315  
FNUS72 KJAX 151932  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDFIRE CFS 708...FLAGLER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
232 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1500 EST ON FEBRUARY 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ROBUST LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE STRONG SOUTH-  
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET WITH GUSTS UP TO  
30 MPH POSSIBLE. A SQUALL LINE WILL PUSH ACROSS THE FIRE (AND  
GENERALLY FLAGLER COUNTY) AROUND 1800-2000 THIS EVENING. ITS  
POSSIBLE THAT THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE SQUALL LINE MAY PRODUCE  
GUSTS IN THE 40-60 MPH RANGE, LIKELY FROM A NORTHWEST DIRECTION.  
THE COLD FRONT WILL NOT BRING IN MUCH DRY AIR BEHIND IT BUT WINDS  
WILL REMAIN BREEZY AS THEY VEER WEST THEN NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT AND  
THEN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST MONDAY. THOUGH BREEZY WINDS WITH  
OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH WILL DEVELOP MONDAY, AN INVERSION  
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LIMIT MIXING HEIGHTS AND DISPERSION MONDAY.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
TIME (EST) 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........57 70 79  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 40 50  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 20 20  
TEMP............82 81 79  
RH..............44 47 52  
HEAT INDEX (F)..82 81 79  
WIND CHILL (F)..82 81 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.32 32 32  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.4 5.4 4.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.32 31 29  
DISPERSION IDX..99 96 77  
LVORI...........1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........86 93 95 96 91 82 72 56 58 46 52 62  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY DEF DEF LKY CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 70 90 90 60 40 20 20 10 10 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 40 40 40 30 30 20 10 10 10 0 0  
TEMP............76 70 67 65 63 63 63 61 61 60 60 60  
RH..............62 76 87 90 100 100 97 100 97 100 100 100  
HEAT INDEX (F)..76 70 67 65 63 63 63 61 61 60 60 60  
WIND CHILL (F)..76 70 67 65 63 63 63 61 61 60 60 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 12 12 10 10 9 7 6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.35 32 31 30 29 28 25 18 17 17 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 22 20 18 17 16 15 14 14 13 13 12  
DISPERSION IDX..55 21 18 17 16 14 12 10 9 9 9 8  
LVORI...........1 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 7 8 8 8  
   
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
 
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........68 71 67 72 78 68 65 83 71 61 59 67  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............59 59 58 63 65 68 69 68 69 67 66 64  
RH..............100 100 100 93 90 84 78 78 76 75 75 81  
HEAT INDEX (F)..59 59 58 63 65 68 69 68 69 67 66 64  
WIND CHILL (F)..59 59 58 63 65 68 69 68 69 67 66 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 13 13 14 16 16 17 17 17 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 12 13 14 15 16 16 16 16  
DISPERSION IDX..7 11 16 20 26 31 37 41 42 42 44 37  
LVORI...........8 7 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...BOOTHE  
REQUESTED BY...RYAN SIMPSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2602785.0/JAX  
.DELDT 02/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RSIMPSON@FLAGLERCOUNTY.GOV  
 
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