066
FNUS72 KMLB 141116
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR PARTIN CERT BURN...FFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
716 AM EDT FRI AUG 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
DISCUSSION
WINDS MOSTLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE TODAY, WITH POOR TO FAIR SMOKE DISPERSION.
MOSTLY DRY AT THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING WITH SCATTERED RAIN CHANCES
INCREASING AFTER 2PM. THERE ARE NO CRITICAL RH CONCERNS. HOT WITH A HIGH
TEMPERATURE IN THE MID 90S AND PEAK HEAT INDEX VALUES UP TO 109F.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 28.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 2.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........11 12 14 12 12 24 30 39 46 41 37
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............75 77 81 86 88 91 92 93 93 93 91
RH..............100 100 88 75 70 62 60 58 56 56 60
20 FT WIND DIR..N S SW SW SW SW W N SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 1 2 2 2 3 5 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 3 5 5 6 7 8 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 1.1 1.9 3.2 3.7 4.2 4.3 4.1 3.7 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW E SE E
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 3 3 3 3 5 6 6 7
DISPERSION IDX..2 1 6 9 14 16 17 23 27 28 22
LVORI...........8 9 6 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 7.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........32 33 31 30 13 14 14 12 8 4 4 5
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............90 88 84 82 81 80 79 78 77 77 76 76
RH..............62 66 74 79 85 88 91 94 97 94 97 97
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E SE S S S S S S SE S SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 5 3 3 2 2 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 8 8 8 8 7 6 6 3 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 7 6 7 6 6 6 5 5 5
DISPERSION IDX..23 10 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2
LVORI...........3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7
FORECASTER...LAW
REQUESTED BY...REINALDO CRUZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2619678.0/MLB
.DELDT 08/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL REINALDO.CRUZ@FDACS.GOV
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