001  
FNUS72 KMLB 050720  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HONTOON ISLAND STATE PARK RX FIRE...FLORIDA DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
320 AM EDT FRI JUN 5 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JUNE 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST NEAR THE BURN SITE TODAY. MINIMUM RH  
VALUES WILL STAY WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS, AND EASTERLY  
WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN AROUND 10 MPH. AFTERNOON SMOKE  
DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE VERY GOOD. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE  
FORECAST ON SATURDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 13 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 72.  
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........26 14 16 22 20 19 15 17 16 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............70 75 80 82 83 85 85 85 87 85  
RH..............81 76 65 58 57 53 55 55 50 53  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 3 6 7 8 9 9 9 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 8 12 15 17 18 20 20 20 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 2.7 3.9 4.8 4.9 5.1 5.2 4.9 4.8 4.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 9 10 12 12 12 13 13 12 12  
DISPERSION IDX..3 32 51 62 65 68 72 67 63 63  
LVORI...........5 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 13 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....63 DECREASING TO 3.  
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........12 37 34 36 27 22  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............85 79 74 72 70 68  
RH..............53 64 76 81 87 90  
20 FT WIND......E 9 E 6 E 3 E 2 E 2 E 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 14 12 9 7 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....4100 1200 600 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13 E 12 E 9 E 8 E 7 E 7  
DISPERSION IDX..63 5 4 4 3 3  
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 6  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 75.  
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........14 16 25 26 18 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............67 71 81 85 87 89  
RH..............93 87 67 57 52 48  
20 FT WIND......N 0 E 1 E 5 E 7 E 9 E 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 14 18 20  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 600 3800 5100 5400 6200  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 6 E 8 E 9 E 12 E 12  
DISPERSION IDX..3 4 39 54 71 75  
LVORI...........6 5 3 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...TOLLEFSEN  
REQUESTED BY...ADAM HULL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2614970.0/MLB  
.DELDT 06/05/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ADAM.HULL@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
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