477  
FNUS72 KTBW 211044  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TCP BU7...LEE COUNTY CONSERVATION 20/20  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
644 AM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON JULY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA REMAINS WELL WEST OF THE AREA CENTERED ABOUT  
110 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA, AND IS MOVING SLOWLY  
NORTHWEST AWAY FROM THE TAMPA AREA. HOWEVER, STRONG GUSTY SOUTH WINDS  
WILL PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS OVERALL ARE  
EXPECTED TO BE DRY, CAN'T RULE OUT A STRAY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM.  
THE RELATIVELY STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE HIGH DISPERSIONS TODAY  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 17 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 80 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........32 36 37 30 37 38  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 10 10 10  
TEMP............77 83 88 92 93 92  
RH..............91 78 67 56 53 54  
20 FT WIND......SE 9 S 9 S 7 S 10 S 12 SW 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 16 17 17 18 17  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1800 3600 4900 5600 4400  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 14 S 17 S 17 S 15 S 13 S 13  
DISPERSION IDX..9 35 76 84 80 64  
LVORI...........5 4 2 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....45 DECREASING TO 2.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........34 37 40 43 43 43 30 27 22 18 13 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............91 89 85 83 81 80 79 78 77 77 76 75  
RH..............58 61 71 74 79 82 85 86 90 91 93 95  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW S SW S SE S SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 8 6 5 3 2 3 3 2 3 5 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 12 8 7 6 6 7 7 8 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 2.1 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW S S S S S S SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 10 9 8 7 8 7 7 7 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..45 22 4 0 0 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........1 2 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST  
5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 18 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 57 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........16 11 12 10 9 12 9 14 18 17 30 41  
WEATHER COV..... ISO SCT ISO  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 30 20  
TEMP............75 75 77 82 86 88 91 93 93 94 93 92  
RH..............95 95 92 79 70 64 58 54 52 51 53 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S SE SE SW SE S SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 5 6 5 6 6 5 6 6 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 9 9 10 10 9 9 9 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.8 2.9 4.0 4.5 5.1 5.8 4.6 3.4 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 9 9 8 8 8 7 8 7  
DISPERSION IDX..2 3 7 18 33 46 53 57 57 52 44 34  
LVORI...........7 7 6 5 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...PEARCE  
REQUESTED BY...LAURA GREENO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2617856.0/TBW  
.DELDT 07/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LGREENO@LEEGOV.COM  
 
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