369  
FNUS72 KMFL 051233  
FWSMFL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WUI-12 PILE...SEMINOLE TRIBE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL  
833 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON OCTOBER 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (305) 229-4522, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WHILE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT, THE PREDOMINANT DIRECTION WILL BE SOUTH TO  
SOUTHEAST THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY. AS SEA BREEZES BEGIN TO MAKE THEIR WAY  
INLAND, THE HIGHEST CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FOR INLAND SOUTH  
FLORIDA, INCLUDING NEAR THE BURN SITE IN SOUTHERN HENDRY COUNTY.  
FREQUENT LIGHTNING, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS, AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE  
POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORM. STORM MOTIONS MAY BE SLOW AND ERRATIC, AND NEW  
UPDRAFTS MAY DEVELOP ALONG APPROACHING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. SHOWER ACTIVITY  
SHOULD WANE AFTER SUNSET AND WINDS BECOME MORE LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
DISPERSIONS WILL BE MOSTLY FAIR THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. CHANCES OF  
PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE ON TUESDAY AS A STALLING FRONT  
APPROACHES CENTRAL FLORIDA. DISPERSIONS WILL REMAIN MORE POOR TO FAIR.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
DECREASING TO 11 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........11 19 40 41 47 53 59 73 76  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 30 30 40 50  
TEMP............79 84 86 88 90 90 90 91 87  
RH..............94 80 72 66 62 60 60 58 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 7 9 9 9 9 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 2.1 3.0 3.8 4.3 4.4 4.1 3.4 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S SE NE N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 6 5 3 3 5 5  
DISPERSION IDX..7 13 22 26 21 11 10 12 10  
LVORI...........7 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 3  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3  
TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7.  
LVORI...............7.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........72 76 71 71 80 70 66 57 60 36 38 37  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 40 30 20 10 0 10 0  
TEMP............86 84 78 77 77 76 75 75 75 75 74 74  
RH..............70 77 91 94 94 97 97 97 97 97 100 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE S SW W SW S S S SE S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E E SE S SW SW S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..11 6 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........3 4 7 7 7 8 8 9 8 8 10 9  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 6  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 18 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 22 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 15 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............7.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........47 36 41 52 37 37 54 42 57 51 66 78  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC LKY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 30 40 60  
TEMP............74 73 74 77 82 84 86 87 88 87 88 85  
RH..............97 100 100 100 85 77 70 68 66 65 66 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 6 7 8 8 9 12 14 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.6 3.4 4.0 4.2 3.8 3.1 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 4 5 13 18 22 25 24 25 18 15  
LVORI...........9 10 9 8 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...PORCELLI  
REQUESTED BY...JEFFREY RADAKOVIC  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2623074.0/MFL  
.DELDT 10/05/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab FL Page
Main Text Page