206
FNUS72 KTBW 141340
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHASS 014F 10F 13F...FLORIDA FISH AND WILDLIFE CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
940 AM EDT FRI AUG 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF AND WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL BE IN CONTROL
OF LOCAL CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK,
CONTINUING BELOW NORMAL RAIN/STORM CHANCES AND ABOVE NORMAL HEAT.
ONSHORE (WNW-NNW) FLOW BECOMES MORE LIGHT AND VARIABLE TODAY, THEN
SHIFTS OFFSHORE (ESE-NE) SATURDAY. WINDS SPEEDS 10 MPH OR LESS.
FOG POTENTIAL...NO SIGNIFICANT FOG IS EXPECTED.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 22 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........8 10 9 13 17 22 35 41
WEATHER COV..... ISO SCT SCT SCT ISO
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 30 30 30 20
TEMP............87 90 92 93 92 94 91 90
RH..............74 68 65 63 64 61 65 66
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 3 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.3 6 6 8 9 10 9 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.1 2.7 2.3 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 5 5 6 7 7 8
DISPERSION IDX..10 15 18 21 23 24 22 19
LVORI...........3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5
TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE EVENING
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....11 DECREASING TO 2 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........41 52 54 52 50 51 40 38 45 25 23 23
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............89 86 84 82 81 80 79 78 78 77 76 76
RH..............69 74 81 84 86 88 89 91 93 93 95 96
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW E S S SE N N SE S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W N W NW NE SW SW SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6
DISPERSION IDX..14 7 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
LVORI...........3 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 8
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3 TO
7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON,
THEN INCREASING TO 8 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 27.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........23 23 20 19 20 23 19 22 25 32 30 40
WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 10
TEMP............76 76 77 81 86 90 92 93 93 92 94 92
RH..............96 97 95 87 75 67 64 60 61 63 59 64
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE N N N SW W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 3 3 3 6 7 9 10 12 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.5 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.6 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S SW W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 5 3 3 5 6 7 8 9 9
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 5 6 8 11 16 22 26 28 28 25
LVORI...........8 8 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
FORECASTER...RDAVIS
REQUESTED BY...STEPHEN TOWERY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2619685.0/TBW
.DELDT 08/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL STEPHEN.TOWERY@MYFWC.COM
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