211  
FNUS72 KMFL 170804  
FWSMFL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE GLADES 6-1 BLACKLINE...PALM BEACH COUNTY ERM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL  
404 AM EDT WED JUL 17 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (305) 229-4522, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW AROUND ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW THE  
SEA BREEZES TO DEVELOP AND PUSH INLAND TODAY. MORNING ATLANTIC  
SHOWERS WILL TRANSITION TO AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS  
WITH A FOCUS OVER THE INTERIOR AND THE GULF COAST. SOME REMNANT  
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATE IN THE EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT AS THE  
SEA BREEZE RETREATS AND ATLANTIC SHOWERS DEVELOP OVER THE COASTAL  
WATERS AGAIN. DISPERSION INDEX VALUES WILL BE POOR TO FAIR TODAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1100, THEN 16-25 STRIKES UNTIL  
1400, THEN 9-15 STRIKES.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3500 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 30.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........27 27 51 51 51 35 35 35 27  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............85 88 90 92 92 92 91 91 90  
RH..............75 66 59 56 54 54 55 53 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE E E E E  
20 FT WIND DIR..130 130 140 130 120 110 110 110 110  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 7 7 7 7 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 10 10 10 10 10 12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 2.1 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.0 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 10  
DISPERSION IDX..8 19 29 31 31 29 30 29 28  
LVORI...........4 3 2 1 2 2 2 2 2  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 30 30 30 30  
LAL.............1 1 4 4 4 3 3 3 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 2000, THEN NO TSTMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....21 DECREASING TO 1.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........27 27 19 19 19 32 32 32 33 33 33 32  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH  
TEMP............89 88 85 83 83 82 81 80 80 79 79 78  
RH..............57 62 67 72 76 77 79 81 83 84 86 86  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND DIR..110 110 110 120 120 130 130 130 130 130 130 130  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 7 6 6 6 6 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 2 2  
DISPERSION IDX..21 11 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1  
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20  
LAL.............3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 0800, THEN 16-25 STRIKES UNTIL  
1400, THEN 9-15 STRIKES.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4500 FT AGL  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 11 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 41 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 30.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........32 34 34 45 52 52  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
TEMP............78 82 89 93 93 92  
RH..............90 83 64 55 52 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE E E  
20 FT WIND DIR..130 140 130 120 110 110  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 7 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST. 4 6 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 2700 4200 4500 4100  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 2 SE 3 SE 8 SE 9 SE 8 SE 8  
DISPERSION IDX..1 4 26 42 29 29  
LVORI...........7 5 3 1 2 2  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 20 20  
LAL.............1 4 4 4 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...GARCIA  
REQUESTED BY...HARPER CARROLL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1912323.0/MFL  
 
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