846  
FNUS72 KJAX 021716  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WINOKUR ROCK ROAD FIRE...CHARLTON COUNTY EMA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
116 PM EDT SUN AUG 2 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1300 EDT ON AUGUST 02.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST TODAY, UP TO ABOUT 8-14 MPH  
GUSTING TO 20-25 MPH, WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LATER ON THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. LATEST WIND REPORTS  
FROM WAYCROSS AND EASTWARD SHOW WINDS FROM 200 DEGREES OR SOUTH-SOUTHWEST  
AT 7 TO 13 MPH AT 1 PM. ANY SHOWERS OR STORMS NEARBY THE SITE WILL  
RESULT GUSTIER AND MORE ERRATIC WINDS. DAYTIME DISPERSION TODAY  
WILL BE ELEVATED TO ABOUT 75 FOR A BRIEF TIME.  
 
THE SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST AGAIN ON MONDAY WITH SUSTAINED  
WINDS AGAIN AT 10-15 MPH GUSTING TO 25 MPH. HIGH RAIN CHANCES  
OF ABOUT 70 PERCENT ARE FORECAST.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........70 72 74 76 74  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 40 50  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 30 30 40 50  
TEMP............89 89 89 88 87  
RH..............68 68 66 68 68  
HEAT INDEX (F)..102 102 100 99 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 13 14 14 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22 23 24 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 3.7 3.4 3.1 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 21 21 21  
DISPERSION IDX..75 69 62 58 50  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........70 69 78 70 78 75 58 50 60 58 59 71  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 30 10 10 10 10 10 30 40 40 60  
CHC OF THDR (%).40 40 30 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 40  
TEMP............85 81 79 78 77 77 76 75 75 74 73 73  
RH..............72 82 88 88 90 90 94 94 94 97 97 97  
HEAT INDEX (F)..94 87 79 78 77 77 76 75 75 74 73 73  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 12 8 7 7 7 7 5 5 5 5 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 22 18 18 17 16 16 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 1.9 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 16 15 14 14 14 13 12 12 12 10 12  
DISPERSION IDX..41 34 13 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7  
LVORI...........2 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7  
   
MONDAY
 
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........74 79 80 71 68 68 78 83 71 64 74 74  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 70 70 60 50 50 70 70 60 50 40 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).40 40 20 20 20 40 40 40 60 50 40 30  
TEMP............72 72 73 75 78 79 80 82 82 83 84 83  
RH..............100 100 100 100 97 97 94 88 88 82 80 80  
HEAT INDEX (F)..72 72 73 75 78 79 87 91 91 92 94 91  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 16 18 20 20 21 22 20 20 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 13 14 15 16 17 17 17 17 16  
DISPERSION IDX..7 8 19 27 34 41 48 53 57 55 53 53  
LVORI...........8 7 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...SHASHY  
REQUESTED BY...EMA DIRECTOR TIFFANY YEARWOOD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2618841.0/JAX  
.DELDT 08/02/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL EMA@CHARLTONCOUNTYGA.GOV  
 
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