745
FXUS61 KALY 061053
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
653 AM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
FREEZE WARNINGS AND FROST ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
HUDSON VALLEY, SOUTHERN TACONICS AND LITCHFIELD COUNTY, CT FOR
TONIGHT.
KEY MESSAGES
1) COLD TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF FROST ACROSS
ALL OF EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND, INCLUDING AREAS
WITH THE GROWING SEASON ONGOING.
2) TEMPERATURES MODERATE BACK TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES FOR THE MID
TO LATE WEEK WITH CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS FOR NORTHERN
AND WESTERN AREAS AT TIMES.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA TODAY AND BE
DIRECTLY OVERHEAD TONIGHT. MOSTLY SUNNY, BREEZY AND DRY WEATHER
IS EXPECTED TODAY, THOUGH WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS ON
MONDAY (GUSTS MAINLY 15 TO 25 MPH). TEMPERATURES WILL RUN
5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TODAY WITH VALUES RANGING FROM THE
UPPER 40S ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS AND SOUTHERN GREENS TO THE
LOWER 60S ACROSS THE MID-HUDSON VALLEY. A CONTINUED MOSTLY CLEAR
SKY COMBINED WITH LIGHT TO CALM WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS TONIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES
FALLING RAPIDLY AT SUNSET. SOME PATCHY HIGH CLOUDS MAY PASS
THROUGH ACROSS AREAS NORTH OF I-90 OVERNIGHT BUT SHOULD DO
LITTLE TO PREVENT COOLING TEMPERATURES. MOST VALLEY AREAS WILL
LIKELY FALL INTO THE LOW TO MID-30S WITH SOME MID TO UPPER 20S
ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR
FROST TO FORM ACROSS MOST OF EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND, INCLUDING THE HUDSON VALLEY, SOUTHERN TACONICS AND
LITCHFIELD COUNTY, CT, WHERE THE GROWING SEASON IS ONGOING.
FREEZE WARNINGS AND FROST ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE
AREAS FOR TONIGHT AS CONFIDENCE IN THESE TEMPERATURES HAVE
INCREASED.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS TO THE EAST BY WEDNESDAY ALLOWING FOR
SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW TO RESUME. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES TO RETURN AND CONTINUE THROUGH
NEXT WEEKEND. LONGWAVE TROUGHING SETS UP ACROSS THE REGION
LATER THIS WEEK AS A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES TRACK NEAR THE
U.S./CANADA BORDER. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
AT TIMES MAINLY FOR NORTHERN AND WESTERN AREAS. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE AND UPPER RIDGING BUILDS IN FOR NEXT WEEKEND WITH
DRY WEATHER REGIONWIDE.
AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
THROUGH 12Z/WED...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
UPCOMING TAF PERIOD. SKIES WILL FEATURE JUST A FEW CIRRUS CLOUDS
TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH SOME DEVELOPING MID CLOUDS
AROUND 10 KFT AT KGFL TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD. WEST TO
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10-15 KT ON THIS WITH GUSTS
AROUND 20 KT. WINDS TREND LIGHT TO CALM TONIGHT.
OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG
WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...FROST ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
CTZ001-013.
NY...FROST ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
NYZ049-050-052-053-059-060-064>066.
FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
NYZ041-043-083-084.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...33
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