927
FXUS64 KLZK 191733 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1233 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1054 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2026
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND STARTS TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
- MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
- RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1102 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026
SATELLITE LATE TONIGHT SHOWS BAND OF CLOUDINESS OF SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS WITH LIGHT RAIN OVER FAR SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEAST
PART OF THE STATE. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS WILL COMBINED WITH A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER
MIDWEST LATER TODAY. BOTH RIDGES WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
ALLOWING MORE SOUTHERLY RETURN THEN SOUTHWESTERLY BY TUESDAY
ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO GRADUALLY MODERATE INTO THE LOWER 80S IN
PARTS OF THE STATE BY MID WEEK THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
ATTENTION TURN TO THE NEXT WEATHER MAKER FOR THE STATE. MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS A LONG WAVE TROUGH COMING ASHORE OVER SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA SOMETIME MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. BOTH DETERMINISTIC
AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SHOWS SOME SUBTLE DIFFERENCES ON HOW FAR
THE TROUGH DIGS AS IT PROGRESSES EAST ACROSS THE WESTERN US. THE
TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE ROCKIES BY WEDNESDAY, THEN INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS BY THURSDAY BEFORE EJECTING NORTHEAST INTO THE
GREAT LAKES REGION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE TROUGH WILL DRAG A
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE STATE BRINGING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE STATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
SOME DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE ARE HINTING AT THE
POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE STATE. AT THIS TIME, IS
TOO FAR OUT TO GET INTO SPECIFICS RELATED TO TIMING, PLACEMENT,
AND SPECIFIC HAZARDS RELATED TO SEVERE WEATHER ON FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD. W/NW WINDS
IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHERN AR THIS AFTERNOON COULD PROVIDE SOME
GUSTS ABOVE 15 KTS AT TIMES THROUGH SUNSET. ELSEWHERE, WINDS WILL
BE LIGHTER AND MORE VARIABLE. WINDS TONIGHT WILL GO NEARLY CALM
BEFORE S/SW WINDS AROUND 5-8 KTS EXPECTED AREAWIDE AROUND 20/15Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 48 78 53 81 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 44 80 48 80 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 46 78 51 78 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 46 78 49 79 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 48 80 52 81 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 48 81 52 82 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 45 78 49 77 / 0 0 0 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 44 79 50 80 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 48 78 52 82 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 47 80 51 82 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 45 80 49 80 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 45 79 49 81 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 49 79 53 82 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...76
LONG TERM....76
AVIATION...67
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