751
FXUS64 KLZK 251111
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
611 AM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 203 AM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
- SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY MORNING COULD POSE AN ISOLATED
FLASH FLOODING RISK FOR SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS.
- HAZARDOUS HEAT SET TO RETURN TO THE REGION BY SUNDAY, WITH
MULTIPLE 100 DEGREE DAYS POSSIBLE THROUGH MID-WEEK NEXT WEEK
- IN ADDITION TO DAYTIME HEAT NEXT WEEK, OVERNIGHT LOWS MAY
STRUGGLE TO FALL BELOW 80 DEGREES IN SOME LOCATIONS
- MAKE SURE TO DRINK PLENTY OF WATER AND TAKE BREAKS WHEN OUTSIDE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 203 AM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
TO BEGIN THE PERIOD, A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE
ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING ALONG A WARM FRONT SITUATED OVER THE
STATE. THIS DISTURBANCE COULD BRING THE CHANCE FOR SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY MORNING. WITH THAT SAID,
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW AN AREA ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS WHERE
SHOWERS SEEMED MOST FAVORED.
A HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE LOCATIONS AND INCLUDING AREAS IN
CENTRAL ARKANSAS WHERE IF THESE STORMS DO FIRE OFF LATER THIS
MORNING SOME HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING.
AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS BACK OVER THE REGION, SINKING AIR
OVER THE STATE WILL DIMINISH THE CHANCES FOR RAIN THROUGH THE END
OF THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH, SOME
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM CHANCES CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT.
THE BIGGEST THREAT WILL BE THE DANGEROUS TEMPERATURES AND HEAT
INDEX VALUES. BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY IT IS POSSIBLE MANY LOCATIONS
ACROSS THE STATE REACH 100 DEGREES WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES MUCH
HOTTER. HEAT HEADLINES WILL BE LIKELY SATURDAY ACROSS EASTERN
ARKANSAS AND THE RIVER VALLEY. BY SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK,
IT IS EXPECTED MUCH OF THE STATE WILL SEE A MIX OF HEAT ADVISORIES
AND EXTREME HEAT WARNINGS.
AN ADDITIONAL CONCERN COULD BE THE LACK OF A RECOVER PERIOD
OVERNIGHT WHERE WE COULD SEE MULTIPLE NIGHTS LATER THIS WEEKEND
AND NEXT WEEK WHERE LOCATIONS STRUGGLE TO GET BELOW 80 DEGREES. IF
YOU PLAN TO BE OUTDOORS FOR ANY REASON THIS WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK,
MAKE SURE YOU HAVE SHADE TO REST IN, TAKE MULTIPLE BREAKS, AND
DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 547 AM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. WITH
THAT SAID, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. IFR CONDITION ARE
POSSIBLE WITH CIG/VIS RESTRICTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH TSRA. OVERALL
CONFIDENCE IS STILL LOW ON OVERALL COVERAGE HOWEVER.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 93 76 97 76 / 50 20 20 0
CAMDEN AR 92 75 97 75 / 50 0 10 0
HARRISON AR 93 76 98 76 / 20 20 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 94 76 99 77 / 30 10 10 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 93 78 98 78 / 50 20 10 0
MONTICELLO AR 90 76 96 77 / 60 10 10 0
MOUNT IDA AR 92 76 97 77 / 30 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 92 75 97 75 / 30 20 0 0
NEWPORT AR 93 76 97 76 / 60 20 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 91 75 96 75 / 70 10 10 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 97 77 101 77 / 20 20 0 0
SEARCY AR 93 76 97 75 / 60 30 10 0
STUTTGART AR 91 77 96 77 / 80 20 20 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-043>047-103-113-
121>123-130-137-138-203-212-213-230-237-238.
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ARZ043>047-055>057-
062>069.
DISCUSSION...73
AVIATION...73
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