205
FXUS64 KLZK 161703
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1103 AM CST MON FEB 16 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1242 AM CST MON FEB 16 2026
-DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE FOR MONDAY
MORNING.
-DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK.
-RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST LATER THIS WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1242 AM CST MON FEB 16 2026
TO BEGIN THE PERIOD, A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE HAS MOVED OVER THE
AREA AND WILL CONTROL THE WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH AT LEAST THE
MIDDLE PART OF THIS WEEK. THIS WILL USHER IN CALM AND DRY
CONDITIONS WITH RAIN CHANCES STAYING ON THE LOW END. THE NEXT
CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE FRIDAY.
GIVEN RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL AND CALM WINDS, WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE STATE THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. MAKE SURE TO GIVE YOURSELF EXTRA TIME TO GET TO WHERE YOU
ARE GOING THIS MORNING.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AVERAGE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH
THE PERIOD. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO TOP OUT IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK. OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1103 AM CST MON FEB 16 2026
THE FORECAST PERIOD WILL BEGIN ON MIDDAY MONDAY WITH MOST TERMINALS
IN VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY. A FEW SITES TO BEGIN THE FORECAST PERIOD MAY
BE IN MVFR TO IFR FLIGHT CATEGORY FOR LOWERED CIGS FOR A FEW HOURS
INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS ON MONDAY. THE NORTHERN SITES OF KHRO
AND KBPK; ADDITIONALLY THE SOUTHEASTERN SITE OF KLLQ WILL ENJOY VFR
FLIGHT CATEGORY FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD FROM MONDAY MIDDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY MIDDAY. HOWEVER, THE SITES OF KHOT, KADF, KLIT, AND
KPBF ARE EXPECTED TO ONCE AGAIN INTO MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR FOG LOWERING VSBY BETWEEN MVFR AND LIFR
FLIGHT CATEGORY AS PATCHY, DENSE FOG WILL AGAIN BE PRESENT ACROSS
PARTS OF THE STATE, BUT WILL BECOME VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY AS VSBY WILL
IMPROVE BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 46 67 56 74 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 46 71 57 75 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 47 70 56 75 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 46 69 57 74 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 46 69 58 73 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 49 72 59 75 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 46 69 57 75 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 44 68 56 75 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 46 65 58 73 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 47 69 57 74 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 45 70 56 76 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 44 68 55 73 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 48 67 58 72 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74
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