612  
FNUS72 KTBW 230808  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WAWA2 FIRE...USWFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
408 AM EDT SAT MAY 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 EDT ON MAY 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING, PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 53.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........49 39 28 25 25 27 28 35 37 41 42  
WEATHER COV..... ISO SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO ISO  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 30 30 30  
TEMP............73 76 82 86 88 91 92 93 93 92 90  
RH..............95 90 73 64 59 52 48 45 45 47 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 10 12 13 14 14 15 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.8 2.2 3.3 4.1 5.3 6.0 6.4 6.3 6.1 4.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 9 10 9 8 8 7 7 8 9 9  
DISPERSION IDX..5 9 19 31 42 46 48 49 52 54 51  
LVORI...........6 5 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED SHOWERS  
LATE IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....39 DECREASING TO 6.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........40 39 48 54 57 62 63 64 62 55 50 39  
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 40 30 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 0  
TEMP............89 86 82 79 77 76 75 74 74 73 73 73  
RH..............53 60 70 77 81 85 88 91 93 95 98 98  
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 7 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 14 12 10 9 9 9 9 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 2.5 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 14 13 10 9 8 8 8 7 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..39 23 9 4 3 4 3 3 4 3 2 3  
LVORI...........1 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 7 9 9  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 14 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 46 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 62  
INCREASING TO 74 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 57 DECREASING TO 43 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........40 41 29 30 29 27 25 37 44 48 52 46  
WEATHER COV..... SCT SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO ISO  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 50 50 30  
TEMP............73 73 77 81 85 87 89 90 90 91 89 88  
RH..............98 98 87 73 64 59 54 52 51 50 53 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 10 13 14 15 16 17 17 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.2 2.6 3.3 4.1 5.2 5.8 6.1 4.8 2.9 2.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 9 12 13 13 13 12 12 14 14 12  
DISPERSION IDX..4 7 14 29 46 62 72 78 78 70 57 43  
LVORI...........9 7 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...OGLESBY  
REQUESTED BY...MIKE GAWRONSKI  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2614317.1/TBW  
.DELDT 05/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MICHAEL_GAWRONSKI@FWS.GOV  
 
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