834  
FNUS54 KMEG 050830  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 5 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 30%  
WITH LOCAL AREAS AROUND 25% OR LESS. WARMER WEATHER WILL ENTER  
THE FORECAST BY WEDNESDAY, LEADING TO A SHARP DECREASE IN  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, DROPPING TO  
25% OR BELOW. THIS WILL MARK THE RETURN OF ELEVATED FIRE DANGER.  
LIGHT 20-FOOT WINDS AND RECENT WETTING RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO  
CURTAIL A HIGHER THREAT OF FIRE DANGER.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-052100-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 5 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 82 (+1) 49 (-8) 82  
RH % (24H TREND) 37 (+2) 100 (+10) 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 7 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 9 NE 5 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1100  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4300 3600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4500 3900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 7 E 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 16 E 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9800 3600  
CATEGORY DAY 4 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 74 72  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 9 NE 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 19 NE 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 43 10 17  
STABILITY CLASS C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
AREAS OF FOG. SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM  
RH 36 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. EAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-052100-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 5 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 84 (+4) 51 (-8) 85  
RH % (24H TREND) 33 (-16) 94 (+14) 31  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 5 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 8 NE 5 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4600 4000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4800 4200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 8 NE 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 17 NE 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 12000 3900  
CATEGORY DAY 4 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 75 76  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 9 NE 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 20 NE 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 51 11 17  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-052100-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 5 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 81 (+1) 48 (-7) 82  
RH % (24H TREND) 37 (-12) 93 (-3) 33  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 5 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 8 NE 4 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3800 4000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4200 4300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 7 E 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 15 E 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9100 3900  
CATEGORY DAY 4 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 73 72  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 7 E 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 16 E 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 41 10 15  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
AREAS OF FOG. CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
AREAS OF FOG. SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM  
RH 37 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-052100-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 5 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 83 (+4) 49 (-8) 83  
RH % (24H TREND) 33 (-26) 91 (+2) 33  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 6 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 9 NE 4 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4100 4500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4500 4900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 7 E 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 15 E 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9800 4500  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 74 74  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 8 E 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 18 E 7  
DISPERSION INDEX 44 10 15  
STABILITY CLASS C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
AREAS OF FOG. CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
AREAS OF FOG. SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM  
RH 37 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
37 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-052100-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 5 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 86 (+6) 53 (-8) 87  
RH % (24H TREND) 31 (-34) 93 (+9) 37  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 7 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 9 NE 5 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4200 4700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4400 5000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 8 NE 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 17 NE 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10400 4500  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 76 77  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 8 E 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 19 E 8  
DISPERSION INDEX 48 10 15  
STABILITY CLASS C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PATCHY FOG. CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PATCHY FOG. SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM  
RH 39 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
60. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-052100-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 5 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 86 (+5) 54 (-8) 86  
RH % (24H TREND) 28 (-37) 92 (+3) 40  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 6 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 9 NE 5 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4200 5400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 5800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 7 SE 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 15 SE 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9800 5400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 76 76  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 7 E 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 16 E 7  
DISPERSION INDEX 42 9 14  
STABILITY CLASS C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PATCHY FOG. CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT  
AND VARIABLE WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PATCHY FOG. SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM  
RH 38 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
37 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
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