204
FNUS74 KLZK 171737
FWSLZK
SPOT FORECAST FOR PCS DOGWOOD SITE PREP...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1237 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (800) 482-8471 AND ASK FOR THE FIRE
WEATHER FORECASTER IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH
THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE INCREASING DURING THE AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY EVENING HOURS THURSDAY AS A WEATHER SYSTEM
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE MAINLY
DRIVEN BY THE HEAT OF THE DAY AND AIDED BY THE APPROACHING WEATHER
SYSTEM. THE RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AS THE
AFOREMENTIONED SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND
DRIVEN PRIMARILY BY TERRAIN BUT OF COURSE, MUCH HIGHER IN ANY
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
THURSDAY
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73 AT IGNITION...MAX 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........15 INCREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.22 INCHES.
1700 FT MIX TEMP....88.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 11237 FT MSL.
CATEGORY DAY........4.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 10400 FT AGL.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
TEMP............73 80 84 87 88 89 88 86 84
RH..............81 65 55 48 45 42 43 50 53
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE S S W W SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 5 5 6 6 6 5 5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 6 7 8 8
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30
THURSDAY NIGHT
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
STABILITY CLASS.....6.
LVORI...............6.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.23 INCHES.
1700 FT MIX TEMP....MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 3142 FT MSL.
CATEGORY DAY........2.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 2300 FT AGL.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............82 78 75 73 71 70 69 68 67 67 66 65
RH..............56 69 79 84 90 93 93 97 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W SE SE SE SE SE S S S SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 4 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW N N N NE NE NE E SE S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 5 5 5 6 8 9 8 7 6 6
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 20 40 40 40 40 40
FRIDAY
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 57 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 5 MPH.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
DISPERSION..........10.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.14 INCHES.
1700 FT MIX TEMP....79.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 5439 FT MSL.
CATEGORY DAY........2.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 4600 FT AGL.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
TEMP............65 64 67 70 74 76 79 81 82 82 83 81
RH..............100 100 97 93 84 76 67 60 58 58 57 63
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW W W W W W SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW NW NW NW W W W SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
FORECASTER...J GOUDSWARD
REQUESTED BY...LOYD MOORE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2522105.0/LZK
.DELDT 09/17/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL LOYD.MOORE@USDA.GOV
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