535
FNUS72 KMLB 281702
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR LINE IMPROVEMENTS...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
102 PM EDT SUN JUN 28 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1300 EDT ON JUNE 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
GOOD AFTERNOON. THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE HAS ALREADY FORMED
ALONG THE COAST AND IS SLOWLY PUSHING INLAND. LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS AT THE BURN SITE WILL BECOME ONSHORE (EAST TO SOUTHEAST)
BEHIND THE SEA BREEZE, GENERALLY AFTER 2 PM. MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY,
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED
ALONG THE COAST (GENERALLY ACROSS THE TREASURE COAST) EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH COVERAGE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AND EXPAND INLAND
TOWARDS THE INCIDENT SITE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS THE SEA BREEZE
PUSHES INLAND. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
VICINITY OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS. ANY LINGERING ACTIVITY WILL
DISSIPATE OR PUSH BACK TOWARDS THE COAST THROUGH THE EVENING,
BECOMING DRY OVERNIGHT. THERE ARE NO CRITICAL RH CONCERNS. POOR TO
FAIR SMOKE DISPERSION IS FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
EAST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2600 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6 TO 8 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....25.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........30 32 33 36 35
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 40 40 40
TEMP............92 93 93 94 91
RH..............57 55 55 53 59
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 8
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.8 5.2 5.6 3.7 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 6 8
DISPERSION IDX..21 23 28 27 24
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 6 MPH, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
DISPERSION INDEX....21 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........38 32 26 5 1 1
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 20 10 0 0
TEMP............90 84 80 78 77 76
RH..............61 74 85 88 90 93
20 FT WIND......SE 8 S 7 SE 6 S 5 S 3 SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 8 7 6 5
MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1000 400 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 S 9 S 6 S 7 S 7 SW 6
DISPERSION IDX..20 4 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........2 3 5 6 6 6
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 7
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3 TO
6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
EAST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 32.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........1 1 2 17 32 36
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 10 40 50
TEMP............76 78 87 92 95 96
RH..............90 89 72 60 53 49
20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 2 SW 3 W 3 W 3 S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 6 7 6 8
MIX HGT (FT)....400 600 2300 4200 5400 4400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 SW 6 W 6 NW 5 NW 3 E 5
DISPERSION IDX..2 4 17 24 23 29
LVORI...........6 6 3 2 2 2
FORECASTER...WATSON
REQUESTED BY...STEPHINE AYALA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2616372.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/28/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL STEPHANIE.AYALA@FDACS.GOV
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