551
FXUS64 KLZK 061735
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1235 PM CDT MON APR 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 135 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
-DRY FORECAST EARLY THIS WEEK
-SMALL CHANCES OF PRECIP RETURN MID-WEEK
-WARMER CONDITIONS AND BETTER RAIN CHANCES POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEK
THROUGH THE WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 135 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
LIGHT WINDS WERE NOTED EARLY THIS MON MORNING AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPS WOULD NORMALLY DROP CONSIDERABLY AS
A RESULT...BUT SOME MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WERE LIFTING NERLY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE STATE...KEEPING TEMPS MAINLY IN THE 40S AND 50S. DRY
CONDITIONS ARE CONTINUING.
THE SFC HIGH WILL DISSIPATE AND/OR SHIFT EAST BY TONIGHT AND
ESPECIALLY BY LATE TUE...WITH SRLY FLOW RETURNING MID-WEEK. TEMPS
TODAY AND TUE WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 60S AND 70S FOR HIGHS...WITH DRY
CONDITIONS PERSISTING.
BY WED...AN UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL PASS EAST OVER THE REGION...WITH
SRLY FLOW INCREASING. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR INCREASING MOISTURE...AND
SOME INCREASE RAIN CHANCES FORECAST AS A RESULT LATE WED INTO THU.
HOWEVER...ONLY SOME LOW END POPS ARE FORECAST...WITH LIMITED PRECIP
EXPECTED.
BY LATE IN THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND...FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME MORE
SWRLY AND INTENSIFY. SRLY SFC FLOW WILL INCREASE...ALONG WITH
MOISTURE LEVELS AND TEMPS BY THE WEEKEND. A NEW UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL
BEGIN LIFTING NE FROM THE 4-CORNERS REGION TOWARDS THE PLAINS BY
LATE IN THE FORECAST. CHANCES FOR CONVECTION WILL INCREASE AS A
RESULT. HOWEVER...THE THREAT FOR ANY SVR CONVECTION LOOKS UNCERTAIN
THIS FAR OUT IN TIME DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRAJECTORY/TIMING OF
THE UPPER SHORTWAVE LATE IN THE FORECAST.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1234 PM CDT MON APR 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND GENERALLY EASTERLY
WINDS AOA 10 KTS WITH SOME OCCASIONAL AFTERNOON GUSTS AT KPBF AND
KLLQ THIS AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 46 68 47 76 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 44 75 51 78 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 44 69 45 74 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 45 73 50 76 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 48 72 49 78 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 47 75 52 78 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 44 72 50 75 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 44 67 46 75 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 47 70 47 76 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 45 74 50 76 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 45 71 49 77 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 45 71 45 77 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 48 73 51 76 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...77
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