396  
FNUS72 KMLB 240755  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JOSHUA CREEK RX...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
255 AM EST MON NOV 24 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON NOVEMBER 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THE BURN SITE THROUGH EARLY THIS  
MORNING, BUT SHOULD LIFT AND DIMINISH BY 9-10AM. WARM AND DRY  
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TODAY, WITH WINDS OUT OF THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 5-8 MPH. NO MINIMUM RH CONCERNS, WITH GENERALLY GOOD  
DISPERSION VALUES FORECAST. PATCHY FOG WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE  
LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MORNING TUESDAY. ANY LINGERING SMOKE  
FROM THE BURN MAY MIX WITH FOG TO PRODUCE LIMITED VISIBILITIES  
ALONG ANY NEARBY ROADWAYS.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....20 INCREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 47 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 1.  
 
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........30 31 32 33 34 35 36 30  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............76 78 80 80 81 81 79 77  
RH..............71 64 60 57 54 56 60 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 9 10 10 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 3.7 4.4 5.2 5.1 4.7 3.4 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 9 9 10  
DISPERSION IDX..20 32 34 41 42 47 38 13  
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG  
LATE TONIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO  
6 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4.  
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 9.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........25 20 21 36 35 35 35 38 39 32 40 38  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............74 70 68 67 66 66 65 65 64 63 63 62  
RH..............71 84 90 93 97 93 97 97 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E NE E E E E SE SE SE S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E NE E E E E E SE SE SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 6 6 5 6  
DISPERSION IDX..6 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 3  
LVORI...........3 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 9 9 9 9  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND  
6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 20 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 3.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........35 36 18 23 27 28 30 31 31 30 29 33  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............62 62 65 72 76 78 80 81 81 81 81 78  
RH..............99 99 95 80 74 69 64 60 60 61 61 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW S S S S S SE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 2 3 5 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.2 2.8 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.5 3.1 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 6 11 16 20 20 22 23 23 22 19  
LVORI...........9 9 7 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...WEITLICH  
REQUESTED BY...BLAKE BOYLE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2526556.0/MLB  
.DELDT 11/24/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BLAKE.BOYLE@FDACS.GOV  
 
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