821  
FNUS74 KMOB 121254  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BSW04...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
654 AM CST MON JAN 12 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON JANUARY 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...LOW DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 20 EXPECTED TUESDAY OVER THE BURN  
AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
FOR THE REST OF TODAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY IS NEAR 25%, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY NORTHERLY TO  
NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE FAIR. FOR  
TUESDAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 25%, TRANSPORT  
WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY NORTHERLY TO NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY, AND  
DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY POOR.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-853 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING 34 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........45 41 47 55 54 53 52 52 52 46 46  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............31 34 39 43 47 50 52 52 53 52 49  
RH..............66 58 48 41 35 32 29 29 28 31 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..NNE NE NE NE NE NNE NNE N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 10 9 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.6  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE ENE ENE NE NNE NNE N NNE N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 12 9 8 7 8 9 10 9 9 7  
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE ENE ENE NE NNE NNE N NNE N N  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 5 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 3  
DISPERSION IDX..9 16 17 19 20 25 31 36 31 32 22  
LVORI...........3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........50 37 29 27 19 14 13 8 4 6 4 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............46 43 42 40 38 37 36 34 33 32 30 31  
RH..............43 49 51 55 59 64 67 72 75 78 85 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NNE N N NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 8 8 7 6 6 7 7 6 6 6  
TRANS WIND DIR..N N N N NNE N N NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..4 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2  
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-823 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO  
6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHWEST 2 TO 3 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 17 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........8 18 19 19 22 24 27 28 29 30 34 37  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............31 32 37 44 49 54 57 59 60 60 58 54  
RH..............81 78 67 51 42 34 29 26 25 25 29 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NNE NNE NNE N N NNW NW NW WNW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NNE N NNE NE NNE N N N NNW NW NW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 5 3 3 3 5 5 6 5 5  
TRANS WIND DIR..NNE N NNE NE NNE N N N NNW NW NW W  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 2 1 1 1 2 2 3 2 2  
DISPERSION IDX..6 6 5 4 6 9 11 15 17 20 16 14  
LVORI...........4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...13  
REQUESTED BY...MATT DELANEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2528816.0/MOB  
.DELDT 01/12/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MATTHEW.DELANEY@USDA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab AL Page
The Nexlab FL Page
The Nexlab MS Page Main Text Page