782  
FNUS74 KMOB 180143  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICK CPT 400...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
843 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2100 CDT ON MAY 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
THERE IS A 30% CHANCE OF RAIN MONDAY, AND A 20%  
CHANCE OF RAIN MONDAY NIGHT. FOR MONDAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY IS NEAR 55%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO NEAR 20 MPH,  
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY,  
AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD. FOR TUESDAY, THE MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 55%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO  
NEAR 15 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTHERLY TO SOUTH-  
SOUTHEASTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS POSSIBLE MONDAY MORNING  
AND TUESDAY MORNING.  
 
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-152 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........51 45 48 46 54 53 60 58 61  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............74 73 71 70 70 69 68 68 68  
RH..............79 81 87 87 87 90 93 93 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 13 12 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SSE SSE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 10 10 10 9 8 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SSE SSE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..7 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4  
LVORI...........4 4 5 6 5 6 6 6 6  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-1219 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 18 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 43 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 61  
DECREASING TO 55 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........58 78 69 63 70 60 45 47 68 47 43 52  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 20 20  
TEMP............67 69 70 74 78 81 83 85 86 86 86 87  
RH..............97 93 93 84 76 69 65 61 59 59 59 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE S SSE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 14 15 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.2 1.7 2.5 3.1 3.8 4.0 3.9 3.4 3.2 3.2  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSE SSE SSE SSE SE SSE S S SSE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 12 13 14 15 15 15 14 15 14 14  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSE SSE SSE SSE SE SSE S S SSE S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 6 7 6 6  
DISPERSION IDX..4 10 18 29 43 56 65 60 65 56 54 56  
LVORI...........8 6 5 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-975 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....52 DECREASING TO 6.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........53 46 40 47 34 43 53 67 75 79 74 88  
WEATHER COV.....SCH PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............86 83 80 76 75 74 73 73 72 72 72 71  
RH..............59 65 72 82 84 87 90 90 93 90 90 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 16 15 15 14 13 12 10 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SSE SSE SSE SSE S S SSE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 8 8 8 6  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S SSE SSE SSE SSE S S SSE SE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3  
DISPERSION IDX..52 8 6 7 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3  
LVORI...........1 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1585 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 18 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 42 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 56  
DECREASING TO 44 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 36.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........86 80 79 71 63 61 59 57 57 57 57 63  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............71 72 72 76 80 83 85 87 88 88 88 88  
RH..............93 90 93 82 74 67 63 59 57 57 57 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 14 14 15 15 15 14 14 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 1.5 2.3 2.9 3.7 4.4 4.9 5.2 5.1 4.6 4.6  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SSE SE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 9 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 10 10 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..SE SSE SE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..3 10 18 31 42 52 60 46 47 43 40 36  
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...25  
REQUESTED BY...RODNEY LANDRUM  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613899.0/MOB  
.DELDT 05/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RODNEY.LANDRUM@USDA.GOV  
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