122  
FNUS72 KTBW 270900  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WAWA 2 FIRE...USAF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
500 AM EDT WED MAY 27 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0738 EDT ON MAY 27.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
AMPLE MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION LEADING TO SCATTERED  
TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH  
DAY. RATHER HIGH DISPERSION VALUES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING,  
THEN PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
MID TO LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 83 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,  
THEN DECREASING TO 73 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........40 40 45 50 55 60  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 20 30  
TEMP............73 80 89 91 92 90  
RH..............93 80 61 53 50 54  
20 FT WIND......E 7 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 16 17 20 20 18  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 2600 4200 5400 5400 4700  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 SE 14 SE 15 SE 14 SE 14 S 14  
DISPERSION IDX..13 39 74 83 83 73  
LVORI...........6 3 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE EARLY  
MORNING HOURS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....52 DECREASING TO 2.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........65 70 65 65 60 55  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 40 30 20 10  
TEMP............87 81 77 75 74 73  
RH..............61 76 88 94 94 96  
20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 5 S 3 S 2 S 2 SE 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 13 7 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....4200 1000 1000 500 500 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 14 SE 12 S 8 S 7 S 6 S 6  
DISPERSION IDX..52 8 3 3 3 2  
LVORI...........1 4 6 6 6 8  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING,  
THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE WEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10  
TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 61 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,  
THEN DECREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........55 55 55 60 65 70  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC LIKELY LIKELY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 10 20 80 80  
TEMP............71 75 84 88 89 88  
RH..............99 98 74 64 59 60  
20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 3 S 5 S 6 SW 6 W 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 10 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 900 2700 4200 5100 600  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 S 6 S 10 S 10 SW 10 SW 10  
DISPERSION IDX..2 6 33 56 61 37  
LVORI...........10 7 3 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...CLOSE  
REQUESTED BY...JOSEPH BRUNER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2614461.1/TBW  
.DELDT 05/27/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSEPH.BRUNER@US.AF.MIL  
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