896
FNUS72 KMLB 160845
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR WBTWMA UNIT 1B...FLORIDA FISH AND WILDLIFE CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
445 AM EDT THU APR 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL BE PRESENT NEAR THE BURN SITE TODAY
AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE MID 40S
THIS AFTERNOON AND NEAR CRITICAL RH THRESHOLDS ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EACH MORNING WILL PICK UP OUT OF THE
EAST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE
MOVES INLAND, WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE ONCE AGAIN
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSION VALUES WILL
BE GENERALLY GOOD NEAR THE BURN SITE BOTH TODAY AND ON FRIDAY.
THERE IS A 20% CHANCE FOR PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE BURN
SITE EACH MORNING, THOUGH CONFIDENCE IN THIS REMAINS VERY LOW. IF
ANY FOG DOES DEVELOP, IT WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNRISE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 43.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........29 26 27 32 36 35 43 42 37 35
WEATHER COV.....PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............62 67 74 78 80 82 83 83 84 82
RH..............93 78 64 56 52 49 48 48 46 49
20 FT WIND DIR..NE SE SE E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 5 6 6 7 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 3 5 7 9 9 10 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.8 3.6 4.3 4.4 4.6 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 7 6 5 6 6 7 7 8
DISPERSION IDX..2 4 30 30 26 33 39 38 43 42
LVORI...........7 4 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
3 AM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5
TO 8 MPH OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....37 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........33 32 21 19 6 9
WEATHER COV..... PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............80 74 70 67 65 63
RH..............52 66 76 84 90 93
20 FT WIND......E 8 E 6 SE 6 SE 3 S 2 S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 8 6 5 3
MIX HGT (FT)....3200 800 600 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9 E 9 SE 8 SE 7 S 7 SW 5
DISPERSION IDX..37 4 4 3 3 2
LVORI...........1 3 3 5 6 6
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO 8 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 47.
LVORI...............10 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........10 19 6 4 4 4
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............61 63 75 85 87 87
RH..............100 97 64 46 40 39
20 FT WIND......W 1 NW 1 NW 1 N 2 E 5 E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.3 2 3 5 8 9
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 2800 4800 5600 5900
TRANSPORT WIND..W 3 W 3 NW 5 N 6 E 5 E 7
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 15 32 33 47
LVORI...........10 8 2 1 1 1
FORECASTER...TOLLEFSEN
REQUESTED BY...ERIC HERIBACKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2610459.0/MLB
.DELDT 04/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ERIC.HERIBACKA@MYFWC.COM
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