307
FNUS72 KMLB 291355
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR 36 FIRE...US WILDLAND FIRE SRRVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
955 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
GOOD MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE AREA WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND, MAINTAINING WEST TO NORTHWEST
FLOW ACROSS THE BURN SITE. WIND SPEEDS WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN
10 MPH EACH DAY. THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE IS FORECAST TO FORM THIS
AFTERNOON, WITH MINIMAL AND SLOW MOVEMENT INLAND. THIS FEATURE MAY
NOT DEVELOP AT ALL ON SATURDAY OR REMAIN NEAR THE COAST DUE TO THE
STRONGER "OPPOSING" LOW-LEVEL FLOW. ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND, SUPPORTING THE POTENTIAL FOR NUMEROUS TO
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS (60-80 PERCENT CHANCE) EACH
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. MAIN STORM HAZARDS WILL BE FREQUENT
LIGHTNING STRIKES, GUSTY WINDS EXCEEDING 35 MPH, AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE POOR TO FAIR.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 7
TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON (PERHAPS
VARIABLE AT TIMES).
DISPERSION INDEX....AROUND 19.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........63 62 50 44 49 50 58 71
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 50 50 60 60
TEMP............82 84 84 84 84 84 85 83
RH..............79 74 74 74 77 74 72 77
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW N NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.4 2.3 1.8 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 8 8 10
DISPERSION IDX..15 19 18 16 14 13 13 17
LVORI...........4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
INTO LATE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST 5 TO
6 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO
12 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............4 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........65 70 54 57 55 57 51 53 55 55 62 65
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 20 20 30 30 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............83 82 79 79 79 79 79 78 78 78 78 77
RH..............77 79 88 85 85 88 88 91 88 88 88 90
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E S SW SW W SW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.8 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 8 9 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE W W W SW W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 7 6 6 7 8 10 10 12 10 12 12
DISPERSION IDX..14 10 3 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 8 8
LVORI...........4 4 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO AROUND 38.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 3.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........73 71 63 66 65 46 50 64 75 71 72 56
WEATHER COV..... CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 5 10 30 60 60 60 60
TEMP............76 78 78 80 82 84 85 86 86 86 86 85
RH..............94 88 91 85 79 74 72 70 70 70 70 72
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.3 1.7 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.9 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 14 13 13 14 13 12 8 9 13 14
DISPERSION IDX..8 8 20 24 28 38 29 24 15 12 14 23
LVORI...........5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...CHARLES HENSLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2614643.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/29/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CHARLES_HENSLER@FWS.GOV
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