796
FXUS61 KALY 251748
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
148 PM EDT MON MAY 25 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
INCREASED COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY OF THIS WEEK. PATCHY FOG WAS ALSO ADDED
INTO MANY VALLEY AREAS FOR TONIGHT.
KEY MESSAGES
1) TEMPERATURES RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY BEFORE TRENDING BACK TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
LATER THIS WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND. OPPORTUNITIES FOR SHOWERS
RETURN WEDNESDAY INTO THE LATE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST WILL LEAD TO
IMPROVING WEATHER FOR THE REMAINDER OF MEMORIAL DAY WITH CLOUDS
BREAKING FOR SOME SUNSHINE AND TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE 60S
AND 70S. FOLLOWING SOME PATCHY FOG TONIGHT, EVEN WARMER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY ALONG WITH DRY WEATHER. HIGHS
REACH THE 70S AND 80S ON TUESDAY.
WHILE IT WILL REMAIN WARM ON WEDNESDAY (HIGHS ONCE AGAIN IN THE
70S AND 80S), A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY DROP SOUTHWARD ACROSS
THE AREA. WHILE MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED, THERE MAY BE ENOUGH
INSTABILITY AND FORCING FOR SOME ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS. THE GREATER COVERAGE OF THESE SHOWERS WILL BE
DEPENDENT ON THE LOCATION OF THE FRONT BUT RIGHT NOW LOOKS TO BE
FROM THE CAPITAL DISTRICT AND POINTS SOUTH AND EAST.
THE LATE WEEK PERIOD WILL FEATURE TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO MORE
SEASONABLE LEVELS WITH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES PASSING THROUGH A
DEVELOPING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BRINGING ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. THE SHORTWAVE ON FRIDAY
LOOKS RATHER POTENT WHICH COULD ALLOW FOR A GREATER COVERAGE OF
SHOWERS. PENDING THE TRACK OF THIS SHORTWAVE, SOME MODERATE TO
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN COULD FALL BUT OVERALL CONFIDENCE ON THIS AND
WHERE IS LOW. THERE LOOKS TO BE SOME OPPORTUNITIES FOR DRY
WEATHER FOR NEXT WEEKEND, ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY, SHOULD SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE NOSE IN FROM THE WEST.
AS IS COMMON THIS TIME OF YEAR, WILL MONITOR TRENDS FOR ANY
STRONG THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL BUT RIGHT NOW THE PROBABILITY FOR
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER OVER THE NEXT WEEK IS LOW.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY...MVFR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY LINGER AT KGFL,
KALB, AND KPSF OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO FROM LOW CEILINGS
BEFORE GRADUALLY IMPROVING TO VFR ACROSS ALL THE TERMINALS BY
LATE AFTERNOON. LOW STRATOCUMULUS REMAINING IN THE AREA WILL
EVENTUALLY BURN OFF AS THE SUN BREAKS THROUGH WITH SOME BRIEF
CLEARING POSSIBLE AT SOME SITES INTO THE EVENING. FEW AND
SCATTERED LOW/HIGH CLOUDS BEGIN TO MOVE BACK IN OVERNIGHT INTO
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AND WITH AMPLE MOISTURE LEFTOVER FROM
THE RECENT RAIN, PATCHY FOG COULD OCCUR ESPECIALLY AT KGFL AND
KPSF. THIS COULD BRIEFLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS TO IFR
THROUGH SUNRISE. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES SHOULD RETURN ACROSS THE
REGION BY ABOUT NOON TOMORROW. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE 4-8 KT
FROM THE WEST/NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL STRONGER
GUSTS 15-20 KT POSSIBLE AT KALB AND KPSF. WINDS THEN DECREASE
AND BECOME CALM OVERNIGHT BEFORE SHIFTING FROM THE SOUTHEAST AND
PICKING BACK UP TOMORROW.
OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
WEDNESDAY: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. ISOLATED SHRA...TSRA.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. SCATTERED SHRA...TSRA.
THURSDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHRA.
FRIDAY NIGHT: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHRA.
SATURDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHRA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...53
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