098  
FNUS72 KMLB 161020  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HUNTERS TRAIL...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
520 AM EST WED JAN 16 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EST ON JANUARY 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE DEEP SOUTH WILL MAINTAIN  
A COOL AND DRY AIRMASS FOR THE BURN SITE TODAY UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.  
NORTHERLY WINDS TODAY 10 MPH OR LESS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE 5 MPH  
OR LESS OVERNIGHT. LOCAL WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY OFFERING  
A GRADUAL MODERATING EFFECT INTO FRIDAY. MIN RH VALUES BETWEEN 38 TO  
44 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND TOMORROW AFTERNOON.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-2600 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 20 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 2.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........56 40 40 40 40 40 40 20 20 20 20 20  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............43 43 47 50 54 56 58 60 61 61 62 59  
RH..............89 89 83 77 71 64 59 53 49 46 42 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.6 2.9 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 10 12 10 9 7 7 7 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 8 15 23 24 23 20 20 20 22 19  
LVORI...........6 6 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 3 TO  
6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....15 DECREASING TO 3.  
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 7.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........20 4 4 4 4 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............56 52 49 47 46 46  
RH..............64 77 86 89 89 79  
20 FT WIND......NE 6 N 5 W 3 W 3 W 3 W 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 700 400 300 300 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 8 N 7 W 5 W 3 NW 3 W 3  
DISPERSION IDX..15 3 2 2 1 2  
LVORI...........2 4 6 7 7 6  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1900-3200 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 1 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO 7 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 16 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 2.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........4 2 2 11  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1  
TEMP............45 54 65 67  
RH..............73 61 44 40  
20 FT WIND......SW 1G3 N 3 NE 7 NE 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1200 2700 2900  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 5 N 5 NE 6 E 6  
DISPERSION IDX..2 7 19 18  
LVORI...........6 3 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...SHARP  
REQUESTED BY...JASON LONGFELLOW  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1900317.0/MLB  
.DELDT 01/16/19  
.EMAIL JASON.LONGFELLOW@FRESHFROMFLORIDA.COM  
 
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