907
FNUS72 KMLB 300750
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR WS-03 EAST...WEKIVA SPRINGS STATE PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
350 AM EDT WED SEP 30 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
GOOD MORNING. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME
EAST TO SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 5-6 MPH BY MID-MORNING. AFTER
LITTLE TO NO RAIN THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS, RAIN AND STORM CHANCES
RETURN TODAY AT THE BURN SITE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING
STORMS ARE FORECAST NEAR THE SITE THIS AFTERNOON (40 PERCENT
CHANCE) MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH. GREATEST
POTENTIAL FOR STORMS AFTER 2 PM. MAIN STORM HAZARDS WILL BE
FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES, GUSTY WINDS OF 40-45 MPH, AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
THERE ARE NO MIN RH CONCERNS TODAY, WITH MIN RH VALUES DROPPING TO
50-55 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE
FAIR TODAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 19 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 33 IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
24 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 2.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........59 55 59 59 65 67 71 75 75
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 30 30 40 30
TEMP............75 80 84 86 88 88 88 89 86
RH..............90 77 67 61 55 55 55 54 59
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E SE SE SE SE E E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.3 6 8 10 10 10 10 10 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.7 2.8 3.7 4.4 4.8 4.5 4.0 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 6 7 7 7 6 6 7
DISPERSION IDX..3 8 19 31 36 37 31 28 24
LVORI...........6 4 3 1 1 1 1 2 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....21 DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........74 76 66 68 58 53 52 47 44 38 39 32
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............85 83 79 77 76 76 75 74 74 74 73 73
RH..............61 67 79 85 87 87 90 93 93 93 93 97
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 10 9 8 8 7 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E SE E SE E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 8 8 7 7 7 6 7 6 6
DISPERSION IDX..21 9 6 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........2 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 13 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 41 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 32.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 4 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 1 IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO
3 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........24 39 33 33 35 34 42 49 52 59 64 54
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 50 60 50
TEMP............73 73 73 78 82 86 88 89 89 90 88 86
RH..............93 93 97 88 77 68 61 59 61 60 63 68
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 7 8 9 9 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 9 12 14 15 17 17 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.3 2.3 3.2 3.8 4.2 4.6 4.8 4.2 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E E SE E E SE E SE E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 12
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 3 13 28 37 36 40 42 42 39 32
LVORI...........6 7 7 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 3
FORECASTER...WATSON
REQUESTED BY...PAUL LAMMARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622774.0/MLB
.DELDT 09/30/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL PAUL.LAMMARDO@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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