793  
FNUS72 KMLB 261155  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BSP-15C...BLUE SPRING STATE PARK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
755 AM EDT THU MAR 26 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MARCH 26.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DENSE FOG IS OCCURRING NEAR THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING. A DENSE  
FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LAKE COUNTY THROUGH 10 AM, AND A  
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR PATCHY DENSE FOG HAS BEEN ISSUED  
FOR VOLUSIA COUNTY THROUGH 9 AM. WINDS THIS MORNING LIGHT  
NORTHERLY AND COULD BECOME VARIABLE AT TIMES, BEFORE SHIFTING  
EASTERLY IN THE LATE MORNING, AND INCREASING TO 5-10 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR LIGHTNING STORM ARE POSSIBLE ON  
THE SEA BREEZE AFTER 2 PM, OTHERWISE DRY CONDITIONS. WINDS BECOME  
LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER 7 PM, AND FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN LATE  
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
FRIDAY UNTIL THE SEA BREEZE PUSHES THROUGH. NO MIN RH CONCERNS.  
AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE POOR TO FAIR.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG  
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE  
AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4300 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 36.  
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........40 30 24 20 31 40 46 44 39 28  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 10  
TEMP............64 66 72 76 79 80 81 80 81 80  
RH..............97 100 87 76 69 65 63 65 63 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 6 6 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 8 8 9 10 12 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.9 1.9 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.3 3.2 3.5 3.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 5 5 6 7 8 8 8  
DISPERSION IDX..2 7 14 18 25 31 36 35 36 37  
LVORI...........8 7 4 3 3 3 2 2 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 10  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....40 DECREASING TO 4.  
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 9.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........21 8 9 9 13 18  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............79 73 69 66 65 62  
RH..............64 79 90 97 97 100  
20 FT WIND......E 10 E 6 E 3 SE 2 S 2 SE 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 9 7 6 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....2900 600 500 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 12 E 12 E 9 SE 7 S 8 S 8  
DISPERSION IDX..40 5 4 3 4 3  
LVORI...........1 4 6 8 8 9  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 37.  
LVORI...............10 DECREASING TO 2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........30 18 10 23  
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10  
TEMP............62 66 80 85  
RH..............100 93 65 50  
20 FT WIND......SE 1G5 S 2G5 S 3G7 S 5G9  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1100 4200 6500  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 S 3 SW 3 SW 3  
DISPERSION IDX..2 5 19 27  
LVORI...........9 6 3 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...HALEY  
REQUESTED BY...DUSTIN ALLEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2607985.0/MLB  
.DELDT 03/26/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DUSTIN.L.ALLEN@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
 
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