273  
FNUS74 KTSA 150939  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WRIGHT BOTTOM...BIA CHOCTAW NATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
439 AM CDT MON APR 15 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE AGAIN TODAY IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT  
SET TO MOVE THROUGH THE SITE TUESDAY MORNING. SPOTTY SHOWERS WILL  
BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS  
INCREASING LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............65.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (34098 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).72.  
 
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........89 91 92 92 94 93 91  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............70 72 73 74 75 74 75  
DEWPOINT........65 65 65 66 65 66 65  
RH..............84 79 76 76 71 76 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 10 10 10 10 11 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 14 14 14 14 16 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.2 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 17 18 20 18 20 22  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..34 34 44 44 44 44 44  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR FR FR FR  
1700FT MIX T(F).70 72 73 74 74 74 74  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............64.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29 MPH  
INCREASING TO 31 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 24 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (43934 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO FAIR (15737 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
STABILITY CLASS.....5.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).74.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........89 86 89 93 94 93 90 85 81 77 73 75  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC  
TEMP............74 73 70 70 69 69 69 69 68 67 67 65  
DEWPOINT........65 64 65 65 64 65 65 65 65 64 64 63  
RH..............74 73 84 84 84 87 87 87 90 90 90 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 13 12 12 14 15 15 16 17 17 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 18 17 17 19 20 20 22 23 23 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 1.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 20 22 18 18 23 24 22 23 22 24  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..44 24 24 24 24 24 24 16 16 16 16 16  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).75 75 75 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 73 73  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............62 DECREASING TO 58 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 32 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15737 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (131147 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).69 INCREASING TO 78 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........78 80 80 80 80 80 80 57 57 57 57 57  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............64 64 63 63 65 69 71 73 77 79 80 79  
DEWPOINT........62 62 62 63 63 64 64 64 62 61 59 57  
RH..............93 93 97 100 93 84 79 73 60 54 49 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..17 17 16 16 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 25 22 22 20 20 20 20 21 22 22 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.9 3.8 4.8 5.3 4.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 25 26 26 26 29 29 32 32 29 26  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..16 60 60 60 60 60 60 131 131 131 131 131  
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR FR FR FR FR FR VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD  
1700FT MIX T(F).72 71 69 66 65 67 70 73 76 78 80 80  
 

 
FORECASTER...SONDAG  
REQUESTED BY...SAM MCFARLAND  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2410728.0/TSA  
.DELDT 04/15/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SMCFARLAND@CHOCTAWNATION.COM  
 
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