519  
FNUS72 KTBW 092144  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HILLSBOROUGH RIVER S.P. HR-5...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
544 PM EDT THU JUL 9 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON JULY 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SOME MORE MOISTURE WILL RETURN DURING FRIDAY LEADING TO SCATTERED  
AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS WILL REMAIN  
LIGHT OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING,  
THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 62 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........20 20 15 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55  
WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO SCT SCT  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 30 30  
TEMP............77 77 79 82 87 90 93 95 96 97 97 96  
RH..............88 90 89 83 72 65 57 51 47 45 44 44  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE E E E SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 5 3 3 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 5 5 5 6 8 9 9 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 2.2 3.3 4.2 5.0 5.6 5.9 6.2 5.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 8 8  
DISPERSION IDX..2 3 4 8 13 20 29 39 48 57 62 59  
LVORI...........6 6 6 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) BECOMING PARTLY  
CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) LATE IN THE EVENING,  
THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT)  
OVERNIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING  
LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6  
TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....43 DECREASING TO 2.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........60 65 60 50 45 40 30 25 20 15 10 5  
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT ISO ISO  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCT SCT ISO ISO  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............96 93 89 86 84 82 81 80 79 78 78 77  
RH..............45 52 61 67 71 74 77 79 84 84 86 89  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S SW NE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 2.0 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SW SW SE S SE SE SE SE SE S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 8 6 6 6 7 7 6 5 5  
DISPERSION IDX..43 22 4 0 0 2 2 3 3 2 2 2  
LVORI...........1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING,  
THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT)  
IN THE AFTERNOON. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND  
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MID TO LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 50 IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
DECREASING TO 40 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 5 5 10 15 20 25 30 40 50 55 60  
WEATHER COV..... NUM NUM NUM NUM  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCT SCT SCT SCT  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 60 60 60 60  
TEMP............77 77 78 83 87 89 92 93 94 95 94 93  
RH..............89 91 89 80 73 67 60 56 53 52 53 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S S SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 5 5 5 6 8 9 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.7 2.6 3.5 4.3 5.1 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE S S S S S S S S S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 7 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6  
DISPERSION IDX..2 3 7 14 22 31 39 46 49 50 47 40  
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...CLOSE  
REQUESTED BY...CHERYL METZGER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2617111.0/TBW  
.DELDT 07/09/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHERYL.METZGER@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab FL Page
Main Text Page