313
FXUS62 KTBW 080802
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
302 AM EST THU DEC 8 2022
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 259 AM EST THU DEC 8 2022
THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN REMAINS FAIRLY STATIC WITH ZONAL FLOW
DOMINANT ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS. BROAD UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING AND
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAIN ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA,
KEEPING CONDITIONS GENERALLY PLEASANT, BUT ABOVE NORMAL FOR
DECEMBER. REALLY THE ONLY HAZARD THAT CONTINUES TO REMAIN THROUGH
THE WEEKEND IS FOG. MOSTLY CALM WINDS, CLEAR SKIES, AND EFFICIENT
COOLING OVERNIGHT FAVOR DEVELOPMENT, AT LEAST ACROSS THE INTERIOR
AND PORTIONS OF THE NATURE COAST. THIS SHOULD MIX OUT BY MID-MORNING,
WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.
AS THE WORK WEEK APPROACHES, THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN BEGINS TO
AMPLIFY AS A POSITIVELY-TILTED TROUGH AXIS DIGS AND INTENSIFIES,
PROPAGATING EASTWARD IN THE PROCESS. BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK,
THIS MAY LEND ITSELF TO AT LEAST SOME CHANGE IN OUR WEATHER. MORE
CLOUDS, AT LEAST SOME RAIN CHANCES, AND MAYBE - JUST MAYBE - SOME
SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR MAY BE ABLE TO FILTER IN. STILL PLENTY OF
UNCERTAINTY YET IN THAT, THOUGH. FOR NOW, PLEASANT, BUT WARM
CONDITIONS CONTINUE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1234 AM EST THU DEC 8 2022
PATCHY MIST/FOG LOOKS FAVORABLE THIS MORNING, LEADING TO SOME
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FOR TERMINALS, PARTICULARLY INLAND. THIS SHOULD
MIX OUT BY MID-MORNING, WITH VFR PREVAILING ALONG WITH LIGHT
EASTERLY BACKGROUND FLOW THAT TURNS MORE WESTERLY FOR COASTAL
TERMINALS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 259 AM EST THU DEC 8 2022
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL WITH LIGHT NORTHERLY FLOW AND SEAS
OF 2 FEET OR LESS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 259 AM EST THU DEC 8 2022
A DRY, STABLE PATTERN CONTINUES WITH LOW DISPERSIONS EXPECTED.
FOG IS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND THE NATURE COAST EACH
MORNING INTO THE WEEKEND. DESPITE BEING DRIER, RED FLAG
CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED WITH LIGHT WINDS AND RH VALUES
REMAINING ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 82 64 80 63 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 84 65 84 63 / 0 0 0 0
GIF 81 61 81 59 / 0 0 0 0
SRQ 81 63 79 62 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 82 58 80 56 / 0 0 0 0
SPG 79 65 77 64 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
FLANNERY
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