902
FXUS62 KKEY 280306
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1106 PM EDT MON APR 27 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- NEAR SEASONABLY WARM AND MUGGY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK.
- NORTHEAST TO EAST BREEZES ARE IN THE PROCESS OF MODESTLY
FRESHENING TO GENTLE TO MODERATE AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING, THEN CLOCKING TO THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST BY
WEDNESDAY.
- RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY, EXASPERATING
EXISTING MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1106 PM EDT MON APR 27 2026
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SAW CLEAR SKIES AND FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS.
WITHIN THE LAST HOUR THAT HAS CHANGED ABRUPTLY. WINDS HAVE BEGUN
SURGING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WITH SOME SHOWERS DEVELOPING ALONG
THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS WIND SURGE. WINDS WENT LIGHT AND VARIABLE
IN THE AFTERNOON AND HAVE PICKED UP TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS ACROSS THE
EASTERN MARINE PLATFORMS. SHOWERS ARE VERY ISOLATED FOR NOW AND
CONFINED MOSTLY TO THE FLORIDA BAY, BUT ARE MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST.
MEANWHILE, CONDITIONS REMAIN MUGGY ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S AND DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER 70S.
FOR THE OVERNIGHT, DIDN'T NEED TO MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THE GOING
FORECAST. BREEZES ARE FRESHENING AS EXPECTED AND SHOWERS ARE
DEVELOPING ALONG THIS WIND SURGE BOUNDARY. OUR CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
WILL BE LIMITED TO THIS SURGE AS IT PUSHES THROUGH OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. A FEW ADDITIONAL SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP CLOSER TO DAWN
IN THE EASTERN WATERS BUT CONFIDENCE ON SHOWERS RE-FIRING IS LOW.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1106 PM EDT MON APR 27 2026
GENTLE BREEZES ARE QUICKLY FRESHENING TO GENTLE TO MODERATE AND
CLOCKED AROUND FROM THE NORTHEAST AS A WIND SURGE COMES OFF THE
MAINLAND. ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE WIND SURGE ARE SOME
SHOWERS THAT WILL MAINLY STAY ACROSS THE NEARSHORE WATERS NORTH OF
THE ISLAND CHAIN. OTHERWISE, GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHEAST TO EAST
BREEZES WILL PREVAIL INTO TUESDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY SLACKENING AND
VEERING AROUND FROM THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1106 PM EDT MON APR 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS THAT MANAGE TO PASS
OVER THE ISLAND TERMINALS OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING
FROM EAST TO WEST AND WILL HAVE A HIGHER CHANCE OF REACHING THE
MTH TERMINAL THAN THE EYW. VERY BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. OTHERWISE, NORTHEAST WINDS ARE IN THE
PROCESS OF INCREASING AND WILL MAINTAIN STRENGTH THROUGH TUESDAY.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...LIW
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....LIW
DATA ACQUISITION.....DR
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