533  
FNUS72 KJAX 221614  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WATERHOLE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
1214 PM EDT TUE SEP 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1300 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE AROUND 20-30% TODAY THROUGH SUNSET, WITH  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. TOMORROW, STORM CHANCES INCREASE  
TO AROUND 40-50% AS A FRONT APPROACHES AND PASSES THROUGH THE AREA  
WEDNESDAY NIGHT, DRY CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW BEHIND THE FRONT THURSDAY  
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WINDS WILL PRIMARILY BE FROM THE NORTHEAST THROUGH  
THE WEEK, WITH GOOD DISPERSION FORECAST EACH DAY. WINDS WITHIN AND  
AROUND SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC. TONIGHT, PATCHY  
FOG IS POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE PRE-DAWN HOURS. AFTERNOON MAXIMUM  
HEAT INDEX VALUES PEAK AROUND 100 DEGREES TODAY AND WEDNESDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........39 53 55 56 56  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............88 90 89 89 86  
RH..............61 58 59 59 68  
HEAT INDEX (F)..96 98 97 97 94  
WIND CHILL (F)..96 98 97 97 94  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 12 12 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 4.6 3.8 3.1 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 8 8  
DISPERSION IDX..29 33 34 31 26  
LVORI...........2 1 1 1 3  
   
TONIGHT  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........47 46 34 24 34 34  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............85 78 76 74 73 72  
RH..............70 88 94 97 97 100  
HEAT INDEX (F)..93 78 76 74 73 72  
WIND CHILL (F)..93 78 76 74 73 72  
20 FT WIND......E 3 E 2 N 0 N 0 N 0 N 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 9 7 5 2 3  
MIX HGT (FT)....1700 500 500 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 7 E 6 E 6 E 5 NE 5  
DISPERSION IDX..19 3 3 3 2 2  
LVORI...........3 6 6 8 8 10  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........25 21 42 64 67 70 68 67 65 71 76 82  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 0 10 30 40 40 50 60  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 30 30 40 40  
TEMP............72 71 72 76 80 85 87 89 91 90 90 88  
RH..............100 100 100 94 88 75 68 64 60 62 62 66  
HEAT INDEX (F)..72 71 72 76 86 94 96 99 102 101 101 98  
WIND CHILL (F)..72 71 72 76 86 94 96 99 102 101 101 98  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 0 1 5 8 9 9 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 2 7 13 14 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.3 2.2 3.2 3.9 4.6 5.3 4.4 3.6 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9  
DISPERSION IDX..2 3 6 12 23 32 37 43 34 33 32 29  
LVORI...........10 9 8 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...KLINGLER  
REQUESTED BY...FICC  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2622328.0/JAX  
.DELDT 09/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL FLFIC@FIRENET.GOV  
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