061  
FNUS72 KMLB 191125  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR ISLAND SOUTH...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
625 AM EST TUE NOV 19 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON NOVEMBER 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST TODAY WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE  
OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED  
THIS AFTERNOON WITH A HIGH AROUND 83 DEGREES. LIGHT SOUTH-  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 5-10MPH ARE FORECAST INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH  
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS (POPS ~ 60-70%)  
ARE FORECAST AFTER MIDNIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.  
DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD TODAY. NO CRITICAL  
MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TODAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....55 DECREASING TO 11.  
LVORI...............2.  
 
TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........42 37 50 56 63 67 74  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............78 79 81 82 81 82 79  
RH..............62 58 54 53 54 55 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 13 13 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 4.3 3.9 4.4 4.2 2.9 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 13 12 12 10 8  
DISPERSION IDX..57 58 51 56 57 37 11  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 2  
 
 
FORECASTER...FEHLING  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL HARVEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2426960.0/MLB  
.DELDT 11/19/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MICHAEL.HARVEY@FDACS.GOV  
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