915  
FNUS72 KMLB 101855  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ENCHANTED FOREST SANCTUARY SOUTH RIDGE...BREVARD EEL  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
255 PM EDT FRI JUL 10 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EDT ON JULY 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM FOR PEAK HEAT  
INDICES OF UP TO 110F. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED ON  
SATURDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S AND PEAK HEAT INDICES  
NEARING 110F ONCE AGAIN. THERE IS A HIGH LIKELIHOOD THAT ANOTHER  
HEAT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED FOR SATURDAY AT THE BURN SITE.  
 
ASIDE FROM THE HEAT, THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS  
NEAR THE BURN SITE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TODAY. MOISTURE IS  
FORECAST TO INCREASE ON SATURDAY, WITH RAIN AND STORM CHANCES  
REACHING 30-40%. TIMING OF SHOWER AND STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL FAVOR  
THE AFTERNOON HOURS, PRIMARILY AFTER 12 PM. DEVELOPMENT WILL BE  
DRIVEN BY THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE, WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS 5-10 MPH  
BECOMING MORE SOUTHEASTERLY AT 10-15 MPH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. NO  
MINIMUM RH CONCERNS THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY OR ON SATURDAY.  
AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSION VALUES ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN GENERALLY  
GOOD BOTH THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY NEAR THE BURN  
SITE.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....40.  
LVORI...............1.  
 
TIME (EDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........7 4 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10  
TEMP............97 96 94  
RH..............51 53 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.3 3.6 2.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10  
DISPERSION IDX..43 43 37  
LVORI...........1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 9 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....33 DECREASING TO 3.  
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........4 5 3 7 5 11  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............92 85 82 80 79 77  
RH..............60 77 82 88 88 94  
20 FT WIND......SE 12 SE 10 S 8 S 6 SW 5 S 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 14 12 9 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 900 400 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 13 SE 13 S 10 S 9 S 8 S 7  
DISPERSION IDX..33 8 7 4 3 3  
LVORI...........1 4 4 5 6 6  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO  
9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 39.  
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 1.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........6 5 4 5 30 30  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 20 30  
TEMP............77 79 88 92 95 96  
RH..............97 94 72 62 55 53  
20 FT WIND......S 2 SW 2 S 3 SE 5 SE 7 SE 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 6 7 9 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 700 2400 3900 5100 4200  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 SW 5 SW 6 SW 5 SE 7 S 8  
DISPERSION IDX..3 4 16 19 36 39  
LVORI...........7 6 3 2 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...TOLLEFSEN  
REQUESTED BY...EVAN HALL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2617138.1/MLB  
.DELDT 07/10/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL EVAN.HALL@BREVARDFL.GOV  
 
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