906
FNUS72 KMLB 081141
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR 3N UNIT 53-E...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
741 AM EDT WED JUL 8 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JULY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRIER AIR SHOULD HELP REDUCE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
LIGHTNING STORMS TODAY, WITH ONLY A LOW CHANCE (~20%) OF RAIN AT THE
BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. LIGHT WINDS MAY BE VARIABLE
EARLY IN THE MORNING BEFORE BECOMING ESTABLISHED OUT OF THE SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST INTO LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. LIGHT FLOW REMAINING
LESS THAN 10 MPH WILL RESULT IN POOR TO FAIR SMOKE DISPERSION. ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST, AND A MODERATE TO MAJOR HEATRISK WILL
AFFECT THOSE WITHOUT ADEQUATE COOLING AND HYDRATION. THERE ARE NO CRITICAL
RH CONCERNS WITH MIN RH VALUES FALLING NEAR 50 PERCENT.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MID TO LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT/VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO AROUND 39.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........14 11 12 17 21 16 31 35 38 38
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 20 20
TEMP............77 81 86 88 90 92 93 94 94 93
RH..............97 88 75 70 64 60 56 54 54 54
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W SW SW SW S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 6
20 FT WIND GUST.2 3 3 6 7 8 9 9 9 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.4 2.2 3.3 3.8 4.4 4.7 4.7 5.1 4.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 3 5 3 5 5 5 6 7
DISPERSION IDX..2 8 10 18 19 25 29 29 34 39
LVORI...........7 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT/VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO AROUND 4.
LVORI...............INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........39 41 25 25 19 13
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 0 0 0
TEMP............93 85 81 79 78 77
RH..............54 75 82 88 91 90
20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 5 SE 6 S 7 S 6 S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 12 12 10 8
MIX HGT (FT)....3200 900 500 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 S 8 S 8 S 8 S 8 S 8
DISPERSION IDX..30 5 4 4 4 4
LVORI...........1 4 5 6 6 6
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO AROUND 49.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........19 14 17 25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10
TEMP............77 82 90 95
RH..............90 85 64 51
20 FT WIND......S 3G6 SW 2G5 S 5G8 SE 6G10
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1600 3800 5300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 SW 6 SW 5 S 6
DISPERSION IDX..3 12 23 41
LVORI...........6 5 2 1
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...JARED DRAXLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2616976.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/08/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JARED.DRAXLER@MYFWC.COM
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page