473  
FNUS71 KALY 211012  
FWSALY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR APB GORE GRIZZLE GRASPEN RX FIRE...ALBANY PINE BUSH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
612 AM EDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON OCTOBER 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
OUR STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY  
NEXT WEEK WITH ONLY A LOW CHANCE (UNDER 25%) FOR LESS THAN A  
TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.  
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER THAN COMPARED TO YESTERDAY  
SUSTAINED 5-7KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 15KTS THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM  
AFTERNOON RH VALUES TODAY WILL DROP TO 35 TO 45% BEFORE  
RECOVERING TO AROUND 100% TONIGHT. NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS  
STRENGTHEN TOMORROW AFTERNOON BECOMING SUSTAINED 5-12KTS WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 20-25KTS (STRONGEST ALONG AND EAST OF THE HUDSON RIVER  
INTO WESTERN NEW ENGLAND). MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH VALUES AGAIN  
RANGE BETWEEN 30 AND 50% BEFORE RECOVERING TO 80 TO 100% THURSDAY  
NIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............34.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (24400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 3 2 2 4 4 8 10 7 12 14  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............34 35 38 44 48 52 54 56 57 57 56  
DEWPOINT........32 33 34 33 34 34 34 34 35 36 36  
RH..............92 92 85 65 58 50 47 43 43 45 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 9 10 12 12 13 14 13 12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.5 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 9  
LVORI...........8 8 6 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 6 9 12 16 20 24 24 23 10  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............36.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............6.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........14 15 15 16 20 23 35 36 45 35 28 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............53 49 46 45 43 42 40 39 38 36 36 36  
DEWPOINT........36 34 35 35 38 38 37 36 36 36 35 35  
RH..............52 56 65 68 82 86 89 89 92 100 96 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 8 9 8 8 8 8 9 9 9  
LVORI...........2 3 4 4 6 6 7 7 8 10 9 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............35 INCREASING TO 36 LATE IN THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (52300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........9 7 16 1 1 3 6 12 25 28 48 42  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............34 34 35 39 45 50 54 57 59 60 59 58  
DEWPOINT........34 33 34 35 37 38 35 37 36 35 35 34  
RH..............100 96 96 85 73 63 48 47 42 39 40 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 9 13 15 17 17 17 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.5 1.8 2.5 3.1 3.5 4.0 3.2 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 12 13 16 16 17 17 15 14 15  
LVORI...........10 9 9 6 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 10 17 26 35 46 52 52 38 30  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...31  
REQUESTED BY...TYLER BRIGGS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2624218.0/ALY  
.DELDT 10/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TBRIGGS@ALBANYPINEBUSH.ORG  
 
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