691  
FNUS71 KALY 171048  
FWSALY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR APB P4 & P5 SOUTH...ALBANY PINE BUSH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
648 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON OCTOBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH  
COOL TEMPERATURES TODAY WARMING TO SEASONABLE LEVELS ON  
SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL BRING  
INCREASING CLOUDS SUNDAY, WITH SHOWERS DEVELOPING SUNDAY NIGHT  
AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL  
AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON SUNDAY.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............32 INCREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (40700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........16 11 6 7 15 17 13 13 14 28 12  
WEATHER COV.....WID ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............39 40 41 45 49 52 55 57 57 57 58  
DEWPOINT........30 31 31 32 33 33 33 34 34 34 35  
RH..............70 70 67 60 54 48 43 42 42 42 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 13 14 15 15 13 13 12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.8 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.7 3.9 4.1 3.8 1.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 9 12 12 12 13 12 12 10 8  
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 6 20 25 30 40 39 41 34 13  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR PR FR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST  
OVERNIGHT. AREAS OF FROST AFTER 3 AM, THEN  
WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............35 DECREASING TO 32 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1300 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............6.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........18 21 25 24 20 22 18 15 20 21 20 29  
WEATHER COV..... PTY ARS ARS WID  
WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............56 52 49 45 43 41 39 38 36 35 34 32  
DEWPOINT........36 37 36 36 36 36 35 35 35 34 34 32  
RH..............47 56 61 70 76 82 85 89 96 96 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 6 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 5 6 6 5 6 5 5 5 3  
LVORI...........2 3 3 4 4 6 6 7 9 9 10 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN WIDESPREAD FROST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING. AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............34 INCREASING TO 39 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO  
7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............6.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........36 35 24 25 26 27 32 36 41 44 47 50  
WEATHER COV.....ARS WID ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....FST FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............33 32 34 39 44 49 54 57 59 60 61 61  
DEWPOINT........33 32 34 36 38 39 39 39 39 40 40 41  
RH..............100 100 100 89 79 68 57 51 47 47 46 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W S E E SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 6 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW W W W SW SW S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 6 7  
LVORI...........10 10 10 7 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1 2 4 5 6 6 7 8 9 9  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...24  
REQUESTED BY...TYLER BRIGGS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2523800.0/ALY  
.DELDT 10/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TBRIGGS@ALBANYPINEBUSH.ORG  
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