502
FXUS64 KLZK 272353
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
653 PM CDT MON APR 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 240 AM CDT MON APR 27 2026
- ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.
- SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS WEEK,
THEN TEMPERATURES TREND A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
- ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES ON FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 240 AM CDT MON APR 27 2026
TO BEGIN THE PERIOD, LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TO PUSH THROUGH
NORTHERN ARKANSAS AS A DISTURBANCE TRACKS JUST NORTH OF THE STATE.
THIS IS ALL PART OF THE ACTIVE AND UNSETTLED WEATHER THAT CONTINUES
ACROSS THE STATE. SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES WILL CONTINUE MONDAY
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND WITH THE LAST ROUND
COMING TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
TODAY'S (MONDAY) THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL SEE THE POSSIBILITY
FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH A LOWER THREAT FOR
TORNADOES NOT BEING RULED OUT. A WARM FRONT IS CURRENTLY DRAPED
ACROSS SOUTHERN MO AND INTO TN CAUSING MUCH OF THE STATE TO BE
LOCATED IN THE WARM SECTOR. AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH THE STATE
LATER THIS AFTERNOON THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE STORMS TO FIRE UP LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. GIVEN AN ABUNDANCE OF
INSTABILITY WITHIN THE AREA AND AMPLE WIND SHEAR...THE INGREDIENTS
ARE COMING TOGETHER TO SUGGEST THE STATE IS LIKELY TO SEE ANOTHER
ROUNDS OF SEVERE WEATHER LATE MONDAY WITH LARGE, DAMAGING HAIL AND
STRAIGHT-LINE DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN CONCERN.
THEN FINALLY, TUESDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE THE LAST DAY OF THIS ACTIVE
WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE STATE AS A COLD FRONT TRACKS THROUGH. AS THE
COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE STATE STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF IT. CURRENT MODEL DATA SUGGESTS DAMAGING
STRAIGHT-LINE WIND AND LARGE HAIL TO BE THE MAIN CONCERNS.
IN SUMMARY, AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NATURAL STATE THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY BRINGING THE CHANCE FOR
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ON A POSITIVE NOTE, WITH THE
UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE STATE MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL WILL
CONTINUE TO FALL PROVIDING SOME RELIEF TO THE ONGOING DROUGHT
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE STATE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 643 PM CDT MON APR 27 2026
GUSTY SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL WEAKEN OVERNIGHT AND BECOMING
LIGHT WITH A FEW AFTERNOON GUSTS ON TUESDAY. A DISTURBANCE WILL
BRING SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS A LARGE PART
OF ARKANSAS THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. MAIN AVIATION
IMPACTS WILL BE FREQUENT LIGHTING, HEAVY RAIN, AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS WITH CIGS BRIEFLY DROPPING INTO THE MVFR/IFR CATEGORY. HREF
AND BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SHOW MVFR CEILINGS OVERSPREADING THE STATE
FROM SOUTH TO TO NORTH AND PERSISTING THROUGH THE MORNING HOUR.
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 63 79 58 73 / 50 80 60 20
CAMDEN AR 66 83 63 75 / 50 60 60 40
HARRISON AR 56 76 53 69 / 40 70 50 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 65 79 60 74 / 50 60 50 30
LITTLE ROCK AR 66 80 61 75 / 50 70 50 30
MONTICELLO AR 68 83 66 78 / 60 60 80 40
MOUNT IDA AR 64 78 58 73 / 50 70 50 30
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 57 77 53 70 / 50 70 50 10
NEWPORT AR 65 81 61 73 / 70 80 80 20
PINE BLUFF AR 66 81 64 74 / 60 60 70 30
RUSSELLVILLE AR 63 79 57 75 / 50 70 50 30
SEARCY AR 63 80 59 74 / 50 70 60 30
STUTTGART AR 68 80 64 73 / 70 70 60 30
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...73
AVIATION...76
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page