877
FXUS64 KTSA 221125
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
525 AM CST SAT FEB 22 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 524 AM CST SAT FEB 22 2025
- SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND THIS WEEKEND; ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK.
- WEAK COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY WILL BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER, BUT
STILL ABOVE NORMAL, TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY)
ISSUED AT 321 AM CST SAT FEB 22 2025
THE WARMING TREND WILL KICK INTO HIGH GEAR TODAY, WITH AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. MUCH OF
THE REMAINING SNOW COVER WILL MELT TODAY AS A RESULT.
LONG TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 321 AM CST SAT FEB 22 2025
THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WITH MOST
PLACES NEARING 60 DEGREES SUNDAY AFTERNOON, AND 70 DEGREES MONDAY
AFTERNOON. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL THEN PERSIST THROUGH ALL
OF NEXT WEEK, ALTHOUGH A WEAK COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY WILL KNOCK A
FEW DEGREES OFF THE TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE NBM
CAME IN DRY FOR WEDNESDAY'S FRONTAL PASSAGE, AND RAN WITH THAT FOR
NOW, BUT THERE REMAINS A VERY LOW (10%) CHANCE FOR A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS ACROSS MAINLY NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA
WEDNESDAY. OTHERWISE, DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ALL OF NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 524 AM CST SAT FEB 22 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE VALID PERIOD AT
ALL AREA SITES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 45 27 60 35 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 46 25 59 33 / 0 0 0 0
MLC 49 27 62 36 / 0 0 0 0
BVO 43 20 59 29 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 43 23 58 31 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 42 25 58 35 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 46 25 60 34 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 39 24 55 34 / 0 0 0 0
F10 49 26 61 34 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 49 28 61 34 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...10
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