090
FXUS64 KLZK 300530
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1230 AM CDT THU APR 30 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 230 AM CDT WED APR 29 2026
- A COLD FRONT PUSHED THROUGH ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT AND A COOLER AND DRIER
AIRMASS IS BEGINNING TO OVERTAKE THE STATE AS OF WEDNESDAY
MORNING.
- HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP THE MAJORITY OF THE STATE DRY; HOWEVER
THE COLD FRONT WILL BE POSITIONED ACROSS NORTHERN LOUISIANA ON
WEDNESDAY AND BECOME A STATIONARY BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS CENTRAL
LOUISIANA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORKWEEK, THUS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF ARKANSAS WILL EXPERIENCE CHANCES FOR RAIN AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL SATURDAY.
- RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RE-ENTER THE FORECAST ON TUESDAY AS
A COLD FRONT DROPS INTO THE STATE.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGH SUNDAY BEFORE
BECOMING SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN NORMALS FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR
INTO THE UPCOMING WORKWEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 230 AM CDT WED APR 29 2026
THE MAJORITY OF THE STATE BETWEEN TODAY AND MONDAY WILL REMAIN DRY
AS HIGH PRESSURE ALONG WITH A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS SETTLES IN
BEHIND THE FROPA THAT HAS PUSHED THROUGH THE STATE ON TUESDAY NIGHT.
THE COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO SLOW CONSIDERABLY ON WEDNESDAY AND
BECOME A STATIONARY FRONT POSITIONED ACROSS CENTRAL TX, CENTRAL LA,
CENTRAL MS, AND CENTRAL AL THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE.
THE RESULT OF THIS STALLED BOUNDARY WILL BE POPS POSSIBLE FOR THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE WITH THE GREATEST OPPORTUNITY FOR RAIN
AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS, ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE ARKANSAS/LOUISIANA BORDER.
A MUCH BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN AND POTENTIALLY STORMS WILL RETURN TO
THE FORECAST ON TUESDAY ACROSS THE STATE AS A COLD FRONT DROPS INTO
ARKANSAS FROM THE NORTH. IT REMAINS TOO FAR IN ADVANCE TO DETERMINE
IF ANY STORMS MAY BE SEVERE.
TEMPERATURES OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF THE YEAR BETWEEN WEDNESDAY (TODAY) AND SUNDAY BEFORE
SURFACE WINDS RETURN TO BEING ESTABLISHED OUT OF THE WEST-SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE STATE USHERING IN WARMER TEMPERATURES THAT
WILL BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMALS FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1227 AM CDT THU APR 30 2026
SOME LINGERING SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
ARKANSAS IS CAUSE FOR KEEPING AT LEAST VCSH FOR THE KPBF AND KLLQ
TERMINALS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. OTHERWISE, SKIES CLEARING
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER, INCREASING
CLOUDS AND LOWERING CEILINGS AHEAD OF ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL
ENCOMPASS THE REGION BY TOMORROW EVENING. RAIN CHANCES WILL
INCREASE DURING THE EVENING HOURS FOR THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN
TERMINALS, SO INTRODUCED VCSH CONDITIONS IN THAT GENERAL AREA.
CEILINGS NOT EXPECTED TO DIP BELOW 5 KFT AT THIS TIME. WINDS WILL
PREVAIL OUT OF THE NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION WITH SOME AFTERNOON
GUSTINESS ACROSS THE REGION.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 68 48 67 45 / 10 10 10 10
CAMDEN AR 69 50 62 46 / 20 40 60 60
HARRISON AR 66 46 63 41 / 10 10 10 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 67 50 64 46 / 20 30 30 30
LITTLE ROCK AR 68 51 66 48 / 10 20 30 30
MONTICELLO AR 70 52 64 49 / 10 30 50 70
MOUNT IDA AR 67 48 63 44 / 20 30 30 30
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 67 46 65 42 / 10 10 10 0
NEWPORT AR 68 51 66 47 / 10 10 10 10
PINE BLUFF AR 69 51 65 48 / 10 30 40 50
RUSSELLVILLE AR 68 49 67 45 / 10 20 20 10
SEARCY AR 68 48 67 45 / 10 10 20 20
STUTTGART AR 68 52 66 49 / 10 20 30 40
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...74
AVIATION...77
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