500
FNUS72 KJAX 110045
FWSJAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR LRL-04...NORTH FLORIDA LAND TRUST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
845 PM EDT TUE MAR 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0400 EDT ON MARCH 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
..STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON
DISCUSSION
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AT THE BURN SITE THROUGH NOON ON
THURSDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY AFTERNOON, WITH A FEW STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE.
OTHERWISE, SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS
WILL PREVAIL THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS ON WEDNESDAY MAY CREATE MARGINALLY HIGH
DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES. SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY AFTER SUNSET ON WEDNESDAY, WITH
GRADUALLY DIMINISHING SPEEDS EXPECTED DURING THE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR LOWER CLOUDS
AND PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT EARLY ON THURSDAY MORNING AT THE
BURN SITE, WITH THESE CLOUDS AND FOG LIKELY DISSIPATING
DURING THE EARLY TO MID-MORNING HOURS. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL
THEN DEVELOP DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS ON THURSDAY,
YIELDING MARGINALLY HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES AGAIN
THROUGH THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE RAINFALL ARRIVES.
GUSTY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT TO
NORTHWESTERLY TOWARDS SUNSET.
REST OF TONIGHT
TIME (EDT) 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........19 20
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0
TEMP............66 65
RH..............87 90
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6
DISPERSION IDX..2 2
LVORI...........6 7
WEDNESDAY
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........19 14 17 12 7 3 6 9 12 21 30 39
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............65 64 64 67 74 78 83 87 89 90 91 90
RH..............90 93 93 90 76 70 60 50 45 40 40 40
HEAT INDEX (F)..65 64 64 67 74 78 86 90 92 93 93 92
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW S SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 6 6 7 9 10 13 14 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.8 3.1 4.4 5.7 6.0 6.2 6.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 7 7 8 10 12 12 12 12
DISPERSION IDX..2 3 6 10 15 20 35 55 70 70 75 80
LVORI...........7 7 6 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........38 37 36 41 46 51 56 61 66 68 71 73
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............89 85 81 78 75 72 70 69 67 67 66 65
RH..............40 45 55 62 69 76 81 81 87 87 93 97
HEAT INDEX (F)..90 86 83 78 75 72 70 69 67 67 66 65
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 9 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 2.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 12 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 7
DISPERSION IDX..65 40 6 6 5 4 3 4 4 4 4 5
LVORI...........1 1 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 7
THURSDAY
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........74 75 73 73 73 73 73 73 70 70 70 70
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 40 40 40 40 40 40 80 80 80 80
TEMP............64 64 65 68 73 77 80 82 82 82 80 78
RH..............100 100 97 93 81 76 69 63 63 63 65 67
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 8 10 13 14 15 15 15 14 13
20 FT WIND GUST.7 9 10 13 16 20 21 23 23 23 21 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.0 1.2 1.9 2.6 3.2 3.9 4.5 5.1 4.0 3.0 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 9 13 17 20 22 23 23 20 15 13
LVORI...........9 9 5 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 2 3
FORECASTER...NELSON
REQUESTED BY...MARK MANNING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605391.0/JAX
.DELDT 03/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MMANNING@NFLT.ORG
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