377
FNUS72 KTBW 160858
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR AVIATION EXERCISE 2026 DAY 2...FLORIDA FORESTRY SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
358 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EST ON JANUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT WINDS TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
GULF AND PENINSULA WILL MITIGATE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ASIDE FROM
POOR DISPERSION POTENTIAL DESPITE DRY POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS THAT
WILL FEATURE CRITICAL AFTERNOON RH VALUES. AIR MASS RECOVERS ON
SATURDAY WITH AN UPTICK IN MOISTURE AS WINDS SHIFT TO E/SE AND
INCREASE SLIGHTLY WHILE DISPERSIONS IMPROVE OVERALL.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3 TO
7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....11.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........2 0 0 3 3 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............32 40 50 57 61 59
RH..............66 55 41 33 31 34
20 FT WIND......NE 3 NE 3 E 3 E 2 E 2 NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 6 6 5
MIX HGT (FT)....400 900 1600 2100 2400 2100
TRANSPORT WIND..N 9 NE 9 E 7 E 5 E 3 E 3
DISPERSION IDX..9 13 13 10 10 7
LVORI...........3 2 2 2 2 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........2 1 4 17 14 15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............55 46 41 41 41 41
RH..............40 56 68 72 78 82
20 FT WIND......NE 2 NE 2 NE 2 E 2 E 2 NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 5 6 6 7
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 300 300 300 300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 3 NE 6 NE 7 NE 7 NE 6 NE 5
DISPERSION IDX..4 2 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 4 5
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO
8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 17 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 30 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 19 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........14 28 29 27 28 32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............42 44 58 67 72 72
RH..............84 89 79 69 61 59
20 FT WIND......E 2 E 3 E 3 SE 5 S 5 S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 8 8 7
MIX HGT (FT)....300 500 800 2400 3500 4300
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 6 E 6 E 7 SE 5 SE 6 E 8
DISPERSION IDX..6 7 8 27 33 22
LVORI...........5 5 4 2 1 2
FORECASTER...HURT
REQUESTED BY...TOMMY PRICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600051.0/TBW
.DELDT 01/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RODNEY.WYNN@NOAA.GOV,NWS.TAMPABAY@NOAA.GOV,TOMMY.PRICE@FDACS.GOV,RICK.DAVIS@NOAA.GOV
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