903
FXUS62 KMFL 021140
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
640 AM EST FRI JAN 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 629 AM EST FRI JAN 2 2026
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND STARTS TODAY AND LASTS THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND.
- CHANCES OF SHOWERS WILL SLOWLY INCREASE ON SUNDAY AS A
WEAKENING COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1205 AM EST FRI JAN 2 2026
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE REGION TODAY WHICH WILL RESULT IN WINDS
REMAINING LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THE DAY WILL START
OUT CLEAR WITH CLOUDS BEGINNING TO INCREASE LATER IN THE DAY
ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
WARMER THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS HOWEVER STILL BELOW NORMAL, WITH MOST
AREAS REACHING THE LOWER 70S THIS AFTERNOON. NOT AS CHILLY OVERNIGHT
WITH LOW TEMPS IN THE MIDDLE 40S AROUND THE LAKE TO LOWER 50S CLOSER
TO THE COASTS. SOME PATCHY FOG IS LIKELY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING OVER
INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FL.
ON SATURDAY HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST OF THE AREA. MEANWHILE, A
SURFACE LOW OVER THE MS VALLEY WILL TRAVERSE EASTWARD TOWARDS THE SE
US, AND AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE FROM THE SOUTHERN US
INTO THE NORTHERN GULF BY THE END OF THE DAY. LOCALLY, IT WILL BE
ANOTHER DRY DAY HOWEVER WITH THE LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW BECOMING
SOUTHERLY TEMPERATURES WILL BE RIGHT AROUND NORMAL, WITH HIGH TEMPS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1205 AM EST FRI JAN 2 2026
AS THE LOW OVER THE SE US ADVANCES EASTWARD AND MOVES OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST ON SUNDAY, A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA. LIMITED MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE BY
THE TIME THE FRONT REACHES SOUTH FL, HOWEVER THIS WILL BE THE BEST
CHANCE FOR RAINFALL IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD. QPF AMOUNTS LOOK MEAGER,
WITH A QUARTER INCH OR LESS AT BEST ACROSS THE AREA, CERTAINLY
NOTHING THAT WILL PUT A DENT INTO THE REGIONS ONGOING DROUGHT.
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE AXIS CROSS SOUTH FL
BY LATE SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY, AND THEN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
FOR THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. OUTSIDE OF A FEW
OCCASIONAL COASTAL SHOWERS, MUCH OF THE AREA WILL BE DRY.
TEMPERATURES FROM SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE AT
OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS EACH DAY GENERALLY IN THE UPPER
70S TO AROUND 80, AND LOWS IN THE 50S/60S.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 629 AM EST FRI JAN 2 2026
CALM WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING BECOME GENERALLY WESTERLY LATER THIS
MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1205 AM EST FRI JAN 2 2026
LIGHT TO GENTLE NORTHERLY WINDS THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST TO
SOUTHWESTERLY LATER IN THE DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE AREA.
SEAS 1-3 FT IN THE ATLANTIC AND 2 FT OR LESS IN THE GULF. A BRIEF
PERIOD OF HAZARDOUS WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY IN THE ATLANTIC
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 72 55 75 61 / 0 0 0 10
WEST KENDALL 73 48 76 55 / 0 0 0 10
OPA-LOCKA 73 54 77 59 / 0 0 0 10
HOMESTEAD 72 52 75 59 / 0 0 0 0
FORT LAUDERDALE 72 54 75 60 / 0 0 0 10
N FT LAUDERDALE 72 54 75 61 / 0 0 0 10
PEMBROKE PINES 72 52 76 59 / 0 0 0 10
WEST PALM BEACH 72 53 76 59 / 0 0 0 10
BOCA RATON 72 54 77 60 / 0 0 0 10
NAPLES 72 57 75 64 / 0 0 0 30
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...ATV
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