852
FXUS62 KKEY 030354
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1054 PM EST MON FEB 2 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION IN THE FLORIDA STRAITS UNTIL
RESIDUAL SEAS SUBSIDE.
- WEATHER WILL TREND DRIER AND MODESTLY WARMER OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.
- THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS SCHEDULED TO PUSH THROUGH THE FLORIDA
KEYS ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1018 PM EST MON FEB 2 2026
VERY COOL CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE KEYS THIS EVENING IN WAKE
OF THE RECENT HISTORIC COLD FRONT. WINDS HAVE FINALLY RELENTED AND
ARE NOW LIGHT TO GENTLE OUT OF THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST. THESE
BREEZES ARE BEING DIRECTED BY A ~1030 HIGH CENTERED OVER THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA. TEMPERATURES REMAIN QUITE COOL WITH THE LOWER
KEYS SEEING LOWER TO MID 50S, WHILE THE UPPER KEYS ARE NEAR TO
SLIGHTLY ABOVE 50. DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH DEW POINTS IN THE
MID 30S FOR MOST ISLAND LOCATIONS. OCEAN REEF, REMAINING IN SOUTH
FLORIDA'S SHADOW, IS SEEING MID 20'S DEW POINTS.
THE SURFACE HIGH WILL REMAIN ROUGHLY CENTERED OVER THE PENINSULA
OVERNIGHT. THIS ALONG WITH CLEAR SKIES WILL ENSURE LIGHT TO GENTLE
NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY BREEZES AND ANOTHER COLD NIGHT. DUE TO THE
LAND BREEZE, EXPECT BREEZES TO BE MORE VEERED ALONG THE WESTERN
REACHES OF THE KEYS AND BACKED WEST OF NORTH IN THE FAR EASTERN
UPPER KEYS. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR RADIATIONAL COOLING IN
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER KEYS AS WINDS RUN INCREASINGLY IN LINE WITH
THE ISLAND CHAIN AND DECOUPLE. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HUGE
RANGE IN OVERNIGHT LOWS DUE TO DEW POINTS IN THE 30S. LOOKING
TOWARDS THE OTHER END OF THE CHAIN, PORTIONS OF THE UPPER KEYS
WILL BE AFFECTED BY COLD AIR FLOWING OFF OF THE MAINLAND. WITH ALL
THAT SAID, EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS TO RANGE QUITE BROADLY IN THE
40S. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE NIL WITH SKIES REMAINING CLEAR.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1018 PM EST MON FEB 2 2026
WINDS AND SEAS HAVE FINALLY COME DOWN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RESIDUAL SEAS LINGER IN
THE FLORIDA STRAITS. AS A RESULT, A CAUTION REMAINS UNTIL SEAS
SUBSIDE. SURFACE WINDS, DRIVEN BY A HIGH CENTERED OVER THE
PENINSULA, WILL REMAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE OVERNIGHT. A SUBTLE
WIND SURGE IS POSSIBLE IN THE LEE OF SOUTH FLORIDA. HOWEVER,
GUIDANCE HAS BEEN UNENTHUSIASTIC REGARDING ANY SIGNIFICANT PICKUP.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1018 PM EST MON FEB 2 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS OVERNIGHT.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TO GENTLE OUT OF THE NORTH TO
NORTHEAST.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...11
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....11
DATA ACQUISITION.....LIW
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