167
FXUS64 KLZK 191730
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1130 AM CST MON JAN 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 128 AM CST MON JAN 19 2026
-VERY DRY AIR REMAINS...AND WILL KEEP THE WILD FIRE THREAT ELEVATED
AGAIN THIS MONDAY
-ANOTHER COLD FRONT DROPS THROUGH THE REGION BY THIS MORNING...WITH
COLDER/DRIER AIR RETURNING BY THIS AFTERNOON
-WARMING AND SOME INCREASED MOISTURE WILL BE SEEN BY MID-WEEK...WITH
SOME RAINFALL RETURNING TO THE FORECAST WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
-A NEW FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH LATE THIS WEEK...WITH A STORM
SYSTEM EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. THIS SYSTEM MAY BRING
SOME WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION...WHICH COULD INCLUDE
WINTRY WEATHER
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 128 AM CST MON JAN 19 2026
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL DROP SE THROUGH THE STATE THIS MON...WITH
ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD/DRY AIR PUSHING BACK INTO THE STATE. TEMPS WILL
LIKELY STRUGGLE TO WARM ABOVE 30 ACROSS NRN SECTIONS TODAY FOR
HIGHS...WITH 30S AND 40S EXPECTED FURTHER SOUTH. DEWPTS WILL DROP
BACK FROM THE TEENS THIS MORNING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND BELOW
ZERO BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE TEMPS WILL ALSO BE COOLER...THIS
DRIER AIR WILL DROP MIN RH VALUES BACK INTO THE 20 TO 30 PERCENT
RANGE. AS A RESULT...AN ELEVATED WILD FIRE THREAT WILL BE SEEN ONCE
AGAIN THIS MON.
THE SFC HIGH WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO TUE
MORNING...WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT. LOWS BY TUE MORNING WILL DIP
INTO THE TEENS/LOW 20S FOR MOST AREAS...AND SOME SINGLE DIGITS
POSSIBLE ACROSS NRN SECTIONS.
THE SFC HIGH WILL MOVE EAST FOR TUE AFTERNOON...WITH SRLY WINDS
RETURNING. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR WARMING CONDITIONS BY TUE
AFTERNOON...PERSISTING INTO MUCH OF WED. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL START
TO REBOUND SOME AHEAD OF YET ANOTHER NEW COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM
THE NW ON WED. CHANCES FOR SOME RAINFALL LOOK TO RETURN TO THE
FORECAST BY WED JUST AHEAD OF THIS NEW FRONT. THERE MAY BE A SMALL
WINDOW AS PRECIP STARTS TO SEE A LIGHT WINTRY MIX. HOWEVER...ANY
WINTRY PRECIP WED MORNING WILL BE LIGHT...WITH LIMITED IMPACTS
EXPECTED.
PRECIP CHANCES DECREASE BY THU AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT PUSHES SOUTH
OF AR. THIS FRONT LOOKS TO REMAIN SOUTH OF AR THROUGH THE REST OF
THE FORECAST. A NEW STORM SYSTEM LOOKS TO DEVELOP TO THE SW OF THE
REGION LATE THIS WEEK. A NEW SURGE OF COLDER/DRIER AIR LOOKS TO MOVE
INTO THE REGION BY THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF THIS NEW STORM
SYSTEM...WHICH MAY CREATE A FAIRLY COMPLICATED FORECAST FRI INTO THE
WEEKEND. MOISTURE LEVELS MAY INCREASE CONSIDERABLY AHEAD OF THE
STORM SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE SW THAT WIDESPREAD PRECIP MAY
DEVELOP. TEMPS MAY REMAIN COLD ENOUGH TO EVEN SEE SOME WINTRY WX
FOR AT LEAST SOME PORTION OF AR. HOWEVER...BEING 5-6 DAYS OUT...MANY
DETAILS REGARDING THE EXTENT OF THE WINTRY PRECIP LOOK UNCERTAIN AT
THIS TIME.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM CST MON JAN 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD WITH SOME
MID AND HIGH CLOUDINESS STREAMING OVER THE STATE LATER THIS
EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
VEER TO THE SOUTH AFTER SUNRISE TOMORROW WITH A FEW GUSTS UP TO 15+
POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHERN TERMINALS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 19 45 33 54 / 0 0 30 40
CAMDEN AR 22 52 35 50 / 0 0 20 90
HARRISON AR 17 49 32 52 / 0 0 20 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 21 49 33 51 / 0 0 40 70
LITTLE ROCK AR 21 48 34 50 / 0 0 30 70
MONTICELLO AR 25 52 38 52 / 0 0 10 90
MOUNT IDA AR 20 51 35 54 / 0 0 50 60
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 15 48 31 52 / 0 0 20 10
NEWPORT AR 19 44 31 50 / 0 0 30 50
PINE BLUFF AR 23 50 34 50 / 0 0 20 80
RUSSELLVILLE AR 19 50 33 53 / 0 0 40 30
SEARCY AR 17 46 30 50 / 0 0 30 50
STUTTGART AR 22 47 33 48 / 0 0 20 70
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...76
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