996  
FNUS74 KMOB 050915  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BRB10...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
315 AM CST THU MAR 5 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON MARCH 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
THERE IS A 20% CHANCE OF RAIN TODAY, INCREASING TO  
A 40% CHANCE OF RAIN ON FRIDAY. BEST CHANCES LOOK TO BE DURING THE  
AFTERNOON HOURS BOTH DAYS AND A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT  
BE RULED OUT. FOR TODAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR  
55%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO NEAR 20 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS  
WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTHERLY TO SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY, AND DISPERSION  
VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD (AROUND 55-60). FOR FRIDAY, THE  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 55%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP  
TO NEAR 20 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTHERLY TO  
SOUTH- SOUTHEASTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD (AROUND  
65-70).  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS... AREAS OF DENSE FOG ARE DEVELOPING  
NEAR THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING. FOG SHOULD CLEAR BY THE MID-  
MORNING HOURS. AREAS OF DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN  
THURSDAY NIGHT.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...305-1189 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 36 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 47 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 53  
DECREASING TO 43 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........65 47 52 56 54 40 31 33 33 42 35  
WEATHER COV.....PTY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............59 62 68 73 77 80 80 80 81 80 78  
RH..............100 100 87 76 67 62 62 60 58 60 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SSE SSE S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 6 6 7 8 8 7 7 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 14 16 17 18 18 17 17 15 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.2 1.6 2.3 3.1 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.4 3.4 3.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 8 10 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 10  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 4  
DISPERSION IDX..8 12 23 36 47 57 56 56 51 48 43  
LVORI...........8 7 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE  
FOG OVERNIGHT. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-305 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........31 49 68 71 87 89 89 90 90 90 91 91  
WEATHER COV..... ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
TEMP............75 70 68 67 67 66 65 65 64 64 64 63  
RH..............71 87 93 93 93 97 100 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SSE SSE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 9 9 9 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SSE SSE SSE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 8 8 9 9 8 8 8 9 9 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S SSE SSE SSE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
LVORI...........3 5 6 6 6 9 9 9 9 9 9 9  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE  
AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...183-1341 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 42 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 59 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 70  
DECREASING TO 55 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........87 81 75 69 63 56 50 50 49 49 48 48  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 40 40 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............64 64 67 71 74 77 80 82 83 82 81 78  
RH..............100 100 97 90 84 76 67 61 57 56 58 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 15 16 18 20 20 20 18 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.9 1.1 1.6 2.6 3.7 4.4 4.3 3.8 3.0 3.0 3.0  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 13 15 16 17 17 17 18 17 16 14  
TRANS WIND DIR..SE SE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 6  
DISPERSION IDX..10 11 17 29 42 57 60 70 70 59 56 50  
LVORI...........8 7 5 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...96  
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MOCK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604754.0/MOB  
.DELDT 03/05/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSEPH.K.MOCK@USDA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab AL Page
The Nexlab FL Page
The Nexlab MS Page Main Text Page