021  
FNUS72 KJAX 241121  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVER SPRINGS RX 6-24-26...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
721 AM EDT WED JUN 24 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JUNE 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES FORECAST ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WIDELY SCATTERED LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP NEAR THE BURN SITE TODAY AND AGAIN  
ON THURSDAY. OTHERWISE, NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT  
WINDS AT IGNITION TIME WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON.  
SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 5-10 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING, WITH  
BREEZY TRANSPORT SPEEDS DEVELOPING LATE THIS AFTERNOON THAT  
WILL COMBINE WITH ELEVATED MIXING HEIGHTS TO CREATE GOOD  
DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES. TRANSPORT SPEEDS WILL DIMINISH  
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH  
AROUND SUNRISE, FOLLOWED BY SLOWLY INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY  
WINDS ON THURSDAY MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH  
ELEVATED MIXING HEIGHTS TO YIELD HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSION  
VALUES ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AT THE BURN SITE.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........23 21 29 33 40 40 44 53 54 50  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 20 30 30 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 20 30 30 20  
TEMP............77 82 85 88 90 93 94 96 95 94  
RH..............94 79 72 65 60 50 45 45 45 45  
HEAT INDEX (F)..77 89 94 98 99 102 102 104 103 101  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 9 9 9 10 10 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.9 2.8 3.8 4.7 5.4 5.9 6.0 5.7 5.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 8 9 9 10 10  
DISPERSION IDX..10 20 25 35 40 50 60 65 70 65  
LVORI...........5 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........38 50 40 22 22 21 19 20 18 23 24 27  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH CHC SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............93 91 87 84 82 80 78 77 76 75 74 73  
RH..............50 54 61 67 72 77 82 85 87 87 90 93  
HEAT INDEX (F)..101 99 94 90 87 84 78 77 76 75 74 73  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 6 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 10 9 6 3 6 3 3 3 3 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 2.3 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 10 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 5  
DISPERSION IDX..50 35 6 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2  
LVORI...........1 1 3 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 7  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........27 30 31 24 27 23 36 32 30 51 45 33  
WEATHER COV..... CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 0 0 0 0 20 0 10 30 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 10 30 20 20  
TEMP............73 73 76 82 85 88 91 93 94 95 93 91  
RH..............93 93 87 75 70 60 55 50 50 45 50 55  
HEAT INDEX (F)..73 73 76 88 94 97 100 102 103 104 102 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW N N SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 0 0 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 3 3 5 7 9 10 12 13 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.0 4.3 5.5 6.4 6.7 6.2 5.2 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 6 7 9 9 10 10 10 10 10  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 5 15 30 50 65 75 85 80 70 55  
LVORI...........7 8 6 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...NELSON  
REQUESTED BY...PETER JENSEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2616072.0/JAX  
.DELDT 06/24/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PETER.JENSEN@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
 
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