563  
FNUS74 KTSA 080300  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST BILLY...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
1000 PM CDT SUN JUL 7 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2200 CDT ON JULY 07.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERY ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE  
REMAINDER OF TONIGHT WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWRS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME LIKELY DURING  
THE DAY MONDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY  
MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL GENERALLY  
REMAIN LIGHT WITH HIGH HUMIDITY LEVELS PERSISTING MONDAY  
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............68.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 10 MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (39344 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3934 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).86.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........46 55 59 64 64 72 74 80  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............78 77 76 75 73 73 72 72  
DEWPOINT........67 67 68 69 70 69 69 69  
RH..............69 71 76 82 90 87 90 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S N E E SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 11 11 10 10 10 10 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE S S N E E SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.12 11 11 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S N S S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 10 8 10 9 7 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..39 39 39 4 4 4 4 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).91 90 89 87 86 85 84 82  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE  
MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE  
DAY. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............70.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3934 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (14426 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).78.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........87 89 80 91 97 97 89 97 90 89 96 95  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............71 71 74 76 77 77 79 79 79 79 76 76  
DEWPOINT........69 69 70 70 71 70 71 71 72 71 71 70  
RH..............93 93 87 82 82 79 77 77 79 77 85 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E NE NE NE E SE NE NE NE NE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 10 10 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E NE NE NE E SE NE NE NE NE E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.0 1.4 1.7 1.8 2.0 1.8 1.9 1.7 1.0 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 9 8 8 9 8 8 8 8 8 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).80 78 77 77 77 78 78 79 78 77 77 78  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............68 DECREASING TO 64 OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 17  
TO 18 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13770 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (9836 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
STABILITY CLASS.....5.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).78 DECREASING TO 73 AFTER 3 AM.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH LATE  
IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........95 95 94 97 98 98 98 98 94 90 86 85  
WEATHER COV.....DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............75 73 72 69 69 67 66 66 65 65 64 64  
DEWPOINT........70 70 69 68 68 67 66 66 65 65 64 64  
RH..............84 90 90 97 97 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 14 14 16 16 17 18 18 18 19  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 12 13 14 14 16 16 17 18 18 18 19  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 16 20 20 17 16 17 18 18 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..14 14 14 14 14 14 14 10 10 10 10 10  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).79 81 82 83 83 81 78 75 74 73 73 73  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS IN THE  
MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE  
DAY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............65.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN  
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9836 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (34754 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).74.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH  
IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........85 84 83 81 80 76 72 68 62 56 50 44  
WEATHER COV.....DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............64 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 72 74 76 77  
DEWPOINT........64 64 65 66 66 66 67 67 67 67 67 67  
RH..............100 100 100 99 97 94 92 90 84 79 74 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 19 18 18 18 17 17 16 16 14 14  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.20 20 19 18 18 18 17 17 16 16 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 14 15 16 17 17 17 17 16 16 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 20 20 20 20 20 20 35 35 35 35 35  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).74 74 74 73 73 73 73 74 75 75 76 76  
 

 
FORECASTER...J.MCGAVOCK  
REQUESTED BY...AOICC  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2417592.0/TSA  
.DELDT 07/07/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ARAOC@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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