241  
FNUS71 KALY 081036  
FWSALY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR APB GLACIER & GRACKLE RX...ALBANY PINE BUSH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
536 AM EST THU FEB 8 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EST ON FEBRUARY 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED FAIR WEATHER WITH MODERATING  
TEMPERATURES THROUGH FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE  
REGION LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY YIELDING SOME RAIN SHOWERS,  
WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND. A  
DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC  
STATES MAY BRING SNOW, OR A RAIN AND SNOW MIX TO PORTIONS OF THE  
REGION MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............23 INCREASING TO 27 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 2  
TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (600 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........73 76 67 59 50 41 31 22 24 25 27 32  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............26 26 29 33 36 38 42 44 45 45 45 43  
DEWPOINT........21 22 23 24 24 25 25 25 26 27 28 28  
RH..............81 85 78 69 61 59 50 47 47 49 51 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N W SW SW S SE SE SE S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST. 3 3 5 6 6 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE E SE S S S S S SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2 2 2 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 7  
LVORI...........6 6 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3  
HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1 2 3 5 7 8 8 6 5 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............29.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY  
IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2600 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........37 42 46 50 54 61 67 74 77 81 84 78  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............40 38 37 37 37 37 36 36 35 35 34 33  
DEWPOINT........28 28 28 28 28 29 29 30 29 30 30 30  
RH..............62 67 70 70 70 72 75 79 78 82 85 89  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............32 INCREASING TO 36 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (22500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........72 66 63 61 58 57 57 56 54 52 50 52  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............34 34 36 39 41 43 45 47 49 49 48 46  
DEWPOINT........30 31 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 37 37 37  
RH..............85 89 82 76 73 70 68 65 63 63 65 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 14 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 15 15 16 17 17 17 17 16 15 14  
LVORI...........4 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 1 2 3 3  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 8 11 15 18 21 22 23 22 20 18 14  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...KL  
REQUESTED BY...TYLER BRIGGS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2402764.0/ALY  
.DELDT 02/08/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TBRIGGS@ALBANYPINEBUSH.ORG  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab NY Page
The Nexlab VT Page
The Nexlab MA Page
The Nexlab CT Page Main Text Page