299  
FNUS74 KLZK 131139  
FWSLZK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR D.J. BURN...ADA - FORESTRY DIVISION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR  
639 AM CDT TUE APR 13 2021  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IMMEDIATELY.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (800) 482-8471 AND ASK FOR THE FIRE WEATHER FORECASTER IF  
YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A STALLED FRONTAL SYSTEM ACROSS THE STATE WILL AID IN KEEPING  
CLOUDS AROUND THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OUT OF  
THE NE.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 9 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....B.  
20 FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5  
MPH.  
LVORI...............1.  
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
DISPERSION..........34 DECREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE  
GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
1700 FT MIX TEMP....72.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 4903 FT MSL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 4700 FT AGL.  
 
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC PC MCR MCR PC MCR PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............67 69 71 73 74 74 74  
RH..............56 55 51 48 48 48 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 14 9 8 7 8 9  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 50.  
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 93 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 22  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
STABILITY CLASS.....D.  
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
LVORI...............1.  
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
DISPERSION..........28 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.39 INCHES.  
1700 FT MIX TEMP....MISSING.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 4637 FT MSL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 4400 FT AGL.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC MC MC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV..... LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
TEMP............72 69 65 63 62 60 60 59 58 57 56 54  
RH..............53 61 68 70 70 72 72 75 75 77 80 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 16 20 22 22 22 21 20 18 17 16  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 60 60 60 60 60  
 

 
FORECASTER...J CONDRY  
REQUESTED BY...TABITHA R HOLLOWAY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2108826.0/LZK  
.DELDT 04/13/21  
.EMAIL TABITHA.HOLLOWAY@AGRICULTURE.ARKANSAS.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab AR Page Main Text Page