451
FNUS72 KTBW 021143
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR HC RX BWC...HC ELM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
743 AM EDT FRI OCT 2 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON OCTOBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
EAST/SOUTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPE OF DAYS WITH SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED, MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 35 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 26 LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........60 71 74 76 74
WEATHER COV..... SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD ISOLTD
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 10 40 50
TEMP............75 82 86 87 86
RH..............97 84 75 72 74
20 FT WIND......E 7 E 9 SE 10 SE 9 SE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.14 16 18 17 16
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1500 2800 3700 2600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 10 SE 13 SE 14 SE 13 SE 10
DISPERSION IDX..11 30 39 34 28
LVORI...........7 4 3 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH BECOMING AROUND 6 MPH
LATE IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........85 84 80 65 74 67
WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 50 30 30 20 20
TEMP............81 77 76 76 75 75
RH..............85 93 95 95 96 97
20 FT WIND......SE 7 E 6 E 6 E 6 E 6 E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.14 10 9 10 10 10
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 500 400 400 500 700
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10 E 8 E 7 E 7 E 8 E 9
DISPERSION IDX..17 5 4 5 6 6
LVORI...........4 6 6 6 7 7
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 26 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........77 65 69 86 78 75
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 0 0 0 50 40
TEMP............75 75 79 85 87 86
RH..............98 100 94 79 72 74
20 FT WIND......E 6 E 6 E 8 E 9 E 8 E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 14 16 16 14
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 1500 2300 2800 1200
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9 E 9 E 12 E 10 SE 10 E 10
DISPERSION IDX..6 9 22 28 25 30
LVORI...........8 8 5 3 3 3
FORECASTER...CARLISLE
REQUESTED BY...HC ELM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622952.0/TBW
.DELDT 10/02/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RAYMONDS@HCFL.GOV
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