256
FNUS54 KMEG 162131
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2025
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE AREA IS BRINGING A VERY DRY AIR
MASS TO THE REGION. THE DRY AIR IS RESULTING IN RH VALUES IN THE
MID 20% TO MID 30% RANGE. ELEVATED 20FT WINDS SHOULD KEEP FIRE
DANGER AT BAY FOR SUNDAY. A WET AND UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL
UNFOLD THIS WEEK. PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN LOW TO MEDIUM
THROUGH MIDWEEK AND WETTING RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE BY THE END
OF THE WEEK.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-171000-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-
331 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20 20
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.03 0.04 0.01
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 0 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 12 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 40 (-15) 64 (-3) 54 78
RH % (24H TREND) 68 (-24) 27 (-2) 89 59
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 6 S 12 G22
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 SE 7 SE 6 SW 12 G23
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 500 700
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1500 2200
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 500 700
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1800 2400
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 6 SW 9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 14 SW 21
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3000 6300
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 58 70
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 9 SW 11
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 20 SW 25
DISPERSION INDEX 10 28 15 46
STABILITY CLASS F B E C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND
60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY SUNNY.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND
50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-171000-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
331 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 0 1
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM 6 PM
PRECIP END 4 PM 6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (-15) 67 (-4) 57 79
RH % (24H TREND) 66 (-31) 31 (-4) 96 64
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 6 S 9 G21
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 SE 6 SE 5 SW 9 G21
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 400 900
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1200 3100
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 400 1000
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1400 3300
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 6 SW 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 14 SW 22
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2400 10000
CATEGORY DAY 2 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 66 69
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 9 SW 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 21 SW 22
DISPERSION INDEX 11 23 15 52
STABILITY CLASS F B F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
67 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ001>004-019>022-171000-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
331 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 20
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 20 20
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.05
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (-18) 64 (-2) 50 76
RH % (24H TREND) 69 (-25) 23 (-6) 75 49
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 5 S 10 G21
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SE 6 SE 5 SW 10 G21
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 600
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1800 1900
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 700
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2200 2300
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 5 SW 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 12 SW 23
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3500 7000
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 58 68
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) E 6 SW 13
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) E 14 SW 29
DISPERSION INDEX 9 23 15 47
STABILITY CLASS F B E C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND
50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ048>055-088>091-171000-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
331 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 20
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 20 20
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 38 (-19) 67 (-2) 51 77
RH % (24H TREND) 68 (-26) 22 (-10) 82 46
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 5 S 10 G21
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SE 6 SE 5 SW 10 G21
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 500 800
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1700 2600
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 900
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2100 3000
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 6 SW 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 13 SW 22
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4200 9000
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 61 68
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 7 SW 11
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 15 SW 25
DISPERSION INDEX 9 23 15 52
STABILITY CLASS F B F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-171000-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
331 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (-14) 70 (-5) 57 81
RH % (24H TREND) 65 (-27) 28 (-8) 96 59
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 6 S 9 G20
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 SE 6 SE 5 SW 10 G20
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 500 1100
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1600 3500
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 600 1100
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1800 3700
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 6 SW 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 14 SW 22
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3600 11000
CATEGORY DAY 2 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67 68
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 8 SW 9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 17 SW 21
DISPERSION INDEX 11 27 13 55
STABILITY CLASS F B F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-171000-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
331 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-18) 70 (-5) 52 80
RH % (24H TREND) 67 (-26) 22 (-12) 83 47
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 4 S 8 G17
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SE 5 SE 4 SW 9 G18
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 1000
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1800 3300
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 1100
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2200 3700
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 5 SW 9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 10 SW 21
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3500 9900
CATEGORY DAY 2 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 63 69
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 6 SW 9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 13 SW 20
DISPERSION INDEX 9 20 12 54
STABILITY CLASS F B F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page