497
FXUS64 KLZK 151712 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1212 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 308 AM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
-HOT CONDITIONS WILL BE THE PRIMARY STORY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
INTO MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
-ADDITIONAL HEAT HEADLINES ARE HIGHLY LIKELY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
IF ENSEMBLE AND DETERMINISTIC MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE.
-LITTLE TO NO CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 308 AM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN
THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WHILE
SOME LOW- END RAIN CHANCES ARE POSSIBLE UNDERNEATH THE RIDGE, IT
IS NOT ALL THAT LIKELY AS THE RIDGE CENTERS ITSELF OVER THE STATE.
MODEL DATA CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THAT SOME RAIN CHANCES COULD BE
POSSIBLE BY THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
UNDER THIS PATTERN, DANGEROUSLY HOT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS TEMPERATURES SOAR TO WELL ABOVE
AVERAGE. MANY LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY SEE TEMPERATURES RISE TO NEAR
100 DEGREES OR JUST ABOVE WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES SLIGHTLY HIGHER.
AN EXTREME HEAT WARNING AND HEAT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT THROUGH
MONDAY.
REMEMBER THAT IF NEED TO BE OUTSIDE FOR ANY REASON, MAKE SURE TO
TAKE PLENTY OF BREAKS AND FIND SHADE TO REST IN. ALSO BE SURE TO
DRINK PLENTY OF WATER AND WEAR SUNSCREEN.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1211 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH
WINDS VARYING FROM S-W ACROSS THE STATE AT GENERALLY LESS THAN 10
KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 79 104 79 100 / 0 10 10 40
CAMDEN AR 77 100 77 101 / 0 0 0 10
HARRISON AR 77 99 75 92 / 0 10 20 30
HOT SPRINGS AR 77 101 78 102 / 0 0 0 20
LITTLE ROCK AR 80 104 81 103 / 0 10 0 40
MONTICELLO AR 79 101 80 101 / 0 0 0 10
MOUNT IDA AR 76 100 77 101 / 0 0 0 20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 76 100 75 93 / 0 0 20 30
NEWPORT AR 78 103 79 99 / 0 10 10 30
PINE BLUFF AR 77 101 79 101 / 0 0 0 20
RUSSELLVILLE AR 78 104 77 102 / 0 0 10 30
SEARCY AR 77 104 79 102 / 0 0 10 40
STUTTGART AR 79 103 80 102 / 0 0 10 20
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT MONDAY FOR ARZ004-005-014-024-042-
043-052>056-062>069-103-112-113-123-137-140-141-203-212-213-
221>223-237-240-241-313-340-341.
EXTREME HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT MONDAY FOR ARZ006>008-
015>017-025-031>034-039-044>047-057-121-122-130-138-230-238.
SHORT TERM...73
LONG TERM....73
AVIATION...67
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