934
FXUS64 KLZK 170019
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
619 PM CST MON FEB 16 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1242 AM CST MON FEB 16 2026
-DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE FOR MONDAY
MORNING.
-DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK.
-RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST LATER THIS WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1242 AM CST MON FEB 16 2026
TO BEGIN THE PERIOD, A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE HAS MOVED OVER THE
AREA AND WILL CONTROL THE WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH AT LEAST THE
MIDDLE PART OF THIS WEEK. THIS WILL USHER IN CALM AND DRY
CONDITIONS WITH RAIN CHANCES STAYING ON THE LOW END. THE NEXT
CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE FRIDAY.
GIVEN RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL AND CALM WINDS, WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE STATE THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. MAKE SURE TO GIVE YOURSELF EXTRA TIME TO GET TO WHERE YOU
ARE GOING THIS MORNING.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AVERAGE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH
THE PERIOD. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO TOP OUT IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK. OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 548 PM CST MON FEB 16 2026
FOR THE 00Z TAFS...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TONIGHT BEFORE THE
COMBINATION OF LIGHT WINDS AND MORE SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER RESULT
IN ANOTHER ROUND OF POTENTIAL RADIATIONAL FOG DEVELOPMENT,
PRIMARILY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT, HOLDING IN THROUGH TOMORROW
SUNRISE. THIS FOG IS EXPECTED TO MIX OUT QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE, DO
DIDN'T CARRY IT VERY LONG IN THE TAF. AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER
SHOULD RADIATE SOME HEAT BACK TO THE GROUND AROUND SUNRISE,
PROMOTING MIXING A BIT EARLIER THAN THE TYPICAL NOCTURNAL SURFACE
RADIATION BUDGET WOULD ALLOW FOR.
CAVANAUGH
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 45 68 57 74 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 45 70 56 74 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 47 70 56 74 / 0 0 10 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 45 69 57 74 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 46 69 57 73 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 49 72 59 74 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 46 69 57 75 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 44 68 55 75 / 0 0 10 0
NEWPORT AR 46 66 58 72 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 46 70 57 73 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 45 71 56 76 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 43 69 55 73 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 46 68 58 72 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...66
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