335
FXUS64 KJAN 222003
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
303 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- LIMITED THREAT OF DANGEROUS HEAT STRESS CONTINUES TODAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 300 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
FOR THIS AFTERNOON, WE ARE MONITORING THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WHICH IS
CURRENTLY PUSHING INTO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.
OVERALL, THE LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT AS FAVORABLE TODAY
FOR SEVERE MICROBURSTS WITH DAMAGING WINDS, SO EXPECT LESS
COVERAGE OF INTENSE CONVECTION AS WE GO THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE DAY. THE OFFICIAL BEGINNING OF FALL ON THE CALENDAR IS TODAY,
AND THIS JUST HAPPENS TO COINCIDE WITH WHAT WILL HOPEFULLY BE
THIS YEAR'S LAST EPISODE OF "DANGEROUS HEAT" IN OUR AREA. WHILE
CONDITIONS WILL NOT REMIND ONE OF FALL, WE CAN AT LEAST EXPECT
WHAT WOULD BE CONSIDERED MORE TYPICAL OF SEPTEMBER.
LOOKING AHEAD FOR LATE THIS WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND, DRIER
AND "LESS HOT" CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. THEN BY THE TIME WE GET
TO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, THERE MAY BE A MORE SIGNICANT FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THAT PUSHES SLOWLY INTO OUR REGION WITH SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE AND ASCENT FOR GREATER RAIN CHANCES. /EC/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 110 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED -TSRA WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE AREA. OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL./KP/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 71 94 68 91 / 10 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 70 93 68 90 / 0 0 0 10
VICKSBURG 71 94 67 90 / 10 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 71 95 70 93 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 71 95 69 92 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 70 92 65 89 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 68 93 64 91 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
EC/KP
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