300
FNUS72 KMLB 240753
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR JDSP E10...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
353 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWER CHANCES EXIST IN VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE THIS
MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. NO LIGHTNING EXPECTED THIS MORNING,
AND CONFIDENCE IN LIGHTNING REMAINS LOW INTO THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS TOWARD THE START OF THE BURN BECOME ESTABLISHED OUT OF
THE SOUTHEAST MID TO LATE MORNING. WINDS INCREASE NEAR 10 MPH AS THE
SEA BREEZE PASSES WITH ONLY A MINOR WIND SHIFT OUT OF THE EAST-SOUTHEAST.
MINRH REMAINS ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. FAIR TO GENERALLY GOOD SMOKE
DISPERSION IS FORECAST.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 42.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........66 59 51 44 36 34 39 34 36 31
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............69 72 75 77 78 78 78 78 79 78
RH..............76 71 64 62 60 60 60 62 60 62
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 6 7 8 9 10 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 12 13 14 15 16 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.7 3.4 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.8 3.6 3.3 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 10
DISPERSION IDX..7 20 33 38 37 39 42 41 41 39
LVORI...........4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3
TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....39 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........28 28 27 28 26 32 36 45 44 40 42 41
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............77 76 73 73 72 72 71 70 70 69 69 68
RH..............64 66 73 73 79 79 81 81 84 87 84 87
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 14 12 12 12 10 9 9 8 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE E SE SE S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 9 9 10 10 9 7 6 5 3
DISPERSION IDX..39 25 4 4 4 5 4 4 3 2 2 2
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 7 TO
9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 38.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 2.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........37 32 21 11 12 13 17 22 31 30 30 30
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20
TEMP............67 68 69 72 76 79 80 81 81 81 81 81
RH..............90 87 87 79 71 64 62 60 60 60 60 60
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW S SE SE E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 2 2 2 3 5 6 7 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 6 7 7 8 9 12 13 13 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.9 3.2 4.1 4.5 4.5 4.2 3.8 3.3 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S SE SE SE E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 5 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 9
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 2 10 17 23 29 35 38 38 35 32
LVORI...........7 6 6 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...LAW
REQUESTED BY...MIRANDA CUNNINGHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2611525.0/MLB
.DELDT 04/24/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MIRANDA.CUNNINGHAM@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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