376  
FNUS71 KALY 201653  
FWSALY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUTTERNUT FIRE...MASSACHUSETTS EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
1153 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 EST ON NOVEMBER 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MAXIMUM WIND GUSTS TODAY WILL BE LESS THAN 10 KT WITH MINIMUM RH  
VALUES OF 45 TO 55 PERCENT, WHICH WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED  
RISK OF FIRE SPREAD COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS. NEVERTHELESS, PER  
COLLABORATION WITH WFO BOX AND STATE PARTNERS IN CT/MA, AN SPS  
WAS ISSUED FOR WESTERN CT/MA FOR ONGOING DRY FUELS. WIDESPREAD  
SOAKING RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TOMORROW, WHICH SHOULD PUT  
AN END TO ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............35.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........57 40 45 50 54 55  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 56 56 56 54 52  
DEWPOINT........36 36 35 35 35 35  
RH..............50 47 45 45 48 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW S SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 5 5 5 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.3 1.9 1.4 0.8 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2 2 3 5 6  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
OVERNIGHT. RAIN LIKELY AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............38.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 18 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.27 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........55 56 58 61 63 72 82 91 92 94 95 96  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 30 40 60 70  
TEMP............50 46 46 46 45 44 44 43 42 41 40 40  
DEWPOINT........36 36 36 37 38 39 39 40 40 40 40 40  
RH..............58 68 68 71 76 82 82 89 93 96 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 5 6 7 7 8 9 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 9 12 14 16 17 18 18 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 13 15 16 17 17 17 17 18 18 17  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MIN HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............41.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 16 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 26 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.73 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........98 99 98 97 96 94 93 91 91 92 92 92  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).90 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
TEMP............40 41 42 42 43 44 44 45 45 45 45 44  
DEWPOINT........40 41 41 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42  
RH..............100 100 98 99 96 93 93 89 89 89 89 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 16 16 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 17 20 22 23 24 25 26 26 26 25  
 

 
FORECASTER...FRUGIS  
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN MOREAU  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2427070.0/ALY  
.DELDT 11/20/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NATHAN.MOREAU@MASS.GOV  
 
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