027  
FNUS74 KMOB 121935  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BB 8301 KNOB CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
235 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON JUNE 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.  
THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 50%, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE  
NORTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS, BECOMING MORE  
WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS, AND DISPERSION  
VALUES WILL BE FAIR (AROUND 35-40). FOR SUNDAY, ISOLATED TO  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE, THE MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 50%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO  
NEAR 15 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY WESTERLY TO WEST-  
NORTHWESTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD (AROUND 70-75).  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT CANNOT BE  
RULED OUT OVER THE BURN SITE TONIGHT. DENSE FOG IS NOT EXPECTED AT  
THIS TIME.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...366-1585 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.WEST AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 35.  
LVORI...............3.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........32 19 41 36 35  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 20 20  
TEMP............78 86 92 94 92  
RH..............91 68 54 51 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 2 3 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 6 8 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 2800 4400 5100 3200  
MIX HGT (M).....370 850 1340 1550 980  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W WNW W WSW SSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 5 6 8  
TRANS WIND DIR..W WNW W WSW SSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 2 3 4  
DISPERSION IDX..11 23 27 38 31  
LVORI...........5 3 2 1 1  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-975 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....38 DECREASING TO 4.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........14 14 20 10 15 11  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............91 83 79 78 76 75  
RH..............58 74 82 85 87 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SSW SSW SW SW WSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 5 3 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....3200 400 400 400 500 400  
MIX HGT (M).....980 120 120 120 150 120  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SSW SSW SW W WSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 8 9 8  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SSW SSW SW W WSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..38 4 4 4 4 3  
LVORI...........1 4 4 5 5 6  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1646 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 12 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.WEST 3 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO 73 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........8 40 20 32 34 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10  
TEMP............74 77 85 90 93 94  
RH..............93 88 67 56 51 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..WSW W W W W WSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 6 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 12 13 14 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1400 2700 4500 5100 4500  
MIX HGT (M).....120 430 820 1370 1550 1370  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W WNW W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 10 12 12 12  
TRANS WIND DIR..W WNW W W W W  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 4 4 5 5 5  
DISPERSION IDX..3 15 34 64 73 64  
LVORI...........6 4 3 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...96  
REQUESTED BY...JODY ROGERS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2615418.0/MOB  
.DELDT 06/12/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSEPH.ROGERS@USDA.GOV  
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