264  
FNUS72 KJAX 091346  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HARDEE SPRINGS P BURN...FFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
846 AM EST FRI JAN 9 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON JANUARY 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE THROUGH SATURDAY. FOG  
AND LOW CLOUDS AROUND THE BURN SITE SHOULD DISSIPATE SHORTLY  
AFTER PLANNED IGNITION TIME AS SOUTHERLY TRANSPORT WINDS  
GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN THIS MORNING THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON  
HOURS. THESE STRENGTHENING TRANSPORT WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH  
ELEVATED MIXING HEIGHTS TO CREATE GOOD DAYTIME DISPERSION  
VALUES TODAY. SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL SHIFT TO  
SOUTHWESTERLY TOWARDS SUNSET BEFORE DIMINISHING THIS EVENING,  
WITH LOW CLOUDS AND POTENTIALLY DENSE FOG EXPECTED TO DEVELOP  
NEAR THE BURN SITE DURING THE PREDAWN AND EARLY MORNING HOURS  
ON SATURDAY. FOG AND LOW CLOUDS WILL THEN DISSIPATE BEFORE THE  
MID-MORNING HOURS ON SATURDAY AS SOUTHERLY SURFACE AND  
TRANSPORT WINDS INCREASE, WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO SOUTHWESTERLY  
ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. BREEZY TRANSPORT WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH  
ELEVATED MIXING HEIGHTS TO CREATE GOOD DAYTIME DISPERSION  
VALUES AT THE BURN SITE ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........58 57 59 56 57 60 64 63 62  
WEATHER COV.....ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............63 67 72 76 79 79 81 80 79  
RH..............100 97 85 75 65 65 65 65 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 8 8 8 8 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 9 10 13 13 13 13 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.0 1.8 2.6 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.0 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 14 15 15 14 13 12  
DISPERSION IDX..10 15 30 45 60 60 65 65 45  
LVORI...........8 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........58 44 52 58 59 58 58 59 61 63 66 67  
WEATHER COV..... ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 71 68 66 65 63 63 62 61 61 61 60  
RH..............75 85 90 95 97 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8  
DISPERSION IDX..20 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4  
LVORI...........3 6 6 8 9 9 9 9 8 9 9 9  
   
SATURDAY  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........67 71 61 52 43 40 36 33 27 21 15 18  
WEATHER COV.....ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............61 61 62 65 69 73 76 78 80 80 79 77  
RH..............100 100 100 95 90 80 75 65 60 60 60 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 6 7 9 10 12 12 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 10 12 14 16 17 18 18 18 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.4 2.2 3.0 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 13 14 14 15 16 17 17 18 16  
DISPERSION IDX..4 10 15 20 25 45 50 60 65 65 65 55  
LVORI...........9 8 7 5 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...NELSON  
REQUESTED BY...R. THARP  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2528673.0/JAX  
.DELDT 01/09/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RANDALL.THARP@FDACS.GOV  
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