353
FXUS64 KLZK 151727
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1127 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 128 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
-CONTINUED LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING FOR PARTS OF THE STATE.
-PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE STATE EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING.
-DRYING OUT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 128 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
TO BEGIN THE PERIOD, A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO
TRACK ACROSS THE STATE BRINGING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS
OVER MAINLY THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY COME TO AN END DURING THE
MORNING HOURS SUNDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO TRACK
TOWARDS THE EAST.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO A QUARTER TO HALF AN INCH
WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THIS SYSTEM DEPARTS. EVEN THOUGH HEAVY RAIN
FELL MUCH OF SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE STATE,
RECENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY KEEP THE CHANCE OF ANY
FLOODING CONCERNS LOW AT THIS TIME. ALSO, PATCHY FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE STATE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE BEHIND THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM PROMOTING MOSTLY CALM AND DRY CONDITIONS. THIS
PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH AT THE LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AVERAGE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH
THE PERIOD. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO TOP OUT IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. OVERNIGHT LOW
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1126 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
EXPECT VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY FROM LIFTING CIGS THROUGHOUT THE FIRST
SEVERAL HOURS OF THE FORECAST PERIOD FROM MVFR FLIGHT CATEGORY
ACROSS ALL TERMINALS. HOWEVER, INTO THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY
MORNING HOURS ON MONDAY VSBY WILL BECOME IFR TO LIFR FLIGHT CATEGORY
ACROSS ALL SITES AND REMAIN INTO LATE MONDAY MORNING AS CALM WINDS
AND CLEAR SKIES IN COMBINATION WITH AREAS WHICH RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL WILL EQUATE TO DENSE FOG ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE
STATE OF ARKANSAS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 40 64 46 70 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 41 68 47 73 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 40 70 48 72 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 41 65 46 70 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 41 65 47 71 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 45 68 50 74 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 40 68 47 70 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 37 68 46 71 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 41 61 48 67 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 42 66 48 71 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 40 68 46 73 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 39 64 44 70 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 43 63 49 69 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74
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