281  
FNUS71 KALY 041016  
FWSALY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR APB BLIVET RX FIRE...ALBANY PINE BUSH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
616 AM EDT MON AUG 4 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON AUGUST 04.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
OUR BENIGN PATTERN PERSISTS WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND INCREASING  
TEMPERATURES KICKING OFF THE NEW WORK WEEK. AN ISOLATED SHOWER  
OR THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY, WEDNESDAY, AND  
THURSDAY AFTERNOONS AS A RESULT OF A WEAK DISTURBANCE, BUT HIGH  
PRESSURE BUILDING BACK IN ACROSS THE REGION WILL REINFORCE  
WIDESPREAD TRANQUILITY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE  
WEEKEND.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). HAZE.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............59 INCREASING TO 61 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (43000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........9 7 2 1 3 4 7 4 4 0 1  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............61 65 69 73 79 81 83 85 86 86 86  
DEWPOINT........57 59 61 62 63 63 62 60 60 60 60  
RH..............93 90 81 68 58 54 49 43 42 42 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW W W NW NW NW NW NW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.8 1.2 1.9 3.0 4.2 5.3 6.1 6.1 6.1 5.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW NW NW W NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 7 6  
LVORI...........8 7 6 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 3 6 10 18 29 37 43 43 37 26  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). HAZE IN THE  
EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............62.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 7 TO  
9 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (17900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (2500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............5.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........1 12 24 29 49 49 51 41 45 70 68 60  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............84 82 78 75 72 70 68 67 67 65 64 64  
DEWPOINT........61 62 63 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 61 61  
RH..............46 51 60 64 71 76 81 84 84 90 90 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W NW N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 7 7 7 9 9 8 8 7 7  
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 4 4 6 6 6 7 7 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 8 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............63 INCREASING TO 65 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (23600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........74 58 62 63 63 62 61 59 58 56 54 52  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............65 66 68 71 74 78 81 83 85 86 86 85  
DEWPOINT........61 62 64 65 66 66 66 65 65 65 64 64  
RH..............87 87 87 81 76 67 60 55 51 50 48 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N NE NE E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.2 3.2 4.5 5.5 6.0 6.0 5.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE NE E E SE S SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
LVORI...........6 6 6 6 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 3 5 5 6 9 13 18 22 24 24 22  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...GANT  
REQUESTED BY...TYLER BRIGGS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2519198.0/ALY  
.DELDT 08/04/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TBRIGGS@ALBANYPINEBUSH.ORG  
 
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