035  
FNUS72 KMLB 182317  
FWSMLB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JDSP NEAR ENTRANCE...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  
717 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2000 EDT ON MAY 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
NOT SURE IF YOU BURNED TODAY GIVEN THE SHOWER ACTIVITY.  
I MOVED UP YOUR FOLLOWUP SPOT REQUEST TO 8 PM. IT WAS ORIGINALLY  
SCHEDULED FOR MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.  
 
THE PROSPECT FOR FOG IS VERY LOW AS CONTINUED EASTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP  
BOUNDARY LAYER WELL MIXED WITH FAIR NIGHTTIME DISPERSION. THERE IS A  
CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND EVEN SOME LIGHTNING PUSHING ONSHORE  
THE COAST THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 13 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 16 TO 20 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....14.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........38 32 32 31 30 30 30 30 30 30  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............79 79 79 80 79 79 78 78 78 78  
RH..............82 82 82 79 79 79 82 82 82 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 14 14 13 13 13 13 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22 23 23 22 21 20 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 20 20 20 18 17 17 16 16  
DISPERSION IDX..15 16 16 16 15 14 14 13 13 12  
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 13 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 17 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 49.  
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........34 34 30 30 31 31 32 33 31 30 30 30  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............79 79 80 83 84 84 85 85 85 86 84 84  
RH..............79 79 79 77 74 72 70 70 70 68 72 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 18 20 20 20 20 20 18 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 1.2 2.6 2.5 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 2.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 16 17 16 16 15 15 15 15 15 16  
DISPERSION IDX..12 13 33 50 50 51 49 49 49 49 48 47  
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...KELLY  
REQUESTED BY...ROB ROSSMANITH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613878.1/MLB  
.DELDT 05/18/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ROBIN.ROSSMANITH@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
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