948
FXUS64 KLZK 062314 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
514 PM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 200 AM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
- WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY
- COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE FELT ON SATURDAY ON NORTHERLY WINDS
- TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK
- SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 200 AM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR EARLY THIS MORNING. TEMPS RANGED FROM THE
UPPER 20S TO UPPER 40S. ELEVATION APPEARED TO MATTER MOST REGARDING
PREDAWN TEMPS WITH PROTECTED VALLEY LOCATION COLDER (DUE TO CALM
WINDS/DECOUPLING), MEANWHILE HIGHER ELEVATION LOCATIONS WARMER
(DUE TO LIGHT WRLY WINDS). TODAY, WINDS WILL BE WRLY THROUGH
MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN WINDS WILL SWITCH AROUND TO THE NW
THEN N AND BECOME GUSTY HEADING INTO THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING
TIME FRAME. HIGHS TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER/MID
60S (NRN/ERN AR), TO LOWER 70S (CNTRL), TO THE MID 70S (S/SW AR).
SLIGHTLY COLDER CONDITIONS WILL BE FELT ON SATURDAY THANKS TO
N/NERLY WINDS BEHIND A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND PASSING SURFACE
HIGH TO OUR N. HIGH TEMPS ARE ANTICIPATED TO RANGE FROM THE
LOWER/MID 40S (E/NE AR), TO LOWER 50S (CNTRL), TO UPPER 50S (SW
AR). WARMER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN BEYOND SATURDAY.
ALOFT AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE REGION ON
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. NWRLY FLOW WILL GRADUALLY BECOME SWRLY
FLOW MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. AT THE SAME TIME A COMPACT, BUT
WEAKENING, UPPER CLOSED LOW WILL PROPAGATE OUT OF MEXICO INTO SRN
PLAINS. THIS UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO CONTINUOUSLY WEAKEN OVER TIME
BECOMING AN OPEN WAVE AS IT PASSES OVER THE STATE. POP CHANCES WILL
INCREASE LOCALLY AS LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT OVERSPREADS THE
REGION. TIMING OF PRECIPITATION APPEARS TO BE TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. DEW POINT TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO ONLY CLIMB
INTO THE LOWER/MID 50S, THUS THINKING THE THREAT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER APPEARS LOW HOWEVER A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CAN NOT BE RULED
OUT OVER FAR SRN AR. QPF AMOUNTS DO NOT APPEAR IMPRESSIVE EITHER
WITH AMOUNTS UP TO ONE HALF AN INCH OR LESS EXPECTED.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 513 PM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKY
CONDITIONS. GUSTY N/NW WINDS THIS EVENING WILL LESSEN OVERNIGHT.
FOR SATURDAY, WINDS WILL BECOME EASTERLY AT MOST TERMINALS,
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 32 47 31 62 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 36 58 35 72 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 30 53 35 66 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 36 55 35 69 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 34 50 33 65 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 37 54 36 69 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 35 58 37 70 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 29 50 32 65 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 31 45 30 59 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 34 52 33 66 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 33 55 34 66 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 31 48 29 61 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 34 50 33 63 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...70
LONG TERM....70
AVIATION...67
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