148
FNUS72 KMLB 280830
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR FWC TMG BROADMOOR...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
430 AM EDT WED MAY 28 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS EARLY IN THE DAY SHIFT SOUTHEAST IN
THE AFTERNOON AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE MOVES INLAND. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS ARE FORECAST AROUND THE BURN SITE,
GENERALLY AFTER 2 PM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS WILL BE PRESENT IN
VICINITY OF ANY LIGHTNING STORMS. HIGH TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE
LOW 90S WITH A PEAK HEAT INDEX VALUES NEAR 103 DEGREES. THERE ARE
NO MINIMUM RH CONCERNS TODAY. GENERALLY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION IS
FORECAST BY LATE MORNING.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 3300 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 INCREASING TO 42 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 20 LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 2 LATE IN THE MORNING.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........17 21 33 38 38 46 51 52 57
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 20 30 40 40 60
TEMP............79 83 86 88 89 90 90 90 88
RH..............86 76 70 66 64 62 61 60 64
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW E SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 10 12 10 10 10 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.7 3.5 4.2 4.8 5.4 5.0 3.3 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 10 9 8 7 6 7 7
DISPERSION IDX..23 40 45 46 45 43 38 30 20
LVORI...........4 3 2 1 1 1 1 2 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5
TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............4 INCREASING TO 9.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM
SKY (%).........73 71 58
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 20 10
TEMP............87 76 75
RH..............66 95 96
20 FT WIND......SE 6G8 S 3G7 S 2G7
MIX HGT (FT)....1600 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 S 8 S 7
DISPERSION IDX..18 5 3
LVORI...........3 6 7
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN
INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 10
TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............10 DECREASING TO 8 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO
2 INCREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........46 27 50
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ LIKELY
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 30 70
TEMP............73 82 89
RH..............99 80 63
20 FT WIND......SW 2G6 SW 3G7 S 6G10
MIX HGT (FT)....400 2500 4600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 5 SW 6 S 7
DISPERSION IDX..2 16 39
LVORI...........10 4 1
FORECASTER...LAW
REQUESTED BY...JON WEBB
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2514858.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/28/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JONATHAN.WEBB@MYFWC.COM
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page