200
FNUS72 KMLB 160848
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR BC UNITS 21 46...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
448 AM EDT TUE JUN 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH THIS MORNING WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES BEFORE BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY THIS
AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS (40%) AND LIGHTNING STORMS ARE
FORECAST TO DEVELOP INTO THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED STORMS WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME STRONG. SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 5-10MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 15-20MPH ARE FORECAST INTO THE AFTERNOON. AN AFTERNOON
HIGH OF 94F DEGREES WITH A MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUE OF AROUND
105F IS FORECAST WITH A MODERATE HEATRISK. A MODERATE HEATRISK CAN
AFFECT THOSE SENSITIVE TO HEAT WITHOUT ADEQUATE COOLING AND
HYDRATION. NO CRITICAL RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED. DISPERSION VALUES
WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD TO VERY GOOD THIS MORNING.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 13 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 53 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 64
INCREASING TO 81 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 87 DECREASING TO 73 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........7 11 20 24 30 34 42 47 49 46 52
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 30 40 40 40
TEMP............76 77 82 86 88 90 92 93 92 93 91
RH..............90 90 82 70 66 60 54 52 54 52 58
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 10 13 15 16 17 17 17 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 1.1 2.1 3.2 3.9 4.6 4.9 5.5 5.3 5.1 4.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 9 12 14 14 14 14 15 14 15 15
DISPERSION IDX..3 13 31 53 64 76 81 85 81 87 73
LVORI...........6 5 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....61 DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........54 64 54 34 16 15
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 10 0 0 0
TEMP............90 83 80 78 77 75
RH..............60 74 79 85 85 90
20 FT WIND......SW 8 W 7 W 5 W 5 SW 5 SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 12 9 8 8 8
MIX HGT (FT)....3600 1100 600 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15 W 12 W 9 W 9 W 8 SW 7
DISPERSION IDX..61 8 7 4 4 3
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 6
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 79.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........16 15 19 16
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............74 81 91 95
RH..............93 82 56 46
20 FT WIND......S 6G9 SW 8G12 SW 10G17 SW 10G17
MIX HGT (FT)....400 2000 4900 6300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7 SW 9 SW 12 SW 12
DISPERSION IDX..3 24 64 80
LVORI...........7 3 1 1
FORECASTER...FEHLING
REQUESTED BY...JARED DRAXLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2615568.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JARED.DRAXLER@MYFWC.COM
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