919
FNUS72 KMLB 281302
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR BS-15C MOP UP OPERATIONS...BLUE SPRING STATE PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
902 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY
DISCUSSION
LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS AT 9AM SHIFT NORTH TO NORTHEAST LATE MORNING INTO
THE AFTERNOON AS A STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES CENTRAL FLORIDA. A RAPID
INCREASE IN WIND SPEED AND GUSTS IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT BY LATE
MORNING. INCREASING VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO VERY GOOD
AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSION WITH POTENTIAL FOR CONTROL PROBLEMS. LOW
CHANCES (10-20%) FOR GUSTY SHOWERS EXIST THIS AFTERNOON, BUT LIGHTNING
IS GENERALLY NOT EXPECTED. THERE ARE NO MINRH CONCERNS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLOUDY
(85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH 10 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 32 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHEAST
AROUND 30 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 65.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 1 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........6 2 6 27 48 59 69 77 89
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 20 20
TEMP............66 72 77 78 78 78 75 73 71
RH..............90 79 69 67 67 67 71 76 79
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N N N N NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 10 13 14 16 17 17 18
20 FT WIND GUST.10 14 17 22 26 31 31 32 32
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.7 2.8 3.3 3.2 2.9 2.5 2.5 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 12 12 15 20 25 26 28 30
DISPERSION IDX..14 24 40 52 66 63 63 65 65
LVORI...........5 3 2 1 1 1 3 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 32 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 28 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....56 DECREASING TO 18.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........88 90 90 88 85 83 84 85 81 78 73 70
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............68 67 65 64 64 64 64 64 64 63 63 63
RH..............84 84 90 93 93 90 90 87 84 87 87 84
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..18 17 17 16 15 15 14 13 13 13 13 14
20 FT WIND GUST.32 31 31 30 29 28 26 25 24 24 24 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 28 25 26 24 21 22 22 20 20 20
DISPERSION IDX..59 53 30 27 27 27 23 24 24 18 17 18
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 14 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 23 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 39 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 68 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 80 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 60
DECREASING TO 52 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........73 56 42 36 47 58 62 65 69 70 71 72
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............62 63 62 63 66 69 71 72 72 72 72 71
RH..............87 84 84 90 87 78 73 71 71 71 71 73
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 14
20 FT WIND GUST.24 24 24 25 26 28 28 28 28 26 26 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.7 1.7 2.9 3.6 3.9 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 3.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 21 22 23 23 23 22 21 20 20 18
DISPERSION IDX..18 18 39 68 80 62 63 60 57 56 53 50
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
FORECASTER...LAW
REQUESTED BY...DUSTIN ALLEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608236.0/MLB
.DELDT 03/28/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DUSTIN.L.ALLEN@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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