678
FNUS72 KMLB 141455
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR TM19...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
955 AM EST WED JAN 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON JANUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WESTERLY WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON SETTLE TO 5-10 MPH THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. SOME VERY
LIGHT SHOWERS (NON-WETTING RAINFALL) POSSIBLE THROUGH NOON, THEN
DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF
SHOWERS EXPECTED BETWEEN AROUND 5 PM THIS EVENING AND 10 AM
THURSDAY MORNING AS A PAIR OF COLD FRONTS PUSH THROUGH. WINDS
SHIFT MORE NORTHWESTERLY AND INCREASE TO 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
30 MPH THURSDAY MORNING BEHIND THE SECOND FRONT. DRIEST AIR
DOESN'T ARRIVE UNTIL FRIDAY, WITH BOTH TODAY AND THURSDAY'S MIN
RHS AROUND 50%. AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSION FORECAST TO BE
GENERALLY GOOD TODAY, BECOMING VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT THURSDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3400 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 47 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 2 IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........83 85 85 87 87 86 84 83
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 30 30 30 30 30
TEMP............61 61 62 63 64 64 64 63
RH..............87 84 78 70 65 60 56 58
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 12 13 13 13 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.14 16 17 17 18 17 16 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.8 2.5 3.0 3.4 1.9 2.2 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 16 20 18 21 18 17 13
DISPERSION IDX..18 29 40 45 50 43 44 21
LVORI...........4 3 3 2 1 1 1 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO 18.
LVORI...............INCREASING TO 5 OVERNIGHT.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........83 87 81 73 65 56 55 74 84 79 89 85
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 10 20 20 50 50 60 60 50
TEMP............61 59 59 58 57 56 56 55 55 54 54 53
RH..............65 69 69 72 77 80 83 86 86 93 93 96
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 8 8 8 8 9 8 9 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 16 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.8 1.7 2.0 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 14 13 14 14 13 12 13 15 17 16
DISPERSION IDX..7 11 10 10 11 11 9 9 10 12 20 16
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....21 INCREASING TO 73.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........91 81 78 73 69 62 56 50 39 28 18 15
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............52 52 51 53 54 54 54 54 54 53 52 51
RH..............96 96 100 89 86 80 77 74 66 61 56 54
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 14 15 16 17 18 20 20 20 20 20
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 18 20 21 22 23 24 24 24 25 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.0 2.1 2.4 2.8 3.4 4.0 4.4 4.7 4.8 4.7 4.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 18 17 18 21 22 23 24 25 25 25 24
DISPERSION IDX..21 37 35 40 48 55 63 70 74 76 75 69
LVORI...........5 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...HALEY
REQUESTED BY...TODD BACKHAUS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600134.0/MLB
.DELDT 01/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TODD.BACKHAUS@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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