758
FNUS74 KTSA 162139
FWSTSA
SPOT FORECAST FOR WOLF DEN RX BURN...ARKANSAS STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
339 PM CST MON FEB 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
TEMPERATURE IN THE MID 50S AT FORECAST START, WARMING INTO THE
LOWER 70S DURING THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS DURING
THE MORNING INCREASE TO 10-15 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MIN
RH NEAR 20 PERCENT. LOW TEMPERATURE IN THE LOWER 50S WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS. WINDS INCREASE THURSDAY AND BECOME
WESTERLY BETWEEN 10-25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. MIN RH NEAR 20
PERCENT. NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............44 DECREASING TO 36.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 20
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (17704 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (89180 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).59.
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........31 33 30 27 24 26 29 31 25 20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............57 59 62 66 69 71 72 73 71 69
DEWPOINT........46 45 43 41 39 37 36 35 36 37
RH..............67 60 50 40 33 29 27 25 28 31
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.12 11 10 10 10 12 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 1.2 1.9 2.7 3.8 4.8 5.1 3.9 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 10 10 12 15 17 20 17 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 18 18 18 89 89 89 89 89 89
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD GD GD
1700FT MIX T(F).56 55 55 56 57 60 62 64 64 63
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............41 INCREASING TO 49.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (19672 KNOT-FT).
STABILITY CLASS.....6.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).61 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........14 11 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 8 9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............66 64 61 59 57 57 56 56 56 56 56 57
DEWPOINT........39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
RH..............37 41 48 53 59 62 66 69 72 74 77 77
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 14 14 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 17 20 20 17 16 16 16 17 17 17
VRATE KT-FT/1K..20 20 20 20 20 20 24 24 24 24 24 24
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
1700FT MIX T(F).61 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............49 DECREASING TO 31.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
UP TO 29 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 35
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 24 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (131147 KNOT-FT).
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).MISSING.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........11 16 22 27 18 10 1 1 2 2 3 4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............57 58 60 62 65 67 70 71 72 72 70 68
DEWPOINT........50 50 50 48 45 41 38 36 34 32 31 30
RH..............77 75 69 60 48 39 31 28 25 23 23 24
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 9 10 11 12 12 12 12 11 10
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 18 19 20 21 22 22 23 23 21 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.1 2.5 3.2 4.4 5.8 7.0 7.8 8.2 8.1 7.1 5.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 21 24 26 29 30 31 33 35 35 30 24
VRATE KT-FT/1K..131 131 131 131 131 131 131 131 131 131 131 131
VENTRATE CAT....VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
1700FT MIX T(F).60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
FORECASTER...M.RADA
REQUESTED BY...DAVID ARMSTRONG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602070.2/TSA
.DELDT 02/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DAVID.ARMSTRONG@ARKANSAS.GOV
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