185  
FNUS72 KTBW 012204  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SR11 AND SR12...FWC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
604 PM EDT MON JUN 1 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JUNE 02.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE WITH GENERALLY WESTERLY FLOW.  
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE MOVING FROM THE EASTERN  
GULF TUESDAY MORNING SHIFTING INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. A  
WEAK COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE AREA  
WEDNESDAY WITH INCREASING RAIN CHANCES.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL...NO SIGNIFICANT FOG IS EXPECTED.  
 
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....21 INCREASING TO 38 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 53 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 57 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 48.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........58 52 47 55 57 52 51 51 55 65  
WEATHER COV..... ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 20 30 40 40 50  
TEMP............78 82 84 87 88 89 91 90 90 89  
RH..............90 81 75 67 62 60 56 55 54 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 9 10 10 12 12 12 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.9 2.5 3.0 3.4 4.6 4.7 3.9 3.9 3.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 10 12 10 10 10 10 10  
DISPERSION IDX..17 25 34 42 49 56 59 59 55 48  
LVORI...........4 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS  
IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH  
THE NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
6 TO 7 MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AFTER 3 AM SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 7  
MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....34 DECREASING TO 4.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........63 63 73 69 67 66 65 67 73 68 64 65  
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT NUM SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 40 60 40 30 30 40 0 10 20 20  
TEMP............86 85 82 79 78 77 76 76 75 75 74 74  
RH..............61 64 71 78 82 84 85 86 87 88 90 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW W W NW NW NE W N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 9 9 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW NW NW W N NE E W N NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 9 7 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 7  
DISPERSION IDX..34 19 6 2 1 3 3 3 3 2 2 3  
LVORI...........1 2 3 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.  
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 37.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........65 66 66 34 58 82 83 83 84 83 82 81  
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WID WID WID WID  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 80 80 80 80  
TEMP............73 73 75 77 79 82 84 85 85 85 83 82  
RH..............92 94 91 87 80 74 69 66 65 65 66 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 7 7 8 9 9 10 12 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 10 12 13 14 16 17 18 20 21 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.2 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.8 4.3 3.9 3.5 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 9 8 9 12 12 10 10 12 13 14  
DISPERSION IDX..5 9 15 22 29 35 39 40 41 39 37 33  
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 3 3 2 1 2 3 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...RDAVIS  
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN KELLY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2614780.0/TBW  
.DELDT 06/01/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SHAWN.KELLY@MYFWC.COM  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab FL Page
Main Text Page