565
FNUS54 KMEG 220830
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
DISCUSSION
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AGAIN THROUGH THE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. LOW SURFACE MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING BELOW 30% ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION. 10-HOUR FUELS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT OR AROUND
10 PERCENT FUEL MOISTURE. LIGHT 20-FOOT WINDS, LIKELY PEAKING AT
ONLY 10 MPH THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON, WILL PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR
RED FLAG WARNINGS. ADDITIONAL RANGELAND FIRE DANGER STATEMENTS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
UPPER MOISTURE FROM THE MOUNTAIN WEST WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, BRINGING UPPER CLOUD COVER AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. SURFACE DEWPOINTS, AND HENCE RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES, WILL INCREASE AS WELL, LEADING TO MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES RISING BACK ABOVE 30% THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
HOWEVER, RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST. SO, PORTIONS OF THE AREA MAY NEED RANGELAND FIRE DANGER
STATEMENTS THIS WEEKEND AND BEYOND. 20-FOOT WILL CONTINUE TO
REMAIN AT OR BELOW 10 MPH THROUGH MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST, AGAIN PRECLUDING THE NEED FOR RED FLAG WARNINGS AT THIS
TIME.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-222100-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-
330 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%)
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 80 (+2) 47 (-1) 79
RH % (24H TREND) 25 (-6) 94 (+4) 26
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 LGT/VAR NE 4
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1300
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4400 4200
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1400
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4600 4400
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 E 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 8 E 9
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 5600
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 70 69
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 4 E 5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 8 E 12
DISPERSION INDEX 21 8 25
STABILITY CLASS B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
32 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
32 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-222100-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
330 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%)
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 81 (+3) 50 (+2) 81
RH % (24H TREND) 22 (-7) 89 (+3) 25
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1400
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4500 4500
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1400
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 4700
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 4 NE 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 9 NE 9
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 5600
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 71 71
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 5 E 5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 10 E 11
DISPERSION INDEX 28 9 25
STABILITY CLASS B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
32 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
33 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
33 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ001>004-019>022-222100-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
330 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%)
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 78 (+1) 44 (-2) 76
RH % (24H TREND) 28 (-3) 99 (+4) 24
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 LGT/VAR NE 4
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1200
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4100 4000
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1300
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4500 4400
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 E 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 9 E 9
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 5200
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 66
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 4 E 5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 9 E 12
DISPERSION INDEX 22 9 25
STABILITY CLASS B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
35 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
35 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
36 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
36 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ048>055-088>091-222100-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
330 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%)
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 79 (0) 43 (-3) 78
RH % (24H TREND) 24 (-4) 100 (+8) 23
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 LGT/VAR NE 4
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1300
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4300 4300
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1400
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 4700
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 NE 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 9 NE 8
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 5600
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 70 68
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 5 E 5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 10 E 11
DISPERSION INDEX 22 9 22
STABILITY CLASS B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
35 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-222100-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
330 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%)
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 82 (+2) 48 (0) 82
RH % (24H TREND) 20 (-7) 87 (+5) 22
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1400
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4500 4600
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1500
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 4900
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 4 NE 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 9 NE 8
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 6000
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 72 71
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 4 E 5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 10 E 11
DISPERSION INDEX 28 9 24
STABILITY CLASS B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
31 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
32 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
31 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-222100-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
330 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%)
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 81 (+1) 45 (-1) 79
RH % (24H TREND) 21 (-6) 95 (+10) 24
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1300
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4200 4200
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1400
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4600 4600
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 NE 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 9 NE 8
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 5600
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 72 69
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 4 NE 4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 9 NE 9
DISPERSION INDEX 25 8 21
STABILITY CLASS B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
35 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
32 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
32 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
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