367
FNUS72 KMLB 290654
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR TOSOHATCHEE UNIT 1D...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
254 AM EDT MON JUN 29 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON JUNE 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
DISCUSSION
HOTTEST DAY OF THE WEEK TODAY WITH NEAR RECORD HEAT
AND HUMID CONDITIONS. PEAK HEAT INDICES WILL APPROACH NEAR 108F THIS
AFTERNOON. LIGHT/VARIABLE MORNING WINDS WILL TRANSITION ONSHORE THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE SEA BREEZE PUSHES INLAND PAST THE BURN SITE. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE, MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING NEAR THE BURN SITE. HIGHEST CHANCES OF RAINFALL WILL BE ON
TUESDAY IN PROXIMITY TO A SOUTHWARD MOVING BOUNDARY. LIGHTNING STRIKES,
GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS, SMALL HAIL AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WILL ACCOMPANY
STRONGEST ACTIVITY THAT WILL BE SLOW-MOVING. SMOKE DISPERSION POOR TO FAIR
TODAY AND FAIR TO GENERALLY GOOD ON TUESDAY. WARM AND HUMID AT NIGHT WITH
LIGHT WINDS.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING EAST
5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3000 FT
AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3 TO
5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
EAST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO AROUND 29.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 2.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........5 6 7 2 4 9 15 22 39 43 56 59
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 30 40 50 50
TEMP............77 77 79 83 88 91 93 94 96 95 95 92
RH..............90 90 91 82 70 62 56 53 49 51 53 60
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W W W SW NE E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 3 5 3 3 3 3 5 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 6 7 7 6 6 6 8 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.5 3.8 5.0 5.9 6.3 5.5 3.0 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 7 6 5 5 3 3 5 7 7
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 4 12 18 23 29 25 26 25 26 18
LVORI...........6 6 6 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3 TO 6
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....16 DECREASING TO AROUND 2 OR 3.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........54 43 39 38 22 19 20 13 10 13 22 24
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............91 89 85 83 82 80 80 79 78 78 77 77
RH..............62 64 75 80 79 85 85 85 88 88 88 88
20 FT WIND DIR..E S SW SW SW W SW W SW SW W W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 3 3 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW W W W SW SW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 5 6 6 3 5 5 5 5 5
DISPERSION IDX..19 13 4 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
LVORI...........2 2 4 5 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 7
TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 2700 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO AROUND 43.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........28 30 30 42 45 43 46 53 57 59 62 68
WEATHER COV..... CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 0 10 10 10 10 30 60 70 70 70
TEMP............77 77 79 83 87 90 90 91 90 90 92 89
RH..............88 90 88 82 70 62 62 60 62 60 56 61
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW W NW NW N N NE NE E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 1 2 3 6 6 7 7 7 8
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 5 7 8 10 12 10 10 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.7 4.3 4.8 4.7 4.2 3.6 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW NW NW N N NW N N E
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 6 8 8 8 7 7 8 8 9
DISPERSION IDX..3 2 5 12 23 37 43 42 40 41 36 29
LVORI...........6 6 6 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...KRISTOPHER BROWN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2616378.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/29/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KRISTOPHER.BROWN@MYFWC.COM
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