630
FNUS72 KTBW 210902
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR RYE 4 RX...MANATEE COUNTY NATURAL RESOURCES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
502 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH CONTINUED WARM HUMID
CONDITIONS. SUNNY THIS MORNING, INCREASING CLOUDINESS THIS AFTERNOON
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING DURING THE MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 41 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
TO 31 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13 8 6 9 12 16 19 20 21 24
WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO SCT
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO SCT
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 30
TEMP............74 78 81 84 88 89 90 91 90 88
RH..............93 85 75 68 59 54 51 50 53 55
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE SE S S SW W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 8 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.4 2.4 3.3 4.3 5.0 5.7 5.5 4.6 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 9 9 8 7 7 6 6 7
DISPERSION IDX..8 17 29 39 43 45 43 42 37 31
LVORI...........6 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN
THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6 TO 7 MPH
LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....21 DECREASING TO 4.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........24 30 38 43 43 47 40 39 31 41 47 53
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............88 84 82 79 78 78 77 76 75 75 74 74
RH..............57 64 70 76 79 81 83 86 87 88 90 89
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W N E E E SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 8 7 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 2.1 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NE E E E SE E SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 9 9
DISPERSION IDX..21 11 3 1 3 5 4 4 4 4 5 6
LVORI...........2 2 3 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 22 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 53 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 43.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........45 44 40 38 32 31 22 20 26 27 29 31
WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO ISO
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20
TEMP............74 74 76 79 83 85 88 90 91 92 90 89
RH..............90 93 90 83 72 66 58 53 50 49 51 53
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 13 13 12 10 9 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.9 2.8 3.8 4.7 5.7 6.2 6.9 4.3 3.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 10 12 9 8 8 7 8 8
DISPERSION IDX..5 5 10 22 37 49 55 56 54 51 46 39
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...OGLESBY
REQUESTED BY...THOMAS REYNOLDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2614190.0/TBW
.DELDT 05/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TOM.REYNOLDS@MYMANATEE.ORG
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