840
FNUS72 KTBW 211257
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR HENSCRATCH 2021 INCIDENT...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RUSKIN FL
857 AM EDT THU OCT 21 2021
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ATLANTIC WILL MAINTAIN EASTERLY WINDS
WITH A SLOW INCREASE IN MOISTURE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
A WEAK FRONT MOVES SOUTH INTO NORTH FLORIDA ON SATURDAY THEN
STALLS OUT ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA ON SUNDAY. LIGHTER 20 FOOT WINDS
AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL SUPPORT LOW DISPERSION OVER THE BURN
AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN
ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS WITH NO RED FLAG CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
REST OF TODAY
TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........16 24 16 17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1
TEMP............77 83 86 86
RH..............65 55 49 48
20 FT WIND......E 6 E 6 E 6 E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 4400 5300 5300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 E 9 SE 6 E 3
DISPERSION IDX..42 55 35 25
LVORI...........1 1 1 2
TONIGHT
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........14 29 23 22 11 17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............83 77 73 71 70 69
RH..............53 67 79 86 89 92
20 FT WIND......E 5 E 6 E 5 E 3 E 2 E 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 7 6 5 5
MIX HGT (FT)....2900 1000 500 500 400 300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 8 E 9 E 6 SE 3 E 3
DISPERSION IDX..14 4 3 3 2 1
LVORI...........2 3 4 5 7 7
FORECASTER...MCMICHAEL
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT VIERA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2119874.0/TBW
.DELDT 10/21/21
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26
.EMAIL ROBERT.VIERA@FDACS.GOV
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