785
FNUS72 KJAX 250519
FWSJAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR MITHCELL WILDFIRE...USWFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
119 AM EDT TUE AUG 25 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 EDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BUILD DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS WITH THE HIGHEST LIKELIHOOD FOR THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN
THE VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE BY AROUND 3 TO 5 PM. CONVECTION WILL
DROP OFF THIS EVENING AND THEN REBUILDING ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS
WILL BE FROM OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST TODAY, BECOMING MILD
AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT, AND THEN REBUILDING FROM OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.
REST OF TODAY
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........34 35 35 31 30 36 46 71 84 77 79
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC LKY LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC LKY LKY CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 0 10 10 10 20 50 70 60 50
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 0 10 10 10 20 50 70 60 50
TEMP............72 73 77 83 87 89 89 89 91 87 86
RH..............97 100 90 80 72 68 66 66 62 68 70
HEAT INDEX (F)..72 73 77 91 99 102 100 100 103 96 95
WIND CHILL (F)..72 73 77 91 99 102 100 100 103 96 95
20 FT WIND DIR..N SW SW SW W W W W SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.4 2.2 3.1 3.6 4.0 4.4 3.7 3.1 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9
DISPERSION IDX..3 6 10 19 27 31 41 45 39 35 27
LVORI...........9 9 5 3 3 3 3 1 1 3 3
TONIGHT
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........77 80 76 78 80 73 67 66 52 30 29 20
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 50 30 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).60 60 40 30 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0
TEMP............84 79 76 74 73 73 72 72 71 71 70 70
RH..............74 85 94 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
HEAT INDEX (F)..92 79 76 74 73 73 72 72 71 71 70 70
WIND CHILL (F)..92 79 76 74 73 73 72 72 71 71 70 70
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S SE SE SE N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5
DISPERSION IDX..19 12 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
LVORI...........3 5 8 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10
WEDNESDAY
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........29 29 35 45 38 35 50 55 79 73 51 43
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH LKY LKY CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY CHC SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 30 20 70 60 30 20
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 60 60 30 20
TEMP............70 69 71 75 81 84 85 87 89 88 89 86
RH..............100 100 100 100 88 80 75 70 64 66 64 70
HEAT INDEX (F)..70 69 71 75 88 94 94 98 99 98 99 95
WIND CHILL (F)..70 69 71 75 88 94 94 98 99 98 99 95
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 3 5 6 7 9 9 10 10 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.2 2.0 2.8 3.2 3.6 4.0 3.7 3.5 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 4 8 15 25 28 31 32 31 32 30
LVORI...........10 10 9 8 5 3 3 3 2 3 2 3
FORECASTER...CORLESS
REQUESTED BY...TYLER BELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620394.0/JAX
.DELDT 08/25/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TYLER_BELL@FWS.GOV
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