033  
FNUS74 KLZK 181130  
FWSLZK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR KINGSLAND...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR  
630 AM CDT MON OCT 18 2021  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON OCTOBER 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IMMEDIATELY.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (800) 482-8471 AND ASK FOR THE FIRE WEATHER FORECASTER IF  
YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY, EXCEPT  
FOR SOME SMALL INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUD COVER. A STRONG INVERSION  
THIS MORNING WILL SUPPRESS EFFECTIVE MIXING WITH THE NEAR-SURFACE  
INVERSION ERODING BY MID/LATE MORNING. WINDS WILL REMAIN LARGELY  
LIGHT AND VARIABLE, ALTHOUGH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME MORE  
COMMON BY AFTERNOON.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH.  
STABILITY CLASS.....B.  
20 FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTH AT 0 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS.  
LVORI...............1.  
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
DISPERSION..........1 INCREASING TO 17 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE  
GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 4754 FT MSL.  
1700 FT MIX TEMP....70.  
CATEGORY DAY........MSG.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 4500 FT AGL.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
MX HT MSL (KFT).4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............43 47 54 61 67 70 71 72 73 73 72  
RH..............93 86 71 56 43 36 34 34 33 33 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST. 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 3 5 6 6 6 5 5 3 3 3  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 46.  
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 86 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 3 MPH.  
STABILITY CLASS.....E.  
20 FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
LVORI...............1.  
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
DISPERSION..........14 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE  
GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 1564 FT MSL.  
1700 FT MIX TEMP....MISSING.  
CATEGORY DAY........MSG.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 1400 FT AGL.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
MX HT MSL (KFT).1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6  
SKY COVER.......MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............69 62 58 56 54 52 51 50 49 48 47 47  
RH..............40 54 67 69 71 77 77 80 83 83 86 83  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 36 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH.  
STABILITY CLASS.....B.  
20 FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
LVORI...............1.  
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
DISPERSION..........12 INCREASING TO 28 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE  
GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 3803 FT MSL.  
1700 FT MIX TEMP....72.  
CATEGORY DAY........MSG.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 3600 FT AGL.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
MX HT MSL (KFT).3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8  
SKY COVER.......PC PC MC PC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............46 46 48 55 62 67 71 73 75 76 75 72  
RH..............86 86 86 74 60 50 42 38 36 36 37 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S S S SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 3 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 

 
FORECASTER...D COOPER  
REQUESTED BY...ERICK RIETSCHIER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2119613.0/LZK  
.DELDT 10/18/21  
.EMAIL ERIETSCHIER@TNC.ORG  
 
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