980
FNUS72 KMLB 071241
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR 3N UNITS 10 14...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
841 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HOT & HUMID INTO LATE WEEK. WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT WITH
LIGHT WINDS OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION. THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL NOT
PUSH ACROSS THE AREA UNTIL (LIKELY) EVENING, THOUGH OUTFLOWS FROM
NEARBY SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS COULD PROMOTE GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS.
THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING, BUT CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED STORM EARLIER. A
SIMILAR PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE ON WEDNESDAY AS WELL, BUT RAIN CHANCES
GRADUALLY LOWER AS WE MOVE FROM MID TO LATE WEEK, A COMBINATION OF
DRIER AIR AND SAHARAN DUST ACROSS THE AREA. SMOKE DISPERSION POOR TO
FAIR.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO AROUND 32.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1 OR 2.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........23 21 26 29 33 41 42 44 59
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
TEMP............80 84 86 88 90 91 91 92 89
RH..............91 77 72 66 62 60 60 58 64
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 7 7 8 8 8 9 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.7 2.6 3.5 4.2 4.6 4.7 4.6 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 7
DISPERSION IDX..8 13 19 22 25 27 27 32 30
LVORI...........5 4 3 3 2 2 2 1 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5
TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO AROUND 2 OR 3.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 8.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........58 67 48 45 25 17
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 30 20 10 10 0
TEMP............87 81 78 77 76 76
RH..............68 82 91 94 97 94
20 FT WIND......SW 5 SE 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 7 6 5 5
MIX HGT (FT)....1700 700 500 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 S 7 S 7 S 7 SW 6 SW 5
DISPERSION IDX..20 4 3 3 3 2
LVORI...........3 5 6 6 7 6
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 39.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........20 17 21 47
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 30
TEMP............75 81 89 93
RH..............97 91 66 54
20 FT WIND......S 2G3 SW 1G2 SW 3G6 S 5G9
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1500 3700 4900
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 3 SW 3 SW 3 S 6
DISPERSION IDX..2 7 17 39
LVORI...........8 5 3 1
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...JARED DRAXLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2616905.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/07/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JARED.DRAXLER@MYFWC.COM
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