561
FXUS64 KLZK 180526 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1126 PM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 248 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
-PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS MORNING, FAVORING
CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN ARKANSAS.
-DRY CONDITIONS WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES NEARING RECORD LEVELS BY
THURSDAY.
-RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST LATE WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 149 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
EARLY MORNING SATELLITE DEPICTS SOME LOW CLOUD DECKS MEANDERING
NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS, WITH SOME HIGHER LEVEL CLOUDS
CIRCULATING AROUND A BUILDING RIDGE ACROSS THE REGION. SOME DENSE
FOG MAY DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN FOR SIMILAR AREAS THAT HAD FOG LAST
NIGHT, ALTHOUGH THIS LOW-LEVEL CLOUD DECK MAY DELAY OR PREVENT FOG
FROM FORMING WHERE THOSE CEILINGS PERSIST. OTHERWISE, EXPECT BREEZY
TO WINDY SOUTHERLY FLOW GUSTING 20-30 MPH LATE THIS MORNING AND
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS, WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE MIDDLE
TO UPPER 60S, WHICH IS 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
NOT MUCH CHANGE IS ANTICIPATED GOING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK, AS TEMPERATURES WARM WELL INTO THE 70S, PEAKING ON THURSDAY.
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE WITH AFTERNOON BREEZINESS CONTINUING
THROUGH THIS PERIOD AS WELL.
LOW END RAIN CHANCES RETURN LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND
AS A MID-LEVEL IMPULSE MAY ADVECT ENOUGH LOW TO MID-LEVEL MOISTURE
INTO THE REGION TO PRODUCE SOME RAINY CONDITIONS. THE BEST
DYNAMICS CONTINUE TO REMAIN EAST OF THE REGION, SO NBM POP'S AND
PROBABILITIES FOR CERTAIN AMOUNTS FAVOR CENTRAL TO EASTERN
ARKANSAS AT THIS TIME. AFTER THIS TROUGHING FEATURE EXITS TO THE
EAST GOING INTO NEXT WEEK, DRIER CONDITIONS SHOULD BE FAVORED AS
ENSEMBLES SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT ON MID-LEVEL RIDGING IN PLACE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1119 PM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
VFR CONDITIONS IN PLACE AT MOST TERMINALS, WITH SOME MVFR CIGS
POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN AR TERMINALS THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS. SFC WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST THROUGH 18/12Z ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NORTHERN AR TAF SITES WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHTER THROUGH
THE DAY. SFC WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTH WITH SOME
SHIFT TO W/SW BETWEEN 12Z AND 18Z. WIND SHEAR WILL ALSO BE PRESENT
THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 56 74 58 76 / 10 0 10 10
CAMDEN AR 58 74 59 78 / 0 0 0 10
HARRISON AR 55 75 55 74 / 10 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 58 74 60 76 / 10 0 0 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 57 73 59 77 / 10 0 0 10
MONTICELLO AR 60 74 60 78 / 0 0 0 10
MOUNT IDA AR 58 74 58 76 / 10 0 10 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 55 76 54 75 / 10 0 0 10
NEWPORT AR 58 72 60 74 / 10 0 10 20
PINE BLUFF AR 58 73 60 77 / 0 0 0 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 56 77 57 77 / 10 0 10 0
SEARCY AR 55 74 55 77 / 10 0 10 10
STUTTGART AR 58 71 60 76 / 0 0 0 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...77
LONG TERM....77
AVIATION...67
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