517
FNUS72 KJAX 250519
FWSJAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR PACE COURT FIRE...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
119 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..HIGH DISPERSION EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON
DISCUSSION
SOUTHWEST FLOW PICKS UP SLIGHTLY TODAY, WHICH COMBINED WITH HIGH MIXING
HEIGHTS OVER 7KFT WILL RESULT IN HIGH DISPERSIONS THIS AFTERNOON. THE
BENEFIT TO THE STRONGER LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BE THAT THE ATLANTIC SEA
BREEZE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST OF THE FIRE THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WIND SHIFTS EXPECTED. RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE
35-40% RANGE AT THE MINIMUM THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH, WITH THESE
CHANCES CONTINUING OVERNIGHT BUT ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
FLOW WILL BE MORE OUT OF THE WEST ON SUNDAY AS THE FRONT PROGRESSES
SOUTHWARD, WITH A MORE SIGNIFICANT WIND SHIFT NOT EXPECTED UNTIL SUNDAY
NIGHT.
REST OF TODAY
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........7 7 9 12 28 43 49 54 57
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 20
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20 20
TEMP............69 76 81 86 87 89 89 88 87
RH..............84 69 56 46 40 38 37 38 40
HEAT INDEX (F)..69 76 83 87 87 89 88 87 87
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 6 6 6 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 9 10 10 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.7 3.9 5.5 7.1 8.7 7.4 6.1 4.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 8 9 9 10 10
DISPERSION IDX..12 20 29 47 65 86 83 74 62
LVORI...........4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........61 32 44 43 41 40 32 27 23 25 38 39
WEATHER COV.....SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).20 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............86 83 78 74 72 70 67 66 64 63 61 61
RH..............43 47 56 64 71 73 78 78 87 90 97 97
HEAT INDEX (F)..86 83 78 74 72 70 67 66 64 63 61 61
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 7 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 9 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 2.2 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 8
DISPERSION IDX..45 27 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 8
SUNDAY
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........50 52 61 54 54 54 59 65 70 70 70 70
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 30 30 30 30 30 30 50 50 50 50
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 40 40 40 40
TEMP............61 61 64 70 74 80 84 85 86 86 85 84
RH..............97 100 97 87 82 69 59 57 53 53 53 55
HEAT INDEX (F)..61 61 64 70 74 83 87 88 89 89 87 86
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 5 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 9 12 13 14 16 17 18 18 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.5 1.7 2.8 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.4 4.6 4.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 16 16 16 15
DISPERSION IDX..3 4 9 21 40 60 64 66 78 83 85 82
LVORI...........8 9 6 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...DUBOIS
REQUESTED BY...SR RANGER FOLSOM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2611644.2/JAX
.DELDT 04/25/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRIAN.FOLSOM@FDACS.GOV
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