895  
FNUS72 KJAX 161816  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MAILBOX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
216 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1650 EDT ON JULY 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH EXPECTED THIS  
AFTERNOON OUTSIDE OF STORMS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE  
NEAR THE FIRE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. A THUNDERSTORM  
COULD BRING GUSTY, ERRATIC WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY  
DOWNPOURS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOW 90S BUT "FEEL LIKE" 100  
DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND STORMS END BY 9 PM. WINDS  
CALM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH DAWN.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........60 62  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40  
CHC OF THDR (%).40 40  
TEMP............92 91  
RH..............53 55  
HEAT INDEX (F)..99 100  
WIND CHILL (F)..99 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.3 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8  
DISPERSION IDX..30 22  
LVORI...........2 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........59 55 49 36 45 54 29 27 35 26 25 18  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).40 30 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............90 87 84 81 80 79 78 77 76 76 75 75  
RH..............58 65 72 79 79 85 85 88 90 90 92 92  
HEAT INDEX (F)..98 96 91 86 84 83 78 77 76 76 75 75  
WIND CHILL (F)..98 96 91 86 84 83 78 77 76 76 75 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 2.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW W NW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 6 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 6  
DISPERSION IDX..21 13 4 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 7 7 7  
 
 
FORECASTER...CHANEY  
REQUESTED BY...NICK MICHELS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617313.2/JAX  
.DELDT 07/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NICK.MICHELS@USDA.GOV  
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