098  
FNUS72 KMLB 161204  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BSP-15A...BLUE SPRING STATE PARK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
804 AM EDT THU APR 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON APRIL 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO CONTROL THE LOCAL WEATHER PATTERN TODAY.  
DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST, BUT MINRH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE  
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY TODAY BECOME  
ESTABLISHED OUT OF THE EAST INTO THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSION BECOMES  
FAIR. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT LATE TONIGHT  
INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 33.  
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........34 26 18 16 23 28 32 30 24 28  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............60 65 72 77 80 83 84 84 86 84  
RH..............96 84 66 58 51 46 43 43 42 44  
20 FT WIND DIR..E S S S SE SE E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 3 5 5 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 5 7 8 9 9 10 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 2.8 4.0 4.3 4.3 4.6 4.9 5.0 4.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S SE SE SE SE SE SE E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 3 5 3 5 6 6 6  
DISPERSION IDX..2 4 21 17 22 22 28 34 37 37  
LVORI...........8 4 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 9  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....33 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 8.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........19 16 12 15 22 12 6 6 7 8 8 7  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............83 80 75 72 70 68 67 66 65 62 61 61  
RH..............46 52 62 68 73 81 81 84 87 93 97 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE S S S S SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 6 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 14 14 12 10 9 8 7 6 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 2.2 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 12 12 10 10 9 8 7 7 6 5  
DISPERSION IDX..35 30 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 2  
LVORI...........1 1 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 8 8  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 42.  
LVORI...............10 DECREASING TO 2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........10 16 20 4 3 1 2 4 5 5 4 4  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............60 61 61 66 73 80 84 86 88 89 90 89  
RH..............100 100 100 87 71 58 48 43 39 37 35 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W SW W W SW SE E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 5 5 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.4 2.5 3.7 4.6 5.3 5.8 6.6 7.0 6.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W NW N NE E E SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 3 6 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 5  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 2 9 20 27 30 30 27 30 34 42  
LVORI...........9 10 9 4 3 2 1 2 2 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...LAW  
REQUESTED BY...DUSTIN ALLEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2610507.0/MLB  
.DELDT 04/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DUSTIN.L.ALLEN@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
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