631
FXUS62 KMLB 191848
AFDMLB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
148 PM EST WED NOV 19 2025
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 145 PM EST WED NOV 19 2025
- PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT FEW MORNINGS, AND INSTANCES
OF LOCALLY DENSE FOG CANNOT BE RULED OUT
- A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS REMAINS AT AREA BEACHES
- DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 145 PM EST WED NOV 19 2025
NOW-TONIGHT...A FAIR AFTERNOON IS UNDERWAY WITH TEMPERATURES IN
THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S AROUND LUNCHTIME. OUTSIDE OF A FEW
CUMULUS CLOUDS ALONG THE TREASURE COAST AND AROUND LAKE
OKEECHOBEE, MUCH OF THE AREA IS EXPERIENCING A BLUE SKY DAY. 5-10
MPH ONSHORE WINDS WILL TURN CALM TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES REACH THE
MID 50S TO MID 60S BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. PATCHY FOG
DEVELOPMENT IS IN PLAY OVERNIGHT, PARTICULARLY FROM NEAR THE CAPE
TO LAKE KISSIMMEE, INCLUDING PLACES LIKE TITUSVILLE, MELBOURNE,
AND AS FAR SOUTH AS THE TREASURE COAST. LOCALLY DENSE FOG CANNOT
BE RULED OUT, ALSO, SO THIS IS SOMETHING TO KEEP IN MIND FOR THE
THURSDAY MORNING COMMUTE.
THURSDAY-SATURDAY...LITTLE CHANGE IS AHEAD FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK
AS THE H5 RIDGE EXPANDS EASTWARD. HIGH PRESSURE AND PW UNDER 1" WILL
KEEP THE STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER GOING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY.
THERE COULD BE A FEW MORE HIGH CLOUDS IN THE MIX FRIDAY AS THE
PROFILE MOISTENS AROUND 250-300MB. OTHERWISE, EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES TO CONTINUE, WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL (LOW/MID 80S) AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. PATCHY FOG REMAINS POSSIBLE EACH MORNING IN THE PRESENCE OF
CALM WINDS AND NARROWING DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS.
SUNDAY-NEXT WEEK...A WEAKENED COLD FRONT ARRIVES SUNDAY WITH LIGHT
WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTH THROUGH MIDDAY, THEN ONSHORE WITH THE
EAST COAST BREEZE IN THE AFTERNOON. BROAD MID-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
EJECTS FROM THE DESERT SOUTHWEST MONDAY INTO TUESDAY, BUT RIDGING
OVER FLORIDA KEEPS THE MORE ACTIVE PATTERN WELL NORTH. A FEW MODEL
RUNS SHOW COASTAL SHOWERS DEVELOPING BY WEDNESDAY, BUT THIS IS
HIGHLY UNCERTAIN THIS FAR OUT. THE ANTICIPATION IS FOR MOSTLY DRY
CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY WITH SIMILAR
TEMPERATURES EACH DAY (LOWS IN THE 60S, HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S). A FRONT COULD APPROACH THE AREA MID TO LATE WEEK, THOUGH
MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE MUDDIED AS TO HOW FAR SOUTH THE FRONT GOES
BEFORE STALLING. REGARDLESS, MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE, SO
WE WILL BE WATCHING FOR ANY SIGNS OF AT LEAST LOW RAIN CHANCES
LATER IN THE WEEK AND FOR THE UPCOMING HOLIDAY.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 145 PM EST WED NOV 19 2025
GOOD BOATING CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE LOCAL ATLANTIC. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS TURN ONSHORE, INCREASING TO AROUND 10 KT EACH
AFTERNOON WITH THE SEA BREEZE. WINDS VEER NNW SUNDAY, THEN ONSHORE
AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON, AS A WEAK FRONT APPROACHES. SEAS 1-3 FT.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1235 PM EST WED NOV 19 2025
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ATTEMPT TO BECOME ESTABLISHED OUT OF THE
EAST-NOTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS THEN BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE AGAIN OVERNIGHT. PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING. HAVE INCLUDED VFR VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS (6SM) ALONG THE
COAST FROM TIX TO FPR WHERE CONDITIONS ARE MOST FAVORABLE. DRY
CONDITIONS PERSIST.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 57 80 60 80 / 0 0 0 0
MCO 60 84 61 83 / 0 0 0 0
MLB 61 80 62 80 / 0 0 0 0
VRB 62 81 63 81 / 0 0 0 0
LEE 58 82 59 83 / 0 0 0 0
SFB 58 83 60 83 / 0 0 0 0
ORL 60 83 61 83 / 0 0 0 0
FPR 61 81 62 81 / 0 0 0 0
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SCHAPER
AVIATION...LAW
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