735  
FNUS74 KLZK 211206  
FWSLZK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR M/O FAREAST BLUESTEM...U.S.FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR  
606 AM CST TUE JAN 21 2020  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON JANUARY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IMMEDIATELY.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (501) 834-0308 AND ASK FOR THE FIRE  
WEATHER FORECASTER IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS  
FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY AND COLD CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES  
RETURN TO THE FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....26 AT IGNITION...MAX 41.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
STABILITY CLASS.....D.  
20 FOOT WINDS.......WINDS EAST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
DISPERSION..........14.  
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE  
GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 3238 FT MSL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 2100 FT AGL.  
 
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............26 29 33 36 38 40 41 40 38  
RH..............74 66 56 50 46 44 44 46 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 5 6 6 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 7 7 7 7 8 9  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 29.  
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 75 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
STABILITY CLASS.....D.  
20 FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
LVORI...............1.  
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
DISPERSION..........5 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE  
GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 2343 FT MSL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 1200 FT AGL.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............37 35 34 34 33 32 31 31 30 30 30 30  
RH..............53 55 60 62 64 67 72 69 72 72 72 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 12 10 10 9 10 10 12 12 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 35.  
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 72 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.  
STABILITY CLASS.....C.  
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW AND  
LIGHT SLEET IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN LIKELY IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION..........11 INCREASING TO 25 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 11 LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 2196 FT MSL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 1100 FT AGL.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............30 30 31 31 32 33 34 34 35 35 35 35  
RH..............75 75 75 75 75 75 75 78 82 85 85 85  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 10 10 8 6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE S S SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 13 14 16 17 18 17 15 13 12 12  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 60 60 60 60 60 60  
 

 
FORECASTER...C RICKARD  
REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2000854.0/LZK  
.DELDT 01/21/20  
.EMAIL ASTROTHERS@FS.FED.US  
 
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