802
FXUS62 KTBW 110634
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
234 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- CAUTIONARY-LEVEL MARINE WINDS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
- MODERATE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 232 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
COC WEATHER THROUGH THE PERIOD. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. AND FLORIDA WILL HOLD OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST OVER
THE WESTERN ATLANTIC NEXT WEEK, BUT WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND ACROSS
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
CARBON COPY WEATHER EACH DAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY WARM DRY DAYS AND
MOSTLY CLEAR NIGHTS. SOME PATCHY LATE NIGHT FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE
EACH NIGHT MAINLY ACROSS THE NATURE COAST AND INTERIOR. DAILY
TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS
GENERALLY IN THE MID 80S EACH DAY...OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 50S
NORTH AND THE LOWER TO MID 60S CENTRAL AND SOUTH.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 232 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
NIGHT AND SATURDAY. SKIES GENERALLY FEW040-050 SCT-BKN250.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 232 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE
GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN A BIT TODAY WITH WINDS GENERALLY BELOW
CAUTIONARY LEVELS OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. AN EVENING
EASTERLY SURGE MAY CREATE A FEW HOURS OF CAUTIONARY LEVEL WINDS
DURING THE EVENING HOURS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...OTHERWISE, NO
HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 232 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
COMBINATION OF SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES AND DRIER AIR ON
TODAY AND SUNDAY WILL CAUSE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO
DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S ACROSS THE NORTHERN NATURE COAST
TODAY...AND IN THE 40S ELSEWHERE. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL DROP TO NEAR CRITICAL VALUES ACROSS THE NATURE COAST ON
SUNDAY, WITH UPPER 30S TO MID 40S ELSEWHERE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 85 63 86 64 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 85 63 87 63 / 0 0 0 0
GIF 83 61 84 61 / 0 0 0 0
SRQ 85 62 87 62 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 85 55 87 56 / 0 0 0 0
SPG 85 67 86 68 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...OGLESBY
DECISION SUPPORT...OGLESBY
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...OGLESBY
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