224
FNUS72 KMLB 151203
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR BSP-06B...BLUE SPRING STATE PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
803 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON OCTOBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
GOOD MORNING! DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST AT THE BURN SITE TODAY WITH
NO MENTIONABLE RAIN CHANCES. LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE DAY BECOME
ESTABLISHED OUT THE EAST INTO LATE MORNING, INCREASING NEAR 10 MPH
LATE IN THE DAY. THERE ARE NO CRITICAL RH CONCERNS. FAIR SMOKE DISPERSION
IS FORECAST.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 35.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........10 13 16 19 23 27 31 29 27 25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0
TEMP............71 75 81 84 86 88 89 89 89 87
RH..............97 90 77 67 61 57 54 54 54 57
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 5 6 6 6 6 7 9 10
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 8 10 10 12 13 15 17 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 2.3 3.2 3.9 4.5 4.9 4.4 4.3 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 7 7 6 6 6 7 9 10
DISPERSION IDX..2 6 20 28 28 32 35 38 38 35
LVORI...........8 6 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....27 DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 8.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........21 17 13 14 16 18 17 16 15 17 18 19
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............85 83 78 76 76 75 75 74 74 73 73 73
RH..............61 67 79 87 87 90 90 93 93 97 97 97
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E N
20 FT WIND SPD..9 7 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 0
20 FT WIND GUST.18 16 14 12 10 8 7 6 6 5 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E SE E
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5
DISPERSION IDX..27 10 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
LVORI...........2 3 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 8
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
6 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 17 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 3.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........24 29 34 28 21 15 31 28 32 55 50 50
WEATHER COV..... LKY LKY LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 60 60 60 50
TEMP............72 72 73 76 82 85 87 88 88 89 86 85
RH..............100 100 97 97 82 72 68 63 63 61 68 70
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE E S SW E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 3 3 5 6 7 7 8 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.3 1.0 1.9 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.0 2.3 2.3 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE E SE S S SW W SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 3 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 6
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 1 5 12 18 19 21 21 21 19 18
LVORI...........9 9 8 7 4 3 3 2 2 2 3 3
FORECASTER...LAW
REQUESTED BY...DUSTIN ALLEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623824.0/MLB
.DELDT 10/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DUSTIN.L.ALLEN@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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