487
FNUS72 KJAX 260410
FWSJAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR MITCHELL WILDFIRE...USWFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1210 AM EDT WED AUG 26 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 EDT ON AUGUST 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BUILD DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS WITH THE HIGHEST LIKELIHOOD FOR THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN
THE VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE BY AROUND 3 TO 6 PM. CONVECTION WILL
DROP OFF THIS EVENING AND THEN REBUILDING THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS
WILL BE FROM OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST TODAY, BECOMING MILD
AND SOUTHERLY OVERNIGHT, AND THEN REBUILDING FROM OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST ON THURSDAY.
REST OF TODAY
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........30 31 30 31 32 46 58 68 70 75 78
WEATHER COV.....PTY SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 40 50 50 60 60
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 30 50 50 60 60
TEMP............69 71 75 81 85 86 87 87 87 89 86
RH..............100 100 100 88 77 72 70 68 68 64 70
HEAT INDEX (F)..69 71 75 88 96 96 98 96 96 99 95
WIND CHILL (F)..69 71 75 88 96 96 98 96 96 99 95
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW S SW SW W
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 3 3 5 5 5 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.2 3 2 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.3 3.9 4.6 4.0 3.4 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 7
DISPERSION IDX..2 4 7 14 21 28 34 37 35 31 26
LVORI...........10 9 8 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 3
TONIGHT
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........70 64 57 50 47 44 42 33 30 27 24 21
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 30 30 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).50 40 30 30 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............86 83 77 75 74 73 73 72 72 71 71 70
RH..............70 74 90 94 97 100 97 100 97 100 100 100
HEAT INDEX (F)..95 90 77 75 74 73 73 72 72 71 71 70
WIND CHILL (F)..95 90 77 75 74 73 73 72 72 71 71 70
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S SE S S S S S S S S SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE SE SE S S S S S SW SW SW VARIABLE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 7 7 6
DISPERSION IDX..19 12 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........3 4 6 7 8 9 8 9 8 9 9 9
THURSDAY
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........22 23 23 23 22 11 22 18 27 40 57 73
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC LKY
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 10 20 40 60 VARIABLE
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 40 60
TEMP............70 69 71 75 82 86 88 90 91 90 91 88
RH..............100 100 100 100 82 72 68 62 60 62 60 66
HEAT INDEX (F)..70 69 71 75 89 96 99 101 102 101 102 98
WIND CHILL (F)..70 69 71 75 89 96 99 101 102 101 102 98
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW N N SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 0 0 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.4 2.3 3.3 4.2 5.1 6.0 5.1 4.3 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 8
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 6 10 20 29 42 57 66 58 46 36
LVORI...........9 9 9 8 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 2
FORECASTER...CORLESS
REQUESTED BY...TYLER BELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620507.0/JAX
.DELDT 08/26/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TYLER_BELL@FWS.GOV
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