279  
FNUS72 KTBW 251225  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HC RX LGS-29...HC ELM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
825 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS NORTHERLY FLOW FILTERS DRIER  
AIR INTO THE STATE. WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED TODAY BUT ARE  
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH OUTSIDE OF OCCASIONAL  
HIGHER GUSTS, ACCOMPANIED BY FAIR TO GOOD DISPERSIONS. MINIMUM  
AFTERNOON RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE TO  
AROUND 60 PERCENT, REMAINING WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLD, WHILE  
MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH VALUES ON SATURDAY WILL DROP A BIT LOWER,  
LIKELY BELOW 50 PERCENT FOR A FEW HOURS DURING THE AFTERNOON.  
WINDS WILL ALSO DROP SLIGHTLY FOR SATURDAY, SUPPORTING A CONTINUED  
LIMITED FIRE THREAT.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....26 INCREASING TO 48.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........21 20 20 28 41  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 80 84 85 82  
RH..............91 77 67 63 64  
20 FT WIND......N 10 N 10 N 9 N 9 N 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 16 16 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....1300 2400 3700 4500 4400  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 14 N 12 N 9 N 9 N 9  
DISPERSION IDX..22 35 44 49 46  
LVORI...........4 4 2 1 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....34 DECREASING TO 5.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........45 32 15 11 10 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............79 75 72 70 67 65  
RH..............70 77 81 85 88 91  
20 FT WIND......N 8 NE 8 NE 8 NE 7 NE 5 N 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 12 9 8  
MIX HGT (FT)....2800 700 600 500 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 9 NE 10 NE 10 NE 9 NE 8 N 8  
DISPERSION IDX..34 7 5 5 4 3  
LVORI...........3 4 4 5 6 6  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 9 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 50.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........6 7 8 17 20 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............64 64 73 80 85 83  
RH..............92 91 76 58 49 48  
20 FT WIND......N 5 N 6 N 6 N 6 N 6 N 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 10 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 2300 3900 4700 5100  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 8 N 7 N 9 N 7 N 7 N 8  
DISPERSION IDX..3 7 21 33 41 51  
LVORI...........6 5 3 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...HURT  
REQUESTED BY...HC ELM  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2622510.0/TBW  
.DELDT 09/25/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RAYMONDS@HCFL.GOV  
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