888  
FXUS62 KTBW 191403  
AFDTBW  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
903 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2020  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SHOWERS ARE IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS MORNING ACROSS THE  
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL COASTAL WATERS AND UP ACROSS THE NATURE  
COAST. SHOWERS WITH THE ACTUAL FRONT ARE STILL BACK IN THE FL  
PANHANDLE. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN  
HALF OF THE AREA THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SPREAD SOUTH  
THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE FRONT PUSHES  
THROUGH THE AREA. COLDER AND DRIER AIR MOVES IN FOR MONDAY THROUGH  
WEDNESDAY, WITH SOME FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND FEELS-LIKE  
TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY MORNINGS. CURRENT  
FORECAST IS ON TRACK WITH ALL OF THIS AND HAVE NO UPDATES PLANNED.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
SE/S FLOW THIS MORNING WILL BE TURNING TO THE SW FOR LATER THIS  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WINDS THEN TURN TO THE NNW BEHIND THE FRONT  
WITH SOME SHOWERS POSSIBLE. MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS WILL BE  
POSSIBLE WITH ANY SHOWERS AND LOW CEILINGS WILL BE LIKELY FOR A  
FEW HOURS WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE INCREASING BEHIND THE FRONT FROM THE NNW,  
WITH SCA CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL  
OFFSHORE WATERS AND SCEC CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE FOR THIS  
EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. CONDITIONS WILL BRIEFLY SUBSIDE,  
THEN INCREASE TO SCA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BEFORE SUBSIDING.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
TPA 76 48 60 42 / 60 20 0 0  
FMY 80 56 67 45 / 10 30 0 0  
GIF 78 48 62 41 / 40 30 0 0  
SRQ 79 51 63 44 / 40 30 0 0  
BKV 75 42 60 36 / 60 10 0 0  
SPG 75 50 61 44 / 60 20 0 0  
 

 
   
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
FL...NONE.  
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST MONDAY  
FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT  
20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER  
FL OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT  
20 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL  
OUT 20 TO 60 NM.  
 

 
 

 
 
UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...24/HUBBARD  
UPPER AIR...42/NORMAN  
DECISION SUPPORT...69/CLOSE  
 
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