532  
FNUS54 KMEG 192109  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
409 PM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND  
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO BRING HOT AND MAINLY  
DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 20 FOOT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO  
REMAIN LIGHT UNDER 10 KTS WHILE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES  
THIS AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY WILL DROP TO AROUND 30 PERCENT  
MITIGATING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. FOG POTENTIAL  
REMAINS LOW ACROSS THE REGION, RESTRICTED MAINLY TO BRIEF, PATCHY  
MORNING FOG ALONG LOW-LYING RIVER BASINS.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-200915-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
409 PM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM  
PRECIP END 6 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (+2) 99 (0) 72 96  
RH % (24H TREND) 79 (-8) 31 (+2) 87 41  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 6 LGT/VAR NW 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2500 2000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8100 6400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2500 2000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 8300 6700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 5 NW 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 NW 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 12500 6000  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 91 89  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 4 N 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 8 N 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 7 36 7 22  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
54 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-200915-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
409 PM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 73 (+1) 101 (+1) 73 101  
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (-5) 30 (0) 80 34  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2500 2600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8300 8500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2600 2600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 8500 8700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 4 W 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 W 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10400 10400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 91 92  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 4 NW 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 9 NW 6  
DISPERSION INDEX 7 30 6 25  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
44 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-200915-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
409 PM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (+2) 99 (0) 71 97  
RH % (24H TREND) 83 (-12) 32 (0) 86 39  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR W 4 LGT/VAR NW 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2300 2000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7500 6500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2400 2100  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7900 6900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 NW 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 NW 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 12000 8400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 91 89  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 4 NW 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 9 NW 7  
DISPERSION INDEX 6 36 6 22  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
57 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
56 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-200915-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
409 PM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (+2) 99 (0) 72 98  
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (-10) 32 (-1) 85 36  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR W 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2400 2500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7900 8300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2500 2700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 8300 8700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 4 W 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 9 W 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10000 10800  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 91 91  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 4 W 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 8 W 7  
DISPERSION INDEX 6 27 6 25  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
41 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-200915-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
409 PM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 73 (+2) 101 (+1) 73 100  
RH % (24H TREND) 82 (-10) 33 (-1) 84 36  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2500 2800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8300 9100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2600 2800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 8500 9300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 3 W 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 7 W 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7800 8400  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 92 93  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 3 NW 2  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 8 NW 5  
DISPERSION INDEX 7 23 6 21  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
40 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-200915-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
409 PM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (+1) 98 (-1) 72 98  
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (-5) 34 (-1) 92 35  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2300 2600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7400 8600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2400 2700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7800 9000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 3 W 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 6 W 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7200 8100  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 91 91  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 3 SW 2  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 8 SW 5  
DISPERSION INDEX 5 17 6 17  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
40 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
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