951  
FNUS54 KMEG 151951  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
251 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE MINIMAL OVER THE NEXT WEEK. A COLD  
FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE REGION AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE  
PUSHES THROUGH TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT RESULTING IN MORE RAIN,  
ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH MISSISSIPPI. RAIN CHANCES WILL EVENTUALLY  
COME TO AN END BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. DRY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AND  
THURSDAY WILL GIVE WAY TO THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN BY FRIDAY.  
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WORK WEEK.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-161130-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
251 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2018  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 20 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGINS  
PRECIP ENDS  
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-12) 55 (-2) 43 65  
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (-10) 52 (-27) 85 44  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NE 4-8 N 3-7  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 5-9 N 2-6 LGT/VAR NE 5-9  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 609 1124  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1997 3686  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 689 1208  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 2262 3962  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 4 N 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 8 N 17  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2756 9664  
CATEGORY DAY 2 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 53 62  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 5 N 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 11 N 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 23 24 14 47  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
LASI 2 4 4 2  
STABILITY E C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING WEST  
LATE IN THE MORNING.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-161130-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
251 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2018  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 50 30 0  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.01 0.03 0.12 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 1 2 2  
PRECIP BEGINS 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (-14) 52 (-10) 45 65  
RH % (24H TREND) 90 (-8) 64 (-21) 92 48  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 6-10 N 3-7  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 7-11 N 4-8 N 2-6 NE 4-8  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 276 504  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 905 1652  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 338 569  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 1108 1866  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 6 NE 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 13 NE 17  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2028 4552  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 56 62  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 8 NE 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 17 NE 15  
DISPERSION INDEX 31 23 12 35  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
LASI 2 2 3 3  
STABILITY D C E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 1 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-161130-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
251 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2018  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 20 20 0  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGINS  
PRECIP ENDS  
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-15) 56 (-4) 42 63  
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (-8) 52 (-36) 87 44  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NE 3-7 N 2-6  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 4-8 N 2-6 LGT/VAR N 4-8  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 570 1057  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1870 3468  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 696 1185  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 2282 3887  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 2 N 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 5 N 17  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1392 9480  
CATEGORY DAY 1 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 53 60  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 5 N 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 11 N 14  
DISPERSION INDEX 22 17 11 47  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
LASI 2 4 4 3  
STABILITY E C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 60.  
MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE MORNING.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
56 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-161130-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
251 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2018  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 40 30 0  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2 2  
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (-15) 55 (-10) 44 65  
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (-6) 60 (-27) 89 47  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NE 3-7 LGT/VAR  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 4-8 N 2-6 LGT/VAR N 4-8  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 296 853  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 970 2799  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 417 978  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 1367 3208  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 4 N 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 9 N 16  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1668 6846  
CATEGORY DAY 1 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 55 60  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 6 N 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 13 N 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 26 20 9 42  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
LASI 2 2 3 3  
STABILITY D C E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING WEST  
LATE IN THE MORNING.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-161130-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
251 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2018  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 70 60 0  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.03 0.13 0.31 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2 5 6  
PRECIP BEGINS 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (-17) 54 (-16) 46 65  
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (-5) 73 (-7) 95 47  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 4-8 N 2-6  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 6-10 N 4-8 N 2-6 NE 4-8  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 137 572  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 448 1877  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 208 646  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 684 2118  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 8 NE 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 17 NE 17  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1664 5168  
CATEGORY DAY 1 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 59 62  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 7 NE 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 17 NE 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 29 19 13 36  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
LASI 2 2 2 4  
STABILITY D C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING  
NORTHWEST LATE IN THE MORNING.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN. CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-161130-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
251 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2018  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 60 60 10  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.01 0.13 0.29 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2 5 6  
PRECIP BEGINS 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 51 (-16) 58 (-17) 48 65  
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (-1) 73 (+2) 91 44  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NE 4-8 N 3-7  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 4-8 N 3-7 N 2-6 N 3-7  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 94 523  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 307 1716  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 217 651  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 712 2135  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 6 NE 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 14 NE 17  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1302 5208  
CATEGORY DAY 1 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 61 62  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 6 NE 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 13 NE 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 25 17 12 34  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
LASI 2 2 2 4  
STABILITY D C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND  
70. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE  
EVENING.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN. CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SJM  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab MS Page
The Nexlab AR Page Main Text Page