828
FNUS72 KMLB 271622
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR HELLS BAY...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1222 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1300 EDT ON JUNE 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
REST OF TODAY
LIGHT SOUTH WINDS SHIFT EAST AS THE SEA BREEZE PASSES THIS AFTERNOON,
GENERALLY AFTER 3PM. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS
HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE COAST EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH COVERAGE EXPECTED
TO EXPAND INLAND TOWARDS THE INCIDENT SITE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN VICINITY OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS. THERE ARE
NO CRITICAL RH CONCERNS. POOR TO FAIR SMOKE DISPERSION IS FORECAST.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6
TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3600 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........41 53 59 61 60
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC LKY CHC LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 50 60 50 60
TEMP............91 92 92 92 89
RH..............57 55 57 56 63
20 FT WIND DIR..S S E SE E
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 8
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 10 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.3 5.7 3.6 2.8 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 8 9 10
DISPERSION IDX..32 36 38 31 29
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 8
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....21 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........67 53 41 34 25 21
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 20 0 0 0 0
TEMP............88 83 80 78 77 76
RH..............65 77 84 88 90 93
20 FT WIND......E 8 S 6 S 3 S 3 S 2 S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 6 5 3 3
MIX HGT (FT)....1900 600 400 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9 S 8 S 7 S 6 S 6 S 6
DISPERSION IDX..24 5 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........2 4 5 6 6 6
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 34.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 2.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........19 16 15 26 39 45
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 30 40
TEMP............75 77 86 90 93 93
RH..............94 92 71 61 55 54
20 FT WIND......S 1 S 1 S 2 SW 3 S 3 E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 3 5 6 9
MIX HGT (FT)....400 800 2300 4100 4900 5000
TRANSPORT WIND..S 6 S 6 SW 5 SW 3 S 3 S 7
DISPERSION IDX..3 5 14 18 22 36
LVORI...........7 6 3 2 2 1
FORECASTER...LAW
REQUESTED BY...STEPHINE AYALA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2616315.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/27/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL STEPHANIE.AYALA@FDACS.GOV
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