902
FNUS74 KTSA 210911
FWSTSA
SPOT FORECAST FOR PEA RIDGE NMP FEB RX BURNS...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
311 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON FEBRUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
AT IGNITION TIME, EXPECT A NORTHEAST WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH, BECOMING
NORTH BY 11 AM. BY EARLY AFTERNOON, WINDS SHIFT SLIGHTLY TO THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
20 MPH POSSIBLE. WINDS AND GUSTS SUBSIDE AFTER 6 PM. PARTLY TO
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THIS MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR OUT THIS
AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............25.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 12
TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (21639 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (61639 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).43.
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........59 58 56 54 53 51 48 46 43 30 17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............36 35 33 38 40 41 43 45 46 47 45
DEWPOINT........25 25 24 24 24 26 26 26 25 25 24
RH..............64 66 69 57 52 55 51 47 43 42 43
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE N N N N N N NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.5 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 14 12 12 12 14 16 18 20 20
VRATE KT-FT/1K..22 22 22 22 22 62 62 62 62 62 62
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD GD GD
1700FT MIX T(F).42 42 41 41 41 41 43 45 46 46 46
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............21 DECREASING TO 16 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15081 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (6557 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
STABILITY CLASS.....6.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).42.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............42 41 37 35 33 32 31 30 28 28 26 26
DEWPOINT........23 22 21 19 17 17 17 17 16 16 16 15
RH..............46 46 52 52 51 53 56 58 60 60 65 63
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 10 10 7 7 7 7 7 7 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NW N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 13 12 12 12 10 10 13 13 12 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 15 15 15 15 15 7 7 7 7 7 7
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
1700FT MIX T(F).45 44 43 42 42 41 41 41 41 40 40 39
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............13.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 28
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (81967 KNOT-FT).
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).35 INCREASING TO 42 IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............26 24 27 31 34 37 39 41 42 43 42 40
DEWPOINT........14 14 14 15 15 15 14 13 13 12 12 11
RH..............60 65 57 51 45 40 35 31 30 28 29 30
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 8 9 11 11 12 11 12 12 11 10 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10 13 14 17 17 18 17 18 18 17 16 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.2 1.9 2.6 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.6 3.0 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N N NW NW NW N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 18 25 28 28 26 26 25 23 20 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..82 82 82 82 82 82 88 88 88 88 88 88
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD
1700FT MIX T(F).38 35 32 31 33 36 39 41 42 43 44 44
FORECASTER...LACY
REQUESTED BY...FENN WIMBERLY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2603087.4/TSA
.DELDT 02/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TIMOTHY_FONDREIST@NPS.GOV,NOLAN_MOORE@NPS.GOV,TREVOR_WILLIAMS@NPS.GOV,JOSH_HAMPTON@NPS.GOV,ROBERT_YONILIES@NPS.GOV,FENN_WIMBERLY@NPS.GOV
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