610
FXUS62 KTBW 021315
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
915 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2020
UPDATE
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO RIDGE WESTWARD OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA
KEEPING A WEST-SOUTHWEST ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SOME SPORADIC EARLY
MORNING SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE GULF COAST WATERS AND ARE
CURRENTLY MOVING ONSHORE IN THE VICINITY OF TAMPA BAY. CURRENT MODEL
GUIDANCE KEEPS THE MAJORITY OF THE SHOWERS AND STORMS FROM TAMPA BAY
NORTHWARD AND OVER THE INLAND COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES
ARE ALREADY IN THE LOW TO MID 80'S AND WILL QUICKLY WARM UP INTO THE
90'S THIS AFTERNOON. NO CHANGES NEEDED TO THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH WSW WINDS AROUND
6-12 KNOTS THROUGH THIS EVENING. WILL HOLD VCSH AT ALL TERMINALS
THIS MORNING, WITH RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. NO OTHER AVIATION IMPACTS EXPECTED.
MARINE
WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE WATERS THROUGH THE PERIOD...HOWEVER WINDS
AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. MAIN HAZARD
WILL BE AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH HIGHEST POPS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CREATE LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 92 80 91 79 / 30 20 50 30
FMY 93 78 93 80 / 10 10 20 10
GIF 95 76 94 77 / 50 20 60 20
SRQ 91 80 91 80 / 20 10 30 20
BKV 92 76 92 76 / 40 40 60 40
SPG 92 80 92 80 / 20 20 40 20
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...74/WYNN
DECISION SUPPORT...57/MCMICHAEL
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