138
FNUS72 KMLB 150745
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE WOODRUFF INITIAL ATTACK...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
345 AM EDT MON JUN 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JUNE 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH THIS MORNING BEFORE SCATTERED SHOWERS
(50%) AND LIGHTNING STORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP INTO THE
AFTERNOON. COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO INCREASE IN THE AFTERNOON AS WEST-SOUTHWEST FLOW CONVERGES
WITH OUTFLOW FROM PREVIOUS STORMS. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE
FREQUENT LIGHTNING, HEAVY RAINFALL (1-3" IN 60-90 MINUTES WITH A
1-IN-10 CHANCE IN EXCESS OF 2" UP TO 4" TOTAL), AND WIND GUSTS UP
TO 40-50MPH. WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 5-10MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
15-20MPH ARE FORECAST. AN AFTERNOON HIGH OF 94 DEGREES WITH A
MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUE OF AROUND 107F IS FORECAST WITH A MAJOR
HEATRISK. A MAJOR HEATRISK AFFECTS ANYONE WITHOUT ADEQUATE COOLING
AND HYDRATION! NO CRITICAL RH VALUES ARE FORECAST. DISPERSION
VALUES WILL BE VERY GOOD.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20 INCREASING TO 45 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 58 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 73 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 80
DECREASING TO 64 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 55.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........40 36 38 44 50 55 64 67 66 63
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 20 40 40 50 50 40
TEMP............79 83 86 88 90 91 91 92 93 90
RH..............93 85 78 69 63 62 62 61 58 63
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15 17 16 16 17 18 20 20 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 2.4 3.1 3.7 4.1 4.4 3.4 3.1 3.0 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 15 15 15 15 15 14 15 14
DISPERSION IDX..20 45 58 69 76 80 64 54 57 52
LVORI...........5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....45 DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........65 67 69 65 64 66 57 52 44 39 37 34
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............90 88 85 83 82 80 80 79 79 78 78 77
RH..............62 64 71 77 77 81 83 85 86 88 89 90
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 16 14 14 13 12 12 12 12 12 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 1.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 12 12 10 10 8 7 9 10 10 9
DISPERSION IDX..45 29 8 5 5 5 4 3 4 5 4 4
LVORI...........1 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 6
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN
DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 15 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 56 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 67
DECREASING TO 47 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 21 INCREASING TO 44 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 2.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........30 32 33 38 38 42 48 58 56 55 59 60
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 0 0 0 10 30 40 40
TEMP............76 77 78 82 85 87 88 91 91 91 92 90
RH..............91 90 94 86 76 71 65 59 58 58 56 60
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 14 15 16 16 17 18 20 20 18 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 2.4 3.1 3.8 4.0 4.3 4.0 2.8 1.8 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W W W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 10 12 13 13 13 13 14 12 8 10
DISPERSION IDX..4 4 15 37 52 59 64 67 70 47 21 44
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 1
FORECASTER...FEHLING
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN PIPPIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2615474.1/MLB
.DELDT 06/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRIAN_PIPPIN@FWS.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page