079
FNUS54 KMEG 132030
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
DISCUSSION
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT TAME THROUGH
THURSDAY AND GULF MOISTURE STREAMS INTO THE REGION FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. WETTING RAIN POTENTIAL ARRIVES WEDNESDAY WITH
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN ARKANSAS, THE MISSOURI
BOOTHEEL, AND WEST TENNESSEE.
A COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE EARLY FRIDAY, BRINGING A SHOT OF COOLER,
DRIER AIR INTO THE MID-SOUTH. 20-FOOT WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 -
25 MPH WITH GUSTS EXPECTED TO CLIMB ABOVE 30 MPH THROUGH THE DAY.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN BETWEEN
30 AND 40 PERCENT, BUT GUIDANCE MAY SHIFT VALUES LOWER AS WE
CONTINUE MOVING THROUGH THE WEEK. REGARDLESS, 1-HOUR AND 10-HOUR
FUELS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN AT OR BELOW 10 PERCENT MOISTURE
CONTENT, WHICH COULD BE EXACERBATED BY MULTIPLE DAYS OF RECORD
HEAT AND LITTLE PRECIPITATION. THIS WILL LIKELY BE MOST PROMINENT
IN AREAS ACROSS NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND WITHIN THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER DELTA WHERE A COMBINATION OF LIGHT TO NO WETTING RAINS,
ELEVATED WINDS, AND DRY FUELS WILL OVERLAP. FOR NOW, WE ONLY
EXPECT THE NEED FOR A RANGELAND FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FRIDAY AS
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES CURRENTLY REMAIN ABOVE THE 25 PERCENT
NEEDED FOR RED FLAG WARNINGS.
20-FOOT WINDS WILL RELAX SATURDAY, BUT MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL DROP TO AT OR BELOW 30%, LEADING TO ANOTHER DAY OF
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER BUT NOT QUITE AS SEVERE AS FRIDAY. SIMILAR
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST SUNDAY WITH INCREASING MOISTURE BRINGING
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ABOVE 40% TO END THE PERIOD.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-140900-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-
330 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 50 40 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 70 40 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.33 0.06 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 4 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (+8) 89 (-5) 69 90
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+25) 66 (+15) 100 37
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 5 S 4
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 6 SW 6 LGT/VAR SW 8
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 1400
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2500 4600
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 1500
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2800 4800
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 SW 7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 SW 16
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4500 10500
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 83 84
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 5 SW 8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 11 SW 17
DISPERSION INDEX 11 25 8 43
STABILITY CLASS F C F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
40 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-140900-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
330 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 50 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50 30
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM
PRECIP END 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 73 (+5) 92 (-1) 67 93
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+22) 52 (-1) 90 32
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 SW 5 LGT/VAR SW 5
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 1700
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3600 5600
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 1800
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3800 5800
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 5 SW 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 SW 12
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6000 9000
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 85
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 5 SW 8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 12 SW 17
DISPERSION INDEX 10 27 10 36
STABILITY CLASS F B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
37 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ001>004-019>022-140900-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
330 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 50 50 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 70 60 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.25 0.09 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 5 2
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (+9) 89 (-3) 67 91
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+12) 66 (+19) 100 37
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 S 4
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 SW 6 LGT/VAR SW 7
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 1400
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2500 4700
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 1500
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2900 5100
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 SW 6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 SW 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4500 9000
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 82 85
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 6 SW 8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 13 SW 17
DISPERSION INDEX 10 27 8 39
STABILITY CLASS F C F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ048>055-088>091-140900-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
330 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 50 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50 30
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.13 0.02 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 0
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (+7) 90 (-2) 65 91
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (+10) 59 (+10) 99 34
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 6 LGT/VAR SW 6
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3100 5200
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1100 1700
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3500 5600
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 5 SW 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 SW 12
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5500 8500
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 85
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 5 SW 7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 12 SW 15
DISPERSION INDEX 10 30 9 34
STABILITY CLASS F B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-140900-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
330 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1
PRECIP BEGIN 10 AM
PRECIP END 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 70 (+4) 93 (+1) 64 93
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (+17) 38 (-15) 78 32
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 SW 6 LGT/VAR SW 4
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1900
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4500 6200
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 2000
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 6400
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 5 SW 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 SW 9
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7000 8000
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 84
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 6 SW 6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 13 SW 13
DISPERSION INDEX 9 28 9 28
STABILITY CLASS F B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-140900-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
330 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 10 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1
PRECIP BEGIN 10 AM
PRECIP END 5 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (+5) 92 (+1) 62 93
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (-6) 40 (-8) 87 30
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1700
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4400 5700
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1900
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4800 6100
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 4 SW 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 SW 8
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6000 7600
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 84
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 5 SW 4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 11 SW 9
DISPERSION INDEX 8 25 8 22
STABILITY CLASS F B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
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