253  
FNUS74 KLZK 162051  
FWSLZK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GIVENS TRACT...FORESTRY DIVISION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR  
351 PM CDT TUE JUL 16 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON JULY 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (800) 482-8471 AND ASK FOR THE FIRE  
WEATHER FORECASTER IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH  
THIS FORECAST.  
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
 
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CDT WEDNESDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TODAY WILL BE VERY HOT AND HUMID. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE INCREASING  
LATE TOMORROW AS A COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY THRU THE STATE.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84 AT IGNITION...MAX 97.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
LVORI...............1.  
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
DISPERSION..........40.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
1700 FT MIX TEMP....98.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 6981 FT MSL.  
CATEGORY DAY........4.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 6700 FT AGL.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............84 87 89 91 93 95 95 96 97  
RH..............74 72 66 60 56 51 49 48 45  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 6 6 6 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 10 12 11 10 10 10 8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 16 15 15 14 13 12 12  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 74.  
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 94 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
LVORI...............5.  
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
DISPERSION..........9.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
1700 FT MIX TEMP....MISSING.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 3142 FT MSL.  
CATEGORY DAY........3.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 2800 FT AGL.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............95 94 90 84 81 80 79 78 77 76 75 75  
RH..............48 51 62 77 85 85 85 82 85 87 90 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 8 8 10 10 10 6 6 6 6 7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 10 10 9 9 10 10 10 12 12 12  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 60 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
LVORI...............5 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
DISPERSION..........16 INCREASING TO 28 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.54 INCHES.  
1700 FT MIX TEMP....95.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 4395 FT MSL.  
CATEGORY DAY........3.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 4100 FT AGL.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC PC  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............74 76 77 80 83 86 88 90 90 90 91 89  
RH..............93 87 94 88 80 72 68 64 64 62 60 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W SW S SW SW SW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 10 8 8 8 8 7 6 6 6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW SW S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 12 14 15 14 13 10 9 8 8 8  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 30 40 40 20 10 20 30 30 30 40  
 

 
FORECASTER...62  
REQUESTED BY...JIM BARHAM  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2418169.0/LZK  
.DELDT 07/16/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JIM.BARHAM@AGRICULTURE.ARKANSAS.GOV  
 
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