118
FXUS64 KLZK 082304
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
504 PM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 134 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
-INCREASED CLOUDS AND SMALL CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN/SPRINKLES/DRIZZLE
TODAY
-WELL ABOVE NORMAL CONDITIONS MONDAY AND TUESDAY
-CHANCES FOR RAINFALL RETURN TO THE FORECAST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
-ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS LATE
THIS WEEK INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 134 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
WHILE COOLER TEMPS WERE NOTED ON SAT COMPARED TO FRI...WARMER
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN FOR THIS SUN AS SRLY SFC FLOW INCREASES
ACROSS THE STATE. HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT WARMING WILL HOLD OFF A BIT
AS AS A WEAK UPPER WAVE WILL PASS OVERHEAD...WITH MAINLY INCREASED
CLOUD COVER EXPECTED. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPS IN THE 50S AND 60S FOR
MOST AREAS...THOUGH SRN SECTIONS MAY STILL SEE SOME 70S WHERE CLOUDS
WILL BE MORE LIMITED. THERE MAY ALSO BE A SMALL CHANCE FOR SOME
SPRINKLES/LIGHT RAIN OR DZ ACROSS SOME PORTION OF THE AREA THIS SUN
AS THIS WAVE PASSES OVERHEAD. NO WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
HOWEVER.
WHILE A BRIEF WIND SHIFT WILL BE SEEN TONIGHT INTO EARLY MON AS SFC
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE STATE...SRLY SFC FLOW WILL RETURN ON
MON AFTERNOON...ALONG WITH INCREASING RIDGING ALOFT. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL WARMING ACROSS THE STATE BY MON
AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS IN MOST AREAS IN THE 70S. THIS WARMING TREND
WILL CONTINUE INTO TUE AS WELL...THOUGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD
OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND WEAK UPPER WAVE.
THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH INTO THE STATE TUE NIGHT
INTO WED MORNING...WITH AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVING EAST IN NEARLY
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. THE MAIN ENERGY WITH THIS UPPER WAVE LOOK TO PASS
JUST SOUTH OF AR...WITH MAINLY CHANCES FOR SHRA EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...THERE MAY BE A FEW TSRA AS WELL...MAINLY ALONG/SOUTH OF
THE SFC FRONT.
THERE WILL BE A BREAK IN THE PRECIP BY LATE WED INTO THU ...BUT YET
ANOTHER UPPER WAVE WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATE THIS WEEK INTO
NEXT WEEKEND...WITH CHANCES FOR CONVECTION RETURNING TO THE
FORECAST. RIGHT NOW...DETAILS REGARDING SFC FEATURES REMAIN
UNCERTAIN...BUT SOME INDICATIONS ARE THE SFC LOW/FRONT WILL REMAIN
OVER SRN SECTIONS OR SOUTH OF AR DURING THIS PERIOD...WITH MAINLY
SHRA FORECAST. HOWEVER...ANY ADJUSTMENTS ON THE PATH OF THE SFC LOW
AND ASSOCIATED FEATURES COULD BRING BETTER INSTABILITY FURTHER
NORTH...AND INCREASING CHANCES FOR TSRA.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 504 PM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
EXPECT ALL SITES TO BEGIN THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH VFR FLIGHT
CATEGORY ON SUNDAY EVENING. INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING THE NORTHERN
AND WESTERN SITES OF KHRO, KBPK, KHOT, AND KADF MAY EXPERIENCE SOME
PATCHY FOG AT TIMES WHICH MAY DROP FLIGHT CATEGORY TO MVFR. THE
CENTRAL SITE OF KLIT MAY EXPERIENCE PATCHY, DENSE FOG WHICH MAY DROP
VSBY TO IFR FLIGHT CATEGORY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE POSSIBILITY OF
FOG REMAINS UNCERTAIN, BUT HAS BEEN OUTLINED VIA TEMPO GROUPS. ALL
SITES WILL RETURN TO VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY LATE MONDAY MORNING AND
REMAIN VFR FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 37 71 49 74 / 0 0 0 10
CAMDEN AR 47 77 56 76 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 41 75 53 73 / 0 0 0 20
HOT SPRINGS AR 43 75 54 74 / 10 0 0 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 42 73 53 74 / 10 0 0 10
MONTICELLO AR 50 76 57 76 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 43 77 55 75 / 10 0 0 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 35 71 48 73 / 0 0 0 20
NEWPORT AR 37 65 48 72 / 0 0 0 10
PINE BLUFF AR 44 74 55 75 / 10 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 40 76 52 76 / 0 0 0 10
SEARCY AR 37 71 48 74 / 10 0 0 10
STUTTGART AR 42 72 55 73 / 10 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74
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