153
FNUS72 KMLB 301231
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR DWP 2...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
831 AM EDT THU JUL 30 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS EAST-SOUTHEAST MOVING SHOWERS (70% CHANCE)
AND LIGHTNING STORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP MAINLY AFTER 10AM.
RAIN CHANCES DIMINISH AFTER AROUND 4PM. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
ISOLATED STRONG STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS UP TO 40-55MPH,
FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND HEAVY RAINFALL. WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS AT
10MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15-20MPH ARE EXPECTED. A HIGH OF 90 DEGREES IS
FORECAST WITH A MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX OF 102F DEGREES. THERE ARE NO
CRITICAL RH CONCERNS. DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE POOR TO FAIR.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 37 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 30 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 4 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........60 61 60 71 77 74 82 76 80 81
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 60 50 60 70 50 50 50 50
TEMP............78 81 83 84 85 87 86 85 88 84
RH..............97 88 85 82 80 72 75 75 68 77
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W SW W W SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.14 16 17 18 18 20 20 21 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 14 13 14 14 14 15 13 13
DISPERSION IDX..11 24 32 31 37 41 35 33 29 30
LVORI...........6 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....21 DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 8.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........79 82 72 62 52 39 37 54 58 43 39 50
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 30 20 10 10 10 10 20 10 30 40
TEMP............84 82 78 78 78 78 77 77 77 77 76 76
RH..............77 82 94 91 91 91 94 94 94 94 97 97
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.18 16 14 12 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8
DISPERSION IDX..25 17 7 7 7 5 5 6 6 6 4 6
LVORI...........3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 8 7
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 2800 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 17 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 43 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 29
INCREASING TO 40 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 4 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
TO 2 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 3.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........59 50 65 50 56 70 71 67 61 66 58 62
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH CHC SCH CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 20 30 20 40 60 50 50 50 60 50
TEMP............76 75 77 80 83 85 86 88 88 87 90 86
RH..............97 100 97 91 82 77 75 70 68 70 64 72
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W SW W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 12 13 14 15 17 17 18 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.4 2.1 2.6 3.2 3.4 3.1 4.0 1.9 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 10 12 12 13 13 13 12 12 14
DISPERSION IDX..5 5 6 17 31 38 42 44 41 45 29 40
LVORI...........9 9 6 4 3 3 3 2 1 2 2 3
FORECASTER...FEHLING
REQUESTED BY...ADAM PETERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2618638.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/30/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL APETERSON@TNC.ORG
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