802  
FNUS72 KTBW 211939  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TENOROC LAN...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
239 PM EST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON JANUARY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE RAIN-FREE  
CONDITIONS, ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 TO  
10 MPH WITH GUST UP TO 15 MPH. NO SIGNIFICANT FOG IS EXPECTED.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 27 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,  
THEN INCREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........62 65 69 70 72 72 74 69 71  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............61 66 72 74 75 77 77 76 75  
RH..............87 78 66 63 60 56 56 56 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 13 13 13 13 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.9 2.1 3.0 3.9 4.0 4.2 3.8 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE E E E E NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 9 8 8 8 7 8 8  
DISPERSION IDX..10 12 18 24 30 35 38 37 28  
LVORI...........5 4 3 3 3 2 1 1 2  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....12 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
LVORI...............6.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........68 66 55 42 30 26 22 18 20 21 23 23  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............70 68 67 65 63 61 60 59 58 58 58 57  
RH..............69 75 77 82 87 92 96 99 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E E E NE NE NE E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 12 12 12 12 10 9 9 10 10 9  
DISPERSION IDX..16 7 4 4 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 5  
LVORI...........3 4 5 5 6 6 8 9 9 9 9 9  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 29 IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO  
20 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........24 25 21 18 15 16 18 20 21 23 25 27  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............57 58 61 65 70 73 77 79 81 82 81 78  
RH..............100 99 95 87 80 69 61 56 52 50 50 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.6 4.9 5.2 5.6 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 9 10 10 9 7 6 5 5 5 6  
DISPERSION IDX..6 9 12 16 20 25 28 31 31 30 26 20  
LVORI...........9 8 7 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 2 2  
 
 
FORECASTER...WYNN  
REQUESTED BY...VIC MEMMOLI  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600806.0/TBW  
.DELDT 01/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL VICTOR.MEMMOLI@FDACS.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab FL Page
Main Text Page