027
FNUS72 KMLB 310811
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR SLC36 WILDFIRE...US WILDLAND FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
411 AM EDT SUN MAY 31 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST NEAR THE SITE THIS MORNING, BECOMING
MORE ONSHORE AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS AND MOVES
INLAND AFTER 12 PM. WIND SPEEDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN BETWEEN
5 TO 10 MPH. FAIR SMOKE DISPERSION VALUES IN THE MORNING WILL
DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SEA BREEZE MOVES INLAND. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS
ACTIVITY ACROSS THE PENINSULA PUSHES OFFSHORE. LIGHTNING STRIKES,
WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH, AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
STORM ACTIVITY. RAIN CHANCES DECREASE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
A SIMILAR PATTERN IS FORECAST ON MONDAY, WITH OFFSHORE WINDS
BECOMING MORE ONSHORE IN THE AFTERNOON AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
STORMS POSSIBLE. FAIR SMOKE DISPERSION VALUES CONTINUE ON MONDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING,
THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....21 INCREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 6 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........41 49 60 52 58 61 64 68 75
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 30 40 50 50 50
TEMP............79 81 81 82 82 82 82 83 81
RH..............88 82 82 79 79 79 79 77 85
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW N NE NE E SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 9 9 9 10 10 10 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.8 2.5 1.9 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W NW NE NE S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 9 8 7 6 6 8
DISPERSION IDX..21 29 34 22 11 5 3 3 6
LVORI...........4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13 TO 14
MPH OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.
LVORI...............4 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........63 66 62 72 57 65 53 61 46 34 34 44
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 30 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............81 80 79 78 79 79 79 79 79 78 78 77
RH..............82 85 88 91 91 91 91 91 88 91 91 94
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S SW SW SW SW W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 7 8 9 9 10 10 12 12 12 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S SW SW W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 9 13 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 14
DISPERSION IDX..5 8 5 7 8 7 8 8 8 6 7 10
LVORI...........4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 6
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 34.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........51 58 59 62 51 47 46 60 69 53 48 60
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 20 20 30 40 40 50 50 50 50
TEMP............78 78 79 81 82 83 83 84 84 84 85 84
RH..............91 91 91 85 82 80 82 77 77 77 75 77
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 14 14 15 15 15 15 16 16 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.2 1.6 1.7 2.0 1.8 2.0 1.8 1.3 1.5 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 15 15 14 16
DISPERSION IDX..10 10 22 29 32 34 34 30 29 25 26 30
LVORI...........5 5 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 3 3 3
FORECASTER...TOLLEFSEN
REQUESTED BY...CHARLES HENSLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2614659.2/MLB
.DELDT 05/31/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CHARLES_HENSLER@FWS.GOV
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