598
FNUS72 KMLB 041149
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR 3NORTH...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
749 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT SHOWERS CAN'T BE RULED OUT THROUGH THE MORNING (CHANCES LESS
THAN 40%), BUT HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING STORMS AREN'T FORECAST
UNTIL AFTER 1 PM, THEN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING
STORMS ARE EXPECTED IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN BY AROUND 3 PM
(CHANCES INCREASE UP TO 70%). STRONG STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS. OUTSIDE OF STORMS, LIGHT SRLY WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING
BECOME WSW-SW 5-10 MPH FROM THE LATE MORNING THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING, THEN LIGHT SRLY AGAIN LATE. NO MIN RH CONCERNS. PEAK
DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE POOR TO FAIR. AFTERNOON HIGHS AROUND 90
RESULTING IN PEAK AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES AROUND 100.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3600 FT AGL
LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 41 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 4.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........34 38 37 48 55 60 67 59 62 70
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 20 20 40 60 70 70 60
TEMP............77 81 83 86 87 86 85 87 83 82
RH..............94 85 80 72 70 70 72 68 77 77
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 8 10 12 12 13 13 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.3 2.2 2.9 3.6 3.5 3.4 2.8 2.6 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W SW W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 8
DISPERSION IDX..4 13 22 30 41 40 41 33 27 17
LVORI...........6 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7.
LVORI...............5 INCREASING TO 8.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........71 71 55 54 42 36
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 10 10 10 0
TEMP............82 77 76 76 75 75
RH..............77 90 90 90 97 94
20 FT WIND......SW 5 S 3 SE 2 S 2 S 2 S 1
20 FT WIND GUST.12 7 5 3 3 3
MIX HGT (FT)....1300 500 400 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 6 S 5
DISPERSION IDX..11 3 3 3 3 2
LVORI...........4 6 6 6 7 6
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 31.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 3.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........49 56 65 80
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 10 40
TEMP............73 79 87 88
RH..............100 91 68 63
20 FT WIND......SE 1G2 S 1G2 SE 3G7 SE 5G10
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1200 3300 3700
TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 S 6 SE 7 SE 9
DISPERSION IDX..2 9 27 33
LVORI...........9 5 3 2
FORECASTER...HALEY
REQUESTED BY...ADAM PETERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2618945.0/MLB
.DELDT 08/04/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL APETERSON@TNC.ORG
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