545  
FNUS72 KMLB 250732  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 3N UNITS 52-E 53-W 60-W...FWC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
332 AM EDT THU JUN 25 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JUNE 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY IN THE MORNING WILL BECOME MORE  
SOUTHWESTERLY LATE THIS MORNING BETWEEN 5 TO 10 MPH. DRY  
CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS, WITH NO  
MINIMUM RH CONCERNS FORECAST NEAR THE BURN SITE. SMOKE DISPERSION  
VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO  
THE LOW 90S WITH PEAK HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 100 TO 105F. INTO THE  
AFTERNOON HOURS, RAIN AND STORM CHANCES INCREASE, WITH THE  
GREATEST CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT GENERALLY BETWEEN 2 PM AND 8 PM.  
STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES, WIND GUSTS UP  
TO 55 MPH, SMALL HAIL, AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS. ACTIVITY WILL  
DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. SIMILAR WEATHER AND FIRE  
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST ON FRIDAY NEAR THE BURN SITE.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 53 THEN DECREASING TO 39.  
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........14 14 9 16 18 30 39 38 43 55  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 20 30 40 50 60  
TEMP............76 80 85 87 89 90 91 91 92 89  
RH..............90 82 70 68 64 60 58 58 54 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 9 9 10 10 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.2 2.1 3.0 3.8 4.6 5.1 5.2 5.2 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 7  
DISPERSION IDX..6 10 19 30 40 47 53 52 51 39  
LVORI...........6 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE  
EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO  
6 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....29 DECREASING TO 2.  
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 6.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........62 67 51 51 35 13  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 40 30 10 0 0  
TEMP............88 80 77 76 75 74  
RH..............61 82 88 90 94 93  
20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 5 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 7 5 5 3 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....2800 600 400 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 SW 10 S 7 SW 7 S 5 S 5  
DISPERSION IDX..29 5 3 3 2 2  
LVORI...........2 4 6 6 6 6  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2700 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 49.  
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........13 16 11 12 34 36  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 40 40  
TEMP............74 76 85 89 91 92  
RH..............97 97 72 64 56 56  
20 FT WIND......S 3 S 2 S 5 S 6 SE 6 SE 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 7 9 9 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 2500 4400 5700 4700  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 6 S 6 S 8 S 7 S 6 S 9  
DISPERSION IDX..3 4 26 39 40 49  
LVORI...........8 8 3 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...TOLLEFSEN  
REQUESTED BY...JARED DRAXLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2616136.0/MLB  
.DELDT 06/25/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JARED.DRAXLER@MYFWC.COM  
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