096
FXUS64 KLZK 271036 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
536 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1249 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
-UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL PROVIDE CONTINUED DAILY RAIN CHANCES
ACROSS THE STATE.
-NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
-SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES ARE VERY LOW, SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
IS POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1249 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
WILL BE MONITORING FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF DENSE FOG THROUGH
SUNRISE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE STATE. MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE ACROSS
NORTHERN ARKANSAS WITH POTENTIAL FG DEVELOPMENT ALSO POSSIBLE
ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE STATE. THESE AREAS SAW SOME OF THE
MORE WIDESPREAD, HEAVY RAINFALL ON TUESDAY.
AT THE H500 LEVEL, THE OMEGA BLOCK PATTERN REMAINS AND WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE CHANGES ARE POSSIBLE. MID-
LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS FROM THE SE US TOWARD THE N/NW ACROSS THE
UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY. THIS FEATURE IS FLANKED BY TWO CUTOFF
CYCLONES, ONE OF WHICH IS IN PLACE OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA WHILE
THE OTHER IS JUST NE OF MAINE.
EXTENDING EAST FROM THE CA CYCLONE IS A MID-LEVEL TROUGH ORIENTED
FROM NEAR THE OK/TX PANHANDLES SE TOWARD THE HOUSTON AREA. AS THIS
FEATURE LIFTS NORTH TODAY AND THURSDAY IT WILL BECOME A FOCUS FOR
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE STATE AND
NEARBY AREAS. A WEAK SFC BOUNDARY WILL LIFT NORTH AS WELL WHICH
WILL HELP ENHANCE PRECIP COVERAGE AS WELL. WILL SEE AN INCREASE
IN PW VALUES (1.75"-2.25") ACROSS THE AREA WED/THU WHICH COULD
HELP PROVIDE SOME LOCALIZED HEAVY DOWNPOURS AS STORMS LIFT NORTH
ACROSS THE STATE.
THE OVERALL PATTERN WILL REMAIN SIMILAR THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
IN ADDITION TO DAILY CHANCES FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS,
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE MAY ACROSS
ARKANSAS. A PATTERN SHIFT MAY BE SEEN NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD,
BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW REGARDING THE TIMELINE AND OVERALL
EVOLUTION OF THIS CHANGE.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 534 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
SOME PATCHY FOG AND LOW CIGS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS
MORNING...BUT EXPECT IMPROVING CONDITIONS REGARDING FOG OVER THE
NEXT FEW HRS. CHANCES FOR CONVECTION WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE
DAY AS A SYSTEM LIFTS NORTH OVER THE STATE. THIS POTENTIAL WILL BE
SEEN OFF AN ON THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH COVERAGE LOOKING TO
DECREASE OVERNIGHT INTO THU MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 83 66 79 66 / 30 50 70 70
CAMDEN AR 82 66 81 66 / 70 60 70 40
HARRISON AR 81 64 76 64 / 50 50 80 70
HOT SPRINGS AR 81 67 80 66 / 70 50 70 50
LITTLE ROCK AR 82 67 80 66 / 70 60 70 70
MONTICELLO AR 84 68 81 68 / 70 50 60 40
MOUNT IDA AR 80 68 79 67 / 70 50 60 50
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 82 64 77 64 / 30 50 60 70
NEWPORT AR 84 67 81 67 / 30 50 60 70
PINE BLUFF AR 83 68 81 67 / 70 50 60 50
RUSSELLVILLE AR 82 67 80 67 / 60 50 60 60
SEARCY AR 83 65 80 65 / 50 50 70 60
STUTTGART AR 83 69 81 68 / 60 40 70 60
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR ARZ005>008-
014>017-025.
DISCUSSION...67
AVIATION...62
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