659
FXUS64 KLZK 100602
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1202 AM CST WED DEC 10 2025
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1132 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
- GUSTY NW WINDS WILL BE SEEN BEHIND A COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES
ACROSS THE STATE TODAY.
- NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN THROUGH FRIDAY
ALONG WITH DRY CONDITIONS.
- A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES FROM
SATURDAY TO SUNDAY.
- COLD AIR WILL LINGER FOR A FEW DAYS BEFORE INCREASING BY
TUE/WED NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1132 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA AS
A STRONG SFC CYCLONE MOVES EAST TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES WHILE
RIDGING REMAINS ACROSS THE SE US. THIS HAS PROVIDED AN INCREASE IN
SW WINDS ACROSS THE STATE LATE TUESDAY INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
AS THE SFC LOW CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE EAST A TRAILING COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS FROM NW TO SE TODAY. IN ITS WAKE,
WINDS WILL SWITCH OUT OF THE NW AND WILL INCREASE TO 15-20 MPH
WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE DURING THE
MORNING HOURS WEDNESDAY.
THIS FRONT WILL PROVIDE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF COLD AIR WEDNESDAY
BUT WILL HELP TEMPERATURES FALL TO NEAR FREEZING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE MID-LEVEL FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NW THROUGH THE
END OF THE WORK WEEK, BUT LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BE OUT OF THE SW.
THIS WILL PROVIDE WARMER TEMPERATURES THU-FRI. CHANGES WILL TAKE
PLACE THIS WEEKEND, AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN A MUCH
COLDER AIRMASS TO THE STATE. THE COLD AIR MAY NOT MAKE IT INTO THE
STATE UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT.
BEHIND THE FRONT, SFC RIDGING WILL OVERSPREAD THE STATE BY SUNDAY AND
LINGER THROUGH MONDAY. BUT, THIS ROUND OF COLD AIR ISN'T EXPECTED
TO STICK AROUND VERY LONG AS SFC RIDGING SHIFTS EAST AND THE H500
NW FLOW MOVES NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE REGION. THIS WILL LEAD TO
INCREASING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1108 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. BUT, A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE STATE ON WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL
BRING INCREASING WINDS IN ITS WAKE. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
BECOME NW AND WILL BE IN THE 10-17 KT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
25 KT EXPECTED. BY WEDNESDAY EVENING, WINDS WILL BECOME MUCH
LIGHTER.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 46 38 56 32 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 47 39 60 32 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 59 44 51 31 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 45 38 58 33 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 44 37 59 34 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 49 41 61 34 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 52 39 59 33 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 59 40 52 30 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 44 36 56 33 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 45 39 60 33 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 54 37 58 33 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 44 34 58 32 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 44 39 57 33 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...67
AVIATION...67
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