031
FNUS72 KTBW 111413
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELLIS RX...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
913 AM EST SUN JAN 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON JANUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTHWARD ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
FLORIDA THIS MORNING AND WILL DEPART SOUTH FLORIDA BY THIS
EVENING. AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY, WINDS WILL MOSTLY
BE OUT OF THE WEST THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE
INCREASING AND SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SOME GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH POSSIBLE AT TIMES.
THERE ALSO COULD BE A FEW LIGHT SCATTERED SHOWERS ACCOMPANYING
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY BY LATE AFTERNOON, BUT MOST OF THE AREA
WILL BE DRY DUE TO LIMITED MOISTURE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO
AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 17 TO 18
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 43 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 55 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 40.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........36 35 48 49 63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 0
TEMP............71 82 83 82 76
RH..............80 56 51 51 60
20 FT WIND......W 5 W 7 W 9 NW 10 N 12
20 FT WIND GUST.7 12 15 17 18
MIX HGT (FT)....600 2500 4600 4100 1900
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 W 10 W 14 NW 13 N 18
DISPERSION IDX..9 28 55 57 40
LVORI...........4 2 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....26 DECREASING TO 17 IN THE EVENING, THEN
INCREASING TO 21 OVERNIGHT DECREASING TO 14
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........65 68 66 63 59 50
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............71 66 62 58 55 53
RH..............70 74 69 59 57 63
20 FT WIND......N 10 N 10 N 10 N 12 N 13 N 13
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 21 22 22 21
MIX HGT (FT)....1900 1700 1100 1400 1400 1000
TRANSPORT WIND..N 18 N 20 N 20 N 21 N 21 N 20
DISPERSION IDX..26 13 18 23 23 17
LVORI...........2 4 3 2 2 2
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....16 INCREASING TO 33 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO 39 LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 30 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........57 56 65 74 78 78
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............52 53 62 69 72 71
RH..............68 75 64 56 54 56
20 FT WIND......N 12 N 10 N 10 NE 10 NE 9 NE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.20 17 17 17 17 17
MIX HGT (FT)....900 1100 1600 2700 3400 3800
TRANSPORT WIND..N 16 N 16 N 17 NE 15 NE 14 NE 15
DISPERSION IDX..12 19 35 37 38 39
LVORI...........3 3 2 1 1 1
FORECASTER...GIARRATANA
REQUESTED BY...K GRODI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2528761.0/TBW
.DELDT 01/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KEVIN_GRODI@FWS.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page