719
FXUS64 KMOB 251811
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1211 PM CST WED FEB 25 2026
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CST WED FEB 25 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AND
CREATE DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES HAVE RETURNED THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH
THE NEXT BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN OCCURRING LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CST WED FEB 25 2026
BASED ON LOCAL BEACH REPORTS, HAVE UPGRADED TO A HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT, WITH A HIGH RISK CONTINUING
THROUGH FRIDAY. /29
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1126 AM CST WED FEB 25 2026
A SURFACE LOW PASSES NORTH OF THE REGION AND BRINGS A WEAK COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. WHILE INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED, SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE TO SUPPORT RAIN CHANCES INCREASING TO
LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL FOR THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH POPS THEN TAPERING
OFF TO DRY CONDITIONS GOING INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AND PREVAIL ON WEDNESDAY AS WELL
EXCEPT FOR A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN OVER CHOCTAW COUNTY. MILD
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S
ALONG WITH SOME SPOTS REACHING THE LOWER 80S BY SUNDAY. LOWS WILL
BE IN THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60 TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT THEN
TREND TO THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY
NIGHT. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH
TONIGHT, THEN A HIGH RISK FOLLOWS FOR THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A
LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. /29
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1126 AM CST WED FEB 25 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING FOLLOWED BY A MIX OF MVFR/VFR CEILINGS INTO THURSDAY
MORNING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY DURING
THURSDAY MORNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 10-15 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON
DECREASE TO 5-10 KNOTS THIS EVENING, THEN INCREASE TO AROUND 10
KNOTS THURSDAY MORNING. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1126 AM CST WED FEB 25 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS THROUGH THURSDAY,
ALTHOUGH SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WELL OFFSHORE INTO
TONIGHT AS THE FLOW OCCASIONALLY BECOMES STRONGER. A LIGHT OFFSHORE
FLOW DEVELOPS ON FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. A LIGHT TO
OCCASIONALLY MODERATE EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ON
SATURDAY AND CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 59 76 60 76 / 10 20 70 60
PENSACOLA 62 74 62 73 / 10 20 70 70
DESTIN 60 71 61 70 / 20 30 70 80
EVERGREEN 54 76 56 74 / 10 40 90 60
WAYNESBORO 57 74 57 73 / 10 60 80 40
CAMDEN 57 73 56 71 / 20 60 90 50
CRESTVIEW 56 76 58 75 / 20 30 80 80
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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