888
FXUS62 KTBW 191403
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
903 AM EST SUN JAN 19 2020
DISCUSSION
SHOWERS ARE IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS MORNING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL COASTAL WATERS AND UP ACROSS THE NATURE
COAST. SHOWERS WITH THE ACTUAL FRONT ARE STILL BACK IN THE FL
PANHANDLE. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE AREA THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SPREAD SOUTH
THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH THE AREA. COLDER AND DRIER AIR MOVES IN FOR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, WITH SOME FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND FEELS-LIKE
TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY MORNINGS. CURRENT
FORECAST IS ON TRACK WITH ALL OF THIS AND HAVE NO UPDATES PLANNED.
AVIATION
SE/S FLOW THIS MORNING WILL BE TURNING TO THE SW FOR LATER THIS
MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WINDS THEN TURN TO THE NNW BEHIND THE FRONT
WITH SOME SHOWERS POSSIBLE. MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH ANY SHOWERS AND LOW CEILINGS WILL BE LIKELY FOR A
FEW HOURS WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
MARINE
WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE INCREASING BEHIND THE FRONT FROM THE NNW,
WITH SCA CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
OFFSHORE WATERS AND SCEC CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE FOR THIS
EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. CONDITIONS WILL BRIEFLY SUBSIDE,
THEN INCREASE TO SCA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BEFORE SUBSIDING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 76 48 60 42 / 60 20 0 0
FMY 80 56 67 45 / 10 30 0 0
GIF 78 48 62 41 / 40 30 0 0
SRQ 79 51 63 44 / 40 30 0 0
BKV 75 42 60 36 / 60 10 0 0
SPG 75 50 61 44 / 60 20 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST MONDAY
FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT
20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER
FL OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT
20 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL
OUT 20 TO 60 NM.
UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...24/HUBBARD
UPPER AIR...42/NORMAN
DECISION SUPPORT...69/CLOSE
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