521  
FNUS54 KMEG 281149  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
549 AM CST MON NOV 28 2022  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT  
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MID-SOUTH TOMORROW AFTERNOON, BRINGING  
WIDESPREAD STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. RAINFALL TOTALS ARE  
EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN A HALF INCH TO AN INCH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-282215-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
549 AM CST MON NOV 28 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.18  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 5  
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (+4) 44 (+3) 66  
RH % (24H TREND) 61 (-12) 100 (+1) 78  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 10-14 G27  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 3-7 SE 3-7 S 13-17 G26  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2600 1200  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 900 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2800 1500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 2 S 12  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 5 S 26  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1800 6000  
CATEGORY DAY 1 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 50 65  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 3 S 16  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 7 S 37  
DISPERSION INDEX 8 15 46  
LAL 1 1 3  
LASI/HAINES INDEX 4 4 4  
STABILITY CLASS C E D  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
39 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
54 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
72 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.  
MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-282215-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
549 AM CST MON NOV 28 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 80  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.33  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 7  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (+6) 45 (+6) 68  
RH % (24H TREND) 62 (-15) 100 (0) 86  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 7-11 G23  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 9-13 G23  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2800 1100  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 900 400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3000 1300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 3 S 10  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 6 S 22  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2700 4000  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 53 67  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 3 S 16  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 6 S 35  
DISPERSION INDEX 9 15 30  
LAL 1 1 3  
LASI/HAINES INDEX 4 4 4  
STABILITY CLASS B F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
42 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH  
44 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
82 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM  
RH 73 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-282215-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
549 AM CST MON NOV 28 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.25  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (+5) 43 (+4) 67  
RH % (24H TREND) 58 (-18) 100 (0) 63  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 7-11 G25  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 2-6 LGT/VAR S 10-14 G27  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2700 1500  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 900 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3100 1900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 3 S 11  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 6 S 25  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2700 6600  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 50 60  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 4 S 16  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 8 S 36  
DISPERSION INDEX 13 14 48  
LAL 1 1 3  
LASI/HAINES INDEX 4 4 4  
STABILITY CLASS B F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 60.  
MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
50S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-282215-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
549 AM CST MON NOV 28 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 80  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.34  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 6  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (+8) 42 (+3) 68  
RH % (24H TREND) 57 (-17) 100 (0) 66  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 7-11 G23  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 2-6 LGT/VAR S 10-14 G25  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2800 1300  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 1000 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3100 1700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 3 S 10  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 6 S 23  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3000 5000  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 51 62  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 3 S 16  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 7 S 35  
DISPERSION INDEX 14 14 41  
LAL 1 1 3  
LASI/HAINES INDEX 4 4 3  
STABILITY CLASS B F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
39 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM  
RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-282215-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
549 AM CST MON NOV 28 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 90  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.55  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 7  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (+9) 44 (+5) 70  
RH % (24H TREND) 57 (-19) 100 (0) 85  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 6-10 G23  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 10-14 G23  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2900 1200  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 900 400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3100 1500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 2 S 11  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 5 S 24  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1800 4400  
CATEGORY DAY 1 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 55 67  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 3 S 13  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 7 S 30  
DISPERSION INDEX 9 14 37  
LAL 1 1 3  
LASI/HAINES INDEX 4 4 4  
STABILITY CLASS B F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
MINIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-282215-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
549 AM CST MON NOV 28 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 80  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.34  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 6  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (+8) 44 (+4) 70  
RH % (24H TREND) 49 (-14) 100 (0) 72  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 5-9 G22  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 9-13 G25  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2900 1100  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 1000 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3300 1500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 2 S 9  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 3 S 21  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2000 4500  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 54 62  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 2 S 13  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 5 S 30  
DISPERSION INDEX 9 13 36  
LAL 1 1 3  
LASI/HAINES INDEX 4 4 3  
STABILITY CLASS B F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
54 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
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