595  
FNUS72 KJAX 151913  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BRADFORD/UNION SPOT WEATHER FORECAST...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
213 PM EST THU JAN 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EST ON JANUARY 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
CLEAR SKIES AND BREEZY/GUSTY WINDS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST WILL BE  
EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS A  
MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIRMASS FILTERS INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL  
RESULT IN GOOD DISPERSIONS THAT COULD BE BORDERLINE HIGH AT TIMES.  
MINRH VALUES IN THE CRITICAL RANGE WILL ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH  
EARLY EVENING (AROUND 25-30%), AND ALL CRITERIA WILL BE CLOSE TO  
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER HEADLINES. IT WILL BE A COLD NIGHT TONIGHT  
WITH A FREEZE AND WIDESPREAD FROST LIKELY FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE  
ANOTHER DRY AND COOL DAY FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BECOME MUCH LIGHTER  
AND SHIFT MORE SO OUT OF SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST, RESULTING IN LOWER  
DISPERSIONS IN THE 25-30 UNIT RANGE. MINRH VALUES WILL REMAIN AT  
CRITICAL LEVELS FRIDAY, AROUND ONLY 25-30% DURING PEAK MIXING.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
TIME (EST) 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........3 1 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0  
TEMP............51 50 48  
RH..............29 28 30  
HEAT INDEX (F)..51 45 42  
WIND CHILL (F)..51 45 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..16 15 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 24 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 4.2 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 25 22  
DISPERSION IDX..75 72 61  
LVORI...........1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........3 4 3 3 4 2 4 5 7 5 6 6  
WEATHER COV..... WID ARS WID  
WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 41 38 36 36 34 33 32 29 28 27 25  
RH..............33 39 42 44 44 47 49 51 58 60 63 68  
HEAT INDEX (F)..38 36 33 31 31 29 29 27 25 24 27 25  
WIND CHILL (F)..38 36 33 31 31 29 29 27 25 24 27 25  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 3 3 1 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 16 16 15 15 14 13 12 9 7 5 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N NW NW N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 15 14 13 13 12 12 10 8 6 5 3  
DISPERSION IDX..44 9 6 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 2 2  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
   
FRIDAY  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 4 3 2 3 2 3 3 5 4 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....WID WID WID PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FST FST FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............24 24 26 34 40 45 50 53 55 56 56 54  
RH..............71 71 68 51 41 33 28 25 24 25 25 31  
HEAT INDEX (F)..24 24 26 34 40 45 50 53 55 56 56 54  
WIND CHILL (F)..24 24 26 34 40 45 50 53 55 56 56 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N SE E E SE S S SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 3 5 6 7 7 7 8 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E E SE S SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 5 5 6 7 7 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..2 3 3 5 7 10 12 17 21 23 25 17  
LVORI...........3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
 
 
FORECASTER...DUBOIS  
REQUESTED BY...GREG JACKSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600249.0/JAX  
.DELDT 01/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL THOMAS.JACKSON@FDACS.GOV  
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