051  
FNUS72 KMLB 010643  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JDSP TRAPPERS I...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
243 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 01.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
PROXIMITY TO A WEAK FRONT AND DEEP MOISTURE WILL  
KEEP SCATTERED SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS IN THE FORECAST TODAY,  
WITH ONSHORE-MOVING ACTIVITY POSSIBLE THIS MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON. FROM MID TO LATE AFTERNOON GREATEST PRECIP CHANCES  
WILL FAVOR WEST OF THE BURN AREA. LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST  
INTO THURSDAY. LIGHTNING STRIKES, GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS, AND TORRENTIAL  
DOWNPOURS WILL ACCOMPANY STRONGEST ACTIVITY THAT WILL BE SLOW-MOVING  
TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. SMOKE DISPERSION POOR TO FAIR TODAY AND  
THURSDAY. WARM AND HUMID AT NIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO AROUND 37.  
LVORI...............4 OR 3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........30 34 39 41 43 49 44 42 40  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).15 20 30 40 40 50 40 30 30  
TEMP............82 86 87 88 88 88 88 89 87  
RH..............85 75 72 70 70 70 70 66 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 5 6 7 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 7 9 10 13 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 3.0 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.3 3.2 2.9 2.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 8 9 9 10 10  
DISPERSION IDX..16 22 24 28 32 34 34 34 37  
LVORI...........4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........VARIABLE CLOUDINESS (35-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE LATE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO 2 TO 4.  
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 6.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........32 32 47 56 48 41 47 44 34 35 35 41  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 10  
TEMP............87 86 83 82 81 81 81 80 79 79 79 78  
RH..............70 72 80 82 85 82 82 85 88 88 89 91  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 3 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 12 9 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.2 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 5  
DISPERSION IDX..33 31 6 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2  
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO  
8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO AROUND 28.  
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........31 35 32 33 40 40 43 47 58 53 42 48  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC LKY CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC LKY CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 10 10 20 20 50 60 40 30  
TEMP............78 77 79 82 86 88 89 89 89 89 90 88  
RH..............91 92 90 82 75 70 68 67 67 67 66 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 1 3 5 6 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 3 3 3 6 7 9 10 10 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.8 2.1 3.0 3.6 3.6 3.6 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE SE SE E SE E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 2 5 5 5 5 7 7 8 8 8  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 3 11 17 21 22 27 26 28 28 26  
LVORI...........6 7 6 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK  
REQUESTED BY...ROB ROSSMANITH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2616548.0/MLB  
.DELDT 07/01/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ROBIN.ROSSMANITH@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
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