928  
FNUS72 KMLB 210917  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TF8...SJRWMD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
417 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EST ON FEBRUARY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TODAY WITH A GRADUAL  
INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS THIS  
MORNING AROUND 10 MPH VEER TO THE NORTH AND REACH 10-15 MPH BY  
MIDDAY. CONTINUAL VEERING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED THIS  
AFTERNOON WITH WINDS 10-15 MPH GUSTING AROUND 20 MPH. WHILE RAIN  
IS NOT EXPLICITLY FORECAST, THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED,  
ONSHORE-MOVING SHOWER INCREASES TO AROUND 10 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALL INTO THE LOW/MID  
50S BY THE AFTERNOON WITH GENERALLY GOOD TO VERY GOOD SMOKE  
DISPERSION.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 18 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 56 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 51 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 61.  
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........30 32 31 30 28 35 42 48 50 52 53 53  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............44 44 46 52 58 62 64 66 65 65 65 64  
RH..............76 77 80 71 65 58 54 53 54 55 54 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N NE NE NE N  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 10 12 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 16 18 20 20 21 21 21 21 20 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.5 2.8 3.8 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.1 3.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 16 17 17 18 17 17 18 18 17  
DISPERSION IDX..9 3 1 31 57 60 56 51 50 52 52 61  
LVORI...........4 4 5 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....29 DECREASING TO 10.  
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 5 IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........52 52 52 52 52 53 53 54 54 54 54 53  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0  
TEMP............61 59 56 55 55 55 55 54 53 54 54 54  
RH..............61 67 74 76 76 78 81 83 86 83 82 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 9 8 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 15 15 14 13 12 12 10 10 10 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE N NE N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 14 15 14 13 12 12 12 10 9 9 9  
DISPERSION IDX..29 13 13 12 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7  
LVORI...........2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
6 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO  
2100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 24 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 43 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 53 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 44  
DECREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 17.  
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
DECREASING TO 2 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........52 51 51 50 50 55 59 64 66 68 71 71  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............54 54 56 62 66 67 69 70 70 70 70 68  
RH..............85 85 85 73 68 65 61 59 61 61 61 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 9 9 10 9 9 8 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 10 12 12 13 13 13 13 12 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.5 2.5 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.2 3.8 3.3 2.8 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 12 13 14 13 12 9 9 9 9 8  
DISPERSION IDX..7 7 24 43 55 50 44 29 25 23 21 17  
LVORI...........5 5 4 3 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...SCHAPER  
REQUESTED BY...DOUG VOLTOLINA  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2503292.0/MLB  
.DELDT 02/21/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DVOLTOLI@SJRWMD.COM  
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