442
FNUS72 KMLB 262130
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR TOWER FIRE...FFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
530 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 EDT ON AUGUST 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ONGOING SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS WILL WIND DOWN
THROUGH MID-EVENING. CONDITIONS REMAIN MOIST THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK, WITH RELATIVELY HIGH (60%) DIURNAL RAIN CHANCES. WINDS WILL BE
ERRATIC SURROUNDING SHOWERS/STORMS, BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT. THE
EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL REACH THE SITE ON THURSDAY IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING, SWITCHING WINDS TO SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST.
PRIMARY STORM IMPACTS INCLUDE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS 40-55
MPH IN STRONGEST STORMS, AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MID
TO LATE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING
LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 9
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO AROUND 2 OR 3.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........65 56 54 56 57 63 44 38 27 23 12 27
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 40 30 20 10 0 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............85 83 77 76 76 76 76 76 75 75 74 74
RH..............70 72 90 90 90 90 90 90 94 94 97 93
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE S SW S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.12 9 8 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 8 9 7 6 6 6 7 6 6 5
DISPERSION IDX..24 12 6 6 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2
LVORI...........3 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO AROUND 37.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........24 18 18 13 17 24 30 41 54 56 58 70
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20 50 60 60 50
TEMP............74 74 76 79 84 87 90 91 92 92 93 87
RH..............97 93 94 88 74 70 62 60 58 56 54 65
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW S S S SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 5 5 7 9 9 10 12 12 12 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.9 2.9 3.9 4.3 4.3 4.5 3.7 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW S SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 6 7 7 8 7 7 7 7 7
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 2 8 19 27 38 36 36 37 31 26
LVORI...........6 6 7 5 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 3
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO AROUND 3 OR 4.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 8.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........60 53 44 39 43 37 23 20 22 14 12 14
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 20 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............86 84 79 78 78 77 77 76 76 75 75 75
RH..............68 72 85 88 88 90 90 94 94 94 94 97
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.9 7 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 9 8 8 8 7 6 7 7 6 6 6
DISPERSION IDX..19 11 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........3 3 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 8 8 8
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO AROUND 41.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........27 32 33 35 29 22 27 33 55 55 55 59
WEATHER COV..... LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ LKY LKY LKY LKY
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 60 60 60 60
TEMP............74 74 76 80 84 88 90 91 93 91 90 88
RH..............100 100 97 88 77 68 62 60 54 58 60 63
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 2 2 2 3 5 5 6 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 5 7 8 9 9 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.2 2.1 3.0 4.1 5.1 5.6 5.2 4.2 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8
DISPERSION IDX..3 2 2 9 15 23 31 37 40 41 35 31
LVORI...........8 8 8 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 2
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...FRANK MAZELIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620627.0/MLB
.DELDT 08/26/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL FRANCIS.MAZELIN@FDACS.COM
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