882
FXUS64 KLZK 132231 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
431 PM CST FRI FEB 13 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1145 AM CST FRI FEB 13 2026
-DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THIS
EVENING.
-THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL PROVIDE WIDESPREAD RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE STATE THIS WEEKEND. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE, BUT THE FLOODING THREAT REMAINS LOW.
-DRYING OUT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1252 AM CST FRI FEB 13 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO CONTROL THE WEATHER PATTERN
FRIDAY WITH CALM AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY. A PATTERN CHANGE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN LATE FRIDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS USHERED IN FROM THE WEST. AT
THE SAME TIME, A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE
STATE BRINGING UNSETTLED WEATHER TO THE REGION, MAINLY SATURDAY
AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
AS MENTIONED ABOVE, UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND WITH
SATURDAY AS THE RAINIEST DAY. MUCH OF THE STATE CAN EXPECT MUCH
NEEDED RAINFALL FROM THIS SYSTEM WITH ONE TO TWO INCHES POSSIBLE.
WITH THAT SAID, LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 4+ INCHES OF RAIN CANNOT BE
RULED OUT. SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES LOOK TO BE ON THE LOW SIDE AS MUCH
OF THE INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO STAY SOUTH OF THE STATE INTO
LA/MS. BUT A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER IS LIKELY.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AVERAGE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH
THE PERIOD. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO TOP OUT IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 429 PM CST FRI FEB 13 2026
WHILE VFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DOMINANT OVERNIGHT...MOISTURE
LEVELS AND AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING LOWERING CIGS
AND INCREASING CHANCES FOR CONVECTION LATE TONIGHT INTO MAINLY ON SAT.
THE MOST WIDESPREAD PRECIP WILL COME DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING
HRS ON SAT...WHERE THE LOWEST FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN.
IMPROVEMENTS WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL SUN MORNING SOMETIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 45 61 50 62 / 60 100 100 50
CAMDEN AR 53 73 56 67 / 20 80 100 50
HARRISON AR 47 58 48 59 / 90 100 90 20
HOT SPRINGS AR 51 67 55 65 / 40 100 100 50
LITTLE ROCK AR 50 69 54 63 / 50 100 100 60
MONTICELLO AR 55 73 58 67 / 20 60 100 80
MOUNT IDA AR 52 67 54 66 / 50 100 100 40
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 45 56 47 59 / 80 100 100 30
NEWPORT AR 47 61 53 58 / 60 90 100 70
PINE BLUFF AR 51 71 56 64 / 40 80 100 70
RUSSELLVILLE AR 49 64 53 66 / 70 100 100 30
SEARCY AR 45 64 51 63 / 60 90 100 60
STUTTGART AR 50 68 56 61 / 40 90 100 70
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...67
AVIATION...62
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