025  
FNUS72 KTBW 010715  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CREEK RANCH WMA - UNIT 6...FWC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
315 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JULY 01.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BRING ANOTHER AFTERNOON  
OF NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT  
WINDS LESS THAN 15 MPH, EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING,  
THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 27 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 47 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,  
DECREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........15 35 45 55 60  
WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD NUMRUS NUMRUS  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD NUMRUS NUMRUS  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 20 60 60  
TEMP............77 84 88 88 87  
RH..............100 78 68 65 66  
20 FT WIND......N 3 NE 5 NE 6 NE 8 NE 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 8 13 15 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 2600 3800 4000 3400  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 7 NE 8 NE 8 NE 10 E 12  
DISPERSION IDX..7 27 43 47 41  
LVORI...........8 3 1 1 2  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....24 DECREASING TO 2.  
LVORI...............6.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........50 35 25 20 15 15  
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........SCTTRD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............85 81 78 77 76 75  
RH..............71 81 88 93 95 96  
20 FT WIND......E 7 E 6 E 5 NE 3 NE 3 NE 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 12 9 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....2700 1100 500 500 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 12 E 10 E 9 NE 7 NE 7 NE 6  
DISPERSION IDX..24 5 4 3 3 2  
LVORI...........3 4 6 6 7 8  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING,  
THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 35.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........15 20 30 40 45 50  
WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD SCTTRD  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD SCTTRD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 20 40  
TEMP............74 76 84 88 90 91  
RH..............96 95 74 64 58 57  
20 FT WIND......NE 3 NE 3 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 9 10 13  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 700 2700 4100 4900 2500  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 6 NE 6 E 7 E 6 NE 6 E 9  
DISPERSION IDX..2 6 20 31 35 35  
LVORI...........8 7 3 2 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...CLOSE  
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN KELLY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2616530.0/TBW  
.DELDT 07/01/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SHAWN.KELLY@MYFWC.COM  
 
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