230  
FNUS74 KTSA 271329  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WOLF DEN RX BURN...ARKANSAS STATE PARKS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
729 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON FEBRUARY 27.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 70S ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON  
WITH HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING INTO THE MID 20 PERCENT RANGE. WINDS  
WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH MID MORNING WITH SPEEDS GRADUALLY INCREASING  
INTO THE AFTERNOON AND DIRECTION BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY.  
GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............37.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13  
TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (31475 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (68852 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).67.  
 
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............56 62 67 70 72 73 73 73 71  
DEWPOINT........39 38 38 37 36 36 36 36 36  
RH..............53 41 34 30 27 26 26 26 28  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW W W SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 12 13 13 13 12 12 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.7 3.1 4.4 4.6 4.9 5.2 3.7 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 12 13 14 15 15 15 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..31 31 31 69 69 69 69 69 69  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR GD GD GD GD GD GD  
1700FT MIX T(F).65 65 66 66 67 68 69 69 69  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............38.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5  
MPH OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3278 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).68.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........4 5 5 6 10 20 40 46 43 40 33 31  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............68 65 60 58 56 55 54 54 54 52 52 52  
DEWPOINT........37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 38 38 39 38  
RH..............32 35 42 45 49 51 52 52 55 59 61 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 4 4 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S SW S SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 9 10 12 12 12 12 10 12 9 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).69 69 68 68 68 69 69 69 68 68 68 67  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............40 INCREASING TO 43 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 21  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (56393 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (121967 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).68.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........19 31 25 19 18 18 17 16 16 15 15 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............50 52 56 60 64 68 72 74 75 75 74 72  
DEWPOINT........38 39 41 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 43 44  
RH..............63 61 57 51 45 39 34 32 31 31 33 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 5 6 7 8 8 8 7 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 10 12 14 14 16 16 16 14 13 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 2.0 3.7 5.1 6.1 6.6 6.2 4.6 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 13 15 17 18 20 21 20 16 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..56 56 56 56 56 56 122 122 122 122 122 122  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR FR VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD  
1700FT MIX T(F).67 67 66 66 66 66 66 67 69 70 70 69  
 
 
FORECASTER...J.MCGAVOCK  
REQUESTED BY...DAVID ARMSTRONG  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602070.7/TSA  
.DELDT 02/27/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DAVID.ARMSTRONG@ARKANSAS.GOV  
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