537
FXUS64 KLZK 271045
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
545 AM CDT MON APR 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 240 AM CDT MON APR 27 2026
- ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.
- SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS WEEK,
THEN TEMPERATURES TREND A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
- ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES ON FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 240 AM CDT MON APR 27 2026
TO BEGIN THE PERIOD, LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TO PUSH THROUGH
NORTHERN ARKANSAS AS A DISTURBANCE TRACKS JUST NORTH OF THE STATE.
THIS IS ALL PART OF THE ACTIVE AND UNSETTLED WEATHER THAT CONTINUES
ACROSS THE STATE. SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES WILL CONTINUE MONDAY
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND WITH THE LAST ROUND
COMING TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
TODAY'S (MONDAY) THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL SEE THE POSSIBILITY
FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH A LOWER THREAT FOR
TORNADOES NOT BEING RULED OUT. A WARM FRONT IS CURRENTLY DRAPED
ACROSS SOUTHERN MO AND INTO TN CAUSING MUCH OF THE STATE TO BE
LOCATED IN THE WARM SECTOR. AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH THE STATE
LATER THIS AFTERNOON THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE STORMS TO FIRE UP LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. GIVEN AN ABUNDANCE OF
INSTABILITY WITHIN THE AREA AND AMPLE WIND SHEAR...THE INGREDIENTS
ARE COMING TOGETHER TO SUGGEST THE STATE IS LIKELY TO SEE ANOTHER
ROUNDS OF SEVERE WEATHER LATE MONDAY WITH LARGE, DAMAGING HAIL AND
STRAIGHT-LINE DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN CONCERN.
THEN FINALLY, TUESDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE THE LAST DAY OF THIS ACTIVE
WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE STATE AS A COLD FRONT TRACKS THROUGH. AS THE
COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE STATE STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF IT. CURRENT MODEL DATA SUGGESTS DAMAGING
STRAIGHT-LINE WIND AND LARGE HAIL TO BE THE MAIN CONCERNS.
IN SUMMARY, AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NATURAL STATE THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY BRINGING THE CHANCE FOR
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ON A POSITIVE NOTE, WITH THE
UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE STATE MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL WILL
CONTINUE TO FALL PROVIDING SOME RELIEF TO THE ONGOING DROUGHT
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE STATE.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 530 AM CDT MON APR 27 2026
MOSTLY MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON HOURS. LOWER CIGS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL TERMINALS EARLY THIS MORNING AS A DISTURBANCE TRACKS
JUST NORTH OF THE STATE. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE
STATE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH WORSENING CONDITIONS
LIKELY BY THEN. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD, MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL
BE POSSIBLE AS TSRA/SHRA MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. WINDS WILL BE
OUT OF THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD AND
COULD BE GUSTY AT TIMES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 84 64 79 61 / 50 70 80 60
CAMDEN AR 87 66 84 63 / 30 50 50 60
HARRISON AR 84 56 77 53 / 50 40 70 50
HOT SPRINGS AR 84 65 79 61 / 40 60 60 50
LITTLE ROCK AR 84 67 80 64 / 50 60 70 50
MONTICELLO AR 87 68 83 67 / 30 60 50 80
MOUNT IDA AR 84 65 78 60 / 40 50 70 50
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 83 57 77 55 / 60 50 70 50
NEWPORT AR 86 66 82 63 / 50 80 70 80
PINE BLUFF AR 86 67 83 64 / 40 60 60 70
RUSSELLVILLE AR 84 64 78 59 / 50 50 70 50
SEARCY AR 84 64 80 61 / 50 80 70 60
STUTTGART AR 85 69 82 65 / 40 80 70 60
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...73
AVIATION...73
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