353
FNUS72 KMLB 061334
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR FAY LAKE RX BURN...BREVARD COUNTY FIRE RESCUE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
834 AM EST THU NOV 6 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON NOVEMBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE LOCAL AREA TODAY. MOSTLY DRY
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST, THOUGH A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY NEAR THE BURN SITE. NO MIN RH CONCERNS.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5-10 MPH TODAY WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY TOMORROW.
PEAK DISPERSIONS WILL BE FAIR, DUE TO MODEST TRANSPORT WINDS AND
MIXING HEIGHTS.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 34 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 3.
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........52 67 69 73 79 79 82 81 81
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............71 74 76 77 78 77 78 77 75
RH..............79 76 71 67 64 67 67 69 74
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 8 9 9 8 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.1 2.4 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 9 9 9 9 9 10 9
DISPERSION IDX..15 28 28 32 32 34 33 28 11
LVORI...........4 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............5 INCREASING TO 9.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........85 83 79 69 67 68 65 66 72 74 62 65
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20
TEMP............73 71 70 69 69 68 68 68 67 67 66 66
RH..............79 84 87 90 90 93 93 93 97 97 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE N N N N N NE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE NE NE E E NE NE E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
DISPERSION IDX..2 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
LVORI...........4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 9
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 3 TO
7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 31 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 3.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........71 60 61 59 56 59 61 63 62 61 59 54
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............66 67 69 73 77 78 79 79 79 78 78 76
RH..............100 97 93 87 79 76 74 74 74 76 76 82
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E E E E SE SE E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.6 2.8 3.6 4.1 4.3 4.3 3.9 3.3 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E E SE SE SE S S S S S SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 3 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
DISPERSION IDX..2 0 3 9 19 25 31 19 19 18 26 20
LVORI...........9 9 7 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
FORECASTER...LEAHY
REQUESTED BY...RON WHIPPLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525282.0/MLB
.DELDT 11/06/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RONALD.WHIPPLE@BREVARDFL.GOV
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