641
FNUS72 KJAX 250212
FWSJAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR SARGENT WF...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1012 PM EDT FRI APR 24 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 EDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSIONS OVER THE FIRE AREA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
DISCUSSION
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BE A LITTLE BIT STRONGER SATURDAY, WHICH COMBINED
WITH MIXING HEIGHTS OF 8KFT+ WILL RESULT IN HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSION. NO
SIGNIFICANT WIND SHIFT IS EXPECTED SATURDAY THANKS TO THIS STRONGER FLOW,
KEEPING THE SEA BREEZE WELL TO THE EAST. MINRH WILL DROP INTO THE 35%
RANGE DURING PEAK MIXING SATURDAY. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHING FROM THE
NORTHWEST WILL BRING ABOUT A 20% CHANCE OF RAIN SATURDAY EVENING AND NIGHT
AS WELL, WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORM AS WELL.
THE FRONT WILL PROGRESS THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY, PERSISTING CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
WHERE CHANCES INCREASE TO THE 40% RANGE. FLOW WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE WEST TO
SOUTHWEST SUNDAY, WITH SUFFICIENT MIXING AND FREQUENT GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH
KEEPING FORECAST DISPERSIONS HIGH.
SATURDAY
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........9 4 4 2 3 5 14 43 37 38
WEATHER COV..... SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW
TSTM COV........ SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20
TEMP............59 65 75 81 84 87 88 89 90 88
RH..............100 90 66 51 44 39 36 35 34 35
20 FT WIND DIR..N S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 3 6 7 7 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.3 5 6 7 9 10 12 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 1.6 2.9 4.1 5.5 6.9 8.3 7.8 7.3 6.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 8 9 10 10 12 12 12
DISPERSION IDX..5 12 26 43 59 72 87 91 87 85
LVORI...........8 5 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SATURDAY NIGHT
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........42 49 35 57 62 67 65 62 60 62 64 66
WEATHER COV..... PTY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... SMK RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10
TEMP............87 85 80 75 72 71 69 67 66 65 63 63
RH..............36 40 49 60 68 71 78 84 90 93 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 12 10 10 9 9 8 8 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 2.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 12 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 9 10
DISPERSION IDX..65 40 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5
LVORI...........1 1 2 3 3 3 4 5 6 6 9 9
SUNDAY
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........69 71 74 65 55 46 51 56 61 61 61 61
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 40 40 40 40
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 30 30 30 20
TEMP............62 63 64 68 73 78 81 84 86 87 88 88
RH..............100 100 100 97 87 76 67 59 53 50 47 45
WIND CHILL (F)..62 63 64 68 73 78 84 87 89 89 90 89
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 3 3 5 5 6 7 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 16 16 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.0 1.3 2.0 2.8 3.5 4.6 5.6 6.6 6.8 7.0 7.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 13 13 13 15 16 17 17 17 17
DISPERSION IDX..5 5 20 32 44 60 84 111 120 120 120 120
LVORI...........9 9 5 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...DUBOIS
REQUESTED BY...PETER SCALCO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2611691.0/JAX
.DELDT 04/24/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL PETER.SCALCO@FDACS.GOV
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