110
FXUS62 KKEY 180355
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1055 PM EST TUE FEB 17 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
- EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES WILL REMAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
- A MODERATE DROUGHT CONTINUES FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. BURN
BANS ARE POSSIBLE, TREES AND BUSHES BEGIN BROWNING, AND WATER
SUPPLY DECREASES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1000 PM EST TUE FEB 17 2026
A SURFACE RIDGE STRETCHING WEST SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS FLORIDA AND
THE GULF IS RESULTING IN GENTLE TO MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY
BREEZES THIS EVENING. THIS FLOW, ALONG WITH STEADILY WARMING
NEARSHORE WATERS, HAS RESULTED IN QUITE A BIT OF MODERATION
THROUGH THE DAY. TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE MID 70S WITH DEW POINTS
IN THE MID 60S. THIS EVENINGS SOUNDING INDICATED A SUBSTANTIAL
SUBSIDENCE INVERSION BASED AROUND 800 MB. THIS ALONG WITH SOME DRY
LAYERS IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS KEEPING THE AREA RAIN FREE AND
MOSTLY CLEAR. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL TRY TO FIND THEIR WAY
DOWN TO NEAR 70 WITH DEW POINTS MEANDERING IN THE MID 60S. RAIN
CHANCES WILL REMAIN NIL DUE TO THE STABLE CONDITIONS AND LITTLE TO
NO LOW LEVEL LIFT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1000 PM EST TUE FEB 17 2026
A SURFACE HIGH WILL MOVE FURTHER EASTWARD OFF OF THE SOUTHEAST
ATLANTIC COAST OVERNIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO
EXTEND WESTWARD ACROSS FLORIDA AND THROUGH THE GULF. AS A RESULT,
WINDS WILL BE GENTLE TO MODERATE ON KEYS WATERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
ONLY MINOR FIRST PERIOD ADJUSTMENTS MADE IN THE EVENING MARINE
UPDATE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1000 PM EST TUE FEB 17 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS OVERNIGHT.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TO GENTLE OUT OF THE EAST TO
SOUTHEAST.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...11
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....11
DATA ACQUISITION.....DP
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