313  
FXUS62 KTBW 080802  
AFDTBW  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
302 AM EST THU DEC 8 2022  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 259 AM EST THU DEC 8 2022  
 
THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN REMAINS FAIRLY STATIC WITH ZONAL FLOW  
DOMINANT ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS. BROAD UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING AND  
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAIN ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA,  
KEEPING CONDITIONS GENERALLY PLEASANT, BUT ABOVE NORMAL FOR  
DECEMBER. REALLY THE ONLY HAZARD THAT CONTINUES TO REMAIN THROUGH  
THE WEEKEND IS FOG. MOSTLY CALM WINDS, CLEAR SKIES, AND EFFICIENT  
COOLING OVERNIGHT FAVOR DEVELOPMENT, AT LEAST ACROSS THE INTERIOR  
AND PORTIONS OF THE NATURE COAST. THIS SHOULD MIX OUT BY MID-MORNING,  
WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.  
 
AS THE WORK WEEK APPROACHES, THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN BEGINS TO  
AMPLIFY AS A POSITIVELY-TILTED TROUGH AXIS DIGS AND INTENSIFIES,  
PROPAGATING EASTWARD IN THE PROCESS. BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK,  
THIS MAY LEND ITSELF TO AT LEAST SOME CHANGE IN OUR WEATHER. MORE  
CLOUDS, AT LEAST SOME RAIN CHANCES, AND MAYBE - JUST MAYBE - SOME  
SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR MAY BE ABLE TO FILTER IN. STILL PLENTY OF  
UNCERTAINTY YET IN THAT, THOUGH. FOR NOW, PLEASANT, BUT WARM  
CONDITIONS CONTINUE.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(06Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1234 AM EST THU DEC 8 2022  
 
PATCHY MIST/FOG LOOKS FAVORABLE THIS MORNING, LEADING TO SOME  
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FOR TERMINALS, PARTICULARLY INLAND. THIS SHOULD  
MIX OUT BY MID-MORNING, WITH VFR PREVAILING ALONG WITH LIGHT  
EASTERLY BACKGROUND FLOW THAT TURNS MORE WESTERLY FOR COASTAL  
TERMINALS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
ISSUED AT 259 AM EST THU DEC 8 2022  
 
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL WITH LIGHT NORTHERLY FLOW AND SEAS  
OF 2 FEET OR LESS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
 
   
FIRE WEATHER
 
 
ISSUED AT 259 AM EST THU DEC 8 2022  
 
A DRY, STABLE PATTERN CONTINUES WITH LOW DISPERSIONS EXPECTED.  
FOG IS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND THE NATURE COAST EACH  
MORNING INTO THE WEEKEND. DESPITE BEING DRIER, RED FLAG  
CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED WITH LIGHT WINDS AND RH VALUES  
REMAINING ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
TPA 82 64 80 63 / 0 0 0 0  
FMY 84 65 84 63 / 0 0 0 0  
GIF 81 61 81 59 / 0 0 0 0  
SRQ 81 63 79 62 / 0 0 0 0  
BKV 82 58 80 56 / 0 0 0 0  
SPG 79 65 77 64 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
FL...NONE.  
GULF WATERS...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
FLANNERY  
 
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