070
FNUS74 KTSA 151820
FWSTSA
SPOT FORECAST FOR WOLF DEN RX BURN...ARKANSAS STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1220 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
WEDNESDAY WILL SEE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
WARMING INTO THE MID 70S AND HUMIDITIES FALLING TO NEAR 25
PERCENT. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MILES AN HOUR,
WITH GUSTS OVER 20 MILES AN HOUR BY LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............44 DECREASING TO 36.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 20
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (24262 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (78688 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).MISSING.
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........20 19 23 26 30 31 33 34 37 40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............57 59 63 66 69 72 73 74 73 70
DEWPOINT........46 45 43 41 39 37 36 36 36 37
RH..............67 60 48 40 33 28 26 25 26 30
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 7 8 9 9 8 6
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 16 18 18 19 20 19 18 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.7 4.4 4.5 3.5 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 9 8 9 13 17 20 17 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..24 24 24 24 79 79 79 79 79 79
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD GD GD
1700FT MIX T(F).60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............40.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15081 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (9180 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
STABILITY CLASS.....6.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).MISSING.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........43 30 18 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............66 64 62 60 59 58 57 56 55 55 55 54
DEWPOINT........38 39 40 40 40 40 40 40 41 41 42 42
RH..............36 40 44 47 50 52 53 55 57 59 61 63
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 16 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW S S S S S S SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 14 14 13 13 13 13 13 13 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 M M 9 M M 15 M M 15 M M
VENTRATE CAT....PR M M PR M M PR M M PR M M
1700FT MIX T(F).60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............43 DECREASING TO 38 IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (100983 KNOT-FT) IN THE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).MISSING.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........4 4 3 3 3 2 2 5 8 11 18 26
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............55 56 58 60 63 67 70 72 73 73 72 70
DEWPOINT........43 44 45 45 44 43 41 39 38 37 37 37
RH..............64 64 62 58 50 41 35 31 28 27 27 30
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 10 11 11 12 12 12 12 11 9
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 19 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.9 2.3 2.7 3.2 3.8 4.4 5.4 6.2 6.2 4.8 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 20 23 26 29 30 30 31 31 30 24 17
VRATE KT-FT/1K..101 M M 101 M M 131 M M 131 M M
VENTRATE CAT....VGD M M VGD M M VGD M M VGD M M
1700FT MIX T(F).60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
FORECASTER...PLATE
REQUESTED BY...DAVID ARMSTRONG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602070.1/TSA
.DELDT 02/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DAVID.ARMSTRONG@ARKANSAS.GOV
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