688  
FNUS72 KJAX 170818  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WATERMELON POND WEA...FWC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
418 AM EDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON JULY 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON,  
AROUND 4-8 MPH AND FAVORING A NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION. THE GULF  
SEA BREEZE WILL PUSH INLAND REACHING THE BURN AREA AROUND 3-4 PM.  
ANTICIPATE A COUPLE ROUNDS OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. THE  
FIRST WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE SEA BREEZE AND THE SECOND OCCURRING  
DURING THE EARLY EVENING 6-9 PM AS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DRIFTS  
BACK TOWARD THE GULF. BE PREPARED FOR CHAOTIC WINDS UP TO 30 MPH  
WITH VICINITY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM  
CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS WEEKEND AS AN UPPER  
DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF.  
   
TODAY  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........22 21 6 7 5 19 30 48 62 74 79 84  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 40 60 70 70  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 40 60 70 70  
TEMP............75 75 76 79 84 87 90 91 91 92 91 89  
RH..............87 87 94 85 74 70 64 60 60 58 62 66  
HEAT INDEX (F)..75 75 76 79 92 98 102 102 102 103 103 100  
WIND CHILL (F)..75 75 76 79 92 98 102 102 102 103 103 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N NW NW NW NW NW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 6 6 6 6 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 8 8 9 10 9 9 9 9 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.3 2.2 3.1 3.8 4.5 5.2 4.1 3.1 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N NW NW NW W SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 7 8 9 8 8 7 7 8 8  
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 7 14 25 36 41 43 44 35 27 19  
LVORI...........6 6 6 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 3  
   
TONIGHT  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........82 71 82 77 74 76 58 67 51 50 35 51  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 40 40 30 40 30 30 20 20 20 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).60 60 40 40 30 30 30 30 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............88 85 83 81 80 79 78 77 77 76 75 75  
RH..............68 72 77 88 88 88 91 90 90 90 94 94  
HEAT INDEX (F)..99 94 90 88 86 79 78 77 77 76 75 75  
WIND CHILL (F)..99 94 90 88 86 79 78 77 77 76 75 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W SW SW S S S S S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.0 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5  
DISPERSION IDX..13 9 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2  
LVORI...........3 3 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7  
   
SATURDAY  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........45 43 25 35 39 54 39 49 75 82 83 78  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RNF RNF RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 30 10 20 40 70 70 70  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 20 20 20 20 30 10 20 40 70 70 70  
TEMP............75 73 75 78 82 85 88 89 89 90 88 87  
RH..............90 97 97 97 88 82 72 70 70 68 72 72  
HEAT INDEX (F)..75 73 75 78 91 98 102 103 103 105 102 99  
WIND CHILL (F)..75 73 75 78 91 98 102 103 103 105 102 99  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SE S S S S S SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 5 6 7 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 13 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.2 3.8 3.5 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 3 5 6 7 7 8 8 9 10 10  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 4 9 17 28 31 38 32 34 34 33  
LVORI...........7 8 8 6 4 3 3 3 3 2 3 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...BOOTHE  
REQUESTED BY...TERI GRAVES-MCKINSTRY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2617479.0/JAX  
.DELDT 07/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TERI.GRAVES@MYFWC.COM  
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