339  
FNUS72 KJAX 291245  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 4TH OF JULY...ST. JOHNS COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
845 AM EDT MON JUN 29 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0000 EDT ON JULY 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
A RESIDUAL FRONT HANGING OUT OVER CENTRAL AND  
SOUTHERN FL WILL BEGINS MOVE NORTHWARD BY FRIDAY, RESULTING IN  
INCREASING CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE SEA  
BREEZE DEVELOPMENT. THE STEERING FLOW AND THE ATLANTIC SEA BREEZE  
WILL LIKELY KEEP THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY INITIALLY ALONG THE  
BEACHFRONT DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON AND PROGRESS INLAND DURING  
THE MID AND LATE AFTERNOON. BREEZY SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE LIKELY  
FRIDAY BUT LOW SEAS ARE EXPECTED.  
 
PREVAILING WINDS FLIP 180 DEGREES BY SATURDAY, WITH OFFSHORE FLOW  
ENHANCING THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE NEAR  
SHORE COASTAL WATERS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. RIGHT NOW, THE  
FORECAST IS AROUND 40-50% BUT IT'S LIKELY TO RISE AS OUR  
CONFIDENCE INCREASES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  
 
   
FRIDAY
 
 
TIME (EDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........35 35 25 25 25 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............79 78 78 78 78 78  
RH..............88 91 91 91 91 91  
SFC WND DIR.....SE SE S S S S  
SFC WND SPD KTS.5 4 4 4 3 3  
SFC WND GST.....7 7 6 6 6 6  
 
   
FRIDAY
 
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........25 25 35 35 35 35 35 35 55 55 55 55  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30  
TEMP............78 79 80 83 85 88 89 90 90 90 91 90  
RH..............91 91 88 80 75 68 66 66 66 66 62 64  
SFC WND DIR.....S SW SW S SE E E E E E E SE  
SFC WND SPD KTS.2 2 2 3 4 6 8 9 10 10 10 10  
SFC WND GST.....6 5 5 5 6 7 10 11 11 11 11  
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........55 55 48 48 48 48 48 48 29 29 29 29  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............88 86 84 83 82 81 80 80 79 78 78 78  
RH..............68 75 80 82 82 85 88 85 88 91 88 88  
SFC WND DIR.....SE SE SE SE S S S S S S SW SW  
SFC WND SPD KTS.9 9 8 7 7 6 5 5 4 4 4 4  
SFC WND GST.....11 10 10 10 10 10 9 8 7 6 6 6  
 
   
INDEPENDENCE DAY
 
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........29 29 35 35 35 35 35 35 63 63 63 63  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 50 50 50 50  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............78 78 79 82 86 89 91 92 92 92 92 91  
RH..............91 91 91 82 72 66 62 60 60 60 58 60  
SFC WND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SE E E SE SE  
SFC WND SPD KTS.4 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9  
SFC WND GST.....6 6 6 6 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10  
 

 
FORECASTER...BOOTHE  
REQUESTED BY...LT. KEITH OKE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...MARINE  
.TAG 2615634.0/JAX  
.DELDT 06/29/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KOKE@SJSO.ORG  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab FL Page
The Nexlab GA Page Main Text Page