127
FXUS64 KLZK 191104
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
604 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1054 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2026
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND STARTS TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
- MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
- RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1102 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026
SATELLITE LATE TONIGHT SHOWS BAND OF CLOUDINESS OF SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS WITH LIGHT RAIN OVER FAR SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEAST
PART OF THE STATE. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS WILL COMBINED WITH A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER
MIDWEST LATER TODAY. BOTH RIDGES WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
ALLOWING MORE SOUTHERLY RETURN THEN SOUTHWESTERLY BY TUESDAY
ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO GRADUALLY MODERATE INTO THE LOWER 80S IN
PARTS OF THE STATE BY MID WEEK THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
ATTENTION TURN TO THE NEXT WEATHER MAKER FOR THE STATE. MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS A LONG WAVE TROUGH COMING ASHORE OVER SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA SOMETIME MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. BOTH DETERMINISTIC
AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SHOWS SOME SUBTLE DIFFERENCES ON HOW FAR
THE TROUGH DIGS AS IT PROGRESSES EAST ACROSS THE WESTERN US. THE
TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE ROCKIES BY WEDNESDAY, THEN INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS BY THURSDAY BEFORE EJECTING NORTHEAST INTO THE
GREAT LAKES REGION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE TROUGH WILL DRAG A
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE STATE BRINGING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE STATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
SOME DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE ARE HINTING AT THE
POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE STATE. AT THIS TIME, IS
TOO FAR OUT TO GET INTO SPECIFICS RELATED TO TIMING, PLACEMENT,
AND SPECIFIC HAZARDS RELATED TO SEVERE WEATHER ON FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 554 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
PATCHY FOG OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS NOTED
ON SATELLITE THIS MORNING. PATCHY FOG AT KADF WILL DISSIPATE
WITHIN AN HOUR OR TWO OF SUNRISE. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE
THROUGH THE ENTIRE TAF CYCLE. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED
WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS EXPECTED AT KHRO, OTHERWISE, LIGHT WINDS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 75 48 78 53 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 75 44 80 48 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 72 46 78 51 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 77 46 78 49 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 75 48 80 52 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 74 48 81 52 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 76 45 78 49 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 73 44 79 50 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 72 48 78 52 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 74 47 80 51 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 75 45 80 49 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 74 45 79 49 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 72 49 79 53 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION..76
AVIATION...76
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