293
FXUS62 KKEY 050913
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
513 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- MINOR SALTWATER FLOODING OF LOW ELEVATION STREETS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS EVENING DUE TO HIGHER HIGH TIDES. SOME STORM
DRAINS WILL OVERFLOW. BOATERS CAN EXPECT LESS CLEARANCE UNDER
FIXED BRIDGES.
- BELOW NORMAL RAIN AND THUNDER CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST TUESDAY.
- LIGHT TO GENTLE EAST TO SOUTHEAST BREEZES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
MID-WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 515 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2026
ANOTHER MOSTLY UNEVENTFUL NIGHT UNFOLDED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS WITH
JUST A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS IN VARIOUS MARINE LOCATIONS PULSING UP
AND DOWN. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE ISLAND CHAIN ARE IN THE LOWER
80S WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. NIGHTTIME
MICROPHYSICS DEPICTS MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. DRY AIR IN OUR AREA WILL
CONTINUE TO LIMIT SHOWER ACTIVITY FOR THE DAY WHILE ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. ALONG THE REEF,
MARINE LOCATIONS ARE RECORDING EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF NEAR 10
KNOTS. THESE GENTLE BREEZES WILL SLACKEN THROUGHOUT THE DAY
RESULTING IN LIGHT TO GENTLE EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS BY THE
AFTERNOON. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID-WEEK BEFORE
MOISTURE RETURNS AND BRINGS BACK SLIGHTLY ELEVATED RAIN CHANCES.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 515 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2026
A COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS ISLAND
CHAIN. ELSEWHERE, NO WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT. FROM SYNOPSIS, ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED EAST OF
BERMUDA WILL REMAIN IN PLACE. GENTLE TO MODERATE EAST TO
SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES WILL GRADUALLY SLACKEN THROUGH TODAY. IN
ADDITION, RELATIVELY DRIER WEATHER CONDITIONS HAVE SETTLED IN,
THOUGH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS
COULD STILL OCCUR AT TIMES. A COLD FRONT IS ON TRACK TO STALL
ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND NORTHERN GULF ON TUESDAY WITH THE
HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES REMAINING NORTH OF THE FLORIDA KEYS. THIS
WILL PROMOTE A SHIFT TO SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY LIGHT TO GENTLE
BREEZES BY MIDWEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 515 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH EYW AND MTH THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. WHILE SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE, LOW CHANCES LEAVE MENTION OF
VCSH OUT FOR THE TIME BEING. NEAR SURFACE WINDS WILL BE EAST TO
SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...AP
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....AP
DATA ACQUISITION.....AP
VISIT US ON THE WEB AT WEATHER.GOV/KEY
FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND X AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSKEYWEST
WWW.X.COM/NWSKEYWEST
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page