'S TO LOWER 70'S COAST BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL. /10
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 633 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD ALONG WITH LIGHT
NORTHERLY WINDS. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
NO IMPACTS. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE MOVING OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND INTO
THE WESTERN ATLANTIC SATURDAY. A LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH
THURSDAY TURNS MORE ONSHORE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SEAS TO TREND 2 FEET OR LESS THROUGH MUCH OF
THE PERIOD. /10
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 62 83 57 82 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 65 82 61 80 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 66 82 61 79 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 57 80 49 84 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 59 81 54 85 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 58 78 50 82 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 59 83 51 85 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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