744
FXUS62 KKEY 141750
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
150 PM EDT SUN JUN 14 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISLAND CLOUD LINE FORMATION WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE LATE MORNING
OR EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS THROUGH TUESDAY.
- WATER LEVELS WILL APPROACH COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT THRESHOLDS IN
THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE ON MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
- CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN SEASONABLY WARM AND MUGGY, WITH HEAT
INDICES APPROACHING NEAR 100F EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 147 PM EDT SUN JUN 14 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS TERMINALS
THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON. A BROKEN CLOUD LINE NORTH OF THE
LOWER KEYS WARRANTS INCLUSION OF MENTION OF VCSH IN THE TAFS AT
EYW THROUGH 20Z. THE CLOUD LINE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE
THEREAFTER. NEAR-SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF
THE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH, SLOWLY VEERING TO THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
THIS EVENING.
PREV DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 414 AM EDT SUN JUN 14 2026
UNFORTUNATELY, THE ATMOSPHERE IS ON TRACK TO BECOME STAGNANT
OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS. A BROAD TROUGH IS BUILDING OVER THE EASTERN
UNITED STATES. OVER THE ATLANTIC, THE ENVIRONMENTAL HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS DISTANT, CENTERED NORTH OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS. THIS
MEANS A WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE COUNTRY AND THUS
LIGHT WINDS ACROSS THE KEYS. SOUTHERLY WINDS IN THE 925-700 MB
LAYER ALSO HINTS AT POSSIBLE DUSTY LAYERS THAT COULD PREVENT
SHOWERS. REGARDLESS OF THE REASON, STATISTICAL ENSEMBLES FORECAST
EXTREMELY DRY CONDITIONS THIS WEEK. UNFORTUNATELY, SHOWER FREE
CONDITIONS DOES NOT MEAN LOWER HUMIDITY. JUNE SUMMER IS HERE TO
STAY, AND THAT MEANS WE HAVE HIGH CONFIDENCE HEAT INDICES IN
EXCESS OF 100 F WILL OCCUR THIS WEEK. TRY TO MANAGE YOUR TIME
OUTDOORS WHEN POSSIBLE, BECAUSE HEAT SICKNESS CAN QUICKLY BECOME A
PROBLEM.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1020 AM EDT SUN JUN 14 2026
NO WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS
SURROUNDING THE FLORIDA KEYS. FROM SYNOPSIS, WITH A HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM CENTERED IN THE VICINITY OF THE AZORES, LIGHT TO GENTLE
BREEZES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK ACROSS THE
FLORIDA KEYS COASTAL WATERS. THE INTERACTION OF THE HIGH WITH A
STATIONARY FRONT DRAPED OVER THE MID-ALTANTIC WILL CAUSE GENERAL
VEERING TO THE SOUTH BY TOMORROW. SHOWER CHANCES ARE ON TRACK TO
REMAIN VERY LOW THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...BT
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....BT
DATA ACQUISITION.....BT
VISIT US ON THE WEB AT WEATHER.GOV/KEY
FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSKEYWEST
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSKEYWEST
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page