928
FXUS64 KLZK 311137
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
637 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 130 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
-FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING OVER PORTIONS OF WEST,
NORTHWEST, AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS PROMPTING A FROST ADVISORY.
-RAIN CHANCES ARE SET TO RETURN SATURDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.
-FROST AND/OR FREEZE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN SUNDAY
MORNING OVER THE NORTHWEST HALF OF ARKANSAS.
-MODERATING TEMPERATURE TREND IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH MID-WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 130 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
LOCALLY, SKIES WERE CLEAR AND WINDS WERE NEARLY CALM EARLY THIS
FRIDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES AROUND THE STATE WERE ALREADY IN THE
UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. PATCHY FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR
SUNRISE OVER PORTIONS OF W, NW, AND NRN AR WHERE TEMPERATURES DROP
INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 30S. THE MOST FAVORED LOCATIONS FOR
AREAS OF FROST WOULD BE IN THOSE PROTECTED VALLEY LOCATIONS WITHIN
THE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS.
SKIES WILL REMAIN CLEAR INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY BEFORE CLOUD
COVER INCREASES FROM NW TO SE. HIGHS TODAY SHOULD TOP OUT IN THE
60S. OVERNIGHT, SKIES SHOULD BECOME OVERCAST WITH LOWS ONLY DIPPING
INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 40S.
SYNOPTICALLY, NW FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE CNTRL THIRD OF THE
CONUS. BY SATURDAY, AN UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW WILL DROP SEWRD INTO
THE MID MS VALLEY. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP
ALONG AND AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT. RAIN CHANCES SHOULD BE
HIGHEST OVER ROUGHLY THE NRN HALF OF THE STATE. QPF AMOUNTS SHOULD
GENERALLY BE ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OR LESS, SO WE ARE NOT TALKING
ABOUT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL BY ANY MEANS. IN THE WAKE OF THE SURFACE
FRONT, UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BECOME NWRLY. EARLY NEXT WEEK AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WILL SLIDE EWRD FROM THE FOUR CORNERS INTO THE SRN
PLAINS BEFORE SETTLING OVERTOP THE GULF. FLOW LOCALLY WILL
TRANSITION TO ZONAL FAVORING A MODERATING TREND IN TEMPERATURES
AND ABSENCE OF MENTIONABLE POPS.
WITH THE PASSAGE OF SATURDAYS COLD FRONT, HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE
INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. SKIES WILL CLEAR AND
UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES WILL FOLLOW. ADDITIONAL FROST AND
FREEZE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY MORNING. THE MOST LIKELY
AFFECTED AREAS WOULD BE THE NW HALF OF THE STATE. THESE READINGS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE A COUPLE TO SEVERAL DEGREES COLDER THAN WHAT
WILL BE OBSERVED THIS FRIDAY AM. AFTERWARDS, TEMPERATURES WILL
MODERATE AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES E OF THE STATE AND WINDS
BECOME SWRLY THROUGH MID WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 630 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. PATCHY
FG WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 13/14Z THIS AM AT KBPK, KHOT, AND
KADF WHICH COULD TEMPORARY REDUCE VIS. MID/HIGH CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE FRI AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM NW TO SE. WINDS ON FRI
SHOULD BE W/NW BETWEEN 5-10 KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 67 46 59 36 / 0 10 50 10
CAMDEN AR 66 44 64 38 / 0 0 20 0
HARRISON AR 63 43 56 32 / 0 10 30 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 67 46 63 37 / 0 0 20 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 65 49 62 40 / 0 0 20 10
MONTICELLO AR 68 46 65 41 / 0 0 10 10
MOUNT IDA AR 68 45 64 35 / 0 0 20 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 64 45 57 33 / 0 10 30 0
NEWPORT AR 66 48 58 37 / 0 10 40 20
PINE BLUFF AR 66 46 63 39 / 0 0 10 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 67 48 62 36 / 0 10 30 0
SEARCY AR 66 46 61 36 / 0 10 40 10
STUTTGART AR 65 47 62 39 / 0 0 20 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR ARZ004>007-014-
015-103-112-113-121-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-223-230-237-
238-240-241-313.
SHORT TERM...70
LONG TERM....70
AVIATION...70
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