896  
FNUS72 KMLB 210658  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CYPRESS CREEK NW-EAST...SFWMD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
258 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON OCTOBER 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. HOWEVER, ANY FOG THAT DEVELOPS  
IS EXPECTED TO BURN OFF SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS,  
THOUGH A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE BURN SITE EARLY THIS  
AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME ONSHORE AROUND 10 MPH INTO THE AFTERNOON,  
AS A WEAK SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA  
WEDNESDAY, LEADING TO SLIGHTLY INCREASED NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. NO MIN RH  
CONCERNS. LIGHT TRANSPORT WINDS TODAY WILL LEAD TO POOR TO FAIR DISPERSION,  
BECOMING FAIR TO GOOD WEDNESDAY.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 7 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 24.  
LVORI...............10 DECREASING TO 4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........22 20 19 25 29 31 35 30 28 28  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 10 10  
TEMP............74 77 81 83 85 85 84 84 84 83  
RH..............97 90 79 74 70 70 72 70 70 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE NE NE E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 6 6 6 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 8 9 10 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 2.0 3.0 3.3 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.5 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E NE NE E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..2 3 13 17 20 21 23 24 23 22  
LVORI...........8 6 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO  
6 MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AFTER 3 AM.  
DISPERSION INDEX....14 DECREASING TO 3 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
LVORI...............4 INCREASING TO 7.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........21 18 18 15 13 14 17 20 21 18 18 22  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 0 0  
TEMP............82 81 78 77 76 76 75 75 74 73 73 73  
RH..............74 74 82 85 87 87 90 90 93 93 93 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE S W NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 9 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE SE SE S S W NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 8 8 8 7 6 6 5 6 6 5  
DISPERSION IDX..17 11 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 3 3 2  
LVORI...........3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 7  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 9 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 35.  
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........16 17 18 16 14 12 14 17 19 18 17 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............72 72 73 76 79 82 83 83 84 84 83 83  
RH..............93 93 93 87 82 74 70 69 65 66 64 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NW N N N N NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 3 5 6 6 7 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 6 7 8 INCREASING TO AROUND 9 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON9 12 13 14 14 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.2 2.0 2.7 3.1 3.4 3.8 3.5 3.2 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N NW NW N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 3 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 9 9  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 2 7 13 21 26 31 36 35 34 33  
LVORI...........7 7 7 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...LEAHY  
REQUESTED BY...JAMES SCHUETTE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2524014.0/MLB  
.DELDT 10/21/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JSCHUETT@SFWMD.GOV  
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