066  
FNUS72 KJAX 241253  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GRIFFIS REFORESTATION PROJECT...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
853 AM EDT FRI JUL 24 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
VERY HOT AND SEASONABLY HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AT THE BURN  
SITE TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM  
MAY DEVELOP TOWARDS SUNSET THIS EVENING, WITH ANY ACTIVITY THAT  
MANAGES TO DEVELOP DISSIPATING BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SCATTERED MAINLY  
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN  
FORECAST ON SATURDAY, WITH STRONG STORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY  
DOWNPOURS POSSIBLE. LIGHT SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS THIS MORNING  
WILL BECOME EASTERLY THIS AFTERNOON, WITH ELEVATED MIXING HEIGHTS  
COUNTERING LIGHT WIND SPEEDS AND YIELDING GOOD DAYTIME DISPERSION  
VALUES. SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHERLY  
OVERNIGHT AS SPEEDS DIMINISH. SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT  
WINDS WILL THEN DEVELOP SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE ON SATURDAY,  
FOLLOWED BY WINDS SHIFTING TO WESTERLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  
ELEVATED MIXING HEIGHTS WILL AGAIN YIELD GOOD DAYTIME DISPERSION  
VALUES ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........11 18 12 21 31 32 32 28 34  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............81 87 90 93 96 97 98 99 97  
RH..............85 70 60 50 45 40 40 35 40  
HEAT INDEX (F)..87 98 101 103 106 105 106 107 104  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SE NE E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 3 3 5 5 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 7 9 10 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.7 3.7 4.8 5.9 7.0 7.3 7.6 7.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 3 3 5 6 6 6 7  
DISPERSION IDX..15 20 25 30 35 50 50 55 55  
LVORI...........4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........44 54 53 50 45 46 49 42 43 43 42 39  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............96 94 90 86 83 81 80 79 78 78 77 77  
RH..............40 45 50 60 70 77 79 82 85 85 87 87  
HEAT INDEX (F)..103 100 96 91 88 86 84 79 78 78 77 77  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 12 10 9 9 8 8 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.5 3.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 9 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..50 35 10 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........1 1 2 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 6 6  
   
SATURDAY  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........40 32 38 44 48 53 55 61 64 62 62 66  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 30 40  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 30 40  
TEMP............76 75 77 81 87 91 94 96 98 98 96 94  
RH..............90 97 94 85 70 60 50 45 45 45 45 50  
HEAT INDEX (F)..76 75 77 87 98 103 106 107 109 109 106 105  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 6 7 10 10 13 13 13 13 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.5 2.3 3.0 4.1 5.3 6.4 5.5 4.5 3.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW W W W W W NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 9 10 12  
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 10 15 25 30 40 50 60 60 60 50  
LVORI...........6 7 6 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...NELSON  
REQUESTED BY...WYATT ELLEDGE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2618123.0/JAX  
.DELDT 07/24/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL WILLIAM.ELLEDGE@FDACS.GOV  
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