441  
FNUS72 KMLB 230642  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR KR_CORNWELL MARSH EAST...SOUTH FLORIDA WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
242 AM EDT THU APR 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS TO THE NORTH WILL SETTLE  
SOUTHWARD NEAR THE BURN AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE EAST COAST  
SEA BREEZE WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND FRIDAY, PUSHING WELL INLAND IN  
THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWER CHANCES ARE POSSIBLE, MAINLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON TODAY. LIGHTNING STORMS ARE NOT FORECAST TODAY, BUT THE  
THREAT IS NON-ZERO (~ 10%). ISOLATED LIGHTNING STORM CHANCES ENTER  
THE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS. DISPERSIONS WILL  
BE GENERALLY GOOD. FOG IS NOT ANTICIPATED.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 13 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO AROUND 54.  
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........19 19 26 39 41 51 47 48 44  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............67 75 78 79 80 81 79 79 79  
RH..............78 62 54 50 49 47 50 52 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 9 10 10 12 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 16 18 18 20 20 20 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 4.0 4.8 5.1 5.3 4.8 3.8 3.6 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E SE E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 8 9 9 10 10 10 13  
DISPERSION IDX..16 48 47 54 49 46 40 40 43  
LVORI...........4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO CONSIDERABLY CLOUDY (40-65 PERCENT).  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO AROUND 3 TO 4.  
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........44 50 56 54 40 45  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............77 71 68 64 63 61  
RH..............56 71 76 84 84 90  
20 FT WIND......E 12 E 7 E 6 E 3 E 2 E 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 12 8 6 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....3400 700 500 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13 E 12 E 12 E 8 E 7 E 6  
DISPERSION IDX..45 8 8 4 3 3  
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 5 6  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO AROUND 44.  
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 1.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........32 8 30  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 20  
TEMP............60 73 84  
RH..............90 68 41  
20 FT WIND......E 2G6 SE 3G8 SE 7G15  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 2700 6600  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 5 SE 5 S 6  
DISPERSION IDX..2 17 41  
LVORI...........6 3 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK  
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW WEST  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2611414.0/MLB  
.DELDT 04/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANWEST@SFWMD.GOV  
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