662  
FXUS64 KLZK 231144  
AFDLZK  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR  
644 AM CDT TUE JUL 23 2024  
   
..NEW AVIATION
 
 
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 318 AM CDT TUE JUL 23 2024  
 
RECENT RADAR IMGRY DEPICTED LINGERING PRECIP OVER PORTIONS OF SRN TO  
ERN AR EARLY THIS MRNG. AS PRECIP COVG WANES NEAR 12Z, LOCAL COVG OF  
PATCHY FOG WL BE POSSIBLE ACRS THE FA, W/ AREA SFC OBS INDICATING  
SOME REDUCED VISBY'S AS OF 03Z.  
 
COVG OF FOG SHOULD DISSIPATE B/W 12-15Z TUES MRNG AS MIXING BEGINS.  
THRU THE MRNG AND EARLY AFTN HRS TODAY, EXPECT COVG OF PRECIP,  
INCLUDING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS, TO LIE ALONG AN AXIS FM S/W TO  
N/E ALONG THE I-40 CORRIDOR, PARALLELING AN UPPER LVL JET STREAK  
AXIS. SOME LOCAL POCKETS OF ENHANCED RAINFALL...ONE INCH OR GREATER,  
PARTICULARLY OVER ERN TO S/ERN AR... MAY BE POSSIBLE, GIVEN  
POTENTIAL TRAINING STORMS, RESULTING IN SOME LOCAL FLOODING ISSUES,  
BUT A GREATER FLOODING HAZARD IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.  
 
W/ INCRSG WAA/MOISTURE ADVECTION IN PLACE ON WED, ANOTHER RD OF  
HIGHER CHC POPS, INCLUDING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS, ARE EXPECTED  
OVER SIMILAR AREAS, PRIMARILY THE S/ERN HALF OF THE FA, ON WED AFTN.  
 
COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPS WL CONT TO HEADLINE THE SHORT TERM AMIDST  
PRECIP AND PROMINENT CLOUD COVG CONDNS. AREA READINGS SHOULD ONLY  
TOP OUT IN THE LOW TO MID 80S THIS AFTN, AND SLIGHTLY INCRS TO THE  
MID TO UPPER 80S BY WED AFTN AS WARM AIR ADVECTION RAMPS UP.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
 
(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)  
ISSUED AT 318 AM CDT TUE JUL 23 2024  
 
THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WEST AND UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EAST WILL  
CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AN UPPER RIDGE  
DEVELOPS OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AND BUILDS NORTHWARD. THIS RIDGE  
WILL EXPAND WESTWARD SUNDAY AND MONDAY.  
 
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH THURSDAY BUT WILL NOT MAKE  
IT INTO ARKANSAS. HOWEVER, AMPLE MOISTURE WILL BE STREAMING NORTH  
OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THIS WILL  
LEAD TO AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH  
MONDAY. DEW POINTS WILL BE BACK IN THE 70S. RAIN CHANCES WILL  
DECREASE SOMEWHAT BY MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE STATE.  
 
BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. HIGHS  
WILL BE IN THE 80S AND 90S. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 60S AND 70S.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 643 AM CDT TUE JUL 23 2024  
 
EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS MOST TERMINALS THIS MORNING AND  
DURING THE AFTERNOON TIMEFRAME ON TUESDAY. PATCHY DENSE FOG HAS  
DROPPED VSBY TO LIFR TO IFR FLIGHT CATEGORY ACROSS THE NORTHERN  
SITES OF KHRO AND KBPK, BUT VSBY WILL IMPROVE LATER TUESDAY MORNING  
AS THE FOG BEGINS TO LIFT AND DISSIPATE. ELSEWHERE, ACROSS THE  
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TERMINALS OF ARKANSAS VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY WILL  
PERSIST.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
BATESVILLE AR 82 69 86 69 / 60 20 30 0  
CAMDEN AR 84 70 85 69 / 80 30 60 10  
HARRISON AR 82 64 86 65 / 40 10 10 0  
HOT SPRINGS AR 85 69 89 70 / 50 20 40 0  
LITTLE ROCK AR 84 72 88 73 / 60 30 40 0  
MONTICELLO AR 84 71 84 71 / 80 50 70 20  
MOUNT IDA AR 84 67 87 67 / 50 20 30 0  
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 83 66 87 67 / 40 10 10 0  
NEWPORT AR 82 71 84 70 / 70 30 30 10  
PINE BLUFF AR 83 71 84 70 / 80 30 50 10  
RUSSELLVILLE AR 85 70 89 70 / 50 20 20 0  
SEARCY AR 83 69 86 70 / 60 20 40 10  
STUTTGART AR 82 72 84 71 / 70 40 40 10  
 

 
   
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...72  
LONG TERM....51  
AVIATION...72/74  
 
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