331  
FNUS72 KMLB 140703  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JDSP E3/4...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
303 AM EDT THU MAY 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
GOOD MORNING. DRIER AIR WILL FILTER ACROSS THE AREA TODAY,  
RESULTING IN MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS INTO LATE WEEK. HOWEVER,  
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY  
AFTERNOON. NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5-10 MPH ARE FORECAST  
TODAY, WITH THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE SWITCHING WINDS TO THE EAST-  
NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS THEN BECOME PREDOMINATELY ONSHORE  
INTO FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST US, WITH  
WIND SPEEDS INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH BEHIND THE INLAND MOVING SEA  
BREEZE. NO MIN RH CONCERNS TODAY OR FRIDAY. SMOKE DISPERSION  
VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD TODAY, AND GOOD TO VERY GOOD ON  
FRIDAY.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....22 INCREASING TO 42 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 2 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........27 22 22 29 27 32 31 24 19  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............77 80 82 84 84 84 84 85 84  
RH..............90 82 74 70 70 67 65 63 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW W NW NW NW N N N NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 10 10 12 13 13 13 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.6 3.4 3.8 4.1 3.2 2.8 2.7 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W NW N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 10  
DISPERSION IDX..22 33 42 46 43 37 32 30 30  
LVORI...........4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO  
10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....20 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
LVORI...............4 INCREASING TO 6 LATE IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........15 13 15 15 12 9 22 31 37 44 35 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............84 82 80 79 78 77 77 76 76 75 75 75  
RH..............65 69 74 77 79 82 82 82 82 84 84 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E E E E E SE E NE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 6 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 12 12 10 10 9 7 7 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 9 10 9 7 6 5 5 5 5  
DISPERSION IDX..23 17 4 4 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 5 5  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 12 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 9 TO  
14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 57.  
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........30 21 15 6 11 11 12 14 23 22 23 23  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............74 75 76 80 83 85 86 86 86 87 85 85  
RH..............84 82 82 77 70 65 63 63 61 59 63 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 3 6 8 9 10 10 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 9 10 12 15 16 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 2.4 4.1 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.3 3.9 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 7 8 9 9 10 12 12 12 14 13  
DISPERSION IDX..2 3 5 25 46 55 57 61 60 54 54 53  
LVORI...........5 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...WATSON  
REQUESTED BY...ROB ROSSMANITH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613562.0/MLB  
.DELDT 05/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ROBIN.ROSSMANITH@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
 
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