626
FXUS62 KMFL 012312
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
612 PM EST THU JAN 1 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 610 PM EST THU JAN 1 2026
- CHILLY TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK ALONG WITH DRY CONDITIONS.
- WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION OVER THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND.
- CHANCES OF SHOWERS WILL SLOWLY INCREASE ON SUNDAY AS A
WEAKENING COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 131 PM EST THU JAN 1 2026
COLD AIR ADVECTION CONTINUES TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE REGION AS
NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW SUBSIDES FURTHER. AS THE WINDS BECOME
LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT, IT WILL BE ANOTHER GOOD NIGHT FOR
RADIATIONAL COOLING TO TAKE PLACE. HOWEVER, WITH COLD AIR
ADVECTION BEGINNING TO END, TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE AS COLD AS
THEY HAVE BEEN OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY DROP INTO THE LOWER 40S ACROSS THE LAKE
OKEECHOBEE REGION AND INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. THE
EAST COAST METRO AREAS AS WELL AS COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA WILL HAVE LOW TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 50S.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1203 AM EST THU JAN 1 2026
HAPPY NEW YEAR! WE START THE YEAR OFF COLD ACROSS SOUTH FL WITH
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF ALLOWING A DRY NORTHERLY FLOW
ACROSS THE AREA, AS SHOWN BY OUR 00Z SOUNDING WHICH ONLY HAD A PWAT
VALUE OF 0.25 INCHES. MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND NEARLY CALM WINDS THIS
MORNING IS ALLOWING TEMPS TO PLUMMET AGAIN. A FROST ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM FOR GLADES, HENDRY, INLAND COLLIER, AND INLAND
PALM BEACH. SOME PATCHY FROST WILL EVEN BE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN
PORTIONS OF MIAMI-DADE AND BROWARD EARLY THIS MORNING.
TEMPS WARM UP QUICKLY TODAY UNTIL MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, HOWEVER HIGHS
THIS AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL, ONLY REACHING THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. NOT AS COLD TONIGHT BUT REMAINING CHILLY
WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS AROUND 40 WEST AND SOUTH OF THE LAKE, TO AROUND
50 CLOSER TO THE COASTS.
HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OVER THE AREA ON FRIDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY
IN THE AFTERNOON AND HIGH TEMPS WILL REACH THE LOW TO MIDDLE 70S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1203 AM EST THU JAN 1 2026
AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST OF THE AREA THIS WEEKEND, TEMPS WILL
CONTINUE TO MODERATE AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHERLY.
HIGH TEMPS THIS WEEKEND WILL BE AROUND NORMAL IN THE UPPER 70S TO
AROUND 80. OVERNIGHT LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE 50S/60S.
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHEAST US WILL MOVE OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST ON SUNDAY, AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH
THAT SYSTEM ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS SOUTH FL
LATE SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING WITH IT THE ONLY
CHANCE OF RAINFALL IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD ON SUNDAY, ALBEIT ONLY
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS, AND CERTAINLY NOTHING THAT WILL BRING ANY RELIEF
TO THE ONGOING DROUGHT. ONCE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY PASSES, HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION FOR THE EARLY PART OF NEXT
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN RIGHT AROUND NORMAL THROUGH MID
WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 610 PM EST THU JAN 1 2026
GENERALLY VFR WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND OVERNIGHT. WIND WILL
EMERGE FROM THE NORTHWEST MID TO LATE MORNING BEFORE BECOMING MORE
WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY BY THE AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1203 AM EST THU JAN 1 2026
MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS TODAY OVER THE AREA WATERS BECOME A LIGHT
TO GENTLE WEST TO SOUTHWEST BREEZE ON FRIDAY. SEAS 2-4 FT IN THE
ATLANTIC TODAY AND 1-2 FT IN THE GULF.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 1203 AM EST THU JAN 1 2026
LINGERING SWELL WILL RESULT IN AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
TODAY FOR THE PALM BEACHES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 51 72 54 75 / 0 0 0 0
WEST KENDALL 45 73 48 77 / 0 0 0 0
OPA-LOCKA 50 74 53 77 / 0 0 0 0
HOMESTEAD 49 73 52 76 / 0 0 0 0
FORT LAUDERDALE 49 72 53 75 / 0 0 0 0
N FT LAUDERDALE 50 72 55 76 / 0 0 0 0
PEMBROKE PINES 48 73 52 76 / 0 0 0 0
WEST PALM BEACH 48 72 53 77 / 0 0 0 0
BOCA RATON 49 73 54 77 / 0 0 0 0
NAPLES 51 72 56 75 / 0 0 0 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...RAG
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