957  
FNUS72 KMLB 310758  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SE15 (SSF)...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
258 AM EST WED DEC 31 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EST ON DECEMBER 31.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SENSITIVE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AND THURSDAY NEAR THE BURN  
SITE, WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. MIN RH TODAY IS  
FORECAST TO BE NEAR 25 PERCENT, WITH WINDS NEAR 8-10 MPH, IN THE  
AFTERNOON. PATCHY TO AREAS OF FROST WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT,  
AS LOWS DIP TO NEAR 35 DEGREES AND WINDS SLACKEN. SOME IMPROVEMENT  
IN FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IS FORECAST FOR THURSDAY, THOUGH THEY  
WILL REMAIN SENSITIVE, WITH MIN RH NEAR 30 PERCENT AND WINDS ONCE  
AGAIN NEAR 8-10 MPH. FAIR TO GOOD DISPERSION THIS AFTERNOON IS  
EXPECTED TO BECOME GENERALLY GOOD THURSDAY.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 41 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 2 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 1 1 0 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............35 33 35 40 45 48 52 54 56 57 57 55  
RH..............60 63 61 49 40 35 31 28 27 27 28 31  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 13 13 14 14 15 14 14 14 13 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.9 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 15 14 12 12 13 12 10 10 9  
DISPERSION IDX..5 6 9 23 27 27 32 41 40 37 37 16  
LVORI...........3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST OVERNIGHT.  
AREAS OF FROST AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 9 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........3 3 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 2  
WEATHER COV..... PTY ARS ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............52 49 45 43 42 41 40 38 37 37 36 37  
RH..............37 42 49 53 58 61 63 68 70 72 74 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 8 9 8 8 8 8 9 9 8 8  
DISPERSION IDX..6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
NEW YEARS DAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 62 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 1 LATE IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 4  
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 36 38 45 52 56 59 63 63 64 65 62  
RH..............72 73 69 55 44 40 36 32 31 31 31 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 6 7 7 8 8 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 9 12 14 15 16 16 16 15 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.6 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 9 12 13 14 14 14 14 13 12  
DISPERSION IDX..4 5 9 15 25 36 48 54 60 62 55 39  
LVORI...........3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...LEAHY  
REQUESTED BY...ANTONIO PARIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2528158.0/MLB  
.DELDT 12/31/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANTONIO.PARIS@FDACS.GOV  
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