521
FXUS62 KMLB 141132
AFDMLB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
632 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 110 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2025
- DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK.
- A GRADUAL WARMING TREND INTO THE WEEKEND THEN TEMPERATURES HOLD
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL NEXT WEEK.
- CONDITIONS BECOMING SLIGHTLY MORE FAVORABLE FOR PATCHY LATE
NIGHT/EARLY MORNING FOG.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 110 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2025
TODAY...A WEAK FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA AS HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS BUILDS OVER THE AREA.
A NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZE UP TO 15 MPH WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE
COAST. THE ATMOSPHERE IS TOO DRY FOR ANY RAIN, EVEN MUCH CLOUD COVER
WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE. THERE SHOULD BE SOME THIN CIRRUS
STREAMING ESE ACROSS THE AREA. MAX TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER
70S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE VOLUSIA COAST TO THE UPPER 70S AROUND LAKE
OKEECHOBEE WITH MOST AREAS REACHING THE MID 70S. THERE WILL BE A
MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES.
SAT-THU...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS SETTLES OVER THE AREA SAT THEN
CONTINUES TO PRESS SOUTH OF THE AREA SUN. THIS WILL RESULT IN
LIGHTER WINDS SAT IN VICINITY OF THE RIDGE AXIS FOLLOWED BY A
DEVELOPING OFFSHORE (WSW) FLOW SUN. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT IS FORECAST
TO SAG SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA MON WITH LITTLE CHANCE FOR RAIN.
THE FRONT DISSIPATES TUE OVER CENTRAL OR SOUTH FL. WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE REBUILDS OVER THE AREA WED-THU.
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
INTO THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S TODAY WARMING
INTO THE UPPER 70S/LOWER 80S SAT-SUN. MAX TEMPS WILL WARM INTO THE
LOW AND MID 80S INTERIOR NEXT WEEK, HOLDING NEAR 80 ALONG THE COAST.
ALONG WITH THE TEMPERATURES, DEWPOINTS WILL ALSO BE CREEPING UPWARDS
AND THIS SHOULD SUPPORT SOME PATCHY LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING FOG
THIS WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 110 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2025
GENERALLY FAVORABLE BOATING CONDITIONS. REINFORCING HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS FRIDAY WILL BUILD SOUTHWARD OVER THE
AREA WITH THE RIDGE AXIS ACROSS CENTRAL FL ON SAT. THE HIGH
CONTINUES SOUTH AND EAST ONTO THE OPEN ATLC WITH A TRAILING RIDGE
AXIS ACROSS SOUTH FL SUN AND MON. A WEAK COOL FRONT MAY REACH
CENTRAL FL AND THE LOCAL ATLC WATERS MON/MON NIGHT BEFORE
DISSIPATING AND WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TUE.
NORTH WINDS TODAY AROUND 10 KNOTS AS REINFORCING HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE AREA THEN LIGHTER E/NE FLOW SAT AS RIDGE AXIS
SETTLES OVER THE AREA. WIND FLOW TURNS OFFSHORE (SW-W) 10-15 KNOTS
SUN AS RIDGE AXIS SLIPS SOUTH OF THE WATERS. OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES
MON (WESTERLY) AND COULD TURN NW-N DURING THE AFTERNOON DEPENDING ON
THE LOCATION OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW TUE
WITHIN A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ENVIRONMENT. SEAS 2 FT NEARSHORE AND
3 FT OFFSHORE, OCCASIONALLY UP TO 4 FT IN THE GULF STREAM.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 629 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2025
PATCHY FOG HAS DEVELOPED NEAR LEE PRIOR TO SUNRISE THIS MORNING.
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO PERSIST THROUGH AROUND 13Z,
BEFORE DAYTIME HEATING BEGINS TO BURN OFF ANY LINGERING FOG. VFR
CONDITIONS PREVAILING AT THE REST OF THE TAF SITES. LIGHT
NORTHERLY WINDS THIS MORNING WILL VEER NORTHEAST AROUND 10 KTS OR
LESS THIS AFTERNOON. THEN, LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS RETURN THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WHILE CONFIDENCE IS LOW, WILL NEED TO
MONITOR THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT TONIGHT,
ESPECIALLY NORTH OF I-4.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 74 57 77 55 / 0 0 0 0
MCO 77 57 80 56 / 0 0 0 0
MLB 76 61 78 58 / 0 0 0 0
VRB 77 61 79 58 / 0 0 0 0
LEE 76 54 79 54 / 0 0 0 0
SFB 76 55 80 55 / 0 0 0 0
ORL 76 57 79 57 / 0 0 0 0
FPR 77 60 79 58 / 0 0 0 0
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KELLY
AVIATION...LEAHY
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