771
FXUS64 KLZK 260638
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
138 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1248 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2026
- SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK,
THEN TEMPERATURES TREND A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
- MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH TODAY, THEN ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
-ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES ON WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1248 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2026
SATELLITE/RADAR EARLY THIS MORNING SHOWS A BOWING SEGMENT OVER
PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS WITH
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS.
AN ACTIVE AND UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE WORK WEEK. A QUASI-STATIONARY
BOUNDARY OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN ARKANSAS WILL MEANDER ACROSS THE
SAME GENERAL AREA THROUGH TODAY. A LOOK AT DETERMINISTIC AND HI-
RES CAM MODELS KEEPS THE AREA MAINLY DRY THROUGH MOST OF TODAY
INTO THE EVENING HOURS. BY SUNDAY NIGHT, THE STATIONARY BOUNDARY
LIFTS NORTHEAST AS A WARM FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST
ARKANSAS AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE STATE FROM THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS.
AS WE HEAD INTO MONDAY,THE WARM FRONT WILL BE DRAPED ACROSS FAR
NORTHEAST ARKANSAS. THE ORIENTATION OF THE FRONT WILL PUT MOST OF
THE STATE WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR AS ANOTHER SUBTLE SHORTWAVE
TRAVERSE THE STATE AHEAD OF THE MAIN COLD FRONT MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE ENVIRONMENT OVER THE STATE WILL SEE AMPLE BULK
SHEAR OF 40-50KT WITH SURFACE CAPE VALUES OF AROUND 2500-3500J/KG
WITH VERY STEEP LOW AND MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES OVER THE AREA.
GIVEN THE ENVIRONMENT, DAMAGING WIND AND VERY LARGE HAIL ALONG
WITH A FEW TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT. IF TRAINING OCCURS WITH
STORMS OVER THE SAME AREAS, ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE.
BY TUESDAY, THE COLD FRONT SAGES SOUTHEAST INTO THE STATE BRINGING
ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL ALONG WITH AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO. THE COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE EAST OF THE BY WEDNESDAY ALLOWING FOR A SHOT OF COOLER
AND DRIER AIR TO MOVE INTO THE STATE. AN ADDITIONAL SHOT FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
ARKANSAS AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE PUSHES ACROSS THE STATE ON FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK WILL RUN A FEW
DEGREES BELOW THE CLIMATOLOGICAL HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1235 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2026
MVFR CEILINGS WITH POCKETS OF IFR ASSOCIATED WITH SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS WILL MOVE
EAST-SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REMAINING OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO CENTRAL
ARKANSAS AND SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. GUSTY WINDS AND
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BRIEFLY BRING CIGS TO IFR FOR SHORT DURATIONS
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF SATURDAY. MVFR CEILINGS WILL
REMAIN OVER MOST TERMINALS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS, THEN LIFT TO
VFR WITH SOME LIGHT AFTERNOON BREEZES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 83 67 84 65 / 20 50 50 70
CAMDEN AR 85 68 87 67 / 40 30 30 50
HARRISON AR 79 65 83 56 / 40 40 50 40
HOT SPRINGS AR 83 66 85 66 / 20 30 40 60
LITTLE ROCK AR 83 68 86 68 / 20 40 50 60
MONTICELLO AR 85 68 88 69 / 40 30 30 60
MOUNT IDA AR 82 66 84 66 / 30 30 40 50
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 80 65 84 58 / 40 50 60 50
NEWPORT AR 84 68 87 67 / 20 50 50 80
PINE BLUFF AR 84 67 87 68 / 40 40 40 60
RUSSELLVILLE AR 81 67 84 64 / 30 40 50 50
SEARCY AR 83 65 86 65 / 20 40 50 80
STUTTGART AR 83 69 87 69 / 20 30 40 80
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...76
AVIATION...76
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