761
FNUS72 KMLB 161239
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR HILOCHEE WMA PRESCRIBED BURN...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
839 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRIER AIR ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA WILL KEEP RAIN AND STORM CHANCES
LIMITED AT THE BURN SITE TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. THERE IS A VERY LOW
(15 PERCENT) CHANCE OF RAIN TODAY, BECOMING AROUND 20 PERCENT WEDNESDAY.
WHILE DRIER AIR ALOFT WILL LIMIT THUNDERSTORM CHANCES OVERALL, A FEW
LIGHTNING STRIKES CANNOT BE RULED OUT DURING THE AFTERNOONS. NORTHEAST
WINDS IN THE MORNINGS WILL BECOME MORE EASTERLY EACH AFTERNOON AND
INCREASE TO AROUND 10 MPH. NO MIN RH CONCERNS. SMOKE DISPERSION VALUES
WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......15 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 37.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 2.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........20 31 37 36 43 49 38 41 50
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15
TEMP............75 81 84 86 87 88 88 89 87
RH..............83 69 62 57 53 51 50 48 50
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 9 10 10 12 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 2.0 3.1 3.8 4.5 4.9 4.5 4.5 4.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E E E E E NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 8
DISPERSION IDX..9 19 27 33 36 40 38 37 40
LVORI...........4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......15 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........51 55 56 50 40 40 34 23 32 34 28 22
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).15 15 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............86 83 79 78 77 76 75 75 74 74 73 73
RH..............55 60 71 74 76 78 81 81 83 85 87 87
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E E E E E E E NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10 10 8 8 7 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 15 14 13 12 10 8 7 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E NE E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 10 12 12 10 8 8 7 7 7
DISPERSION IDX..32 18 9 9 9 6 4 4 4 3 3 3
LVORI...........1 2 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 59 IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........21 20 27 41 48 56 60 64 68 70 72 73
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20
TEMP............72 72 73 76 80 84 85 86 87 87 87 87
RH..............90 91 90 82 73 64 60 56 53 53 53 54
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 10
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 13 14 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.3 1.3 2.2 3.2 4.1 5.0 5.9 5.1 4.4 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 2 13 26 36 43 52 59 49 41 36
LVORI...........6 6 7 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...LEAHY
REQUESTED BY...LOGHAN LOMNECK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2522022.0/MLB
.DELDT 09/16/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL LOGHAN.LOMNECK@MYFWC.COM
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