915  
FNUS72 KMLB 291129  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BSP-07A BSP-13...BLUE SPRING STATE PARK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
729 AM EDT TUE SEP 29 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TO START THE DAY EVENTUALLY TURN OUT OF  
THE EAST-SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON (5-6 MPH OR LESS). THERE ARE NO  
MIN RH CONCERNS AT THE BURN SITE, BUT HUMIDITY VALUES COULD DROP  
INTO THE UPPER 40 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. DISPERSION WILL BE  
POOR TO FAIR DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF LIGHTER WINDS. UPPER LEVEL  
CLOUDS INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY, AND THE CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED  
SHOWER REMAINS LESS THAN 15 PERCENT. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE  
UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 DEGREES.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5-6 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 36.  
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........55 68 60 55 74 66 72 69 76 71  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............71 74 80 84 86 87 88 89 87 87  
RH..............93 90 74 65 59 53 52 50 53 53  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE E SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 1 2 3 3 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 2 3 5 7 8 10 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.5 1.5 3.3 4.1 4.9 5.6 5.2 5.3 4.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW NW N S S S S S S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 3 3 3 3 5 6 6 6 6  
DISPERSION IDX..1 2 6 14 17 26 36 35 34 30  
LVORI...........8 6 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO 6  
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....20 DECREASING TO 4.  
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 9.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........68 56 53 55 56 60 60 59 56 46 44 44  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............85 81 78 77 76 75 74 73 73 72 72 71  
RH..............59 67 76 79 82 87 90 93 93 97 97 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE S SE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 5 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 12 10 9 8 6 5 5 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE S S S SW S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 7 8 6 6 6 5 5 3 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..20 6 5 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........2 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 8 8 9  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3  
TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 16 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 36 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 44 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 21.  
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 6 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
DECREASING TO 4 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING  
TO 2 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........58 68 63 55 48 57 60 58 71 67 68 65  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20 30 30 30 40  
TEMP............71 71 71 74 80 82 85 86 87 87 85 82  
RH..............97 97 97 93 79 74 67 65 61 61 65 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..N E E E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 1 2 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 5 6 8 10 12 12 13 15 15 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.3 1.1 1.9 3.3 4.1 4.6 4.6 3.6 2.8 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 5 6 8 8 8 8 8 8 9  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 1 7 16 32 39 44 23 20 18 20  
LVORI...........8 9 8 6 4 3 3 1 2 2 3 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...WEITLICH  
REQUESTED BY...DUSTIN ALLEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2622735.0/MLB  
.DELDT 09/29/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DUSTIN.L.ALLEN@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
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