196
FNUS72 KMLB 141130
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR HILOCHEE WMA PRESCRIBED BURN...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
730 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS (60% CHANCE) AND LIGHTNING STORMS
ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP INTO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS
COLLISIONS OCCUR BETWEEN SEA BREEZES AND OUTFLOW FROM PREVIOUS
STORMS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE
STORMS TODAY (MAINLY BETWEEN 3PM-9PM). WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS AT
5-10MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY. THERE IS A LIMITED FIRE POTENTIAL
TODAY. NO CRITICAL RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED. DISPERSION VALUES WILL
BE FAIR TO GENERALLY GOOD.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2400 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO
13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 17 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 47 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 63
DECREASING TO 50 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 32.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........44 39 36 34 31 39 47 55 57 57 54
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 30 40 50 60 50 50
TEMP............74 76 79 84 86 88 90 90 91 92 90
RH..............97 97 94 82 72 66 62 60 58 56 58
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW W W W NW W NW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 6 8 10 12 14 16 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.0 1.6 2.9 3.9 4.6 5.0 4.2 4.0 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 8 9 10 10 12 13 12 9
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 9 17 33 47 59 67 59 50 32
LVORI...........8 8 6 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING
LIGHT LATE IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....27 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........59 66 60 57 59 55 49 40 36 28 16 16
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 20 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............89 88 84 82 81 80 79 78 77 76 76 75
RH..............61 63 74 77 79 82 85 88 88 90 90 94
20 FT WIND DIR..NW W NW W SW SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 5 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15 13 10 9 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W SW SW W SW W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 8 7 7 8 7 7 7 6 6
DISPERSION IDX..27 17 6 5 5 3 4 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........2 2 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 18 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 42 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 57
INCREASING TO 70 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 62.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........10 11 16 23 15 17 14 15 30 30 30 38
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20 20 20
TEMP............75 75 77 81 86 88 90 92 93 93 95 93
RH..............94 94 94 88 75 68 62 56 54 52 48 51
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W NW W W
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 5 6 7 7 8 9 9 10
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 5 8 10 13 14 16 16 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.2 2.1 3.0 4.0 5.0 5.6 6.3 6.5 5.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 6 6 7 8 8 10 10 9 10 12
DISPERSION IDX..3 2 2 10 18 28 42 57 68 67 72 62
LVORI...........6 6 6 5 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...FEHLING
REQUESTED BY...LOGHAN LOMNECK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2617348.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL LOGHAN.LOMNECK@MYFWC.COM
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