385  
FXUS62 KTBW 241811  
AFDTBW  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
211 PM EDT MON SEP 24 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
RIDGING ALOFT IN THE W ATLANTIC WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION THIS WEEK  
AND REMAIN STACKED OVER THE FL PENINSULA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AT THE  
SURFACE, THE WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE N OF THE BAHAMAS IS EXPECTED  
TO MOVE NWWARD TOWARDS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION INTO MID-WEEK. THEN  
THE W ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BECOME REESTABLISHED ACROSS  
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA KEEPING AN EASTERLY STEERING FLOW IN PLACE.  
DEEP MOISTURE AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION FOR  
TYPICAL LATE SUMMER SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS DIURNAL SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG SEA BREEZES AND BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS. ABOVE  
NORMAL TEMPS WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S INLAND AND IN  
THE MID 70S TO NEAR 80 ALONG THE COAST. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE IN  
THE LOWER 90S EACH DAY.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
SEABREEZE SCT-NMRS TSRA WITH BRIEF MVFR/LOCAL IFR CIGS/VSBY AND  
GUSTY WINDS THROUGH AROUND 00Z THEN VFR CONDITIONS RETURN ALL  
TAF SITES TONIGHT.  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE TO REMAIN STRETCHED ACROSS N FL AND NE GULF THROUGH  
MID WEEK WITH EASTERLY WINDS AND SEAS. EXPECT MODEST EASTERLY SURGES  
IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS AS WELL THEN A WEAK SEA BREEZE  
FORMING AT THE COAST. THE RIDGE AXIS TO WEAKEN AND SINK OVER THE  
AREA LATER IN THE WEEK. WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW  
HEADLINES, BUT WILL BE HIGHER IN OR NEAR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
 

 
   
FIRE WEATHER
 
 
LOW LEVEL LATE SUMMERTIME MOISTURE REMAINS HIGH WITH DAILY RAIN  
CHANCES AND WARM TEMPS CONTINUE.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
TPA 92 77 91 77 / 50 40 60 40  
FMY 93 77 91 75 / 50 50 60 50  
GIF 92 76 91 75 / 50 20 60 20  
SRQ 91 77 89 76 / 40 50 50 50  
BKV 92 75 91 75 / 60 30 60 30  
SPG 92 79 91 78 / 40 50 50 50  
 

 
   
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
FL...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR  
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-  
PINELLAS.  
 
GULF WATERS...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION/SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE  
WEATHER...25/DAVIS  
DECISION SUPPORT...11/MCKAUGHAN  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab FL Page Main Text Page