215
FNUS72 KTBW 171337
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR PF 2 AND 5...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
937 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. RAIN CHANCES ARE
ONLY ISOLATED THIS AFTERNOON, BUT WILL BE HIGHER FOR THURSDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND
13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....25 INCREASING TO 43 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 60 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 78 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 84
DECREASING TO 70 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........15 17 12 17 40
WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 20
TEMP............82 88 93 96 94
RH..............81 62 50 45 48
20 FT WIND......S 7 S 9 SW 10 SW 9 W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.12 16 17 17 17
MIX HGT (FT)....1900 3600 5300 5500 4700
TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 S 14 S 14 SW 14 W 13
DISPERSION IDX..25 60 82 87 70
LVORI...........4 2 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....48 DECREASING TO 3.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........36 35 24 28 25 32
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........ISOLTD
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 0 0 0
TEMP............93 86 82 79 77 76
RH..............51 65 75 82 89 92
20 FT WIND......W 8 SW 6 SW 3 SW 3 S 3 S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.16 13 8 7 7 7
MIX HGT (FT)....3400 900 600 500 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 10 W 8 SW 7 SW 8 S 7
DISPERSION IDX..48 5 0 3 3 3
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 6
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 18 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 45 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 62
INCREASING TO 64 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 45 DECREASING TO 30 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........30 13 16 29 51 55
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 30 50
TEMP............76 79 86 93 95 94
RH..............92 89 70 55 51 50
20 FT WIND......S 3 S 5 S 7 S 9 S 9 S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.7 9 13 16 17 17
MIX HGT (FT)....400 600 2700 4600 5900 3700
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 S 8 S 9 S 10 S 10 SW 10
DISPERSION IDX..2 8 32 58 68 45
LVORI...........6 5 3 1 1 1
FORECASTER...CARLISLE
REQUESTED BY...ADAM PETERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2615697.0/TBW
.DELDT 06/17/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL APETERSON@TNC.ORG
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