148
FXUS64 KLZK 130655
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1255 AM CST FRI FEB 13 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1252 AM CST FRI FEB 13 2026
-DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH FRIDAY.
-A NEW STORM SYSTEM WILL PROVIDE WIDESPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE STATE THIS WEEKEND.
-DRYING OUT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1252 AM CST FRI FEB 13 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO CONTROL THE WEATHER PATTERN
FRIDAY WITH CALM AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY. A PATTERN CHANGE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN LATE FRIDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS USHERED IN FROM THE WEST. AT
THE SAME TIME, A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE
STATE BRINGING UNSETTLED WEATHER TO THE REGION, MAINLY SATURDAY
AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
AS MENTIONED ABOVE, UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND WITH
SATURDAY AS THE RAINIEST DAY. MUCH OF THE STATE CAN EXPECT MUCH
NEEDED RAINFALL FROM THIS SYSTEM WITH ONE TO TWO INCHES POSSIBLE.
WITH THAT SAID, LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 4+ INCHES OF RAIN CANNOT BE
RULED OUT. SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES LOOK TO BE ON THE LOW SIDE AS MUCH
OF THE INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO STAY SOUTH OF THE STATE INTO
LA/MS. BUT A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER IS LIKELY.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AVERAGE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH
THE PERIOD. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO TOP OUT IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1107 PM CST THU FEB 12 2026
VFR CONDITIONS LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. AN
INCREASE IN MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED WITH SFC WINDS
BECOMING EASTERLY AT LESS THAN 10 KTS. PRECIP SHOULD HOLD OFF FOR
MOST TERMINALS UNTIL AFTER THE PERIOD, BUT SOME ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO BE IN W/NW ARKANSAS NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 65 46 60 52 / 0 60 90 100
CAMDEN AR 73 53 73 57 / 0 20 70 100
HARRISON AR 67 48 59 49 / 0 90 100 100
HOT SPRINGS AR 69 51 70 55 / 10 50 90 100
LITTLE ROCK AR 67 50 69 55 / 0 50 90 100
MONTICELLO AR 71 55 73 60 / 0 20 50 100
MOUNT IDA AR 70 52 68 54 / 10 50 100 100
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 66 46 57 48 / 0 80 100 100
NEWPORT AR 64 47 62 54 / 0 40 80 100
PINE BLUFF AR 69 51 72 56 / 0 30 70 100
RUSSELLVILLE AR 69 51 65 54 / 0 70 90 100
SEARCY AR 66 46 65 53 / 0 50 90 100
STUTTGART AR 66 51 70 56 / 0 40 70 100
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...73
AVIATION...67
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