674
FXUS62 KTAE 111032
AFDTAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
632 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 630 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
- NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. DROUGHT
CONDITIONS WILL WORSEN. FIRE CONCERNS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED. USE
EXTREME CAUTION WITH ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. PLEASE HEED BURN BANS
WHERE THEY ARE IN EFFECT.
- HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK WILL RETURN BEGINNING LATER THIS WEEKEND.
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE URGED TO HEED POSTED BEACH FLAGS AND
STAY OUT OF THE SURF WHERE HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ARE
POSTED.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK
WITH EVEN LOW 90S LIKELY LATER NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL BE
APPROACHING RECORD HIGHS.
SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
MID LEVEL RIDGE AXIS CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM SOUTH TEXAS NORTH INTO
SOUTHERN CANADA. THIS RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT EAST THIS WEEKEND IN
RESPONSE TO A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS DIGGING INTO THE WESTERN
US. EARLY NEXT WEEK, MID LEVEL HIGH WILL SET UP IN THE CENTRAL
GULF WITH RIDGING STRETCHED THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST CONUS,
DEFLECTING THE WESTERN US TROUGHS UP AND OVER THE RIDGE. AT THE
SURFACE, WEAK RIDGING IS ORIENTED THROUGH THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS WITH A FRESH AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE GLIDING EAST
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. LATER THIS WEEKEND, HIGH PRESSURE SCOOTS
OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD WITH SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED
SURFACE RIDGING THROUGH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST NORTHEAST INTO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC. THIS DEEP LAYER RIDGING WILL ENACT LARGE SCALE
SUBSIDENCE WITH A BULK OF THE 800-400MB LAYER FAIRLY DRY AND KEEP
WEATHER SYSTEMS WELL TO THE WEST AND NORTH FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK.
INTO NEXT WEEKEND, A CLUSTER OF THE LONGER RANGE MODELS AND
ENSEMBLE MEANS BEGIN TO ADVERTISE A FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH A
NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WIND SHIFT. THIS MAY BRING OUR NEXT CHANCE
FOR RAIN BUT ITS WAY TOO EARLY TO DISCUSS THE FINER DETAILS BUT
SOMETHING TO WATCH HEADING THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
UNTIL THEN, IT WILL REMAIN WARM AND DRY. HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID
80S THIS WEEKEND WILL GRADUALLY WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER
90S LATE NEXT WEEK AS THE MID LEVEL HIGH SETS UP IN THE GULF WITH
LOWS IN THE MID 50S THIS WEEKEND BECOMING CLOSER TO 60 DEGREES BY
MID WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY APPROACH RECORD HIGHS TOWARDS THE
END OF THE WORK WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. HERE ARE RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES FOR TALLAHASSEE AND ALBANY FOR APR 17/18/19:
TALLAHASSEE: 91F/92F/92F
ALBANY: 92F/94F/92F
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 630 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT EAST WINDS TODAY WILL GRADUALLY
BECOME SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 300 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY BREEZES CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
WINDS TURN MORE SOUTHEASTERLY AND REMAIN LIGHT TO MODERATE NEXT
WEEK AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORS ITSELF OFF THE EAST COAST. A
BRIEF PERIOD OF EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
NIGHT IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 300 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN THE DOMINATE WEATHER FEATURE THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS GOING TODAY
THEN A GRADUAL SHIFTING TO SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH WINDS BEGINNING
SUNDAY. AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE 25-35% RANGE
WITH TRANSPORT WINDS AT OR BELOW 10 MPH. HIGH DISPERSIONS THIS
WEEKEND ARE EXPECTED AWAY FROM THE COAST. NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.
HYDROLOGY
ISSUED AT 300 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
NO RAINFALL THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS. DROUGHT WILL CONTINUE OR
WORSEN.
FOR MORE LOCAL DROUGHT INFORMATION & STATEMENTS, VISIT THE FOLLOWING
WEBSITES: WEATHER.GOV/TAE/LOCALDROUGHT
WEATHER.GOV/TAE/DROUGHTINFORMATIONSTATEMENT
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER, SPOTTERS ARE ALWAYS
ENCOURAGED TO SAFELY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN THEY
OCCUR BY CALLING THE OFFICE OR TWEETING US @NWSTALLAHASSEE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TALLAHASSEE 85 57 86 59 / 0 0 0 0
PANAMA CITY 81 60 81 62 / 0 0 0 0
DOTHAN 84 56 86 57 / 0 0 0 0
ALBANY 84 56 86 57 / 0 0 0 0
VALDOSTA 85 55 86 56 / 0 0 0 0
CROSS CITY 85 54 87 56 / 0 0 0 0
APALACHICOLA 75 64 75 64 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...SCHOLL
LONG TERM....SCHOLL
AVIATION...SCHOLL
MARINE...SCHOLL
FIRE WEATHER...SCHOLL
HYDROLOGY...SCHOLL
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