966
FXUS64 KLZK 261138
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
638 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 136 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
-VERY WARM CONDITIONS EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY
-COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTH ON FRIDAY, WITH SOME CHANCES FOR RAIN WITH
THIS FRONT
-SATURDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES MAY GET NEAR FREEZING ACROSS
NORTHERN SECTIONS
-VERY DRY AIR EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND, WITH INCREASING WILD FIRE
THREAT
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 136 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
ANOTHER VERY WARM DAY WILL BE SEEN THIS THU AS SRLY WINDS
INCREASE...AND THE UPPER RIDGE KEEPS EXPANDING TOWARDS THE REGION.
HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE 80S FOR MOST AREAS...WITH SOME LOW 90S
ALSO POSSIBLE. MILD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH LOWS
ONLY DROPPING INTO THE 60S FOR MOST AREAS.
ON FRI...A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE STATE...WITH SOME
INCREASED POPS FORECAST ALONG/BEHIND THIS FRONT. THE BEST POPS LOOK
TO BE ACROSS THE NRN SECTIONS OF THE STATE. HIGHS ON FRI WILL RANGE
CONSIDERABLY...WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE 50S AND 60S ACROSS THE
NORTH...BUT 70S AND 80S ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL TO SRN SECTIONS.
TEMPS BY SAT MORNING WILL DROP INTO THE 30S AND 40S FOR MOST AREAS
AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TOWARDS THE STATE. SOME AREAS OVER NRN AR
WILL SEE TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID 30S...WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY
FROST OR MAYBE A LIGHT FREEZE. VERY DRY AIR AND ELEVATED WINDS MAY
KEEP WIDESPREAD FROST FROM FORMING HOWEVER...AND FROST POTENTIAL MAY
BE LIMITED TO MORE SHELTERED LOCATIONS WHERE WINDS RELAX FURTHER.
VERY DRY AIR WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH
MIN RH VALUES DROPPING IN THE 15 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE FOR BOTH SAT
AND SUN. THIS DRY AIR...COMBINED WITH SOME ELEVATED WINDS AND
DROUGHT CONDITIONS...WILL RESULT IN INCREASING WILD FIRE THREAT.
SRLY FLOW WILL RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH TEMPS INCREASING BACK
WELL ABOVE NORMAL AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING RETURNS TO THE REGION.
CHANCES FOR RAINFALL WILL REMAIN LOW UNTIL BEYOND THIS
FORECAST...WITH THE POTENTIAL INCREASING LATER NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 630 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. WINDS
WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SW TODAY GUSTING BETWEEN 15-25 KTS. WIND
SHEAR OVER NRN SITES SHOULD DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
LATE IN THE PERIOD, LOW CIGS ARE ANTICIPATED TO MOVE INTO NRN
TERMINALS WITH IFR/MVFR STRATUS COMMON. INCLUDED MENTIONS OF VCSH
AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT BETWEEN 10Z/12Z FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 60 68 37 61 / 10 60 0 0
CAMDEN AR 58 81 45 66 / 0 10 0 0
HARRISON AR 54 59 34 62 / 20 60 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 59 77 44 64 / 0 20 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 62 74 42 64 / 0 30 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 60 81 45 66 / 0 10 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 60 76 43 65 / 0 20 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 53 60 34 62 / 20 60 0 0
NEWPORT AR 59 70 39 61 / 10 60 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 60 80 43 64 / 0 20 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 60 71 40 65 / 0 30 0 0
SEARCY AR 59 72 38 62 / 10 40 0 0
STUTTGART AR 61 75 43 62 / 0 30 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...70
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