738
FXUS64 KLZK 181658
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1158 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
-WARMING TREND BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE BY THE END
OF THE WORK WEEK AND POSSIBLY LONGER.
-NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT WEEK OR SO WITH
DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUING TO WORSEN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
SATELLITE EARLY THIS MORNING SHOWS CLEAR SKIES OVER THE NATURAL
STATE WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS MORNING
ARE IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS THE STATE. LOWS THIS
MORNING WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPPER 30S ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN
ARKANSAS WITH LOWER TO MID 30S NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION ACROSS
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A FROST ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FULTON,
IZARD, AND SHARP COUNTIES FROM 4 AM THROUGH 8 AM . FOR THE SOUTHERN
TWO THIRDS OF ARKANSAS, TEMPERATURES WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOWER
40S AROUND SUNRISE EARLY THIS MORNING.
AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK, BOTH ENSEMBLE AND DETERMINISTIC MODEL
DATA SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER ACROSS
THE STATE. WINDS WILL VEER FROM THE NORTH/NORTHEAST TO EAST/
SOUTHEAST BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THE ENTIRE WORK WEEK AND POSSIBLY LONGER. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR
WARMER AIR TO BE PULLED NORTH BACK INTO THE STATE. TEMPERATURES
EARLY PART THE WORK WEEK WILL BE AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL, THEN 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS
FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WORK WEEK INTO EARLY NEXT WEEKEND.
LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL IS IN THE FORECAST WITHIN ARKANSAS OVER THE
NEXT 5 TO 7 DAYS AND POSSIBLY LONGER. THIS WILL LEAD TO WORSENING
DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE STATE.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1157 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
EXPECT VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY TO PERSIST FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD
FROM SUNDAY MIDDAY THROUGH MONDAY MIDDAY ACROSS ALL TERMINALS.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BEGIN THE FORECAST PERIOD ESTABLISHED OUT OF THE
EAST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS SITES BEFORE BECOMING VARIABLE THIS EVENING
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND THEN BECOMING ESTABLISHED AGAIN LATER
SUNDAY MORNING OUT OF SOUTH-SOUTHEAST.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 43 73 43 75 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 43 79 42 81 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 42 72 45 73 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 45 77 46 79 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 45 76 46 78 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 47 77 46 81 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 43 76 44 77 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 42 72 44 73 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 42 74 43 77 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 43 78 42 80 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 44 75 46 77 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 42 75 43 77 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 45 77 44 80 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page