778  
FNUS74 KTSA 221857  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WOLF DEN...AR STATE PARKS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
1257 PM CST SUN FEB 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON FEBRUARY 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, IN ADDITION TO HIGHER RELATIVE  
HUMIDITIES AND LOWER WIND SPEEDS THAN THE PRECEDING DAY ARE  
EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES  
AROUND 45 PERCENT SHOULD BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL  
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO EARLY THURSDAY,  
BRINGING LOW SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES, A SHIFT TO NORTHERLY  
WINDS AND LOWER TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITIES FOR THURSDAY  
AFTERNOON.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............45.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (18360 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (36721 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........76 74 72 70 67 63 60 61 62  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............53 57 61 64 66 67 68 67 66  
DEWPOINT........44 45 45 45 45 46 46 47 47  
RH..............71 64 56 50 47 47 45 49 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 11 11 12 12 12 12 12 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.3 1.8 2.2 2.8 3.2 3.3 2.7 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 12 12 12 13 13 13 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 18 18 37 37 37 37 37 37  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............46.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 15  
TO 21 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (17049 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (12459 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........63 60 57 54 53 53 52 51 49 48 56 65  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............63 61 59 58 57 56 55 54 53 52 51 49  
DEWPOINT........46 47 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 47 46 44  
RH..............54 60 67 69 72 74 77 80 83 83 83 83  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW W NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 10 10 10 11 11 11 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW W NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 9 7 6 9 15 20 21 21  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 M M 12 M M 17 M M 17 M M  
VENTRATE CAT....PR M M PR M M PR M M PR M M  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............41 DECREASING TO 29.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 22 TO 28 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 38  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 22  
TO 28 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO  
AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (102295 KNOT-FT) IN THE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........73 68 62 57 40 24 7 8 10 11 9 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............48 47 47 48 50 52 54 56 57 57 57 56  
DEWPOINT........43 43 42 41 39 36 33 31 30 29 28 28  
RH..............83 86 83 77 66 54 45 38 35 34 33 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N N N N NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 13 12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.5 3.4 4.2 4.7 4.9 4.6 3.5 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 28 33 38 37 33 30 29 28 25 22 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..102 M M 102 M M 121 M M 121 M M  
VENTRATE CAT....VGD M M VGD M M VGD M M VGD M M  
 
 
FORECASTER...K.HATFIELD  
REQUESTED BY...FRED SUTTON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603476.0/TSA  
.DELDT 02/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL FRED.SUTTON@ARKANSAS.GOV  
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