143  
FNUS54 KMEG 160830  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CDT SUN AUG 16 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DANGEROUS HEAT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH  
AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES EXCEEDING 110 F THROUGH SUNDAY  
AFTERNOON AND UP TO 110 F ON MONDAY. FIRE DANGERS ARE STILL  
EXPECTED TO BE LOW AMIDST MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES  
BETWEEN 30% AND 40% WITH LIGHT 20FT WINDS. EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS  
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A COUPLE, LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS  
NORTHEASTERN AR, THE MO BOOTHEEL, AND PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE  
SUNDAY EVENING. OTHERWISE, PRECIPITATION-FREE CONDITIONS WILL  
CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-162100-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 AM CDT SUN AUG 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 102 (+3) 76 (0) 95  
RH % (24H TREND) 40 (+1) 94 (+8) 56  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR N 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2200 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7100 4100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2200 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7300 4300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 NW 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 NW 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 11000 5200  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 94 83  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 5 N 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 10 N 8  
DISPERSION INDEX 28 9 23  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-162100-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 AM CDT SUN AUG 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 102 (+3) 78 (+2) 100  
RH % (24H TREND) 39 (-2) 83 (+2) 43  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2300 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7600 4700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2400 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7800 4900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 NW 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 NW 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 12000 7500  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 94 90  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 5 NW 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 11 NW 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 36 10 30  
STABILITY CLASS B F A  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 101. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-162100-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 AM CDT SUN AUG 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 76 (+1) 95  
RH % (24H TREND) 41 (0) 92 (+5) 57  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR NW 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1900 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6100 3900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2000 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6500 4300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 NW 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 NW 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10000 5200  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 93 84  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 4 NW 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 9 NW 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 28 9 26  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
58 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-162100-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 AM CDT SUN AUG 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 99 (0) 76 (+1) 97  
RH % (24H TREND) 41 (+1) 86 (-2) 51  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 5 LGT/VAR NW 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2100 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6700 4200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2200 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7100 4600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 W 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 W 12  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 11000 7000  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 92 87  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 4 NW 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 9 NW 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 34 9 30  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-162100-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 AM CDT SUN AUG 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM  
PRECIP END 6 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 78 (+3) 100  
RH % (24H TREND) 41 (-1) 80 (-3) 43  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 4 LGT/VAR W 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2300 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7400 5300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2300 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7600 5500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 W 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 W 12  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 11500 8500  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 94 94  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 4 W 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 9 W 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 34 10 36  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 100. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH  
50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-162100-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 AM CDT SUN AUG 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 40  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.05  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM  
PRECIP END 6 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 78 (+4) 100  
RH % (24H TREND) 39 (+3) 81 (-7) 43  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 4 LGT/VAR W 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2200 2000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7100 6500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2300 2100  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7500 6900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 4 W 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 9 W 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9200 10500  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 92 92  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 3 W 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 8 W 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 30 9 33  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
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