300  
FNUS74 KMOB 171024  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SMOKE SHOW FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
524 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 CDT ON APRIL 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 88 EXPECTED TODAY OVER THE BURN  
AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION  
FOR TODAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 40%,  
20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO NEAR 20 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE  
MOSTLY SOUTHERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD. FOR SATURDAY,  
THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 45%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE  
UP TO NEAR 20 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTHWESTERLY, AND  
DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG, SOME OF  
WHICH COULD BE DENSE, MAY DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1951 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 1 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 88.  
LVORI...............9 BECOMING 1.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........28 3 19 21 26 10  
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............63 70 81 85 86 86  
RH..............100 84 56 45 40 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SW S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 6 8 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 6 12 15 16 17  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1800 4500 6300 6400 6300  
MIX HGT (M).....120 550 1370 1920 1950 1920  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SSE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 9 12 10 13  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW SSE S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).1 2 4 5 4 6  
DISPERSION IDX..4 11 51 74 74 88  
LVORI...........9 5 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....88 DECREASING TO 4.  
LVORI...............1 BECOMING 9.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........8 7 9 19 52 60  
WEATHER COV..... PATCHY PATCHY  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............83 72 67 65 63 63  
RH..............46 66 81 93 100 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 7 5 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 15 13 10 9 8  
MIX HGT (FT)....6300 500 500 400 500 500  
MIX HGT (M).....1920 150 150 120 150 150  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 13 10 12 12 10  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S SSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 6 4 5 5 4  
DISPERSION IDX..88 6 5 5 5 4  
LVORI...........1 3 4 6 9 9  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1859 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 44.  
LVORI...............9 BECOMING 1.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........73 69 61 59 62 70  
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............61 65 75 82 85 86  
RH..............100 93 69 51 45 45  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 6 7 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 12 14 15 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1400 3300 4800 5900 5800  
MIX HGT (M).....150 430 1010 1460 1800 1770  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SSW SW WSW WSW WSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 9 9 10  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW SSW SW WSW WSW WSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..4 15 35 43 42 44  
LVORI...........9 5 3 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...22  
REQUESTED BY...CLIFF WILLIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2610141.5/MOB  
.DELDT 04/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CLIFTON.WILLIS@USDA.GOV  
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