944
FXUS64 KLZK 050751
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
151 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 122 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
- TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR AVERAGE TODAY AND SATURDAY
- MODERATING TREND EXPECTED NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE
AVERAGE
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN BY MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 122 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
WEATHER CONDITIONS WERE QUIET ACROSS AR THIS MORNING. LOW STRATUS
WAS NOTED STREAMING SWRD VIA INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER
WRN HALF OF AR. PREDAWN TEMPS RANGED FROM THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER
30S. AFTER NRLY WINDS AND COOLER TEMPS WERE FELT YESTERDAY, WINDS
WILL BECOME WRLY TODAY WITH TEMPS TOPPING OUT IN THE UPPER 50S (W
AR), LOW/MID 50S (CNTRL AR), TO THE LOWER/MID 40S (ERN AR).
CLOUDS WILL BE NOTED THIS MORNING WITH SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY
THIS AFTERNOON.
LOOKING AHEAD INTO FRIDAY, NW FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ALOFT BETWEEN
AMPLIFIED RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES/SRN PLAINS AND TROUGH INVOF NEW
ENGLAND. AT THE SURFACE, WRLY WINDS DURING THE DAY SHOULD SWITCH TO
THE N IN THE WAKE OF DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL BE
WARM WITH TEMPS CLIMBING INTO THE MID 60S TO MID 70S.
SLIGHTLY COLDER CONDITIONS WILL BE FELT ON SATURDAY THANKS TO
N/NERLY WINDS. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE NEARLY IDENTICAL TO READINGS
FORECAST TODAY (THURSDAY). AFTERWARDS, THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER
RIDGE WILL APPROACH THE MID-MS VALLEY REGION WITH SURFACE HIGH TO
OUR N DEPARTING TOWARDS OH VALLEY REGION. SURFACE WINDS WILL
SWITCH TO THE SW WITH TEMPS WARMING WELL ABOVE AVERAGE. TEMPS
BEYOND SATURDAY SHOULD TOP OUT IN THE MID/UPPER 60S TO MIDDLE 70S.
SYNOPTICALLY, RIDGE AXIS WILL PASS OVER THE REGION TUESDAY WITH A
DEVELOPING COMPACT CLOSED LOW TAKING SHAPE OVER MEXICO. THIS
UPPER LOW WILL WEAKEN OVER TIME BECOMING AN OPEN WAVE AS IT PASSES
OVER THE REGION WITHIN BACKGROUND SW FLOW. POP CHANCES WILL
INCREASE LOCALLY AS LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT OVERSPREADS THE
REGION. TIMING OF PRECIP APPEARS TO BE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. DEW POINT TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE
LOWER/MIDDLE 50S, THUS CURRENTLY THINKING THE THREAT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER APPEARS LOW.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1129 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
MVFR CONDS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT NRN SITES OVERNIGHT AS LOW STRATUS
STREAM ACROSS THE REGION. VFR CONDS SHOULD RETURN ON THURSDAY AS
LOW CIGS DISSIPATE. WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
BEFORE SWITCHING TO THE W/SW AT 10 TO 20 KTS ON THURSDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 50 36 69 31 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 57 39 74 38 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 56 38 66 30 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 57 39 74 37 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 53 38 71 35 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 54 41 72 38 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 60 41 75 36 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 54 35 65 29 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 45 32 66 33 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 52 38 71 35 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 57 35 71 34 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 50 32 69 31 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 48 35 68 35 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...70
LONG TERM....70
AVIATION...70
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page