447  
FNUS54 KMEG 212131  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 PM CST WED JAN 21 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WETTING RAINS AND HIGHER HUMIDITY VALUES ARE UNDERWAY AND  
EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. EXPECT ACCUMULATING WINTRY  
PRECIPITATION BEGINNING FRIDAY THAT WILL LAST THROUGH THE  
MAJORITY OF THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND. VERY COLD AIR IS ALSO EXPECTED  
THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-221000-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 PM CST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SNOW  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 26 (-6) 46 (-3) 25 31  
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+11) 41 (-18) 72 37  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 6 NE 14 G25  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 6 NE 4 NE 16 G27  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1900 2700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2200 3000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 NE 13  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 9 NE 29  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2800 11700  
CATEGORY DAY 2 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 39 28  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 7 NE 14  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 15 NE 31  
DISPERSION INDEX 12 23 27 67  
STABILITY CLASS F C D D  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
SNOW. LOWS NEAR 10. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.   
SATURDAY  
SNOW. HIGHS NEAR 15. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
SNOW. LOWS 5 TO 10. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SNOW. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 20.  
MINIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 5 BELOW. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 15. MINIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR ZERO. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. MINIMUM RH  
74 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 15. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH  
73 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-221000-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 PM CST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 40  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SNOW/RAIN  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 30 (-5) 48 (-1) 30 36  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+19) 49 (-16) 85 48  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 5 NE 10 G23  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 5 NE 4 NE 12 G23  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1800 2600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 600 900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2000 2800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 5 NE 13  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 12 NE 30  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3000 11700  
CATEGORY DAY 2 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 44 33  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 9 NE 14  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 19 NE 31  
DISPERSION INDEX 12 26 25 65  
STABILITY CLASS F C D D  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. LOWS 10 TO 15.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
FREEZING RAIN, SLEET AND SNOW. HIGHS 15 TO 20.  
MINIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS  
NEAR 10. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SNOW. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 20.  
MINIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR ZERO. NORTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS 15 TO 20. MINIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS ZERO TO 5 ABOVE. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 15. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH  
74 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-221000-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 PM CST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 26 (-6) 48 (+2) 25 33  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+37) 39 (-5) 72 35  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 NE 10 G23  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 4 LGT/VAR N 11 G23  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1800 2500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2200 2900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 3 NE 11  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 7 NE 25  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2100 9900  
CATEGORY DAY 2 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 36 30  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 7 NE 12  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 16 NE 26  
DISPERSION INDEX 11 18 17 59  
STABILITY CLASS F C E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
SNOW LIKELY. CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 15. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SNOW. HIGHS AROUND 20. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
SNOW. LOWS 5 TO 10. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SNOW. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
20S. MINIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 5 BELOW. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 15 TO 20. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR ZERO. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 15. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-221000-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 PM CST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SNOW  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 28 (-6) 49 (+2) 28 37  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+41) 44 (-4) 78 41  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 NE 10 G22  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 4 LGT/VAR NE 12 G23  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 500 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1700 2500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 600 900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2100 2900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 NE 12  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 9 NE 26  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2400 10800  
CATEGORY DAY 2 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 39 33  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 8 NE 12  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 18 NE 27  
DISPERSION INDEX 10 20 23 60  
STABILITY CLASS F C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. LOWS NEAR 15.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S.  
MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
FREEZING RAIN, SNOW AND SLEET. LOWS NEAR 10.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SNOW. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
20S. MINIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 5 BELOW. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS 15 TO 20. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR ZERO. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 15. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH  
64 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-221000-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 PM CST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 10 10 40  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN NONE RAIN SLEET/RAIN  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.00 0.01 0.20  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 12 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END 3 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 34 (-2) 53 (+2) 33 42  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+30) 57 (-6) 96 54  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 5 NE 9 G22  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 5 LGT/VAR NE 11 G23  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1900 2600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2200 2800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 5 NE 12  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 10 NE 28  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3500 10800  
CATEGORY DAY 2 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 46 36  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 9 NE 11  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 19 NE 24  
DISPERSION INDEX 12 26 20 62  
STABILITY CLASS E C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
FREEZING RAIN, SLEET AND SNOW. LOWS 15 TO 20.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S.  
MINIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. LOWS 10 TO 15. NORTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. MINIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS ZERO TO 5 ABOVE. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 20. MINIMUM RH 77 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS ZERO TO 5 ABOVE. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 15. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH  
72 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-221000-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 PM CST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70 10 10 30  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN NONE RAIN SLEET/RAIN  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.00 0.02 0.18  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 3 1 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 12 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 35 (+2) 53 (+1) 33 44  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+36) 55 (+5) 97 47  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 NE 7 G19  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 4 LGT/VAR NE 9 G20  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 500 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1700 2300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 600 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2100 2700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 NE 11  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 9 NE 25  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2400 8800  
CATEGORY DAY 2 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 44 37  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 7 NE 9  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 15 NE 21  
DISPERSION INDEX 11 22 19 52  
STABILITY CLASS D C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
FREEZING RAIN, A CHANCE OF SLEET AND SNOW. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.  
MINIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
FREEZING RAIN. LOWS NEAR 15. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
FREEZING RAIN LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 5. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS ZERO TO 5 ABOVE. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 15. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH  
61 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab MS Page
The Nexlab AR Page
Main Text Page