359  
FNUS74 KMOB 171128  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BLOCK 8301 C-214 EAST...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
528 AM CST WED DEC 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON DECEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...LOW DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 13 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE  
BURN AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE BY THIS EVENING,  
BUT THE BULK OF THE RAIN WILL NOT MOVE OVER THE BURN SITE UNTIL  
THURSDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY REMAINS ABOVE CRITICAL  
THRESHOLDS. TRANSPORT WINDS TURN SOUTHEASTERLY THROUGH THE  
AFTERNOON TODAY AND TURN SOUTHERLY THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY.  
AFTERNOON DISPERSION WILL BE GENERALLY POOR TODAY AND FAIR  
TOMORROW.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PROBABILITY OF FOG REMAINS LOW  
AT THE BURN SITE OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...274-549 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 8 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....10.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........85 80 88 86  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10  
TEMP............56 61 63 63  
RH..............83 78 75 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E ESE ESE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 12 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....900 1600 1800 1700  
MIX HGT (M).....270 490 550 520  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E ESE ESE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 8 7  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 4 3  
DISPERSION IDX..6 11 12 11  
LVORI...........4 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-152 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5.  
LVORI...............8.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........81 88 89 94 94 96  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 20 60  
TEMP............58 55 54 55 56 57  
RH..............93 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..ESE E E E ESE ESE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 10 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 400 400 400 400  
MIX HGT (M).....120 150 120 120 120 120  
TRANSP WIND DIR.ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 8 9 8  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..4 4 5 5 6 6  
LVORI...........6 9 9 9 9 9  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. RAIN  
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN  
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-549 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE MORNING.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........93 90 84 78 70 63  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80  
TEMP............59 59 64 68 71 70  
RH..............96 100 100 93 84 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..ESE SE SSE S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 14 15 16 16 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 600 1000 1600 1800 1700  
MIX HGT (M).....120 180 300 490 550 520  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SSE SSE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 12 15 12 10  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 5 7 5 4  
DISPERSION IDX..10 11 15 23 28 23  
LVORI...........6 7 5 5 4 4  
 

 
FORECASTER...7  
REQUESTED BY...CLIFF WILLIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527841.0/MOB  
.DELDT 12/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CLIFTON.WILLIS@USDA.GOV  
 
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