866  
FNUS72 KJAX 160808  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CYPRESS CREEK 1A RX...FLORIDA FISH AND WILDLIFE CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
408 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SEASONABLY HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AT THE BURN SITE  
THROUGH FRIDAY. ONLY ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP DURING THE EARLY TO MID  
AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY, WITH ISOLATED ACTIVITY POTENTIALLY  
LINGERING THROUGH AROUND SUNSET. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY NOT DEVELOP UNTIL THE MID LATE  
AFTERNOON HOURS ON FRIDAY, WITH ACTIVITY POTENTIALLY LINGERING  
FURTHER INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SIGNIFICANT FOG FORMATION IS NOT  
EXPECTED NEAR THE BURN SITE. OTHERWISE, NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE AND  
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL PREVAIL TODAY, WITH BREEZY TRANSPORT SPEEDS  
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS YIELDING GOOD DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES.  
WEST-NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE FORECAST TO  
DECREASE SLIGHTLY ON FRIDAY, BUT ELEVATED MIXING HEIGHTS SHOULD  
AGAIN YIELD GOOD DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........45 44 53 53 60 58 54 52 56  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 20 20 30 30 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 10 20 20 20 30 30  
TEMP............81 86 89 91 93 95 93 93 92  
RH..............82 72 66 60 55 50 50 50 55  
HEAT INDEX (F)..87 96 100 103 106 107 105 103 102  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.9 4.0 4.3 4.7 5.1 4.8 4.5 4.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW W NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 9 10 10 10 12 10  
DISPERSION IDX..20 30 45 50 55 60 60 60 55  
LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........55 53 58 57 61 58 57 47 46 32 27 24  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 20 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............89 87 84 80 79 79 78 77 76 76 75 74  
RH..............60 65 70 80 85 82 85 88 87 87 90 90  
HEAT INDEX (F)..98 95 91 85 79 79 78 77 76 76 75 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW W W W W W W N N N W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 7 6 3 3 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 1.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..40 20 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........1 2 3 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........17 4 1 3 6 29 20 39 58 53 44 55  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 30  
TEMP............74 75 76 80 86 89 92 93 93 94 93 92  
RH..............90 90 90 85 70 65 55 55 55 50 50 55  
HEAT INDEX (F)..74 75 76 85 96 100 103 105 105 105 103 102  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 9 9 10 12 10 12 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.7 2.8 4.0 4.7 5.3 6.0 4.9 3.7 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W NW NW NW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 9 10 10 10 9 9 9 9  
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 10 20 35 55 65 70 65 60 50 40  
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...NELSON  
REQUESTED BY...JADE SHANKLE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2617415.0/JAX  
.DELDT 07/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JADE.SHANKLE@MYFWC.COM  
 
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