770
FNUS72 KMLB 021450
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR SMOKEY HELIBASE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1050 AM EDT TUE JUN 2 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JUNE 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE STORMS EXISTS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING MAINLY BETWEEN 3PM-11PM. THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM STORMS
TODAY (AT 5-14%) WILL BE STRONG WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. THERE IS A
LOWER RISK OF LARGE HAIL (LESS THAN 5%) BUT SMALL HAIL UP TO THE
SIZE OF NICKELS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORMS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3200 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....46 INCREASING TO 67 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,
THEN DECREASING TO 61 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 40 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........52 55 51 59 66 72 69
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 20 30 40 50 60
TEMP............87 89 91 92 93 91 89
RH..............68 61 56 52 51 56 61
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 13 14 14 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 4.3 5.0 5.4 5.0 4.5 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 12 10 12 10
DISPERSION IDX..46 62 71 69 61 61 40
FORECASTER...KELLY
REQUESTED BY...DAVID WHITENER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2614819.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/02/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DAVID.WHITENER@USDA.GOV
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