949
FNUS74 KTSA 241353
FWSTSA
SPOT FORECAST FOR SAFARI RX BURN...ARKANSAS DEPT OF AGRICULTURE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
753 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A FEW EARLY MORNING SHOWERS MAY BE ONGOING NEAR OR JUST EAST
AND SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE WITH RAIN CHANCES DECREASING QUICKLY
THROUGH THE MORNING. TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO WARM INTO THE
MID 60S BY AFTERNOON WITH HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING INTO THE LOW TO
MID 30 PERCENT RANGE. SUSTAINED NORTHERLY WINDS WITH A FEW STRONGER
GUSTS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE DAY. VERY GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERY
IS FORECAST THURSDAY NIGHT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............45 DECREASING TO 34.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (42622 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (69508 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).55.
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........59 62 43 24 15 14 13 12 2 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............51 53 56 59 61 63 65 65 64 61
DEWPOINT........47 46 45 43 41 39 37 35 34 33
RH..............86 77 66 55 48 41 35 33 33 35
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 14 14 14 14 13 12 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.5 4.0 4.0 3.0 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 20 21 20 20 20 20 18 17 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..43 43 43 43 70 70 70 70 70 70
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD
1700FT MIX T(F).55 54 53 53 53 54 56 57 57 57
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............32.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND
5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 8
TO 9 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1311 KNOT-FT).
STABILITY CLASS.....6.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).57 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............58 54 50 47 45 43 42 41 40 39 37 37
DEWPOINT........33 32 32 32 32 33 33 33 32 32 32 31
RH..............39 43 50 56 60 67 70 73 73 76 82 79
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE NE E E SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NE NE NE E SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 12 10 9 8 7 7 8 9 9 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 7 7 7 7 7 1 1 1 1 1 1
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
1700FT MIX T(F).57 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............32.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15081 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (41967 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).MISSING.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............38 41 46 51 57 62 65 68 70 70 69 66
DEWPOINT........31 32 32 33 33 32 32 32 31 31 31 32
RH..............76 70 58 50 40 32 29 26 23 23 24 28
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 10 11 12 13 13 12 11 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.1 2.9 3.6 4.1 4.0 3.0 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 8 8 9 10 12 12 10 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 15 15 15 15 15 42 42 42 42 42 42
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR
1700FT MIX T(F).60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
FORECASTER...J.MCGAVOCK
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT VANHOOK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2603741.0/TSA
.DELDT 02/24/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SCOTT.VANHOOK@ARKANSAS.GOV
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