723
FNUS72 KJAX 172322
FWSJAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR CONNER-NELSON RD (45)...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
722 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 EDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
THE ATLANTIC SEA BREEZE WILL REACH THE FIRE AREA
AROUND 2000 WITH EAST-TO-WEST WINDS AROUND 7-12 MPH AT CANOPY AND
AT EYE-LEVEL IN UNSHELTERED AREAS. WINDS WILL EASE TO NEAR 5 MPH
OR LESS BY 10 PM, FAVORING A SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. A SIMILAR
WEATHER SET UP WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY WITH NEAR RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES AND CRITICALLY LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY. ANTICIPATE A
SLIGHTLY LATER ARRIVAL OF THE ATLANTIC SEA BREEZE TOMORROW, AROUND
8-9 PM WITH SPEEDS AROUND 10 MPH. NOT EXPECTING ANY FOG TONIGHT OR
SATURDAY NIGHT.
A WATCH OUT SITUATION EXPECTED SUNDAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT PASSES
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY AHEAD OF
THE FRONT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH BEFORE A QUICK SHIFT TO
NORTHWESTERLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS PUSHING CLOSER TO 25 MPH
WHILE HUMIDITY DROPS TO AROUND 30-35%.
REST OF TONIGHT
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........5 7 5 4 3 3 13 13 14 14
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............81 77 74 71 68 66 65 63 62 60
RH..............39 47 50 55 61 63 63 67 67 69
HEAT INDEX (F)..81 77 74 71 68 66 65 63 62 60
20 FT WIND DIR..E ESE SE S S SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 5 3 3 3 2 2 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S SW SW W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 9 10 10 9 8 8 8 8
DISPERSION IDX..3 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
SATURDAY
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........17 23 31 23 21 21 24 28 25 36 38 37
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............59 59 61 67 76 82 86 89 92 92 92 94
RH..............75 72 70 65 52 43 36 33 30 30 29 27
HEAT INDEX (F)..59 59 61 67 76 82 85 87 90 90 90 92
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 3 6 7 8 8 9 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.0 4.7 6.6 8.0 9.0 9.4 8.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 8
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 5 7 15 27 42 56 68 78 84 80
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
SATURDAY NIGHT
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........49 57 48 65 63 61 61 62 62 69 75 82
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............92 89 85 80 76 74 72 70 68 67 65 65
RH..............29 34 39 45 52 53 57 61 65 68 70 70
HEAT INDEX (F)..90 88 84 80 76 74 72 70 68 67 65 65
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 2
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.2 3.1 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8
DISPERSION IDX..63 36 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
LVORI...........1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
SUNDAY
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........79 75 72 67 62 57 57 58 58 65 71 78
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............64 64 65 69 74 79 83 85 87 87 87 85
RH..............73 73 73 68 62 54 48 45 40 39 39 40
HEAT INDEX (F)..64 64 65 69 74 79 83 85 87 86 86 84
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 8 9 10 12 14 15 16 16 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.6 3.9 5.4 6.6 7.2 6.6 5.3 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 12 13 15 16
DISPERSION IDX..4 4 9 19 39 63 84 94 96 96 93 70
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...BOOTHE
REQUESTED BY...SIERRA BLACKWELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2610642.0/JAX
.DELDT 04/17/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.KLINDT@FDACS.GOV,MICHAEL.WORK@FDACS.GOV,DESIREE.LIBERACKI@FDACS.GOV,CHAZ.WOLLITZ@FDACS.GOV,SIERRA.BLACKWELL@FDACS.GOVV
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