789
FXUS64 KLZK 301726
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1226 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 207 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2026
-HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS ARKANSAS WILL BEGIN TO TICK UPWARD TODAY
INTO THE MID 90S TO REACHING/EXCEEDING THE CENTURY MARK (100 TO
103 DEGREES) IN A FEW LOCATIONS
-THE TREND OF THE WEEK AHEAD WILL BE HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS AS TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 90S AND TRIPLE DIGITS IN A
FEW LOCATIONS (100 TO 104 DEGREES) WITH NO CHANCES FOR RAIN IN
THE NEAR FUTURE
-HEAT PRODUCTS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AS SOON AS MONDAY WITH
FORECASTED HEAT INDEX VALUES TO PEAK BETWEEN 105 AND 109 ACROSS A
LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 207 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2026
THE CENTER OF AN UPPER LVL RIDGE IS PROGGED TO BE CEMENTED DIRECTLY
OVER THE STATE OF ARKANSAS THROUGHOUT THE NEXT WEEK BEFORE THE UPPER
LVL FEATURE BEGINS TO SLOWLY RETROGRADE WESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS REGION OF THE CONUS AND COERCE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE
STATE OF ARKANSAS INTO LATE NEXT WEEKEND. AT THE SFC, A REGIONAL
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION OF THE CONUS
WILL PROMOTE THE PRESENCE OF SOUTHERLY WINDS OVERALL AT THE SURFACE
WHICH WILL MEANDER FROM SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY TO SOUTHERLY TO OUT OF
THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD ALLOWING DEWPOINT
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE STATE IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S WITH THE
ADVECTION OF GULF MOISTURE BY MID-WEEK WHICH WILL LEAD TO DANGEROUS
HEAT INDEX VALUES.
EXPECT HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS TO BE THE TREND OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS ACROSS THE NATURAL STATE. HEAT PRODUCTS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED
BY MONDAY AS FORECAST HEAT INDEX VALUES AND NWS HEAT RISK BOTH
SUGGEST ENVIRONMENTS ACROSS ARKANSAS SUPPORTIVE OF HEAT ADVISORY AND
EXTREME HEAT WARNING CRITERIA.
A GLIMMER OF RELIEF DOES APPEAR JUST BEYOND THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD OR NEXT SUNDAY GOING INTO NEXT MONDAY (ROUGHLY 7-8 DAYS FROM
NOW). THE UPPER LVL RIDGE SLOWLY SLIDES WESTWARD AND POSITIONS
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER ARKANSAS WHICH WILL SUPPORT AN INCREASE OF
POP CHANCES ACROSS THE STATE; HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IN THIS SOLUTION
IS LOW BECAUSE IT IS A WEEK IN ADVANCE, BUT THE SIGNAL DOES EXIST.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2026
VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. A THIN CIRRUS LAYER
IS CURRENTLY WORKING ITS WAY SOUTH OUT OF MISSOURI AND WILL
OVERSPREAD NORTHERN TERMINALS UNTIL THIS EVENING. OTHER THAN
THOSE CLOUDS FEW TO NONE CAN BE FOUND AROUND THE STATE. WEAK
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DECREASE TO CALM OVERNIGHT BEFORE PICKING
BACK UP TOMORROW AFTER SUNRISE. TOMORROW SCATTERED CLOUDS WILL
BUILD IN STATEWIDE WITH DAYTIME HEATING, BUT VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO HOLD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 73 101 76 101 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 72 98 74 98 / 0 0 0 10
HARRISON AR 71 97 74 96 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 73 100 75 100 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 74 101 77 100 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 74 96 76 97 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 70 100 72 98 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 70 98 73 98 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 73 99 75 99 / 0 0 0 10
PINE BLUFF AR 73 97 74 97 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 72 100 75 100 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 72 98 74 99 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 74 98 76 99 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT MONDAY FOR ARZ007-008-016-
017-025-031>034-039-043>047-055>057-064-065-069-121-122-130-138-
230-238.
SHORT TERM...74
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...78
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