854
FXUS64 KLZK 080735
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
135 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 134 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
-INCREASED CLOUDS AND SMALL CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN/SPRINKLES/DRIZZLE
TODAY
-WELL ABOVE NORMAL CONDITIONS MONDAY AND TUESDAY
-CHANCES FOR RAINFALL RETURN TO THE FORECAST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
-ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS LATE
THIS WEEK INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 134 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
WHILE COOLER TEMPS WERE NOTED ON SAT COMPARED TO FRI...WARMER
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN FOR THIS SUN AS SRLY SFC FLOW INCREASES
ACROSS THE STATE. HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT WARMING WILL HOLD OFF A BIT
AS AS A WEAK UPPER WAVE WILL PASS OVERHEAD...WITH MAINLY INCREASED
CLOUD COVER EXPECTED. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPS IN THE 50S AND 60S FOR
MOST AREAS...THOUGH SRN SECTIONS MAY STILL SEE SOME 70S WHERE CLOUDS
WILL BE MORE LIMITED. THERE MAY ALSO BE A SMALL CHANCE FOR SOME
SPRINKLES/LIGHT RAIN OR DZ ACROSS SOME PORTION OF THE AREA THIS SUN
AS THIS WAVE PASSES OVERHEAD. NO WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
HOWEVER.
WHILE A BRIEF WIND SHIFT WILL BE SEEN TONIGHT INTO EARLY MON AS SFC
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE STATE...SRLY SFC FLOW WILL RETURN ON
MON AFTERNOON...ALONG WITH INCREASING RIDGING ALOFT. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL WARMING ACROSS THE STATE BY MON
AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS IN MOST AREAS IN THE 70S. THIS WARMING TREND
WILL CONTINUE INTO TUE AS WELL...THOUGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD
OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND WEAK UPPER WAVE.
THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH INTO THE STATE TUE NIGHT
INTO WED MORNING...WITH AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVING EAST IN NEARLY
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. THE MAIN ENERGY WITH THIS UPPER WAVE LOOK TO PASS
JUST SOUTH OF AR...WITH MAINLY CHANCES FOR SHRA EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...THERE MAY BE A FEW TSRA AS WELL...MAINLY ALONG/SOUTH OF
THE SFC FRONT.
THERE WILL BE A BREAK IN THE PRECIP BY LATE WED INTO THU ...BUT YET
ANOTHER UPPER WAVE WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATE THIS WEEK INTO
NEXT WEEKEND...WITH CHANCES FOR CONVECTION RETURNING TO THE
FORECAST. RIGHT NOW...DETAILS REGARDING SFC FEATURES REMAIN
UNCERTAIN...BUT SOME INDICATIONS ARE THE SFC LOW/FRONT WILL REMAIN
OVER SRN SECTIONS OR SOUTH OF AR DURING THIS PERIOD...WITH MAINLY
SHRA FORECAST. HOWEVER...ANY ADJUSTMENTS ON THE PATH OF THE SFC LOW
AND ASSOCIATED FEATURES COULD BRING BETTER INSTABILITY FURTHER
NORTH...AND INCREASING CHANCES FOR TSRA.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1042 PM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
EXPECT VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY ACROSS ALL SITES FOR THE DURATION OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD FROM LATE SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
EVENING. THE SITE OF KBPK HAS BEEN DESIGNATED "AMD NOT SKED" DUE TO
THE FACT THAT NO OBSERVATIONS BEING REPORTED BY THE STATION. THE
SITUATION IS BEING TROUBLESHOT, BUT WILL REMAIN "AMD NOT SKED" UNTIL
THE SITE IS RELIABLY REPORTING OBSERVATIONS AGAIN.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 58 38 69 51 / 10 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 72 46 77 55 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 66 40 74 54 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 66 43 75 54 / 10 10 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 63 42 73 54 / 10 10 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 70 49 76 57 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 68 43 77 56 / 10 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 62 36 70 47 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 56 37 64 49 / 10 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 67 44 74 55 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 64 39 75 52 / 10 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 60 38 70 48 / 10 10 0 0
STUTTGART AR 63 43 71 54 / 10 10 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...74
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