557  
FNUS72 KTBW 282052  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PL 1&2...FFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
352 PM EST WED JAN 28 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON JANUARY 29.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY NORTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE AREA ON THURSDAY WITH COLD  
MORNING TEMPS AND PATCHY EARLY MORNING FROST POTENTIAL. CRITICAL  
AFTERNOON RH VALUES EXPECTED, ALTHOUGH WINDS REMAINING BELOW 15  
MPH AND LOW SFP RISK SHOULD MINIMIZE FIRE CONCERNS.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 29 IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
DECREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........2 0 0 2 3 6 4 3 2 2  
WEATHER COV.....PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............35 43 49 55 58 62 63 64 65 63  
RH..............70 56 47 40 33 28 27 26 27 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 12 12 12 12 10 10 9 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.9 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.6 2.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 12 12 9 8 7 7 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..14 15 18 22 26 29 32 32 30 21  
LVORI...........3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........2 2 2 5 8 13 17 22 23 24 25 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............59 55 51 48 46 44 43 42 42 42 42 41  
RH..............37 43 52 64 76 84 88 90 93 93 93 95  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 6 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 10 12 9 8 8 8 7 7 6  
DISPERSION IDX..11 3 2 3 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 4  
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON  
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 40.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........25 25 25 25 25 25 24 23 23 23 23 33  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............40 42 46 51 57 62 65 68 70 71 71 68  
RH..............95 93 87 78 68 58 49 43 39 37 38 41  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N W SW SW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 6 8 9 10 10 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 2.2 3.1 4.1 4.6 5.1 5.6 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE E E S SW SW SW SW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..5 6 7 8 11 17 24 31 39 44 43 35  
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...HURT  
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN THORNTON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2601262.0/TBW  
.DELDT 01/28/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRIAN.THORNTON@FDACS.GOV  
 
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