939
FNUS72 KTBW 131402
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR DP RX...MANATEE COUNTY GOVERNMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1002 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
WARM, HUMID CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS TURNING WSW BY THE AFTERNOON. WITH SOME DRIER AIR ALOFT,
RAIN CHANCES ARE ON THE LOWER SIDE AT ONLY AROUND 30%. HOWEVER, IF
A THUNDERSTORM DOES FORM, IT IS MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY, ERRATIC WINDS SHOULD BE EXPECTED IN THE
VICINITY, ALONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING. RAIN CHANCES DIMINISH FOR
TOMORROW AS THE DRY AIR BECOMES MORE PRONOUNCED. WITH AMPLE RH
VALUES REMAINING DESPITE THE DRIER AIR, NO RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
LATE IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9
TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 45.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........27 26 31 39 38
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............81 88 93 94 94
RH..............85 70 59 55 54
20 FT WIND......S 2 SW 3 W 6 W 9 W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.3 6 9 12 13
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 2800 4000 4600 4100
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 5 W 6 W 6 W 9 W 12
DISPERSION IDX..9 23 35 44 43
LVORI...........5 3 2 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LATE IN
THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 6
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5
TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....33 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........43 46 48 25 8 6
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........ISOLTD
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............92 86 82 79 77 76
RH..............56 69 79 84 89 91
20 FT WIND......NW 12 NW 8 W 5 S 3 S 1 S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.13 6 6 5 5
MIX HGT (FT)....3300 900 400 500 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 9 N 7 S 5 S 6 S 5
DISPERSION IDX..33 8 2 2 3 2
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 6
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 10
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 51.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........13 18 11 25 28 36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............75 77 86 91 93 95
RH..............93 94 73 60 54 50
20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 2 S 3 SW 5 W 7 W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 8 10 13
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 2200 4300 5100 5000
TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 S 5 S 5 W 6 W 7 W 10
DISPERSION IDX..2 4 17 30 40 51
LVORI...........7 6 3 1 1 1
FORECASTER...FLANNERY
REQUESTED BY...MARK PROCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2617289.0/TBW
.DELDT 07/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MARK.PROCH@MYMANATEE.ORG
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