307
FNUS72 KMLB 112250
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR FMU 9.2 RX...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
550 PM EST SUN JAN 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 EST ON JANUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
BREEZY AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS, WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE AT TIMES. THIS WILL LEAD
TO EXCELLENT DISPERSION VALUES TONIGHT THAT COULD POTENTIALLY
LEAD TO SOME CONTROL CONCERNS. FOG IS NOT ANTICIPATED NEAR THE
BURN SITE TONIGHT.
WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BECOME MORE NORTHEASTERLY INTO
MONDAY, SUBSIDING TO AROUND 10 MPH. THERE ARE NO MINIMUM RH
CONCERNS AND CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN MOSTLY DRY THROUGH
MONDAY (LOW CHANCE FOR A LIGHT SHOWER OR TWO). AFTERNOON SMOKE
DISPERSION VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE POOR TO FAIR ON MONDAY.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 TO 24 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....31 DECREASING TO 16.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........80 77 60 49 53 57 58 64 68 71 75 71
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............64 62 61 60 59 59 58 57 57 56 56 56
RH..............81 78 70 67 62 62 62 67 67 72 74 74
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..16 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 10 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 28 26 26 26 25 24 24 23 22 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.1 1.5 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.1 0.8 1.3 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 22 23 24 24 23 24 23 21 22 20 17
DISPERSION IDX..31 29 21 21 21 20 21 20 19 19 16 16
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 45 IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 38 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 2.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........72 74 70 73 65 69
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............55 58 66 69 70 69
RH..............80 80 65 59 57 61
20 FT WIND......N 8 NE 8 NE 9 NE 9 NE 9 N 8
20 FT WIND GUST.18 16 16 15 15 14
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 900 3000 3700 4100 3300
TRANSPORT WIND..N 16 N 15 NE 17 NE 14 NE 13 N 14
DISPERSION IDX..12 23 45 40 38 39
LVORI...........4 3 2 1 2 2
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....21 DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 5 OVERNIGHT.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........85 77 72 76 79 83
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 20 20
TEMP............64 61 59 59 59 58
RH..............73 81 87 83 83 90
20 FT WIND......N 6 N 5 N 3 N 3 N 3 N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 10 9 9 9
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1800 1300 1100 1100 1100
TRANSPORT WIND..N 16 N 15 N 15 N 15 N 15 N 14
DISPERSION IDX..21 7 6 6 6 6
LVORI...........3 4 4 4 5 5
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 46 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING 18.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 2.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........73 67 70 74
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20
TEMP............58 66 71 71
RH..............93 75 66 68
20 FT WIND......N 5G10 N 5G10 N 6G10 N 7G10
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1900 3100 2600
TRANSPORT WIND..N 14 N 16 N 14 N 9
DISPERSION IDX..8 29 46 18
LVORI...........5 3 2 3
FORECASTER...TOLLEFSEN
REQUESTED BY...ALAN TAYLOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2528729.1/MLB
.DELDT 01/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SHAWN_SULLIVAN@FWS.GOV
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