310
FNUS71 KALY 071049
FWSALY
SPOT FORECAST FOR APB DIVERSITY RX FIRE...ALBANY PINE BUSH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
649 AM EDT WED OCT 7 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON OCTOBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
AFTER A CHILLY START TO THE MORNING WITH PATCHY
FROST, TEMPERATURES RISE THROUGH THE 40S AND 50S THIS MORNING WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S THIS AFTERNOON UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. DEW POINTS SLOWLY RISE TODAY WITH WINDS TURNING TO
THE SOUTH. RH VALUES CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT AROUND
45-50%, BUT COULD END UP SLIGHTLY LOWER THAN THIS IF DEW POINTS
ARE SLOWER TO RISE THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. WINDS INCREASE THROUGH
THE MORNING TO 5-10 KT, BECOMING SUSTAINED AT 10-12 KT THIS
AFTERNOON FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS TO 20-25 KT. WIND GUSTS
DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET, BUT SUSTAINED S/SW WINDS REMAIN NEAR 10
KT TONIGHT WITH GOOD RH RECOVERY TO >80%. SIMILAR WIND SPEEDS AND
RH EXPECTED TOMORROW, EXCEPT THAT WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE WEST.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............31 INCREASING TO 46.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (43400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........8 10 9 7 9 16 35 14 4 2 1
WEATHER COV.....ARS
WEATHER TYPE....FST
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............32 35 39 46 53 57 60 63 64 64 64
DEWPOINT........30 31 33 36 39 41 43 44 45 45 46
RH..............92 85 79 68 59 55 53 50 50 50 52
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.6 8 10 13 15 17 18 20 21 22 22
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.1 2.5 2.9 2.9 2.1 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 12 13 14 15 15 17 17 17 15
LVORI...........8 6 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 6 12 18 27 33 43 43 31 18
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............47.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3400 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............6.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........24 25 48 56 71 46 56 58 45 46 30 25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
TEMP............62 60 58 56 55 54 53 52 52 51 51 50
DEWPOINT........47 48 48 47 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48
RH..............58 64 69 72 77 80 83 86 86 89 89 93
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.20 16 14 14 13 13 13 12 10 9 8 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 12 12 12 12 10 10 10 9 9 9
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 7 7 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 4
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............49.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 12
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
BECOMING 9 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12 TO 21
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (102200 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO GOOD (58000 KNOT-FT)
EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
(116200 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........37 51 42 25 27 9 30 33 22 14 1 3
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 0 10 10 20 10 0 0 0
TEMP............49 49 51 54 59 63 64 65 65 66 64 64
DEWPOINT........48 48 49 50 51 51 51 50 49 48 47 47
RH..............96 96 93 86 75 65 63 58 56 52 54 54
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 6 8 9 10 12 12 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 9 13 16 18 21 22 22 22 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.0 4.9 6.0 5.7 6.8 5.7 4.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 9 12 14 17 20 21 20 18 16
LVORI...........9 9 8 6 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 8 19 36 74 102 102 116 92 58
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR GD VGD VGD VGD GD FR
FORECASTER...35
REQUESTED BY...TYLER BRIGGS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623298.0/ALY
.DELDT 10/07/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TBRIGGS@ALBANYPINEBUSH.ORG
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