387
FXUS62 KMFL 090508
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
108 AM EDT THU APR 9 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 103 AM EDT THU APR 9 2026
- DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE
ATLANTIC COAST BEACHES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DANGEROUS SURF
CONDITIONS REMAIN FOR THE PALM BEACHES THE REST OF THE WEEK.
- HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS FOR ALL LOCAL WATERS.
- LOCALIZED URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 103 AM EDT THU APR 9 2026
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN JUST TO OUR SOUTH TODAY WHICH WILL GIVE
US ONE MORE UNSETTLED DAY ACROSS THE AREA. THE GOOD NEWS IS DRIER
AIR ALOFT HAS BEGUN TO FILTER INTO THE REGION AND PWAT VALUES WILL
CONTINUE A DECREASING TREND TODAY FALLING TO AROUND 1.4 INCHES.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY,
AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS WILL ONCE AGAIN FAVOR SOME COASTAL
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. ANY HEAVY RAINFALL ON ALREADY
SATURATED SOILS WILL LEAD TO SOME URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.
QPF TOTALS ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO MAY ADD UP TO 1-2 INCHES
TODAY, WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. ENE WINDS WILL
REMAIN BREEZY AGAIN TODAY, WITH GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH EXPECTED,
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. TEMPS WILL BE BELOW NORMAL TODAY RANGING
FROM THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S.
CONVECTION DECREASES OVERNIGHT BUT WILL MAINTAIN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ALONG THE EAST COAST METRO. LOW
TEMPS TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MIDDLE 60S INLAND TO UPPER
60S AND AROUND 70 CLOSE TO THE COASTS.
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE SE US AND OFF INTO THE
ATLANTIC WILL HELP PUSH THE FRONT FURTHER TO OUR SOUTH ON FRIDAY.
WHILE RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL STILL ALLOW FOR A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS, OVERALL THE ACTIVITY WILL BE LESS THAN THE PAST
SEVERAL DAYS. WITH A FAIRLY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINING ACROSS
THE REGION, ENE WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY AGAIN. HIGH TEMPS ON FRIDAY
WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 103 AM EDT THU APR 9 2026
MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF
NEXT WEEK AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES ENTRENCHED IN THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION.
TEMPERATURES WILL SEE A SLOW MODERATING TREND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPS
ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS OVER SW FL. WITH
THE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE, THE BREEZY ENE WINDS WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 103 AM EDT THU APR 9 2026
BREEZY ENE WINDS THROUGH THE PERIOD 15-20 KTS WITH GUSTS OF 25-30
KTS. PREVAILING MVFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS
THIS MORNING WITH A LOW END CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM ACROSS THE
EAST COAST METRO DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 103 AM EDT THU APR 9 2026
HAZARDOUS WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK
WEEK FOR BOTH THE ATLANTIC AND GULF WATERS. ENE WINDS OF 20-25 KTS
WITH GUSTS OF 30-35 KTS ARE EXPECTED. WAVES IN THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC
WATERS WILL BE 10-15 FT THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH 6-10 FT IN THE
SOUTHERN ATLANTIC WATERS. GULF SEAS WILL BE 2-5 FT. THE HAZARDOUS
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND IN THE
ATLANTIC WATERS.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 103 AM EDT THU APR 9 2026
STRONG EASTERLY FLOW ALONG WITH AN ELEVATED SWELL WILL RESULT IN A
HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE ATLANTIC BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST
THE BEGINNING OF THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
IN ADDITION, DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OFF
OF PALM BEACH THROUGH AT LEAST LATE FRIDAY EVENING. 6-10 FT WAVES IN
THE SURF ZONE ARE EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 77 70 79 70 / 70 30 30 10
WEST KENDALL 80 67 81 66 / 60 30 30 10
OPA-LOCKA 79 69 81 69 / 70 30 30 10
HOMESTEAD 80 71 81 71 / 70 30 30 20
FORT LAUDERDALE 76 69 78 70 / 70 30 30 10
N FT LAUDERDALE 75 69 78 69 / 70 30 30 10
PEMBROKE PINES 80 70 81 71 / 70 30 30 10
WEST PALM BEACH 76 69 78 68 / 70 30 20 10
BOCA RATON 76 69 78 69 / 70 30 30 10
NAPLES 83 67 85 66 / 40 10 20 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR FLZ068-072-
074-168-172-173.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR FLZ168-172-
173.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR FLZ168.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR AMZ610.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR AMZ630.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR AMZ650-651-670-
671.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR GMZ656-657-676.
SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...CMF
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