550  
FNUS72 KTBW 281215  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HC BALM AREA WF...HC ELM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
815 AM EDT WED MAY 28 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 28.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER  
PATTERN THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS.  
THE HIGHEST RAIN AND STORM CHANCES WILL BE OVER THE INTERIOR AND SW  
FLORIDA DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL  
REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH THE WEEK WITH LIGHT WINDS LESS  
THAN 15 MPH EXPECTED.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO  
9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 43.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........24 41 42 41 37  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 20 40 40  
TEMP............79 87 91 93 90  
RH..............95 77 67 63 67  
20 FT WIND......S 3 S 6 SW 7 W 8 W 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 8 10 12 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 3800 5000 4500 3500  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 SW 8 W 7 W 9 W 9  
DISPERSION IDX..18 39 47 47 39  
LVORI...........5 2 1 1 2  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE WEST LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....27 DECREASING TO 3.  
LVORI...............6.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........32 38 46 24 21 22  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 10 0 10 0  
TEMP............90 84 80 78 75 74  
RH..............67 78 84 88 92 96  
20 FT WIND......W 6 W 5 SE 2 S 2 SE 2 S 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 6 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (FT)....3400 900 400 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 W 9 NE 5 S 3 SE 5 S 5  
DISPERSION IDX..27 4 1 2 2 2  
LVORI...........3 4 6 6 6 9  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS  
LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 36.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........21 27 37 45 56 44  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 30 30 30 60 60  
TEMP............74 76 83 88 91 90  
RH..............95 95 85 73 67 67  
20 FT WIND......S 1 S 2 SW 2 SW 5 W 7 W 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 6 8 10 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 600 2200 3800 4600 4000  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 3 S 3 S 2 SW 5 W 7 SW 7  
DISPERSION IDX..2 3 9 23 39 37  
LVORI...........7 6 4 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...PEARCE  
REQUESTED BY...HC ELM  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2514873.0/TBW  
.DELDT 05/28/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RAYMONDS@HILLSBOROUGHCOUNTY.ORG  
 
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