233
FNUS51 KALY 212021
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
421 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2026
DISCUSSION
A GOOD RH RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. MOST
OF THE REGION WILL SEE A COUPLE HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF RAIN, WITH
POTENTIALLY UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OR TWO SOUTH AND WEST OF THE
CAPITAL DISTRICT. TOMORROW, NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WITH MIN RH
VALUES >55-70% AND LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY, WE CONTINUE TO EXPECT WIND GUSTS UP TO AROUND 25 MPH.
THE CURRENT FORECAST WINDS MAY EVEN NEED TO BE BUMPED UP (ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE MOHAWK VALLEY, CAPITAL DISTRICT, AND BERKSHIRES) IF
FORECAST TRENDS CONTINUE. RH VALUES IN THE AFTERNOON DROP TO
30-40%. THE METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS THEREFORE LOOK TO SUPPORT AN
ELEVATED RISK OF FIRE SPREAD, ALTHOUGH LIKELY BELOW CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS FOR MOST OF THE REGION. FUEL AVAILABILITY IS UNCERTAIN
DUE TO TONIGHT'S RAIN, AND WE WILL LIKELY COORDINATE WITH STATE
PARTNERS REGARDING FUELS. FRIDAY WILL FEATURE RH VALUES IN THE
AFTERNOON DROPPING TO 30-40% AGAIN, BUT WITH MUCH LIGHTER WINDS.
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THE WEEKEND AT THIS POINT WITH LIGHT
WINDS, MIN RH VALUES >45% EACH AFTERNOON, AND INCREASING RAIN
CHANCES.
NYZ206-220815-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
421 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (+14) 54 (+9) 32 55
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (+5) 62 (+31) 100 33
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 5 G21
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NW 7 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 9 PM
PRECIP END 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3550 8230
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 6 NW 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 17750 189290
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 7 7 9
MAX LVORI LATE 8 4 9 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-220815-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
421 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (+12) 51 (+3) 34 60
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (+12) 68 (+40) 100 30
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 NW 5 G23
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 LGT/VAR NW 10 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 12 AM
PRECIP END 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2930 8770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 10 NW 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 26370 201710
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 7 7 10
MAX LVORI LATE 7 5 10 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-220815-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
421 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 40 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 34 (+12) 53 (+3) 37 64
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (+18) 66 (+38) 100 32
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 G18 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 G18 LGT/VAR NW 10 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 9 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 11 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2960 9030
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 NW 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35520 225750
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 7 7 9
MAX LVORI LATE 6 5 9 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-220815-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
421 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN FRZ RAIN NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 40 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 30 (+10) 52 (+4) 36 62
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (+22) 66 (+39) 100 33
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 G21 NW 5 G25
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NW 9 G25
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.14 0.07 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 9 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 11 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2930 8150
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 9 NW 31
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 23440 220050
ADI EARLY 1 VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 7 7 9
MAX LVORI LATE 6 5 9 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-220815-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
421 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (+12) 49 (+2) 36 57
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (+8) 67 (+37) 100 32
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 G18 NW 5 G24
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 G18 LGT/VAR NW 10 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 0
PRECIP BEGIN 1 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 1 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3170 7960
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 12 NW 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 31700 183080
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 6 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 6 4 9 3
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-220815-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
421 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN FRZ RAIN NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 29 (+11) 45 (+1) 33 54
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (+13) 75 (+44) 100 35
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NW 7 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.04 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3070 7770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 12 NW 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30700 202020
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 8 8 10
MAX LVORI LATE 7 6 10 3
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-220815-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
421 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 31 (+10) 46 (-3) 35 56
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (+11) 71 (+42) 100 32
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NW 6 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2780 8220
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 15 NW 28
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 36140 197280
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 8 8 10
MAX LVORI LATE 7 6 10 2
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-220815-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
421 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN FRZ RAIN NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 40 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 31 (+11) 47 (+1) 34 58
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+11) 68 (+40) 100 33
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 G19 NW 7 G26
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 7 G19 LGT/VAR NW 12 G26
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.05 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 1 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 1 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2800 8160
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 NW 31
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 33600 220320
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 7 7 10
MAX LVORI LATE 6 5 10 3
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-220815-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
421 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 40 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (+11) 48 (0) 35 60
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (+15) 71 (+43) 100 35
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 7 G19 NW 5 G26
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 G19 LGT/VAR NW 10 G26
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.07 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 1 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2570 8240
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 NW 31
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35980 222480
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 8 8 10
MAX LVORI LATE 7 6 10 3
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-220815-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
421 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 50 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (+10) 48 (-1) 36 62
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+19) 73 (+45) 100 34
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 G19 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 G19 LGT/VAR NW 9 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.09 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 1 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2460 8210
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 NW 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 34440 229880
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 9 9 10
MAX LVORI LATE 8 6 10 3
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-220815-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
421 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 50 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 34 (+10) 49 (-2) 37 64
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (+20) 74 (+45) 100 34
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 G18 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 7 G18 LGT/VAR NW 10 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.12 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 1 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2520 8360
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 NW 31
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35280 225720
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 9 8 10
MAX LVORI LATE 7 6 10 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page