256  
FNUS74 KMOB 281335  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GARCON POINT...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
735 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON DECEMBER 28.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
THERE IS A 50% CHANCE OF RAIN TONIGHT, AND A 50%  
CHANCE OF RAIN MONDAY. FOR THE REST OF TODAY, THE MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 70%, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY  
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY TO SOUTHERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE  
GENERALLY GOOD. FOR MONDAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR  
35%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO NEAR 30 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS  
WILL BE MOSTLY NORTHERLY TO NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY, AND DISPERSION  
VALUES WILL BE GOOD.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...AREAS OF DENSE FOG ARE EXPECTED  
EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TONIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...975 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 2 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 44 AROUND NOON, THEN DECREASING  
TO 33 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............9 BECOMING 4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........54 56 47 40 35 38 32 25 29 33  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............63 67 71 73 74 75 74 72 71 67  
RH..............97 97 87 81 76 74 76 81 87 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 5 6 8 8 9 9 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 8 10 13 14 14 14 12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.1 1.9 2.6 3.1 3.2 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SSW S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S SSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 8 10 12 13 14 14 14 13 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..S SSW S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S SSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).2 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 4  
DISPERSION IDX..6 10 23 35 44 42 41 41 40 33  
LVORI...........9 7 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH  
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST AROUND 6 METERS/SECOND EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....10.  
LVORI...............9 BECOMING 5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........31 44 38 40 45 63 62 66 70 79 75 72  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 30 30 30 50 50 50  
TEMP............62 62 61 61 61 61 61 61 61 61 59 64  
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 84  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SSW SSW SW SW SW WSW WSW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 9 10 10 12 12 13 13 14 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SSW SSW S S SSW SW SW WSW WSW WSW WNW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 8 10 12 12 14 13 13 14 16 14  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW S S SSW SW SW WSW WSW WSW WNW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 6  
DISPERSION IDX..5 5 5 6 8 9 10 9 10 11 13 14  
LVORI...........9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 5 5  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...884 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 22  
TO 29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH 9 TO 13 METERS/SECOND.  
LVORI...............4 BECOMING 1.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
DISPERSION INDEX....28 INCREASING TO AROUND 60.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........82 87 80 72 70 69 67 59 51 43 41 38  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............63 58 57 57 57 56 56 56 56 56 55 54  
RH..............78 100 83 80 69 62 53 47 43 40 38 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..WNW NW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 12 14 15 15 15 16 16 16 15 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 18 22 25 25 26 26 26 25 25 24 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.9 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NNW NNW N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 21 25 29 29 28 25 25 24 24 23 22  
TRANS WIND DIR..NW NNW NNW N N N N N N N N N  
TRANS SPD (M/S).8 9 11 13 13 13 11 11 11 11 10 10  
DISPERSION IDX..28 50 57 62 62 58 54 55 56 57 56 58  
LVORI...........4 1 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...22  
REQUESTED BY...BAXLEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2528072.0/MOB  
.DELDT 12/28/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ASHLEY.BAXLEY@FDACS.GOV  
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