686  
FNUS54 KMEG 152131  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
331 PM CST THU JAN 15 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATER FRIDAY WITH A VERY LOW  
CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS (10-15%) EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER  
AND HIGHER MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES (AROUND 50%). 20-FOOT  
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH ACROSS NORTH SECTIONS OF THE  
MID-SOUTH ON SATURDAY, WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES  
OF 30 TO 40 PERCENT, THOUGH THE COLD TEMPERATURES SHOULD MITIGATE  
ANY FIRE DANGER.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-161000-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
331 PM CST THU JAN 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 29 (+7) 51 (+12) 27 38  
RH % (24H TREND) 66 (-9) 45 (+13) 74 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 9 G18 W 10 G21  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 6 W 8 W 6 NW 11 G21  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 2300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4300 7700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 2400  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4600 7900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 10 W 11  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 22 W 24  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 14000 26400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 43 33  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 13 NW 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 28 NW 19  
DISPERSION INDEX 19 41 15 67  
STABILITY CLASS E C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH  
33 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 15. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 24 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH  
50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
AROUND 30. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH  
57 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-161000-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
331 PM CST THU JAN 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 31 (+4) 52 (+11) 30 40  
RH % (24H TREND) 70 (-3) 47 (+15) 74 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 6 G17 NW 6 G17  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 W 5 W 4 NW 7 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 2000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3600 6500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 2000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3800 6700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 8 NW 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 18 NW 18  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9600 16000  
CATEGORY DAY 4 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 44 37  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 13 NW 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 28 NW 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 17 36 11 55  
STABILITY CLASS F C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-161000-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
331 PM CST THU JAN 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 0 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 24 (+2) 49 (+13) 28 38  
RH % (24H TREND) 63 (-10) 46 (+14) 86 37  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 9 G18 W 7 G19  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR W 7 G17 W 4 W 9 G20  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1000 2100  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3200 6800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1100 2200  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3500 7200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 9 W 11  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 20 W 25  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9900 24200  
CATEGORY DAY 4 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 40 34  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 13 W 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 30 W 19  
DISPERSION INDEX 18 54 14 63  
STABILITY CLASS E C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH  
34 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 15. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 22 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-161000-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
331 PM CST THU JAN 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 24 (+1) 50 (+12) 29 41  
RH % (24H TREND) 64 (-11) 46 (+14) 87 36  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 9 G17 W 7 G18  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR W 7 LGT/VAR NW 9 G19  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3000 6000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1000 2000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3400 6400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 9 W 10  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 20 W 22  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9000 20000  
CATEGORY DAY 4 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 41 36  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 13 NW 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 29 NW 15  
DISPERSION INDEX 17 48 12 57  
STABILITY CLASS F C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH  
34 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 15. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 23 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-161000-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
331 PM CST THU JAN 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 28 (+2) 56 (+15) 30 44  
RH % (24H TREND) 68 (-12) 48 (+14) 79 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 8 G17 NW 6 G18  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR W 7 G17 W 4 NW 7 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2600 5000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2800 5200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 8 NW 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 NW 17  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7200 12800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 46 39  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 10 NW 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 22 NW 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 16 44 13 48  
STABILITY CLASS F C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
37 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
54 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND  
50. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-161000-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
331 PM CST THU JAN 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 25 (0) 56 (+15) 29 45  
RH % (24H TREND) 70 (-10) 43 (+12) 92 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 7 G17 W 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 7 LGT/VAR NW 7  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2800 4800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1000 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3200 5200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 9 W 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 21 W 16  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9000 11200  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 45 40  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 10 NW 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 22 NW 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 13 51 9 44  
STABILITY CLASS F C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 15. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 25 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND  
50. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab MS Page
The Nexlab AR Page
Main Text Page