450  
FNUS72 KTBW 061254  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR AREA 5A SOUTH...USAF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
854 AM EDT MON JUL 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK AND  
WITH DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE WE'LL SEE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS  
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 35 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
DECREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........25 35 45 60 75  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC LIKELY LIKELY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 20 70 70  
TEMP............81 88 92 93 88  
RH..............86 68 57 55 64  
20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 5 SW 5 W 6 W 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 9 12 13 14  
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 3000 4200 3800 2800  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 W 7 SW 7  
DISPERSION IDX..12 27 35 34 24  
LVORI...........4 2 1 1 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MID TO LATE  
IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING  
LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO  
9 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....17 DECREASING TO 2 OVERNIGHT.  
LVORI...............6.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........80 85 70 70 60 25  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........LIKELY CHANCE S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 40 20 10 0 0  
TEMP............85 80 77 76 75 74  
RH..............71 86 93 95 95 97  
20 FT WIND......W 5 SE 5 S 3 S 2 S 2 S 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 7 6 6 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....1600 700 500 500 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 S 8 S 8 S 8 S 7 S 6  
DISPERSION IDX..17 5 4 4 3 2  
LVORI...........3 5 6 6 7 8  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 31 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........15 15 20 30 50 65  
WEATHER COV..... LIKELY CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ LIKELY CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 60 50  
TEMP............73 76 86 91 93 94  
RH..............100 95 74 61 55 53  
20 FT WIND......S 1 S 1 SW 2 SW 3 SW 3 S 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 7 9 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 600 2300 3700 5000 3600  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5  
DISPERSION IDX..2 4 14 23 29 31  
LVORI...........10 7 3 2 2 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...CLOSE  
REQUESTED BY...JOSEPH BRUNER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2616852.0/TBW  
.DELDT 07/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSEPH.BRUNER@US.AF.MIL  
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