961
FNUS72 KTBW 140851
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR RYE EAST RIVER...MANATEE COUNTY NATURAL RESOURCES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
451 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IN THE REGION WILL KEEP THE WARM AND HUMID
SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEK. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTY
ERRATIC WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING POSSIBLE.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO 9
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 47.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........31 25 29 41 50
WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD ISOLTD
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 20 20
TEMP............77 86 92 94 94
RH..............89 67 55 51 51
20 FT WIND......SE 3 S 3 SW 5 SW 6 W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 9 13
MIX HGT (FT)....400 2400 3900 5300 3800
TRANSPORT WIND..S 6 S 9 SW 6 W 8 W 9
DISPERSION IDX..6 29 45 49 48
LVORI...........5 3 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO
6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
EAST AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM SHIFTING TO
THE NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........53 54 48 38 40 19
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............91 88 82 80 77 75
RH..............55 63 75 80 87 90
20 FT WIND......W 9 W 8 W 5 NE 3 SE 2 SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 8 6 5 5
MIX HGT (FT)....3000 1300 400 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 W 8 NW 6 E 5 E 5 NW 6
DISPERSION IDX..32 8 2 2 2 2
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 7
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5
TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE MORNING
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 62.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........25 23 23 10 17 26
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10
TEMP............74 77 87 92 95 97
RH..............94 91 65 54 47 43
20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 3 SE 5 S 5 W 7 W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 6 7 9 14
MIX HGT (FT)....400 300 2000 4400 5400 6500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 NE 6 NW 5 W 6 NW 6 W 9
DISPERSION IDX..2 6 15 25 36 60
LVORI...........6 6 3 2 1 1
FORECASTER...RDAVIS
REQUESTED BY...THOMAS REYNOLDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2617305.0/TBW
.DELDT 07/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TOM.REYNOLDS@MYMANATEE.ORG
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page