522  
FNUS54 KMEG 140931  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY, BRINGING UP  
TO 0.25" OF RAINFALL. DRY CONDITIONS WILL FILTER BACK IN ON  
THURSDAY, WITH MINRH VALUES FALLING BELOW 40%. WHILE VALUES WILL  
BE LOW, RECENT RAIN AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD ALLEVIATE ANY FIRE  
DANGER CONCERNS. MINRH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 40% ON FRIDAY,  
BEFORE CONDITIONS DRY OUT AGAIN THIS WEEKEND. MINRH VALUES WILL  
LIKELY FALL BELOW 35%, POSSIBLY EVEN 30%, ON BOTH SATURDAY AND  
SUNDAY WITH 20FT WINDS EXCEEDING 10 MPH ON SATURDAY. IF THIS  
TREND CONTINUES, ELEVATED FIRE DANGER CONCERNS COULD OCCUR ON  
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED IN FUTURE  
FORECAST PERIODS.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-142200-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
331 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 10 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (-14) 21 (-23) 39  
RH % (24H TREND) 45 (+12) 68 (-31) 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 8 G22 NW 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 16 G25 N 10 G22 W 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4700 3200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1100  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5000 3500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 13 W 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 30 W 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 19500 6600  
CATEGORY DAY 5 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 45 31  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 10 W 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 22 W 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 74 20 28  
STABILITY CLASS D F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH  
31 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 15. NORTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-142200-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
331 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 1 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (-12) 23 (-20) 41  
RH % (24H TREND) 52 (+16) 72 (-25) 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 6 G18 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 11 G23 N 9 G22 W 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4600 3300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1100  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4800 3500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 13 W 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 29 W 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 19500 6600  
CATEGORY DAY 5 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 48 32  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 10 W 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 22 W 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 67 20 26  
STABILITY CLASS C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
33 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-142200-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
331 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 80  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 3  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 1 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (-15) 20 (-22) 36  
RH % (24H TREND) 52 (+20) 68 (-32) 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 6 G21 NW 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 13 G25 N 10 G22 W 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4200 3300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1100  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4500 3700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 14 W 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 31 W 16  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 19600 7700  
CATEGORY DAY 5 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 45 28  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 10 W 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 22 W 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 74 43 42  
STABILITY CLASS C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH  
34 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 15. WEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 30. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-142200-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
331 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 80  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.20 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 2 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (-15) 21 (-21) 38  
RH % (24H TREND) 56 (+23) 72 (-26) 31  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 5 G18 NW 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 11 G23 N 10 G22 W 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4000 3200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1100  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4400 3600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 13 W 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 30 W 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 16900 7700  
CATEGORY DAY 5 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 46 30  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 10 W 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 23 W 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 56 37 35  
STABILITY CLASS C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 40. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-142200-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
331 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 4 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 51 (-11) 22 (-20) 42  
RH % (24H TREND) 61 (+19) 79 (-16) 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 6 NW 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 10 G22 N 9 G23 W 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3600 3300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 1100  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3800 3500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 12 W 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 26 W 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 14400 6600  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 49 32  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 10 NW 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 23 NW 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 47 24 27  
STABILITY CLASS C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-142200-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
331 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 80  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.13 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 5  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 5 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 51 (-12) 21 (-20) 41  
RH % (24H TREND) 62 (+29) 84 (-6) 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 6 NW 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 9 G20 N 9 G22 W 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2900 3400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1000 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3300 3800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 11 W 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 25 W 16  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 11000 8400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 48 31  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 11 NW 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 25 NW 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 34 35 42  
STABILITY CLASS C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
33 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab MS Page
The Nexlab AR Page Main Text Page