270
FXUS64 KLZK 152256
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
456 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 128 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
-CONTINUED LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING FOR PARTS OF THE STATE.
-PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE STATE EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING.
-DRYING OUT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 128 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
TO BEGIN THE PERIOD, A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO
TRACK ACROSS THE STATE BRINGING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS
OVER MAINLY THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY COME TO AN END DURING THE
MORNING HOURS SUNDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO TRACK
TOWARDS THE EAST.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO A QUARTER TO HALF AN INCH
WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THIS SYSTEM DEPARTS. EVEN THOUGH HEAVY RAIN
FELL MUCH OF SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE STATE,
RECENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY KEEP THE CHANCE OF ANY
FLOODING CONCERNS LOW AT THIS TIME. ALSO, PATCHY FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE STATE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE BEHIND THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM PROMOTING MOSTLY CALM AND DRY CONDITIONS. THIS
PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH AT THE LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AVERAGE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH
THE PERIOD. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO TOP OUT IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. OVERNIGHT LOW
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 456 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN THE FORECAST PERIOD ACROSS MOST TERMINALS
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE SOUTHEASTERN SITE OF KLLQ FOR LOWERED CIGS
IN MVFR. THE CIGS WILL QUICKLY LIFT A FEW HOURS INTO THE FORECAST
PERIOD. VSBY IS EXPECTED TO LOWER ACROSS MOST TERMINALS IN EXCESS OF
LIFR FLIGHT CATEGORY BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND LASTING
THROUGH LATE MONDAY MORNING AS DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED ACROSS A LARGE
PORTION OF THE STATE. ALL SITES WILL RETURN TO VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY
LATE MONDAY MORNING AS FOG WILL DISSIPATE. THE SITE OF KPBF HAS BEEN
DESIGNATED AS "AMD NOT SKED" DUE TO A LACK OF OBSERVATIONAL DATA DUE
TO A COMMUNICATION ISSUE WHICH IS THE PROCESS OF BEING
TROUBLESHOT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 39 66 47 70 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 41 68 47 73 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 40 69 47 71 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 41 66 46 70 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 41 66 47 72 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 44 69 50 73 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 40 69 47 70 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 37 68 45 70 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 39 61 47 67 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 40 66 47 71 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 39 68 45 72 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 38 65 44 70 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 41 63 48 68 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74
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