467
FNUS72 KMLB 310536
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR SAVANNAS SP17...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
136 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A SOMEWHAT UNUSUAL WEATHER PATTERN PERSISTS OVER THE AREA TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE AND WILL LIKELY PREVENT A SEA BREEZE FROM
REACHING THE INCIDENT LOCATION. WHILE RAIN AND STORM CHANCES ARE
BELOW 30% THROUGH MIDDAY, THE POTENTIAL JUMPS UP TO AROUND 60-70%
THIS AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY BETWEEN 1 AND 5 PM. GUSTY, ERRATIC
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THESE STORMS, ALONG
WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES.
AHEAD OF THE STORMS, QUICK HEATING IS FORECAST WITH HIGHS AROUND
90 AND PEAK HEAT INDICES REACHING 100-105 DEGREES. PEAK DISPERSION
SHOULD BECOME GOOD TO VERY GOOD BY MIDDAY.
HYSPLIT WILL BE TRANSMITTED VIA A SEPARATE EMAIL MESSAGE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 16 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 51 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 36
DECREASING TO 27 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 3 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 3.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........46 39 29 30 33 46 56 75 64 57 59
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 20 40 50 60 70 70 70
TEMP............75 78 81 85 86 87 88 88 88 88 86
RH..............99 95 89 78 76 72 69 69 67 67 71
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W SW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 8 8 9 9 8 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 14 15 15 15 14 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 1.2 2.2 2.8 3.2 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.3 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 10 12 12 14 13 13 13 13 12
DISPERSION IDX..5 7 16 32 41 52 49 49 40 32 27
LVORI...........8 6 5 3 3 3 2 1 2 2 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............4 INCREASING TO 8.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........69 58 60 62 38 44
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 30 20 10 0 0
TEMP............85 80 78 77 76 76
RH..............74 86 92 93 95 95
20 FT WIND......W 5 SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 8 8 8 8
MIX HGT (FT)....1700 600 500 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 9 SW 8 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7
DISPERSION IDX..22 5 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........3 5 6 6 7 8
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 38 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 46 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 37.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 7 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 5 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
TO 3 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 1 INCREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........46 39 32 55
WEATHER COV..... LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ LIKELY
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 70
TEMP............75 80 87 88
RH..............99 89 72 68
20 FT WIND......SW 2G8 SW 3G8 SW 6G9 S 7G13
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1300 3500 3900
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 SW 7 SW 8 SW 10
DISPERSION IDX..3 12 34 45
LVORI...........8 5 3 1
FORECASTER...HEIL
REQUESTED BY...MIRANDA CUNNINGHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2618688.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/31/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MIRANDA.CUNNINGHAM@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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