912  
FNUS72 KJAX 120448  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MAILBOX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
1248 AM EDT SUN JUL 12 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 EDT ON JULY 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
 
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT  
THIS EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WESTERLY AND THEN SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALONG WITH INCREASING  
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BUILD THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE  
VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE. STORM CHANCES AND WINDS WILL DROP OF  
THIS EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT, REBUILDING ON MONDAY WITH MUCH  
HIGHER LIKELIHOODS FOR CONVECTION TO FORM OVER THE BURN SITE ON  
MONDAY.  
 
WINDS WILL BUILD IN FROM OUT OF THE WEST AND THEN SOUTHWEST THIS  
AFTERNOON  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........41 45 48 51 54 55 56 57 57 56 56  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 20 30 40 40 40 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 20 30 30 30 30  
TEMP............72 74 80 85 88 91 94 96 96 95 93  
RH..............100 97 82 70 64 54 49 46 46 49 52  
HEAT INDEX (F)..72 74 84 93 98 101 103 105 105 104 101  
WIND CHILL (F)..72 74 84 93 98 101 103 105 105 104 101  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N W W W W W W W SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 2 5 7 8 8 8 8 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST. 3 7 10 13 13 13 13 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 1.4 2.3 3.1 3.8 4.6 5.3 4.9 4.5 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 9 9 10 10 9 9 9 10 10  
DISPERSION IDX..3 8 17 28 41 47 49 55 53 55 53  
LVORI...........9 7 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........58 60 62 58 54 49 48 47 46 47 48 50  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).30 30 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............91 85 79 77 75 76 77 76 75 74 74 74  
RH..............56 67 82 87 90 90 87 90 97 100 100 97  
HEAT INDEX (F)..99 92 79 77 75 76 77 76 75 74 74 74  
WIND CHILL (F)..99 92 79 77 75 76 77 76 75 74 74 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 8 7 6 5 2 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 13 10 9 7 3 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 1.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 8 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..40 25 9 9 8 7 6 4 4 4 3 3  
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 5 5 5 6 7 8 9 8  
   
MONDAY
 
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........47 45 42 39 50 35 39 44 55 75 80 76  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 20 30 20 0 20 30 60 70 60  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 10 10 20 0 20 30 60 70 60  
TEMP............73 74 76 80 84 86 89 89 90 90 89 88  
RH..............100 100 97 91 80 72 66 64 62 62 61 63  
HEAT INDEX (F)..73 74 76 87 94 96 100 99 101 101 98 97  
WIND CHILL (F)..73 74 76 87 94 96 100 99 101 101 98 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 3 5 6 7 7 8 8 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 3 8 9 12 13 15 17 18 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 0.8 1.8 2.9 4.0 4.5 4.9 5.4 5.1 4.9 4.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 9 10 12 12 13 13 14 14 15  
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 8 22 39 57 64 73 66 57 57 56  
LVORI...........9 9 6 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...CORLESS  
REQUESTED BY...MICHELS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2616912.4/JAX  
.DELDT 07/12/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NICK.MICHELS@USDA.GOV  
 
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