373
FNUS72 KTBW 141157
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR ST2026W7...SWFWMD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
757 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON OCTOBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST NEAR THE BURN SITE TODAY AND
TOMORROW, WITH PREVAILING EASTERLY WINDS BETWEEN 5 TO 10 MPH
THROUGH THE PERIOD. NO MINIMUM RH CONCERNS WITH VALUES REMAINING
ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSION VALUES ARE
ANTICIPATED TO BE GENERALLY GOOD TODAY AND FAIR ON THURSDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 22 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 38 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 45 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 35.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........19 18 14 9 8 12 14 23 32 32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............70 73 78 81 84 85 86 88 87 87
RH..............97 93 82 75 67 63 59 56 55 56
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 10 12 12 13 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 1.2 2.6 3.9 4.4 4.8 4.5 4.0 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 8 9 9 8 8 7 8
DISPERSION IDX..6 11 18 26 34 42 47 46 42 35
LVORI...........6 4 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....24 DECREASING TO 4.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........34 37 39 31 22 11 5 3 3 6 6 9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............85 81 80 78 77 76 74 73 72 71 71 70
RH..............61 69 72 75 77 80 83 87 90 91 92 93
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 6 7 7 6 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 10 12 14 13 12 10 9 9 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 9 10 10 9 9 8 8 8 7
DISPERSION IDX..24 13 4 2 3 5 4 4 4 3 3 3
LVORI...........2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 29.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........9 12 12 9 11 12 7 3 4 9 16 21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
TEMP............70 70 70 74 78 82 85 87 88 89 88 88
RH..............93 93 95 89 80 73 65 61 58 55 56 57
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 7 6 6 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 9 9 12 12 10 9 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.2 1.8 2.9 3.6 3.9 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 6
DISPERSION IDX..4 5 8 15 23 29 31 32 30 30 28 25
LVORI...........6 6 6 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 2 2
FORECASTER...MLB
REQUESTED BY...ANNE BLANCHARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623755.0/TBW
.DELDT 10/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ANNE.BLANCHARD@SWFMWD.STATE.FL.US
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