681
FXUS64 KLZK 091727
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1227 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 150 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
-ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AGAIN
THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WITH BEST POTENTIAL FOR SEEING RAINFALL
ACROSS SOUTHEAST SECTIONS
-INCREASING HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE SEEN TODAY...BUT MOST AREAS
WILL BE BORDERLINE WITH THE 105 HEAT ADVISORY LEVELS
-MORE WIDESPREAD POTENTIAL FOR SEEING HEAT INDEX VALUES OVER 105 ARE
EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING WEEK...WITH HEAT HEADLINES LIKELY
AS A RESULT
-MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 150 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
FAIRLY QUIET CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING ACROSS THE CWA EARLY THIS SUN
MORNING AS ALL PRECIP ENDED SAT EVENING. THE WEAK UPPER WAVE THAT
WAS MEANDERING OVER AR ON SAT HAS SHIFTED EAST...AND WEAKENED
FURTHER. HOWEVER...THE UPPER ENERGY/WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL STILL BE
OVERHEAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION...WHICH COULD STILL ALLOW FOR
SOME AFTERNOON ISOLATED CONVECTION TO DEVELOP THIS SUN. LOOKS LIKE
BEST POTENTIAL FOR SEEING ANY ISOLATED AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL BE
ACROSS SERN SECTIONS. THIS MAY ALSO BE THE CASE ON MON AFTERNOON AS
WELL...BUT LOCATION MAY BE A BIT MORE DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT.
THE LESSER CLOUD COVER AND LOWER PRECIP CHANCES WILL ALLOW FOR MORE
AREAS TO SEE TEMPS BACK IN THE 90S TO AROUND 100 THIS SUN AFTERNOON.
HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL APPROACH HEAT ADV LEVELS FOR SOME AREAS...BUT
TODAY'S POTENTIAL FOR EXCEEDING 105 HEAT INDEX IS BORDERLINE. AS A
RESULT...NOT HEAT HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED FOR THIS SUN AFTERNOON.
THIS MAY NOT BE THE CASE LEADING INTO MON HOWEVER...WITH MORE AREAS
POTENTIALLY EXCEEDING 105 FOR HEAT INDEX. THIS TREND LOOKS TO
CONTINUE INTO MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK...WITH HEAT HEADLINES LIKELY
FOR AT LEAST SOME PORTION OF THE CWA THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGHOUT THE
UPCOMING WEEK AND POSSIBLY NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL TEND TO LOWER
POPS FOR ANY CONVECTION...EVEN DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION. TEMPS
WILL RISE TO AROUND OR ABOVE NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS AS A RESULT.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1225 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME
SLIGHT RAIN OR THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ALTHOUGH, DUE TO UNCERTAINTY,
VCSH WRITTEN INTO TAF FOR LLQ. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE BECOMING MOSTLY LIGHT AND
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 74 97 76 97 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 73 96 75 95 / 0 0 0 10
HARRISON AR 74 95 75 95 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 74 97 75 96 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 75 96 77 97 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 75 96 76 96 / 10 0 0 10
MOUNT IDA AR 72 94 73 94 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 73 94 74 95 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 74 96 76 96 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 73 96 74 95 / 0 0 0 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 75 98 76 99 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 73 95 75 97 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 75 95 77 96 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT MONDAY FOR ARZ006>008-
015>017-025-031>034-039-043>047-055>057-064-065-121-122-130.
DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...73
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