659  
FNUS72 KTBW 232008  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MOSAIC WELLFIELD RX...MANATEE COUNTY NATURAL RESOURCES  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
408 PM EDT WED SEP 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA ON THURSDAY, WITH  
INCREASING NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS BRINGING DRIER AIR AND LOWER RAIN  
CHANCES ON THURSDAY. THE DRIER AIR WILL HOLD THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH  
LITTLE IF ANY RAIN CHANCE. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE  
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS WITH SUSTAINED 20-FOOT WINDS LESS THAN 15 MPH,  
THEREFORE THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AT THIS TIME. NO SIGNIFICANT  
FOG IS EXPECTED.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 13 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 50 IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO  
42 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........9 19 35 37 46  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10  
TEMP............74 80 86 88 89  
RH..............100 85 73 66 63  
20 FT WIND......N 8 N 9 N 10 N 10 N 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 15 15 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 2100 3100 3600 3800  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 10 N 13 N 12 N 13 N 12  
DISPERSION IDX..10 28 45 54 49  
LVORI...........7 4 3 1 1  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....31 DECREASING TO 10.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........50 42 45 27 25 26  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............86 79 77 75 74 73  
RH..............68 83 89 92 93 94  
20 FT WIND......N 12 NE 10 NE 12 NE 13 N 10 N 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 20 20 21 17 18  
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 600 700 500 500 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 13 NE 13 NE 14 NE 13 N 13 N 12  
DISPERSION IDX..31 11 10 11 8 8  
LVORI...........3 4 5 5 6 6  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 54.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........22 28 18 16 11 20  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 72 78 84 87 87  
RH..............93 93 80 67 59 57  
20 FT WIND......N 12 N 13 NE 14 NE 13 NE 12 NE 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 20 18 16 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 900 2200 3500 4700 4400  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 12 N 12 NE 14 NE 13 NE 12 NE 10  
DISPERSION IDX..8 12 33 47 48 55  
LVORI...........6 5 3 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...WYNN  
REQUESTED BY...THOMAS REYNOLDS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2622394.0/TBW  
.DELDT 09/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TOM.REYNOLDS@MYMANATEE.ORG  
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