462
FXUS64 KJAN 130533
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1133 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD.
- MOST NIGHTS SHOULD SEE TEMPERATURES FALL TO NEAR OR BELOW
FREEZING THIS WEEK.
- WE ARE MONITORING FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A SIGNIFICANT COLD AIR
EVENT THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1131 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...
THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL BE LARGELY SUPPRESSED THROUGH THE PERIOD
AMID BROAD TROUGHING OVER EAST CONUS. THIS WILL KEEP CONDITIONS
FAIRLY DRY AND COOLER THAN NORMAL. THE EXCEPTION IS WEDNESDAY AS A
BAJA LOW EJECTS, RESULTING IN WEAK MOISTURE RETURN. THEREFORE, RAIN
CHANCES SOUTH OF I-20 AROUND 20-30%. A SERIES OF REINFORCING COLD
FRONTS MID TO LATE WEEK WILL MAINTAIN DRY AIR. CONDITIONS WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR FREEZING/SUBFREEZING OVERNIGHT LOWS THROUGH AT LEAST
EARLY NEXT WEEK, WHICH IS BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THAT
SAID, DANGEROUS COLD IS NOT ANTICIPATED FOR MUCH OF THE AREA, BUT
GTR MAY HAVE TO BE MONITORED FOR COLD HEADLINES. WILL KEEP POSTED IN
FUTURE UPDATES. WE START TO BREAK THE REGIME AROUND MID NEXT WEEK,
THE VERY END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH SUBTLE HEIGHT RISES AND
RESTORATION OF SOUTHERLY FLOW. THIS SHOULD BRING LOWS BACK ABOVE
FREEZING FOR MUCH OF THE AREA, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE GOLDEN
TRIANGLE (LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S), BY TUESDAY NIGHT. /SAS/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1131 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A FEW HIGH CLOUDS
AND LIGHT PREVAILING WESTERLY WINDS. /SAS/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 54 31 61 43 / 0 0 0 10
MERIDIAN 54 29 59 41 / 0 0 0 10
VICKSBURG 53 32 61 43 / 0 0 0 10
HATTIESBURG 55 31 62 43 / 0 0 0 40
NATCHEZ 55 32 61 44 / 0 0 0 30
GREENVILLE 53 32 61 43 / 0 0 0 10
GREENWOOD 54 32 61 42 / 0 0 0 10
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SAS20/SAS20/SAS20
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