700  
FNUS74 KTSA 020758  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JOINT_BURN...AGFC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
158 AM CST TUE DEC 2 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON DECEMBER 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MILD AND DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY WITH AFTERNOON  
HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING INTO THE MID 50 PERCENT RANGE.  
A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THE BURN SITE DURING THE AFTERNOON.  
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST AHEAD OF THE FRONT BEFORE  
TURNING WEST AND THEN NORTHWEST AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES.  
THE FORECAST IS CURRENTLY DRY THROUGH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.  
EXCELLENT HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............28 INCREASING TO 33 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 8  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (32131 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).47.  
 
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........16 17 18 19 29 38 48 55 63  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............37 41 45 47 49 50 49 48 47  
DEWPOINT........30 32 33 34 35 35 35 35 35  
RH..............75 70 63 60 58 56 58 60 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW W W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.7 2.2 2.7 3.2 3.5 3.4 2.6 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 16 16 15 13 10 8 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..32 32 32 43 43 43 43 43 43  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR  
1700FT MIX T(F).48 47 46 46 46 47 47 47 47  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............33 DECREASING TO 24.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 12  
TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (18360 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).41 DECREASING TO 31 OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........70 68 67 65 72 79 86 86 86 86 84 83  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............44 42 39 36 35 34 33 31 29 28 25 24  
DEWPOINT........35 35 34 34 34 33 32 31 29 28 25 24  
RH..............70 76 82 92 96 96 96 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 11 12 12 13 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N N N N N N N N NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 9 12 13 14 15 15 14 14 14 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 18 18 18 18 18 25 25 25 25 25 25  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).46 45 44 42 40 39 37 35 34 32 30 28  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............23.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15081 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).28 INCREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........81 74 68 61 53 45 37 40 42 45 43 42  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............23 23 24 26 28 31 34 36 37 38 37 35  
DEWPOINT........23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23  
RH..............100 100 96 88 81 72 64 59 56 54 56 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 11 10 10 10 8 7 7 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.4 1.9 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 13 12 9 8 7 6 6 6 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..20 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 15  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).26 25 24 24 25 28 30 32 34 35 35 35  
 
 
FORECASTER...J.MCGAVOCK  
REQUESTED BY...BAILEY COFFELT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2526808.0/TSA  
.DELDT 12/02/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BAILEY.COFFELT@AGFC.AR.GOV  
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