242
FXUS64 KJAN 282325
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
625 PM CDT MON SEP 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A DRY, WARM AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST
MIDWEEK.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE REGION, PARTICULARLY THURSDAY INTO
THE WEEKEND WHEN HEAVIER RAINFALL MAY BE POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1241 PM CDT MON SEP 28 2026
MONDAY NIGHT - SUNDAY
UPPER-LVL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE REGION, KEEPING
NORTHWEST FLOW, DRY CONDITIONS, AND HIGH TEMPS IN THE LOW 90S
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WITH ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND RH VALUES (%)
IN THE MID-20S, A "LIMITED" FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTHERN
PARTS OF THE AREA. CONTINUE TO HEED ANY LOCAL BURN BANS AND BE
CAUTIOUS OF OUTDOOR BURNING. AS THE RIDGE MIGRATES EASTWARD MID-
WEEK, SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL PUSH MOISTURE INTO THE AREA, EASING FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS AND INCREASING RH VALUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
AN UPPER-LVL LOW FROM THE SOUTHWEST REGION AND THE ABSORBED REMNANTS
OF HURRICANE POLO WILL PUSH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARDS THE REGION.
RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES
FRIDAY, LASTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ALTHOUGH HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED, FORECAST TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED AS THE WEEK
PROGRESS. 50- 75% PROBABILITY FOR RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THE HIGH
PROBABILITY ON SUNDAY (60-75% AREAWIDE). WPC ESTIMATES RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 2-4 INCHES OVER THE WEEKEND, WHICH WOULD HELP IMPROVE
ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS. /SW/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 624 PM CDT MON SEP 28 2026
QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR ACROSS ALL TAF SITES THROUGH
THE PERIOD WITH VFR CEILINGS PREVAILING. /CR/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 63 92 65 92 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 60 90 61 91 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 62 92 66 93 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 62 92 64 92 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 64 94 66 93 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 60 92 65 94 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 59 92 62 93 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SW/CR
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