769  
FNUS71 KALY 210948  
FWSALY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG BEND RX BURN - HELIANTHUS...NYSOPRHP  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
548 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON MAY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
IT WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON FOLLOWED BY  
GRADUAL CLEARING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. RH DROPS TO 25-35 PERCENT THIS  
AFTERNOON. NORTH TO NORTHWEAST WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE 5-15 MPH, THOUGH  
A FEW GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH COULD OCCUR THIS MORNING.  
 
HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS COOL CONDITIONS TONIGHT.  
 
FRIDAY WILL BE MAINLY SUNNY WITH RH DROPPING TO 20-35 PERCENT WITH  
LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.  
 
A WETTING RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND, MAINLY SATURDAY NIGHT  
INTO SUNDAY ALONG WITH COOL DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............36.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (40000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........76 86 84 77 83 76 69 50 44 35 41  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 50 52 54 56 58 62 63 64 65 64  
DEWPOINT........36 36 35 35 35 35 36 36 36 36 36  
RH..............58 58 52 48 45 42 38 36 35 34 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 8 7 7 7 6 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 18 18 17 13 10 9 9 9 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.2 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.4 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 13 12 10 9 9 9 9 9 9  
LVORI...........3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..40 38 35 35 34 33 37 37 38 36 32  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST  
AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............34.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (26300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (2100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............6.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........43 35 34 31 31 18 7 6 20 23 26 24  
WEATHER COV..... ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............63 61 56 52 49 47 44 42 39 38 36 34  
DEWPOINT........36 35 36 35 35 34 34 34 34 34 34 33  
RH..............36 38 47 52 58 60 68 73 82 85 92 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 9 9 8 8 7 6 6 6 6 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 1.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE N N NE N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 9 9 8 8 8 8 7 7  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 6 6 8 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..26 15 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............34.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (40400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........31 11 15 10 12 22 34 31 36 22 34 55  
WEATHER COV.....ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 42 47 51 56 60 62 64 66 69 70 71  
DEWPOINT........34 34 35 34 34 33 33 33 33 33 33 33  
RH..............92 73 63 52 43 36 34 31 29 26 25 25  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.2 4.1 4.3 4.6 4.7 5.3 5.1 4.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 9 9 9 8 9 8 8 8 9 8  
LVORI...........8 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 5 13 19 25 29 35 32 33 37 40 30  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...24  
REQUESTED BY...JEN SELFRIDGE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2614096.0/ALY  
.DELDT 05/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JENNIFER.SELFRIDGE@PARKS.NY.GOV  
 
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