310
FNUS72 KMLB 111149
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR BSP-02...BLUE SPRING STATE PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
749 AM EDT WED MAR 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MARCH 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING ACROSS FLORIDA WILL KEEP WINDS OUT OF THE
SOUTH ACROSS THE BURN SITE TODAY, WITH SPEEDS AROUND 5-10 MPH. WINDS
MAY SWITCH TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST VERY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY EVENING (AFTER 5 PM TODAY) IF THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE MAKES
IT FAR ENOUGH INLAND. WINDS THEN DIMINISH INTO THE EVENING. IT WILL
REMAIN DRY TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING. A COLD FRONT THEN
APPROACHES AND EVENTUALLY MOVES THROUGH THE BURN SITE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON, INCREASING RAIN CHANCES AND SWITCHING WINDS FROM THE
SOUTHWEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST LATE IN THE DAY TOMORROW.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND TOMORROW AHEAD
OF THE THE FRONT, WITH NEAR RECORD HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND
90 DEGREES. MIN RH VALUES FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOVE 40 PERCENT TODAY
AND TOMORROW, WITH DISPERSION VALUES VERY GOOD TODAY AND EXCELLENT
ON THURSDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 73.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........30 17 14 14 10 11 10 12 25 25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............67 69 75 79 83 85 88 89 89 90
RH..............100 97 84 74 65 59 50 47 45 44
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.9 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.2 1.7 2.2 3.3 4.5 5.6 6.2 6.6 6.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 13 13 10 10 9 9 9 10 10
DISPERSION IDX..7 19 26 29 42 49 61 67 74 71
LVORI...........8 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....53 DECREASING TO 4.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 8.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........26 28 29 36 28 25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............88 83 75 73 70 67
RH..............45 55 76 79 87 97
20 FT WIND......S 6 SE 6 S 5 S 2 S 2 SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 10 8 8 8
MIX HGT (FT)....4800 700 1100 600 500 400
TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 SE 12 S 8 S 7 S 6 SW 7
DISPERSION IDX..53 5 4 3 3 3
LVORI...........1 3 4 4 6 8
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 22
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 47 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 66 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 78
INCREASING TO 94 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 74.
LVORI...............6 INCREASING TO 9 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE MORNING DECREASING
TO 4 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........53 40 47 56
WEATHER COV..... LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 60
TEMP............67 68 82 86
RH..............93 97 67 53
20 FT WIND......SW 3G9 SW 6G13 SW 10G20 SW 10G22
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1500 4200 5700
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9 SW 13 SW 21 SW 22
DISPERSION IDX..4 26 78 98
LVORI...........6 4 1 1
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...DUSTIN ALLEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605415.0/MLB
.DELDT 03/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DUSTIN.L.ALLEN@FLORIDADEP.GOV,JAMES.TERRELL@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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