099
FNUS72 KTBW 281145
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR CI 17...FL FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
745 AM EDT FRI AUG 28 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME WEST/SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON.
SCATTERED STORMS OVER THE GULF THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT
ONSHORE AND EVENTUALLY EAST OF THE SITE BY THIS EVENING.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 32 IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
23 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........31 25 26 33 50 51 58 56 59 54
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 30 40 30 30 50 50 40 40
TEMP............75 78 82 86 87 86 88 86 86 86
RH..............96 91 83 75 72 72 69 74 72 71
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 5 6 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 10 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.9 1.8 2.7 3.2 3.8 3.7 3.5 2.9 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 8 7 8 8 7 7 7
DISPERSION IDX..6 12 21 28 33 35 35 33 29 23
LVORI...........7 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO 6 MPH
LATE IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 DECREASING TO 2 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........54 55 53 47 35 35 31 29 27 27 23 23
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCT SCT ISO ISO
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 10 10 10
TEMP............85 82 80 78 77 76 75 75 75 74 74 73
RH..............75 81 87 92 94 95 96 97 96 97 97 97
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W SW SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.9 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W E E E E SE SE E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 5 5
DISPERSION IDX..16 8 2 0 1 2 2 2 3 2 2 2
LVORI...........4 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 10
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 20 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 35 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 14.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........21 30 26 23 18 19 21 34 51 64 72 63
WEATHER COV..... SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCT SCT SCT SCT
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 40 40
TEMP............73 73 74 77 82 86 88 89 90 91 88 87
RH..............98 100 98 95 83 76 68 65 63 61 67 69
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE W
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.7 3.8 4.7 5.5 5.1 2.6 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S SE E
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 3 5
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 4 10 17 23 31 37 39 33 24 14
LVORI...........10 10 9 6 4 3 3 2 1 2 3 3
FORECASTER...CARLISLE
REQUESTED BY...CODY SIKES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2620719.0/TBW
.DELDT 08/28/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CODY.SIKES@FDACS.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page