700  
FNUS72 KTBW 122027  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HILLSBOROUGH RIVER S.P. HR-16...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
427 PM EDT WED AUG 12 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON AUGUST 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE WEATHER ON THURSDAY WITH HOT  
TEMPERATURES AND LOW RAIN CHANCES. NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS  
EXPECTED.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 37.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........22 24 22 22 23 27 29 23 28 21 22 21  
WEATHER COV..... ISO  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW  
TSTM COV........ ISO  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 20 10 10  
TEMP............76 76 77 81 87 90 92 93 94 95 93 92  
RH..............96 97 96 89 75 67 62 59 56 54 56 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 3 3 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.5 2.7 3.4 3.8 4.0 4.4 4.3 4.2 3.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 7 8 8 7 8 7 7 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 5 14 25 35 40 41 41 40 37 32  
LVORI...........8 8 7 5 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 8 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....23 DECREASING TO 2.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........19 24 34 22 18 18 23 23 26 31 27 36  
WEATHER COV..... ISO  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW  
TSTM COV........ ISO  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............91 88 85 83 81 79 79 78 77 77 77 76  
RH..............59 65 75 78 82 86 89 90 92 93 93 95  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W NW NW NW N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 7 5 3 2 1 1 1 1 1  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 1.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW W NW NW NW NW W W NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 3 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..23 12 4 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........2 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3  
TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 23.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........29 29 41 59 37 15 21 27 33 34 34 35  
WEATHER COV..... SCT SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCT SCT SCT SCT  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............76 76 77 82 86 90 93 94 94 94 93 91  
RH..............95 95 95 85 75 67 61 57 56 56 58 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE NE N NW W W NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.1 1 1 2 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.2 2.0 2.8 3.6 4.4 5.2 4.6 3.9 3.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE N SE SW W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 5  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 3 6 9 12 18 23 26 26 24 20  
LVORI...........7 7 7 6 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2  
 
 
FORECASTER...WYNN  
REQUESTED BY...CHERYL METZGER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2619560.0/TBW  
.DELDT 08/12/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHERYL.METZGER@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
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