097
FNUS72 KTBW 231236
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR MR-03C RX...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
836 AM EDT THU JUL 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
WE WILL BE SEEING A WARM AND HOT DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 90'S.
LOWER WINDS WILL KEEP DISPERSIONS LOW DURING THE MORNING HOURS BEFORE
TOPPING OUT IN THE 50'S BY THE LATE AFTERNOON.SHOWERS SHOULD HOLD
OFF FOR MUCH OF THE DAY BUT AN ISOLATED EVENING STORM CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 57.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........12 4 19 32 44
WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 20
TEMP............81 88 93 95 94
RH..............87 67 56 50 51
20 FT WIND......E 5 E 6 E 6 E 5 NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 9 9 10
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 3000 4700 5500 5700
TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 8 E 8 E 7 E 8
DISPERSION IDX..14 30 46 57 54
LVORI...........5 2 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE EAST 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....38 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........46 40 33 11 10 17
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 20 0 0 0
TEMP............93 86 82 80 78 76
RH..............54 70 78 83 88 93
20 FT WIND......NW 7 NW 6 N 5 E 6 E 6 E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 10 10 9 9
MIX HGT (FT)....4300 800 500 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 9 NW 7 E 7 E 8 E 8 E 8
DISPERSION IDX..38 3 0 3 4 3
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 6
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 19 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 50 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 55
DECREASING TO 39 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 26.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........22 23 25 24 52 73
WEATHER COV..... NUMRUS NUMRUS
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ NUMRUS NUMRUS
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 60 60
TEMP............76 77 85 90 92 93
RH..............96 96 77 65 59 57
20 FT WIND......NE 6 E 6 NE 7 E 8 E 8 E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 12 12 12 10
MIX HGT (FT)....400 900 2600 4200 5100 2400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 E 8 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 9
DISPERSION IDX..3 9 33 54 59 39
LVORI...........8 6 3 1 1 1
FORECASTER...SHIVELEY
REQUESTED BY...JON MEYER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2618035.0/TBW
.DELDT 07/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JONATHAN.C.MEYER@FLORIDADEP.GOV,STEPHEN.GIGUERE@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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