410
FNUS71 KALY 280947
FWSALY
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHERRY PLAIN FIRE...NYS ENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
547 AM EDT WED OCT 28 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 EDT ON OCTOBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY ALONG WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. RH VALUES WILL
LOWER TO 35 TO 45 PERCENT TODAY WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH. SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE ON
THURSDAY AT 10-15 MPH THOUGH RH VALUES WILL ONLY FALL TO AS LOW
AS 50 PERCENT. ANY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING LOOK TO REMAIN TO THE NORTH AND WEST. FRIDAY TURNS
BREEZY BEHIND A COLD FRONT WITH WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING 20-30 MPH
WITH RH VALUES FALLING TO 45 TO 55 PERCENT. HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS
MORE DRY WEATHER FOR NEXT WEEKEND BUT WITH LESS WIND. CONFIDENCE
IS LOW WHEN OUR NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN IS NEXT WEEK.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............25 INCREASING TO 30 IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
8 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (13800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........47 71 75 78 78 76 74 76 80 73 56 28
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............27 28 29 35 41 46 48 52 52 54 54 52
DEWPOINT........23 23 23 24 26 27 28 28 29 30 31 32
RH..............85 81 78 64 55 47 46 39 41 40 41 46
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S SW SW S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.6 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S SW SW SW SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 8 9 9 9 8 8 9 8
LVORI...........6 6 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 2 3 6 11 13 14 13 12 13 6
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............36 INCREASING TO 39 OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............7.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........26 25 23 24 25 29 21 21 27 33 38 40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............49 47 43 43 43 42 42 41 40 40 40 38
DEWPOINT........34 36 37 37 37 38 38 39 40 40 40 38
RH..............56 65 79 79 79 86 86 93 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 10
LVORI...........3 4 4 4 4 6 6 8 10 10 10 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 4 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............41 INCREASING TO 45 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (33700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........38 36 31 33 34 29 24 18 14 14 13 14
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............39 39 39 44 50 54 57 60 61 62 62 60
DEWPOINT........39 39 39 43 44 45 46 46 46 46 47 47
RH..............100 100 100 96 80 71 67 60 58 56 58 62
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 7 7 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 10 13 15 16 17 18 18 18 18 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.4 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 10 10 12 13 14 15 14 13 14
LVORI...........10 10 10 9 6 4 4 3 3 3 3 3
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 3 3 5 8 14 19 28 34 33 26 19
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...33
REQUESTED BY...FOREST RANGER CORENNE BLACK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2624738.0/ALY
.DELDT 10/28/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CORENNE.BLACK@DEC.NY.GOV,RAYBROOK.DISPATCH@DEC.NY.GOV,STEVEN.JACKSON@DEC.NY.GOV,NATHANIEL.LAYMON@DEC.NY.GOV
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