908
FNUS72 KMLB 210715
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR SFWMD CYPRESS CREEK ESE...SFWMD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
315 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
OVERALL RAIN CHANCES REMAIN LOW (20% OR LESS). HOWEVER, CANNOT RULE
OUT BRIEF, ONSHORE-MOVING SHOWERS THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY, AS HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES NEAR THE AREA. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
STORMS ARE THEN FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SEA BREEZE JUST WEST OF
THE BURN SITE IN THE AFTERNOONS, BEFORE MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS. EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW CONTINUES, BECOMING 10-15 MPH,
WITH GUSTS 20-25 MPH, BEHIND THE SEA BREEZE. NO MIN RH CONCERNS, WITH
GOOD AFTERNOON DISPERSION.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 50.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........28 22 26 29 27 24 27 26 20 15 16
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 10 10
TEMP............77 79 82 84 85 86 87 87 87 87 86
RH..............88 85 77 70 67 65 63 63 63 63 65
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 7 9 9 10 12 12 12 13 13
20 FT WIND GUST.9 12 12 12 12 13 14 15 17 18 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 2.7 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 10 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 14
DISPERSION IDX..3 5 35 45 47 50 41 43 45 47 48
LVORI...........5 5 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....43 DECREASING TO 7 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 5.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........16 20 15 27 39 44
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20
TEMP............86 82 80 80 79 78
RH..............65 74 79 79 82 85
20 FT WIND......E 13 E 10 E 9 SE 6 SE 5 SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.20 21 20 17 14 12
MIX HGT (FT)....3100 700 400 500 400 500
TRANSPORT WIND..E 14 E 13 E 13 E 13 SE 10 SE 9
DISPERSION IDX..46 8 8 5 5 5
LVORI...........1 3 4 4 4 5
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 56 LATE IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........38 39 50 30
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 20
TEMP............78 83 87 87
RH..............85 80 65 65
20 FT WIND......E 5G12 SE 8G16 E 10G17 E 12G20
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1600 3600 4000
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 SE 13 SE 14 E 13
DISPERSION IDX..4 25 55 47
LVORI...........5 3 1 1
FORECASTER...WISHARD
REQUESTED BY...JAMES SCHUETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2614182.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JSCHUETT@SFWMD.GOV
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