451  
FNUS72 KJAX 081945  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MONDEX 3 (54)...FFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
345 PM EDT FRI MAY 8 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 EDT ON MAY 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..HIGH DISPERSION POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A COLD FRONT IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE FIRE WITH A NORTHEAST WIND  
EXPECTED THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL LIFT BACK NORTH  
AS A WARM FRONT LATE TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE GO LIGHT TONIGHT, AND THEN  
BECOME SOUTH AND THEN SOUTHWEST TO WEST ON SATURDAY. DUE TO THE  
FRONT, DISPERSION WILL BE FAIRLY LOW REST OF TODAY NEAR 25-30. THE  
FRONT IS NORTH OF THE WILDFIRE SITE SATURDAY, AND SO DISPERSION  
WILL BE MUCH HIGHER TOWARD ABOUT 75-80 DURING PEAK HEATING.  
 
THROUGH THIS EVENING, THERE IS A VERY GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH SHOULD DIMINISH BY LATE EVENING. A CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ISOLATED  
STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY,  
WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS AND SOME HAIL POSSIBLE.  
 
EXPECT PATCHY FOG LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY WHICH MAY  
PRODUCE SUPERFOG AT TIMES NEAR THE SITE.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........86 89  
WEATHER COV.....LKY DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........LKY LKY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 80  
CHC OF THDR (%).50 50  
TEMP............86 85  
RH..............53 57  
HEAT INDEX (F)..89 88  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9  
DISPERSION IDX..24 22  
LVORI...........2 3  
   
TONIGHT  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........88 89 91 93 93 94 93 92 91 91 90 90  
WEATHER COV.....DEF LKY CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........LKY LKY SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 70 40 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).50 50 20 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............84 81 77 74 72 71 70 69 69 69 68 68  
RH..............59 65 84 87 93 93 97 100 100 100 100 100  
HEAT INDEX (F)..87 84 77 74 72 71 70 69 69 69 68 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E E E E E E SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 10 7 6 3 3 2 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5  
DISPERSION IDX..18 14 6 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8  
   
SATURDAY  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........88 89 88 80 73 74 55 64 77 77 75 76  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY SCH SCH CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 30  
TEMP............68 68 70 75 80 84 87 89 89 90 90 89  
RH..............100 100 100 94 82 72 63 58 56 52 52 54  
HEAT INDEX (F)..68 68 70 75 85 91 94 96 95 96 96 94  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S SW SW SW W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 3 9 9 10 13 14 15 15 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.7 3.7 4.6 5.2 5.3 5.0 4.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 7 8 9 12 13 13 14 13 13  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 6 11 20 33 51 68 76 79 73 62  
LVORI...........7 7 6 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...SHASHY  
REQUESTED BY...DAVIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613174.0/JAX  
.DELDT 05/08/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GREGORY.DAVIS4@FDACS.GOV  
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