186
FNUS72 KTBW 161153
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR BSP 3...CELM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
753 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
WESTERLY FLOW OVER THE REGION WILL KEEP THE WARM AND HUMID
SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS IN PLACE WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. DEEPER MOISTURE AND MORE NUMEROUS
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. GUSTY ERRATIC
WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING POSSIBLE WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
EARLY IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 47.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........13 18 13 33 41
WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD SCTTRD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 30 20
TEMP............80 88 90 92 94
RH..............86 65 59 55 51
20 FT WIND......NW 6 NW 8 NW 10 W 12 NW 13
20 FT WIND GUST.10 13 14 16 17
MIX HGT (FT)....800 2900 3800 4300 3700
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8 NW 10 NW 10 W 13 NW 14
DISPERSION IDX..9 33 47 47 51
LVORI...........5 2 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED
SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....36 DECREASING TO 7.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........53 58 39 57 58 43
WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............91 87 83 81 79 78
RH..............56 65 75 81 85 88
20 FT WIND......NW 12 NW 9 NW 6 W 3 W 3 W 3
20 FT WIND GUST.17 15 10 8 7 7
MIX HGT (FT)....3000 1200 500 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 13 NW 12 NW 8 NW 7 NW 7 NW 6
DISPERSION IDX..36 10 5 4 3 3
LVORI...........1 3 3 4 5 6
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST
5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO 6 TO 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 37.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........44 47 44 52 70 74
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 60 50 60 70 60
TEMP............77 79 85 88 88 89
RH..............89 88 70 63 63 62
20 FT WIND......NW 3 W 5 W 7 NW 7 NW 8 W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 10 10 13 12
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 1900 3000 3100 3900
TRANSPORT WIND..N 6 W 6 NW 8 NW 10 NW 9 NW 9
DISPERSION IDX..2 6 25 36 34 39
LVORI...........6 5 3 1 1 1
FORECASTER...CARLISLE
REQUESTED BY...NICK ALFANO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2617465.0/TBW
.DELDT 07/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ALFANON@HILLSBOROUGHCOUNTY.ORG
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