779  
FNUS72 KTBW 061058  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR AREA 6...US AIR FORCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
658 AM EDT TUE MAY 6 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NO FIRE CONCERNS EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS AMPLE  
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH WINDS GENERALLY AROUND 10 MPH OR  
LESS. INCREASED SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES LIKELY THIS WEEKEND INTO  
EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....20 INCREASING TO 48.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 5 AM 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM  
SKY (%).........31 24 23 33 69  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 20 70  
TEMP............75 83 88 91 90  
RH..............84 65 51 48 48  
20 FT WIND......SE 3 S 6 S 6 SE 6 SE 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 10 12 12 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 3300 5200 6300 5200  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 9 S 8 S 6 SE 7  
DISPERSION IDX..20 39 47 51 45  
LVORI...........5 2 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN  
BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....33 DECREASING TO 3.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT  
SKY (%).........69 40 66 37 27 15  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 40 40 10 0 0  
TEMP............88 78 74 72 70 69  
RH..............50 74 90 94 99 100  
20 FT WIND......E 6 SE 5 W 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 8 8 9 8  
MIX HGT (FT)....3000 700 500 700 500 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 8 SE 8 SE 7 S 6 SE 6 SE 6  
DISPERSION IDX..33 5 2 3 3 2  
LVORI...........1 3 7 7 9 9  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING  
TO 26 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON  
SKY (%).........21 36 26 34 57 57  
WEATHER COV..... LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 60 60  
TEMP............68 71 80 86 89 90  
RH..............100 99 76 58 48 46  
20 FT WIND......SE 3 S 5 S 6 S 6 SE 6 S 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 10 12 12 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 1200 2400 3900 5500 4800  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 9 S 9 S 7 S 6 W 5  
DISPERSION IDX..5 14 28 38 39 29  
LVORI...........9 5 3 1 1 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...PEARCE  
REQUESTED BY...JOSEPH BRUNER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2513130.0/TBW  
.DELDT 05/06/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSEPH.BRUNER@US.AF.MIL  
 
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