637
FXUS61 KALY 271806
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
206 PM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WITH THIS FORECAST UPDATE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) CONTINUED HIGH CONFIDENCE IN MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS
PERSISTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING CLEAR SKIES ACROSS EASTERN NY AND
WESTERN NEW ENGLAND, WITH RIDGING FROM HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN
CANADA EXTENDING ACROSS OUR REGION. BROAD N'LY FLOW IS KEEPING
TEMPERATURES BELOW AVERAGE THROUGHOUT THIS AFTERNOON, WHICH WILL
CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH WILL DRIFT
SE INTO NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT, WITH LOW TEMPERATURES DROPPING
INTO THE MID-20S TO LOW 30S. THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN
INCREASE IN CLOUDS BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING ASSOCIATED WITH AN
APPROACHING WARM FRONT FROM THE SOUTH. CLOSER TO AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY, WITH HIGHS STAYING IN
THE 50S TO NEAR 60. SW'LY FLOW WILL DOMINATE ON THURSDAY AS THE
HIGH MOVES OFFSHORE NEW ENGLAND, ADVECTING IN AN ANOMOUSLY WARM
AIR MASS AND BRINGING THE RETURN OF ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
(AROUND 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL). A COLD FRONT WITH MINIMAL
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE NW
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY, WITH A FEW SHORT-LIVED SHOWERS
EXPECTED IN THE ADIRONDACKS. ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY, WITH WINDS STRENGTHENING
BEHIND THE FRONT IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANOTHER HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND,
CONTINUING THE TREND OF ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND DRY
WEATHER. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN IS LOOKING TO BE EARLY NEXT
WEEK PER LATEST GUIDANCE, BUT THERE IS STILL A LARGE MODEL
SPREAD SO CONFIDENCE IS LOW REGARDING TIMING AND AMOUNTS.
AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY...VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS ALL
TERMINALS WITH HIGH PRESSURE ONCE AGAIN FORCING CLEAR SKIES
ACROSS THE REGION. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE 18Z
TAF PERIOD, THOUGH AN APPROACHING WARM FRONT WILL INCREASE CLOUD
COVER OVERNIGHT. CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND 15-25
KFT AS A RESULT BY THE END OF THE 18Z CYCLE. WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE LIGHT WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS UNDER 10 KT. HOWEVER, A
VARIABLE TO NORTH-NORTHWEST WIND TODAY WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT
OVERNIGHT TO THE SOUTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. BREEZY. NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SATURDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SATURDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SUNDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...23
AVIATION...12
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