341  
FNUS74 KMOB 011108  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BLOCK 7203 EAST...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
608 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON MAY 01.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...HIGH/LOW DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 80 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE  
BURN AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS  
EXPECTED TODAY. GENERAL SOUTHERLY WINDS AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE  
EXPECTED, WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REMAINING WELL ABOVE CRITICAL  
VALUES.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE TONIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1494 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 80  
DECREASING TO 68 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........73 57 46 48 32 41  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 20 40 40 60  
TEMP............70 73 80 84 86 84  
RH..............97 90 69 57 53 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SSE S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 9 10 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 15 18 21 21 17  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1500 3000 4200 4600 4300  
MIX HGT (M).....120 460 910 1280 1400 1310  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 13 14 17 16 15  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 6 6 8 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..9 29 53 72 80 68  
LVORI...........8 4 2 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN  
THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-1311 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....67 DECREASING TO 6.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........45 40 46 46 33 40  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........LIKELY CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 30 20 20 10 10  
TEMP............82 74 71 69 68 67  
RH..............61 82 87 97 97 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW S SW SSE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 3 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 12 9 7 7 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....4300 600 600 500 400 300  
MIX HGT (M).....1310 180 180 150 120 90  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SSW SSW SSW SSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 12 13 7 7 7  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S SSW SSW SSW SSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 5 6 3 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..67 7 5 4 3 3  
LVORI...........1 4 6 8 9 9  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1128 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 50.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........43 48 48 53 55 56  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 40 40 40 60 60  
TEMP............66 70 78 81 83 83  
RH..............100 100 79 67 61 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SSW S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 5 7 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 12 15 16 17  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1300 2700 3100 3400 3700  
MIX HGT (M).....120 400 820 940 1040 1130  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SSW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 10 13 15 15 15  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW SSW S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 4 6 7 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..3 13 41 51 49 50  
LVORI...........9 5 3 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...16  
REQUESTED BY...CLIFF WILLIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2512093.2/MOB  
.DELDT 05/01/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CLIFTON.WILLIS@USDA.GOV  
 
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