046  
FNUS74 KTSA 232130  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WOLF DEN RX BURN...ARKANSAS STATE PARKS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
330 PM CST MON FEB 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON FEBRUARY 27.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE EXITS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT  
AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING ALLOWING FOR WARMER TEMPERATURES AND THE  
RETURN OF SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............33.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15081 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (36721 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).MISSING.  
 
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........4 3 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............41 45 49 55 61 66 69 69 69 68 66  
DEWPOINT........33 34 34 34 34 34 34 33 33 34 34  
RH..............73 65 56 45 36 30 27 26 26 28 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 8 10 10 11 12 12 12 12 11 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.3 4.1 4.5 4.5 3.4 1.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 15 15 15 15 37 37 37 37 37 37  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............35.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4590 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).MISSING.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............63 60 57 54 52 51 50 49 48 47 46 46  
DEWPOINT........35 35 35 35 35 36 36 36 35 35 35 35  
RH..............35 39 43 48 52 56 58 61 60 63 65 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 9 10 12 12 12 10 9 9 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............37.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (28196 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (47213 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).MISSING.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........9 9 8 8 12 17 21 24 28 31 32 32  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............47 49 52 56 61 66 70 72 73 73 72 70  
DEWPOINT........36 37 37 38 39 39 39 39 38 38 38 39  
RH..............65 63 56 51 44 37 32 30 28 28 29 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 11 11 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.0 2.0 3.1 4.1 5.1 5.7 5.6 4.2 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 12 12 10 9 9 9 9 8 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..28 28 28 28 28 28 47 47 47 47 47 47  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR  
1700FT MIX T(F).60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60  
 
 
FORECASTER...JANKOWSKI  
REQUESTED BY...DAVID ARMSTRONG  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602070.4/TSA  
.DELDT 02/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DAVID.ARMSTRONG@ARKANSAS.GOV  
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