425
FNUS72 KMLB 141016
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR ALLAPATTAH STEE07 RX BURN...SFWMD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
616 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON OCTOBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL PRODUCE AN EASTERLY WIND COMPONENT
ACROSS THE BURN SITE TODAY. LIGHT WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING INCREASE
OUT OF THE EAST-NORTHEAST TO AROUND 10-15 MPH INTO THE LATE MORNING
AND AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL MOVE FROM EAST TO WEST TODAY INTO
TONIGHT, BUT RAIN CHANCES REMAIN LOW (AROUND 20%). NO MINIMUM RH
CONCERNS ARE FORECAST, WITH GENERALLY GOOD DISPERSION FORECAST THIS
AFTERNOON.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 45.
LVORI...............6 INCREASING TO 9 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE MORNING DECREASING
TO 4 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........18 20 23 25 26 28 30 30 30 30
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20
TEMP............72 77 82 85 87 87 87 86 86 84
RH..............93 79 69 63 57 57 55 57 57 61
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 8 9 10 12 13 14 13
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 12 14 16 18 20 22 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.8 2.4 3.8 4.1 4.5 4.6 4.4 3.9 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 8 9 9 10 12 13 14 13
DISPERSION IDX..3 8 25 41 38 41 46 48 45 41
LVORI...........6 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32 DECREASING TO 7.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........30 24 15 13 17 24
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............83 78 76 75 75 74
RH..............65 76 87 90 90 93
20 FT WIND......NE 12 NE 6 NE 5 NE 3 NE 2 NE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 12 10 8 8
MIX HGT (FT)....2400 500 500 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 12 E 12 E 9 E 7 E 7 NE 7
DISPERSION IDX..32 5 4 3 3 3
LVORI...........2 4 5 6 6 6
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 35.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 3.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........18 17 32 34
WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 40
TEMP............73 79 87 87
RH..............97 91 70 70
20 FT WIND......NE 3G8 NE 5G8 E 10G14 E 12G20
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1200 2900 3400
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 7 NE 8 E 10 E 12
DISPERSION IDX..3 13 33 39
LVORI...........8 5 3 3
FORECASTER...KELLY
REQUESTED BY...DOUGLAS ROGERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623752.0/MLB
.DELDT 10/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DROGERS@SFWMD.GOV
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