048
FNUS74 KTSA 031734
FWSTSA
SPOT FORECAST FOR OK WF GOAT AND HOLSON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1134 AM CST TUE MAR 3 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 CST ON MARCH 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY, WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
KEEPING AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES IN THE 50 TO 60 PERCENT RANGE. ONLY A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM EXISTS AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT, WITH THE BETTER CHANCES HOLDING OFF UNTIL WEDNESDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY REMAIN NORTH OF THE BURN SITE UNTIL PERHAPS
LATE AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO
CONTINUED WARM TEMPERATURES, SOUTHERLY WINDS AND HIGH AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ON WEDNESDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............60.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (95081 KNOT-FT).
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).66.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22
MPH.
TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........40 30 22 15 13 25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............72 74 75 77 76 76
DEWPOINT........60 60 60 60 60 60
RH..............64 62 60 56 57 58
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 11 11 11 10
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22 21 21 21 20
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.12 12 11 11 11 10
EYE LVL WND GST.22 22 21 21 21 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 3.5 3.8 4.0 3.6 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 28 28 25 25
VRATE KT-FT/1K..100 100 100 100 100 100
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD GD GD GD GD
1700FT MIX T(F).65 66 66 67 68 68
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............60.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 22 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (19016 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (6557 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
STABILITY CLASS.....6.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).69.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 22 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........51 59 83 71 77 75 76 63 68 63 70 77
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............75 72 69 68 67 67 67 67 66 64 62 61
DEWPOINT........60 60 60 61 60 60 60 61 61 61 61 61
RH..............59 65 72 77 78 78 78 81 82 93 98 100
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 4 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.18 12 12 7 6 6 8 11 14 14 14 18
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.7 6 5 4 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6
EYE LVL WND GST.18 12 12 7 6 6 8 11 14 14 14 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 15 13 12 12 12 14 14 14 15 14 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..19 19 19 19 19 19 8 8 8 8 8 8
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
1700FT MIX T(F).69 69 70 70 70 70 69 69 69 69 69 69
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............61.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN 25 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (54426 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (76065 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).68.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN 25 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........66 73 77 72 70 83 83 80 78 82 67 85
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............61 61 61 65 67 68 69 71 72 71 71 71
DEWPOINT........61 61 61 62 63 63 62 62 62 62 61 59
RH..............100 100 100 89 87 83 77 74 71 74 70 67
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.18 14 18 19 20 19 18 17 16 14 14 13
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 7 8 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 6
EYE LVL WND GST.18 14 18 19 20 19 18 17 16 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 1.2 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.5 2.3 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW S S S S S SW S SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 18 22 24 23 24 26 25 23 17 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..57 57 57 57 57 57 76 76 76 76 76 76
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD
1700FT MIX T(F).69 68 68 68 67 67 67 67 68 68 69 69
FORECASTER...K.HATFIELD
REQUESTED BY...KORY GARRIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2604563.1/TSA
.DELDT 03/03/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRICE.CHRISMAN@USDA.GOV,JEFFREY.SANOCKI@USDA.GOV,JOHN.WILSON2@USDA.GOV,MARIO.GOMEZ@USDA.GOV,WESLEY.WENTWORTH@USDA.GOV,NOLEN.CAUDELL@USDA.GOV,KORY.GARRIE@USDA.GOV,MICHAEL.WELKER@USDA.GOV.,JEFFREY.SANOCKI@USDA.GOV,KORY.GARRIE@USDA.GOV
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