868
FNUS74 KTSA 050017
FWSTSA
SPOT FORECAST FOR OK WF GOAT AND HOLSON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
617 PM CST WED MAR 4 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1730 CST ON MARCH 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE OVER THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. GENERALLY LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS, AROUND 5 MPH AT THE 20 FT LEVEL ARE ALSO EXPECTED
OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. STRONG AND ERRATIC WINDS CAN
BE EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS WITH
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............63.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (49180 KNOT-FT).
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).77.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TIME (CST) 5PM
SKY (%).........88
WEATHER COV.....DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........LKY
TEMP............69
DEWPOINT........63
RH..............84
20 FT WIND DIR..SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5
20 FT WIND GUST.12
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.5
EYE LVL WND GST.12
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..52
VENTRATE CAT....FR
1700FT MIX T(F).77
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN
THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............62 DECREASING TO 59 OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO
7 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4590 KNOT-FT).
STABILITY CLASS.....5.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).72.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........91 92 93 93 94 95 95 94 92 95 89 95
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............69 68 66 65 63 62 62 62 62 61 60 60
DEWPOINT........64 63 63 62 61 61 61 60 59 59 60 59
RH..............84 86 88 91 95 97 95 93 92 93 98 98
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE S SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
EYE LVL WND DIR.E SE S SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
EYE LVL WND GST.11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW S SW SW SW W SW W SW W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 10 10 10 10 10 8 7 6 6 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
1700FT MIX T(F).77 75 73 71 70 69 69 69 68 68 68 68
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............59.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 22 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (21639 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (78032 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).68.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........93 95 94 89 85 85 78 68 68 66 54 53
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............60 59 58 63 64 66 67 70 72 73 74 73
DEWPOINT........59 58 58 61 60 60 60 59 58 58 58 58
RH..............96 97 100 95 87 81 78 67 61 59 57 58
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10 11 11 12 14 16 16 16 16 14 14 14
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE S S S S S S S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
EYE LVL WND GST.10 11 11 12 14 16 16 16 16 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.2 2.8 3.3 3.9 3.1 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S SW SW SW S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 10 13 15 15 20 22 22 21 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..26 26 26 26 26 26 78 78 78 78 78 78
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD GD GD
1700FT MIX T(F).69 69 69 69 69 68 67 68 69 69 69 69
FORECASTER...COBB
REQUESTED BY...KORY GARRIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2604563.5/TSA
.DELDT 03/04/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JEFFREY.SANOCKI@USDA.GOV,MARIO.GOMEZ@USDA.GOV,KORY.GARRIE@USDA.GOV,NOLEN.CAUDELL@USDA.GOV,WESLEY.WENTWORTH@USDA.GOV,BRICE.CHRISMAN@USDA.GOV,JEFFREY.SANOCKI@USDA.GOV,MICHAEL.WELKER@USDA.GOV.,KORY.GARRIE@USDA.GOV,JOHN.WILSON2@USDA.GOV
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