788
FXUS64 KLZK 141945
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
245 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2020
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THRU THURSDAY
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN PRESENT ACROSS
THE AREA WILL PERSIST THRU THE SHORT TERM PERIOD, ALTHOUGH IT WILL
FLATTEN OUT ACROSS THE MIDSECTION OF THE COUNTRY.
DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN QUITE HIGH, AND MAX TEMPERATURES EACH DAY WILL
REMAIN QUITE WARM. WITH THAT IN MIND I WILL ISSUE A HEAT ADVISORY
FOR TOMORROW, AND WILL EXTEND IT TO THE NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES,
KEEPING ONLY THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE NORTH OUT OF IT.
DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST AREAS, ALTHOUGH A SHORTWAVE
TRANSITIONING THE RIDGE ON THURSDAY SHOULD BRING SOME SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NORTH, WITH ISOLATED ACTIVITY ELSEWHERE.
EXTENDED TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THRU TUESDAY
THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL BE DOMINATED BY HIGH
PRESSURE WHICH WILL PROVIDE MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. SOME INTRUSION BY A WEAK
FRONT MAY BE SEEN ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE AT THE
BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD, BUT OTHERWISE LITTLE TO NO RAIN IS
EXPECTED.
WHILE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR MID TO LATE JULY RANGE FROM THE UPPER
80S TO MID 90S F ACROSS THE STATE, WITH THE H500 HIGH SITUATED OVER
THE REGION THESE VALUES WILL LIKELY BE EXCEEDED. TD VALUES IN THE
UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S F WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AND WHEN COMBINED WITH
HIGHS IN THE 90S F, HEAT INDICES WILL APPROACH OR EXCEED 105 AT
TIMES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 75 96 75 96 / 10 10 10 20
CAMDEN AR 78 97 77 98 / 0 10 0 10
HARRISON AR 73 94 73 93 / 10 10 10 30
HOT SPRINGS AR 77 96 76 96 / 0 10 10 20
LITTLE ROCK AR 77 97 77 96 / 10 10 10 20
MONTICELLO AR 77 96 77 95 / 10 10 0 20
MOUNT IDA AR 75 94 75 95 / 0 10 10 20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 75 95 74 94 / 10 10 10 30
NEWPORT AR 76 96 76 96 / 10 10 10 20
PINE BLUFF AR 77 96 77 95 / 10 10 0 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 76 97 75 97 / 0 10 10 20
SEARCY AR 75 96 75 97 / 10 10 10 20
STUTTGART AR 77 96 77 95 / 10 10 0 20
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR ARKANSAS-
BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-
FAULKNER-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-
JOHNSON-LAWRENCE-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-OUACHITA-
PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-RANDOLPH-SALINE-SCOTT-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL.
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARKANSAS-BRADLEY-
CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-
GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MONROE-MONTGOMERY-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-
SALINE-SCOTT-WHITE-YELL.
SHORT TERM...53 / EXTENDED TERM...67
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