249  
FNUS74 KMOB 222322  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TANGO FORTY FOUR...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
622 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
ISOLATED SHOWERS LINGER FOR THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS  
NEAR THE BURN SITE, BUT THE PROBABILITY REMAINS LOW OF THE BURN  
SITE SEEING MEASURABLE RAIN AMOUNTS. GENERALLY LIGHT SOUTHERLY  
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. DRIER  
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AS A DRIER AIRMASS MOVES OVER THE  
AREA, WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REMAINING ABOVE CRITICAL  
VALUES AROUND 45 TO 50 PERCENT. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE  
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LIGHT FOG DEVELOPMENT IS  
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1494-1768 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
 
TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........36 39 36 30 27 18  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............87 90 90 91 91 90  
RH..............59 54 54 50 49 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 9 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 17 18 18 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.2 5.3 4.9 5.8 5.1 5.1  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.6 1.6 1.5 1.8 1.6 1.6  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSE SSE SSE S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 5 5 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
PATCHY FOG AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1554 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 2 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........17 24 16 9 9 5 8 12 13 16 13 16  
WEATHER COV.....SCH PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............88 83 78 76 75 73 71 70 69 69 68 68  
RH..............54 65 76 85 87 93 100 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SSE SSE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 16 13 12 9 7 7 6 6 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-1798 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 1 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........28 28 32 22 29 35 33 24 20 21 27 24  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............68 68 73 78 83 86 90 92 93 93 93 92  
RH..............100 100 93 88 74 63 56 51 49 47 46 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..ESE ESE ESE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 3 5 6 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 8 10 10 13 14 15 16 17 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.5 1.3 2.9 3.7 4.6 5.5 5.8 5.9 5.8 5.8  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).2 2 1 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
 
 
FORECASTER...25  
REQUESTED BY...JOSH BROCK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2522330.0/MOB  
.DELDT 09/22/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MSMIC@FIRENET.GOV,JOSH.BROCK@USDA.GOV  
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