132
FNUS74 KTSA 041729
FWSTSA
SPOT FORECAST FOR OK WF GOAT AND HOLSON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1129 AM CST WED MAR 4 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 CST ON MARCH 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER THE AREA FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.
GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF
ANY THUNDERSTORM ENHANCEMENTS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............60.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (49180 KNOT-FT).
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).74.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........89 87 87 73 73 81
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............69 71 72 73 74 73
DEWPOINT........61 60 60 60 59 59
RH..............77 69 66 63 60 62
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 7 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 14 14 14 12
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S SW S
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 7 7 6 6
EYE LVL WND GST.16 16 14 14 14 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 1.8 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 21 20 20 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..52 52 52 52 52 52
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR FR
1700FT MIX T(F).72 72 73 74 75 77
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............60.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH BECOMING 5 TO 6
MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO
7 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4590 KNOT-FT).
STABILITY CLASS.....5.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).72.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH BECOMING AROUND 5
MPH OVERNIGHT.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........88 93 99 97 94 95 95 94 92 95 89 95
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............70 70 65 65 64 62 62 62 62 61 60 60
DEWPOINT........60 61 62 61 61 61 61 60 59 59 60 59
RH..............70 75 88 88 91 96 95 94 92 93 98 98
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW S SW SW W W W SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
EYE LVL WND DIR.S SW SW S SW SW W W W SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
EYE LVL WND GST.11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW S SW SW SW W SW W SW W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 10 10 10 10 10 8 7 6 6 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
1700FT MIX T(F).77 75 73 71 70 69 69 69 68 68 68 68
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............59.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 22 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (21639 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (78032 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).68.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........93 95 94 89 85 85 78 68 68 66 54 53
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............60 59 58 63 64 66 67 70 72 73 74 73
DEWPOINT........59 58 58 61 60 60 60 59 58 58 58 58
RH..............97 96 100 95 87 81 79 67 62 59 58 58
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10 11 11 12 14 16 16 16 16 14 14 14
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE S S S S S S S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
EYE LVL WND GST.10 11 11 12 14 16 16 16 16 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.2 2.8 3.3 3.9 3.1 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S SW SW SW S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 10 13 15 15 20 22 22 21 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..26 26 26 26 26 26 78 78 78 78 78 78
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD GD GD
1700FT MIX T(F).69 69 69 69 69 68 67 68 69 69 69 69
FORECASTER...M.BOWLAN
REQUESTED BY...KORY GARRIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2604563.4/TSA
.DELDT 03/04/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KORY.GARRIE@USDA.GOV,MARIO.GOMEZ@USDA.GOV,JOHN.WILSON2@USDA.GOV,JEFFREY.SANOCKI@USDA.GOV,WESLEY.WENTWORTH@USDA.GOV,KORY.GARRIE@USDA.GOV,JEFFREY.SANOCKI@USDA.GOV,NOLEN.CAUDELL@USDA.GOV,BRICE.CHRISMAN@USDA.GOV,MICHAEL.WELKER@USDA.GOV.
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