126
FXUS62 KMFL 210533
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1233 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1214 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2025
- MAINLY SUNNY AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THE END OF WEEK AND INTO THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND.
- PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY THIS
MORNING ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1214 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES TO PROGRESS EASTWARD TODAY WHILE AT
THE SURFACE, SOUTH FLORIDA REMAINS ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF A SURFACE
HIGH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THIS WILL MAINTAIN EAST-
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA, AND MAINLY SUNNY CONDITIONS EACH
DAY THROUGH THE PERIOD. MOISTURE PROFILES REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE,
WITH PWAT VALUES RANGING FROM .8 INCHES TO 1 INCH, SO NO
SIGNIFICANT PRECIP IS LIKELY OUTSIDE OF MAYBE AN ISOLATED SHOWER
ALONG THE EAST COAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY AND TOMORROW WILL REACH THE LOWER 80S
ALONG THE COASTLINE, WITH MID TO UPPER 80S POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF
INTERIOR SOUTH FLORIDA.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1214 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2025
NOT MUCH CHANGE WITH THE LONG TERM OUTLOOK AS HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY
REMAINS IN CONTROL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO THE NEW WORK-WEEK. LATE
IN THE WEEKEND A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL PROGRESS ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA WASHOUT EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTH. ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, SURFACE
FLOW MAY BRIEFLY VEER MORE NORTH-NORTHEAST BEFORE BECOMING MORE
EASTERLY ON TUESDAY. WITH A LACK OF MOISTURE, AND A LACK OF
MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY, SENSIBLE IMPACTS WILL
BE NEARLY NONEXISTENT AND WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO MAINTAIN PRIMARILY
PARTLY CLOUDY AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS EACH DAY THROUGH AT LEAST THE
LATE WEEK PERIOD NEXT WEEK. AS WE APPROACH THE END OF NEXT WEEK, THE
NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE APPROACHING SOUTH FLORIDA, AND WE
COULD SEE THE RETURN OF MENTIONABLE POPS TO THE AREA. A FEW
SHOWERS COULD IMPACT LOCAL WATERS AND AROUND THE EAST COAST
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS THE BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN JUST TO THE NORTH.
THIS POTENTIAL WILL BE MONITORED OVER THE COMING DAYS, BUT FOR
NOW KEEPING POPS AROUND 20% FOR THE EASTERN METRO AREAS AND
ATLANTIC WATERS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE LOW TO MID 80S EACH AFTERNOON ALONG
THE COASTS WHILE SOME PORTIONS OF INLAND SW FLORIDA MAY HIT THE
UPPER 80S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1214 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE EAST AFTER
16Z AND WILL RANGE BETWEEN 5 TO 10 KTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
SOME PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING
ACROSS THE INTERIOR SECTIONS, HOWEVER, MOST OF THE FOG SHOULD
REMAIN AWAY FROM THE TERMINALS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1214 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2025
A GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY BREEZE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS LOCAL
ATLANTIC WATERS TODAY WHILE WINDS WILL LIKELY VEER TO THE NORTH-
NORTHWEST ACROSS GULF WATERS. WAVE HEIGHTS 3 FEET OR LESS ACROSS ALL
LOCAL WATERS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 83 69 83 67 / 0 0 0 0
WEST KENDALL 83 64 84 63 / 0 0 0 0
OPA-LOCKA 84 68 84 66 / 0 0 0 0
HOMESTEAD 82 67 83 65 / 0 0 0 0
FORT LAUDERDALE 81 69 81 68 / 0 0 0 0
N FT LAUDERDALE 82 69 82 68 / 0 0 0 0
PEMBROKE PINES 85 68 85 66 / 0 0 0 0
WEST PALM BEACH 82 67 83 65 / 0 0 0 0
BOCA RATON 83 68 83 66 / 0 0 0 0
NAPLES 84 64 83 64 / 0 0 0 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...99
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