287  
FNUS54 KMEG 182031  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 PM CDT FRI SEP 18 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
STRONG RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE AFTERNOON HIGHS NEAR OR  
ABOVE 100 F THROUGH THIS WEEKEND ACROSS THE REGION, RESULTING IN  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 30S FOR THE MAJORITY OF  
THE REGION. THERE IS A 40% - 50% CHANCE OF MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING BELOW 30% BOTH TODAY AND TOMORROW. FUELS  
WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO DRY OUT WITH 10 HOUR FUELS MODELED TO FALL  
TO AROUND 10% THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS EACH DAY THROUGH  
SUNDAY.  
FORTUNATELY, 20 FOOT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT, GENERALLY RESIDING  
BELOW  
10 KNOTS WITH TALL, 5000 FOOT OR HIGHER MIXING HEIGHTS. FOG  
CHANCES REMAIN LOW (< 10%), BUT PATCHY FOG CANNOT BE RULED OUT. A  
COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK,  
COOLING AFTERNOON HIGHS, BRINGING MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
VALUES  
ABOVE 40%, AND SHIFTING WINDS TO A NORTHERLY DIRECTION.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-190900-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 PM CDT FRI SEP 18 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 71 (-1) 99 (0) 71 99  
RH % (24H TREND) 82 (-6) 30 (-5) 78 31  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 4 LGT/VAR W 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2500 3000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8100 9800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2500 3100  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 8300 10100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 4 SW 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 SW 12  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10000 15500  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 92 92  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 4 W 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 9 W 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 6 30 7 36  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH  
45 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
55 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-190900-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 PM CDT FRI SEP 18 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (0) 102 (+2) 73 101  
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (-9) 29 (-4) 76 30  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2600 3100  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8600 10100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2700 3100  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 8800 10300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 3 SW 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 7 SW 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 8100 12400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 92 92  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 4 W 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 8 W 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 6 23 7 28  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
44 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-190900-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 PM CDT FRI SEP 18 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 71 (+1) 100 (+1) 72 100  
RH % (24H TREND) 89 (-7) 32 (-5) 80 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR W 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2300 2900  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7600 9500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2400 3000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 8000 9900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 4 W 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 8 W 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9600 15000  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 91 92  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 3 W 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 7 W 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 2 27 7 32  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
57 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
56 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
53 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-190900-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 PM CDT FRI SEP 18 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (+2) 100 (0) 71 99  
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (-10) 31 (-4) 82 31  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR W 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2500 3100  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8100 10000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2600 3200  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 8500 10400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 3 W 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 6 W 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7800 12800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 92 92  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 2 W 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 4 W 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 2 18 7 27  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
39 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-190900-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 PM CDT FRI SEP 18 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (+2) 101 (+2) 73 101  
RH % (24H TREND) 82 (-12) 32 (-4) 81 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2500 3100  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8200 10100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2600 3200  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 8500 10400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 2 SW 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 5 SW 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5200 9600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 91 92  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 3 W 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 6 W 7  
DISPERSION INDEX 5 13 8 23  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
39 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-190900-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 PM CDT FRI SEP 18 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (+2) 99 (0) 72 99  
RH % (24H TREND) 89 (-7) 33 (-4) 89 33  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2400 2800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7900 9200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2500 2900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 8300 9600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 2 W 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 3 W 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5000 8700  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 92 91  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 1 NW 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 3 NW 8  
DISPERSION INDEX 2 12 3 19  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
44 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
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