893  
FNUS54 KMEG 170831  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LOW FIRE DANGER IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS MINRH VALUES  
REMAIN ABOVE 30 PERCENT WITH LIGHT 20FT WINDS. WETTING RAIN  
CHANCES RETURN SATURDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. BEHIND THIS  
BOUNDARY, MINRH WILL DROP TO AROUND 30 PERCENT.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-172100-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.27  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 85 (+1) 65 (+5) 85  
RH % (24H TREND) 42 (-5) 84 (-6) 49  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 10 G19  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 5 S 4 SW 13 G22  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3700 4700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3900 5000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 5 SW 11  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 SW 24  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6000 16500  
CATEGORY DAY 3 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 78 80  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 5 SW 11  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 12 SW 24  
DISPERSION INDEX 22 11 66  
STABILITY CLASS C F D  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN  
THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-172100-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.13  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 88 (+3) 66 (+5) 87  
RH % (24H TREND) 37 (-6) 89 (-3) 45  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 7 G18  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 9 G20  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4400 5000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4600 5200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 5 S 10  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 10 S 22  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7000 16000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 80 79  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 5 SW 10  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 12 SW 22  
DISPERSION INDEX 20 13 55  
STABILITY CLASS B F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN  
THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-172100-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.08  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 85 (+4) 61 (+4) 86  
RH % (24H TREND) 43 (-8) 90 (0) 45  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 9 G18  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 LGT/VAR SW 11 G21  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3600 5400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3900 5800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 4 SW 10  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 8 SW 23  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4800 18000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 76 80  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 5 SW 11  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 10 SW 24  
DISPERSION INDEX 18 11 63  
STABILITY CLASS C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN  
THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-172100-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.05  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 85 (+2) 62 (+5) 87  
RH % (24H TREND) 43 (-7) 90 (-2) 46  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 9 G19  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 LGT/VAR S 12 G21  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3800 5500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4200 5900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 3 S 10  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 7 S 22  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3900 18000  
CATEGORY DAY 2 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 78 79  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 5 SW 10  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 10 SW 23  
DISPERSION INDEX 18 10 56  
STABILITY CLASS C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN  
THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-172100-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.05  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 89 (+2) 64 (+4) 88  
RH % (24H TREND) 36 (-3) 98 (+8) 46  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 8 G17  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 11 G22  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1600 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5100 4900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1600 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5300 5100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 4 S 9  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 S 21  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6400 14400  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 81 77  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 5 SW 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 10 SW 19  
DISPERSION INDEX 21 13 53  
STABILITY CLASS B F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-172100-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 87 (+2) 62 (+5) 87  
RH % (24H TREND) 38 (-3) 99 (+10) 45  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 10 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4200 5100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 5500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 3 S 9  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 7 S 20  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4200 15300  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 79 77  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 4 SW 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 9 SW 18  
DISPERSION INDEX 17 10 51  
STABILITY CLASS C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
33 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
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