426
FNUS74 KMOB 211247
FWSMOB
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICK 372...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
647 AM CST WED JAN 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON JANUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...LOW DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 14 EXPECTED THURSDAY OVER THE BURN
AREA...
DISCUSSION
ALTHOUGH A STRAY SHOWER IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING,
SCATTERED SHOWERS SHOULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP AFTER NOON. RAINFALL
TODAY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LIGHT. A 50% CHANCE OF RAIN IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A 50% CHANCE OF RAIN THURSDAY. FOR
THE REST OF TODAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 60%, WIND
GUSTS WILL BE AROUND 10-15 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY
BE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE FAIR. FOR
THURSDAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 75%, WIND GUSTS
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 10 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY POOR.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG CANNOT BE RULED OUT
TONIGHT, MAINLY IN LOW-LYING AREAS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...335-549 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 DECREASING TO 13 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........84 79 77 87 87 91 90 90
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 30 30 30 30 30 30
TEMP............50 55 58 61 62 62 63 61
RH..............71 66 67 62 65 65 65 70
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SSE SSE SSE S S SSE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 5 5 3 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 13 12 10 10 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.4
MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSE SSE S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 12 14 9 9 9 6
TRANS WIND DIR..SSE SSE S S S S S S
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 5 6 4 4 4 3
DISPERSION IDX..19 25 26 27 14 15 14 10
LVORI...........3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 6
MPH AFTER 3 AM.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND INCREASING TO 3 TO
4 METERS/SECOND IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 2 TO 3 METERS/SECOND
AFTER 3 AM.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............7.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........92 92 92 92 89 86 88 91 88 86 87 82
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 30 30 30 50 50 50 50 50 50
TEMP............59 57 55 55 55 54 55 54 54 54 53 54
RH..............80 90 96 100 100 100 96 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SE SSE SE ENE ENE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SSE SSE S S S S S S N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 7 9 8 9 8 8 7 7 6 5
TRANS WIND DIR..S S SSE SSE S S S S S S N N
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2
DISPERSION IDX..3 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2
LVORI...........5 6 8 9 9 9 8 9 9 9 9 9
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-610 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST 2 TO 3 METERS/SECOND IN THE
AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 12 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........76 81 83 85 82 79 76 73 70 67 70 73
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 40 40 40 40 40 40
TEMP............54 54 54 56 58 61 64 65 67 67 66 64
RH..............100 100 100 100 96 90 84 81 75 75 78 84
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SSE S S SE NE N NNE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.6
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NNE NNE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 5 6 7 7 6 6 5 5 6
TRANS WIND DIR..N N N NNE NNE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 3
DISPERSION IDX..4 4 3 4 7 11 14 14 12 10 11 14
LVORI...........9 9 9 9 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4
FORECASTER...96
REQUESTED BY...RODNEY LANDRUM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600740.0/MOB
.DELDT 01/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RODNEY.LANDRUM@USDA.GOV
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